Slides from my keynote at PayPal Innovate 09 Conference. Focuses on the risks of increasing centralization of web data services, and the need for more federated services. Will the Internet Operating ...
Slides from my keynote at PayPal Innovate 09 Conference. Focuses on the risks of increasing centralization of web data services, and the need for more federated services. Will the Internet Operating System be small pieces loosely joined, or will there be One Ring to Rule Them All? We choose.
Ahmad Said, Web Designer at UTMPresentation yang agak panjang, namun ia seronok untuk ditonton. Saya berminat untuk embed ke dalam website saya, iaitu www.ringtonesz.org/ dan www.lyrics-search.org/
Google decided to make their own speech database. Microsoft bought Tellme. Ditto location: Nokia bought Navteq, Google has done its own, upping the ante with streetview.
The same principle applies to translation. It gets better with more data. Expect google to offer mobile translation products within the next year or two, integrated with Google Voice...
The Wave Robots list is a great way to look at possible futures.
Imagine auto-translation added here.
Results from 90 million geotagged photos on Flickr: http://code.flickr.com/blog/2008/10/30/the-shape-of-alpha/
“Reality mining.”
Reality mining :-)
Each device is recognizable solely from its “energy signature.”
Telling who’s gay by who their friends are. No privacy in the era of machine learning.
If possible talk here about the changing nature of knowledge work. How google search quality works.
Sensors and machine learning
Sensors and machine learning
Let’s do a little forward-looking speculation about image recognition.
Sensors and machine learning
Ribbit, from BT, works a lot like Google Voice, but lets you start with any phone number
Ribbit’s SF integration shows how voice can be an add-in UI to other applications, via web services. Expect Google to follow this lead.
State of the Internet Operating SystemPresentation Transcript
The State of the Internet Operating System
Tim O’Reilly
Paypal Innovate
November 3, 2009
Cloud Computing
“You keep using that word. I do not think it
means what you think it means.”
Web 2.0
“You keep using that word. I do not think it
means what you think it means.”
What Web 2.0 and Cloud Computing Are Really All About
We’re building an internet operating system
An internet operating system? You must be kidding.
There’s no storage
No scheduling
No processing
No memory
management
...
Bram Cohen of
BitTorrent, 1st
Web 2.0 Conference
2004
"The Law of Conservation
of Attractive Profits"
"When attractive profits disappear at one
stage in the value chain because a product
becomes modular and commoditized, the
opportunity to earn attractive profits with
proprietary products will usually emerge at
an adjacent stage."
-- Clayton Christensen
Author of The Innovator's Solution
In Harvard Business Review, February 2004
Internet Operating System
“You keep using that word. I do not think it
means what you think it means.”
The Internet Operating System
Its subsystems are databases of
– People
– Places
– Things
– Prices
– Documents
– Images
– Sounds
– Relationships
– Trust metrics
– ...
and services that help people use them
– Search
– Payment
– Matching and Recognition
– ...
The O’Reilly Radar Methodology
William Gibson: “The future is here. It’s just not
evenly distributed yet.”
We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
futures they are living in
We then look for trend data that tells us that a
particular future is becoming mainstream
I’m going to tell you some seemingly unconnected
technology stories from the front lines of
innovation. Then we’re going to connect the dots.
<1>
The smart phone plus local search. Today pizza,
Pizza Nostra, 300 De Haro
CyBelle’s Pizza, 975 Bryant
Extreme Pizza, 1062 Folsom
An application running on a
mobile device whose user
interface is driven by sensors:
- Touch screen
- Motion and proximity sensors
- Microphone
- GPS or cell tower triangulation
An application that depends on
cooperating cloud data services:
- Speech recognition
- Search
- Location
These cloud data services are
combined to do a job that none
of them could do alone.
Expect auto-translation
These suggest mindbending possibilities
Expect automated speech recognition and
automated real-time translation throughout
Google products
Google Suggest “database of intentions” gives
them an advantage in understanding what people
intend to say
The Star Trek universal translator is within the
scope of Google’s ambition
These products will be relatively weak at
introduction but will get better the more people
use them.
Speech recognition and translation will be
integrated with other applications via web services
Pretty darn cool, and definitely NOT a PC-era
operating system!
<2>
Our devices are full of sensors. New applications
are figuring out how to learn from those sensors.
AMEE - the world’s energy meter
The real world casts information shadows
Machine Learning not just for robots
Web 2.0 is about finding meaning
in user-generated data,
and turning that meaning into real-time user-
facing services. “Web Squared” takes that same
concept to real-time sensor data.
<3>
Google Maps with Street View
Cloud + mobile = “Augmented Reality”
<4>
Cooperating data services?
Face recognition
+
Social Network
+
Location
We learn by “context accumulation.”
Future applications will do so too.
<5>
The big question
If the Internet becomes an operating system, what
is the architecture of that operating system?
One Ring to Rule Them All
The big question
What is the architecture of that operating system?
Small Pieces Loosely Joined
The smart phone plus local search. Today pizza,
Pizza Nostra, 300 De Haro
CyBelle’s Pizza, 975 Bryant
Extreme Pizza, 1062 Folsom
How cool would it
be to add pizza
ordering?
<6>
PayPal
A first order Internet data subsystem
– 80 million active users
– 15,000 financial institutions
– 190 countries, 24 currencies
– Not just payment but identity, fraud detection, risk
management, and more
Inherently Decentralized
– Internet endpoints call the service to get the benefit of
the networked data at the center
– P2P Payments
– Decentralized website checkout for 60% of e-commerce
A model for the way the internet operating system
ought to work
Advice for PayPal
“API design is like sex: make one mistake and
support if for the rest of your life.”
--attributed to Josh Bloch
More than payment
You use your wallet for
Payment
Identification
Loyalty cards, discount coupons
Receipts
Special things to keep and share
All of these things are moving out of the physical
wallet, many of them onto the phone
There is a huge opportunity to build innovative
new services to do these jobs.
PayPal provides a unique back-end
Build services that mash up
Speech recognition
Location OpenStreetMap
Social networks
Government
Payment
The Robustness Principle
“TCP implementations should follow a general
principle of robustness: be conservative in what
you do, be liberal in what you accept from others.”
--Jon Postel in RFC 761 (Transmission Control Protocol, 1980)
That’s how we get to this
Small Pieces Loosely Joined
indian47
Ahmad Said. 2 years ago