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Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl
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Design sample from Open Look: RotoWorld Basketballl

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  • 1. 1NBA Season Preview ContenTs 2013 Rotoworld NBA Season Preview PRESENTED BY: POSITION TIERS Top 24 Offseason Transactions 04 Sleepers and busts 10 Over the Hill 14 TEAM PREVIEWS46 Point Guards78 Shooting Guards79 Small Forwards80 Power Forwards81 Center82 INJURY REPORT 18 PERCENTAGE KILLERS 28 DYNASTY TIPS AND DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH 30 PICK 5 32 DRAFT GUIDE ROUNDBALL STEW 34 3 BOLD PREDICTIOS 36 MOCK DRAFT 38 NBA Contract Year Conundrum 83 SCHEDULE BREAKDOWN 76 PLAYER PROFILES 84 TOP 20 ROOKIE PREVIEWS 20 RISK AND REWARD PLAYERS 24 photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images CHEAT SHEETS 121 Point- Based Top 200 122 Category Based Top 200 123 Dynasty Top 200 124 Point- Based Rankings PG/SG/SF/PF/C 125 Category Based Rankings PG/SG/SF/PF/C 127 Dynasty Rankings PG/SG/SF/PF/C
  • 2. 2 NBA Season Preview Editor’s Note W elcome to the 2013-14 Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide presented by Big Game Media and NBC Sports. It’s time to start preparing for the new season, and this magazine will give you all the tools you need in order to do just that. LeBron James or Kevin Durant will be taken with the No. 1 and 2 picks in your fantasy hoops draft, but what happens after that is anyone’s guess. Steve Alexander and Aaron Bruski tag team on Sleepers and Busts, and there are plenty of dia- monds in the rough to mine this year. Some of the guys we love include Jeff Green of the Celtics, Wilson Chandler of the Nuggets and Jonas Valanciunas of the Raptors. Dr. A also brings you Risk vs. Reward, where you learn if the potential rewards outweigh the risks associated with drafting injured stars like Derrick Rose, Kobe Bryant and Dwyane Wade. He also offers analysis on an expert Mock Draft, provides a detailed breakdown of the NBA schedule as it relates to your fantasy team in weekly leagues, as well as the biggest tool you need on draft night: Tiers. Ryan Knaus’ top offseason moves column is back, and we saw 13 teams change their head coaches over the summer. Meanwhile, guys like Dwight Howard, Josh Smith, Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Eric Bledsoe (remember that name) moved to new teams. Knaus also tells you who the top rookies are going to be in the NBA this season. Mike Gallagher breaks down the guys who will wreck your fantasy team’s shooting percentages and also takes a look at dynasty leagues. If you want some deep, young sleepers to target in your dynasty league, this is the column for you. Adam Levitan breaks down the injuries you should be thinking about heading into your draft, as well the over the hill gang – or the old guys you should stay away from this year. Matt Stroup returns with the popular Roundball Stew. The stew has been a Draft Guide staple for years, and Stroup will tell you which offseason moves he loved, which rookies he’s targeting and other tidbits that will help you on draft night. The whole crew got together to come up with three bold predictions, as well as the Pick 5 – five players who might be under the radar but will end up on most of our teams when we have our own drafts. Matthew Braine contributes a list of players heading into a contract year. And as you know, those guys tend to play with a little extra motivation, and many of them could be on the verge of having a big season in order to get paid next summer. Additionally, we’ve not only included each NBA team’s weekly games-played schedule, but their entire schedule is also provided on each team page. That way you can find out what kind of defense your player will face when he’s got a coveted four-game week. And last, but not least, there are more than 350 player profiles that recap each player’s 2012 sea- son, takes a look at what changed over the summer and what we are expecting from them in the upcoming season. There are also depth charts, team reports and cheat sheets that should make your draft night a relaxing and winning experience. So read the columns, soak up the knowledge and prepare to bask in the glow of winning another fantasy championship! Steve Alexander Senior NBA Editor/Head Writer Editor-in-Chief: Brett Vandermark Managing Editor: Ed Williams III Senior Writer: Steve Alexander Lead Developers: Steve Howard, Dave Wilburn, Greg Friedman Technical Director: Stephen Hildebrand Head Writers: Aaron Bruski, Ryan Knaus, Mike Gallagher, Adam Levitan Staff Writers: Matt Stroup, Matthew Braine Development Team: Karen Nicol, Ryan Stewart, Michelle Jones, James Dowd Editorial Staff: Aaron Solomon, Linda Manna Fire Marshall: Christopher Howland Special Thanks: Rick Cordella, Kevin Monaghan, Tom Seeley, Brian Gilmore, Eric Black, John Sikorjak, Mike Miller Presented By: Publisher: Chris Calandro Associate Publishers: Mark Wayne, Ryan Kasmiersky Designers: Jericho Khris Monte de Ramos, Noel ‘Kip’ Macasero Production Coordinator: Jennifer Cunningham Graphics Coordinator: Kelly Jennings Advertising Sales Representative: Sarah Kaiser Customer Service Representative: Sandy Heuerman Graphics Support: Cory Jenson, Angie West Accounting Manager: Leigh Chamberlain Director of Operations: Mike Boniol General Manager: Josh Eells Financial Services: DeDe Lawson Big Game Media, LLC 15222 King Rd, Suite 103 Frisco, Texas 75034 972.292.0700 www.biggameusa.com ©2013. The Big Game Presents: Rotoworld Fantasy Basketball. This magazine is purchased by the buyer with the understanding that information presented is from various sources from which there can be no warranty or responsibility by Big Game Media, LLC as to the legality, colpleteness or technical accuracy. @TheBigGameUSA /TheBigGameUSA TheBigGameUSA
  • 3. 3NBA Season Preview , ng h ,
  • 4. 4 NBA Season Preview By: Ryan Knaus Dwight Howard photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images Top offseason transactions24 01 Dwight Howard signs with the Rockets Four years, $88 million with a fourth- year player option Daryl Morey’s machinations finally paid off. Years of draft-day tinkering and a sprinkling of luck enabled the Rockets to sign the summer’s preeminent free agent – a physical anomaly who is en- tering his prime at 27 years old. Howard is already the only player in NBA history to lead the league in rebounding for five consecu- tive seasons (2005-2010) and the only player to ever win Defensive Player of the Year honors in three consecutive seasons (2009- 2011). His rebounding and shot-blocking give him elite fantasy potential in any situation—witness his 17.9 points, 15.2 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per game in March last season. Now that he’s healthy, his offense should also recover, especially if he’s willing to sacrifice the spotlighting effect of post-ups (0.74 points per posses- sion last year, ranking 121st in the league) and play to his strengths as a roll-man (1.29 points per possession, 9th in the league). Lest anyone doubt Dwight’s outlook, consider what he overcame while leading the NBA in rebounds last season (excerpted from a RW blurb): “Dwight had back surgery [in April 2012] to relieve nerve pressure which was causing him to lose feeling in his foot. When his back and foot recovered, he was out of shape and frequently brought the ball down to gather himself, at which point opponents whacked him, held him and generally aggravated the torn labrum in his right shoulder.” He played through the shoulder ailment last year, however, and has missed a grand total of 25 games in nine NBA seasons, one more reason to love his fantasy outlook as a Rocket.* *The standard asterisk is that Dwight was the No. 93 player in eight-cat leagues last season on a per-game basis. If you were will- ing to punt his 49.2 percent free throw shooting, he jumped to No. 3 overall. You may hear reports of his improved concentration at the FT line before the season. You may hear that he’s working with a shot-doctor, a yogi or a faith-healer, but don’t believe the hype: Dwight’s FT percentage has been on a fitful downward trajectory ever since his rookie season, when he coolly knocked down 67.1 percent of his freebies. 02 Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry traded to the Nets Celtics get Gerald Wallace, MarShon Brooks, Kris Humphries and draft picks This deal must be understood in the context of owner Mikhail Prokhorov’s willingness to throw around millions of dollars like confetti and his single-minded focus on winning a champion- ship. Why else would Brooklyn set themselves up for a whopping $101 million payroll and accompanying $75+ million luxury tax, while purging themselves of young players and draft picks? In the short-term, the Nets are simply stacked at every position, with the talent and depth to legitimately challenge for supremacy in the East. The situation is much gloomier for fantasy owners, though, as that depth will likely translate to muddled roles, limited minutes and precautionary DNPs. Garnett averaged 30 minutes per game last season, and Terry averaged 27 minutes, the lowest totals since they were rookies, while Pierce averaged a career-low 33 minutes. Their playing time will decrease even more in Brooklyn, as Jason Kidd parcels out their minutes to keep them healthy and fresh for the postseason. Looking at cumulative nine-cat value, owners should target KG somewhere around the seventh round and Pierce in the sixth round, but Terry is unlikely to be worth drafting unless you’re desperate for 3-pointers. 03 Kevin Martin signs with the Timberwolves Four years, $28 million Martin accepted a sixth-man role with the Thunder last season, av- eraging just 28 minutes per game and fewer shots (10.1 per game) than he’d taken since the 2005-06 season. As a result, his fantasy value plummeted to the late-middle rounds. He avoided injury and played in 77 games, however, and he should bounce back as the Wolves’ starting SG this season—who better for Ricky Rubio to pass to than Martin, a career 38.5 percent shooter from
  • 5. 5NBA Season Preview downtown? His FT accuracy and knack for drawing fouls have always buoyed his fantasy value, but it’s worth noting that on a per-36-minute basis, he’s dropped from 9.3 FT attempts (2010-11) to 5.1 FT attempts (2011-12) to 4.1 FT attempts (2012-13). Fantasy owners should give him a look anywhere past the fifth round. 04 Andrea Bargnani traded to the Knicks Raptors get Steve Novak, Quentin Richardson, a 2016 first-round pick and two future second-round picks* Bargnani shot 39.9 percent from the field last year. He rebounded at a historically pathetic rate for a seven-footer (4.6 boards per 36 minutes). He continued to struggle defensively, particularly as a help defender (0.8 blocks per game), and he appeared in just 35 games due to a sequence of injuries and ineffective play. But through the kaleidoscopic lens of James Dolan’s imagina- tion, Bargnani was worth $22.3 million over the next two years as well as the Knicks’ sacrifice of healthy veterans, draft picks and financial flexibility. Bargnani’s health will be critical to New York’s success, which is terrifying since he has missed 43 percent of his games over the past three seasons. Amare Stoudemire can’t shake the injury bug either, and he’s projected to play a backup role, but fantasy owners shouldn’t even consider drafting Bargs before the 10th round. The odds that Bargnani has a bounce-back season = the odds that Bargnani boxes out aggressively after a jump shot = the odds that whoever drafts Bargnani before the 8th round will win their fantasy league. *Marcus Camby was amicably bought out by Toronto and has since signed on as veteran mentor/emergency depth with the Rockets. Quentin Richardson earned a ridiculous $5 million salary to make the financial numbers work. This was a ridiculous, unfath- omable amount of assets for the Knicks to give up for Bargnani, and to my knowledge nobody has earnestly argued otherwise. 05 Andrew Bynum signs with the Cavaliers Two years, $24.8 million with incen- tives and a second-year team option The Cavaliers expect Bynum to start at center “if he’s healthy,” a phrase which will follow him like a shadow for the rest of his career. The former All-Star’s contract is worth as much as $24.4 million over two years, but only $6 million is guaranteed—the deal is understandably laden with incentives for minutes-played and games-played. The only way for fantasy owners to limit their exposure to risk is to avoid Bynum on draft day, viewing him as a flier pick with too much potential to pass up in the final rounds. If he does wind up on any of my fantasy rosters, I plan to trade him the moment he strings together consecutive double-doubles. 06 Andre Iguodala signs with the Warriors Four years, $48 million Iguodala nearly signed with the Mavericks, and he flirted with the Kings, but he ultimately signed with the Warriors after a series of salary-clearing moves allowed them to make a hefty-enough offer. It seems like a brilliant match all around. Iguodala joins a playoff contender with a dearth of defense-oriented players, his speed in transition meshes perfectly with the Warriors’ speedy attack (fourth-quickest pace in the NBA last year) and his shaky perimeter shooting (31.7 percent from deep last year) will be compensated for by Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. Harrison Barnes is expected to shift to the bench, where he’s being called the “sixth starter,” and coach Mark Jackson will find a way to give both Barnes and Iggy sufficient minutes, most likely by leaning heavily on small lineups and using Barnes as a PF. Fantasy owners should view Iguodala as a nice upside pick in the fifth round, though he plummets in formats that count FT percentage (57.4 percent last year). 07 Tyreke Evans sign-and-traded to the Pelicans Four years, $44 million New Orleans may deploy Evans as a sixth-man, where his ball- dominant offense will be a welcome addition, rather than Andre Igoudala photo by Rocky Widner/Getty Images
  • 6. 6 NBA Season Preview starting him at SF and risk stagnation as he fights for posses- sions with Jrue Holiday and Eric Gordon. It’s a lot of money for a backup swingman, but the Pelicans desperately needed an upgrade at SF, where inconsistent Al-Farouq Aminu (who re-signed on a one-year deal) is expected to start. Evans’ splits on Synergy Sports confirm that while he struggled in isolation and spot-up opportu- nities, he was very efficient as the pick-and-roll ball-handler. More surprisingly, he was mediocre in transition (1.15 points per pos- session), where his phenomenal athleticism was tempered by poor decision-making (i.e. chronic forced shots and turnovers). He was a sixth-round fantasy value last season, while playing 31 minutes per game in a discombobulated offense, and it’s reasonable to think he’ll jump up a round with a clearly-defined role for the Pelicans. 08 Al Jefferson signs with the Bobcats Three years, $41 million with a third- year player option The Bobcats gave Jefferson the biggest free agent contract in fran- chise history, and it’s pretty easy to understand their reasoning. Big Al is a borderline All-Star (he’s never made the cut) who wanted to sign in Charlotte, and he addresses the Bobcats’ utter lack of inte- rior scoring, even if he does nothing to improve their frontcourt’s league-worst defense. He averaged 17.8 points on 49.4 percent shooting last year, with 9.2 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.1 blocks, while turning the ball over a scant 1.3 times per game. The 10-year veteran isn’t likely to have a career renaissance in Char- lotte, but more points and boards can be expected since the ‘Cats will inevitably lean on him in the half-court. His fantasy value exceeds his real-world value, and he’s a reasonable first-round pick in nine-cat leagues (bump him down a round in eight-cat). 09 Eric Bledsoe traded to Suns Phoenix gets Bledsoe and Caron Butler; L.A. Clippers receive J.J. Redick and Jared Dudley; Milwaukee gets two future second-round picks Bledsoe’s move to Phoenix was overshadowed by bigger-name transactions, but he may end up being the biggest winner in fantasy leagues. Suns GM Ryan McDonough and coach Jeff Hor- nacek have vowed to play Goran Dragic alongside Bledsoe, their coveted combo guard, and Hornacek boiled his philosophy during Summer League down to four words—“Just go. Everybody Run.” It makes sense that Phoenix jettisoned deliberate veteran Luis Scola to acquire young talent while clearing minutes for Markieff Morris and, to a lesser extent, Marcus Morris (and lest we forget, Channing Frye could return after missing the entire 2012-13 season). Returning to Bledsoe’s fantasy outlook, his averages in 12 starts with L.A. last season give a tantalizing glimpse of his upside: 14.2 points with 0.6 threes (43.8 percent from downtown), 4.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 2.5 steals, 1.3 blocks and 2.6 turnovers per game. Without getting carried away, forward-thinking fantasy owners can confidently draft Bledsoe in the fourth round. 10 Monta Ellis signs with the Mavericks Three years, $25-$30 million depend- ing upon incentives The Mavs were elated to land Ellis, an elite scorer in his prime at 28 years old, for roughly $8 million per season. He’ll take immense pressure off Dirk Nowitzki offensively, while the efficiency of Dirk, Shawn Marion and Jose Calderon should mitigate Ellis’ lousy pe- rimeter shooting (28.7 percent from downtown) and shaky overall efficiency (49.5 percent effective FGs). He may also get a boost as a post player—the Mavs ran nearly twice as many post-ups than the Bucks last season—and he should share pick-and-roll ball- handling duties with Jose Calderon, who is a far deadlier spot-up shooter. Owners willing to absorb (or punt) turnovers and low FG percentage should target him in the third or fourth round, while everyone else should wait a few more rounds before pouncing. 11 Jose Calderon signs with the Mavericks Four years, $29 million Mark Cuban was incredulous when critics said Calderon’s contract is too rich and too long. He pointed to Calderon’s 3-point ac- curacy (46.1 percent from downtown last year), pure PG skills (7.1 assists in under 30 minutes per game) and always-stellar assist-to-turnover ratio (4.1, trailing only Chris Paul). Those are the same reasons fantasy owners shouldn’t overlook Calderon on draft day – he quietly posted top-50 value in limited playing time last year, ranking as the 12th most valuable fantasy PG in nine-cat roto leagues (ahead of Rajon Rondo, Ty Lawson, Kyle Lowry and Jrue Holiday). His lamentable defense shouldn’t matter to fantasy owners and the Mavs will likely play him hefty minutes ahead of rookies Gal Mekel and Shane Larkin, so the only major caveat is Calderon’s health – he’s missed an average of 12.8 games over the past five seasons. 12 Paul Millsap signs with the Hawks Two years, $19 million Danny Ferry’s streak of impressive and cap-conscious moves continued with Millsap—the two-year deal maintains the Hawks’ super-flexible financial outlook, and his $9.5 million annual salary is on par with a guy like Shawn Marion ($9.3 million) and way cheaper than David Lee ($13.9 million) or even Kris Humphries ($12.0 million). The value is more than surface-deep. Millsap is as durable as they come (18 total DNPs in seven seasons), he scores efficiently (career 56.3 true shooting), he rebounds well (9.2 boards per 36 minutes), he averaged 1.3 steals per game last year and he has a career PER of 18.8 (Josh Smith’s career PER is 18.4). His minutes will undoubtedly exceed the 30 per game he averaged last season, which makes him a borderline second-round pick in most formats. The Hawks also signed Elton Brand to a one-year, $4 million deal, but EB isn’t likely to have more than late-round value while the Sapper and Al Horford are healthy.
