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2012 02 jordan-charts_release

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  • 1. Jordanian Attitudes toward Israel Findings from a national survey of Jordanian opinion conducted by Pechter Polls for the Israel Project November 19 –December 15, 2011
  • 2. Jordan Survey Methodology  The survey was quantitative. Comprised of face to face interviews with respondents in the privacy of their own homes.  The survey was undertaken by a local commercial survey firm in Lebanon under the direction of Pechter Polls of Princeton, New Jersey.  Native speakers administered the survey in Arabic using a structured questionnaire.  The survey employed a multi-stage probability household sampling approach.  The survey was conducted November 19 through December 15, 2011.  The sample frame for Jordan was based on data from the Jordan Department of Statistics 2004 census and its updates where relevant.  The sample size was 1,000.  The margin of error was +/- 3.1%. Page 2December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
  • 3. Jordan Findings
  • 4. Page 4December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | The last time you used television to get news, which of the following did you turn to? 34% 29% 25% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Al Jazeera Al Arabiya Jordan TV BBC Arabic Al Manar CNN Al Hurra Other Refused Jordan N=1,000
  • 5. Page 5December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Do you have a Facebook account or not? Jordan N=1,000 44% 36% 29% 28% 28% 56% 64% 71% 72% 72% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 54-64 65+ Yes No
  • 6. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 6December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Please tell us if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Jordan N=1,000 3% 34% 3% 42% 43% 15% 34% 12% 29% 90% 92% 27% 35% 22% 31% 17% 38% 20% 29% 30% 27% 6% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 3% 2% 1% 96% 96% 42% 63% 35% 81% 18% 73% 25% 69% 30% 56%
  • 7. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 7December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | 56% Apr. 2010 Nov. 2010 Apr. 2011 Dec. 2012 Hassan Nasrallah Favorable 34% 35% 31% 29% Unfavorable 61% 61% 67% 69% Mahmoud Ahmidinejead Favorable 35% 40% 28% 25% Unfavorable 59% 56% 70% 73% Barack Obama Favorable 29% 23% 20% 17% Unfavorable 71% 77% 79% 82% Mahmoud Abbas Favorable 66% 34% 33% 35% Unfavorable 31% 62% 66% 62% Ismali Haniyeh Favorable 43% 46% 42% 42% Unfavorable 53% 53% 56% 57%
  • 8. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 8December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | 8% 80% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Favorable (1-3) Unfavorable (5-7) 80% 8% 8% 25% 32% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Should Should not 40% 60% Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to… The United States Jordan, December 2011
  • 9. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 9December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Feel strongly should have Feel somewhat should have Feel strongly shouldn’t have Feel somewhat shouldn’t have JordanJordan Jordan 11% 15% 42% 28% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Should Should not 5% 23% 35% 36% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Should Should not 8% 25% 32% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Should Should not 53% 43% 40% 59% 40% 60% June 2009 December 2011May 2011
  • 10. Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it. Page 10December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | 1.11 1.28 2.16 2.64 2.80 2.96 3.29 3.66 4.14 4.26 4.66 5.22 6.04 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jews Israel The United States Al Qaeda Britain Iran Hezbollah Muslim… Hamas Christians Palestinian… Egypt Saudi Arabia Jordan N=1,000
  • 11. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it. Israel Page 11December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Jordan N=1,000 92% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Feel negatively or unfavourably towards it 2 3 4 5 6 Don't know Refused
  • 12. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 12December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | When you think of a Palestinian state, what thoughts come to mind? (open-ended question) Jordanian Palestinian Unlikely to happen/only Allah knows 15% 9% UN vote will help 9% 11% Refugees will go home 15% 36% Jordan/Arabs will benefit 6% 1% Beginning of the end for Israel 12% 7% Israel/US will never allow it 7% 5% Palestinians in Jordan will pay the price 0% 1% Life will improve in West Bank/Gaza 4% 8% Not important/relevant to my life 1% 1% Victory for Islam 7% 5% Finally peace will improve our situation 3% 3% My family and friends will be reunited 10% 6% Problems/uncertainty/instability for Jordan 2% 1% Other (Specify) 4% 3% Don't know 3% 2% Refused 0% 1% Total 100% 100% Jordan N=1,000
