The O’Reilly Radar

                                       Tim O’Reilly

                                       June 23, 2...
You know me as a book publisher




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
What We Really Do At O'Reilly




                      Change the world by spreading the
                          knowle...
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
    “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed
     yet.” - William Gibson
    We ...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Sources of my fascination with SysAdmin & Ops
    My first book: Masscomp System Administrator’s
     Guide, 1983
    Pr...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
I’m here today to talk about where this is going
       Cloud computing
       Data driven applications
       Mobile
 ...
Cloud Computing

       “You keep using that word. I do not think it
       means what you think it means.”




Wednesday,...
Data is the “Intel Inside”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
An application that
               depends on cooperating
               cloud data services:

               - Location
 ...
The Yelp Monocle
    Find cafes nearby.




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Internet Operating System is
                    A Data Operating System




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System
    It helps applications find out about
         –   People
   ...
In Real Time




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
 Hackers play
    Entrepreneurs build products for consumer early
     adopters
    Enterprises follow

    We saw thi...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
AMEE - the world’s energy meter




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
We’re moving to a world in which every device
       generates useful data, in which every action
       creates “informat...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The cloud future includes...
    Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data
     collection
    Devices whose UI is ...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
People are the “Intel Inside”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Harnessing Collective Intelligence”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Open Source
                            Paradigm Shift

                                 May 6, 2003

                ...
Software as Service
                            Von Kempelen's Mechanical Turk




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“You are all inside the Amazon application”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Source: http://micro-ram.com/images/100_0453.JPG

Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Source: http://blog.frankovic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/systemadmin.jpg




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“The Web is changing the
                           way we live and touches
                           every person alive....
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Changing the world
                  by sharing the knowledge of innovators.”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Operations is where big decisions are made &
           policies executed that affect people & societies.
               ...
“Figuring out this stuff is hard. We'll make
                   mistakes. That's okay. ”

                                ...
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“[The wall] was beautiful, but not because of any
                  masterful intellectual planning or any scientific
     ...
“Do the right thing. You will gratify some people,
       and astonish the rest.”

                                       ...
Switching tracks (a bit)...




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
For more information
   The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003)
    http://bit.ly/cKLSUP
   What is Web 2.0? (2005)
    ht...
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Velocity2010

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My keynote at the Velocity Conference 2010. Why web operations and web performance optimization matter, and will matter more as technology evolves. Video of this talk is available at http://bit.ly/93J7d1

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Velocity2010

  1. 1. The O’Reilly Radar Tim O’Reilly June 23, 2010 Velocity, Santa Clara, CA Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  2. 2. You know me as a book publisher Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  3. 3. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  4. 4. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  5. 5. What We Really Do At O'Reilly Change the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  6. 6. O’Reilly Radar Methodology  “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed yet.” - William Gibson  We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are living in  We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  7. 7. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  8. 8. Sources of my fascination with SysAdmin & Ops  My first book: Masscomp System Administrator’s Guide, 1983  Programming Perl, first edition, 1991  System administration O’Reilly’s “core”  Started pushing our editorial teams early on to look at big sites and operations Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  9. 9. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  10. 10. I’m here today to talk about where this is going  Cloud computing  Data driven applications  Mobile  Real time  Beyond the web Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  11. 11. Cloud Computing “You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  12. 12. Data is the “Intel Inside” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  13. 13. An application that depends on cooperating cloud data services: - Location - Search - Speech recognition - Live Traffic - Imagery Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  14. 14. The Yelp Monocle  Find cafes nearby. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  15. 15. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  16. 16. The Internet Operating System is A Data Operating System Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  17. 17. The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System  It helps applications find out about – People – Places – Things – Prices – Documents – Images – Sounds – Relationships – ...  and helps people interact with them through services – Search – Payment – Matching and Recognition – ... Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  18. 18. In Real Time Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  19. 19. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  20. 20. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  21. 21. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  22. 22. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  23. 23. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  24. 24. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  25. 25.  Hackers play  Entrepreneurs build products for consumer early adopters  Enterprises follow  We saw this with the PC, with the World Wide Web, with open source software, with social networking Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  26. 26. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  27. 27. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  28. 28. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  29. 29. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  30. 30. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  31. 31. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  32. 32. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  33. 33. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  34. 34. AMEE - the world’s energy meter Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  35. 35. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  36. 36. We’re moving to a world in which every device generates useful data, in which every action creates “information shadows” on the net. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  37. 37. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  38. 38. The cloud future includes...  Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data collection  Devices whose UI is on the web rather than the device  Feeding data into multiple online services that will turn into a full-on sensor web  Setting the stage for robotics, augmented reality, and the next generation of personal electronics  Producing more data than we’ve ever had to deal with before  Moving from hackers to innovators to mainstream business impact Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  39. 39. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  40. 40. People are the “Intel Inside” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  41. 41. “Harnessing Collective Intelligence” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  42. 42. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  43. 43. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  44. 44. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  45. 45. The Open Source Paradigm Shift May 6, 2003 Tim O'Reilly O'Reilly & Associates, Inc. www.oreilly.com Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  46. 46. Software as Service Von Kempelen's Mechanical Turk Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  47. 47. “You are all inside the Amazon application” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  48. 48. Source: http://micro-ram.com/images/100_0453.JPG Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  49. 49. Source: http://blog.frankovic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/systemadmin.jpg Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  50. 50. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  51. 51. “The Web is changing the way we live and touches every person alive. As more and more people depend on the Web, they depend on us. Web Operations is work that matters.” --Jesse Robbins Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  52. 52. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  53. 53. “Changing the world by sharing the knowledge of innovators.” Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  54. 54. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  55. 55. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  56. 56. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  57. 57. “Operations is where big decisions are made & policies executed that affect people & societies. There is almost nothing to guide us.” --Jesse Robbins Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  58. 58. “Figuring out this stuff is hard. We'll make mistakes. That's okay. ” --Jesse Robbins Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  59. 59. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  60. 60. “[The wall] was beautiful, but not because of any masterful intellectual planning or any scientific supervision of the job, or any added expenditures to “stylize” it. It was beautiful because the people who worked on it had a way of looking at things that made them do it right unselfconsciously. They didnʼt separate themselves from the work in such a way as to do it wrong. [...] In each case thereʼs a beautiful way of doing it and an ugly way of doing it, and in arriving at the high-quality, beautiful way of doing it, both an ability to see what “looks good” and an ability to understand the underlying methods to arrive at that “good” are needed.” --Robert Pirsig, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  61. 61. “Do the right thing. You will gratify some people, and astonish the rest.” --Mark Twain Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  62. 62. Switching tracks (a bit)... Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  63. 63. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  64. 64. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  65. 65. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  66. 66. Wednesday, June 23, 2010
  67. 67. For more information  The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003) http://bit.ly/cKLSUP  What is Web 2.0? (2005) http://oreil.ly/a0zT65  Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On (2009) http://bit.ly/kEKgs  Government as a Platform (2010) http://opengovernment.labs.oreilly.com/  Ongoing commentary http://radar.oreilly.com http://twitter.com/timoreilly http://buzz.google.com/timoreilly Wednesday, June 23, 2010
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