  • 7. 7NBA Season Preview
  • 8. 8 NBA Season Preview 13 Josh Smith signs with the Pistons Four years, $56 million Hawks fans will no longer groan every time Josh Smith launches a perimeter jumper, since he’ll be doing it in a Pistons uniform. That he will attempt such ill-advised shots is a given, especially if the Pistons deploy him as their starting SF alongside Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond, and the only real mystery is how Mo Cheeks will react. Will he scream as Smoove trots back from the 3-point line, playing half-speed transition defense after his miss? Will he scour from his chair, grudgingly accepting the reality that big- name players hold the power in today’s NBA? Either way, fantasy owners will surely live with the results. Once you ignore his career- low 51.1 percent FT shooting (a must if you want to draft him), Smoove was a top-15 roto player on the strength of 17.5 points, 0.8 triples, 8.4 boards, 4.2 assists, 1.2 steals and 1.8 blocks per game. He missed six games last year and has been remarkably durable throughout his career, another reason to target the über-talented 28-year-old on draft day. 14 Brandon Jennings signed-and-traded to the Pistons Three years, $24 million Jennings set career-highs last season with 6.5 assists and 2.2 three-pointers per game, but habitually poor shooting percentages and high turnovers limited him to fourth-round value in nine- cat leagues (third-round in eight-cat). His assists may jump even higher in Detroit, where he has a corps of big men (Drummond, Monroe, Smoove) capable of finishing his passes. His scoring may also get a boost since he’s no longer competing for shots with Monta Ellis. Pistons fans, however, can only hope that the 24-year- old improves his shot selection (60 percent of his shots came from beyond 15 feet last season), ball protection (24th among PGs in assist-to-turnover ratio) and defense (opponents scored 9.2 more points per 48 minutes with Jennings off the court). In return for Jennings, the Bucks got Brandon Knight, Slava Kravtsov and Khris Middleton. Knight immediately assumes starting PG duties in Milwaukee and has a great chance to improve upon last year’s 13.3 points, 4.0 assists and 3.3 rebounds per game. He took a step backward during his second NBA season, averaging 13.3 points on 40.7 percent shooting with few assists (4.0) or steals (0.8) but enough turnovers (2.7) to do damage in nine-cat leagues. His saving grace in fantasy leagues is perimeter shooting—he made 1.6 triples last year at a 36.7 percent clip. Hopefully the Bucks will give him a green light all season, but his looks could be limited with O.J. Mayo, Gary Neal, Luke Ridnour, Carlos Delfino and Ersan Ilyasova all capable perimeter shooters. 15 Jrue Holiday traded to the Pelicans New Orleans receives Holiday and Pierre Jackson; Philadelphia receives No. 6 pick Nerlens Noel and a top-five protected 2014 pick Holiday was the only player in the NBA to average at least 17.0 points and 8.0 assists last season. He made the All-Star team at age 23. He’s missed five games total in the past three seasons, he’s a career 37.4 percent shooter from downtown and his total rebound percentage last year ranked sixth in the NBA among starters 6’3” or shorter. The Pelicans saw an opportunity and they seized it, and the acquisition of Holiday began a chain of roster-altering moves— Tyreke Evans signed as a free agent, Robin Lopez was traded to the Blazers and the roster was filled out with Al-Farouq Aminu, Anthony Morrow and Greg Stiemsma. Tyreke is expected to play sixth-man, where his ball-dominance will be minimally disruptive to Holiday’s game, and Jrue should thrive on a Pelicans team built to run the rubber off their soles. His fantasy value could increase now that he’s out of Doug Collins’ deliberate offensive system (21st in the league in pace), although his usual sky-high turnovers are part of the package. Brandon Jennings photo by Allen Einstein/Getty Images
  • 9. 9NBA Season Preview Honorable mention transactions 16Gerald Henderson stayed with the Bobcats, agreeing to a rea- sonable three-year, $18 million deal. It’s a steal for Charlotte considering Henderson’s production last season was very similar to Tyreke Evans, who will make an average of $11 mil- lion annually. Fantasy owners should target him in the fifth or sixth round. 17Greivis Vasquez was sent to the Kings in the Tyreke Evans deal, and he seems like the favorite to start at PG ahead of Isaiah Thomas. He was a great source of assists last year, while barely moving the needle in other fantasy categories, and there’s no reason to expect more from him in Sacramento. 18Carl Landry rejoined the Kings on a four-year, $26 million deal. His efficient scoring and rebounding can be eye-catching, but savvy fantasy owners know to avoid him until the final rounds. It’s unclear whether Landry will pry the starting PF job away from Jason Thompson. 19Manu Ginobili re-signed with the Spurs, where his minutes will likely decrease from the 23 per game he averaged last season. He’s a classic risk vs. reward pick in the final rounds. 20Chris Kaman signed a one-year, $3.2 million deal to join the Lakers, where he’ll likely start alongside Pau Gasol. Kaman needs to prove he can stay healthy before fantasy owners trust him as more than a late-rounder. 21Kosta Koufos was traded from the Nuggets to the Grizzlies in exchange for Darrell Arthur and a second-round pick. It’s a nice deal for Memphis, allowing them to maintain a solid presence behind Marc Gasol without overpaying for a guy like Timofey Mozgov (who landed a three-year, $14 million deal from the Nuggets). Koufos won’t have fantasy value in standard leagues while Gasol is healthy. 22Luis Scola was traded to the Pacers for Miles Plumlee, Gerald Green and a protected 2014 first-round pick. He’ll come off the bench behind David West, which crushes his fantasy outlook but is a very nice fit for the Pacers. Scola’s offensive creativity is a welcome addition, and his defensive limitations should be masked by Indy’s stellar team defense. If and when players blow past Scola, they’ll face rotating help defenders and either Roy Hibbert or Ian Mahinmi lurking near the rim. 23Mike Miller signed a two-year deal to return to the Grizzlies. He’ll come off the bench and give them much-needed perim- eter shooting. 24Ryan Gomes signed with the Thunder, a deal which is only remarkable since it’s the most important non-draft addition OKC made all summer. Cleveland Cavaliers v Charlotte Bobcats photo by Brock Williams-Smith/Getty Images
  • 10. 10 NBA Season Preview SLEEPERS AND BUSTS F inding those diamonds in the rough is one of the most important aspects of fantasy sports, while identifying big names that will fizzle out is also quite helpful. While there will be several players not listed here that will break out and become hot pickups, these are the guys we think have the best chance of doing so. Steve Alexander handles the sleepers, while Aaron Bruski lists the players he thinks may fail to meet expectations. For the record, we disagree on Al Jefferson, as Bruski has him busting, and Alexander thinks he’ll beast alone in the middle for Michael Jordan’s Bobcats. SLEEPERS POINT GUARDS Eric Bledsoe SUNS Bledsoe has the talent to be a fantasy beast, and it looks like he’ll get the opportunity to play for the Suns. He will spend a lot of time at shooting guard, but will also back up Goran Dragic at point guard. We’ve got him at about 15 points, four rebounds, four assists, two steals, a block and a 3-pointer per game. He appears to be a can’t-miss player this year. Trey BurkeJAZZ There are huge concerns about his shooting percentage, but Burke should win the start- ing point guard job and doesn’t have much competition. It may take him some time to figure out the NBA game, but once he does, he should be in the running for Rookie of the Year. Michael Carter - Williams76ERS The Sixers shuttled Jrue Holiday out of town and will hand the reins of the offense to MCW this season. He’ll struggle at times, but with the Sixers ready to tank and pre- pare for the future, Carter-Williams should have a long leash, and a lot of big games as he learns how to play professional basket- ball. SHOOTING GUARDS O.J. MayoBUCKS Mayo struggled when Dirk Nowitzki re- turned from knee surgery last year, but also got off to a hot start. Monta Ellis and Bran- don Jennings are gone, and Mayo should be option No. 1 in Milwaukee. He should score a ton of points, hit a lot of threes and be a fun player to own. Jimmy Butler BULLS Butler looks like the starting shooting guard for the Bulls, and his ability to rebound, steal, score and hit 3-pointers should make him a popular target in fantasy. Add in the fact that he doesn’t miss games, and it would appear that a breakout is coming. Kevin MartinTIMBERWOLVES Martin is a bit fragile, but a move from OKC to Minnesota, where he’ll play for Rick Adelman and start at shooting guard, should be just what the doctor ordered. He should be option No. 2 for the Wolves (after Kevin Love), and owners can expect at least 17 points and a boatload of 3-pointers from Martin this season. He’s also an excellent free throw shooter and gets to the line often. Alec BurksJAZZ Randy Foye is gone, and it appears it’s time for Burks to start at shooting guard as he prepares for a breakout season. We’ve got him penciled in for around 12 points and plenty of 3-pointers, but he could easily end up scoring closer to 15 points a night. Jeremy LambTHUNDER Kevin Martin’s departure probably means that defensive wiz Thabo Sefolosha is still the starter, but Lamb should get plenty of minutes off the bench. And given that he’ll follow in the footsteps of James Harden and Martin, there’s a very good chance Lamb pays off for those of you drafting him in the later rounds. Twelve points and a 3-pointer per game might be conservative estimates. J.J. RedickCLIPPERS Redick will have to compete with Jamal Crawford for minutes but looks like the starting shooting guard for the Clippers, who no longer have Caron Butler. If Redick gets the minutes we’re expecting, he should hit more than two 3-pointers per game and post solid, all-around numbers alongside Chris Paul. John Jenkins HAWKS Lou Williams is still recovering from knee surgery and we’ve got Jenkins listed as the starting shooting guard. And if he gets 25-30 minutes per night, he could pay off as a late- round flier in almost all fantasy leagues. Of course, if Lou-Will returns strong, Jenkins could also end up being a bust. James AndersonSIXERS With Jason Richardson’s season in doubt and Evan Turner set to play a lot of small forward, Anderson is going to have to step up. He’s a long shot for fantasy value, but we should all keep a close eye on him in train- ing camp and the preseason. He will likely be worth a last-round pick on draft night if hes the starter. Small Forwards Jeff Green CELTICS Green somehow made it through every game last season after missing a year due to heart surgery. Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett are in Brooklyn, and the only thing standing in Green’s way is Gerald Wallace, who forgot how to play basketball last year. Green can score, board, steal, block and hit 3-pointers, and we are expecting a monster year from him, comparable to what Nicolas Batum will do. Go get him. By: Steve Alexander and Aaron Bruski photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images
  • 11. 11NBA Season Preview Carlos Delfino/Khris Mid- dleton BUCKS The Bucks don’t appear to be ready to play Ersan Ilyasova at small forward, meaning Delfino looks like the guy. And while he’s in- jury prone, he’s also one of the best 3-point shooters in the league, and can steal the ball. His shooting percentage won’t be ideal, but he could lead the league in 3-pointers made if he can stay healthy. And if he falters, look for Middleton to step up his game and become worth owning in most leagues. Tobias HarrisMAGIC Harris went on a crazy tear when he was traded to the Magic last season, and we see no reason why he can’t do it again. We’ve got him penciled in for 16 points, 7.4 rebounds, a steal, a block and a 3-pointer per game this season. Unfortunately, the secret is out, and he’s going to go higher in drafts than we’d prefer, but he should still pay off. Harrison BarnesWARRIORS Barnes had the dunk of the summer and things were really looking up for him until the Warriors landed Andre Iguodala. Barnes will still have plenty of opportunities to score, rebound, steal and hit 3-pointers, but we’d be a lot more confident in his game if he didn’t have to fight for minutes with Iguodala. John SalmonsKINGS The Kings have always been weak at small forward, and it looks like Salmons will have the job this season with Tyreke Evans in New Orleans. Salmons isn’t going to single- handedly win you a fantasy league, but he should put up solid numbers as long as he’s starting. Twelve points, three boards, three assists, a steal and a couple threes per game are not out of the question. Nick Young/Wes Johnson LAKERS Metta World Peace is in New York, and Young and Johnson are set to split time at small forward for the Lakers. And if Kobe Bryant misses time with his Achilles injury, both players could end up starting until he’s good to go. Both of them are volume scorers and can hit 3-pointers, and both should be worth owning in most leagues. Just don’t target them until the end of your draft. Wilson ChandlerNUGGETS Chandler has the ability to contribute in almost every fantasy category, and we have no idea when teammate Danilo Gallinari might be ready to play this season. Chandler should come out of the gates healthy, ready to score, and put up all-around solid fantasy numbers. Don’t be afraid to jump on him once the big-named small forwards are off the board, as he could be one of the steals of your draft. Power Forwards Derrick FavorsJAZZ With Al Jefferson (CHA) and Paul Millsap (ATL) out of the way, Favors should run the show at power forward in Utah this season. Fourteen points, 10 boards, a steal and two blocks sounds about right, and he won’t kill you at the free throw line (70%). Amir JohnsonRAPTORS Andrea Bargnani is with the Knicks, and Ed Davis is in Memphis, clearing the way for Johnson to be the primary power forward for Toronto this season. A breakout season should be coming, and we think he’ll aver- age at least 14 points, nine boards, a steal and 1.5 blocks this season. Thaddeus Young76ERS The Sixers are a mess and Young is coming off a fine season, as usual. We’ve got him tar- geted at 78 games, 16 points, eight boards, two steals and nearly a block per game, so don’t sleep on him. Markieff MorrisSUNS We’re guessing Morris will play in all 82 games this season, and Luis Scola is in Indi- an. That should clear the way for a breakout season of 13 points, seven boards, a steal, a block and nearly a 3-pointer per game, which is gold from a big man. Cody ZellerBOBCATS Zeller should start at PF for Charlotte, as long as he can hold off Josh McRoberts, and is many people’s pick for Rookie of the Year. He should be a nice complement to new center Al Jefferson, and average around 12 points, 7.5 rebounds and a block per game. Centers Jonas ValanciunasRAPTORS Everyone on the Rotoworld staff seems to be in agreement that this is the time for Valanciunas to break out. He was fantastic in the Summer League, is the clear starter at center, and all signs are pointing to him becoming one of the best centers in the league, despite av- eraging just nine points and six boards last season. We see him at 13 points, nine boards and two blocks, and it’s possible that those projections are too conservative. Don’t be afraid to make him your No. 1 center, as the Raptors seem fully invested in running the of- fense through the big man this year. Enes KanterJAZZ Kanter showed a lot of skills and tools last season, and Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap are no longer in Utah. He should get all the minutes he can handle and should be a double-double machine this year, along with a block per game. And he can shoot free throws. JaVale McGee NUGGETS George Karl and Kosta Koufos are gone, and Brian Shaw will now coach the Nuggets. All of those facts give McGee some serious hope, and he’s the easy fa- vorite to start at center in Denver. Sure, he could tick his coach off at any time by making a bone-headed play or two, but there is a very good chance McGee could be a monster this year. We’ve got him at 13 points, nine boards and 2.5 blocks this season, and if he gains confidence and stops constantly looking over his shoulder, could be even better than that. Andre DrummondPISTONS Yes, the free throw shooting is going to be abysmal, as in dreadful, and possibly devastating. But he should also average at least 12 points, nine boards and two blocks this season. The bad news is that he’ll have to compete with Greg Mon- roe and Josh Smith for his boards and blocks, but should be one of the most fun young players in the league to own. Chris KamanLAKERS Kaman will start for the Lakers and while he’s no longer the player he once was for the Clippers, there should still be something left in the tank. If 13 points, six boards and solid percentages work for you, Kaman should be a de- cent late-round fantasy pick this year.
  • 12. 12 NBA Season Preview BUSTS his minutes and touches get divided up among a deeper Warriors squad. Jamal Crawford CLIPPERS He’s still going to get his minutes, and owners will remember the good times from last season on draft day, but the additions of J.J. Redick and Jared Dud- ley bring two serviceable players into Crawford’s situation and not in a good way. Dwyane Wade HEAT If there was ever a guy that profiles to take the regular season off, it’s Wade, whose knees are officially suspect along with his jumper that he refused to take in the Finals. A player of his caliber will always command a stiff price, but days off and injury risk give him the look of a nasty headache. Ray Allen HEAT Approaching league-worst defensive levels, it’s going to be hard for the Heat Point Guards Jeremy Lin ROCKETS With Patrick Beverley breathing down his neck and a solid fantasy season under his belt to drive up his price, the going rate for Linsanity could end up being a drain on owners’ pocketbooks. Steve Nash LAKERS Nash’s numbers took a big hit in the assists department playing next to Kobe, and it’s a fair question to wonder whetherif he can play more than 60 games this season. Decreased athleti- cism has already impacted the way he plays, and a precipitous decline could be in store for a guy whose name value can still command a mid-round pick. Jrue Holiday PELICANS Along the same lines as Monroe, hHe added Eric Gordon and Tyreke Evans to his life. If the Pelicans don’t run and gun Nellie style, there might be a fight for the ball at halfcourt. Greivis Vasquez KINGS After the fawning media is done for- getting that Isaiah Thomas had to play for Keith Smart last year, the latter will surprise them by being just as good of a passer as Vasquez and a better defender. With holes in his fantasy game already, look for Vasquez to be overdrafted if he wins the starting job in Sacramento. Shooting Guards Joe Johnson NETS Iso-Joe had more name than game last year, and with the Nets adding Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Andrei Kirilenko he’s bound to get overdrafted. In fact, you can make a case for all four players being in the same predicament. Klay Thompson WARRIORS Thompson isn’t going to be a huge bust, but given where he will be drafted, he’ll have the potential to be a miss when to keep Allen on the court if he’s not hitting his shots. A decline in shooting last season could easily get swept under the rug after he hit the shot that saved the Heat’s championship. Small Forwards Josh Smith PISTONS Not only is Smith one of the worst free throw shooters in the league, he will have to deal with two rebounding studs in Detroit (Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe). Smoove is still a very talented fantasy player, but with more competi- tion for both rebounding and scoring, and his terrible stats from the line, he will likely be drafted too early in most leagues. Paul Pierce NETS Pierce not only has to deal with Andrei Kirilenko playing his position in Brook- lyn, but the Nets are one of the deepest teams in the league. He’s already said he photo by Issac Baldizon/Getty Images
  • 13. 13NBA Season Preview is ready to be a role player, and while he’ll still offer fantasy value, the days of him being a workhorse at small forward are probably over. Danilo Gallinari NUGGETS Gallinari may not be ready to play until January after knee surgery, and even then it could be a lost season for him. We’ve got his substitute, Wilson Chandler, listed as a sleeper (for good reason), and he looks like a much better pick than Gallinari this year. Michael BeasleySUNS Don’t let the name fool you. The Suns have plenty of other players to handle small forward and Beasley’s marijuana arrest over the summer isn’t going to help his cause. He was a disaster last season, as he’s been for most of his career, and there is no reason to think anything will change this season. Power Forwards David Lee WARRIORS Lee’s defense is suspect, as he doesn’t block shots and is mainly known for scoring and rebounding. And given Lee’s big name, and the added juice to GSW’s lineup, there’s a very good chance Lee will disappoint owners who take him in the early rounds of their draft. David West PACERS Yes, he just signed a big contract and he beat down owners’ criticisms last season, but the Pacers have much more depth and can preserve their team lead- er’s health by cutting his minutes. With Paul George, Lance Stephenson, George Hill and Roy Hibbert coming into their own, his touches could go down too. Pau Gasol LAKERS He’s going to have a better season than the one he posted last year, but with Dwight Howard gone, owners are al- ready forgetting that Gasol’s game is in decline and that Mike D’Antoni doesn’t like to play two centers. Chris Kaman will bear the brunt of that philosophy, but the early draft pick that Gasol will cost is a risk-reward play on a guy that appeared to be falling apart. Zach Randolph GRIZZLIES Management appears, at least superfi- cially, to not view Randolph as a part of their long-term future. And there are signs that the relationship has strained, though we won’t be bumping him down draft boards much for these reasons. But when talking busts, an aging mid- round guy that might be unhappy is worth flagging. Greg Monroe PISTONS Used to operating with the ball in his hands, he just acquired two reasons that won’t happen as much – Brandon Jen- nings and Josh Smith. Good luck, Greg. Glen Davis MAGIC I’m trying not to unfairly picture him coming back Oliver Miller style after a long layoff, but however he returns he’ll come back to a team that is no- where near ‘his,’ no matter how much he thinks that statement isn’t true. Andrea Bargnani F and Amare Stoudemire KNICKS Both will be overdrafted and both could very well sit on the waiver wire for much of the year. Centers Al Jefferson BOBCATS Big Al showed signs of decline last season and looked slower than ever. With what looks to be a cushy fantasy situation, a precipitous decline could hurt when considering he’ll be an early round draft pick. Andrew Bynum CAVALIERS The jokes almost write themselves with this guy, but with his proverbial upside comes the potential for a massive flop. We prefer to take our chances on guys that actually love the game of basket- ball. photo by Andrew D. Bernstein/Getty Images
  • 14. 14 NBA Season Preview Earlier this year, I paid $150 to go to a Bob Dylan concert. The performance was so bad, I left early and felt like I’d been taken into a dark alley and robbed of my money. In the end, however, this waste of cash was really my fault. I paid for the young Dylan, not the 72-year-old Dylan. The problem? Dylan is a shell of himself because, well, he’s 72 years old. It’s not his fault. When it comes to fantasy basketball, paying for past per- formances is equally as inexcusable. By identifying when players have hit the top of their career arc and are coming back down, we can avoid overpaying. Future returns - i.e. the 2013-14 season - are all we care about. Here are 10 candidates to be overdrafted because they’re over the hill. Dwyane Wade SG, Heat Wade has long been a candidate to hit the wall early be- cause of the way he attacks the rim and consistently ends up on his backside. The wear and tear has caught up to him recently. Over the last two seasons, Wade has missed 30-of-148 games (20.2 percent). Last season, his 21.2 points and 0.81 blocks per game were the lowest marks since his rookie year. Wade was a serviceable 3-point shooter at one time, but as his legs have left him, that part of his game has gone by the wayside as well. Wade was just 17-of-66 (25.8 per- cent) last season. Wade’s knee issues are chronic at age 31. He even missed a playoff game against the Bucks. Furthermore, head-to- head owners need to avoid Wade like the plague. Since the Heat only have the playoffs on their mind, they’ll rest Wade down the stretch. He sat nine of the final 14 games in 2012- 13 and eight of the final 16 in 2011-12. Dirk Nowitzki PF, Mavs Owners that wasted a pick on Nowitzki last year felt the pain. He sat out the first 27 games of the year and then posted just 17.3 points per game – his lowest mark since 1999-2000. The Mavs clearly know they have to become less reliant on Dirk. He played just 31.6 minutes a night last year, the lowest since his rookie year. In the offseason, they went out and got three new starters in Monta Ellis, Jose Calderon and Sam Dalembert. Dirk’s offensive role will continue to decline because he’s 35 years old and is no longer able to carry a team. By: Adam Levitan photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/Getty Images
  • 15. 15NBA Season Preview Steve NashPG, Lakers The hamstring and hip injuries that kept Nash out of 32 games last year are expected to be back to 100 percent. There will be preseason stories about how good and young he’s feeling. Don’t buy it. Listen to Lakers trainer Gary Vitti. “Figure out the appropriate minutes that put him in a successful situation. The example I use is Robert Horry, where we played him a lot of minutes, and it was difficult for him to recover and be productive at his age. But he goes to San Antonio, plays 18 minutes a game, and the guy was an unbe- lievable force off the bench for them. I think if we figure out how best to use Steve, he can be the same way.” Nash was a well below average defender when he was in his 20s. He was atrocious in his 30s. Now that he’s going to turn 40 in February, he’s a liability. Even Mike D’Antoni can’t afford to keep Nash out on the floor for extended stretches against the game’s minions of lightning-fast point guards. Even trying to keep up with them will wear Nash down. If the Lakers can get 26-28 minutes a night for 60 games out of Nash, they’ll consider it a win. Jameer Nelson PG, Magic There’s plenty of evidence to suggest that we’ve seen the best of Nelson – and the Magic know it. First of all, Nelson has been unable to sustain health thanks to constant knee pain. Over the last five seasons, he’s missed 98-of-394 games (24.8 percent). He’s also seen his shooting percentage drop drastically over that span, declining sharply in five straight seasons. After peaking at 50.3 per- cent in 2008-09, Nelson shot a painful 39.2 percent in 2012-13. When smaller point guards lose athleticism, the wall comes quickly. Therefore, it’s not a surprise that the Magic used the No. 2 overall pick on Victor Oladipo and have been using him at point guard during the offseason. Nelson only has enough juice left to be a No. 2 point guard. Joe Johnson SG, Nets IIt feels like yesterday that Johnson was an electric, high-flying, rising star for the Suns. Then we realize that was literally a decade ago. Since the 2006-07 season when he averaged a career-high 25.0 points per game, Johnson’s scoring has declined every year but one. That can be tied to his free-throw attempts per game, which have declined every single year since that ‘06-‘07 season. Frankly, Johnson can’t go by defenders any- more and doesn’t attack the rim. He’s a jumpshooter. That may be fine for the Nets, but it’s not for fantasy owners. And with Paul Pierce/Kevin Garnett coming aboard, there will be more chances for Johnson to rest his body and settle for jumpers. Amare Stoudemire PF, Knicks In theory, Stoudemire isn’t injured anymore. He’s had his knee surgeries, he’s had his follow-ups and he’s had his repairs. But the remnants of all those injuries have left a permanent mark that Stoudemire is unlikely to recover from even though he’s just 30 years old. At this point, Stoudemire is a guy that catches the ball at the high post and either takes a jumper or swings the ball along. He’s no longer a shot block- er or rebounder because he doesn’t have the lift. What’s worse is that the Knicks are intent on handling their max contract man with kid gloves. He likely won’t play on back-to-backs and will have a minutes cap this season. photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images photo by Issac Baldizon/Getty Images
