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Technology Trends &The Impact for Software Industry  Assoc.Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda  Director  Software Park Thailand...
IT Trends            2
Things that Baby Born after 2011         does not knowVideo tapeTravel AgentsPaper mapsLong distance callWired phonesYello...
15 Current Technologies My                   Newborn Son Won’t Usehttp://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-ne...
15 Current Technologies My                   Newborn Son Won’t Usehttp://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-ne...
Digital Revolution                     6
Gartner Hype Cycle of Emerging      Technologies 2011                                 7
Gartner Technology Trends 2012Media tablets and beyondMobile-centric applications and interfacesSocial and contextual user...
Top 10 Gadget TrendsNintendo Wii UAndroid 4.0iPad MiniUltraBookNew MacAirKindle Fire IIiPhone 5New iPadPlaystation VistaWi...
Thailand Technology Trends 2012                                  10
Thailand Technology Trends 2012Business ContinuityCloud ComputingOnline ConsumerizationPredictive AnalyticMedia Tablet and...
Mobile Cloud Computing                                    12Source: wikipedia
World IT TrendsMobile DevicesBYODCloud ComputingSocial NetworkBig DataLarge Data Center                             13
14
2014           Mobile will become the most common              way of accessing the Internet                              ...
Welcome toThe Post-PC Era                  16
Post-PC Era              17
iPhone         18
19Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
SmartPhonesSmartphone usage in Thailand in 2010 is 18% and expectto grow to 60-65% in 2015 [Frost & Sullivan]             ...
SmartPhone Market Shares Q3 2011                                     21Source :Gartner 2011
Smartphone Market Share                          22
Smartphone Sales Prediction                              23
Global smartphones annual sales will growabout 46 percent to 687.9 million units this year    and will touch 1.05 billion ...
iPad       25
More than 480,000 Tablets sold in Thailand                                        26
Tablet Sales Prediction                          27
Devices sold in Thailand 2011 is follows:Tablet 480,000 units; Desktop 1,320,000 units andNotebook 2,020,000 units. In 201...
Online shopping in Thailand in 2011 is 80%;expect to grow to 93% in the next 6 months:    59% of these are mobile shopping...
การใช้ Mobile Internet                         30
องค์กรในยุค 2012      Mobile Worker      Global (ลูกค้า ผู้ร่วมงาน พันธมิตร)      Anywhere, Anytime      การทำงานอย่างต่อเ...
แนวโน้มการใช้ซอฟต์แวร์ต้องสามารถใช้ได้กับทุกอุปกรณ์ Notebook,Tablet,SmartPhoneสามารถเข้าถึงข้อมูลได้ทุกที่ ทุกเวลา และ ทุก...
GMail        33
Picasa         34
35Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
36Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
37Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
Google Calendar                  38
Google Calendar                  39
Cloud Storage                40
Dropbox          41
Dropbox          42
B2S BookStore                43
WealthMagic              44
เครื่องวัดความดัน                    45
my.withings.com                  46
Withings บน iPad                   47
48Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
49Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
50Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
51Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
52Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
Mobile Cloud Computing                         53
Mobile Cloud Computing                                    54Source: wikipedia
55
Three layers of Cloud servicesSource : JAVA IN THE CLOUD                    56PAAS PLATFORM IN COMPARISON, Eberhard Wolff
Source : http://acloudyplace.com/   57
Is this just Hosting 2.0?               No, they have different architectures                       and business model    ...
Top Public Cloud Provider 2011 Amazon Verizon/Terremark IBM Salesforce.com CSC Rackspace Google BlueLock Microsoft Joyent ...
Google Compute Engine                        60
Cloud Computing : SaaSGmailGoogle AppsDropboxSalesforce.comZohoMicrosoft Office 365                           61
9 Trends that Impact the Future of       Mobile Cloud ComputingEnterprise and consumer mobiles apps are gettingincreasingl...
9 Trends that Impact the Future of       Mobile Cloud ComputingThe rise of mobile commerceFragility of mobile devices.Incr...
