Rotating to Asia?ICAS SeminarTokyo, 11 June 2013Robert DujarricDirector, Institute of Contemporary Asian StudiesTemple Uni...
US wars East Asia• 1850s-1860s: Threats vs. Japan.• 1898: Philippines invaded.• 1900: Beijing occupied (with allies)• 1941...
Is the Pivot new?• US and Asia before the Pivot:– Big military presence since 1945 (and before).– Pre-Pivot upgrades with ...
Constraints on the Pivot:Global Balkans on FireRobert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 4See Notes for image source
Short sample of Global Balkans crises• Internal: Syria, Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Turkey…• Religious: theocrats/secularists, Shi...
Meaning of Pivot• Deterring/planning war with China.• Potential for (very) big war(s).• East Asia vital to US global role,...
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Public Lecture Presentation Slides (6.11.2013): Robert Dujarric: Understanding the US "pivot" to Asia

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  • http://hidayaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/earth-rotation.png 9 June 2013
  • http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_inwdIe1giWk/RwEzOBzMOlI/AAAAAAAAD10/M4nxdWIIdi8/s320/Filipino-American+war+1899.jpg 9 June 2013http://www.losalamoshistory.org/images/hiroshima.jpg 9 June 2013 Hiroshima
  • http://www.thepeacefulsea.com/pics/great-white.jpg 9 June 2013 Great White Fleet visits Japan
  • Map from http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_OUrLYJV_zc0/SSomzmoM4EI/AAAAAAAAAEM/-8TbjIYluwY/s400/global_balkans.jpg 3 June 2013. Term coined by Z. Brzezinski. http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/39936000/gif/_39936447_pakistan_missile_map416.gif 9 June 2013 – missiles capabilitieshttp://nationalpostnews.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/redline.jpg?w=620 9 June 2013 Netanyahu UN http://www.awesomestories.com/images/user/107b7d5d54.gif 9 June 2013 oil maphttp://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/65996000/jpg/_65996636_29dd9870-253a-4259-8fa8-3309f5332bc0.jpg explosion 9 June 2013
  • http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Environment/Pix/columnists/2010/8/4/1280932648978/Saudi-Arabian-oil-field-006.jpg 9 June 2013
  • http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/infocus/animals081911/a25_RTR2PEZ0.jpg 9 June 2013 pandahttp://i67.servimg.com/u/f67/11/37/47/81/09021710.jpg 9 June 2013 prison guard
  • Public Lecture Presentation Slides (6.11.2013): Robert Dujarric: Understanding the US "pivot" to Asia

    1. 1. Rotating to Asia?ICAS SeminarTokyo, 11 June 2013Robert DujarricDirector, Institute of Contemporary Asian StudiesTemple University, Japan Campus, Tokyorobertdujarric@gmail.comwww.tuj.ac.jp/icas1Robert Dujarric - Temple University Japanhttp://hidayaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/earth-rotation.png 9 June 2013
    2. 2. US wars East Asia• 1850s-1860s: Threats vs. Japan.• 1898: Philippines invaded.• 1900: Beijing occupied (with allies)• 1941-45: Pacific War.• 1945-1949: Chinese Civil War.• 1945-1989: Cold War.• 1950-1953+: Korean War.• 1954-1975: Vietnam War.• 1989(?)-present: semi-Cold War with China.Robert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 2http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_inwdIe1giWk/RwEzOBzMOlI/AAAAAAAAD10/M4nxdWIIdi8/s320/Filipino-American+war+1899.jpg 9 June 2013http://www.losalamoshistory.org/images/hiroshima.jpg 9 June 2013 Hiroshima
    3. 3. Is the Pivot new?• US and Asia before the Pivot:– Big military presence since 1945 (and before).– Pre-Pivot upgrades with Japan, Australia, SE Asia, India.– Focus on China threat since 1990s.Robert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 3http://www.thepeacefulsea.com/pics/great-white.jpg 9 June 2013 Great White Fleet visits Japan
    4. 4. Constraints on the Pivot:Global Balkans on FireRobert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 4See Notes for image source
    5. 5. Short sample of Global Balkans crises• Internal: Syria, Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Turkey…• Religious: theocrats/secularists, Shia/Suni…• Ethnic: Kurd/Arab, Arab/Jew, Turkish/Kurd...• International: Israel/Palestine, Iran/ArabStates, Iran/Israel, India/Pakistan…• Ongoing war: Afghanistan.• Lots of oil/gas.• Past/present/future wars.Robert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 5http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Environment/Pix/columnists/2010/8/4/1280932648978/Saudi-Arabian-oil-field-006.jpg 9 June 2013
    6. 6. Meaning of Pivot• Deterring/planning war with China.• Potential for (very) big war(s).• East Asia vital to US global role, US won’t leave.• Signals US effort to contain China.Robert Dujarric - Temple University Japan 6http://cdn.theatlantic.com/static/infocus/animals081911/a25_RTR2PEZ0.jpg 9 June 2013 pandahttp://i67.servimg.com/u/f67/11/37/47/81/09021710.jpg 9 June 2013 prison guard

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