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U.S. Industrial Base Analysis for Space Systems
Defense Manufacturing Conference 2011, Anaheim, CA
November 29, 2011
Purpose
ª  Quick turnaround assessment of space industrial base
ª 

ª 

ª 
ª 

Customer: Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for
Manufacturing and Industrial Base Policy
This assessment is part of the initial phase of the sector-bysector tier-by-tier (S2T2) Department of Defense (DoD)
assessment of the industrial base
The initial phase of S2T2 covers 8 sectors
The Tauri Group assessed the space sector

ª  Objective was to provide greater insight into supply chain

tiers of the space industrial base, particularly lower tiers
and interdependencies
ª  This briefing is a preliminary overview only – Final
assessments will be issued by MIBP
2
Eight study topics were specified
ª  Topic 1 – U.S. space industry supply chain map
ª  Topic 2 – U.S. space industry sole suppliers, potential
ª 
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ª 
ª 
ª 
ª 

bottlenecks, and workforce sensitivities
Topic 3 – U.S. space industry supply chain interdependencies
Topic 4 – U.S. space industry innovation and future design
capabilities
Topic 5 – U.S. space industry supply chain working capital
and investment capital
Topic 6 – U.S. space industry supply chain relationships
across military, civil, and commercial interests
Topic 7 – Globalization of space industry supply chain
Topic 8 – Other factors to consider
3
Methodology
ª  Reviewed over fifty studies and relevant documents to identify risk

ª 
ª 
ª 
ª 

ª 

areas and issues in the supply chain, components in the tiers of the
supply chain, and companies in risk areas
Conducted approximately 90 targeted interviews
Summarized previously identified supply chain concerns related to
the space industrial base and identified new risk areas
Researched major space manufacturers and companies associated
with identified technology risk areas
For each risk area, we identified suppliers, where the risk area was
in the supply chain, and mapped the risk area to rest of the supply
chain
For suppliers in risk areas, we identified other lines of business that
the company had and the degree of the company s diversification
outside the space business
4
Topic 1: Supply chain at risk categories
ª  At Risk – Parts of the supply chain that are dependent on a sole

ª 

ª 

ª 
ª 

supplier or constrained competition, may become bottlenecks,
or have potential financial or workforce issues.
Green – Multiple suppliers and suppliers that are financially
healthy, have little or no potential to create bottlenecks, and
have no workforce issues.
Yellow – Constrained competition due to limited (fewer than
four) number of suppliers, suppliers with a potential to create
bottlenecks, and those with workforce issues.
Red – Sole suppliers, suppliers with high potential to create
bottlenecks, and those with significant workforce issues.
Black – Suppliers that are bankrupt, exiting the market, or
supplies are no longer available.
5
Topic 1: Overview of satellite supply chain elements from prime
contractors to material suppliers

Alloys	
  
Ammonia	
  
Anodes	
  
Atmospheric	
  nitrogen	
  
Atmospheric	
  oxygen	
  
Capacitors	
  
Carbon	
  fillers	
  
Carbonized	
  cloth	
  
Cast	
  metal	
  parts	
  
Cathodes	
  
Coa8ngs	
  
Composite	
  material	
  
Couplings	
  
Diodes	
  
Electrolytes	
  (Li-­‐ion)	
  
Fasteners	
  
FiAngs	
  
Gaskets	
  
Hoses	
  
HTPB	
  
Methane	
  
Nano-­‐phase	
  metals	
  (Al,	
  etc.)	
  
Natural	
  gas	
  
Pipes	
  
Poten8ometers	
  
Precision	
  ball	
  bearings	
  
Rayon	
  
Resin	
  
Screws,	
  bolts,	
  and	
  rivets	
  
Sodium	
  perchlorate	
  or	
  chlorine	
  
Weave	
  cloth	
  
Wires/wire	
  harnesses	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  4	
  
Atmospheric	
  probes	
  
Balloons	
  
Ball	
  screws	
  
Communica8ons	
  feeds	
  
Communica8ons	
  panels	
  
Communica8ons	
  reflectors	
  
Dust	
  meters	
  
Focal	
  plane	
  arrays	
  
Harmonic	
  drive	
  transmissions	
  
Hemispheric	
  resona8ng	
  gyros	
  (HRGs)	
  
Ion	
  counters	
  
Landing	
  bags	
  
Laser	
  resona8ng	
  gyros	
  (LRGs)	
  
Lidar	
  op8cal	
  sensors	
  
Momentum	
  wheels	
  
Momentum	
  wheels	
  plaVorms	
  
Non-­‐sensi8ve	
  structural	
  panels	
  
Op8cal	
  encoders	
  
Orbital	
  analysis	
  soXware	
  for	
  GEO	
  satellites	
  
Parachutes	
  
Passive	
  RF	
  filtering/coupling	
  devices	
  
Rate	
  sensors	
  
Reac8on	
  wheels	
  
Resolvers	
  
RF	
  transponder	
  chains	
  
Sensors	
  (pressure,	
  temperature,	
  etc)	
  
Slip	
  ring	
  assemblies	
  
Solar	
  cells	
  
Torque	
  
Transformers	
  
Travelling	
  wave	
  tubes	
  (TWT)	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  3	
  
Al8meters	
  
Antennas	
  
Beacon	
  tracking	
  and	
  ranging	
  systems	
  
Chemistry	
  analyzers	
  
Clocks	
  
Command	
  &	
  Control	
  Systems	
  
Command	
  receivers	
  and	
  telemetry	
  transmi[ers	
  
Commercial	
  encryp8on	
  devices	
  
Diaphragm	
  propellant	
  tanks	
  
Gamma	
  ray	
  telescopes	
  
Gimbal	
  assemblies	
  
GPS	
  receivers	
  
Heat	
  exchangers	
  
Heaters	
  	
  
Hold-­‐down	
  and	
  deployment	
  systems	
  
Interferometers	
  
Infrared	
  imagers	
  
Lithium	
  Ion	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Low-­‐thrust	
  propulsion	
  devices	
  and	
  components	
  
Magnetometers	
  
Microscopes	
  
Microwave	
  telescopes	
  
Mul8spectral	
  op8cal	
  sensors	
  
Nickel	
  cadmium	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Nickel	
  hydrogen	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Non-­‐diaphragm	
  propellant	
  tanks	
  
On-­‐board	
  computers	
  
Op8cal	
  imagers/telescopes	
  (pan/hyper/mul8)	
  
Plasma	
  detectors	
  
Power	
  distribu8on	
  assemblies	
  
Power	
  regula8on	
  electronics	
  
Preamplifiers	
  
Pressurant	
  tanks	
  
Processors,	
  routers/hubs	
  for	
  data	
  distribu8on	
  
Radio	
  frequency	
  receivers	
  
Radiometers	
  
Sample	
  retrievers	
  
Solar	
  array	
  assemblies	
  
Spectrometers	
  
Spinner	
  motor	
  drivers	
  
Sta8onary	
  plasma	
  thrusters	
  
Star	
  trackers	
  
Sun	
  sensors	
  
Travelling	
  wave	
  tube	
  amplifiers	
  (TWTA)	
  
TTC&R	
  antennas	
  
Ultraviolet	
  telescopes	
  
X-­‐ray	
  telescopes	
  

Tier	
  2	
  

Tier	
  1	
  

Satellite	
  
Satellite	
  Payload	
  
(Instrumenta8on)	
  

Subsystems:	
  
