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Future role of mobile launch event - istanbul - 4 october 2011

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A view on the future role of mobile launched in Istanbul in October: Drawing on the initial Future Agenda programme insights plus more follow on workshops and discussions, this provides a perspective …

A view on the future role of mobile launched in Istanbul in October: Drawing on the initial Future Agenda programme insights plus more follow on workshops and discussions, this provides a perspective on the key areas where mobile will have an enabling influence going forward.

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  • 1. The  Future  Role  of  Mobile   Dr  Tim  Jones   Programme  Director   4  October  2011  
  • 2. The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight  programme  that  ran  throughout  2010  and  engaged  expert  input   from  over  1500  organisa=ons  to  gain  a  unique  global  view  
  • 3. Context   To  get  a  richer  view,  organisa=ons  want  to  complement  their   Inside-­‐Out  perspec=ves  with  informed  Outside-­‐In  views  of  how   the  world  around  them  is  changing  and  with  what  impact  
  • 4. Context  From  the  Future  Agenda  programme,  we  highlighted  52  insights   which  many  organisa=ons  are  now  using  to  s=mulate     innova=on  thinking  and  challenge  exis=ng  perspec=ves    
  • 5. Role  of  Mobile   A  good  number  of  these  insights  influence,  or  are  influenced  by,   the  changing  role  of  mobile  technology  over  the  next  decade  
  • 6. Imbalanced  Popula=on  Growth   Certain=es   By  2020  we  will  add  another  750m  people  to  the  planet,     most  in  places  least    able  to  accommodate  them  
  • 7. Key  Resource  Constraints   Certain=es   We  will  see  economic,  physical  and  poli=cal  shortages  of  key   materials  that  will  result  in  major  changes  in  our  perspec=ves  
  • 8. Asian  Wealth  ShiU   Certain=es   The  centre  of  gravity  of  global  wealth  accelerates     East  with  decreased  influence  for  the  US  and  Europe  
  • 9. Ubiquitous  Data  Access   Certain=es   We  will  be  connected  everywhere  -­‐  everything  that  can     benefit  from  a  network  connec=on  will  have  one  
  • 10. The  Influence  of  and  Impact  on  Mobile  
  • 11. Future  of  Iden=ty   Role  of  Mobile   Helping  customers  to  have  confidence  in  and  control  of  their   digital  iden=ty  allows  mobile  operators  to  act  as  a  trusted   intermediary;  enabling  secure,  open  global  transac=ons  
  • 12. People  Tracking   Mobility   The  acceptance  of  being  tracked  by  your  mobile  is     accelerated  by  =cket-­‐less  transport  systems,  increased   surveillance  and  successful  loca=on-­‐based  services  
  • 13. Future  of  Commerce   Role  of  Mobile   Alterna=ve  payment  systems,  virtual  currencies,  mobile  data   transfers  and  dynamic  pricing  all  combine  to  create  parallel   systems  for  credit  and  debit  exchange  and  transfer  
  • 14. Dynamic  Pricing   Commerce   Media  consump=on,  smart  meters  and  ubiquitous  tracking    services  all  create  plaZorms  for  the  dynamic  real  =me  pricing  of     resources,  access  and  travel  to  manage  supply  and  demand  
  • 15. Future  of  Health   Role  of  Mobile   Remote,  intelligent  monitoring  and  diagnosis  enhances  the   freedom  of  pa=ents,  improves  healthcare  efficiency  and  tries  to   offset  costs  from  a  growing,  aging  and  unhealthy  popula=on  
  • 16. Automated  People  Care   Health   Robo=c  assisted  care  and  remote  monitoring  provide   economically  viable  support  for  the  ill  so  that  our   focus  can  shiU  from  sick-­‐care  to  preventa=ve  healthcare  
  • 17. Future  of  Intelligent  Transport  Systems   Role  of  Mobile   Mesh  networks  and  ubiquitous  mobile  connec=ons  will  enable   automated  mobility,  more  intelligent  decision  making  and  so   improve  safety,  increase  capacity  and  reduce  conges=on  
  • 18. Urban  (Im)mobility   Transport   Informed  real  =me  choices,  growth,  conges=on  and     regula=on    all  impact  the  world’s  ci=es  to  drive  a  shiU  to     more  sustainable  efficient  transport  op=ons  
  • 19. Future  of  Smart  Machines   Role  of  Mobile   Billions  of  interconnected  and  intelligent  devices  deliver     24/7  improved  efficiency,  greater  flexibility  and  generate     less  waste  to  enable  us  to  do  more  with  less  
  • 20. Intelligent  buildings   Smart  Machines   Smarter,  beaer  connected,  self-­‐monitoring  homes     and  offices  provide  safer,  more  secure,  low  energy     buildings  able  to  self-­‐manage  their  opera=on  and  u=li=es    
  • 21. Implica@ons  
  • 22. Networks   Role  of  Mobile   Investment  challenges,  alterna=ve  priori=es  and  demands    for  fast  lanes  will  add  to  the  requirements  of  providing     secure,  24/7  global  connec=vity  across  all  networks  
  • 23. Privacy   Role  of  Mobile  Mobile  will  act  as  both  the  catalyst  and  monitor  of  how  personal  data  is  used:  In  a  smarter,  more  connected  world,  responsibili=es   will  shiU  and  blur  between  the  individual  and  society  
  • 24. Vision  2020   Role  of  Mobile   The  mobile  industry  is  moving  from  just  being  in  control  of  its  own   developments  to  becoming  the  enabler  of  others’  innova=ons:     Partnership,  collabora=on  and  co-­‐opera=on  will  be  the  focus  
  • 25. The  Future  Role  of  Mobile   Dr  Tim  Jones   Programme  Director   @m.jones@futureagenda.org