PWC,  Sept 9, 2010 Garden of mandarin Yu Bio house
Demography : simulation 1.8 child/woman tendency Inversion of the age pyramid maximum then decline
World population Men Women
Europe Men Women
Africa Men Women
Russian Federation Men Women
Asia Men Women
The evolution of human species is worrying A challenge to reason
Migration to cities
Rains and droughts Business as usual IPCC scenario
 
Internet penetration 2010 world 28,7% Fr   68,9 Sp 62,6 It 51,7 Fi 85,3  D 79,1 UK  82,5 Port 48,1 Swe 92,5 Isl 97,6 Nl 88...
The time barrier We are not living in an  information society, but in a « disinformation society »  Classical economics as...
 
Instability since 1990 : 176 crises since 25 years Mexico Indonesia  Thaïland Korea and Japan Russia Argentina… New techno...
Cognitive revolution 1980-2180 <ul><li>Polymers </li></ul>Electricity Optronics Bio-ecology Converging
<ul><li>Whenever you </li></ul><ul><li>study or not, </li></ul><ul><li>there is no future </li></ul><ul><li>for you… </li>...
<ul><li>Globalisation=insecurity </li></ul><ul><li>-> search for autonomy </li></ul><ul><li>Global currencies (€,$…)  </li...
 
© B. Lietaer Systemic innovation in money Dedicated complementary currencies For ISO 26000 implementation ? http://lietaer...
<ul><li>- the inventor (provides the concept) </li></ul><ul><li>the entrepreneur (takes in charge) </li></ul><ul><li>the f...
Great programs Obstacles reduction Technical culture Innovation policy 6CP.net
What could be the great programs for the cognitive civilization ?
Global water interconnection in India 46 rivers connected by 30 canals: 10000Km Great public works
Mediterranean desalination plants (>1000m3/day) Great public works
Crane Airships
Innovation : the compressed air hybrid car (MDI)
Ocean cities And other floating structures Great public  works
Biosphere II
Techno-Nature
The world in 2025, a challenge to reason: 1-Planetary gardening 2-Reshaping economics 3-Global security concept 4-Global s...
A new vision The « struggle for life » vision is a marginal part of life,  the natural looping. Since 800 MYears, The core...
Declining : Domination Conquest Performance Rising : Empathy Individuation Resilience The values De Waal Simondon Cyrulnik
http://2100.org http://gaudin.org Thanks for your attention Merci de votre attention Thierry Gaudin
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Innovation policy

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  • Dans les années 70, les démographes parlaient d’explosion de la population. Le club de Rome écrivait « halte à la croissance ». Pendant les années 80, la fécondité a baissé dans tous les pays, y compris dans le tiers monde, et les démographes des Nations Unies pronostiquaient une stabilisation de la population mondiale aux environs de dix milliards d’habitants en 2100. Pendant les années 90, la fécondité a encore baissé. Elle semble se maintenir au dessous du seuil de renouvellement (2,1 enfants par femme) dans les pays développés, lesquels seraient progressivement rejoints par tous les autres, à mesure que le développement économique se diffuse dans le monde entier. D’où un scénario probable, comme le montre le graphique, avec un maximum, puis une décroissance à partir de 2060 environ. Pendant la première moitié du XXIe siècle, on assisterait à une inversion de la pyramide des âges, phénomène rare dans l’histoire de l’humanité, la classe d’âge de 60 à 65 ans devenant plus nombreuse que la classe d’âge de 0 à 5 ans.
  • Apparition de l’Homo coca-colensis
  • Derrière le masque d’une information toujours plus abondante et accessible, se cache une société de désinformation, dont les acteurs cherchent à occuper le mental du public par des messages conformes à leurs intérêts. Le spam n’est pas une « bavure ». Il est au contraire un des aspects essentiels (heureusement pas le seul) du système qui se construit actuellement. Par voie de conséquence, la désorientation, qui autrefois concernait surtout les personnes âgées ou les malades mentaux, devient un phénomène général touchant toutes sortes de personnes en difficulté.
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  • Innovation policy