Power	
  
Propulsion	
  
Structure	
  
Thermal	
  
A5tude	
  control	
  
Telemetry	
  and	
  command	
  

Satellite	
  Bus	
  

Tier	
  5	
  

6
Topic 1: Satellites – Red and yellow risk areas in supply chain

Alloys	
  
Anodes	
  
Cadmium	
  zinc	
  telluride	
  detectors	
  
Capacitors	
  
Cast	
  metal	
  parts	
  
Cathodes	
  
Coa8ngs	
  
Composite	
  materials	
  
Crystal	
  scin8llators	
  
Couplings	
  
Diodes	
  	
  
Electrolytes	
  (Li-­‐ion)	
  
Fasteners	
  
FiAngs	
  
Gaskets	
  
Hoses	
  
Mercury	
  cadmium	
  thelluride	
  detectors	
  
Op8cal	
  solar	
  reflectors	
  
Photomul8pliers	
  
Pipes	
  
Poten8ometers	
  
Precision	
  ball	
  bearings	
  
Pressure	
  transducers	
  
Propellants:	
  Dinitrogen	
  Tetroxide	
  (MON-­‐3)	
  
Propellants:	
  Monomethylhydrazine	
  (MMH)	
  
Propellants:	
  Oxidizers	
  
Propellants:	
  Pressurants	
  
Readout	
  integrated	
  circuits	
  
Resistors	
  
Screws,	
  bolts,	
  and	
  rivets	
  
Solar	
  cell	
  cover	
  glass	
  
Thermal	
  blankets	
  
Thermal	
  insula8on	
  
Thermistors	
  
Transistors	
  
Wires/wire	
  harnesses	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  4	
  
Amplifiers	
  
Atmospheric	
  probes	
  
Balloons	
  
Ball	
  screws	
  
Clocks	
  
Communica8ons	
  feeds	
  
Communica8ons	
  panels	
  
Communica8ons	
  reflectors	
  
Comparators	
  
Converters	
  
Dust	
  meters	
  
Focal	
  plane	
  arrays	
  
Harmonic	
  drive	
  transmissions	
  
Hemispheric	
  resona8ng	
  gyros	
  (HRGs)	
  
Ion	
  counters	
  
Landing	
  bags	
  
Laser	
  resona8ng	
  gyros	
  (LRGs)	
  
Lidar	
  op8cal	
  sensors	
  
Momentum	
  wheels	
  
Momentum	
  wheels	
  plaVorms	
  
Non-­‐sensi8ve	
  structural	
  panels	
  
Op8cal	
  encoders	
  
Orbital	
  analysis	
  soXware	
  for	
  GEO	
  satellites	
  
Parachutes	
  
Passive	
  RF	
  filtering/coupling	
  devices	
  
Rate	
  sensors	
  
Reac8on	
  wheels	
  
Resolvers	
  
RF	
  transponder	
  chains	
  
Sensors	
  (pressure,	
  temperature,	
  etc)	
  
Slip	
  ring	
  assemblies	
  
Solar	
  cells	
  
Switches	
  
Torque	
  rods	
  
Transformers	
  
	
  
	
  
Travelling	
  wave	
  tubes	
  (TWT)	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  3	
  
Al8meters	
  
Antennas	
  
Beacon	
  tracking	
  and	
  ranging	
  systems	
  
Chemistry	
  analyzers	
  
Command	
  &	
  Control	
  Systems	
  
Command	
  receivers	
  and	
  telemetry	
  transmi[ers	
  
Commercial	
  encryp8on	
  devices	
  
Diaphragm	
  propellant	
  tanks	
  
Gamma	
  ray	
  telescopes	
  
Gimbal	
  assemblies	
  
GPS	
  receivers	
  
Heat	
  exchangers	
  
Heaters	
  	
  
Hold-­‐down	
  and	
  deployment	
  systems	
  
Interferometers	
  
Infrared	
  imagers	
  
Lithium	
  Ion	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Low-­‐thrust	
  propulsion	
  devices	
  and	
  components	
  
Magnetometers	
  
Microscopes	
  
Microwave	
  telescopes	
  
Mul8spectral	
  op8cal	
  sensors	
  
Nickel	
  cadmium	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Nickel	
  hydrogen	
  ba[eries	
  	
  
Non-­‐diaphragm	
  propellant	
  tanks	
  
On-­‐board	
  computers	
  
Op8cal	
  imagers/telescopes	
  (pan/hyper/mul8)	
  
Plasma	
  detectors	
  
Power	
  distribu8on	
  assemblies	
  
Power	
  regula8on	
  electronics	
  
Preamplifiers	
  
Pressurant	
  tanks	
  
Processors,	
  routers/hubs	
  for	
  data	
  distribu8on	
  
Radio	
  frequency	
  receivers	
  
Radiometers	
  
Sample	
  retrievers	
  
Solar	
  array	
  assemblies	
  
Spectrometers	
  
Spinner	
  motor	
  drivers	
  
Sta8onary	
  plasma	
  thrusters	
  
	
  
Scaleable	
  accuracy	
  star	
  trackers	
  
	
  
Sun	
  sensors	
  
	
  
Travelling	
  wave	
  tube	
  amplifiers	
  (TWTA)	
  
	
  
TTC&R	
  antennas	
  
Ultraviolet	
  telescopes	
  
X-­‐ray	
  telescopes	
  

Tier	
  2	
  
Power	
  
	
  
Propulsion	
  
	
  
Structure	
  
	
  
Thermal	
  
	
  
AAtude	
  control	
  
	
  
Telemetry	
  and	
  
command	
  

Tier	
  1	
  

Satellite	
  Bus	
  

Tier	
  5	
  

Satellite	
  

Satellite	
  Payload	
  
(Instrumenta8on)	
  

7
Topic 1: Overview of launch vehicle supply chain elements from
prime contractors to material suppliers

Alloys	
  
Ammonia	
  
Anodes	
  
Atmospheric	
  nitrogen	
  
Atmospheric	
  oxygen	
  
Capacitors	
  
Carbon	
  fillers	
  
Carbonized	
  cloth	
  
Cast	
  metal	
  parts	
  
Cathodes	
  
Coa8ngs	
  
Composite	
  material	
  
Couplings	
  
Diodes	
  
Electrolytes	
  (Li-­‐ion)	
  
Fasteners	
  
FiAngs	
  
Gaskets	
  
Hoses	
  
HTPB	
  
Methane	
  
Nano-­‐phase	
  metals	
  (Al,	
  etc.)	
  
