Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2
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Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2 Cruise The Crop Markets 2010 Day 2 Presentation Transcript

  • Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies
    Cruise The Crop Markets
    by John Roach
    January 17 - 24, 2010
    Day 2
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • How Should I Market My Crops?
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    View slide
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    View slide
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Roach Ag Sales Plan
    Make as many of your sales as possible during the months of March, April, May and June. Avoid October and November
    Sell in increments to take advantage of several market peaks using Roach Ag Sell Signals
    Buy puts on unsold new crop production with either profit goal or insurance goal
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 1
    • Focus the majority of sales in the 1st half of the year
    • March through June is usually best
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    December 2007 Corn
    Both Lines Over 75 = Roach Ag Sell Signal
  • Roach Ag Sell & Buy Signals
    Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Roach Ag Sell Signals
    When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals
    56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 2
    • Sell only when markets are giving us a Roach Ag Sell Signal
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 3
    • Figure out the percentage of bushels you are comfortable selling each and every spring and tie that % to the your crop insurance policy coverage level
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 4
    • Make sure you have enough on-farm or other owned storage to hold the balance of a crop using your best ever yields
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 5
    • Make sure you sell enough in the spring prior to harvest to generate necessary cash-flow from harvest through February
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Rule # 6
    • Split your old crop bushels and new crop contracts into between 3 and 5 increments and sell one increment of each on each Sell Signal
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    December 2009 Corn Sales
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Roach Ag Marketing Plan
    Worksheet
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
    7601 N. Federal Hwy
    Suite 265-B
    Boca Raton, FL 33487
    800-622-7628
    jroach@roachag.com
    http://www.roachag.com
    © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.