Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
Broken Patterns - The End Of Infinity?
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.

×

Saving this for later?

Get the SlideShare app to save on your phone or tablet. Read anywhere, anytime - even offline.

Text the download link to your phone

Standard text messaging rates apply

Broken Patterns - The End Of Infinity?

391
views

Published on

The global recession, how it happened and what the world might look like by 2025

The global recession, how it happened and what the world might look like by 2025


1 Comment
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
391
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
0
Comments
1
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. Broken Patterns – The End of Infinity?Linda IrwinExecutive Director Corporate Development, Henley Business School
  • 2. What a difference a year makes
  • 3. Oil Price Volatility
    Government Scandals
    Economic Tsunami
    Natural disasters
    Record Job Losses
    Financial Meltdown
    Moral Failure
    Swine Flu
    Bankruptcies
  • 4. The Credit Crunch Bites Hard
  • 5. Didn’t we see it coming?
  • 6. August 2007
    The Scale of the Crisis Emerges
  • 7. Starting with…?
  • 8. BNP Paribas tells investors they will not be able to take money out of two of its funds because it cannot value the assets in them
  • 9. 13th September 2007
    Northern Rock gets emergency financial support from the Bank of England
  • 10. A day later depositors withdraw £1 billion in what is the biggest run on a British bank for more than a century
  • 11. September 2007
    A raft of negative news from around the world sees the FTSE notch up its steepest weekly decline since July 2002
  • 12. February 2008
    Leaders from the G7 group of industrialised nations say worldwide losses could reach $400 billion
  • 13. April 2008
    The 100% mortgage disappears
  • 14. April 2008
    Persimmon becomes the first UK house builder to announce major cutbacks
  • 15. Citing the lack of affordable mortgages and a fall in consumer confidence
  • 16. July 2008
    The British Chambers of Commerce suggest that the UK is facing a serious risk of recession within months
  • 17. July 2008
    Financial authorities step in to assist America's two largest lenders, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
  • 18. September 2008
    But are rescued by the US government in one of the largest bailouts in US history
  • 19. That Same Month…
  • 20. Lehman Brothers files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, becoming the first major bank to collapse since the start of the credit crisis
  • 21. and…
  • 22. Largest bank failure in the U.S. Washington Mutual, with assets of $307 billion, is closed down by regulators and sold to JPMorgan Chase
  • 23. Bradford & Bingley is nationalised. The British government takes control of £50 billion mortgages and loans
  • 24. Wall Street shares plunge, Dow Jones Index slumps 7% or 770 points, a record one-day point fall
  • 25. October 2008
    The UK is on the brink of a recession
  • 26. November 2008
    The Eurozone officially slips into recession
  • 27. December 2008
    The U.S. recession is officially declared
  • 28. The same month…
  • 29. The FTSE 100 closes down 31.3% since the beginning of 2008…
  • 30. … the biggest annual fall in the 24 years since the index was started
  • 31. January 2009
    The Bank of England cuts interest rates to 1.5%, the lowest level in its 315-year history
  • 32. But…
  • 33. The UK officially entered a recession
  • 34. The current budget deficit surged by over 1000% to £51.4 billion in fiscal 2008/09 from £5.2 billion in 2007/08
  • 35. June 2009
    UK unemployment rate rises to 7.1%
    = 2.6 million
    + cutbacks and ‘career holidays’
  • 36. Leadership?
  • 37. Conrad Black
    Adam Applegarth
    Fred Goodwin - RBS
    Richard Madoff
    Jeffrey Keith "Jeff" Skilling - Enron
    Educated Leaders?
  • 38. MBA – Harvard Business School
    BUT…4 years ago Enron was widely regarded as having the best talent management system and strong value set
    So why did Trust turn to Rust?
  • 39. Senior Management at non-U.S. Companies
    Senior Management at U.S. Companies
    Academic Institutions
    Consultants
    X
    Trust vs. last year
    Harvard Business Review – January 2009
  • 40. … and if this wasn’t bad enough…