Natural	
  gas	
  
Payload	
  clamp	
  bands	
  
Pipes	
  
Poten8ometers	
  
Precision	
  ball	
  bearings	
  
Rayon	
  
Resin	
  
Screws,	
  bolts,	
  and	
  rivets	
  
Sodium	
  perchlorate	
  or	
  chlorine	
  
Weave	
  cloth	
  
Wires/wire	
  harnesses	
  

Tier	
  4	
  
Accelerometers	
  
Ammonium	
  perchlorate	
  
Amplifiers	
  
Ball	
  screws	
  
Comparators	
  
Converters	
  
Engine	
  actuators	
  
Engine	
  filters	
  
Engine	
  gimbal	
  actuators	
  
Engine	
  gimbal	
  assemblies	
  
Engine	
  igniters	
  and	
  catalysts	
  
Engine	
  injectors	
  
Engine	
  sensors	
  
Engine	
  valves	
  
Fairing	
  separa8on	
  devices	
  
Hydraulic	
  reservoir	
  
Hydraulic	
  filters	
  
Hydraulic	
  quick	
  disconnects	
  
Hydraulic	
  accumulator	
  
Hydraulic	
  valves	
  
Hydraulic	
  system	
  electric	
  heaters	
  
Hydraulic	
  actuators	
  
Hydraulic	
  pump	
  
Hydraulic	
  flow	
  restrictor	
  
Hydraulic	
  connectors	
  
Hydraulic	
  plumbing	
  
Hydraulic	
  system	
  insula8on	
  
Hydraulic	
  water	
  spray	
  boiler	
  
GPS	
  receivers	
  
Gyroscopes	
  
Ini8ators	
  
Lithium-­‐ion	
  cells	
  
Nickel-­‐cadmium	
  cells	
  
Rayon-­‐carbon	
  cloth	
  phenolic	
  
Ring	
  laser	
  gyros	
  
Silver-­‐zinc	
  cells	
  
Stage	
  separa8on	
  devices	
  
Vehicle	
  sensors	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  3	
  

Liquid	
  rocket	
  engines	
  

Tier	
  5	
  

Airframes	
  
Auxiliary	
  power	
  units	
  
Ba[eries	
  
Computers	
  
Control	
  electronics	
  
Doors	
  and	
  panels	
  
Engine	
  combus8on	
  chambers	
  
Engine	
  controllers	
  
Engine	
  heat	
  exchangers	
  
Engine	
  manifolds	
  
Engine	
  nozzles	
  
Engine	
  preburners	
  
Engine	
  propellant	
  pumps	
  
Fairing	
  sec8ons	
  
Fairings	
  
Fins	
  
Flight	
  control	
  surfaces	
  
Flight	
  termina8on	
  systems	
  
Iner8al	
  flight	
  systems	
  
Interstages	
  
Landing	
  gears	
  
Moun8ng	
  structures	
  
Parachutes	
  
Pressurants	
  (N,	
  He,	
  etc.)	
  
Pressurant	
  tanks	
  
Propellant	
  tanks	
  
Propellant:	
  Fuel	
  (LH,	
  etc.)	
  
Propellant:	
  Oxidizers	
  (LOX,	
  etc.)	
  
Propellant:	
  Solid	
  (ammonium	
  perchlorate	
  
composite	
  propellant)	
  
Range	
  safety	
  systems	
  
Radar	
  al8meters	
  
Skirts	
  
Solid	
  motor	
  casings	
  
Star	
  trackers	
  
Telemetry	
  electronics	
  
Wings	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  2	
  

Tier	
  1	
  

Payload	
  fairing	
  
Payload	
  adapter	
  
Power	
  
Guidance,	
  naviga8on	
  and	
  
control	
  (GNC)	
  
Flight	
  controls	
  
Structures	
  

Propulsion	
  

8
Topic 1: Launch vehicles – Red and yellow risk areas in supply chain

Alloys	
  
Ammonia	
  
Anodes	
  
Atmospheric	
  nitrogen	
  
Atmospheric	
  oxygen	
  
Capacitors	
  
Carbon	
  fillers	
  
Carbonized	
  cloth	
  
Cast	
  metal	
  parts	
  
Cathodes	
  
Coa8ngs	
  
Composite	
  material	
  
Couplings	
  
Diodes	
  
Electrolytes	
  (Li-­‐ion)	
  
Fasteners	
  
FiAngs	
  
Gaskets	
  
Hoses	
  
HTPB	
  
Methane	
  
Nano-­‐phase	
  metals	
  (Al,	
  etc.)	
  
Natural	
  gas	
  
Payload	
  clamp	
  bands	
  
Pipes	
  
Poten8ometers	
  
Precision	
  ball	
  bearings	
  
Rayon	
  
Resin	
  
Screws,	
  bolts,	
  and	
  rivets	
  
Sodium	
  perchlorate	
  or	
  chlorine	
  
Weave	
  cloth	
  
Wires/wire	
  harnesses	
  

Tier	
  4	
  
Accelerometers	
  
Ammonium	
  perchlorate	
  
Amplifiers	
  
Ball	
  screws	
  
Comparators	
  
Converters	
  
Engine	
  actuators	
  
Engine	
  filters	
  
Engine	
  gimbal	
  actuators	
  
Engine	
  gimbal	
  assemblies	
  
Engine	
  igniters	
  and	
  catalysts	
  
Engine	
  injectors	
  
Engine	
  sensors	
  
Engine	
  valves	
  
Fairing	
  separa8on	
  devices	
  
Hydraulic	
  reservoir	
  
Hydraulic	
  filters	
  
Hydraulic	
  quick	
  disconnects	
  
Hydraulic	
  accumulator	
  
Hydraulic	
  valves	
  
Hydraulic	
  system	
  electric	
  heaters	
  
Hydraulic	
  actuators	
  
Hydraulic	
  pump	
  
Hydraulic	
  flow	
  restrictor	
  
Hydraulic	
  connectors	
  
Hydraulic	
  plumbing	
  
Hydraulic	
  system	
  insula8on	
  
Hydraulic	
  water	
  spray	
  boiler	
  
GPS	
  receivers	
  
Gyroscopes	
  
Ini8ators	
  
Lithium-­‐ion	
  cells	
  
Nickel-­‐cadmium	
  cells	
  
Rayon-­‐carbon	
  cloth	
  phenolic	
  
Ring	
  laser	
  gyros	
  
Silver-­‐zinc	
  cells	
  
Stage	
  separa8on	
  devices	
  
Vehicle	
  sensors	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  3	
  

Liquid	
  rocket	
  engines	
  

Tier	
  5	
  

Airframes	
  
Auxiliary	
  power	
  units	
  
Ba[eries	
  
Computers	
  
Control	
  electronics	
  
Doors	
  and	
  panels	
  
Engine	
  combus8on	
  chambers	
  
Engine	
  controllers	
  
Engine	
  heat	
  exchangers	
  
Engine	
  manifolds	
  
Engine	
  nozzles	
  
Engine	
  preburners	
  
Engine	
  propellant	
  pumps	
  
Fairing	
  sec8ons	
  
Fairings	
  
Fins	
  
Flight	
  control	
  surfaces	
  
Flight	
  termina8on	
  systems	
  
Iner8al	
  flight	
  systems	
  
Interstages	
  
Landing	
  gears	
  
Moun8ng	
  structures	
  
Parachutes	
  
Pressurants	
  (N,	
  He,	
  etc.)	
  
Pressurant	
  tanks	
  
Propellant	
  tanks	
  
Propellant:	
  Fuel	
  (LH,	
  etc.)	
  
Propellant:	
  Oxidizers	
  (LOX,	
  etc.)	
  