“Cloud computing will transform the IT industry    as it will alter the financial model upon which investors look at techn...
“At year-end 2016,more than 50 percent of Global 1000 companies   will have stored customer-sensitive data              in...
Public Clouds Will Grow To 10%                                 66
Top 5 Cloud Computing Trends      IT departments will be forever changed      Cloud security will no longer be an issue   ...
Cloud Computing      Opportunity for SMEUse ICT for their business with lowinvestment (no CAPEX; pay as you go)Buy ICT as ...
Cloud Readiness Index 2011                                                            69Source : Asia Cloud Computing Asso...
BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard                                                         70Source : BSA GlobalCloud Com...
BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard                                                         71Source : BSA GlobalCloud Com...
Cloud Computing in Thailand      Private Cloud in Enterprise      Government Cloud Computing      More public IaaS / SaaS ...
How Will Cloud Computing Impact             IT Industry?IT Infrastructure will change dramaticallySome IT jobs may vanish ...
The World in 2020                    74
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   75
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   76
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   77
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   78
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12 Massive Changes That WillTransform The Software Industry        Within 5 Years                                  105
Cloud computing changes how                       companies buy software.       Instead of spending a chunk of cash       ...
Bottoms-up marketing tactics change              which software companies buy.       Instead of spending a chunk of cash  ...
Desktop virtualization changes how                 companies deliver software.       People want to work on their own devi...
Windows 8s Metro interface will change             how people use Windows       Everything about Windows. Microsoft has   ...
The move to Web apps is breaking                    Microsofts monopoly       New web technologies like HTML5 mean       t...
Mobile computing changes where                         software is used       Software needs to be accessible       anywhe...
App stores change how much people are              willing to pay for software       Apples app store has trained consumer...
The death of the mouse changes the                  software user interface       Touch and gesture interface is changing ...
Open source changes how software is                         written       Software is being written by a crowd —       any...
Open source changes who controls                          software       Many open source projects require that       the ...
Big data changes what can be done with                   software    New technologies like noSQL databases    and Hadoop a...
Social media changes how software is                      used    Social media is being embedded into    everything, from ...
www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand                                        118
Thank youthanachart@swpark.or.thtwitter.com/thanachartwww.facebook.com/thanachartwww.swpark.or.thwww.facebook.com/software...
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Technology Trends & The Impact for Software Industry

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Presentation ที่ไปบรรยายให้กับผู้ประกอบการซอฟต์แวร์ โครงการอบรมของสมาคม ATSI และ สมาคมการตลาด 7 สิงหาคม 2012

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Transcript of "Technology Trends & The Impact for Software Industry"

  1. 1. Technology Trends &The Impact for Software Industry Assoc.Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda Director Software Park Thailand 7 August 2012 1
  2. 2. IT Trends 2
  3. 3. Things that Baby Born after 2011 does not knowVideo tapeTravel AgentsPaper mapsLong distance callWired phonesYellow and White Pages:etc.. 3
  4. 4. 15 Current Technologies My Newborn Son Won’t Usehttp://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use 4
  5. 5. 15 Current Technologies My Newborn Son Won’t Usehttp://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use 5
  6. 6. Digital Revolution 6
  7. 7. Gartner Hype Cycle of Emerging Technologies 2011 7
  8. 8. Gartner Technology Trends 2012Media tablets and beyondMobile-centric applications and interfacesSocial and contextual user experienceApplication stores and marketplaceThe Internet of everythingNext-generation analyticsBig dataIn-memory computingExtreme low-energy serversCloud computing 8
