Dr. Dale Polson - "Golden Rule" PRRS Control

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    Dr. Dale Polson - "Golden Rule" PRRS Control - Presentation Transcript

    1. “Golden Rule” PRRS Control Dale Polson
    2. Area/System-Level PRRS Management If PRRSv really costs us $560,000,000 to $700,000,000 per year, maybe it’s well worth it to us all to actively work together using all the weapons we have available today to manage it in a coordinated collaborative effort.
    3. The Questions… • Why do PRRS-negative farms go positive? • Why do PRRS-positive farms break again and again?
    4. Why do negative farms go positive? 60% of PRRS-naïve farms in this study got infected within 3 years…
    5. Why do positive farms break… …again & again?
    6. The question in COMMON: Where do the other PRRS viruses that already exist and that you don’t currently have (and don’t want) come from?
    7. The question UN-common: Where do the NEW (different) PRRS virus variants (that don’t yet exist) come from?
    8. PRRSv
    9. Area/System-Level PRRS Management New PRRSv Variants: Growing Pigs?
    10. Area/System-Level PRRS Management WT3 WT1 WT2 WT99
    11. Area/System-Level PRRS Management New PRRSv Variants: Farrowing?
    12. Farm X Farm Y WT(x) ORF5 WT(y) ORF5 sequence sequence heterology over heterology over 9 months -vs- 12 months -vs- WT(x) INDEX WT(y) INDEX virus virus % ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index) WT- % ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index) WT-
    13. PRRS is messy…
    14. …and expensive.
    15. So, we give up…right?
    16. Golden Rule PRRS Control: Collaborating on the support, implementation & execution of Area- Regional PRRS Control
    17. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Basis for the Area-Regional Control (ARC) of PRRSv
    18. The Golden Rule “Do unto your neighbor as you would have your neighbor do unto you.”
    19. The Golden Rule (applied to PRRS) “Transmit unto your neighbor as you would have your neighbor transmit unto you.”
    20. PRRS is something… …no one wants to get from their neighbor. …no one wants to give to their neighbor.
    21. PRRS is also something… …those currently without it are at risk of getting. …those currently with it are at risk of spreading.
    22. Area/System-Level PRRS Management ARC: Background & Overview
    23. The Stockdale Paradox: Confront the brutal facts, Vice Admiral James Bond Stockdale but never give up.
    24. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #1: Complementary and coordinated methods which, applied together, target reduction of wild-type virus circulation within and among sites, pigflows and networks are essential for effective management of PRRS within and among areas/regions…
    25. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #2: The most effective utilization of these methods requires a higher degree of communication, cooperation, coordination, and collaboration than is the norm across our industry…
    26. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #3: The necessary broad acceptance and widely-supported level of PRRS ARC will not be achieved via traditional experimental research alone; but will require a body of evidence and track record of success via multiple proof-of- concept field-based pilot projects.
    27. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Goals • Growing Pigs – Improve pig performance (direct) • Mortality, culls, gain, conversion, treatment cost – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new variant emergence (indirect) • Breeding Herds – Reduce clinical episode… (direct) • Frequency (break interval, breaks per ‘X’ years) • Duration & magnitude (time-to-negative-pigs) – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new variant emergence (indirect)
    28. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Purpose Understand how PRRS moves & changes among herds within and among areas/regions, as well as across flows/networks, in order to develop & execute optimally effective coordinated, collaborative management plans.
    29. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Objectives • To identify factors associated with the spread of PRRS virus in areas/regions as well as across flows/networks • To determine the genetic variation of PRRS viruses within areas/regions and to compare these to neighboring areas / regions whose operational networks overlap / cross-over • To recommend strategies that will reduce the spread of PRRS virus among farm sites/flows/networks and areas/regions and that may be used in a PRRS virus control (ultimately elimination) program
    30. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Objectives • To improve communication within and between ARC Working Groups and allied supportive groups by sharing knowledge and resources • To share knowledge and to avoid duplication of effort & resources through collaboration with industry partners and businesses • To facilitate adoption of available technologies • To develop a template for addressing other industry health issues • To set up a feedback mechanism to evaluate and adjust the course of action
    31. Area/System-Level PRRS Management ARC Projects should… …have a standardized, readily executed plan (to achieve acceptance, support & compliance) – Activity outline & schedule – Metrics & measurement – Milestones & contingencies …enable objective evaluation of potential new intervention methods, thus fostering agreement on optimal intervention methods (“best practices”) …generate relatively consistent & sustainable results …be financially beneficial (meets/exceeds required B:C & ROI)
    32. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Effective area control requires a well designed plan & coordinated execution.
