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Ten	  Big	  Innova,on	  Challenges	  for	  the	  Next	  Decade:	         	  Sustained	  Growth	  Within	  a	  Resource	  C...
The	  Future	  Agenda	  is	  the	  world’s	  largest	  open	  foresight	  programme	  that	  looked	  at	  the	  big	  iss...
Four	  Certain,es	  for	  the	  Next	  Decade	  
Imbalanced	  PopulaJon	  Growth	                                                          CertainJes                      ...
Key	  Resource	  Constraints	                                                          CertainJes                         ...
Asian	  Wealth	  ShiT	                                                                CertainJes                          ...
Ubiquitous	  Data	  Access	                                                              CertainJes                       ...
Six	  Clusters	  of	  Other	  Future	  Insights                                                   	  
10	  InnovaJon	  Challenges                                                                                               ...
Diabesity	                                                                                      Challenge	  #1	     If	  d...
DifferenJated	  Knowledge	                                                            Challenge	  #2	  As	  insight	  is	  ...
Dynamic	  Pricing	                                                                      Challenge	  #3	           As	  sma...
Lease	  everything	                                                                    Challenge	  	  #4	        Rising	  ...
Using	  Less	                                                                              Challenge	  #5	               H...
AcJve	  Elderly	                                                                         Challenge	  #6	  A	  healthier	  ...
Less	  Variety	                                                                                       Challenge	  #7	     ...
Solar	  Sunrise	                                                                            Challenge	  	  #8	    Increasi...
Intelligent	  Highways	                                                                    Challenge	  #9	        As	  mes...
Mega	  City	  States	                                                                    Challenge	  #10	   As	  ciJes,	  ...
For	  more	  informa,on,	  e-­‐books	  and	  to	  add	                                                                    ...
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Ten big innovation challenges for the next decade ISPIM June 2011

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A keynote at ISPIM 2011 on the ten big innovation challenges for the next decade that are most evident from the Future Agenda programme insights

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Transcript of "Ten big innovation challenges for the next decade ISPIM June 2011"

  1. 1. Ten  Big  Innova,on  Challenges  for  the  Next  Decade:    Sustained  Growth  Within  a  Resource  Constrained  World   Dr  Tim  Jones  –  Future  Agenda:  IPSIM  18  June  2011  
  2. 2. The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight  programme  that  looked  at  the  big  issues  for  2020  so  that   organisaJons  can  beKer  focus  and  sJmulate  innovaJon  
  3. 3. Four  Certain,es  for  the  Next  Decade  
  4. 4. Imbalanced  PopulaJon  Growth   CertainJes   By  2020  we  will  add  another  750m  people  to  the  planet,     most  in  places  least    able  to  accommodate  them  
  5. 5. Key  Resource  Constraints   CertainJes   We  will  see  economic,  physical  and  poliJcal  shortages  of  key   materials  that  will  result  in  major  changes  in  our  perspecJves  
  6. 6. Asian  Wealth  ShiT   CertainJes   The  centre  of  gravity  of  global  wealth     shiTs  East  with  decreased  influence  for  the  US  and  Europe  
  7. 7. Ubiquitous  Data  Access   CertainJes   We  will  be  connected  everywhere  -­‐  everything  that  can     benefit  from  a  network  connecJon  will  have  one  
  8. 8. Six  Clusters  of  Other  Future  Insights  
  9. 9. 10  InnovaJon  Challenges  10 Challenges for 2020Pu[ng  these  Future  Agenda  insights  through  the  ‘innovaJon’   lens,    10  major  challenges  for  the  next  decade  stand  out  
  10. 10. Diabesity   Challenge  #1   If  diabetes  will  consume  5%  of  GDP  by  2020,  how  can  we  use   innovaJon  around  taxaJon,  data  mining  and  personal  budgets     to  change  behaviour  and  stabilise  the  obesity  epidemic?  
  11. 11. DifferenJated  Knowledge   Challenge  #2  As  insight  is  globally  commodiJzed,  the  best  returns  go  to  those   who  can  produce  non-­‐standard,  differenJated  knowledge  –   how  can  this  happen  in  a  world  with  less  /  no  IP?  
  12. 12. Dynamic  Pricing   Challenge  #3   As  smart  meters  and  tracking  services  create  pladorms     for  dynamic  pricing,  how  will  this  impact  business  models  and     how  will  what  we  pay  reflect  value  and  be  valued?  
  13. 13. Lease  everything   Challenge    #4   Rising  sustainability  imperaJves  and  increasing  cost  of     ownership  shiT  the  balance  from  ownership  to  access  and  we   prefer  to  rent  than  buy  –  but  with  what  business  models?  
  14. 14. Using  Less   Challenge  #5   How  will  consumers  be  incenJvised  to  use  significantly     less  energy  as  escalaJng  growth  in  carbon  emissions     force  uJliJes  to  change  their  business  models?  
  15. 15. AcJve  Elderly   Challenge  #6  A  healthier  older  generaJon  increasingly  engage  in  more  acJve   lives  and  have  extended  careers  -­‐  but  in  order  to  manage   dependency  raJos,  how  can  we  all  be  twice  as  producJve?  
  16. 16. Less  Variety   Challenge  #7   If  the  future  is  one  of  reduced  choice,  but  not  less  interest,     as  retailers  provide  an  increasingly  edited  pordolio,  how  will     consumers  gain  confidence  in  the  future  choice  curators?    
  17. 17. Solar  Sunrise   Challenge    #8   Increasing  focus  on  energy  security  drives  the  uptake  of  large-­‐ scale  solar  as  the  leading  renewable  supply  –  who  will  lead  on   improving  PV  and  transmission  efficiency  to  make  this  a  reality?  
  18. 18. Intelligent  Highways   Challenge  #9   As  mesh  networks  deliver  automated  highways  to  improve    safety,  increase  capacity  and  reduce  congesJon,  how  will     we  manage  the  data  sharing  on  which  it  all  depends?  
  19. 19. Mega  City  States   Challenge  #10   As  ciJes,  not  countries,  are  at  the  forefront  of  the  global  stage,     what  unique  products  and  services  that  address     specific  surban  challenges  will  become  the  priority?  
  20. 20. For  more  informa,on,  e-­‐books  and  to  add     your  view  into  the  mix,  see  futureagenda.org  or  contact  Tim  directly  on  ,m.jones@futureagenda.org  
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