• Share
  • Email
  • Embed
  • Like
  • Save
  • Private Content
July 2012-national-poll1
 

July 2012-national-poll1

on

  • 350 views

 

Statistics

Views

Total Views
350
Views on SlideShare
339
Embed Views
11

Actions

Likes
0
Downloads
0
Comments
0

1 Embed 11

http://www.theisraelproject.org 11

Accessibility

Categories

Upload Details

Uploaded via as Adobe PDF

Usage Rights

© All Rights Reserved

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Processing…
Post Comment
Edit your comment

    July 2012-national-poll1 July 2012-national-poll1 Presentation Transcript

    • 2 Methodology On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of N=800 likely voters. The survey was administered by phone and was conducted July 18-19, 21-22, 2012. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46%.
    • 4 61% 71% 69% 59% 66% 58% 44% 63% 60%57% 56%58% 51% 58%56% 51%51% 55% 58%56% 60% 57% 61% 10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 9% 5% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 10% 8% 6% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Crisis in Egypt Flotilla Incident Talks Stall Peace talks renew Gaza War Israel-Hamas Truce Annapolis Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians? Voters continue to believe the US should side with Israel in the conflict with the Palestinians. Lebanon
    • 5 82% 56% 45% 1% 5% 13% GOP (38%) IND (17%) DEM (44%) Israel Pales. Israel By Party Pales.Israel There is consensus across party lines. February 2012 77 53 83 8 46 Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
    • 6 51% 60% 64% 62% 71% 12% 2% 7% 6% 5% 18-34 (24%) 35-44 (21%) 45-54 (14%) 55-64 (21%) 65+ (19%) Israel Pales. Israel Pales.Israel Israel Israel Pales. And, among all age groups. Pales. By Age Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians? February 2012 45 12 50 6 67 2 64 7 63 5
    • 8 80% 89% 81% 72% 10% 5% 11% 15% Total GOP (38%) IND (17%) DEM (44%) American voters overwhelmingly believe Iran is building nuclear weapons. First, do you believe that Iran is building nuclear weapons? By PartyTotal Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No +70 +57+84 +70
    • 9 60% 27% 7% 3% Total Over 60% of Americans continue to believe Iran is a very big threat to Israel. Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... Israel Very Big Threat Not Much Threat No Threat Moderate Threat February 2012 67 21 5 4
    • 10 Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... 34% 41% 15% 9% Total Very Big Threat Moderate Threat While one-third of voters say that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the United States... February 2012 44 35 13 7 The United States* *Asked of Sample A Only, N=400 Not Much Threat No Threat
    • 11 Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... 39% 41% 12% 6% Total Very Big Threat Not Much Threat No Threat Moderate Threat A higher percentage believe that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the US and its NATO allies. The United States and its NATO allies** **Asked of Sample B Only, N=400
    • 13 78% 86% 67% 75% 17% 11% 23% 20% Total GOP (39%) IND (17%) DEM (43%) Americans continue to strongly support sanctions against Iran. Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program... Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?* By PartyTotal Support Oppose Support Oppose *Asked of Sample A, N=400 56% Strongly 64% Strongly 51% Strongly 52% Strongly Support Oppose Support Oppose February 2012 82 16 89 11 83 15 75 23
    • 14 66% 73% 82% 87% 83% 29% 20% 15% 8% 11% 18-34 (25%) 35-44 (19%) 45-54 (15%) 55-64 (21%) 65+ (19%) Support for sanctions is high across all age groups. By Age Sup Opp *Asked of Sample A, N=400 37% Strong Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp 51% Strong 58% Strong 74% Strong 66% Strong February 2012 74 22 81 17 90 10 86 13 81 17 Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program... Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?*
    • 15 80% 87% 78% 74% 16% 9% 18% 23% Total GOP (43%) IND (15%) DEM (42%) And, even if Americans learn that sanctions could cause hardship for Iranians, support remains high. And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians, would you still support these sanctions?* By PartyTotal Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No *Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312 +64 +51+78 +60
    • 16 76% 88% 75% 79% 84% 19% 12% 22% 18% 10% 18-34 (21%) 35-44 (18%) 45-54 (15%) 55-64 (24%) 65+ (20%) This holds true across age. And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians, would you still support these sanctions?* By Age Yes No *Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312 Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No +57 +74+53 +61+76
    • 17 30% 22% 19% 40% 67% 77% 79% 55% Total GOP (38%) IND (16%) DEM (45%) There’s still not a strong sense that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran from developing nuclear capabilities. How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?** By PartyTotal Likely Not Likely **Asked of Sample B, N=400 6% Very 32% Not At All 4% Very 38% Not At All 36% Not At All 9% Very 26% Not At All Likely Not Likely Likely Not Likely Likely Not Likely February 2012 32 67 20 80 30 68 46 54
    • 18 34% 22% 28% 32% 32% 60% 75% 71% 65% 67% 18-34 (23%) 35-44 (23%) 45-54 (13%) 55-64 (21%) 65+ (19%) And, this sentiment is true across age. By Age Likely Not Likely **Asked of Sample B, N=400 6% Very 30% Not At All Likely Not Likely 4% Very 37% Not At All Likely Not Likely 7% Very 27% Not At All Likely Not Likely 6% Very 28% Not At All Likely Not Likely 8% Very 34% Not At All How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?** February 2012 34 66 30 68 28 70 29 71 37 61
    • 19 Americans continue to support expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions. 80% 81% 75% 78% 78% 15% 13% 20% 19% 18% Dec 2009 May 2010 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 July 2012 Sup Opp 54% Strng Sup Opp 55% Strng Sup Opp 12% Strng 44% Strng Sup 49% Strng Opp 48% Strng Expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions coupled with direct talks with Iran to negotiate over its nuclear program ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if they do not stop their nuclear program. After I read each one, please tell me whether you support or oppose that action... OppSup +65 +60+55 +59+68
    • 214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, Virginia 22314 Phone: (703) 836-7655 Web: www.pos.org