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Depletion of resources
 

Depletion of resources

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    Depletion of resources Depletion of resources Presentation Transcript

    • Michal Till
      • There are more and more resources available.
    • The L imits to G rowth (1972) Years to depletion predictions in 1972 vs. 1992
      • 1972 1992
      • Gold 29 35
      • Silver 42 39
      • Nickel 96 110
      • Copper 48 50
      • Lead 64 70
      • Manganese 94 101
      • Zinc 50 78
      • Tin 61 53
      • Coal 150 166
      Hampl, Mojm ír Vyčerpání zdrojů – dobře prodejný mýtus, Praha, CEP – Centrum pro ekonomiku a politiku, 2004
    • Proved reserves in millions of tons, 1950 and 1990
      • 1950 1990
      • Bauxite 1400 21500
      • Iron 19000 145000
      • Tin 6.0 4.2
      • Nickel 17 59
      • Zinc 70 145
      • Lead 40 70
      • Copper 100 350
      • Chromium 70 420
      • Manganese 500 980
      Hampl, Mojm ír Vyčerpání zdrojů – dobře prodejný mýtus, Praha, CEP – Centrum pro ekonomiku a politiku, 2004
    • Simon-Erlich wager
      • Erlich: " In the 1970s and 1980s . . . hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death “
      • “ I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000 ” => $10,000 bet on five commodity metals
    • Simon-Erlich wager Author: Loren Cobb. Data source: US Geological Survey Data Series 140. Data URL: http://minerals.usgs.gov/ds/2005/140 The ecologist lost. (Maybe it’s because he is an entomologist and his specialization are butterflies )
    • Gas Canadian government educational comics, 1970’s
    • Oil : prices
    • Oil: proven reserves d
    • Remaining oil breakdown Source: OPEC 2005 Annual Statistical Bulletin , http://www.opec.org/library/Annual%20Statistical%20Bulletin/pdf/ASB2005.pdf
    • Probability & types of reserves http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-0028-01/fs-0028-01.htm
    • Prices of resources relatative to 1990 US wage
    • Energy usage vs. GDP (Japan) http://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/chouki/index.htm
    • Sources
      • Simon, J. L. The Ultimate Resource II: People, Materials, and Environment, 2 nd Edition, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1996
      • Hampl, Mojm ír Vyčerpání zdrojů – dobře prodejný mýtus, Praha, CEP – Centrum pro ekonomiku a politiku, 2004