Average Is Not Normal
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Average Is Not Normal

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  • I have made a slight change to the presentation. If you viewed it before you will notice that we tightened the range from 8-12 to 9-11. Now there are only 2 years out of 80 that were even close to 'average'. Download this version and replace the previous one.
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Average Is Not Normal Average Is Not Normal Presentation Transcript

  • Average is not normal
  • THE LAST 80 YEARS THE STOCK MARKET
  • AVERAGED 10 percent
  • Average is not normal
  • during those 80 years
  • ANNUAL RETURNS LOOKED LIKE THIS
  • 34 38 -13 -28 -43 -8 56 5 44 33 34 28 3 -7 -10 16 29 21 38 -6 4 2 20 30 20 14 1 50 25 8 -10 45 13 1 27 -10 21 16 14 -9 28 14 -10 1 16 17 -18 -28 38 27 -3 8 24 33 -3 21 23 5 32 17 2 18 29 -6 35 10 11 0 37 21 31 24 24 -11 -11 -21 32 12 6 15
  • HOW MANY OF THOSE RETURNS
  • WERE BETWEEN
  • 9 AND 11 percent
  • OR EVEN CLOSE TO: average
  • 34 38 -13 -28 -43 -8 56 5 44 33 34 28 3 -7 -10 16 29 21 38 -6 4 2 20 30 20 14 1 50 25 8 -10 45 13 1 27 -10 21 16 14 -9 28 14 -10 1 16 17 -18 -28 38 27 -3 8 24 33 -3 21 23 5 32 17 2 18 29 -6 35 10 11 0 37 21 31 24 24 -11 -11 -21 32 12 6 15
  • 2 OUT OF 80
  • Average is not normal
  • SO YOU MAY BE PLANNING ON
  • IN REALITY YOU WILL EXPERIENCE
  • DOES IT MATTER ?
  • what if you started
  • HERE
  • VS.
  • HERE
  • THEN
  • it would have mattered to YOU
  • Average is not normal
  • join the conversation: WWW. BEHAVIORGAP.COM linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/thinkingcarl twitter: http://twitter.com/behaviorgap