Propellant:	
  Solid	
  (ammonium	
  perchlorate	
  
composite	
  propellant)	
  
Range	
  safety	
  systems	
  
Radar	
  al8meters	
  
Skirts	
  
Solid	
  motor	
  casings	
  
Star	
  trackers	
  
Telemetry	
  electronics	
  
Wings	
  
	
  
	
  

Tier	
  2	
  

Tier	
  1	
  

Power	
  

Guidance,	
  
naviga8on	
  and	
  
control	
  (GNC)	
  

Flight	
  controls	
  

Launch	
  
vehicle	
  

Payload	
  fairing	
  

Payload	
  adapter	
  

Propulsion	
  

Structures	
  
9
Topic 2: Summary of space technology risk areas
ª Reviewed 135 companies that manufacture space hardware, focusing on 117 U.S.

companies that provide technologies identified as supply chain risks
ª There are 11 areas of high risk due to absence of U.S. suppliers or single U.S.
supplier
ª  6 were previously identified in reports and are or have been addressed under
Title III authority
ª  5 are newly identified
ª There are 17 areas at risk due to limited suppliers, suppliers with a potential to
create bottlenecks, those with workforce issues, and anticipated cost increases
ª  8 were previously identified in reports and are or have been addressed under
Title III authority
ª  9 are newly identified
ª  Workforce was rarely identified as a supply chain risk
ª  Over three-quarters of at risk technologies are due to limited number of U.S.
suppliers (2-3)

10
Executive Summary – Topic 2

Table of high risk (red) technologies
Technology

Satellite or
Launch Vehicle

Workforce
Sensitivities/
Bottlenecks

No U.S. Supplier

U.S. Sole
Suppliers

Optical solar reflectors*

SAT

U.S. stockpile;
one foreign
supplier

Solar cell cover glass*

SAT

U.S. stockpile;
one foreign
supplier

Space-qualified cadmium-zinc telluride
detectors*

SAT

V

Space-qualified harmonic drive
transmissions

SAT and LV

V

Space-qualified optical encoders

SAT and LV

V

Space-qualified potentiometers

SAT and LV

Space-qualified slip ring assemblies

SAT and LV

V

Space-qualified torque rods

SAT

V

Space-qualified travelling wave tubes*

SAT

V

Ammonium perchlorate (AP)*

LV

V

Rayon-based carbon cloth phenolic*

LV

Degree of
Diversification

*Technologies	
  previously	
  iden3fied	
  in	
  industrial	
  base	
  reports	
  and	
  surveys.	
  

Long lead
time

V

Stockpile
Reliant on space business
Significant space business
Significant non-space business

11
Executive Summary – Topic 2

Table of at risk (yellow) technologies
Technology
Precision ball bearings

Satellite or Launch
Vehicle

Constrained Competition
(<4 U.S. Suppliers)

Workforce Sensitivities/
Bottlenecks

SAT and LV

V

Long lead time

Cost Issues

High cost compared to
non-U.S. providers

Reaction wheels

SAT

Scaleable accuracy star trackers*

SAT

V

Space-qualified (SQ) ball screws

SAT and LV

V

SQ diodes*

SAT and LV

SQ focal plane arrays*

High cost compared to
non-U.S. providers
Long lead time

SAT

V

SQ GPS receivers

SAT and LV

V

SQ lithium-ion batteries*

SAT and LV

High cost compared to
non-U.S. providers
Insufficient U.S.-space-qualified
Li-ion processing

SQ mercury-cadmium telluride detectors*

SAT

V

SQ readout integrated circuits*

SAT

V

SAT and LV

V

SQ solar cells*

SAT

V

SQ transistors

SAT and LV

V

SQ resolvers

Sun sensors (type of optical imager)*

High cost compared to
non-U.S. providers

Long lead time
High cost compared to
non-U.S. providers

SAT

Liquid rocket engines

LV

V

Liquid rocket engine propellant pumps

LV
LV

Questions about future
costs after Shuttle

V

Metal powder for solid propellant

Workforce

V

12
*Technologies	
  previously	
  iden3fied	
  in	
  industrial	
  base	
  reports	
  and	
  surveys.	
  
Topic 3: Space supplier interdependencies
ª  Prime contractors for satellites and launch vehicles

depend on the same sole source supplier for components
ª  For satellites there are 8 single suppliers providing
components to a variety of buses and payloads
ª  For launch vehicles there is a single supplier for
ammonium perchlorate and no supplier of rayon-based
carbon cloth phenolic
ª  Four U.S. sole suppliers of space-qualified
components common to both satellites and launch
vehicles
ª  Launch facilities and test facilities are shared

13
Topic 4: Innovation and future design capabilities
ª  A complete look at this question was beyond the scope of this project.

Our analysis did result in several observations:
ª  Historically, R&D developments related to satellite manufacturing are
conveyed from DoD satellite projects to the commercial satellite sector
through the supply chain
ª 
ª 

DoD leads the commercial sector in innovation in areas such as imagery,
ruggedization, and miniaturization
The commercial sector leads in innovation in consumer-driven areas, such
as value-added services and hand-held devices

ª  Innovation in the launch vehicle sector is largely driven by process or

material improvements arising in the commercial sector (often nonspace commercial sector) rather than from DoD
ª  Lower tier companies have indicated that the U.S. Government and
Tier 1 companies are less willing to take risk on innovative or
unproven technologies

14
Topic 5: Supply chain working capital and investment capital
ª  Space sector less affected by the credit crunch and financial crisis than other industries

Space has historically been a less attractive investment for most equity firms
ª  Low margins
ª  Capital intensive
ª  Low industry growth
ª  Few consumer markets
ª  Less benefit for space from financial booms, less exposure to financial retractions
ª  Exception – commercial satellite services
ª  Working capital
ª  Asset-based (rather than cash-flow-based) financing is typical for space industry
ª  Credit crunch hit cash-flow businesses significantly harder
ª  Financing issues in various tiers
ª  No company specifically identified working capital, credit crunch, or financial crisis
as a concern
ª  Because Tier 1 and sometimes Tier 2 companies typically hold the government
prime contract, less money flows to the lower tiers when government budgets
tighten.
ª  Dynamics of contract relationships can be less favorable for lower tier companies
ª  Tier 1: very effective contracting offices; paid by the U.S. Government quickly
ª  Lower tier suppliers are more likely to have cash flow issues
ª  Possible working capital deficit for low tier suppliers
ª 

15
Topic 6: Relationships across military, civil, and commercial
interests
ª Satellites
ª 

Satellite manufacturers typically serve multiple markets
ª 
ª 
ª 

Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital Sciences manufacture military, civil, and commercial satellites
SS/Loral makes satellites for the commercial and civil sectors
ATK, Ball, and Northrop Grumman manufacture government civil and military satellites

Military, civil, and commercial satellites generally use the same standard buses
ª  Satellite instrumentation/payloads are differentiated across sectors, reflecting specialized
needs
ª  There are significant areas of cross-over usage of satellite services between sectors
ª  DoD purchases commercial communication satellite bandwidth
ª  Commercial users rely on DoD GPS satellites
ª  Of the 264 satellites and spacecraft made by major U.S. manufacturers and launched from
2001 to 2010, 132 (50%) were commercial, 59 (22%) government civil, and 73 (28%) military
ª Launch vehicles
ª  None of the U.S. launch vehicles are strictly for commercial launches
ª  The supply chain for U.S. launch vehicles is integrated; essentially the same
configurations are used for military, civil, and commercial launches (with the exception
of payload-specific elements)
ª  Of the 150 launches (2001-2010) by major U.S. launch providers (excluding NASAoperated Shuttle launches) 27 (18%) carried commercial payloads, 53 (35%)
government civil payloads, and 70 (47%) military payloads
ª  Space Shuttle retirement and the cancellation of the Constellation Program
ª  Department of Commerce and NASA extensively studied the effects of the above on
the supply chain
ª 

16
Topic 7: Globalization of space industry supply chain
Discuss the level of globalization among suppliers and potential suppliers in the space
sector. Highlight any especially desirable or undesirable features of globalization in this
sector.
Level of globalization of satellite and launch vehicle manufacturing
Military

MODERATE

MODERATE-HIGH

Military satellites almost
entirely U.S.-built. Exceptions
include cover glass and
optical solar reflectors made in
the U.K.; IHI Aerospace
(Japan) liquid apogee engine
on AEHF satellite.