  • 16. 16 NBA Season Preview Jeremy Lin PG, Rockets It’s not that Lin has lost a step or that he’s washed up physically at age 25. It’s that he’s the rare guy that hit his career peak as a second-year player and has been tumbling down ever since. Lin is always going to be a candidate to be overdrafted thanks to his performance across 11 February 2012 games with the Knicks. During that time, he averaged 20.9 points, 8.4 assists, 4.0 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 0.9 3-pointers while becoming the talk of the world. Last year, while playing in an ideal scheme with the up-tem- po Rockets, he averaged just 13.4 points, 6.1 assists, 3.0 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.1 3-pointers. That’s a more realistic expectation of his career, but the chances to score will be fewer to come by now that Dwight Howard is in town. Andrew Bogut C, Warriors Remember the Andrew Bogut that was a fantasy monster, double-doubling every night while sticking among the league-leaders in blocks and field-goal percent- age? That’s a distant memory now. Bogut is just 28 years old, but the handful of serious injuries he’s sustained over the last few years have sapped his game. The Warriors don’t even try to run of- fense through him in the post. He’s just asked to rebound and defend for as long as he can. Last year, that was 24.6 minutes a night, a span in which he averaged just 5.8 points, 7.7 rebounds and shot an uncharacteristic 45.1 percent from the field. His ankle pain isn’t going away. Gerald Wallace PF, Celtics One thing to watch closely when examining career arcs is the super-athletic guys. For example, Paul Pierce is certainly slower and can’t jump as high as he used to, but he’s still extremely effective because of his shooting ability and basketball IQ. Guys like Gerald Wallace, on the other hand, have serious problems. Wallace became an NBA star and fantasy stud because of his unique athleticism in a league full of athletes. He just ran past and jumped over everyone. Now that Wallace is 31 and has been “crashing” into the floor for 12 seasons, he’s not capable of those athletic feats anymore. His brutal jumper never got better, and therefore, he has nothing to fall back on. Wallace’s 39.7 percent shooting and 7.7 points a night last year were for real. Manu Ginobili SG, Spurs The Spurs like wrapping their players in foil, preserving them for the playoffs at all costs. So when a player that was coddled all year can’t even perform in the playoffs, it’s a bad very sign. In 21 postseason games last year, Ginobili could muster just 11.5 points on 39.9 percent shooting in 26.7 minutes a night. He turned 36 in June, has an injury re- sume longer than Rudy Gobert and will show up with random DNPs in addition to his usual games missed for actual bumps. The Spurs – and fantasy teams – are better off giving all the wing minutes to Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard. photo by Andrew D. Bernstein/Getty Images photo by Layne Murdoch/Getty Images OVER THE HILL
  • 17. 17NBA Season Preview
  • 18. 18 NBA Season Preview I nformation is always going to be the key piece of a fantasy basketball champion- ship. The more we know more about a player’s role, ability and condition, the easier it will be to dominate. Perhaps the simplest but most important tool to have with you on draft day is a full under- standing of the league’s injuries: Derrick Rose PG, Bulls Injury: Tore left ACL on April 28, 2012 Rose had the unfortunate circumstance of blowing out his knee in the AAP (after Adri- an Peterson) era. Five years ago, it was widely assumed that a player wouldn’t be 100 percent until a full two years after his knee reconstruction. A decade or two ago, this was a career-threat- ening kind of injury. But in the AAP era, Rose got crucified for sitting out the entire 2012-13 season. All that doesn’t matter now. What does matter is how Rose will fare in the upcoming season, one in which he’s fully ex- pected to be a full go from Opening Night. Come November 1, the 2010-11 MVP will be 18 months removed from his injury. By all accounts, he’s in tremendous shape and has finally regained confidence in his knee. Rose says he’s now 100 percent and believes he’s the best player in the NBA. The concern is that Rose’s athleticism is what made him such a dominant player before the injury. He’s not someone that’s wins with jumpers or making 3-pointers with his feet set. It’s that violent change-of-direction and explosion to the hoop that made him a MVP. OUTLOOK: Rose figures to be playing start- er’s minutes right out of the gate. But owners drafting Rose will be betting that he hasn’t lost any of that trademark athleticism. Even if he says he’s 100 percent, it’s a risky proposi- tion given Rose’s high ADP. Kobe Bryant SG, Lakers Injury: Ruptured left Achilles’ tendon on April 12, 2013 Part of Bryant’s historic legacy will be his durability and ability to will his way through the bumps and bruises of the NBA. Sprained ankles that kept most players out for weeks kept Kobe out for a quarter. Slight tears in a shooting shoulder were brushed off. However, a full Achilles’ rupture is not one of those garden-variety NBA injuries. Kobe was slapped with a 6-9 month recovery time- table, meaning the very earliest he’d be back is October. There are two factors fighting each other here. It’s the extreme seriousness of Bryant’s injury coupled with his advancing age (35 years old in August) versus Kobe’s penchant for quick recovery. OUTLOOK: There’s some feeling in the sports medicine community that an Achil- les’ rupture is actually worse than an ACL tear. Kobe’s mid-range jumper is his great- est weapon now, but he might not be back to himself until the All-Star break. Someone in your league will jump the gun here based on name value alone. Andrew Bynum C, Cavs Injury: Bone bruise, chronic pain in both knees In 2011-12, good Bynum missed just six games while playing 35.2 minutes a night. He showed his upside, averaging 18.7 points, 11.8 rebounds and 1.9 blocks. Then came 2012-13, when bad Bynum didn’t play in a single game. He spent his time at strip clubs, INJURY REPORT BE CONCERNED
  • 19. 19NBA Season Preview playing pop-a-shot at Dave and Busters, try- ing out crazy hairstyles and infuriating the Philadelphia fan base. Now Bynum has to prove himself once again. As an unrestricted free agent, he refused to work out for teams. He gained 15 pounds and we are virtually certain it wasn’t of the muscle variety (think beer belly). Bynum settled for a two-year, $24.8 million contract with the Cavs. That deal only includes $6 million in guaranteed money. OUTLOOK: There are going to be missed games and limited minutes here. The ques- tion is just how many missed games and just how low the minutes cap will be. If Bynum’s knee looks good through the preseason, he’ll be worth a risk/reward pick because most owners will simply want to avoid the head- ache. Rajon Rondo PG, Celtics Injury: Partial ACL tear on Jan. 25, 2013 Rondo’s tear wasn’t as severe as the one sus- tained by Derrick Rose. In fact, Rondo didn’t even come out of the game when he original- ly hurt the knee and was initially diagnosed with a hyperextension. Only two days later did the dreaded ACL news come down. Still, a partial tear is far better than a full tear. Rondo is expected to be ready for a limited training camp and then go full blast come Opening Night. OUTLOOK: There are a lot of adjustments to make here. Rondo will be trying to get com- fortable with his knee while simultaneously learning to play without Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce. He’ll be asked to score more and play more minutes, a lot of pressure for a guy coming off a serious injury. If he handles it, Rondo will be a steal. The partial nature of his tear makes it more likely he’ll succeed. Russell Westbrook, PG, Thunder Injury: Tore right lateral meniscus on April 24, 2013 The Thunder’s title hopes got flushed down the toilet when feisty Rockets G Patrick Bev- erley tried to steal the ball from Westbrook while he was trying to call a timeout. It’s a play that happens a million times during an NBA season, and one that players actually try to execute successfully during the playoffs. Westbrook and Thunder fans shouldn’t be mad at Beverley. Anyway, meniscus injuries are the least se- vere of the knee injuries. The meniscus is essentially the padding in a knee – it’s not a ligament that controls the joint. Further- more, reports said that only 2 percent of Westbrook’s meniscus was torn. It’s possible that Westbrook could have played through the injury during the playoffs, but the Thunder wisely took the long-range view. By getting the surgery, he’ll have more padding going forward and therefore extend his career. OUTLOOK: We can be confident Westbrook will not be hampered at all this season. Me- niscus surgeries are relatively minor and have short recovery timetables. Danilo Gallinari, SF, Nuggets Injury: Tore left ACL on April 4, 2013 When Gallinari went down in a heap against the Mavs, it looked like the most severe kind of knee injury a player can suffer. But when sur- geons went into Gallo’s knee, they found good news. It turned out that Gallinari only sustained a partial tear. The Nuggets originally said he wouldn’t be back until February at the earli- est – now he’s targeting a return to basketball activities in December. OUTLOOK: The Nuggets are solid at the swingman spot with starting-caliber backup Wilson Chandler ready to step in. Gallo won’t be rushed, but he also won’t have to regain all of his athleticism to be effective. He’ll be a help in the 3-point category late in the season. David Lee – Underwent surgery to repair a torn right hip flexor. He’s expected to be ready for training camp. J.R. Smith – After getting his $24.7M deal from the Knicks, Smith underwent patella and me- niscus surgery. He’s in doubt for Opening Night. Glen Davis – Big Baby broke his left foot way back in January. Then he had to undergo another procedure in July, which was deemed a set- back. Conditioning will be a concern, even if he is a go come November. Brad Beal – The impressive rising sophomore missed most of the offseason due to a stress reac- tion in his leg. It’s the kind of injury that lingers. photo by Andrew D. Bernstein/Getty Images
  • 20. 20 NBA Season Preview I n January of 2013, a long-tenured NBA scout told Bobcats beat reporter Rick Bonnell, “I don’t think this is a good draft. This is the year you should con- sider trading your draft pick—no matter where it is.” The sentiment seems to have stuck, as draft night featured 16 trades with a total of 22 draft picks changing hands (not counting future picks). The skepticism of scouts and the eagerness of GMs to swap picks does not, of course, mean that the draft lacked solid NBA rotation players or the occasional guy with All-Star potential. Every year there are overlooked players who defy ex- pectations both in reality and in fantasy leagues. I must, however, begin with my standard disclaimer—rookies are typically more trouble than they’re worth in fantasy leagues. Here are the fantasy values for the top 12 draft picks from 2012-13. *NOTE: I’m listing per-game rotisserie rankings for eight-cat and nine-cat leagues, respectively, accord- ing to BasketballMonster.com. Assuming a ‘standard’ 12-person league with 13 roster spots, the cut-off for fantasy usefulness would be No. 156. Not very impressive. Only four rookies provided season-long fantasy value in 2012-13, only Anthony Davis and Da- mian Lillard provided better than 10th-round value in eight- or nine-cat leagues, and not a single player drafted after Andre Drummond at No. 9 cracked the top-160. Keep in mind that while most rookies aren’t worth drafting, they can certainly be useful throughout the season—e.g. Moe Harkless (the No. 15 pick) was the No. 164 player overall but he returned ninth-round value during the final month of the season. Bradley Beal, similarly, was a fifth-round value in the final two months. Thus forewarned, let’s proceed to this year’s rookies. 1 Anthony Bennett Cavaliers draft F (6’8”, 240 lbs.) The Cavs’ selection of Bennett was unexpected but log- ical. He averaged 16.1 points on 53.3 percent shooting as a freshman with UNLV, playing only 27 minutes per game, and he proved equally adept scoring at the rim and from the perimeter (38.3 percent from downtown). He came into the draft recovering from rotator cuff sur- gery while facing questions about his conditioning after weighing in at 261 lbs. during the Combine, but there were similarly serious concerns about other top pros- pects. Bennett is expected to be fully healthy for training camp, and coach Mike Brown said he’ll play most of his minutes at PF as a rookie, possibly transitioning to SF “way, way down the road.” Unless Brown speeds up the transition (which he may, as Earl Clark might not work as a full-time SF, and the Cavs view Alonzo Gee as a back- up), Bennett may find himself battling Tristan Thompson for frontcourt minutes behind a starting tandem of An- drew Bynum and Anderson Varejao. Developing the No. 1 pick is a no-brainer, but Kyrie Irving is getting restless and the Cavaliers intend to make the playoffs this sea- son, so don’t assume that he’ll be handed a 32-minute role on opening night. 1 Victor Oladipo Magic draft G (6’4”, 213 lbs.) The Magic never seemed to waver from their interest in Oladipo, a relentlessly physical defender who represents the future of the team’s backcourt. Jameer Nelson is in the final fully-guaranteed year of his contract and Ola- dipo is playing extensive minutes at PG during Summer League, training camp and the preseason. Early returns haven’t been great (he averaged 5.0 assists vs. 4.8 turnovers during Summer League), but it hardly matters for fantasy purposes. Orlando is openly rebuilding their team around young guys like Oladipo, Nikola Vucevic and Tobias Harris, and they’ll find a way to keep the No. 2 pick on the court. He’s a terrific athlete who improved to 44.2 percent shooting beyond the arc as a junior with Indiana, and fantasy owners should view him as a high- upside source of steals, points and 3-pointers, with a dash of assists and a small mountain of turnovers. 2 2013-14 By: Ryan Knaus photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images
  • 21. 21NBA Season Preview Otto Porter Wizards draft F (6’9”, 200 lbs.) Otto Porter’s Summer League was a debacle, as he shot 30 percent from the field in three games before shutting it down due to a sore right hamstring. The Wizards tried to play him at SG, testing his offensive versatility, and as a result, he seemed tentative and passive. This may dis- suade some fantasy owners from plucking him out of the final round, but it shouldn’t. Porter has legitimate 3-point range (42.2 percent last year), a 7’1” wingspan,and enough speed and athleticism to thrive as a wingman alongside John Wall and Bradley Beal. He may not start for a while (veterans Trevor Ariza and Martell Webster can hold down the SF job while Porter acclimates to the NBA), but it would be surprising if he’s not a fantasy as- set after the All-Star break. 3 Nerlens Noel 76ers acquire C (6’11”, 219 lbs.) Noel was the overwhelming favorite to be drafted No. 1 overall, despite having ACL surgery in February. Owing to fears about his knee and concerns about his skinny frame, however, he fell to the Pelicans at No. 6 and was quickly flipped to the Sixers in a deal for Jrue Holiday. It hasn’t taken long for Philly to downplay expectations for Noel’s rookie season. New GM Sam Hinkie emphasized that his long-term health is the team’s sole focus – 76ers writer Jason Wolf believes Noel will be out “until around Christmas at the earliest,” and Hinkie wouldn’t rule out Noel missing the entire 2013-14 season. Add in his rail- thin frame and the fact that he’s still developing at 19 years old, and fantasy owners are forced to view him as a late-season blocks specialist. With those near-term challenges swirling, it’s easy to lose sight of his tremen- dous potential as an NBA center—he has an enviable 7’4” wingspan and elite quickness, timing and athleti- cism, which enabled him to average 4.4 blocks and 2.1 steals in 32 minutes as a rangy freshman with Kentucky. 6 Trey Burke Jazz acquire PG (6’1”, 186 lbs.) Burke averaged 9.0 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.7 assists during Summer League, admitting afterward that he was inconsistent with his shooting, playmaking and defense. He shot 24.1 percent from the field (including a stunning 1-of-19 from downtown) and was even benched for one game so that he could collect himself and see the game from a different angle. The Jazz may install a veteran starting PG while Burke acclimates to the NBA, but it shouldn’t take long for him to find his niche—he was very efficient in pick-and-roll sets as a sophomore with Michigan, while shooting with consistency (46.0 percent) and range (38.3 percent from downtown). The rebuilding Jazz have plenty of incentive to develop him as a rookie. His stingy turnover ratio also works in his favor, and he remains an early Rookie of the Year candidate despite his disastrous Summer League. 9 C.J. McCollum Trail Blazers draft G (6’3”, 197 lbs.) The Blazers desperately needed to add scoring punch to their league-worst bench this summer, so they passed up a viable big man to draft McCollum, a scoring guard whose game is reminiscent of new teammate Damian Lillard. He finished second during the Las Vegas Sum- mer League with 21.0 points per game, despite fre- quently being the focus of opposing defenses (he shot just 36.6 percent from the field). His defense could be the most significant determinant in his playing time as a rookie and Portland is reportedly leery about playing him for long stretches alongside Lillard. He’s more developed than most rookies, having played four years with Lehigh, and fantasy owners can anticipate double-digit scoring with a 3-pointer per game, to go along with a trickle of assists, rebounds and steals. 10 Ben McLemore Kings draft SG (6’5”, 189 lbs.) McLemore struggled with his shot (33 percent FGs) and turnovers during some rough games in the Las Ve- gas Summer League, but those performances can be fairly dismissed. He was playing in a haphazard offense against defenses formulated to stop him, and the Kings were intentionally pushing his limits by putting him in uncomfortable situations as a primary ball-handler. He was most effective for Kansas while playing off the ball and in transition, and as the Kings’ projected starting SG he should find success alongside pass-first PG Greivis Vasquez and/or Isaiah Thomas. Jimmer Fredette doesn’t seem problematic, but the lurking presence of Marcus Thornton should make fantasy owners pause, and there are no guarantees that McLemore’s game will hold up against NBA defenders. In particular, he needs to im- prove his ball-handling and develop as a pick-and-roll threat, something he didn’t do very often last year. 7 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Pistons draft G/F (6’5”, 206 lbs.) Caldwell-Pope improved across the board during his sophomore season with Georgia, thriving as a focal point of the offense. He averaged 18.5 points, 2.6 threes, 7.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 2.0 steals per game, and he should be an immediate part of Detroit’s rotation behind Rodney Stuckey at SG. He looked out of sorts while shooting 37.0 percent from the field during the Orlando Summer League, however, and a bench role for a high- volume shooter with mediocre peripheral stats doesn’t bode well for fantasy purposes. 8 Cody Zeller Bobcats draft PF/C (6’11”, 230 lbs.) Charlotte’s selection of Zeller at No. 4 was met with in- stant skepticism, which is only natural given the team’s macabre draft history under Michael Jordan’s guidance. Zeller is not an Adam Morrison-style flop, but he does have to prove that his terrific athleticism and efficient scoring in college can be adapted to the NBA. Most glaringly, he needs to continue adding strength to com- bat NBA big men, and he made a paltry 37.5 percent of his jumpers during his sophomore year with Indiana. The good news is that he shot a phenomenal 62.3 percent overall, thanks to copious transition buckets, and the Bobcats’ projected starting lineup is built to run (Kemba Walker, Gerald Henderson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Zeller and Al Jefferson). The bad news is that PF Josh McRob- erts is also athletic and fast, but he’s a more adept re- bounder and passer who should be marginally better on defense. Steve Clifford’s rotations will go a long way toward determining Zeller’s fantasy value, or lack thereof, but owners shouldn’t rely on him for more than a handful of points and boards. 4 Alex Len Suns draft C (7’1”, 255 lbs.) Len required surgery on both ankles this summer, pro- cedures the Suns dubbed “precautionary” but neverthe- less reflect a major reason he was passed over by four teams. He had a partial stress fracture in his left ankle, but assuming he’s healthy on opening night, as expect- ed, the Suns’ minor gamble could be richly rewarded. Len is a true center with uncommon athleticism and skill for his position. He was an elite finisher in the paint with Maryland last season, he’s strong and fundamentally sound enough to consistently box out, pin smaller de- fenders, finish in the paint and pass out of double teams, and he has the potential to become a solid pick-and-pop jump shooter. The Suns can afford to bring him along slowly with Marcin Gortat starting at center, but they’re going nowhere this season and will undoubtedly find a bigger role for him as the season progresses. 5 photo by Brian Babineau/Getty Images
  • 22. 22 NBA Season Preview Kelly Olynyk Celtics draft C (7’0”, 234 lbs.) Olynyk enters the season as the likely starting center for the Celtics, and as a four-year college player, he’s better positioned than most rookies to provide fantasy value. His potential was on display during Summer League, where he averaged 18.0 points on 57.8 percent shoot- ing, with 7.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.8 steals in only 24 minutes per game. Those numbers won’t mean any- thing on opening night, but he’s a smart player with good shooting range, and his post game should benefit from superior spacing in the NBA. The downside is that he’s not a terrific rebounder, and he’s unlikely to block many shots (just 1.1 per game against college players last year), which severely caps his fantasy upside. 13 Shabazz Muhammad Timberwolves acquire G/F (6’6”, 224 lbs.) Muhammad had a total of 27 assists in 32 games during his lone season at UCLA. He wasn’t shy about shooting the ball, averaging 17.9 points and 1.3 threes on 44.3 percent shooting but didn’t provide enough in other cat- egories for fantasy owners to rely on him as a rookie. Perhaps most concerning, he entered Summer League vowing to improve his ball-movement and playmaking, but wound up with five assists in six games. The Wolves are ready to go with Kevin Martin at SG and Chase Budinger/Corey Brewer at SF, and they’re legitimately vying for a playoff berth, which leaves precious little room for Muhammad’s in-game development. He also got kicked out of rookie orientation and will need to keep his attitude in check. 14 Steven Adams Thunder draft C (7’0”, 255 lbs.) The Thunder are looking forward to the expiration of Kendrick Perkins’ contract, and they couldn’t pass up Adams with the No. 12 pick. The 20-year-old center is physically imposing and athletic enough to project as a future starter in the NBA, on the condition that he refines his game and develops some moves offensively. Pitts- burgh rarely asked him to score as a freshman, and he made a paltry 44 percent of his FTs, a potential liability in fantasy leagues. 12 Shane Larkin Mavericks acquire PG (5’11”, 171 lbs.) Take a look at those measurements again. As a sub-six- foot PG with a slight build, Larkin’s fantasy-relevance al- ready faces daunting odds. There were six players in the NBA last season who stand 5’11” or shorter, and only three had fantasy value—Ty Lawson, Nate Robinson and Isaiah Thomas. Things got bleaker when he fractured his right ankle in July, requiring surgery that may keep him out until mid-October. With Jose Calderon starting at PG and Gal Mekel ready for backup minutes, there’s no rea- son to think Larkin will have relevance as a rookie. 18 Sergey Karasev Cavaliers draft SF (6’7”, 197 lbs.) Karasev is a 19-year-old Russian who has an impressive history despite his age. He’s already played in the Olym- pics, he led Russia’s pro league in scoring for the 2012- 13 season and he averaged 16.1 points, 2.3 threes, 3.0 rebounds and 2.4 assists against solid competition in the Eurocup tournament. Karasev admitted he needs to get stronger and bigger to compete at the highest level, es- pecially on defense, but the Cavs think enough of him to bring him to the NBA immediately and there’s a good chance that he’ll carve out a bench role. Working in his favor: Cleveland feels that he can play both SG and SF, they view Alonzo Gee as a backup and they want to de- velop No. 1 pick Anthony Bennett as a PF. 19 Tony Snell Bulls draft SF (6’7”, 198 lbs.) Snell played three years with New Mexico, culminating with last year’s first-round exit in the NCAA tournament. His terrific defense should quickly endear him to Tom Thibodeau, who has never been shy about favoring de- fensive lineups, and he has legitimate 3-point range. Un- fortunately, the Bulls’ biggest offseason move was add- ing Mike Dunleavy as depth on the wings. With backup minutes uncertain, Snell isn’t even worth owning as long as Luol Deng is healthy enough to play. And considering Deng has averaged 7.8 DNPs in the past four seasons, while leading the NBA in minutes-played, Snell isn’t a promising rookie fantasy player. *There are a handful of rookies drafted later than No. 20 who should carve out a bench role, guys like Archie Goodwin or Mason Plumlee, but fantasy owners can afford to ignore them on draft day. 20 Giannis Antetokounmpo Bucks draft F (6’9”, 196 lbs.) The Bucks drafted an 18-year-old SF whom none of their fans had likely heard of before June 27, but whose excel- lent size and diverse skill-set had already earned him a draft promise from the Mavericks at No. 17 overall. An- tetokounmpo has enormous hands which complement his surprisingly refined ball-handling and passing, and his defensive potential is off the charts, but he undoubt- edly needs a few years of development before reaching his NBA potential physically or mentally. The director of the Bucks’ scouting program, Billy McKinney, said the rookie’s season will be a success if he gets “consistent minutes on the court.” 15 Lucas Nogueira Hawks acquire C (7’0”, 220 lbs.) Nogueira has great height and length and extraordinary quickness, but he suffers from an almost cliché list of rookie big men ailments: he badly needs to bulk up to effectively rebound and play defense in the NBA, and his post game ranges from raw to non-existent. The Hawks have a stacked frontcourt this season (Al Horford, Paul Millsap, Elton Brand and Pero Antic) and Nogueira has a fairly steep $2 million buyout with his team in Spain, so he may not join the Hawks this season. 16 17 Dennis Schroder Hawks draft PG (6’2”, 165 lbs.) Schröder’s fantasy outlook dimmed significantly when the Hawks matched a three-year offer for Jeff Teague, but there’s a good chance that he’ll lock down the back- up PG job. He shot 40.0 percent from downtown while playing in Germany last season, and his offense looks ready-made with terrific speed and ball-handling to go along with a reliable jump shot. His effectiveness in pick- Michael Carter-Williams 76ers draft PG 6’6”, 185 lbs.) Carter-Williams, at 6’6” tall, has an inherent advantage at the PG position. He averaged 11.9 points, 4.9 re- bounds, 7.3 assists and 2.8 steals per game during his sophomore year with Syracuse, which culminated with a march to the Final Four. That’s where the unimpeachable attributes stop and the questions begin. Can he improve his jump shooting to a respectable level in the NBA, where savvy, athletic defenders have read the scouting report and are willing to dive under the screen on each and every pick-and-roll? He shouldn’t, based upon his thoroughly awful shoot- ing from 3-point range (29.2 percent) and inside the arc (43.8 percent) last year. He also turned the ball over on 28 percent of his pick-and-rolls, according to DraftEx- press.com, and his struggles as a shooter and ball-pro- tector were on full display during the Orlando Summer League—in five games, he averaged 13.6 points on 27.1 percent shooting, with a disturbingly high 4.8 turnovers per game, and John Mitchell of the Inquirer reports that he “struggled going to his left.” The good news is that he also posted 4.2 boards and 6.8 assists per game. The Sixers are gleefully tanking the 2013-14 season and will play him as many minutes as he can handle, but fantasy owners should give him a wide berth. 11 and-rolls impressed scouts while he was in Germany, but his 3.1 assists vs. 2.5 turnovers last season suggest that he’ll still face a significant learning curve. Defensively, he’s quick and pesky enough to do a serviceable job as a rookie, and as he gets stronger, he could become a full-fledged menace. TOP 20 ROOKIE PREVIEWS