  9. 9. Top 10 Gadget TrendsNintendo Wii UAndroid 4.0iPad MiniUltraBookNew MacAirKindle Fire IIiPhone 5New iPadPlaystation VistaWindows 8 9
  10. 10. Thailand Technology Trends 2012 10
  11. 11. Thailand Technology Trends 2012Business ContinuityCloud ComputingOnline ConsumerizationPredictive AnalyticMedia Tablet and BeyondsMobile Centric Application, Contents & InterfacesSocial NetworkHigh Speed Connectivity 11
  12. 12. Mobile Cloud Computing 12Source: wikipedia
  13. 13. World IT TrendsMobile DevicesBYODCloud ComputingSocial NetworkBig DataLarge Data Center 13
  14. 14. 14
  15. 15. 2014 Mobile will become the most common way of accessing the Internet 15Source :Trending the future: Mobile Trends 2011
  16. 16. Welcome toThe Post-PC Era 16
  17. 17. Post-PC Era 17
  18. 18. iPhone 18
  19. 19. 19Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  20. 20. SmartPhonesSmartphone usage in Thailand in 2010 is 18% and expectto grow to 60-65% in 2015 [Frost & Sullivan] 20
  21. 21. SmartPhone Market Shares Q3 2011 21Source :Gartner 2011
  22. 22. Smartphone Market Share 22
  23. 23. Smartphone Sales Prediction 23
  24. 24. Global smartphones annual sales will growabout 46 percent to 687.9 million units this year and will touch 1.05 billion units in 2014 [Credit Suisse; Apr 2012] 24
  25. 25. iPad 25
  26. 26. More than 480,000 Tablets sold in Thailand 26
  27. 27. Tablet Sales Prediction 27
  28. 28. Devices sold in Thailand 2011 is follows:Tablet 480,000 units; Desktop 1,320,000 units andNotebook 2,020,000 units. In 2012; The number of Tablets sold in Thailand is expected to be 2.5 million units. [NECTEC; Apr 2012] 28
  29. 29. Online shopping in Thailand in 2011 is 80%;expect to grow to 93% in the next 6 months: 59% of these are mobile shopping: [Mastercard; Apr 2012] 29
  30. 30. การใช้ Mobile Internet 30
  31. 31. องค์กรในยุค 2012 Mobile Worker Global (ลูกค้า ผู้ร่วมงาน พันธมิตร) Anywhere, Anytime การทำงานอย่างต่อเนื่อง (Business Continuity) การเปลี่ยนแปลงสู่ชีวิตดิจิตอล (Digital Life Convergence) 31Source : http://www.rickscloud.com/
  32. 32. แนวโน้มการใช้ซอฟต์แวร์ต้องสามารถใช้ได้กับทุกอุปกรณ์ Notebook,Tablet,SmartPhoneสามารถเข้าถึงข้อมูลได้ทุกที่ ทุกเวลา และ ทุกอุปกรณ์สามารถใช้งานได้อย่างต่อเนื่อง โดยไม่หยุดชะงัก และข้อมูลไม่สูญหายคิดค่าใช้จ่ายตามการใช้งาน OPEX ไม่ใช่ CAPEXเป็นบริการ (Service) ไม่ใช่ ผลิตภัณฑ์ (Product) 32
  33. 33. GMail 33
  34. 34. Picasa 34
  35. 35. 35Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  36. 36. 36Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  37. 37. 37Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  38. 38. Google Calendar 38
  39. 39. Google Calendar 39
  40. 40. Cloud Storage 40
  41. 41. Dropbox 41
  42. 42. Dropbox 42
  43. 43. B2S BookStore 43
  44. 44. WealthMagic 44
  45. 45. เครื่องวัดความดัน 45
  46. 46. my.withings.com 46
  47. 47. Withings บน iPad 47
  48. 48. 48Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  49. 49. 49Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  50. 50. 50Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  51. 51. 51Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  52. 52. 52Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
  53. 53. Mobile Cloud Computing 53
  54. 54. Mobile Cloud Computing 54Source: wikipedia
  55. 55. 55
  56. 56. Three layers of Cloud servicesSource : JAVA IN THE CLOUD 56PAAS PLATFORM IN COMPARISON, Eberhard Wolff
  57. 57. Source : http://acloudyplace.com/ 57
  58. 58. Is this just Hosting 2.0? No, they have different architectures and business model Cloud Players Hosting Players Hundreds of them around the worldOnly few can afford billions dollar investment on data centers 58Source : I’m Cloud Confused
  59. 59. Top Public Cloud Provider 2011 Amazon Verizon/Terremark IBM Salesforce.com CSC Rackspace Google BlueLock Microsoft Joyent 59
  60. 60. Google Compute Engine 60
  61. 61. Cloud Computing : SaaSGmailGoogle AppsDropboxSalesforce.comZohoMicrosoft Office 365 61
  62. 62. 9 Trends that Impact the Future of Mobile Cloud ComputingEnterprise and consumer mobiles apps are gettingincreasingly smartPhone network providers are trying to climb up thevalue chain.4G LTE compatible devices are supporting bandwidthintensive applicationsThe entry of iPads into the enterprise spaceHTML5. 62
  63. 63. 9 Trends that Impact the Future of Mobile Cloud ComputingThe rise of mobile commerceFragility of mobile devices.Increase in the worker mobilityFragmentation of devices. 63
