CBI NI Annual Energy Forum Date, Wednesday 28th January 2009 Olive Hill Director of Technology & Process Development

Evidence of a changing climate?

Mounting Evidence

Energy ????…. (NREL)

Where is it going? (NREL)

State Policy Framework Renewable Portfolio Standards (NREL)

“ $16 trillion (or $550 billion per year) will need to be spent on the energy supply infrastructure globally between now and 2030” International Energy Agency “ 35 GW of new renewable energy capacity involving an investment of some £100 billion is needed by 2020” UK Renewables “ On site renewables worth up to £36 billion a year by 2016” Renewable Advisory Board (UK) Headlines

“ $16 trillion (or $550 billion per year) will need to be spent on the energy supply infrastructure globally between now and 2030”

International Energy Agency

“ 35 GW of new renewable energy capacity involving an investment of some £100 billion is needed by 2020”

UK Renewables

“ On site renewables worth up to £36 billion a year by 2016”

Renewable Advisory Board (UK)

Invest NI Interest Government Policy Climate Change Targets Renewables Energy Efficiency - Competiveness Growing Market – Opportunities - Competiveness R&D Capabilities - Innovation

Government Policy

Climate Change Targets

Renewables

Short-term0-5 Years Medium-term5-15 Years Long-term 15-25 Years Diversity Inc onshore wind Electricity, Infrastructure Transport Bio fuels Demand side management Offshore Wind Dynamic Large scale power e.g. Clean coal Energy “nodes” Wave/Tidal Hydrogen storage Dynamic high efficiency 4th generation Nuclear Decentralise Community wind, biomass district heating, Anaerobic digestion for farm wastes AD energy from MSW, Biomass gasification Community CHP Marine Biomass Fuel cells, Virtual power stations Decrease Air-source retrofit Heat Pumps Solar thermal Advanced Glazing Enhanced Micro-chp Low cost Vacuum Insulated Panels Nano-based insulations PV Concentrators Organic PV

Technology Options Are Evolving (NREL) Concept Study Prototype Testing KW Scale MW Scale GW Scale Utility Wind (Land based) Offshore Wind (Bottom Mounted) Offshore Wind (Floating Turbines) Marine Energy * (Wave, Tidal, current) Distributed Wind (communities-residencies) Organisations leading the R&D Industry leaders with government support Government-Industry Partnership Government Laboratory Contactors Academia & Small Startups Organisations leading the R&D Grain / Agriculture Petroleum Coal Forestry Academia & Startups Chemical Ethanol Biodiesel Green diesel Syngas Liquids Bio-oil Derivative H2 From Biomass Diesel from Algae Hydrocarbons from Carbohydrates High Low Lab / Academia Industry Organisations leading the R&D First Generation PV: Crystalline Silicon Trough - Solar Only Trough – Indirect 2-Tank Molten Salt Storage Second Generation PV: Thin films Trough – Advanced Direct Storage Concentrating PV Power Tower – Direct 2 Tank Molten Salt Storage Dish Stirling Third Generation PV: Organic / Plastic, nanostructures High Low Organisations leading the R&D HVAC Industry Industry Industry, Academia, DOE DOE, Academia, Industry Geothermal Heat Pumps Direct Thermal Applications Conventional Hydrothermal Generation Enhanced Geothermal Systems

Existing Research and Development Commitments Advanced Fuel Cells Advanced Motor Fuels Bioe nergy Buildings and Community Systems (ECBCS) Clean Coal Sciences Demand-Side Management Emissions Reduction in Combustion Energy Storage Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP) Enhanced Oil Recovery UK UK and Ireland Fluidized Bed Conversion Heat Pumping Technologies High-Temperature Superconductivity (HTS) on the Electric Power Sector Hydrogen Hydropower Ocean Ener gy Systems Photovoltaic Power Systems Renewable Energy Technology Deployment Solar Heating and Cooling Wind Ener gy Systems

Advanced Fuel Cells

Advanced Motor Fuels

Bioe nergy

Buildings and Community Systems (ECBCS)

Clean Coal Sciences

Demand-Side Management

Emissions Reduction in Combustion

Energy Storage

Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP)

Enhanced Oil Recovery

UK UK and Ireland

Fluidized Bed Conversion

Heat Pumping Technologies

High-Temperature Superconductivity (HTS) on the Electric Power Sector

Hydrogen

Hydropower

Ocean Ener gy Systems

Photovoltaic Power Systems

Renewable Energy Technology Deployment

Solar Heating and Cooling

Wind Ener gy Systems

Technology Innovation Challenges Remain The Next Generation • Wind– Improve energy capture by 30% – Decrease costs by 25% • Biofuels– New feedstocks – Integrated biorefineries • Solar– Improved performance through, new materials, lower cost manufacturing processes, concentration – Nanostructures • Zero energy buildings– Building systems integration – Computerized building energy optimization tools • Advanced vehicles– Plug-in hybrids/electrics – Alternative fuels

• Wind– Improve energy capture by 30%

– Decrease costs by 25%

• Biofuels– New feedstocks

– Integrated biorefineries

• Solar– Improved performance through, new materials, lower cost manufacturing processes, concentration

– Nanostructures

• Zero energy buildings– Building systems integration

– Computerized building energy optimization tools

• Advanced vehicles– Plug-in hybrids/electrics

– Alternative fuels

Integrated Building Technologies Offshore energy (including wind, tidal, wave) Wind GB - 7,000 offshore turbines / £64 billion ROI - £4 billion / 5 years Marine UK - £36m Marine turbine research £50 m Wave power research Bio Energy AD Bio fuels Energy Storage Current annual £21 billion globally, 55%, £33 billion by 2012 Four areas of development opportunity

Integrated Building Technologies

Offshore energy (including wind, tidal, wave)

Wind

GB - 7,000 offshore turbines / £64 billion

ROI - £4 billion / 5 years

Marine

UK - £36m Marine turbine research

£50 m Wave power research

Bio Energy

AD

Bio fuels

Energy Storage

Current annual £21 billion globally, 55%, £33 billion by 2012

Making Transformational Change Requires an integrated approach (NREL) Unleashing market-driven innovation