Often, NASA satellites and
spacecraft will feature
collaborative systems with
Europe, Japan, and other
countries.

Payload electronics or entire payloads
are often made by European and/or
Japanese companies. U.S.-built satellite
buses provided for satellites primed by
European, and, historically, Canadian
and Japanese companies.

MODERATE
Launch Vehicle
Manufacturing

Commercial

LOW
Satellite
Manufacturing

Civil

MODERATE

MODERATE

Atlas V and Delta IV are used for military, civil, and commercial missions. Atlas V incorporates Russian
RD-180 engines and components from Europe. Delta IV incorporates engine valves from Japan and
components from Europe.
Minotaur has a few European
components.

Taurus XL and Pegasus (rarely used for military missions) incorporate
some non-U.S. components. Taurus II core stage built in Ukraine. Pegasus
and Taurus vehicles available for commercial missions.

Falcon 9 series almost entirely U.S.-built. New Athena may feature foreign-built parts.

17
Topic 7: Possible foreign components of a generic U.S. commercial
satellite
IHI Aerospace liquid apogee
engines (Japan)

QST optical solar reflectors
(UK)

Bus: Boeing, Lockheed Martin,
Orbital Sciences, SS/L
(USA)

Saft batteries
(France)

Fairchild/BAE or Teledyne/Dalsa focal
plane arrays (UK/Canada)

QST solar cell cover glass (UK)

Thomson/Meggitt ball screws (UK)

Thales Alenia payload
(France)

Only some U.S. satellites use
foreign components. Those
satellites that use foreign
components would typically use
the components listed here.

18
Topic 7: EELV foreign suppliers

RUAG fairing
(Switzerland)
RUAG payload clamp bands
(Switzerland)
CASA interstage structure
and adaptors (Spain)
SAAB payload adaptors
(Sweden)

Mitsubishi tank dome
development (Japan)

SNECMA nozzle extension
on RL10-B (France)
Saft lithium-ion batteries
(France)

RD AMROSS RD-180
(Russia-USA partnership)

Mitsubishi RS-68 propellant
valves (Japan)

Delta IV

Atlas V

19
Closing notes
ª  Prime contractors and second tier subcontractors noted that they are

frequently involved in space industrial base studies
ª  Companies in the lower tiers of the supply chain typically had not
participated in space industrial base studies and were eager to participate
ª  Study identified a number of lower tier sole source suppliers and areas of
limited competition across the space industrial base, including four U.S. sole
suppliers of space-qualified components common to both satellites and
launch vehicles
ª  There appears to be significant potential benefit from deeper study of lower
tiers and cross sector relationships

20
Contact information:
Carissa Christensen, Managing Partner
703-647-8070
carissa.christensen@taurigroup.com
The Tauri Group
6363 Walker Lane Suite 600
Alexandria, VA 22310
www.taurigroup.com

21
BACKUP SLIDES

22
Topic 8: Other factors to consider
ª  New companies in commercial spaceflight sector
ª  Private entrepreneurs with personal interest in space invest significant
capital in commercial spaceflight
ª 
ª 

ª 

ª 

NASA is providing funding for the development of crew and cargo
transportation capability to low Earth orbit. NASA has contracted for
commercial cargo services from some of these new companies, and
expects to purchase more services in the future, including crew
NASA s commercial cargo and crew development programs:
ª 
ª 

ª 

Both orbital and suborbital
Intent to use these vehicles for human spaceflight and research

Cargo: Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) and
Commercial ISS resupply (CRS)
Crew: Commercial Crew Development (CCDev)

DoD provides funding to some of these firms

ª  Hosted payloads
ª  Operationally Responsive Space (ORS)
ª  Nano-satellites and micro-satellites
23

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US industrial base_analysis_for_space_systems

