Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2
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    Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2 Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2 Presentation Transcript

    • Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies
      Cruise The Crop Markets
      by John Roach
      January 17 - 24, 2010
      Day 2
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • How Should I Market My Crops?
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Roach Ag Sales Plan
      Make as many of your sales as possible during the months of March, April, May and June. Avoid October and November
      Sell in increments to take advantage of several market peaks using Roach Ag Sell Signals
      Buy puts on unsold new crop production with either profit goal or insurance goal
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 1
      • Focus the majority of sales in the 1st half of the year
      • March through June is usually best
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
      December 2007 Corn
      Both Lines Over 75 = Roach Ag Sell Signal
    • Roach Ag Sell & Buy Signals
      Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Roach Ag Sell Signals
      When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals
      56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 2
      • Sell only when markets are giving us a Roach Ag Sell Signal
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 3
      • Figure out the percentage of bushels you are comfortable selling each and every spring and tie that % to the your crop insurance policy coverage level
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 4
      • Make sure you have enough on-farm or other owned storage to hold the balance of a crop using your best ever yields
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 5
      • Make sure you sell enough in the spring prior to harvest to generate necessary cash-flow from harvest through February
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Rule # 6
      • Split your old crop bushels and new crop contracts into between 3 and 5 increments and sell one increment of each on each Sell Signal
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      December 2009 Corn Sales
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Roach Ag Marketing Plan
      Worksheet
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    • Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
      7601 N. Federal Hwy
      Suite 265-B
      Boca Raton, FL 33487
      800-622-7628
      jroach@roachag.com
      http://www.roachag.com
      © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.