    1. 1. PWC, Sept 9, 2010 Garden of mandarin Yu Bio house
    2. 2. Demography : simulation 1.8 child/woman tendency Inversion of the age pyramid maximum then decline
    3. 3. World population Men Women
    4. 4. Europe Men Women
    5. 5. Africa Men Women
    6. 6. Russian Federation Men Women
    7. 7. Asia Men Women
    8. 8. The evolution of human species is worrying A challenge to reason
    9. 9. Migration to cities
    10. 10. Rains and droughts Business as usual IPCC scenario
    11. 12. Internet penetration 2010 world 28,7% Fr 68,9 Sp 62,6 It 51,7 Fi 85,3 D 79,1 UK 82,5 Port 48,1 Swe 92,5 Isl 97,6 Nl 88,6 Ru 42,8 India 6,9 Pakistan 10,4 Kazakhstan 34,3 Indonesia 12,3 Thaïland 26,3 China 31,6 Vietnam 27,1 Singapour 77,8 Malaisia 64,6 Taiwan 70,1 Japan 78,2 Hong-Kong 68,8 Korea 81,1 Venezuela 34,2 Mexico 27,2 Brazil 37,8 Peru 27,0 Argentina 64,4 Chile 50,0 Canada 77,7 USA 77,3 Algeria 13,6 Egypt 21,2 South Africa 10,8 Tunisia 34,0 Morocco 33,0 Source : internetworldstats.com 15 years from now, more than 75% on the whole planet. Polycultural Internet. Beware of telecom operators !
    12. 13. The time barrier We are not living in an information society, but in a « disinformation society » Classical economics assumed that actors were perfectly informed lucid and watchful. The basic assumption being false, the theory is not valid any more Desorientation is everywhere : hyperchoice, cognitive overlaod…
    13. 15. Instability since 1990 : 176 crises since 25 years Mexico Indonesia Thaïland Korea and Japan Russia Argentina… New technologies Subprime… What is doing the merchant ruling class Since it has unshared power : Bubbles !! Will the next bubble be green ?
    14. 16. Cognitive revolution 1980-2180 <ul><li>Polymers </li></ul>Electricity Optronics Bio-ecology Converging
    15. 17. <ul><li>Whenever you </li></ul><ul><li>study or not, </li></ul><ul><li>there is no future </li></ul><ul><li>for you… </li></ul>Critical times are coming Rich and poor poeple at 100 meters from each others
    16. 18. <ul><li>Globalisation=insecurity </li></ul><ul><li>-> search for autonomy </li></ul><ul><li>Global currencies (€,$…) </li></ul><ul><li>And complementary currencies : </li></ul><ul><li>Lets, Sel, WIR, Saber, buckeroo... </li></ul><ul><li>Example : Argentina </li></ul>The response of the poor http://www.selidaire. org
    17. 20. © B. Lietaer Systemic innovation in money Dedicated complementary currencies For ISO 26000 implementation ? http://lietaer.com http://www.slcotesdarmor.fr/associations/monnaies-alternatives/ Resilience (  Efficiency (A) (Diversity + Interconnections) (Streamlined) Sustainability Optimum 0% 100% Window of Viability
    18. 21. <ul><li>- the inventor (provides the concept) </li></ul><ul><li>the entrepreneur (takes in charge) </li></ul><ul><li>the facilitator (wipes out difficulties) </li></ul><ul><li>the godfather (protects the germ) </li></ul><ul><li>the information gatekeeper </li></ul>Five roles in the innovation process:
    19. 22. Great programs Obstacles reduction Technical culture Innovation policy 6CP.net
    20. 23. What could be the great programs for the cognitive civilization ?
    21. 24. Global water interconnection in India 46 rivers connected by 30 canals: 10000Km Great public works
    22. 25. Mediterranean desalination plants (>1000m3/day) Great public works
    23. 26. Crane Airships
    24. 27. Innovation : the compressed air hybrid car (MDI)
    25. 28. Ocean cities And other floating structures Great public works
    26. 29. Biosphere II
    27. 30. Techno-Nature
    28. 31. The world in 2025, a challenge to reason: 1-Planetary gardening 2-Reshaping economics 3-Global security concept 4-Global state of law And back to fundamentals!
    29. 32. A new vision The « struggle for life » vision is a marginal part of life, the natural looping. Since 800 MYears, The core essence of life is made of cooperation: symbiosis of cells, organs, individuals, organisations and species. This cooperation, made of information exchanges, recognition and aknowledgement processes is « the rise of consciousness » Facing the limits of the planet, the persistence of the struggle for life vision would lead to « collapse » (Jared Diamond) The evolution of consciousness needs a great step forward. Some scientists have already moved that way Some politicians are trying to promote it Some firms are building a new « green lobby » (see ISO 21000)
    30. 33. Declining : Domination Conquest Performance Rising : Empathy Individuation Resilience The values De Waal Simondon Cyrulnik
    31. 34. http://2100.org http://gaudin.org Thanks for your attention Merci de votre attention Thierry Gaudin

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