  • 1. U.S. Industrial Base Analysis for Space Systems Defense Manufacturing Conference 2011, Anaheim, CA November 29, 2011
  • 2. Purpose ª  Quick turnaround assessment of space industrial base ª  ª  ª  ª  Customer: Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manufacturing and Industrial Base Policy This assessment is part of the initial phase of the sector-bysector tier-by-tier (S2T2) Department of Defense (DoD) assessment of the industrial base The initial phase of S2T2 covers 8 sectors The Tauri Group assessed the space sector ª  Objective was to provide greater insight into supply chain tiers of the space industrial base, particularly lower tiers and interdependencies ª  This briefing is a preliminary overview only – Final assessments will be issued by MIBP 2
  • 3. Eight study topics were specified ª  Topic 1 – U.S. space industry supply chain map ª  Topic 2 – U.S. space industry sole suppliers, potential ª  ª  ª  ª  ª  ª  bottlenecks, and workforce sensitivities Topic 3 – U.S. space industry supply chain interdependencies Topic 4 – U.S. space industry innovation and future design capabilities Topic 5 – U.S. space industry supply chain working capital and investment capital Topic 6 – U.S. space industry supply chain relationships across military, civil, and commercial interests Topic 7 – Globalization of space industry supply chain Topic 8 – Other factors to consider 3
  • 4. Methodology ª  Reviewed over fifty studies and relevant documents to identify risk ª  ª  ª  ª  ª  areas and issues in the supply chain, components in the tiers of the supply chain, and companies in risk areas Conducted approximately 90 targeted interviews Summarized previously identified supply chain concerns related to the space industrial base and identified new risk areas Researched major space manufacturers and companies associated with identified technology risk areas For each risk area, we identified suppliers, where the risk area was in the supply chain, and mapped the risk area to rest of the supply chain For suppliers in risk areas, we identified other lines of business that the company had and the degree of the company s diversification outside the space business 4
  • 5. Topic 1: Supply chain at risk categories ª  At Risk – Parts of the supply chain that are dependent on a sole ª  ª  ª  ª  supplier or constrained competition, may become bottlenecks, or have potential financial or workforce issues. Green – Multiple suppliers and suppliers that are financially healthy, have little or no potential to create bottlenecks, and have no workforce issues. Yellow – Constrained competition due to limited (fewer than four) number of suppliers, suppliers with a potential to create bottlenecks, and those with workforce issues. Red – Sole suppliers, suppliers with high potential to create bottlenecks, and those with significant workforce issues. Black – Suppliers that are bankrupt, exiting the market, or supplies are no longer available. 5
  • 6. Topic 1: Overview of satellite supply chain elements from prime contractors to material suppliers Alloys   Ammonia   Anodes   Atmospheric  nitrogen   Atmospheric  oxygen   Capacitors   Carbon  fillers   Carbonized  cloth   Cast  metal  parts   Cathodes   Coa8ngs   Composite  material   Couplings   Diodes   Electrolytes  (Li-­‐ion)   Fasteners   FiAngs   Gaskets   Hoses   HTPB   Methane   Nano-­‐phase  metals  (Al,  etc.)   Natural  gas   Pipes   Poten8ometers   Precision  ball  bearings   Rayon   Resin   Screws,  bolts,  and  rivets   Sodium  perchlorate  or  chlorine   Weave  cloth   Wires/wire  harnesses                         Tier  4   Atmospheric  probes   Balloons   Ball  screws   Communica8ons  feeds   Communica8ons  panels   Communica8ons  reflectors   Dust  meters   Focal  plane  arrays   Harmonic  drive  transmissions   Hemispheric  resona8ng  gyros  (HRGs)   Ion  counters   Landing  bags   Laser  resona8ng  gyros  (LRGs)   Lidar  op8cal  sensors   Momentum  wheels   Momentum  wheels  plaVorms   Non-­‐sensi8ve  structural  panels   Op8cal  encoders   Orbital  analysis  soXware  for  GEO  satellites   Parachutes   Passive  RF  filtering/coupling  devices   Rate  sensors   Reac8on  wheels   Resolvers   RF  transponder  chains   Sensors  (pressure,  temperature,  etc)   Slip  ring  assemblies   Solar  cells   Torque   Transformers   Travelling  wave  tubes  (TWT)       Tier  3   Al8meters   Antennas   Beacon  tracking  and  ranging  systems   Chemistry  analyzers   Clocks   Command  &  Control  Systems   Command  receivers  and  telemetry  transmi[ers   Commercial  encryp8on  devices   Diaphragm  propellant  tanks   Gamma  ray  telescopes   Gimbal  assemblies   GPS  receivers   Heat  exchangers   Heaters     Hold-­‐down  and  deployment  systems   Interferometers   Infrared  imagers   Lithium  Ion  ba[eries     Low-­‐thrust  propulsion  devices  and  components   Magnetometers   Microscopes   Microwave  telescopes   Mul8spectral  op8cal  sensors   Nickel  cadmium  ba[eries     Nickel  hydrogen  ba[eries     Non-­‐diaphragm  propellant  tanks   On-­‐board  computers   Op8cal  imagers/telescopes  (pan/hyper/mul8)   Plasma  detectors   Power  distribu8on  assemblies   Power  regula8on  electronics   Preamplifiers   Pressurant  tanks   Processors,  routers/hubs  for  data  distribu8on   Radio  frequency  receivers   Radiometers   Sample  retrievers   Solar  array  assemblies   Spectrometers   Spinner  motor  drivers   Sta8onary  plasma  thrusters   Star  trackers   Sun  sensors   Travelling  wave  tube  amplifiers  (TWTA)   TTC&R  antennas   Ultraviolet  telescopes   X-­‐ray  telescopes   Tier  2   Tier  1   Satellite   Satellite  Payload   (Instrumenta8on)   Subsystems:   Power   Propulsion   Structure   Thermal   A5tude  control   Telemetry  and  command   Satellite  Bus   Tier  5   6
  • 7. Topic 1: Satellites – Red and yellow risk areas in supply chain Alloys   Anodes   Cadmium  zinc  telluride  detectors   Capacitors   Cast  metal  parts   Cathodes   Coa8ngs   Composite  materials   Crystal  scin8llators   Couplings   Diodes     Electrolytes  (Li-­‐ion)   Fasteners   FiAngs   Gaskets   Hoses   Mercury  cadmium  thelluride  detectors   Op8cal  solar  reflectors   Photomul8pliers   Pipes   Poten8ometers   Precision  ball  bearings   Pressure  transducers   Propellants:  Dinitrogen  Tetroxide  (MON-­‐3)   Propellants:  Monomethylhydrazine  (MMH)   Propellants:  Oxidizers   Propellants:  Pressurants   Readout  integrated  circuits   Resistors   Screws,  bolts,  and  rivets   Solar  cell  cover  glass   Thermal  blankets   Thermal  insula8on   Thermistors   Transistors   Wires/wire  harnesses       Tier  4   Amplifiers   Atmospheric  probes   Balloons   Ball  screws   Clocks   Communica8ons  feeds   Communica8ons  panels   Communica8ons  reflectors   Comparators   Converters   Dust  meters   Focal  plane  arrays   Harmonic  drive  transmissions   Hemispheric  resona8ng  gyros  (HRGs)   Ion  counters   Landing  bags   Laser  resona8ng  gyros  (LRGs)   Lidar  op8cal  sensors   Momentum  wheels   Momentum  wheels  plaVorms   Non-­‐sensi8ve  structural  panels   Op8cal  encoders   Orbital  analysis  soXware  for  GEO  satellites   Parachutes   Passive  RF  filtering/coupling  devices   Rate  sensors   Reac8on  wheels   Resolvers   RF  transponder  chains   Sensors  (pressure,  temperature,  etc)   Slip  ring  assemblies   Solar  cells   Switches   Torque  rods   Transformers       Travelling  wave  tubes  (TWT)       Tier  3   Al8meters   Antennas   Beacon  tracking  and  ranging  systems   Chemistry  analyzers   Command  &  Control  Systems   Command  receivers  and  telemetry  transmi[ers   Commercial  encryp8on  devices   Diaphragm  propellant  tanks   Gamma  ray  telescopes   Gimbal  assemblies   GPS  receivers   Heat  exchangers   Heaters     Hold-­‐down  and  deployment  systems   Interferometers   Infrared  imagers   Lithium  Ion  ba[eries     Low-­‐thrust  propulsion  devices  and  components   Magnetometers   Microscopes   Microwave  telescopes   Mul8spectral  op8cal  sensors   Nickel  cadmium  ba[eries     Nickel  hydrogen  ba[eries     Non-­‐diaphragm  propellant  tanks   On-­‐board  computers   Op8cal  imagers/telescopes  (pan/hyper/mul8)   Plasma  detectors   Power  distribu8on  assemblies   Power  regula8on  electronics   Preamplifiers   Pressurant  tanks   Processors,  routers/hubs  for  data  distribu8on   Radio  frequency  receivers   Radiometers   Sample  retrievers   Solar  array  assemblies   Spectrometers   Spinner  motor  drivers   Sta8onary  plasma  thrusters     Scaleable  accuracy  star  trackers     Sun  sensors     Travelling  wave  tube  amplifiers  (TWTA)     TTC&R  antennas   Ultraviolet  telescopes   X-­‐ray  telescopes   Tier  2   Power     Propulsion     Structure     Thermal     AAtude  control     Telemetry  and   command   Tier  1   Satellite  Bus   Tier  5   Satellite   Satellite  Payload   (Instrumenta8on)   7