  • 23. 23NBA Season Preview
  • 24. 24 NBA Season Preview I ’m not going to list Stephen Curry, Ricky Rubio or Greg Oden in this column. After last season (and most of his career) Curry has shown that he is ready to go, and you simply can’t decide to pass on him because he ‘might’ roll his ankle on opening night. Rubio isn’t dealing with any current injury problems, and Oden simply isn’t worth the time it would take to write him up. Don’t draft him. Here are the players who come with some baggage but will pay off in a big way if all goes well. Derrick Rose PG Bulls Rose is this year’s RvR poster child after missing all of last season due to his devastating knee injury. He should be well-rested, ready for opening night and relatively healthy all season. However, I’m still not ready to take a dive on him with a first-round pick. And if he makes it through 75 games and plays heavy minutes, I might look like a fool (see Stephen Curry last year). Kobe Bryant SG Lakers I’m still not ready to tell you to stay away from Kobe this season, even if we don’t know if he’ll be ready for opening night after rup- turing his Achilles last season. And if he is in there opening night, Guards it might go down as the quickest recovery from that injury in the history of sports. Whether he comes back and can still play like the Kobe Bryant we all know is up for debate, but if anyone can, it’s Bry- ant. And with the Lakers’ shaky roster, they’ll need Kobe to dom- inate if they’re going to make the playoffs. I don’t have a problem with taking him in Round 2 if it appears he’ll play on opening night, but there’s certainly a lot of risk involved with doing so. Dwyane Wade SG Heat Wade seems to make it through most of his seasons, but his knees appear to be a disaster, he’s another year older and he can kick back and watch LeBron James play anytime he chooses to do so. Wade is still a fantasy beast when he plays, but we’ve got him playing in just 65 games this season, meaning owners could be scrambling at times this season. I’m not touching him in Round 1 and may just pass on him altogether. By: Steve Alexander
  • 25. 25NBA Season Preview Kyrie Irving PG Cavaliers Irving may or may not be injury prone, but the numbers say he missed 15 games during his rookie season and 23 more in his sec- ond season. Maybe this is the year he plays in 78 games and avoids nagging injuries, but his size and stature don’t work in his favor. I’m still not scared enough to let him drop out of the Top 15 picks in my leagues. Steve Nash PG Lakers Nash’s broken leg ruined his season last year, while playing along- side Kobe Bryant doesn’t appear to be something that works well for his fantasy numbers. Owners have to hope he falls far enough in drafts (likely) to become a solid value pick (maybe), but the main concern is that the 39-year-old could have trouble staying healthy again this year. We’ve got him penciled in for 70 games, which could be generous, but he missed just four games in 2011-12 and played in at least 74 games in the 10 seasons prior to that one. Rajon Rondo PG Celtics Rondo is coming off major knee surgery, and while he seems to think he’ll be ready for the start of the season, we all saw what hap- pened to Rose last year. We’ve only got him slated for 62 games, and if that’s not a big enough concern, consider he’s playing for a coach who looks five years younger than him (and has never coached an NBA game) and that he no longer has Paul Pierce or Kevin Garnett as his go-to guys. The potential reward is the league lead in steals (and a lot of dimes), but the risk is just too great. I’m thinking you’re better off letting someone else deal with Rondo this year. photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
  • 26. 26 NBA Season Preview Forwards Danny Granger G/F Pacers Granger is coming off a lost season due to what appears to be chronic knee problems and sat on the sidelines as Paul George became the face of the franchise. Granger will play shooting guard this season, which isn’t his natural position, and the last time he was really healthy, he tended to stand out on the perimeter, launching threes without a conscience. His draft stock has taken a pretty strong hit in the past year, and his role with the Pacers is still changing. He could be boom or bust, but I wouldn’t plan on taking him before Round 4 or 5, as the risk is definitely still there. Eric Gordon SG Pelicans The list of owners who will never draft Gordon again has grown by leaps and bounds over the last three years and could include ev- eryone in your league. The nice thing about that is he should be available pretty deep into fantasy drafts, making him look more like a low-risk, high-reward prospect than he has in previous seasons. No, I don’t trust Gordon at all and probably never will again. But if you can get him in Round 5 or 6, the risk will be low enough to make him worth it. J.R. Smith SG Knicks Smith will be questionable for the start of the season after offseason knee surgery, while he also signed a nice contract over the summer. Add those two things together, and his history of being a little flaky (OK, a lot) when it comes to relationships with coaches, and he could be heading for an implosion. But the numbers were nice last season, he’s a big part of what the Knicks plan on doing and we’ve got him projected at 70 games. His price tag should be low enough that the risk will be minimal. Kyle Lowry PG Raptors Lowry was expected to be a monster last year, racking up points, rebounds, assists, steals and 3-pointers like nobody’s business, but it just never happened. He also missed 14 games after missing 19 the previous season, leaving a sour taste in the mouths of his owners. He’s all set to start for the Raptors and won’t have to worry about Jose Calderon this year. And after the disappointment that came with him over the last two seasons, he’ll fall in drafts. But if he can stay healthy and has his head screwed on straight, he has the talent to be a legitimate Top 3 point guard, and Top 15 fantasy player. I think he’ll play in 72 games and fully expect his numbers to take a nice leap this season, so I’m buying. Trey Burke PG Jazz Burke’s Summer League was a disaster, and his (small) size is a real issue. But he was so dominant at times last season at Michigan, and he shouldn’t have much trouble winning the starting job for the Jazz. And even if he doesn’t start, he should see plenty of run. In addition to his small stature, his poor shooting is a huge concern, but the fact remains that if he gets hot and makes the most of his opportunity, he could quite easily win the Rookie of the Year award. After you’ve got two quality point guards on your roster, feel free to jump on Burke. RISK VS REWARD
  • 27. 27NBA Season Preview Brook Lopez C Nets Lopez still isn’t doing basketball drills as of press time and spent most of the summer in a walking boot after having (another) screw put into his foot. But he made it through 74 games last season and was one of the best fantasy centers in the league. We (foolishly?) have him pegged for 75 games this season, and if it happens, he’ll be worth drafting in the early rounds of your draft. I’m willing to take a chance on Bro-Lo again this year. Andrew Bogut C Warriors I’m not going to say much here. He hobbled through just 32 games last season, 12 the season before and 65 in 2010-11. With Stephen Curry back in good graces in these parts, the “Doritos ankle” now belongs to Bogut, and unless you’re desperate for a center late in your draft, let someone else take a flier on Bogut. JaVale McGee C Nuggets McGee’s basketball IQ is the stuff of legend and low-light reels, but he can jump out of the gym and block shots as well as any player in recent memory. He also got out from under the thumb of George Karl and is slated to start this season for new coach Brian Shaw. If Shaw truly turns him loose and lets him play through the 10 or so mistakes he’ll make per game, he should be a fantasy beast. And given that his ADP should be in check, I’m all about taking a ride on McGee’s massive back this year. Samuel Dalembert C Mavericks Dalembert has had some very big games in his long career and now looks like the starter for the Mavericks. He’s also disappeared for months at a time, and there are no guarantees he’ll still be start- ing by Christmas. But if he holds the job all year, a ton of boards and blocks should follow, and he won’t cost you a high draft pick. Just make sure you have some other starting centers in the barn before going after Sammy D. Kevin Love PF Timberwolves Love’s twice broken shooting hand not only ruined his season from a games-played standpoint, but he couldn’t shoot it when he was playing last year. But if you simply look at his numbers prior to when he got hurt, he’s one of the most dynamic players in the league. Points, rebounds, 3-pointers and solid shooting percent- ages are his calling card, and I fully expect him to bounce back this season. However, if you want him, you’ll have to take him in the first round, which potentially makes him the biggest risk vs. reward player on this list. And keep in mind that even if he does make it to April unharmed, he has consistently failed to finish out the season (fantasy playoffs) throughout his career. I think the po- tential reward outweighs the risk involved with taking him in the first round, but if you talk to anyone who drafted him last season, they’ll probably tell you there’s no way they’d do it again. Centers photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images
  • 28. 28 NBA Season Preview Wings and point guards Brandon Jennings Bucks He’s the poster child for terrible shooting, and it’s even worse because he’s taken 15.5 shots per game over his career. He and the Bucks made it to the playoffs for the first time since 2010, and Jennings was horrible in the spotlight, making just 29.8 percent of his shots. This is nothing new for B-Jen, and he shot 39.9 percent on the regular season last year, just a shade above his career aver- age of 39.4 percent. Interestingly, he shot a career-high 37.5 percent from beyond the arc, so what gives? Well, Jennings is one of the worst players in the NBA around the hoop. He shot just 49.2 percent at the rim and 28.5 percent on shots from 3-10 feet – the league averages are 64.7 and 39.9 per- cent, respectively. However, for the second year in a row, he had a strong April to close out the regular season, shooting 43.4 per- cent. Jennings’ shots in the month were more from the outside, so it’s hard to put much stock into his improvement. He heads to Detroit, and his shots around the rim could go down with his three big for- wards of Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe and Josh Smith in the mix. Jennings has yet to prove he’s capable of being a good pick- and-roll PG, but defenses might fear the lob, and that could help Jennings get better shots around the basket. While there’s a chance that he could approach 42 percent from the field this year, he’s likely to be one of the worst in this category yet again. Ricky Rubio Timberwolves He was one of the better assets in fantasy hoops with his strong second-half schedule and loads of dimes. He also had the most steals after the break by a margin of 19. As for scoring himself, he has some issues. Ru- bio takes 32.2 percent of his shots from 16 feet to inside of the 3-point line, which spells trouble for a guy that shot 32 percent on his jumpers in each of his last two seasons. What’s more, Rubio can’t finish around the rim, and he shot just 29.3 percent from be- yond the arc. When push comes to shove, he’s really the worst scoring guard in the en- tire NBA. On the plus side, he only attempt- ed 9.0 shots per game last year, and almost all of those games were without Kevin Love. Love coming back should help Rubio’s shooting not only because he should have less shots, but also because Love drawing the attention of defenses should soften the weak side of the play when Love is setting up in the post. Love’s passing skills could also translate to better shooting as a team. The Spaniard should keep you entertained with steals and assists enough to offset his worrisome shooting. Trey Burke Jazz If you heard anything about Trey Burke this offseason, you probably heard about his di- sastrous Summer League. He shot a pathet- I t’s almost always costly to neglect something in your fantasy draft, and not paying attention to your team’s percentages is something that owners will want to avoid. Sure, field goal per- centage is arguably the biggest hit-or-miss stat on a week-to-week basis, but having it as a strength can go a long way. The nice thing about percentages is that they’re the least likely to be hurt by the injury bug. Teams that are losing multiple studs will be crippled in multiple categories. In other words, if Rajon Rondo goes down, the assist totals for a fantasy team will plummet com- pared to usual. However, if a field goal percentage stud goes down, it’s less likely to impact the bottom line because it’s not a volume stat like dimes, points, boards, blocks, threes and steals. If you’re scoring at home, the league averages were 45.4 percent from the field and 75.5 percent from the line. Those will be inter- esting numbers to keep in mind as you look at last year’s stats and our projections. Also, the amount of shots a player takes can have a profound impact. Lastly, while percentages should be a focus in Roto leagues, it’s something that owners should try and address in head-to-head leagues as well. If your team is consistently winning percentages, you’d only have to win two of the remaining four categories to push, and if you can split those, that’s a 6-2 win in eight-category leagues. Here are some of guys who will be hot topics with regards to per- centages for the upcoming season. percentage killers By: Mike Gallagher FIELD GOAL KILLERS photo by Jordan Johnson/Getty Images
  • 29. 29NBA Season Preview ic 24 percent from the field and made only one of his 19 attempts from downtown. Of course, Burke isn’t going to shoot 24 percent in his rookie season. Last year at Michigan, the six-foot point guard shot 46.3 percent from the field and 38.4 percent from down- town. The big difference for Burke was the height of NBA players compared to in col- lege. His frame is going to be a detriment, and he’s going to have to get creative in scoring. There have been some comparisons to Da- mian Lillard, but they’re a little bit unfair to the reigning Rookie of the Year. While Lillard’s field goal shooting is similar at 46.7 percent in his last year at Weber State, even at 6’3”, he wasn’t too stellar in finishing around the basket on his way to 42.9 per- cent from the field last year. Furthermore, rookie point guards have tra- ditionally struggled in their first years. According to Jazz play-by-play guy, Da- vid Locke, the 11 point guards drafted in the top 10 since 2005 who played at 21 or younger combined to shoot 39.9 percent from field their rookie year. The best shoot- ing clip by a rookie taken in the top 10 since 2005 playing at 21 or under was 43 percent by both D.J. Augustin and Chris Paul. In conclusion, Burke is going to be really bad this year, and 40 percent seems like a fairly optimistic number. Hopefully, he doesn’t take too many bad shots. Jameer Nelson Magic He had his worst year shooting the basketHe had his worst year shooting the basketball, and it wasn’t even close. Among quali- fiers, Nelson ranked dead last in the NBA with his 39.2 percent from the field, which shattered his previous career-low of 42.7 percent from 2011-12. We can’t just brush this off, and Nelson’s field goal shooting has dropped in each of his last five seasons. It’s not tough to figure out since his 3-point at- tempts have gone up in each of his last four years and his shots on attempts from the last three seasons have also dropped. One thing that makes the most sense is that the loss of Dwight Howard hurt Nelson’s shooting. Plus, the Magic don’t have a lot of guys that demand double teams. Nelson probably won’t be as bad as last year, but 42 percent seems to be a fair expectation. Big men Roy Hibbert Pacers He was last among centers in field goal per- centage at 44.8 percent last year. Quite frank- ly, it was one of the biggest head-scratching stories of the season. It was really a tale of two halves of the season for Hibbert, though. He shot a horrific 41.4 percent from the field before the break, 50.8 percent after the break and 51.1 percent in his 19 playoff games. He struggled mightily around the rim before the break but finally figured it out. Since the 2011 All-Star break, Hibbert did not shoot below 47.8 percent from the field in any half of a season -- excluding the ugly number before the break last year, of course. His rough start last year should be dismissed, and he could flirt with 50 percent this year. DeMarcus Cousins Kings Not being able to hit jumpers is a bit of a problem for a basketball player, and that’s what caused DeMarcus Cousins to have a sub-par 2012-13. Unbelievably, he shot just 29 percent on his jump shots but still shot a career-best 46.5 percent from the field. That’s obviously not a bad number at the end of the day, but big men should be closer to 50 per- cent than 45. Furthermore, DMC was solid at shooting the ball in the second half, making 49.1 percent of his 12.8 shots per game. The Kings losing Tyreke Evans could mean more shots for Cousins, but hopefully coach Mike Malone can find ways to put his big man in an advantageous position. Like Hibbert, he’s a bit of a false positive. Andrea Bargnani Knicks Don’t draft him, and you won’t have to worry about him hurting your shooting numbers. Fantasy owners generally want to take big men that can help in field goal percentage, so they can take a bit of a hit with their guards. There really isn’t much analysis needed here since shooting a free throw doesn’t really in- volve anything that has to do with making an uncontested shot from 15 feet. In short, if you’re going to draft one of the following big men, you might as well just draft all of the poor shooters from the charity stripe. Big men Dwight Howard Rockets If you’re in a Roto league, he’s almost en- tirely hands-off material. It’s pretty simple. DeAndre Jordan Clippers What’s worse than Jordan’s 38.6 percent from the line during the last season? His 22.2 percent in the playoffs. Josh Smith and Andre Drummond Pistons The Pistons are going to be one of the worst free-throw-shooting teams in the NBA. Josh Smith is in a rut from the line, and in spectacular fashion, his percentage dropped from 72.5 percent in 2010-11 to 63.0 per- cent in 2011-12 and then a hideous 51.7 percent last year. Drummond was worse at 37.1 percent. Roto owners probably can’t touch either, but those in head-to-head leagues will want to go for the gusto and tank in this category and try and solidify other areas. Wings and point guards Andre Iguodala Warriors Iggy can’t make free throws these days, and he shot a career-low 57.4 percent last year. His shooting from the line has dropped in each of the last four years. On the bright side, his volume of free throws should go down since he’s no longer in George Karl’s system. Rajon Rondo Celtics Rondo is one of the worst point guards from the line. He has never shot above 65 percent in any season, and the lack of of- fensive playmakers could mean he gets a lot of attempts. Moe Harkless Magic He shot just 57 percent last year in his rook- ie campaign and is one of the worst jump- shooting players in the NBA. He’s going to bring D and some boards, but he’s going to be a headache on percentages. FREE THROW KILLERS
  • 30. 30 NBA Season Preview Dynasty tips and diamonds in the rough S ometimes it’s not easy to get a group of people together for a long period of time. As time goes on, even your weekly 3-on- 3 game on Tuesday nights may see some moving parts. It’s no different in fantasy, and dynasty leagues can be tough to assemble. It’s hard to keep a group of 10 or more adults committed to a league as life throws its share of curveballs. People get promotions at their jobs, find significant others or some even bring children into this world. If you and all of your league mates are in it for the long haul, then maybe a dynasty league is for you. One guideline to consider when making your league a dynasty is that your redraft league should have the same owners for two years. However, there are some exceptions, and die-hard fantasy owners can smell their own. There’s no need for a blood oath or anything, but finding a replacement for a dynasty league is rarely fun – especially since most of the time, the team that needs a replacement is one of the worst teams in the league. Like any fantasy strategy, there’s more than one way to approach how you’re going to address your draft. All owners are going to want their team to be competitive for years to come, but it’s just not wise to roll the dice on 100 percent youth. As always, it’s all about value. Let’s take a look at some examples for this season. If you’ve been following the offseason news, Victor Oladipo is building up a ton of momentum as a fantasy asset in his first season. Obviously, having a rookie that explodes off the bat will put your team in a tremendous position for years to come. If your league has a shred of credibility, just about every owner is going to reach a round or two to grab the Indiana product. Time will tell whether it’s a smart pick, so I’m not going to discuss whether it’s worth it to take the plunge on VO – check out Ryan Knaus’ rookie preview for that. The main point here is that if you’re going to roll the dice on a rookie, you probably will have to jump up a few rounds to take a chance. Sure, it’s nice to hit on all your gambles, but at the end of the day, they’re still gambles. In other words, don’t pull a Charles Barkley and gamble at any chance you get. If you swing and miss on all your rookies, you’re really putting yourself in a tight spot. What do we hear all the time from financial commercials? Diver- sify. Wu-Tang Financial might tell you to diversify yo’ bonds, but in fantasy, you want to diversify your players. It’s not sexy to take the 34-year-old guy because he’s really only going to help you for a couple seasons. It’s not just about how those players can only help in the short term; they are also useful trade chips. If your team isn’t quite where you want it to be, that older player serves as a valuable trade chip, which can be dealt for a younger prospect or future draft picks. On the other hand, it would be foolish to draft mostly old players for obvious reasons. It’s nice to try and go for it in the short term, but older players tend to wear down or get rest from their coaches, so having your fantasy team collectively fall off in the second half seems like an insurmountable problem. Also, if a team has a sur- plus of trade chips, the perceived value of those players will drop because your supply is high. As mentioned earlier, taking too many risks can be a bad idea. However, at the end of your draft, it’s time to swing for the fence. Chances are that every owner in your league knows this, so it’s not going to be easy to spot the guys that could bust out without spending a very high pick. There are a few guys that aren’t getting a lot of press and still offer a chance to break out. As a quick side note, if a safer pick really falls, don’t ignore it. It’s all about risk management. Before we get started on some deeper options, make sure you check out the rookie piece for the top 20 picks in the draft. In this section, we’re going to tackle the guys that went after the top 20, a few undrafted free agents and some post-hype sophomores. These guys might be there for you after pick 150. Archie Goodwin: I’m all in on Goodwin. In Summer League, he was one of the most exciting players to watch, and his energy stands out on the court. In his last five games in Vegas, he scored 15.2 points per game while creating his own shot most of the time. Over the course of the event, he got to the line a ton, shot 50 percent from the field and 57.1 percent from downtown. The Suns don’t have much depth behind Goodwin, and the guys that are there have already shown they’re not the long-term answer. The new front office seems to be inclined to give Goodwin a chance to shine. He’s been involved in team events, and the team’s website has been singing his praises. The Kentucky product also said that he’s going to give the teams that passed on him “hell.” John Jenkins: He was the 23rd pick of the draft last year, and the Hawks chang- ing up their roster looks to have thrust him into a starting role. By: Mike Gallagher
  • 31. 31NBA Season Preview His April looks to be the motivation to do so with averages of 15.2 points, 2.8 assists and 1.2 triples in 28.8 minutes per game in that month. He’s not a desirable guy and doesn’t have a lot of talent, but he would have plenty of value with that allotment of minutes. Arnett Moultrie: Moultrie didn’t get much time to show what he can do thanks to Doug Collins’ allegiance to guys like Kwame Brown. This year, Brett Brown has a lot of options. Thaddeus Young could play some small forward, and the Sixers really lack other forwards to help out. They’re going to be rebuilding for quite some time. Meyers Leonard: The Blazers did a nice job picking up Thomas Robinson and Robin Lopez off the scrap heap, but Leonard did make some strides as his rookie season progressed. He was horrible in the beginning, and even Joel Freeland got more burn, but he got it going. Even though Lopez had a big year last season, his overall track record in his career suggests he’s far from a lock to keep his job as the starter. Ian Clark: He’s another guy that made a name for himself in Vegas. In the championship game with Golden State, he scored a game-high 33 points to lead them to victory. Clark had big games in Orlando with the Heat, as well, and the Jazz took a chance on him with a contract since those two teams are fairly set in their rotation. He made 46 percent of his attempts from 3-point range and was the only NCAA Division 1 player to rank in the top 20 for makes while shooting over 44.5 percent from beyond the arc last season. The Jazz are one of the shallowest teams in the NBA. Rudy Gobert: Speaking of the Jazz, Gobert is another very interesting player that slipped in the draft. The term “freak” is thrown around a lot, but the Frenchman qualifies with his 7’9” wingspan. Gobert did a tremendous job protecting the basket in summer league, and he has a chance to get into the rotation early on in his career. That said, he’s very raw, but the potential for over 1.2 blocks per game is there right off the bat. Jared Sullinger: He had back surgery, and the Celtics are a big mystery. It’s anyone’s guess what Brad Stevens will do, but Sully is probably the best rebounder he has on his team. His ceiling isn’t too high, and he needs some work on offense, so don’t go crazy. Dwight Buycks: Kyle Lowry is hurt a lot, and his contract is up after this year, so it wouldn’t be a total shock to see the Raptors go in a different direction. The team has a new GM in Masai Ujiri, and he’s the type of guy that will want to put his own fingerprints on his team, especially after getting out of Denver. Buycks led the Summer League in scoring and assists, so he went from a no-name D-League guy to a possible backup point guard in the NBA. He should be able to beat out D.J. Augustin. Phil Pressey: Rajon Rondo’s knee injury could cost him the first month of the season, and there are always rumors of him being dealt. Pressey was a great scorer in college, but his lack of size cost him from being drafted. Reggie Bullock: He slipped all the way to 25 in the draft. It’s early, but the Clippers look like they got a good one. He was unstoppable in Summer League and came up with a bunch of highlight-reel plays while running the offense. Additionally, I’m not planning on drafting Jared Dudley. Vitor Faverani: He actually has a shot to be Boston’s starting center. As mentioned in the Sullinger section, it’s wide open in Boston. Luigi Datome: He’s expected to be Josh Smith’s backup at small forward, so he’s an injury away from getting minutes. What’s more, if Greg Monroe or Andre Drummond miss time, the team could slide Smith to power forward, which would open up time for Gigi.
