My keynote at Drupalcon SF on April 20, 2009. Similar to my talk at OSBC, MySQL and Greenplum, but with a bit of a drupal twist. Ending riff on DIY inspired by Isaiah Saxon's comments on my MySQL ...
My keynote at Drupalcon SF on April 20, 2009. Similar to my talk at OSBC, MySQL and Greenplum, but with a bit of a drupal twist. Ending riff on DIY inspired by Isaiah Saxon's comments on my MySQL keynote.
Drupalcon keynote: Open Source and Open Data in the age of the cloudPresentation Transcript
Open Source and Open Data
in the Age of the Cloud
Tim O’Reilly
DrupalCon
San Francisco, CA
April 20, 2010
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“Major Strasser has been shot...
Round up the usual suspects”
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Open Source Web 2.0 Cloud Computing
“You keep using that word. I do not think it
means what you think it means.”
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Just what does it mean?
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“I’m an inventor.
I became interested in
long term trends
because an invention
has to make sense in the
world in which it is
finished, not the world in
which it is started.”
-Ray Kurzweil
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You may think of me as a book publisher
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What We Really Do At O'Reilly
Change the world by spreading the
knowledge of innovators
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O’Reilly Radar Methodology
“The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed
yet.” - William Gibson
We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
futures they are living in
We then look for trend data that tells us that a
particular future is becoming mainstream
I’m going to tell you some seemingly unconnected
technology stories from the front lines of
innovation. Then we’re going to connect the dots.
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<1>
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Innovation in Action
Hackers build devices that show off possible
futures
Entrepreneurs and innovative companies take
these futures and push them to the mainstream
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The cloud future includes...
Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data
collection
Devices whose UI is on the web rather than the
device
Feeding data into multiple online services that will
turn into a full-on sensor web
Setting the stage for robotics, augmented reality,
and the next generation of personal electronics
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<2>
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What we see here
Peer-to-peer credit card payments
Social networks used for risk evaluation
The PC is out of the loop
The phone is a sensor platform
– Hardware add-on innovation
– Location based sensing
– Touch screen UI
Processing is done in real time in the cloud
– Allowing processing that can’t be done on the device
– Big data analysis
– Building new networks on the back of existing ones
Reinventing a major industry
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<3>
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The Yelp Monocle
Find cafes nearby.
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<4>
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Crowdsourcing includes the use of
humans as sensors
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AMEE - the world’s energy meter
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We’re moving to a world in which every device
generates useful data, in which every action
creates “information shadows” on the net.
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<5>
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The smart phone plus local search. Today pizza,
Pazzia, 337 3rd Street
California Pizza Kitchen, 53 3rd Street
Blondie’s Pizza. 63 Powell Street
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An application running on a
mobile device whose user
interface is driven by sensors:
- Touch screen
- Motion and proximity sensors
- Microphone
- GPS or cell tower triangulation
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An application that depends on
cooperating cloud data services:
- Speech recognition
- Search
- Location data
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An application that applies
context-sensitive filters to give
users just the information they
need.
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In real time
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<6>
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•Search in plain English
•Search by voice
•Traffic view
•Search along route
•Satellite view
•Street view
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An application that
depends on cooperating
cloud data services:
- Location
- Search
- Speech recognition
- Live Traffic
- Imagery
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Cloud Computing
“You keep using that word. I do not think it
means what you think it means.”
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The Internet Operating System is
A Data Operating System
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The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System
It helps applications find out about
– People
– Places
– Things
– Prices
– Documents
– Images
– Sounds
– Relationships
– ...
and helps people interact with them through services
– Search
– Payment
– Matching and Recognition
– ...
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In Real Time
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This is the 21st century data challenge
Not transactions
Not data warehouses and business intelligence
Not database-backed web sites
Not even NoSQL-backed web services
Real time cloud-based intelligence delivered to
mobile applications
Algorithmic intelligence
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This is the world that Drupal
must be designed to support
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A good start, but is it enough?
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Who will own the Internet Operating System?
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Do we want anyone to own it?
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If not, we’d better get busy!
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Who Owns What
Chart Title?
Other
Infrastructure As a Service
Storage — —
Computation — —
Hosted SaaS Apps —
Media access
Music —
Video —
Books — — — — —
Web Content —
Photos — — —
Monetization
Advertising — —
Payment
Location
Maps & Directions — — —
Real Time Location Detection — —
Calendaring/Scheduling —
Social Graph — —
Communications
Email — —
Voice — —
Chat — —
Video — —
Sensor Management
Speech Recognition — —
Image Recognition — — —
Mobile Device OS —
Mobile Device Hardware —
Web Browser — —
Strong o ering
Medium o ering
Getting started
— Not on the board yet
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“In the future, being a developer on
someone’s platform will mean being hosted
on their infrastructure.”
- Debra Chrapaty, VP Windows Live (2006)
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Who Owns What
Chart Title?
Other
Infrastructure As a Service
Storage — —
Computation — —
Hosted SaaS Apps —
Media access
Music —
Video —
Books — — — — —
Web Content —
Photos — — —
Monetization
Advertising — —
Payment
Location
Maps & Directions — — —
Real Time Location Detection — —
Calendaring/Scheduling —
Social Graph — —
Communications
Email — —
Voice — —
Chat — —
Video — —
Sensor Management
Speech Recognition — —
Image Recognition — — —
Mobile Device OS —
Mobile Device Hardware —
Web Browser — —
Strong o ering
Medium o ering
Getting started
— Not on the board yet
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Interoperable web services, open data, and
standard protocols are at least as important as
open source
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The underdog is the ally of open source
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Potential open source supporters
Search: Microsoft
Maps: Microsoft, Nokia,Yelp, Foursquare
Speech: Nuance, Microsoft
Social Graph: Google
Payment: Paypal
Cloud infrastructure: VMware
Smartphones: Google
Device Operating Systems: Google
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Corporate data sharing
There’s a lot of data in the world
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Switching tracks (a bit)...
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What’s wrong with Government today
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Vending Machine Government
Vending Machine Gov concept from Donald Kettl:
The Next Government of the United States
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We Need to Do More Than Shake
the Vending Machine!
http://image06.webshots.com/6/2/57/50/190125750NgQXwu_ph.jpg
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Drupal is a DIY tool! But so is Arduino.
Keep rediscovering the DIY spirit.
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Work on stuff that matters!
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For more information
The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003)
http://bit.ly/cKLSUP
What is Web 2.0? (2005)
http://oreil.ly/a0zT65
Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On (2009)
http://bit.ly/kEKgs
Government as a Platform (2010)
http://opengovernment.labs.oreilly.com/
Ongoing commentary
http://radar.oreilly.com
http://twitter.com/timoreilly
http://buzz.google.com/timoreilly
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
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