  • 41. 2008 was one of the worst years for natural disasters so far this decade, 235,816 people were killed
    in 321 different disasters
  • 42. The world’s disasters in 2008 caused estimated damage of
    $227 billion, some $136 billion of that in China
  • 43. and…
    Michael Jackson R.I.P
  • 44. Hopeless end or endless hope?…
    So what’s coming?
  • 45. An increasingly complex, volatile, changing world
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. By 2025 – 1,400 people!
  • 49. China will soon become the
    NUMBER ONE
    English Speaking Country in the world.
  • 50. Shifting patterns?
    B.R.I.C.S GDP (Brazil, Russia, India & China)
    Will match original G7 Share of Global GDP by 2040
  • 51. …even sooner 2025
    E7 (Brazil, Russia, India, China, Indonesia, Turkey and Mexico)willtriple GDP growth.
  • 52. Annually 1 million migrants
    Western EuropeTheDestination of Choice?
    Already home to 35 million foreign born.
  • 53. The 25% of India’s population with the highest IQ’s…
    … is GREATER than the total population of the United States
  • 54. TRANSLATION:
    India has more honours children than America has kids
  • 55. 6.8 billion population in 2009
    8 billion population in 2025
  • 56. Over the next several decades the number of people considered to be in the “global middle class” is projected to swell from440 million to 1.2 billionor from7.6%of the world’s populationto 16.1%..
  • 57. The World Bank estimates that demand for food will rise by 50% by 2030.
  • 58. By 2025-2030, the portion of the world considered poor will shrink by about 23% but the world’s poor - still 63% of the globe’s population - stand to become relatively poorer
  • 59. The populations of more than 50 countries will increase by more than a third
  • 60. Between now and 2025…Russia, Ukraine, Italy, Eastern Europe, and Japan will see theirpopulations decline by several percent
  • 61. Today,nearly 7 out of every 10 people…
    … in the developed world are in the traditional working years (ages 15 to 64).
  • 62. This number hasnever before been so highand, according to experts, in all likelihood will never be so high again
  • 63. Women, barely present on corporate payrolls 30 years ago, now constitute at least half the overall workforce in many developed countries
  • 64. The top 10 in-demand jobs in 2010
  • 65. …did not exist in 2004
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69. 1 out of 8 couples married
    in the U.S. last year met online
  • 70. Twitter was the fastest-growing site in February 2009
    There are over55 million monthly visits on twitter
  • 71. and overmore than 200 million active users on Facebook
  • 72. The #1 ranked country in
    Broadband Internet Penetration is…
    Bermuda
    #19 The United States
    #22 Japan
  • 73.
  • 74. We are living in exponential times
  • 75. There are31 Billionsearches on Google every month
  • 76. In 2006, this number was2.7 Billion
  • 77.
  • 78. The first commercial text message was sent in December 1992.
  • 79.
  • 80. Radio38 years
    Years it took to reach a market audience of 50 million
  • 81. TV13 years
    Years it took to reach a market audience of 50 million
  • 82. Internet4 years
    Years it took to reach a market audience of 50 million
  • 83. Years it took to reach a market audience of 50 million
    iPod3 years
  • 84. Years it took to reach a market audience of 50 million
    Facebook2 years
  • 85. The number of internet devices in 1984 was 1,000
  • 86. The number of internet devices in 1992 was 1,000,000
  • 87. The number of internet devices in 2008 was 1,000,000,000
  • 88. There are about
    540,000 words in
    the English Language
  • 89. About 5x as many as during Shakespeare’s time
  • 90. It is estimated that a
    week’s worth of The Times…
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95. For students starting our three-year University of Reading degree or Henley MBA, this means that . . .
  • 96. half of what they learn in their first year of study will be outdatedby their graduation.
  • 97. NTT Japan have successfully tested a fibre optic cable…
    that pushes 14 trillion bits per second down a single strand of fibre.
  • 98. 2,660
    210
  • 99.
  • 100. By 2013, a supercomputer will be built that exceeds the computationalcapabilities of the human brain
    super
    2013
    human brain.
  • 101. £500
  • 102.
  • 103.
  • 104. 67
    UK
    7
    95
  • 105. …and 694,000songs weredownloadedillegally