  • 32. 32 NBA Season Preview T he whole Rotoworld crew got together and came up with five players we’re excited about drafting this season, as well as three bold predictions. Some of the names that show up in Pick 5 Players You Love include Jeff Green, Eric Bledsoe, Jonas Valanciunas, Patrick Beverly, Anthony Davis, JaVale McGee, Thaddeus Young, Enes Kanter, Andre Drummond and Trey Burke. While there may not be a cure for cancer within these three columns, you will find a quick and concise collection what are sure to be some of the hottest sleepers in fantasy hoops this season. And if sleepers aren’t your thing, Kobe Bryant, Derrick Rose, Kevin Love, DeMarcus Cousins and even Greg Oden make appearances in the Bold Predictions. Steve Alexander 1. Andre Drummond C Detroit - Forget free throw percentage, or the fact he's going to have to compete for rebounds with Josh Smith and Greg Monroe. The time is now. 2. Al Jefferson C Charlotte - Was already worth a late first-round pick in Utah last year and now has no competition for a job, min- utes, or touches. Should explode. 3. Jeff Green F Boston - There's not much to love in Boston, which means Green should get all the action he can handle. Last year was just the appetizer. 4. Eric Bledsoe GPhoenix- No more Chris Paul, free reign in Phoenix and a ton of talent. If the stars align, could be the steal of your draft. 5. Jonas Valanciunas C Toronto – Andrea Bargnani is gone and it’s JV’s time to shine. He looked great in Summer League and an ex- plosion appears to be on the horizon. Aaron Bruski 1. Al Horford C Hawks - Nobody is sleeping on Horford, but it’s somewhat easy to forget that he was a top 15 play last season. With Josh Smith’s offense-killing ways off to Detroit the Hawks will be- come a smarter basketball team, and that could lead to surprising first round value for Horford. 2. Paul Millsap PF Hawks – Moving to Atlanta, Millsap has arrived and will finally get charged with doing what he has been known to do in the past – and that is to post efficient, elite fantasy value. Ranking as a top 40-50 play last season on a per-game basis, own- ers have probably forgotten about two seasons ago when he was a top-10 play. 3. Roy Hibbert C Pacers - Hibbert did his damage in just under 29 minutes per game and had a massive slump to start the year. With foul trouble always a concern, he is getting more respect from ref- erees than ever and a jump into the 32-35 minute range could shoot him up the boards. And as a relatively skilled big man, he has to cross the 50 percent shooting threshold at some point. 4. Patrick Beverley GRockets - The guy posted top 160-180 range in just 17 mpg last season, and came up big in the playoffs and nearly triple-doubled in one game. A stat collector when he’s on the floor, minutes are still going to be hard to come by but Jeremy Lin has not been immune from being benched. I like him as a borderline low-end value guy who’s all upside in the event he can cut into Lin’s time, or if Houston figures out that Lin is better coming off the bench as a combo guard. 5. Tiago Splitter C Spurs - He cruised around with very late round value in just 24 minutes per game. Tim Duncan isn’t getting any younger and being off fantasy rosters for much of the year in stan- dard leagues, it’s possible he flies under the radar again this season. A jump to 27-32 minutes per game, if Pop allows it, could have some mid-round chops. Adam Levitan 1. Anthony Davis F/C Hornets - A summer of NBA-level weight-lift- ing, workouts and nutrition will do wonders for a kid who turned just 20 in March. Ceiling is monstrous. 2. Derrick Favors PF Jazz - After letting Paul Millsap and Al Jeffer- son walk, the Jazz are committed to running their offense through the supremely talented Favors. 3. Kyle Lowry PG Raptors - With only D.J. Augustin behind him, Lowry should be oozing confidence. Few have a more roto-friendly game when they're on. By: Rotoworld Staff
  • 33. 33NBA Season Preview 4. JaVale McGee CNuggets- The Nuggets believe in McGee so much that they fired George Karl in part because he wouldn't play the 7-footer. Led the NBA in blocks per-36 last year. 5. Thaddeus Young PF Sixers - Young is literally the only veteran with talent left on the Sixers. His usage rate will bump and his jumper continues to improve. Ryan Knaus 1. Spencer Hawes F/C Sixers - He'll earn $6.6 million in the final year of his contract and a strong season as the 76ers' starting center could earn him a massive long-term contract—mobile seven-foot- ers who can protect the rim (1.4 blocks last year) and knock down 3-pointers (35.6 percent) are an uncommon breed. He didn't miss a single game last year and there's no telling when Nerlens Noel (ACL surgery) will make his NBA debut. Expect mid-round value for a late-round pick. 2. Thaddeus Young PF Sixers - He should start at PF and take on an even bigger role offensively for the rebuilding Sixers after post- ing impressive averages in 76 games last season—14.8 points on 53.1 percent shooting, 7.5 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.8 steals and 0.7 blocks. His scant 1.2 turnovers were a bonus for nine-cat owners, but beware his FT shooting, as he inexplicably hit a career-low 57.4 percent of his freebies. 3. Kevin Martin SG Timberwolves - He’ll be slashing and sharp-shoot- ing alongside Ricky Rubio as the Wolves' starting SG this season, but K-Mart will be a forgotten man on draft day due to his injury history and a quiet 2012-13 season as OKC's sixth-man. After the sixth round his per-game upside outweighs any games-played risk, and I'll be unable to resist. 4. Kyle Korver G/F Hawks - Devin Harris is gone and the Hawks re- portedly want to keep Lou Williams in a reserve role once he’s fully recovered from ACL surgery, so there’s a chance that Korver will start at SG all year. He knocked down 2.6 triples in 30 minutes per game last season, with solid percentages and just enough points, rebounds, assists and steals to make him an undervalued option in the late rounds. 5. Enes Kanter C Jazz - The Jazz will start Kanter at center on open- ing night and he’ll play as many minutes as he can handle with Al Jefferson out of town. If he avoids foul trouble he could easily aver- age 14+ points, 6+ rebounds, 1+ steals and 1+ blocks per game, while shooting better than 50 percent from the field and (rare for a center) 75 percent from the FT line. Derrick Favors will get far more attention on draft day, but Kanter is a great option for anyone targeting a big man after the middle rounds. Matt Stroup 1. Paul Millsap PF Hawks – The Hawks need him to replace Josh Smith's offense. It's easy to envision him returning to something around 17.0 ppg and 8.2 rebounds (his averages during 2010-11 and 2011-12). 2. Jonas Valanciunas C Raptors - Still only 21, he's on his way to becoming a beast. It begins in earnest this year. 3. Pau Gasol F/C Lakers - He's old and kind of brittle, but there's a chance for a throwback season with Dwight Howard gone from L.A. 4. Trey Burke PG Jazz - Willing to give him a mulligan on a bad Summer League showing. He's still a great prospect in a very good situation. 5. Thaddeus Young PF Sixers - Quietly had a pretty useful season last year, and now has a chance to establish more career-highs on a gutted Sixers roster. Matthew Braine 1. Nate Robinson G Nuggets - Independent playing style on a young running team is a great fit for Nate. He could make a run at Sixth Man of the Year. 2. Andre Drummond FPistons - Teaming with Greg Monroe and Josh Smith, Drummond is a part of an athletic and strong trio of big men that could lead the Pistons to the playoffs. 3. Ersan Ilyasova F Bucks - I think he finally becomes the Top 30 fantasy player we all thought he could be, averaging 19 points per game. 4. Tobias Harris G/F Magic - Despite the emergence of Victor Ola- dipo, Harris will become the leader of the Magic and put up great numbers, challenging but ultimately failing to get an All-Star nod. 5. Wes Johnson G Lakers - After being drafted late in most fantasy leagues, Johnson could really be a huge factor for the Lakers while Kobe Bryant gets back in shape. He may end up beating out Nick Young and Jodie Meeks for minutes and put up double-digit scor- ing and three-point numbers off the bench. Mike Gallagher 1. Jonas Valanciunas C Raptors- JV has all the tools to be a beast: he’s great in percentages, he blocks shots, is a decent rebounder and really showed a full arsenal of moves late in the season as well as in summer league. You’re going to have to reach, but it’ll be worth it. 2. DeMarcus Cousins CKings- He is going to come at a discount after his sub-par season. DMC had a nice finish and Mike Malone will coach him up and put him in better spots to score. I’m banking on him shooting fewer jumpers, because that makes no sense for a guy that’s so un-guardable around the rim. 3. Jeff Green- He’s going to be a stud and the Celtics made their point that they’re willing to roll out a thin rotation with him and Rajon Rondo. Threes, D, points and boards are all going to come in bunches. 4. Markieff Morris F Suns- Let’s close out with a couple not-so-ob- vious guys. The Suns are setting the table for a rebuild and they’re going to want to find out which one of their forwards can play next to Bledsoe and Alex Len. Morris can block shots, hit triples and steal a few, so he could be a mini-Batum with 30 minutes per game. 5. Reggie Jackson G Thunder- The Thunder need someone to play shooting guard minutes and the early indications are that Jackson is the guy. Jeremy Lamb’s defense still hasn’t come around and Jackson has a great shot at 27 minutes. He can do it all and would put up terrific numbers with that allotment.
  • 34. 34 NBA Season Preview Draft Guide Roundball Stew Welcome to what I believe is the sixth edition of Draft Guide Roundball Stew. As is the case with the regular season Roundball Stew, I’m going to hurl some thoughts onto the page in hopes that they’ll be helpful. Here we go. Jonas Valanciunas is probably already overhyped -- Draft him anyway. Like a lot of others, I don’t pay much attention to Summer League stats, but I will pay attention when a player (Valanciunas in this case) shows up to play basketball in the month of July looking like a beast. Noticeably bigger than he was last season, JV also looked plenty agile and pretty angry (in a good way) in what I saw of him during Summer League. Over the final month of last season (14 games), Valanciunas averaged 15.1 ppg, 7.3 rpg and 1.9 bpg (63.4 from the field, 85.4 percent from the line), and I think his upside this season is higher than that. Furthermore, the keeper potential here is monstrous – Valanciunas just turned 21 in May. Meanwhile, I love the move to ATL for Paul Millsap. There are times it’s wise to stay away from players in the first year of a long-term deal (more on that in a minute), but this is not one of those cases. Millsap’s deal with the Hawks is somehow only for two seasons, so motivation in year one should not be an issue. Furthermore, with only Al Horford (and an aging Elton Brand) as the main threat fighting him for frontcourt stats, Millsap should improve on last year’s somewhat subpar averages (14.6 ppg, 7.1 rpg), and I’d expect him to land closer to the 17.0 ppg and 8.2 rpg he averaged during 2010-11 and 2011-12. Steph Curry is (almost) at the top of my draft board. There’s no budging LeBron James and Kevin Durant from the top two spots, but in my opinion, the clear third choice is Stephen Curry. I can understand going the slightly safer route with Chris Paul, but it is worth noting that Paul missed more games last year (12) than Curry (four). It’s also worth noting that Curry is still only 25 and averaged career-highs in points (22.9), assists (6.9) and threes (3.5) last year, following it up with some superstar caliber play in the postseason. And yes, I would take Curry ahead of James Harden (whose scoring figures to dip a little bit with the arrival of Dwight Howard). By: Matt Stroup
  • 35. 35NBA Season Preview Some Rookies to Draft Victor Oladipo: One of my main questions with Oladipo was whether he’d show a consistent NBA 3-point stroke, and he answered by shooting 53.8 percent (7-of-13) from downtown in four Summer League games. He may have to fight Jameer Nelson and Arron Afflalo for minutes early on, but sooner rather than later, I expect Oladipo to get a lot of run – and strong all-around stats should follow. Trey Burke: YYes, he was flat-out bad in Summer League. And no, I don’t expect him to shoot especially well as a rookie. But I still have faith that Burke will figure it out. That’s because A) I believe in his skills, and B) as of this writing, his only major competition for point guard minutes is John Lucas. I’ll be watching his preseason stats closely to make sure he’s bouncing back after Summer League, but overall, I haven’t lost confidence in Burke, who can still emerge as a nice source of points, assists and threes in Utah this year. Michael Carter-Williams: Percentages and turnovers may be rather bad, but like Burke, he doesn’t have much competition for minutes, and there’s legit potential here in points, rebounds, assists and steals. Ben McLemore: I’m not convinced he’ll do much in re- bounds or assists, but the opportunity is prime in Sacramento, and McLemore figures to have some pretty explosive nights this year. There’s potential for a Bradley Beal rookie impact here – hopefully with better health. Cody Zeller: As of this writing, Josh McRoberts is his only real competition for minutes at power forward, and Charlotte didn’t take him No. 4 to have him sit and watch. He may not enter the season as a must-own player, but there’s some sleeper potential here. A Couple Rookies to Watch Anthony Bennett: He has a fantasy-friendly game if he gets a chance, but with a crowded frontcourt in Cleveland (Andrew By- num, Anderson Varejao, Tristan Thompson), Bennett likely needs an injury or two to make an impact as a rookie. The good news on that front: with Bynum and Varejao’s injury histories, Bennett figures to get a shot at some point. Dennis Schröder: The No. 17 pick in the draft may not lead the league in much moreThe No. 17 pick in the draft may not lead the league in much more than umlauts as a rookie, but Schröder showed during Summer League that he’s got serious upside as a playmaker. He’s not a name to consider in standard leagues now that the Hawks have re-signed Jeff Teague, but he could step in and put up some intriguing numbers in points and steals if Teague gets hurt. Speaking of Teague... A Couple Players under First-Year Contract Pressure Jeff Teague: I’ve touted Teague aggressively in recent editions of this Draft Guide column, but I’m not quite as gung-ho heading into the 2013-14 campaign. Between the pressure of his new deal (four years, $32 million), a new coach/new system and the return of Lou Williams, I’m not convinced this is the year to draft Teague aggressively, as he could easily get off to a slow start. With that said, I can see him eventually getting it together in the second half, so keep him in mind as a trade target if he does indeed start slowly. Josh Smith: I don’t think Smoove will be a total disaster in the first year of his four-year, $54 million deal, but I personally won’t be running to draft him. My concerns: 1. Declining FT percentage (from 72.5 percent to a career-low 51.7 percent last year); 2. A decrease in blocks (after averaging 2.8 bpg in 2007-08, he has averaged 1.8 bpg the last five years); 3. A crowded rotation trying to A) integrate Smith and volume shooter Brandon Jennings, B) keep Greg Monroe happy and C) account for the continued emergence of Andre Drum- mond. Bottom line: It’s hard to see Smith improving on his production from last year, and it’s easy to see how it could get worse. Given what a liability his FT percentage was last year, and taking every- thing else into account, I think there are better ways to spend an early-round draft pick. In Closing… Ricky Rubio. After a slow start to last season coming off knee surgery, Rubio kicked his season into gear in early February, closing with averages of 13.3 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 8.3 apg, 2.8 spg and 0.7 3s in his last 38 games. Those numbers (along with 37.2 percent shooting and 3.3 turn- overs) made him the No. 45-ranked player in 9-category leagues, and No. 21 in 8-category leagues during that stretch. Now heading into his third season fully healthy, I can easily see Rubio sustaining top-25 value all year, with the potential for an even higher ranking. In summary, if you’re in any of my leagues, and you draft him before me, I will be angry.