  64. 64. “Cloud computing will transform the IT industry as it will alter the financial model upon which investors look at technology providers, and it will change vertical industries, making the impact of the Internet on the music industry look like a minor bleep,”. Peter Sondergaard, senior vice president at Gartner 64
  65. 65. “At year-end 2016,more than 50 percent of Global 1000 companies will have stored customer-sensitive data in the public cloud.”. Gartner Prediction 2012 65
  66. 66. Public Clouds Will Grow To 10% 66
  67. 67. Top 5 Cloud Computing Trends IT departments will be forever changed Cloud security will no longer be an issue Custom cloud computing services Custom software development will shift towards the cloud Innovation 67Source : http://www.rickscloud.com/
  68. 68. Cloud Computing Opportunity for SMEUse ICT for their business with lowinvestment (no CAPEX; pay as you go)Buy ICT as Services (subscription model)such as SaaSCan focus on their businessBusiness ContinuityNew Business Opportunity 68
  69. 69. Cloud Readiness Index 2011 69Source : Asia Cloud Computing Association: September 2011
  70. 70. BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard 70Source : BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard: Feb 2012
  71. 71. BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard 71Source : BSA GlobalCloud Computing Scorecard: Feb 2012
  72. 72. Cloud Computing in Thailand Private Cloud in Enterprise Government Cloud Computing More public IaaS / SaaS services Thai Software Companies will start exploring cloud. International software vendors will offer more SaaS 72Source : http://www.rickscloud.com/
  73. 73. How Will Cloud Computing Impact IT Industry?IT Infrastructure will change dramaticallySome IT jobs may vanish altogether. New skills will be indemand.The way applications are developed, tested, deployedand continuously re-factored will undergo a changeThe selling and licensing of applications will change too.Business models will change.The architecture of applications will continue to evolve.Data volumes will skyrocket.Source: Dorais Learn Log 73
  74. 74. The World in 2020 74
  75. 75. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 75
  76. 76. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 76
  77. 77. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 77
  78. 78. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 78
  79. 79. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 79
  80. 80. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 80
  81. 81. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 81
  82. 82. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 82
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  84. 84. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 84
  85. 85. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 85
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  90. 90. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 90
  91. 91. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 91
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  94. 94. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 94
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  100. 100. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 100
  101. 101. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 101
  102. 102. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 102
  103. 103. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 103
  104. 104. Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/ 104
  105. 105. 12 Massive Changes That WillTransform The Software Industry Within 5 Years 105
  106. 106. Cloud computing changes how companies buy software. Instead of spending a chunk of cash buying software licenses every three to five years, companies are buying subscriptions and getting their software delivered over the Internet. Winners: Companies with cloud in their DNA like Salesforce.com, Google Apps and startups Losers: Traditional software players like Oracle, Microsoft, and SAP.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 106
  107. 107. Bottoms-up marketing tactics change which software companies buy. Instead of spending a chunk of cash buying software licenses every three to five years, companies are buying subscriptions and getting their software delivered over the Internet. Winners: Any company selling directly to employees. Losers: IT departments and sometimes their companies.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 107
  108. 108. Desktop virtualization changes how companies deliver software. People want to work on their own devices and use software they like. Companies need to control software and protect important data. Desktop virtualization does this. It is often called Desktop as a Service (DaaS). Winners: Companies like Dell, Wipro, VMware, Red Hat, Citrix Losers:Noone.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 108
