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Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014

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Weather Outlook 2014 - Dr. Elwynn Taylor, Iowa State University, from the 2014 World Pork Expo, June 4 - 6, 2014, Des Moines, IA, USA. ...

Weather Outlook 2014 - Dr. Elwynn Taylor, Iowa State University, from the 2014 World Pork Expo, June 4 - 6, 2014, Des Moines, IA, USA.

More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2014-world-pork-expo

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  • http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/polar-vortex-brings-cold-here-and-there-not-everywhere
  • 2004—9 was the 1st event I know of where US corn yielded above trend for 6 consecutive years (in Canada, Montana, Washington 6 years of below trend ag production. Then came the 2nd strongest La Nina in history.

Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014 Dr. Elwynn Taylor - Weather Outlook 2014 Presentation Transcript

  • Weather Outlook 2014 S. Elwynn Taylor Agronomist, Extension Climatologist Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa setaylor@iastate.edu
  • http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/wobbly-polar-vortex-triggers-extreme-cold-air-outbreak http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/polar-vortex-brings-cold-here-and-there-not-everywhere
  • La Nina : Extremes
  • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/season.JFM.nao.gif
  • 123.4 2004 - 9 158.8 ( Extremes Average Above Below)169?
  • Profit in Ag Know what is going on Manage the Risk
  • 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00$perbushel Season-average Price Cost per Bushel Corn Price vs Cost •
  • Soy Prices vs. Costs 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 $perbushel Season-average Price Cost per Bushel Chad E HartLow yield year
  • Past 2 Weeks
  • High risk Moderate High
  • Climate RISK in Agriculture is likely to be greater during the next 20 years
  • stable period 2 stable period 3 stable period 4 137