  • 36. 36 NBA Season Preview E ach member of the Rotoworld hoops staff got together and came up with three bold predictions for the upcoming NBA season. While some of us were a little bolder than others, the group collectively went out on a limb. Steve Alexander 1. Greg Oden plays in 65 games this season and reestablishes his career. You wanted bold? This is a bold prediction, although that doesn’t mean I’ll necessarily be drafting him. 2. Age catches up with Dirk Nowitzki’s knees (again) and he gives way to Monta Ellis, who will lead the Mavericks in scoring, while Nowitzki will end up being a mini-bust. 3. Kevin Love bounces back and makes us all remember why we loved him so much in the past. And he won’t even be shut down to end the season for the first time in his career. Aaron Bruski 1. Jeff Teague becomes a top- 12 fantasy play. With minutes way lower (33) than he should have played last season, and playing in an offense bogged down by Josh Smith, he has the job security, improved conditions and statistical holes to fill that could push him into that stratosphere. It doesn’t hurt that he’s the only reliable player in the backcourt other than Lou Williams, who is coming off knee surgery. BOLD PREDICTIONS 2. Gordon Hayward ranks as a top-36 fantasy play. Part of this is somewhat contingent on Ty Corbin knowing what to do with his team, but with Al Jefferson gone the main problem of poor offensive structure has been addressed. Hayward will benefit from having a rookie PG in Trey Burke who will need big brother’s assistance, and the top-50 value he showed at times will become a regular thing, pushing him up the charts. 3. Patrick Beverley plays more minutes than Jeremy Lin this season. Lin was benched at times for his poor play last year while Beverley came out of nowhere to put up rugged numbers in limited minutes. If ever there was a player setup to be toppled by a relatively unknown commodity, it is Mr. Unknown Commodity himself. Adam Levitan 1. Victor Oladipo wins Rookie of the Year honors, playing a big part in Orlando’s surprise run to a playoff berth. We knew he was an elite defender, but Oladipo showed an NBA offensive game at Summer League. 2. Andre Drummond becomes the first player since Gerald Wallace in 2005-06 to average at least 2.0 blocks and 2.0 steals per game. He also shoots less than 40 percent from the free-throw line. Nowitzki will end up being a mini-bust. bounces back and makes us all remember why we loved him so much in the past. And he won’t even be shut down to end the season for the first becomes a top- 12 fantasy play. With minutes way lower (33) than he should conditions and statistical holes to fill that could push him into that stratosphere. It doesn’t hurt that he’s the only reliable player in the backcourt other than Lou Williams, who Commodity himself. Adam Levitan 1. Victor Oladipo the Year honors, playing a big part in Orlando’s surprise run to a playoff berth. We knew he was an elite defender, but Oladipo showed an NBA offensive game at Summer League. 2. becomes the first player since Gerald Wallace in 2005-06 to average at least 2.0 blocks and 2.0 steals per game. He also shoots less than 40 percent from the free-throw line. By: Rotoworld Staff
  • 37. 37NBA Season Preview 3. With a new coach, new owner and Team USA experience, DeMarcus Cousins finally gets his head on straight. He finishes as a top-15 fantasy player. Ryan Knaus 1. Eric Bledsoe will go off. Since 1973-74, when the NBA began counting blocked shots, only four players have averaged 5+ assists, 2+ steals and 1+ blocks during a season—Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen, Dwyane Wade, and Ron Harper. Newly acquired Suns guard Eric Bledsoe will be the fifth. He has career per-36-minute averages of 12.3 points, 0.6 triples, 4.8 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 2.2 steals and 0.9 blocks, and enough fantasy upside to assure that I’ll go overboard for him in the third round. 2. Derrick Rose will score 20+ points with career-high percentages from the field (currently 48.9 percent) and 3-point distance (33.2 percent), while playing in at least 72 games. He has been practicing full-speed with contact since February and seems to have regained full confidence in the health of his surgically- repaired knee—when asked in July to name the best player in the NBA, he replied without hesitation, “Derrick Rose.” He’s surrounded by a familiar, talented roster, and there’s nothing to dislike beyond his use of the third-person. 3. Victor Oladipo will win Rookie of the Year. The rebuilding Magic could start him at SG, throw him into the fire at PG, or use him as a combo-guard backup, but they’ll find a way to keep him on the court. Oladipo has solid 3-point range and he’s an NBA- ready defender who should rack up steals as a rookie, though fantasy owners should prepare for minimal assists and sky-high turnovers. For what it’s worth, a prominent online odds-maker has Oladipo as an 11:2 underdog to win ROY, with Trey Burke the favorite at 4:1. Matt Stroup 1. Kobe Bryant (Achilles) not only plays on opening night, but misses just a few games as he flirts with first-round fantasy value in a dominant revenge campaign. 2. With no lingering knee concerns, Ricky Rubio impersonates turn-of-the-century Jason Kidd, setting career-highs in every major category (think 13-15 ppg) and returning top-15 value despite his poor shooting. 3. After a frustrating first year in Toronto, a highly motivated Kyle Lowry stays (mostly) healthy and returns second-round value with Jose Calderon no longer in his way. Matthew Braine 1. Coming off a disastrous NBA Finals, Manu Ginobili will sink even further, averaging less than 10 ppg for the first time since his rookie campaign. 2. Rudy Gay’s attempts at being the number one guy in Toronto for a full season do not end well, as he suffers through an injury plagued season, playing less than 50 games while averaging less than 17 ppg. 3. DeMarcus Cousins puts it all together and becomes a perennial 20/10 guy. Mike Gallagher 1. John Wall finishes the season as fantasy’s number one point guard. He started making threes last season and showed he can be efficient in scoring the ball. Not to mention his dimes and free throws were way up. 2. Every Jazz starter (Burke, Burks, Korver, Kanter and Favors) outperforms their ADP. The Jazz have some serious issues at depth and they look to be this year’s version of the Blazers – not even including the unjustified Burke-Lillard rookie comparisons. 3. Harrison Barnes wins Sixth Man of the Year and becomes a must-start fantasy guy. He’s going to play at the two, three and four, so the stats should really pile up for the sophomore.
  • 38. 38 NBA Season Preview Steve Alexander Rotoworld Tom Carpenter ESPN Stephen Malkmus Celebrity Guest Ryan Knaus Rotoworld Chris Towers CBS Adam Levitan Rotoworld 1 Kevin Durant OKC LeBron James MIA James Harden HOU Chris Paul LAC Stephen Curry GSW Kyrie Irving CLE Anthony Davis NOP Josh Smith DET Al Horford ATL Andre Drummond DET Dwight Howard HOU DeMarcus Cousins SAC2 Dwyane Wade MIA Deron Williams BRK Mike Conley MEM Larry Sanders MLW Chandler Parsons HOU Ricky Rubio MIN3 Derrick Favors UTA Greg Monroe DET Thaddeus Young PHI Jeff Teague ATL Pau Gasol LAL Dirk Nowitzki DAL4 Rudy Gay TOR Klay Thompson GSW Nikola Vucevic ORL Blake Griffin LAC Ryan Anderson NOP David Lee GSW5 JaVale McGee DEN Kyle Lowry TOR Tim Duncan SAN Victor Oladipo ORL Rajon Rondo BOS Goran Dragic PHO6 Andrew Bogut GSW Amir Johnson TOR Tyreke Evans NOP O.J. Mayo MIL Tobias Harris ORL Michael Carter- Williams PHI 7 Moe Harkless ORL Evan Turner PHI Wilson Chandler DEN Markieff Morris PHO Paul Pierce BRK Marcin Gortat PHO8 Gerald Henderson CHA Greivis Vasquez SAC Cody Zeller CHA DeMar DeRozan TOR Ben McLemore SAC Michael Kidd- Gilchrist CHA 9 Jarrett Jack CLE Tristan Thompson CLE Steve Nash LAL Tiago Splitter SAN Andrea Bargnani NYK Carlos Delfino MLW10 Chris Kaman LAL Joe Johnson BRK Jamal Crawford LAC Kyle Korver ATL Brandon Knight MLW DeAndre Jordan LAC11 Lou Williams ATL Nene WAS Martell Webster WAS Rodney Stuckey DET Nerlens Noel PHI Nate Robinson DEN12 Jared Sullinger BOS C.J. McCollum POR Robin Lopez POR Iman Shumpert NYK Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET Earl Clark CLE13 Evan Fournier DEN Kelly Olynyk BOS Mo Williams POR Vince Carter DAL Nick Young LAL Samuel Dalembert DAL14 Analysis by: Steve Alexander
  • 39. 39NBA Season Preview Nick Raducanu FantasyTrade411 Aaron Bruski Rotoworld Aaron Solomon Rotoworld Mike Gallagher Rotoworld Adam Ronis Rotoexperts Matt Buser Basketballmonster.com 1Russell Westbrook OKC Carmelo Anthony NYK Paul George IND Marc Gasol MEM Kevin Love MIN Al Jefferson CHA LaMarcus Aldridge POR Derrick Rose CHI John Wall WAS Damian Lillard POR Serge Ibaka OKC Nicolas Batum POR 2 Joakim Noah CHI Kobe Bryant LAL Jonas Valanciunas TOR Roy Hibbert IND Ty Lawson DEN Paul Millsap ATL 3 Kemba Walker CHA Ersan Ilyasova MLW Jeff Green BOS Monta Ellis DAL Kawhi Leonard SAN Brandon Jennings DET 4 Brook Lopez BRK Chris Bosh MIA Eric Bledsoe PHO Jrue Holiday NOP Bradley Beal WAS Tony Parker SAN 5 Jose Calderon DAL Nikola Pekovic MIN Andre Iguodala GSW Gordon Hayward UTA George Hill IND Kenneth Faried DEN 6 J.R. Smith NYK Jimmy Butler CHI Enes Kanter UTA Kevin Martin MIN David West IND Wesley Matthews POR 7 Andrew Bynum CLE Luol Deng CHI Zach Randolph MEM Danny Green SAN Tyson Chandler NYK Eric Gordon NOP 8 Kevin Garnett BRK Anderson Varejao CLE Anthony Bennett CLE Harrison Barnes GSW Danny Granger IND Jeremy Lin HOU 9 Carlos Boozer CHI Trey Burke UTA Spencer Hawes PHI Isaiah Thomas SAC Raymond Felton NYK Gerald Wallace BOS 10 Danilo Gallinari DEN Andrei Kirilenko BRK Otto Porter WAS Alec Burks UTA J.J. Redick LAC Marcus Thornton SAC 11 Jared Dudley LAC Glen Davis ORL John Henson MLW Dion Waiters CLE Jameer Nelson ORL J.J. Hickson DEN 12 Manu Ginobili SAN Emeka Okafor C WAS Reggie Jackson OKC Alex Len PHO Thabo Sefolosha OKC Greg Oden MIA 13 Brandan Wright DAL Randy Foye DEN Archie Goodwin PHO Courtney Lee BOS Patrick Beverly HOU Shawn Marion DAL 14 On a cool, mid-August night, 11 fantasy hoops insiders and a fantasy-savvy rock star got together for a mock draft for this magazine. Despite Thursday night preseason football games going on during the draft, and with this thing happened right in the heart of football drafting season, I thought everyone did a great job. There is a lot to be learned from this draft, especially if you want to figure out where sleepers, rookies, old dudes and studs might go in your draft in late October. The participants, their websites and the draft order are listed below. This league was set up as head-to-head, nine categories with two PG, SG, SF, PF and C, along with a flex and three bench players in 14 rounds. I probably waited too long to get a point guard, but I am pretty happy with my first six picks of Kevin Durant, DeMarcus Cousins, Dwyane Wade, Dirk Nowitzki, Rudy Gay and Goran Dragic. Let’s dive in.
  • 40. 40 NBA Season Preview ROUND 2 ROUND 3 My pick: Kevin Durant – This was a no-brainer for me, as LeBron James seems to miss games during the fantasy playoffs each year. But really, you can’t go wrong either way. Most interesting pick: Kevin Love – Love will be an absolute steal if he can stay healthy and his shot returns to form. With his rebounding, scoring, 3-point shooting and strong percentages, Love is capable of carrying an entire fantasy team on his back. Just beware of his pen- chant for missing games late in the season. Best pick: Stephen Curry – If Curry’s healthy, he could be the No. 3 overall fantasy player this year. And if he can get through this season without any ankle or random injury problems, we might finally stop talking about them. My pick: DeMarcus Cousins – I think a big year is coming, and he could be even more fun to own in leagues that reward triple-doubles. Of course, Cousins’ head has to be screwed on straight for him to have a full breakout season, and it’s impossible to know if that will be the case or not. But from a talent and opportunity perspective, the only thing that will hold Cousins back this year is…Cousins. Most interesting pick: Andre Drummond – Malkmus said he wanted Paul Millsap, ran out of time and went with Drummond. His free throw shooting is dreadful, he’s as raw as they come offensively, and he could lead the league in blocks and rebounding one day. Round 2 is too early for Drummond, especially with the free throws, but all indications are that he’ll be a fun player to own this year and for many more to come. Best pick: Nicolas Batum – Batum could easily finish the season with first-round value. We see the Celtics’ Jeff Green having a similar sea- son, and he should come with a much cheaper price tag. But the dif- ference between Batum and Green is that Batum is nearly guaranteed to have a big year, while we’re simply hoping that Green lives up to the massive hype we’ve created for him in our minds. My pick: Dwyane Wade – Round 3? Yes, please. There is certainly risk when it comes to messing around with Wade and his gimpy knees this season, but getting him in Round 3 instead of Round 1 makes it a gamble worth taking. Most interesting pick: Jonas Valanciunas – We love him, but this looks a little early to move on him. We’re speculating that JV is going to fully break out this season, and it sure seems like he is a can’t-miss prospect. But you have to make sure you get a can’t-miss player in Round 3, and Valanciunas still has to prove his worth on the court over an entire season. Best pick: Ty Lawson and Paul Millsap – Both players should be steals this late. Lawson could fully breakout, especially with Andre Iguo- dala now in Golden State, and Millsap has finally been freed, getting the power forward job all to himself in Atlanta. ROUND 1 Kevin Durant OKC Steve Alexander, Rotoworld1 LeBron James MIA Tom Carpenter, ESPN2 James Harden HOU Stephen Malkmus, Celebrity Guest3 Chris Paul NOP Ryan Knaus, Rotoworld4 Stephen Curry GSW Chris Towers, CBS5 Kyrie Irving CLE Adam Levitan, Rotoworld6 Russell Westbrook OKC Nick Raducanu, FantasyTrade4117 Carmelo Anthony NYK Aaron Bruski, Rotoworld8 Paul George IND Aaron Solomon, Rotoworld9 Marc Gasol MEM Mike Gallagher, Rotoworld10 Kevin Love MIN Adam Ronis, Rotoexperts11 Al Jefferson CHA Matt Buser, Basketballmonster.com12 LaMarcus Aldridge POR Buser13 LeBron James MIA Ronis14 James Harden HOU Gallagher15 Chris Paul NOP Solomon16 Stephen Curry GSW Bruski17 Kyrie Irving CLE Raducanu18 Russell Westbrook OKC Levitan19 Carmelo Anthony NYK Towers20 Paul George IND Knaus21 Marc Gasol MEM Malkmus22 Kevin Love MIN Carpenter23 Al Jefferson CHA Alexander24 Dwyane Wade MIA 25 Deron Williams BRK 26 Mike Conley MEM 27 Larry Sanders MLW 28 Chandler Parsons HOU 29 Ricky Rubio MIN 30 Joakim Noah CHI 31 Kobe Bryant LAL 32 Jonas Valanciunas TOR 33 Roy Hibbert ING 34 Ty Lawson DEN 35 Paul Millsap ATL Alexander Carpenter Malkmus Knaus Towers Levitan Raducanu Bruski Solomon Gallagher Ronis Buser36
  • 41. 41NBA Season Preview ROUND 5 ROUND 6 My pick: Dirk Nowitzki – Round 4? Yes, please. He’s still Dirk, he’s still got game and he, along with Monta Ellis, will still be the focal point of the Dallas offense. He should be an absolute steal in fantasy drafts if he consistently falls this late. Most interesting pick: Thaddeus Young – Young is one of the few play- ers in Philly with the talent, skill and experience to put up a mon- ster season. He should be the best player on the league’s worst team, which usually results in fantasy gold. Best pick: Jeff Green – I really wanted Green here, and as I wrote earlier under Nicolas Batum, the future is now for Green. I will be shocked if he doesn’t have a big season, as long as he can stay healthy. My pick: Rudy Gay – I was thrilled to get Gay here, as he’s another multi-cat stud who won’t hurt owners anywhere. And while I’m pret- ty psyched about how this draft is going, I am also starting to panic about my point guard situation, or should I say, lack of one. Most interesting pick: Ryan Anderson – Can he rebound from his girlfriend’s suicide? That will be one of the big questions surround- ing Anderson, while he could also be squeezed for playing time if Anthony Davis spends more time at PF than C this season. Honorable mention: Eric Bledsoe – Bledsoe is all upside and could finish as the sleeper of the year in Phoenix. Best pick: Tony Parker – You know what you’re going to get. He’s con- sistent, and despite a lack of threes and some shaky free throw shoot- ing, he’s still a very good fantasy player. My pick: Goran Dragic – I needed a point guard and got a pretty good one at the end of Round 6. I would have liked to have the flexibility to get Oladipo here and had my sights set on Calderon, Hill and Lowry, who were all gone. Rondo’s injury situation and mental state equate to too much risk for my blood. Most interesting pick: JaVale McGee – If it doesn’t happen this year for McGee, it’s never going to. George Karl is gone, McGee is starting and he’s hitting his prime age, making it look like a perfect storm for the often-confused big man. Best pick: Tim Duncan – The old man still has it and I see no reason why his rebounding, shot blocking or game would suddenly cool off this season. He looks like an excellent sleeper/value pick, as usual. ROUND 4 Kemba Walker CHA Buser37 Ersan Ilyasova MLW Ronis38 Jeff Green BOS Gallagher39 Monta Ellis DAL Solomon40 Kawhi Leonard SAN Bruski41 Brandon Jennings DET Raducanu42 Derrick Favors ATL Levitan43 Greg Monroe DET Towers44 Thaddeus Young PHI Knaus45 Jeff Teague ATL Malkmus46 Pau Gasol LAL Carpenter47 Dirk Nowitzki DAL Alexander48 Rudy Gay TOR Alexander49 Klay Thompson GSW Carpenter50 Nikola Vucevic ORL Malkmus51 Blake Griffin LAC Knaus52 Ryan Anderson NOP Towers53 David Lee GSW Levitan54 Brook Lopez BRK Raducanu55 Chris Bosh MIA Bruski56 Eric Bledsoe PHO Solomon57 Jrue Holiday NOP Gallagher58 Bradley Beal WAS Ronis59 Tony Parker SAN Buser60 Jose Calderon DAL Buser61 Nikola Pekovic MIN Ronis62 Andre Iguodala GSW Gallagher63 Gordon Hayward UTA Solomon64 George Hill IND Bruski65 Kenneth Faried DEN Raducanu66 JaVale McGee DEN Levitan67 Kyle Lowry TOR Towers68 Tim Duncan SAN Knaus69 Victor Oladipo ORL Malkmus70 Rajon Rondo BOS Carpenter71 Goran Dragic PHO Alexander72