  109. 109. Windows 8s Metro interface will change how people use Windows Everything about Windows. Microsoft has introduced a new Metro interface that wont work with older Windows apps and has a totally new user interface geared for touch. Winners: PC makers, who will be able to use Windows 8 to make Windows-based tablets. Losers:Microsofts faithful who hate to relearn how to use Windows.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 109
  110. 110. The move to Web apps is breaking Microsofts monopoly New web technologies like HTML5 mean that great software can be written for the browser and not a particular operating system like Windows. Winners: Cloud/web companies like Google, software developers, and Linux vendors like Red Hat and Canonical. Losers: Microsoft and its most established Windows software developers, but maybe not permanentlySource: http://www.businessinsider.com// 110
  111. 111. Mobile computing changes where software is used Software needs to be accessible anywhere on any device and cant be stuck in one place anymore. People want to be able to access work while at the beach or soccer field Winners: Employees. They get the freedom to work anywhere. Device makers like Apple, Samsung. Also network companies like Cisco, Verizon, Losers: Only companies stupid enough not to see this giant wave of mobile coming.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 111
  112. 112. App stores change how much people are willing to pay for software Apples app store has trained consumers to pay a lot less for software than we used to. Were forking out $0-$10 instead of $30-$100. Winners: Consumers. Startups with alternative business models: Rovio, Zynga, and so on. Losers: Traditional desktop software makers who focused on Windows apps.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 112
  113. 113. The death of the mouse changes the software user interface Touch and gesture interface is changing how we interact with software. Winners: Our wrists. People with disabilities. Plus gesture-based computing has created a whole new class of cool apps like these Kinect Hacks. Losers: Trackball makers and mice makers like HP, Logitech, Microsoft, and Apple. Traditional PC makers who havent yet built any tablets competitive with Apples iPad.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 113
  114. 114. Open source changes how software is written Software is being written by a crowd — anyone who wants to contribute — not controlled by a company. Winners: The people and companies using the software. Open source foundations like the Linux Foundation, Mozilla, Apache Foundation, Outercurve. Open source projects from companies like Red Hat. Losers: Traditional proprietary software makersSource: http://www.businessinsider.com// 114
  115. 115. Open source changes who controls software Many open source projects require that the software must always remain open and available for anyone to see the code and change it. Winners: The people using and contributing to the software. Open source companies like Red Hat and Canonical. Losers: Proprietary software vendorsSource: http://www.businessinsider.com// 115
  116. 116. Big data changes what can be done with software New technologies like noSQL databases and Hadoop allow massive amounts of data to be collected, stored, and analyzed inexpensively. This allows all kinds of new software to be created. Winners: Cloud software companies that service consumers and have to scale big, Enterprises that want to analyze trends but couldnt afford old fashioned data warehouses. Storage equipment makers Losers: big data doesnt really replace anything, it augments it.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 116
  117. 117. Social media changes how software is used Social media is being embedded into everything, from our spreadsheets to our televisions. People want to work together, discuss, find experts, get immediate feedback and so on. Winners: Facebook, LinkedIn, Google, Yammer, file-sharing services like Box, Salesforce, social media monitoring tools like Lithium, Microsoft and any other company adding social features to their software. Losers: Most companies are finding ways to cash in.Source: http://www.businessinsider.com// 117
  118. 118. www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand 118
  119. 119. Thank youthanachart@swpark.or.thtwitter.com/thanachartwww.facebook.com/thanachartwww.swpark.or.thwww.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand 119
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