Weather Outlook
2014
S. Elwynn Taylor
Agronomist, Extension Climatologist
Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa
setaylor@iasta...
http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/wobbly-polar-vortex-triggers-extreme-cold-air-outbreak
http://www.clima...
La Nina : Extremes
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/season.JFM.nao.gif
123.4
2004 - 9
158.8
( Extremes Average Above Below)169?
Profit in Ag
Know what is going on
Manage the Risk
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00$perbushel
Season-average Price Cost per Bushel
Corn Price...
Soy Prices vs. Costs
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
$perbushel
Season-average...
•
Past 2 Weeks
High risk Moderate High
Climate RISK in Agriculture is likely
to be greater during the
next 20 years
stable period 2 stable period 3 stable period 4
137
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014
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Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014

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Weather Outlook 2014 - Dr. Elwynn Taylor, Iowa State University, from the 2014 World Pork Expo, June 4 - 6, 2014, Des Moines, IA, USA.

More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2014-world-pork-expo

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  • http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/polar-vortex-brings-cold-here-and-there-not-everywhere
  • 2004—9 was the 1st event I know of where US corn yielded above trend for 6 consecutive years (in Canada, Montana, Washington 6 years of below trend ag production. Then came the 2nd strongest La Nina in history.
  • Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014

    1. 1. Weather Outlook 2014 S. Elwynn Taylor Agronomist, Extension Climatologist Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa setaylor@iastate.edu
    2. 2. http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/wobbly-polar-vortex-triggers-extreme-cold-air-outbreak http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/polar-vortex-brings-cold-here-and-there-not-everywhere
    3. 3. La Nina : Extremes
    4. 4. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/season.JFM.nao.gif
    5. 5. 123.4 2004 - 9 158.8 ( Extremes Average Above Below)169?
    6. 6. Profit in Ag Know what is going on Manage the Risk
    7. 7. 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00$perbushel Season-average Price Cost per Bushel Corn Price vs Cost •
    8. 8. Soy Prices vs. Costs 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 $perbushel Season-average Price Cost per Bushel Chad E HartLow yield year
    9. 9.
    10. 10. Past 2 Weeks
    11. 11. High risk Moderate High
    12. 12. Climate RISK in Agriculture is likely to be greater during the next 20 years
    13. 13. stable period 2 stable period 3 stable period 4 137

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