  • 42. 42 NBA Season Preview ROUND 8 ROUND 9 My pick: Michael Carter-Williams – This pick raised some eyebrows, and maybe I panicked, taking MCW over Trey Burke, Jeremy Lin and Greivis Vasquez. But then again, I keep envisioning MCW playing a ton of minutes and racking up some serious stats, even though he’s not a great shooter. But yes, Round 7 was too early, and you need to make sure to get your point guards locked up before Round 7 arrives. Most interesting pick: Tobias Harris – Adam wasn’t thrilled with his Harris pick this early, as it’s impossible to tell if he will he duplicate last season’s one month of fantasy superstardom he accrued shortly after being traded to Orlando. This pick has some serious boom-or- bust potential. Best pick: Amir Johnson – Johnson is primed for major success now that Andrea Bargnani is in New York. Johnson’s had some lower leg issues over the past couple seasons and is in for a bigger workload this year, but as long as he can stay healthy, he won’t disappoint. My pick: Marcin Gortat – I needed a center, and despite Gortat’s un- happiness in Phoenix last year, he should start all season. Yes, the arrival of Alex Len is a minor concern, but Gortat should be a safe and sound pick this late. Most interesting pick: Andrew Bynum andEric Gordon – How long their knees will hold up is anyone’s guess. But both players are going to have to be taken at some point on draft night. And Round 8 seems like as good a time as any. Best pick: Zach Randolph – Gallagher knows what he’s getting with the consistent Z-Bo, who now comes with plenty of steals and blocks to go along with the rest of his solid game. My pick: DeMar DeRozan – DeRozan doesn’t hit 3-pointers, but he will score in bunches and is a high-minutes guy. Which is about all you can ask for once you get this deep in your draft. Most interesting pick: Danny Granger – The big question is, will his knee hold up? And can he be effective while deferring to Paul George, David West and Roy Hibbert? When you add in the fact that it sounds like he may start out the season with just 15 minutes per game, Dan- ny Granger, as we knew him, is gone. Maybe he’ll play more in the second half and have a decent year, but it just doesn’t seem too likely at this point. We’re souring on him more and more by the day. Best pick: Gerald Henderson and Jeremy Lin – Both are safe picks and maybe, just maybe, Henderson will shoot some 3-pointers this season. Lin is consistent but is nothing more than a low-end start- ing point guard who will be chased by Patrick Beverly every day in practice. ROUND 7 Michael Carter-Williams PHI 73 Andrew Bogut GSW 74 Amir Johnson TOR 75 Tyreke Evans NOP 76 O.J. Mayo MIL 77 Tobias Harris ORL 78 J.R. Smith NYK 79 Jimmy Butler CHI 80 Enes Kanter UTA 81 Kevin Martin MIN 82 David West IND 83 Wesley Matthews POR 84 Andrew Bynum CLE Buser85 Luol Deng CHI Ronis86 Zach Randolph MEM Gallagher87 Danny Green SAN Solomon88 Tyson Chandler NYK Bruski89 Eric Gordon NOP Raducanu90 Moe Harkless ORL Levitan91 Evan Turner PHI Towers92 Wilson Chandler DEN Knaus93 Markieff Morris PHO Malkmus94 Paul Pierce BRK Carpenter95 Marcin Gortat PHO Alexander96 DeMar DeRozan TOR Alexander97 Ben McLemore SAC Carpenter98 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA Malkmus99 Gerald Henderson CHA Knaus100 Greivis Vasquez SAC Towers101 Cody Zeller CHA Levitan102 Kevin Garnett BRK Raducanu103 Anderson Varejao CLE Bruski104 Anthony Bennett CLE Solomon105 Harrison Barnes GSW Gallagher106 Danny Granger IND Ronis107 Jeremy Lin HOU Buser108 Alexander Carpenter Malkmus Knaus Towers Levitan Raducanu Bruski Solomon Gallagher Ronis Buser
  • 43. 43NBA Season Preview ROUND 11 ROUND 12 My pick: Carlos Delfino – I love Delfino’s 3-point prowess and start- ing gig in Milwaukee. I don’t love the fact that he seems to be hurt a lot. But if he can stay on the court and get some open looks, he’s going to have some monster games. Most interesting picks: Gerald Wallace, Andrea Bargnani & Tristan Thompson – Can the first two bounce back from lost seasons, and can Thompson shoot with his other hand? Wallace was healthy but lost all his confidence last season, Bargnani simply can’t stay healthy, and the great Thompson shooting experiment is one of the more in- teresting stories around the league this year. Best pick: Spencer Hawes – Like teammate Thaddeus Young, Hawes should have a big year for the dreadful Sixers. He’s a little injury prone but can block shots and hit 3-pointers, adding to his value as the starting C in Philly. My pick: Chris Kaman – He’s a living, breathing starting NBA center again, and while I don’t really trust him, I needed a big man. And with the Lakers being a bit of a mess, Kaman could surprise us all if he can keep himself on the court. Most interesting pick: Danilo Gallinari – Can Raducanu wait until February for Gallinari’s return from knee surgery? I doubt it, and the only owners who should be drafting him this year are the ones with a lot of patience. Best pick: Brandon Knight – He was the best point guard left on the board and gets a fresh start in Milwaukee. He’s not going to single- handedly win you a fantasy league, but he could contribute to the cause. My pick: Nate Robinson – I’m still thin at PG, and he was the best one left on the board. Robinson could have a hard time getting minutes with Ty Lawson and Andre Miller still around, but Miller should be ready to take a dive and Robinson is ready to hit the court and start launching ill-advised shots. Most interesting pick: Glen Davis and Lou Williams – Can they bounce back from their injuries? Both players were set to have some decent value last year, but Davis had foot surgery, and Williams blew out his knee. They could struggle to come back quickly, which is why they fell this far in the draft. Best pick: Jameer Nelson – Nelson is a solid point-guard selection this late, and I’m thinking I should have just waited for him instead of taking MCW so early. ROUND 10 Carlos Boozer CHI Buser109 Trey Burke UTA Ronis110 Spencer Hawes PHI Gallagher111 Isaiah Thomas SAC Solomon112 Raymond Felton NYK Bruski113 Gerald Wallace BOS Raducanu114 Jarrett Jack CLE Levitan115 Tristan Thompson CLE Towers116 Steve Nash LAL Knaus117 Tiago Splitter SAN Malkmus118 Andrea Bargnani NYK Carpenter119 Carlos Delfino MLW Alexander120 Chris Kaman LAL Alexander121 Joe Johnson BRK Carpenter122 Jamal Crawford LAC Malkmus123 Kyle Korver ATL Knaus124 Brandon Knight MLW Towers125 DeAndre Jordan LAC Levitan126 Danilo Gallinari DEN Raducanu127 Andrei Kirilenko BRK Bruski128 Otto Porter WAS Solomon129 Alec Burks UTA Gallagher130 J.J. Redick LAC Ronis131 Marcus Thornton SAC Buser132 Jared Dudley LAC Buser133 Glen Davis ORL Ronis134 John Henson MLW Gallagher135 Dion Waiters CLE Solomon136 Jameer Nelson ORL Bruski137 J.J. Hickson DEN Raducanu138 Lou Williams ATL Levitan139 Nene WAS Towers140 Martell Webster WAS Knaus141 Rodney Stuckey DET Malkmus142 Nerlens Noel PHI Carpenter143 Nate Robinson DEN Alexander144
  • 44. 44 NBA Season Preview ROUND 14 My pick: Earl Clark – I consider him a sleeper as the starting SF in CLE, but he is far from guaranteed success. But this late, I don’t care. It’s always nice to have a couple expendable players on the end of your roster once the early, hot free agents emerge. Most interesting pick: Greg Oden – Will Oden play, and if so, how much? It’s hard to get excited about Oden, and we were hesitant to even rank him in the Top 200. But if he can somehow make it through 50 games or so, he would have value as a shot blocker and rebounder. But he is far from a must-own player this season, even if you’re using a final pick on him. Best pick: Jared Sullinger – I think he’s going to get a ton of boards in Boston and consider him a deep sleeper in all formats. My pick: Samuel Dalembert – There’s no risk in Dalembert this late, and he comes with plenty of boards/blocks reward potential if he can hold the starting job. The Mavs don’t want him to score, but eight points, 10 boards and two blocks are not out of the realm of pos- sibility here. Most interesting pick: Kelly Olynyk – Olynyk could start for the Celt- ics, but he could wear down with too many minutes as a rookie. He looked good in Summer League play, and the Celtics are so thin in the middle that he looks to be guaranteed minutes. He looks like a great late-round flier in most formats. Best pick: Courtney Lee – Lee could break out for the diminished Celtics with Jason Terry in Brooklyn, but it’s far from a guarantee. But when it comes to Round 14 in fantasy drafts, players like Lee, who could shock us with a big year, are a great way to burn the last pick. ROUND 13 Earl Clark CLE 145 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 146 Iman Shumpert NYK 147 Robin Lopez POR 148 C.J. McCollum POR 149 Jared Sullinger BOS 150 Greg Oden MIA 151 Thabo Sefolosha OKC 152 Alex Len PHO 153 Reggie Jackson OKC 154 Emeka Okafor C WAS 155 Manu Ginobili SAN 156 Brandan Wright DAL Buser157 Randy Foye DEN Ronis158 Archie Goodwin PHO Gallagher159 Courtney Lee BOS Solomon160 Patrick Beverly HOU Bruski161 Shawn Marion DAL Raducanu162 Evan Fournier DEN Levitan163 Kelly Olynyk BOS Towers164 Mo Williams POR Knaus165 Vince Carter DAL Malkmus166 Nick Young LAL Carpenter167 Samuel Dalembert DAL Alexander168 Alexander Carpenter Malkmus Knaus Towers Levitan Raducanu Bruski Solomon Gallagher Ronis Buser
  • 45. 45NBA Season Preview
  • 46. 46 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Mike Budenholzer will take over as head coach from Larry Drew, while Josh Smith is now in Detroit. They brought in Paul Millsap, who will finally have a starting gig all to himself, while rookie point guard Dennis Schröder has been impressive thus far. They also jettisoned Zaza Pachulia and added Elton Brand as a big body off the bench. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: The Hawks matched Milwau- kee’s offer sheet to Jeff Teague, who is the clear starter in Atlanta. Schröder is interesting, but it’s hard to see him making much fantasy noise as long as Teague is healthy. SHOOTING GUARD: This is where things get in- teresting, as Lou Williams is coming off ACL knee surgery and Devin Harris is in Dallas. John Jenkins could end up being the starter, but as of now, Williams is probably the better late fantasy pick if he’s healthy. But that could change if Jenkins is named the starter and has figured out how to play in the NBA. SMALL FORWARD: Kyle Korver is back and will start as long as he’s healthy, while DeMarre Car- roll looks like an interesting waiver-wire guy if Korver goes down. Regardless of what hap- pens here, Korver is a late-round pick who will mainly provide 3-pointers. Atlanta Hawks 2012-2013 Record: 44-38 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 43-39 Lucas Nogueira (No. 16) Dennis Schroeder (No. 17) Mike Muscala (No. 44) Mike Budenholzer Larry Drew Devin Harris(to Mavericks) Zaza Pachulia (to Bucks) Josh Smith (to Pistons) Anthony Tolliver (to Bobcats) DeShawn Stevenson Pero Antic (from Olympiacos) Elton Brand (from Mavericks) DeMarre Carroll (from Jazz) Kyle Korver (re-signed) Paul Millsap (from Jazz) Jeff Teague (re-signed) Gustavo Ayon (from Bucks) DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Paul Millsap takes over for the departed Josh Smith and is unchallenged for the starting job, unless Mike Scott and Gustavo Ayon are better than advertised. We’re expect- ing a career year out of Millsap, and he will go late in Round 2 or some time in Round 3 in most leagues. He should truly be a fantasy beast this season. CENTER: Al Horford is back and will be relieved by Elton Brand off the bench. Zaza Pachulia is in Milwaukee, and as long as Horford is healthy, he should get as many minutes as he can handle. He remains a top fantasy option and should qualify at both PF and C. SUMMARY The Hawks, once again, look like a solid team in the East that should make the playoffs but don’t have a real shot at winning it all or getting to the finals. Teague, Millsap and Horford should all be hot fantasy pickups early in drafts this year. Atlanta HaWks Coach Mike Budenholzer PG 1. Jeff Teague 2. Dennis Schröder 3. Shelvin Mack SG 1. John Jenkins 2. Lou Williams 3. Jared Cunningham SF 1. Kyle Korver 2. DeMarre Carroll PF 1. Paul Millsap 2. Mike Scott 3. Gustavo Ayon 4. Pero Antic C 1.Al Horford 2. Elton Brand 3. Pero Antic Wk1 Oct 30 @Dal Nov 1 Tor Nov 3 @LAL Wk2 Nov 5 @Sac Nov 7 @Den Nov 9 Orl Wk3 Nov 11 @Char Nov 13 NY Nov 15 Phi Nov 16 @NY Wk4 Nov 19 @Mia Nov 20 Det Nov 22 @Det Nov 23 Bos Wk5 Nov 26 Orl Nov 27 @Hou Nov 29 Dal Nov 30 @Wash Wk6 Dec 2 @SA Dec 4 LAC Dec 6 Cle Wk7 Dec 10 OKC Dec 13 Wash Dec 14 @NY Wk8 Dec 16 LAL Dec 18 Sac Dec 20 Utah Wk9 Dec 23 @Mia Dec 26 @Cle Dec 28 Char Dec 29 @Orl Wk10 Dec 31 @Bos Jan 3 GS Jan 4 @Chi Wk11 Jan 6 @Brook Jan 8 Ind Jan 10 Hou Jan 12 @Mem Wk12 Jan 16 Brook Wk13 Jan 20 Mia Jan 22 @Orl Jan 24 SA Jan 25 @Mil Wk14 Jan 27 @OKC Jan 29 Det Jan 31 @Phi Feb 1 Min Wk15 Feb 4 Ind Feb 5 @NO Feb 8 Mem Wk16 Feb 11 @Chi Feb 12 @Tor Wk17 Feb 18 @Ind Feb 19 Wash Feb 21 @Det Feb 22 NY Wk18 Feb 25 Chi Feb 26 @Bos Mar 2 @Pho Wk19 Mar 5 @Port Mar 7 @GS Mar 8 @LAC Wk20 Mar 10 @Utah Mar 13 Mil Mar 15 Den Wk21 Mar 17 @Char Mar 18 Tor Mar 21 NO Mar 23 @Tor Wk22 Mar 24 Pho Mar 26 @Min Mar 27 Port Mar 29 @Wash Wk23 Mar 31 Phi Apr 2 Chi Apr 4 Cle Apr 6 @Ind Wk24 Apr 9 Bos Apr 11 @Brook Apr 12 Mia Wk25 Apr 14 Char Apr 16 @Mil EASTERN CONFERENCE - Atlantic Division
  • 47. 47NBA Season Preview 2012-2013 Record: 41-40 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 47-55 Kelly Olynyk (No. 13) Colton Iverson (No. 53) Brad Stevens Doc Rivers Kevin Garnett (to Nets) Fab Melo (to Grizzlies) Paul Pierce (to Nets) Jason Terry (to Nets) D.J.White (to Nets) Kris Joseph Shavlik Randolph Terrence Williams Vitor Faverani (from Valencia BC) Phil Pressey Keith Bogans (from Nets) MarShon Brooks (from Nets) Donte Greene (from Grizzlies) Kris Humphries (from Nets) Gerald Wallace (from Nets) DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY TRADE Boston Celtics WHAT’S NEW A better question might be what’s not new? Doc Rivers has been replaced by Butler’s Brad Ste- vens, while Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry now play in Brooklyn. Rajon Rondo is still recovering from serious knee surgery and is iffy to start the season, while a full-blown Jeff Green breakout could be coming in Boston. Gerald Wallace and Kris Humphries are now Celtics but were terrible last year. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Rondo will be the man once he’s healthy enough to play, but his injury caused him to fall late into Round 6 in our mock draft. That should make him a serious value pick, while Av- ery “average” Bradley will fill in if Rondo misses time. SHOOTING GUARD:Courtney Lee, Jordan Craw- ford and MarShon Brooks will all share shooting guard duties, and Lee could have a good season if Crawford doesn’t learn to take better shots. None of these guys are must-own players, but all might be worth owning throughout the season. Target Lee and Crawford late, and leave Brooks alone. SMALL FORWARD: Jeff Green will have to hold off Gerald Wallace for the lion’s share of minutes at SF, but after Wallace’s disastrous campaign last year, that shouldn’t be too hard. We have Green breaking out in a big way, making him one of our favorite sleepers this season. He was taken in Round 4 of our mock draft. POWER FORWARD: Brandon Bass and Jared Sull- inger should split time at PF this season, but our guess is that Sullinger will be the guy to own if you’re looking for rebounds. Target them both late in your draft. CENTER: Rookie Kelly Olynyk looks like he could potentially start at center for the Celtics, but Kris Humphries will be looking to bounce back after an awful year in Brooklyn. Olynyk is worthy of a late-round flier, while Humphries can be added late as well. But you don’t want to rely on either player for daily fantasy use if you can help it. SUMMARY The Celtics swear they’re not tanking, but they are. Green should be a monster, and Rondo will be solid once he’s healthy enough for 30 min- utes per game. But outside of Green, and maybe Rondo, there are no early fantasy draft picks on this team. BOSTON CELTICS Coach Brad Stevens PG 1. Rajon Rondo 2. Phil Pressey SG 1. Courtney Lee 2.Avery Bradley 3. Jordan Crawford 4. MarShon Brooks SF 1. Jeff Green 2. Gerald Wallace 3. Donte Greene PF 1. Brandon Bass 2. Jared Sullinger C 1. Kris Humphries 2. Kelly Olynyk 3.Vitor Faverani Wk1 Oct 30 @Tor Nov 1 Mil Nov 3 @Det Wk2 Nov 4 @Mem Nov 6 Utah Nov 8 @Orl Nov 9 @Mia Wk3 Nov 11 Orl Nov 13 Char Nov 15 Port Nov 16 @Min Wk4 Nov 19 @Hou Nov 20 @SA Nov 22 Ind Nov 23 @Atl Wk5 Nov 25 @Char Nov 27 Mem Nov 29 Cle Nov 30 @Mil Wk6 Dec 3 Mil Dec 6 Den Dec 8 @NY Wk7 Dec 10 @Brook Dec 11 LAC Dec 13 NY Wk8 Dec 16 Min Dec 18 Det Dec 21 Wash Dec 22 @Ind Wk9 Dec 28 Cle Wk10 Dec 31 Atl Jan 2 @Chi Jan 3 NO Jan 5 @OKC Wk11 Jan 7 @Den Jan 8 @LAC Jan 10 @GS Jan 11 @Port Wk12 Jan 13 Hou Jan 15 Tor Jan 17 LAL Jan 19 @Orl Wk13 Jan 21 @Mia Jan 22 @Wash Jan 24 OKC Jan 26 Brook Wk14 Jan 28 @NY Jan 29 Phi Feb 2 Orl Wk15 Feb 5 @Phi Feb 7 Sac Feb 9 Dal Wk16 Feb 10 @Mil Feb 12 SA Wk17 Feb 19 @Pho Feb 21 @LAL Feb 22 @Sac Wk18 Feb 24 @Utah Feb 26 Atl Mar 1 Ind Wk19 Mar 5 GS Mar 7 Brook Mar 9 Det Wk20 Mar 11 @Ind Mar 12 NY Mar 14 Pho Mar 16 @NO Wk21 Mar 17 @Dal Mar 19 Mia Mar 21 @Brook Wk22 Mar 26 Tor Mar 28 @Tor Mar 30 Chi Wk23 Mar 31 @Chi Apr 2 @Wash Apr 4 Phi Apr 5 @Det Wk24 Apr 9 @Atl Apr 11 Char Apr 12 @Cle Wk25 Apr 14 @Phi Apr 16 Wash EASTERN CONFERENCE - Atlantic Division
  • 48. 48 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW The Celtics are now the Nets, or at least a lot of them are. Jason Kidd will be the Nets’ rookie coach, while Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry have joined the Nets, along with free agent Andrei Kirilenko. Meanwhile, Kris Humphries, MarShon Brooks and one of last season’s biggest disappointments, Gerald Wal- lace, are all in Boston. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: There is no position battle here. Deron Williams is the only name you need to know, although it will be interesting to see how shots are divided up in Brooklyn with so many offensive weapons in the starting unit, as well as off the bench. SHOOTING GUARD:Things get more interesting here, as Joe Johnson will have to deal with the presence of Jason Terry and Alan Anderson, as well as several other offensive weapons on the floor. Johnson’s game is starting to fade and he could easily get lost in the shuffle this year, de- spite being paid $20 million. SMALL FORWARD: Paul Pierce should start and can also play some shooting guard, while An- drei Kirilenko should be good for 20 minutes of relief off the bench. Both players are worth drafting, but nowhere near where they were be- ing targeted in past years. Brooklyn Nets Mason Plumlee (No. 22) Jason Kidd P.J. Carlesimo C.J.Watson (to Pacers) Alan Anderson (from Raptors) Andray Blatche (re-signed) Andrei Kirilenko (from Tim- berwolves) Shaun Livingston (from Cavs) Kevin Garnett (from Celtics) Paul Pierce (from Celtics) Jason Terry (from Celtics) Keith Bogans (to Celtics) MarShon Brooks (to Celtics) Kris Humphries (to Celtics) Kris Joseph (to Celtics) Gerald Wallace (to Celtics) D.J.White DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE POWER FORWARD: Kevin Garnett is locked and loaded at the 4, and Reggie Evans will come off the bench to provide instant rebounds. How long either one of them can hold it down remains to be seen, as they are two of the league’s elder statesmen. CENTER: Brook Lopez is coming off a fantastic season but had to have a screw in his foot re- placed over the summer, which required surgery. He spent most of it in a walking boot but vows to be ready for the start of the season. We’ll see if it happens. Andray Blatche will spend time at power forward with KG and Evans but should also see minutes as Lopez’s backup. And if his foot is slow to heal, Blatche could end up having a little value. SUMMARY Nets fans are pretty excited about the changes, which clearly speak to a “now or never” audi- ence. Our biggest concern is that there won’t be enough basketballs to go around and keep every- one fed. And while this team is built mostly of veterans willing to sacrifice for the good of the whole, it has the look of a fantasy disaster. Trust that Deron Williams will get his, and Lopez too, if healthy, but the rest of these guys may end up being fantasy role players. BROOKLYN NETS Coach Jason Kidd PG 1. Deron Williams 2. Shaun Livingston 3.Tyshawn Taylor SG 1. Joe Johnson 2. Jason Terry 3.Alan Anderson SF 1. Paul Pierce 2.Andrei Kirilenko 3.Tornike Shengelia PF 1. Kevin Garnett 2. Reggie Evans 3. Mirza Teletovic C 1. Brook Lopez 2.Andray Blatche 3. Mason Plumlee Wk1 Oct 30 @Cle Nov 1 Mia Nov 3 @Orl Wk2 Nov 5 Utah Nov 8 @Wash Nov 9 Ind Wk3 Nov 13 @Sac Nov 15 @Pho Nov 16 @LAC Wk4 Nov 18 Port Nov 20 @Char Nov 22 @Min Nov 24 Det Wk5 Nov 26 @Tor Nov 27 LAL Nov 29 @Hou Nov 30 @Mem Wk6 Dec 3 Den Dec 5 NY Dec 7 @Mil Wk7 Dec 10 Bos Dec 12 LAC Dec 13 @Det Wk8 Dec 16 Phi Dec 18 Wash Dec 20 @Phi Wk9 Dec 23 Ind Dec 25 Chi Dec 27 Mil Dec 28 @Ind Wk10 Dec 31 @SA Jan 2 @OKC Jan 4 Cle Wk11 Jan 6 Atl Jan 8 GS Jan 10 Mia Jan 11 @Tor Wk12 Jan 16 @Atl Wk13 Jan 20 @NY Jan 21 Orl Jan 24 Dal Jan 26 @Bos Wk14 Jan 27 Tor Jan 31 OKC Feb 1 @Ind Wk15 Feb 3 Phi Feb 6 SA Feb 7 @Det Feb 9 NO Wk16 Feb 12 Char Feb 13 @Chi Wk17 Feb 19 @Utah Feb 22 @GS Feb 23 @LAL Wk18 Feb 26 @Port Feb 27 @Den Mar 1 @Mil Wk19 Mar 3 Chi Mar 5 Mem Mar 7 @Bos Mar 9 Sac Wk20 Mar 10 Tor Mar 12 @Mia Mar 15 @Wash Wk21 Mar 17 Pho Mar 19 Char Mar 21 Bos Mar 23 @Dal Wk22 Mar 24 @NO Mar 26 @Char Mar 28 Cle Mar 30 Min Wk23 Apr 1 Hou Apr 2 @NY Apr 4 Det Apr 5 @Phi Wk24 Apr 8 @Mia Apr 9 @Orl Apr 11 Atl Apr 13 Orl Wk25 Apr 15 NY Apr 16 @Cle 2012-2013 Record: 49-33 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 51-31 EASTERN CONFERENCE - Atlantic Division