    33. Area/System-Level PRRS Management
    34. Area/System-Level PRRS Management A Swine PRRS Management Model Start Positive (+ clinical) Negative (naïve) achieve stability... achieve stability... new disease introduction undesired circulation Stabilize Eliminate Prevent PRRS PRRS Positive Naïve
    35. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Effective area control requires a full arsenal of weapons & people who all commit to using them right.
    36. Area/System-Level PRRS Management
    37. Area/System-Level PRRS Management • PRRS Management Best Practices – Protocols, Procedures & Compliance ARC • Risk Assessment – External introduction risks (i.e., biosecurity) Arsenal – Internal circulation risks (e.g., flow & sanitation) • Exposure Management – At an operational level (Site – Flow – Network) – At a proximity level (Neighborhood – Area – Region) • Immune Management – Target population, Timing & Tool(s) – Replacements & Breeding Herd –vs– Growing Pigs • Measurement & Data Management – Case Definition, Terms & Site/Flow Categorization Standards – Sampling, Testing, Interpretation & Classification Standards – Data & Information Management Tools & Databases
    38. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Weapon: Risk Assessment
    39. Area/System-Level PRRS Management 0.71 0.66 0.41 0.33 • 2008 0.66 0.33
    40. Area/System-Level PRRS Management A broader application… • Potential use in regional or national PRRSv elimination efforts… – Define geographical, and/or operational, boundaries for regional control (elimination) projects based on the risk profile of sites within and near the boundaries. – Define standard practices or management changes based on risk profiles following successful eradication of individual sites. – Identify specific risk factors that must be eliminated before single site or regional eradication efforts begin.
    41. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Weapon: Immunization
    42. Summary of qPCR data PRRS vaccination- heterologous challenge study in growing pigs. Percent Challenge Wild-Type PCR Positive qPCR Log Titer of Wild-Type PCR Positives
    43. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Growing Pigs: PRRSv Monitoring
    44. Area/System-Level PRRS Management
    45. Area/System-Level PRRS Management
    46. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Growing Pigs: Performance
    47. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Percent Marketed (ofPROCESS Xbar-R Chart of RATE by weaned) 1 2 0.96 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts U C L=0.9470 _ _ 1 0.92 1 1 X=0.9235 Sample M ean LC L=0.9001 1 0.88 0.84 1 1 1 1 0.80 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st mktg project impacted pigs 1 1 2 0.16 1 1 Sample Range 0.12 U C L=0.0974 0.08 _ R=0.0486 0.04 0.00 LC L=0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
    48. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Nursery Average-Daily-by NURchg hd/da) Xbar-R Chart of NUR Gain (lb/ 1 2 1 1.0 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts Nursery bubble depop effect Sample M ean 0.9 _ C L=0.8912 U _ 1 1 X=0.8559 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LC L=0.8206 0.8 0.7 1 1 1 1 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st project impacted pigs 1 2 1 0.3 Sample Range 0.2 1 0.1 U C L=0.0613 _ R=0.0188 0.0 1 LC L=0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
    49. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Finisher Average-Daily-by FINchg hd/da) Xbar-R Chart of FIN Gain (lb/ 1 2 2.25 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts U C L=2.1939 1 2.10 Sample M ean _ _ X=2.0008 1 1.95 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.80 LC L=1.8078 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st mktg project impacted pigs 1 2 U C L=0.3415 1 0.3 Sample Range 0.2 _ R=0.1832 0.1 LC L=0.0249 0.0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
    50. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Breeding Herds: PRRSv Monitoring
    51. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Area B: estimated time- to-negative weaned pigs
    52. Area/System-Level PRRS Management ARC: Learnings
    53. Area/System-Level PRRS Management • An area-level PRRSv management plan can be successful, given: – Inclusion of all necessary elements targeting… • Exposure & circulation management • Immune management – Appropriate monitoring & measurement • Sampling-testing-characterization of system PRRSv’s – Commited, coordinated, consistent & persistent execution
    54. The Stockdale Paradox: Confront the brutal facts, Vice Admiral James Bond Stockdale but never give up.
    55. Area/System-Level PRRS Management If PRRSv really costs us $560,000,000 to $700,000,000 per year, maybe it’s well worth it to us all to actively work together using all the weapons we have available today to manage it in a coordinated collaborative effort.
    56. Thank you… Questions?
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