  • 8. Topic 1: Overview of launch vehicle supply chain elements from prime contractors to material suppliers Alloys   Ammonia   Anodes   Atmospheric  nitrogen   Atmospheric  oxygen   Capacitors   Carbon  fillers   Carbonized  cloth   Cast  metal  parts   Cathodes   Coa8ngs   Composite  material   Couplings   Diodes   Electrolytes  (Li-­‐ion)   Fasteners   FiAngs   Gaskets   Hoses   HTPB   Methane   Nano-­‐phase  metals  (Al,  etc.)   Natural  gas   Payload  clamp  bands   Pipes   Poten8ometers   Precision  ball  bearings   Rayon   Resin   Screws,  bolts,  and  rivets   Sodium  perchlorate  or  chlorine   Weave  cloth   Wires/wire  harnesses   Tier  4   Accelerometers   Ammonium  perchlorate   Amplifiers   Ball  screws   Comparators   Converters   Engine  actuators   Engine  filters   Engine  gimbal  actuators   Engine  gimbal  assemblies   Engine  igniters  and  catalysts   Engine  injectors   Engine  sensors   Engine  valves   Fairing  separa8on  devices   Hydraulic  reservoir   Hydraulic  filters   Hydraulic  quick  disconnects   Hydraulic  accumulator   Hydraulic  valves   Hydraulic  system  electric  heaters   Hydraulic  actuators   Hydraulic  pump   Hydraulic  flow  restrictor   Hydraulic  connectors   Hydraulic  plumbing   Hydraulic  system  insula8on   Hydraulic  water  spray  boiler   GPS  receivers   Gyroscopes   Ini8ators   Lithium-­‐ion  cells   Nickel-­‐cadmium  cells   Rayon-­‐carbon  cloth  phenolic   Ring  laser  gyros   Silver-­‐zinc  cells   Stage  separa8on  devices   Vehicle  sensors             Tier  3   Liquid  rocket  engines   Tier  5   Airframes   Auxiliary  power  units   Ba[eries   Computers   Control  electronics   Doors  and  panels   Engine  combus8on  chambers   Engine  controllers   Engine  heat  exchangers   Engine  manifolds   Engine  nozzles   Engine  preburners   Engine  propellant  pumps   Fairing  sec8ons   Fairings   Fins   Flight  control  surfaces   Flight  termina8on  systems   Iner8al  flight  systems   Interstages   Landing  gears   Moun8ng  structures   Parachutes   Pressurants  (N,  He,  etc.)   Pressurant  tanks   Propellant  tanks   Propellant:  Fuel  (LH,  etc.)   Propellant:  Oxidizers  (LOX,  etc.)   Propellant:  Solid  (ammonium  perchlorate   composite  propellant)   Range  safety  systems   Radar  al8meters   Skirts   Solid  motor  casings   Star  trackers   Telemetry  electronics   Wings       Tier  2   Tier  1   Payload  fairing   Payload  adapter   Power   Guidance,  naviga8on  and   control  (GNC)   Flight  controls   Structures   Propulsion   8
  • 9. Topic 1: Launch vehicles – Red and yellow risk areas in supply chain Alloys   Ammonia   Anodes   Atmospheric  nitrogen   Atmospheric  oxygen   Capacitors   Carbon  fillers   Carbonized  cloth   Cast  metal  parts   Cathodes   Coa8ngs   Composite  material   Couplings   Diodes   Electrolytes  (Li-­‐ion)   Fasteners   FiAngs   Gaskets   Hoses   HTPB   Methane   Nano-­‐phase  metals  (Al,  etc.)   Natural  gas   Payload  clamp  bands   Pipes   Poten8ometers   Precision  ball  bearings   Rayon   Resin   Screws,  bolts,  and  rivets   Sodium  perchlorate  or  chlorine   Weave  cloth   Wires/wire  harnesses   Tier  4   Accelerometers   Ammonium  perchlorate   Amplifiers   Ball  screws   Comparators   Converters   Engine  actuators   Engine  filters   Engine  gimbal  actuators   Engine  gimbal  assemblies   Engine  igniters  and  catalysts   Engine  injectors   Engine  sensors   Engine  valves   Fairing  separa8on  devices   Hydraulic  reservoir   Hydraulic  filters   Hydraulic  quick  disconnects   Hydraulic  accumulator   Hydraulic  valves   Hydraulic  system  electric  heaters   Hydraulic  actuators   Hydraulic  pump   Hydraulic  flow  restrictor   Hydraulic  connectors   Hydraulic  plumbing   Hydraulic  system  insula8on   Hydraulic  water  spray  boiler   GPS  receivers   Gyroscopes   Ini8ators   Lithium-­‐ion  cells   Nickel-­‐cadmium  cells   Rayon-­‐carbon  cloth  phenolic   Ring  laser  gyros   Silver-­‐zinc  cells   Stage  separa8on  devices   Vehicle  sensors             Tier  3   Liquid  rocket  engines   Tier  5   Airframes   Auxiliary  power  units   Ba[eries   Computers   Control  electronics   Doors  and  panels   Engine  combus8on  chambers   Engine  controllers   Engine  heat  exchangers   Engine  manifolds   Engine  nozzles   Engine  preburners   Engine  propellant  pumps   Fairing  sec8ons   Fairings   Fins   Flight  control  surfaces   Flight  termina8on  systems   Iner8al  flight  systems   Interstages   Landing  gears   Moun8ng  structures   Parachutes   Pressurants  (N,  He,  etc.)   Pressurant  tanks   Propellant  tanks   Propellant:  Fuel  (LH,  etc.)   Propellant:  Oxidizers  (LOX,  etc.)   Propellant:  Solid  (ammonium  perchlorate   composite  propellant)   Range  safety  systems   Radar  al8meters   Skirts   Solid  motor  casings   Star  trackers   Telemetry  electronics   Wings       Tier  2   Tier  1   Power   Guidance,   naviga8on  and   control  (GNC)   Flight  controls   Launch   vehicle   Payload  fairing   Payload  adapter   Propulsion   Structures   9
  • 10. Topic 2: Summary of space technology risk areas ª Reviewed 135 companies that manufacture space hardware, focusing on 117 U.S. companies that provide technologies identified as supply chain risks ª There are 11 areas of high risk due to absence of U.S. suppliers or single U.S. supplier ª  6 were previously identified in reports and are or have been addressed under Title III authority ª  5 are newly identified ª There are 17 areas at risk due to limited suppliers, suppliers with a potential to create bottlenecks, those with workforce issues, and anticipated cost increases ª  8 were previously identified in reports and are or have been addressed under Title III authority ª  9 are newly identified ª  Workforce was rarely identified as a supply chain risk ª  Over three-quarters of at risk technologies are due to limited number of U.S. suppliers (2-3) 10
  • 11. Executive Summary – Topic 2 Table of high risk (red) technologies Technology Satellite or Launch Vehicle Workforce Sensitivities/ Bottlenecks No U.S. Supplier U.S. Sole Suppliers Optical solar reflectors* SAT U.S. stockpile; one foreign supplier Solar cell cover glass* SAT U.S. stockpile; one foreign supplier Space-qualified cadmium-zinc telluride detectors* SAT V Space-qualified harmonic drive transmissions SAT and LV V Space-qualified optical encoders SAT and LV V Space-qualified potentiometers SAT and LV Space-qualified slip ring assemblies SAT and LV V Space-qualified torque rods SAT V Space-qualified travelling wave tubes* SAT V Ammonium perchlorate (AP)* LV V Rayon-based carbon cloth phenolic* LV Degree of Diversification *Technologies  previously  iden3fied  in  industrial  base  reports  and  surveys.   Long lead time V Stockpile Reliant on space business Significant space business Significant non-space business 11
  • 12. Executive Summary – Topic 2 Table of at risk (yellow) technologies Technology Precision ball bearings Satellite or Launch Vehicle Constrained Competition (<4 U.S. Suppliers) Workforce Sensitivities/ Bottlenecks SAT and LV V Long lead time Cost Issues High cost compared to non-U.S. providers Reaction wheels SAT Scaleable accuracy star trackers* SAT V Space-qualified (SQ) ball screws SAT and LV V SQ diodes* SAT and LV SQ focal plane arrays* High cost compared to non-U.S. providers Long lead time SAT V SQ GPS receivers SAT and LV V SQ lithium-ion batteries* SAT and LV High cost compared to non-U.S. providers Insufficient U.S.-space-qualified Li-ion processing SQ mercury-cadmium telluride detectors* SAT V SQ readout integrated circuits* SAT V SAT and LV V SQ solar cells* SAT V SQ transistors SAT and LV V SQ resolvers Sun sensors (type of optical imager)* High cost compared to non-U.S. providers Long lead time High cost compared to non-U.S. providers SAT Liquid rocket engines LV V Liquid rocket engine propellant pumps LV LV Questions about future costs after Shuttle V Metal powder for solid propellant Workforce V 12 *Technologies  previously  iden3fied  in  industrial  base  reports  and  surveys.  