  • 13. Page 13December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel? 52% 41% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Yes No Refused/ Don't know Jordan N=1,000
  • 14. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 14December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel? Jordan N=1,000 Reasons to cancel Reasons not to cancel Palestinians are not treated fairly by Israel 18% We do not want war 18% The peace treaty did not give enough benefit to Jordan 12% Jordan and Israel will benefit from each other economically 10% Must not allow to the Jews to have their own state 8% King Abdullah wants peace with Israel 6% Jordan should not have a peace treaty with Israel until Israel holds peace with the Palestinians 7% Important, to be close to the United States 1% The peace treaty harms Jordan in the Arab World 2%
  • 15. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 15December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel? Jordan N=1,000 Yes No Don't know Refused Facebook account 48% 42% 6% 3% Jordanian 53% 41% 3% 3% Palestinian 51% 41% 5% 3% Male 48% 44% 3% 4% Female 56% 37% 5% 2% Age 18-24 40% 52% 5% 2% Age 25-34 55% 38% 5% 2% Age 35-44 58% 36% 3% 3% Age 45-54 60% 33% 4% 3% Age 54-64 57% 35% 2% 6% Station most recently watched Yes No Don't know Refuse d Jordan TV 53% 41% 4% 2% Al Jazeera 55% 37% 4% 4% CNN 30% 57% 9% 4% BBC Arabic 22% 65% 8% 5% Al Arabiya 49% 45% 5% 2% Al Hurra 73% 18% 9% 0% Al Manar 78% 22% 0% 0%
  • 16. Page 16December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Do you think that a new Palestinian state and Jordan should combine? Jordan N=1,000 8% 6% 84% 86% 8% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Jordanian Palestinian Yes No Don't know/ Refused
  • 17. Page 17December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. Jordan N=1,000 25% 43% 52% 53% 23% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% July 2011 Gaza & WB December 2011 Jordan The best goal is for a two state solution - Israel and Palestine - that keeps two states living side by side The real goal should be to start with two states, but then move to it being all one Palestinian state. DK/Refused
  • 18. Page 18December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements regarding the Israeli- Palestinian conflict. After I read each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. The best goal is for a two-state solution - Israel and Palestine - - that keeps two states living side by side The real goal should be to start with two states but then move to it all being one Palestinian state. Facebook account 40% 55% Jordanian 41% 55% Palestinian 45% 52% Male 47% 50% Female 39% 56% Age 18-24 43% 55% Age 25-34 44% 53% Age 35-44 43% 53% Age 45-54 41% 50% Age 54-64 41% 56%
  • 19. Page 19December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. Jordan N=1,000 7% 8% 84% 86% 9% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% July 2011 Gaza & WB December 2011 Jordan Israel has a permanent right to exist as a homeland for the Jewish people. Over time, Palestinians must work to get back all the land for a Palestinian state. DK/Refused
  • 20. Page 20December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | I'm going to read you a list of things that the government could try to do. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means the government should definitely not do this and 7 means the government should definitely do this as a high priority. Page 20December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | 1.44 3.69 4.22 4.35 4.58 5.82 6.05 6.06 6.49 6.66 6.71 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say unpopular or bad things about Islam are allowed to Protecting the rights of Christians Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say unpopular things about the government are allowed to Making sure that every Jordanian is a believing Muslim with no exceptions Having Muslim scholars and clerics have a lot of influence in the legal system and the courts Making sure that the schools teach girls and boys the value of Sharia Providing a lot more free health services, pensions, and money to ordinary Jordanians Increasing the rights of girls and women to get an education and have equal rights to those of men Protecting the rights of ordinary Jordanians against police or other government authorities who take their property Managing the Jordanian economy well Reducing bribery and corruption in government Jordan N=1,000 mean
  • 21. Pechter Polls 66 Witherspoon Street , #405 Princeton, NJ 08542 USA 609-759-0550 www.pechterpolls.com The Israel Project 2020 K Street NW,
Suite 7600 Washington, DC 20006 USA 202-857-6644 www.theisraelproject.org