  • 13. Topic 3: Space supplier interdependencies ª  Prime contractors for satellites and launch vehicles depend on the same sole source supplier for components ª  For satellites there are 8 single suppliers providing components to a variety of buses and payloads ª  For launch vehicles there is a single supplier for ammonium perchlorate and no supplier of rayon-based carbon cloth phenolic ª  Four U.S. sole suppliers of space-qualified components common to both satellites and launch vehicles ª  Launch facilities and test facilities are shared 13
  • 14. Topic 4: Innovation and future design capabilities ª  A complete look at this question was beyond the scope of this project. Our analysis did result in several observations: ª  Historically, R&D developments related to satellite manufacturing are conveyed from DoD satellite projects to the commercial satellite sector through the supply chain ª  ª  DoD leads the commercial sector in innovation in areas such as imagery, ruggedization, and miniaturization The commercial sector leads in innovation in consumer-driven areas, such as value-added services and hand-held devices ª  Innovation in the launch vehicle sector is largely driven by process or material improvements arising in the commercial sector (often nonspace commercial sector) rather than from DoD ª  Lower tier companies have indicated that the U.S. Government and Tier 1 companies are less willing to take risk on innovative or unproven technologies 14
  • 15. Topic 5: Supply chain working capital and investment capital ª  Space sector less affected by the credit crunch and financial crisis than other industries Space has historically been a less attractive investment for most equity firms ª  Low margins ª  Capital intensive ª  Low industry growth ª  Few consumer markets ª  Less benefit for space from financial booms, less exposure to financial retractions ª  Exception – commercial satellite services ª  Working capital ª  Asset-based (rather than cash-flow-based) financing is typical for space industry ª  Credit crunch hit cash-flow businesses significantly harder ª  Financing issues in various tiers ª  No company specifically identified working capital, credit crunch, or financial crisis as a concern ª  Because Tier 1 and sometimes Tier 2 companies typically hold the government prime contract, less money flows to the lower tiers when government budgets tighten. ª  Dynamics of contract relationships can be less favorable for lower tier companies ª  Tier 1: very effective contracting offices; paid by the U.S. Government quickly ª  Lower tier suppliers are more likely to have cash flow issues ª  Possible working capital deficit for low tier suppliers ª  15
  • 16. Topic 6: Relationships across military, civil, and commercial interests ª Satellites ª  Satellite manufacturers typically serve multiple markets ª  ª  ª  Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital Sciences manufacture military, civil, and commercial satellites SS/Loral makes satellites for the commercial and civil sectors ATK, Ball, and Northrop Grumman manufacture government civil and military satellites Military, civil, and commercial satellites generally use the same standard buses ª  Satellite instrumentation/payloads are differentiated across sectors, reflecting specialized needs ª  There are significant areas of cross-over usage of satellite services between sectors ª  DoD purchases commercial communication satellite bandwidth ª  Commercial users rely on DoD GPS satellites ª  Of the 264 satellites and spacecraft made by major U.S. manufacturers and launched from 2001 to 2010, 132 (50%) were commercial, 59 (22%) government civil, and 73 (28%) military ª Launch vehicles ª  None of the U.S. launch vehicles are strictly for commercial launches ª  The supply chain for U.S. launch vehicles is integrated; essentially the same configurations are used for military, civil, and commercial launches (with the exception of payload-specific elements) ª  Of the 150 launches (2001-2010) by major U.S. launch providers (excluding NASAoperated Shuttle launches) 27 (18%) carried commercial payloads, 53 (35%) government civil payloads, and 70 (47%) military payloads ª  Space Shuttle retirement and the cancellation of the Constellation Program ª  Department of Commerce and NASA extensively studied the effects of the above on the supply chain ª  16
  • 17. Topic 7: Globalization of space industry supply chain Discuss the level of globalization among suppliers and potential suppliers in the space sector. Highlight any especially desirable or undesirable features of globalization in this sector. Level of globalization of satellite and launch vehicle manufacturing Military MODERATE MODERATE-HIGH Military satellites almost entirely U.S.-built. Exceptions include cover glass and optical solar reflectors made in the U.K.; IHI Aerospace (Japan) liquid apogee engine on AEHF satellite. Often, NASA satellites and spacecraft will feature collaborative systems with Europe, Japan, and other countries. Payload electronics or entire payloads are often made by European and/or Japanese companies. U.S.-built satellite buses provided for satellites primed by European, and, historically, Canadian and Japanese companies. MODERATE Launch Vehicle Manufacturing Commercial LOW Satellite Manufacturing Civil MODERATE MODERATE Atlas V and Delta IV are used for military, civil, and commercial missions. Atlas V incorporates Russian RD-180 engines and components from Europe. Delta IV incorporates engine valves from Japan and components from Europe. Minotaur has a few European components. Taurus XL and Pegasus (rarely used for military missions) incorporate some non-U.S. components. Taurus II core stage built in Ukraine. Pegasus and Taurus vehicles available for commercial missions. Falcon 9 series almost entirely U.S.-built. New Athena may feature foreign-built parts. 17
  • 18. Topic 7: Possible foreign components of a generic U.S. commercial satellite IHI Aerospace liquid apogee engines (Japan) QST optical solar reflectors (UK) Bus: Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital Sciences, SS/L (USA) Saft batteries (France) Fairchild/BAE or Teledyne/Dalsa focal plane arrays (UK/Canada) QST solar cell cover glass (UK) Thomson/Meggitt ball screws (UK) Thales Alenia payload (France) Only some U.S. satellites use foreign components. Those satellites that use foreign components would typically use the components listed here. 18
  • 19. Topic 7: EELV foreign suppliers RUAG fairing (Switzerland) RUAG payload clamp bands (Switzerland) CASA interstage structure and adaptors (Spain) SAAB payload adaptors (Sweden) Mitsubishi tank dome development (Japan) SNECMA nozzle extension on RL10-B (France) Saft lithium-ion batteries (France) RD AMROSS RD-180 (Russia-USA partnership) Mitsubishi RS-68 propellant valves (Japan) Delta IV Atlas V 19
  • 20. Closing notes ª  Prime contractors and second tier subcontractors noted that they are frequently involved in space industrial base studies ª  Companies in the lower tiers of the supply chain typically had not participated in space industrial base studies and were eager to participate ª  Study identified a number of lower tier sole source suppliers and areas of limited competition across the space industrial base, including four U.S. sole suppliers of space-qualified components common to both satellites and launch vehicles ª  There appears to be significant potential benefit from deeper study of lower tiers and cross sector relationships 20
  • 21. Contact information: Carissa Christensen, Managing Partner 703-647-8070 carissa.christensen@taurigroup.com The Tauri Group 6363 Walker Lane Suite 600 Alexandria, VA 22310 www.taurigroup.com 21
  • 23. Topic 8: Other factors to consider ª  New companies in commercial spaceflight sector ª  Private entrepreneurs with personal interest in space invest significant capital in commercial spaceflight ª  ª  ª  ª  NASA is providing funding for the development of crew and cargo transportation capability to low Earth orbit. NASA has contracted for commercial cargo services from some of these new companies, and expects to purchase more services in the future, including crew NASA s commercial cargo and crew development programs: ª  ª  ª  Both orbital and suborbital Intent to use these vehicles for human spaceflight and research Cargo: Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) and Commercial ISS resupply (CRS) Crew: Commercial Crew Development (CCDev) DoD provides funding to some of these firms ª  Hosted payloads ª  Operationally Responsive Space (ORS) ª  Nano-satellites and micro-satellites 23