  • 49. 49NBA Season Preview Cody Zeller (No. 4) Steve Clifford Mike Dunlap DeSagana Diop (renounced) Byron Mullens (to Clippers) Reggie Williams (to Rockets) Tyrus Thomas (amnesty) Gerald Henderson (re-signed) Al Jefferson (from Jazz) Josh McRoberts (re-signed) Jannero Pargo (re-signed) Anthony Tolliver (from HaWks) DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY Charlotte Bobcats WHAT’S NEW Little-known Steve Clifford will coach the Bob- cats, who added talented big man Al Jefferson in the offseason. Kemba Walker is coming off a big year, Gerald Henderson should be improved, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will look to take a big step forward after a quiet rookie year, and rookie Cody Zeller will try to live up to the hype of be- ing the No. 4 pick in the draft. Byron Mullens is now with the Clippers, while Tyrus Thomas is simply looking for a new team that will have him. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Walker was a mini-beast last sea- son and should be primed for another good cam- paign this year. Don’t hesitate to make him your starting point guard, and you shouldn’t have to pay through the nose for him. Ramon Sessions is still around as his backup and put up pretty de- cent numbers last season. He might be worth a late-round flier or supply insurance for Walker’s owners. SHOOTING GUARD:Henderson played well last season and could be primed for his best year yet. Three-pointers are still a concern, but the kid can score. Ben Gordon, who clashed with his coach last season, will get a new start with Clifford, but don’t count on him to be consistent coming off the bench behind Hendo. SMALL FORWARD: Kidd-Gilchrist was disappoint- ing last season as questions remain about his ability to play on the offensive end, but he should at least be much improved over the player we saw last year. If he struggles again, Jeff Taylor could get some nice run off the bench. POWER FORWARD: Zeller will likely take over as the starting PF and is a favorite to challenge for ROY. If nothing else, we’re guessing he looks a heck of a lot better for the Cats than he did for the Hoosiers in the NCAA tournament last March. Josh McRoberts and Anthony Tolliver will back him up, but there’s no reason to draft them in most leagues as long as Zeller is starting. CENTER: Jefferson will bring a much-needed of- fensive presence to the middle for the Bobcats, but his defense is suspect. Bismack Biyombo is an afterthought at this point, but they will use him for defensive purposes in limited minutes each night. We generally love Jefferson in Charlotte and are expecting big things from a player that should be taken in the top 15 picks of fantasy drafts. SUMMARY The Bobcats should be better and have solid piec- es at all five spots. But with a rookie coach, rookie PF and a questionable starting SF, they’ll still be a long shot to make the playoffs this year. But you can expect big things from Jefferson and Walker, while Zeller and Henderson should also be solid players to own. CHARLOTTE BOBCATS Coach Steve Clifford PG 1. Kemba Walker 2. Ramon Sessions 3. Jannero Pargo SG 1. Gerald Henderson 2. Ben Gordon SF 1. Michael Kidd- Gilchrist 2. Jeff Taylor PF 1. Cody Zeller 2. Josh McRoberts 3.Anthony Tolliver 4. Jeff Adrien C 1.Al Jefferson 2. Bismack Biyombo 3. Brendan Haywood Wk1 Oct 30 @Hou Nov 1 Cle Nov 2 @NO Wk2 Nov 5 @NY Nov 6 Tor Nov 8 NY Wk3 Nov 11 Atl Nov 13 @Bos Nov 15 @Cle Nov 16 Mia Wk4 Nov 18 @Chi Nov 20 Brook Nov 22 Pho Nov 23 @Mil Wk5 Nov 25 Bos Nov 27 Ind Nov 29 Mil Dec 1 @Mia Wk6 Dec 3 @Dal Dec 6 Phi Wk7 Dec 9 GS Dec 11 Orl Dec 13 @Ind Dec 14 LAL Wk8 Dec 17 Sac Dec 18 @Tor Dec 20 @Det Dec 21 Utah Wk9 Dec 23 Mil Dec 27 OKC Dec 28 @Atl Wk10 Dec 30 @Utah Jan 1 @LAC Jan 2 @Port Jan 4 @Sac Wk11 Jan 7 Wash Jan 10 @Min Jan 11 @Chi Wk12 Jan 14 NY Jan 15 @Phi Jan 17 @Orl Jan 18 Mia Wk13 Jan 20 Tor Jan 22 LAC Jan 24 @NY Jan 25 Chi Wk14 Jan 29 @Den Jan 31 @LAL Feb 1 @Pho Wk15 Feb 4 @GS Feb 8 SA Wk16 Feb 11 Dal Feb 12 @Brook Wk17 Feb 18 @Det Feb 19 Det Feb 21 NO Feb 22 Mem Wk18 Feb 28 @SA Mar 2 @OKC Wk19 Mar 3 @Mia Mar 5 Ind Mar 7 Cle Mar 8 @Mem Wk20 Mar 10 Den Mar 12 @Wash Mar 14 Min Mar 16 @Mil Wk21 Mar 17 Atl Mar 19 @Brook Mar 22 Port Wk22 Mar 24 Hou Mar 26 Brook Mar 28 @Orl Wk23 Mar 31 Wash Apr 2 @Phi Apr 4 Orl Apr 5 @Cle Wk24 Apr 9 @Wash Apr 11 @Bos Apr 12 Phi Wk25 Apr 14 @Atl Apr 16 Chi 2012-2013 Record: 21-61 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 25-57 EASTERN CONFERENCE - southeast Division
  • 50. 50 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Derrick Rose should finally be ready to go for the Bulls, who said goodbye to Nate Robinson and Marco Belinelli, and added Mike Dunleavy to come off the bench. Jimmy Butler should take over at shooting guard, while Luol Deng, Carlos Boozer and Joakim Noah will round out the starting lineup in Chicago. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Rose famously missed all of last season but should be healthy, well rested and ready to rock for the Bulls. Chances are he’ll be available in Round 2 of your draft, which is when you should think about grabbing him. Kirk Hinrich will back up both guard spots, while Marquis Teague could make some noise if Rose struggles with his knee at some point this season. SHOOTING GUARD:Butler is a favorite sleeper in fantasy and could be ready for a big season. He might be the best rebounding guard in the league, and we’re expecting big things from him. Hinrich will play plenty of shooting guard when Butler is resting and might be worth a late-round flier if he can stay healthy. SMALL FORWARD: Luol Deng’s wrist is still a concern, but he plans on powering through it once again. They also added Mike Dunleavy, who should see solid minutes as the backup, making him worth a deep-league look late. Chicago Bulls Tony Snell (No. 20) Erik Murphy (No. 49) Marco Belinelli (to Spurs) Nate Robinson (to Nuggets) Richard Hamilton Malcolm Thomas Nazr Mohammed (re-signed) Mike Dunleavy Jr. (from Bucks) DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY POWER FORWARD: Boozer’s lack of blocks and growing age don’t really appeal to us much in fantasy, but he should be a solid source of points and boards, as usual. Taj Gibson is ready to put up big numbers if Boozer suffers an injury this season but is probably a guy to get off waivers in- stead of on draft night. CENTER: Joakim Noah will handle the center po- sition again and is one of the better ones in the league, but constant foot problems have been a buzzkill for him and his owners. If he misses time, look for Gibson and Nazr Mohammed to try to pick up the slack. SUMMARY If Rose is fully healthy (and he should be), the Bulls should be one of the best teams in the East, while all five starters should put up pretty solid fantasy production all season long. CHICAGO BULLS Coach Tom Thibodeau PG 1. Derrick Rose 2. Kirk Hinrich 3. Marquis Teague SG 1. Jimmy Butler SF 1. Luol Deng 2. Mike Dunleavy 3.Tony Snell PF 1. Carlos Boozer 2.Taj Gibson 3. Erik Murphy C 1. Joakim Noah 2. Nazr Mohammed Wk1 Oct 29 @Mia Oct 31 NY Nov 2 @Phi Wk2 Nov 6 @Ind Nov 8 Utah Wk3 Nov 11 Cle Nov 15 @Tor Nov 16 Ind Wk4 Nov 18 Char Nov 21 @Den Nov 22 @Port Nov 24 @LAC Wk5 Nov 25 @Utah Nov 27 @Det Nov 30 @Cle Wk6 Dec 2 NO Dec 5 Mia Dec 7 Det Wk7 Dec 10 Mil Dec 11 @NY Dec 13 @Mil Dec 14 Tor Wk8 Dec 16 Orl Dec 18 @Hou Dec 19 @OKC Dec 21 Cle Wk9 Dec 25 @Brook Dec 28 Dal Wk10 Dec 30 @Mem Dec 31 Tor Jan 2 Bos Jan 4 Atl Wk11 Jan 7 Pho Jan 10 @Mil Jan 11 Char Wk12 Jan 13 Wash Jan 15 @Orl Jan 17 @Wash Jan 18 Phi Wk13 Jan 20 LAL Jan 22 @Cle Jan 24 LAC Jan 25 @Char Wk14 Jan 27 Min Jan 29 @SA Feb 1 @NO Wk15 Feb 3 @Sac Feb 4 @Pho Feb 6 @GS Feb 9 @LAL Wk16 Feb 11 Atl Feb 13 Brook Wk17 Feb 19 @Tor Feb 21 Den Feb 23 @Mia Wk18 Feb 25 @Atl Feb 26 GS Feb 28 @Dal Mar 2 NY Wk19 Mar 3 @Brook Mar 5 @Det Mar 7 Mem Mar 9 Mia Wk20 Mar 11 SA Mar 13 Hou Mar 15 Sac Wk21 Mar 17 OKC Mar 19 @Phi Mar 21 @Ind Mar 22 Phi Wk22 Mar 24 Ind Mar 28 Port Mar 30 @Bos Wk23 Mar 31 Bos Apr 2 @Atl Apr 4 Mil Apr 5 @Wash Wk24 Apr 9 @Min Apr 11 Det Apr 13 @NY Wk25 Apr 14 Orl Apr 16 @Char 2012-2013 Record: 45-37 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 57-25 EASTERN CONFERENCE - central Division
  • 51. 51NBA Season Preview Anthony Bennett (No. 1) Sergey Karasev (No. 19) Carrick Felix (No. 33) Mike Brown Byron Scott Omri Casspi (to Rockets) Marreese Speights (to Warriors) Shaun Livingston (to Nets) Wayne Ellington (to Mavericks) Kevin Jones Chris Quinn Andrew Bynum (from 76ers) Earl Clark (from Lakers) Jarrett Jack (from Warriors) DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY Cleveland Cavaliers WHAT’S NEW Perhaps the biggest change for the Cavaliers wasn’t even personnel related, as Tristan Thomp- son actually switched his shooting hand from his left to right this summer. Weird, right? They added veterans Andrew Bynum, Jarrett Jack, Earl Clark and C.J. Miles, along with rookies Andrew Bennett (No. 1 overall), Sergey Karasev and Car- rick Felix. Anderson Varejao is set to return from his knee surgery and blood clot in his lung but has a troubled history of staying healthy. Lastly, Mike Brown returns to the scene of ‘The Deci- sion,’ replacing Byron Scott as the head coach. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: There is no battle here, as Kyrie Ir- ving is the man. He went with the No. 6 pick in our mock draft and won’t make it out of Round 1 in most fantasy drafts this year. However, he has missed a bunch of games in both of his seasons, so there is a little risk involved with him, al- though it’s outweighed by the possibility of huge rewards, especially if he plays in 80 games. Jarrett Jack will back him up while also logging plenty of minutes at shooting guard. SHOOTING GUARD:Dion Waiters is a promising talent and could have a big year, but the arrival of Jack clouds that picture a little. C.J. Miles will also get his share of minutes, making all three players a little shaky from a fantasy perspective, just because of the timeshare. SMALL FORWARD: Earl Clark looks like the start- ing small forward and could have a breakout sea- son. Alonzo Gee and Sergey Karasev will step in if he falters, but for now, Clark looks like the guy to draft here, sometime in the middle rounds. POWER FORWARD: Thompson’s great shooting hand change is mind-boggling, and it will be very interesting to see how the experiment works out. With No. 1 pick Bennett hanging around, we see a timeshare here, at best. Both players are worth drafting, but don’t spend an early pick on either of them. CENTER: Bynum will try to bounce back after making it through one practice and zero games last year, and how long his chronic knees will hold up is anyone’s guess. Varejao’s injury history is ugly, especially last year, and while he could start, this is the most volatile center tandem in the league. Both players are obviously worth drafting, but owners should be sure to have a backup plan in mind, as both of them could be in street clothes by Christmas. SUMMARY If Irving, Bynum and Varejao can stay healthy, the addition of Jack and Bennett could be enough to push them into the playoffs. But there are a lot of big ifs in Cleveland, and Mike Brown could have his hands full trying to make it work. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS Coach Mike Brown PG 1. Kyrie Irving 2. Jarrett Jack SG 1. Dion Waiters 2. C.J. Miles 3. Carrick Felix SF 1. Earl Clark 2.Alonzo Gee 3. Sergey Karasev PF 1.Tristan Thompson 2.Anthony Bennett C 1.Andrew Bynum 2.Anderson Varejao 3.Tyler Zeller Wk1 Oct 30 Brook Nov 1 @Char Nov 2 @Ind Wk2 Nov 4 Min Nov 6 @Mil Nov 8 @Phi Nov 9 Phi Wk3 Nov 11 @Chi Nov 13 @Min Nov 15 Char Nov 16 @Wash Wk4 Nov 20 Wash Nov 22 @NO Nov 23 @SA Wk5 Nov 27 Mia Nov 29 @Bos Nov 30 Chi Wk6 Dec 4 Den Dec 6 @Atl Dec 7 LAC Wk7 Dec 10 NY Dec 13 @Orl Dec 14 @Mia Wk8 Dec 17 Port Dec 20 Mil Dec 21 @Chi Wk9 Dec 23 Det Dec 26 Atl Dec 28 @Bos Dec 29 GS Wk10 Dec 31 @Ind Jan 2 Orl Jan 4 @Brook Jan 5 Ind Wk11 Jan 7 Phi Jan 10 @Utah Jan 12 @Sac Wk12 Jan 14 @LAL Jan 15 @Port Jan 17 @Den Wk13 Jan 20 Dal Jan 22 Chi Jan 24 Mil Jan 26 Pho Wk14 Jan 28 NO Jan 30 @NY Feb 1 @Hou Wk15 Feb 3 @Dal Feb 5 LAL Feb 7 @Wash Feb 9 Mem Wk16 Feb 11 Sac Feb 12 @Det Wk17 Feb 18 @Phi Feb 19 Orl Feb 21 @Tor Feb 23 Wash Wk18 Feb 25 Tor Feb 26 @OKC Feb 28 Utah Mar 1 @Mem Wk19 Mar 4 SA Mar 7 @Char Mar 8 NY Wk20 Mar 12 @Pho Mar 14 @GS Mar 16 @LAC Wk21 Mar 18 Mia Mar 20 OKC Mar 22 Hou Mar 23 @NY Wk22 Mar 25 Tor Mar 26 @Det Mar 28 @Brook Mar 30 Ind Wk23 Apr 2 @Orl Apr 4 @Atl Apr 5 Char Wk24 Apr 9 Det Apr 11 @Mil Apr 12 Bos Wk25 Apr 16 Brook 2012-2013 Record: 24-58 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 44-38 EASTERN CONFERENCE - CENTRAL Division
  • 52. 52 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW The Mavs have several new starters, includ- ing point guard Jose Calderon, shooting guard Monta Ellis and center Samuel Dalembert. Rookie Shane Larkin will miss a large chunk of the season due to knee surgery, while Devin Harris, Wayne Ellington, Ricky Ledo and De- Juan Blair are also new additions. The most notable departure is Elton Brand, who is in Atlanta. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Calderon should start over Devin Harris, although that could develop into a timeshare if Harris can stay healthy. Our guess is that Rick Carlisle will love having Calderon efficiently running the offense, leaving Harris a role-playing combo guard off the bench. SHOOTING GUARD:Ellis says he wasn’t happy in Milwaukee, and we’re expecting big things from him in Big D. He could overtake Dirk Nowitzki for the team scoring title, but it will be close. As long as Ellis and Calderon stay healthy, you can forget about the other guards. SMALL FORWARD: Shawn Marion should thrive with Brand out of town and can focus on be- ing the primary small forward for the Mavs. Vince Carter is still hanging around but should be nothing more than a high-end role player this season, as long as Marion is healthy. And it looks like talented forward Jae Crowder is going to have to wait another year before he’s given a chance at real minutes. Dallas Mavericks Shane Larkin (No. 18) Ricky Ledo (No. 43) Elton Brand (to HaWks) Darren Collison (to Clippers) Chris Kaman (to Lakers) O.J. Mayo (to Bucks) Josh Akognon (claimed, Grizzlies) Anthony Morrow (to Pelicans) Jared Cunningham (to HaWks) DeJuan Blair (from Spurs) Jose Calderon (from Pistons) Samuel Dalembert (from Bucks) Wayne Ellington (from Cavaliers) Monta Ellis (from Bucks) Devin Harris(from HaWks) Bernard James (re-signed) Gal Mekel Brandan Wright (re-signed) DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Unlike last season, Nowitki will come in healthy and ready to rock and looks like a true value pick in Round 4 of most drafts. DeJuan Blair and Crowder will back him up, but we’re expecting another solid campaign from Dirk. CENTER: Whether Dalembert can win and hang onto the starting job remains to be seen. He was taken with the very last pick in our mock draft and with that kind of ADP, he could really pay off with blocks and boards if he fits into Carlisle’s scheme as planned. If not, Brandan Wright will emerge as a hot pick up off waivers once Dalem- bert loses the job. SUMMARY The Mavs made some wholesale changes while keeping Nowitzki as the focal point of the of- fense. If Calderon, Ellis and Dalembert can all gel with Marion and Dirk, the Mavs could do some real damage in the West this year. And from a fantasy perspective, all five starters should be drafted and be productive in most leagues. DALLAS MAVERICKS Coach Rick Carlisle PG 1. Jose Calderon 2. Devin Harris 3. Gal Mekel 4. Shane Larkin SG 1. Monta Ellis 2.Wayne Ellington 3. Ricky Ledo SF 1. Shawn Marion 2.Vince Carter 3. Jae Crowder PF 1. Dirk Nowitzki 2. DeJuan Blair C 1. Samuel Dalembert 2. Brandan Wright 3. Bernard James Wk1 Oct 30 Atl Nov 1 @Hou Nov 2 Mem Wk2 Nov 5 LAL Nov 6 @OKC Nov 8 @Min Nov 9 @Mil Wk3 Nov 12 Wash Nov 15 @Mia Nov 16 @Orl Wk4 Nov 18 Phi Nov 20 Hou Nov 22 Utah Nov 23 @Den Wk5 Nov 25 Den Nov 27 GS Nov 29 @Atl Nov 30 Min Wk6 Dec 3 Char Dec 4 @NO Dec 7 @Port Wk7 Dec 9 @Sac Dec 11 @GS Dec 14 Mil Wk8 Dec 18 Mem Dec 20 Tor Dec 21 @Pho Wk9 Dec 23 @Hou Dec 26 SA Dec 28 @Chi Wk10 Dec 30 @Min Jan 1 @Wash Jan 3 LAC Jan 5 NY Wk11 Jan 7 LAL Jan 8 @SA Jan 10 @NO Jan 11 NO Wk12 Jan 13 Orl Jan 15 @LAC Jan 17 @Pho Jan 18 Port Wk13 Jan 20 @Cle Jan 22 @Tor Jan 24 @Brook Jan 26 Det Wk14 Jan 29 Hou Jan 31 Sac Wk15 Feb 3 Cle Feb 5 @Mem Feb 7 Utah Feb 9 @Bos Wk16 Feb 11 @Char Feb 12 @Ind Wk17 Feb 18 Mia Feb 21 @Phi Feb 22 @Det Wk18 Feb 24 @NY Feb 26 NO Feb 28 Chi Mar 2 @SA Wk19 Mar 5 @Den Mar 7 Port Mar 9 Ind Wk20 Mar 11 @GS Mar 12 @Utah Mar 16 @OKC Wk21 Mar 17 Bos Mar 19 Min Mar 21 Den Mar 23 Brook Wk22 Mar 25 OKC Mar 27 LAC Mar 29 Sac Wk23 Apr 1 GS Apr 3 @LAC Apr 4 @LAL Apr 6 @Sac Wk24 Apr 8 @Utah Apr 10 SA Apr 12 Pho Wk25 Apr 16 @Mem 2012-2013 Record: 41-41 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 43-39WESTERN CONFERENCE - SOUTHWEST Division
  • 53. 53NBA Season Preview Erick Green (No. 46) Joffrey Lauvergne (No. 55) Brian Shaw George Karl Corey Brewer (to Timberwolves) Julyan Stone (to Raptors) J.J. Hickson (from Blazers) Timofey Mozgov (re-signed) Nate Robinson (from Bulls) Andre Iguodala (to Warriors) Kosta Koufos (to Grizzlies) Darrell Arthur (from Grizzlies) Randy Foye (from Jazz) DRAFT COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE FREE AGENCY Denver Nuggets WHAT’S NEW George Karl is gone, and Brian Shaw will take over as coach, which should mean good things for JaVale McGee, who now looks like the start- ing center instead of a role player off the bench. Danilo Gallinari is going to miss a huge chunk of the season after knee surgery and should be tar- geted late, while we’re expecting big things from Wilson Chandler, who has talent and will fill in for Gallinari. Andre Iguodala and Kosta Koufos are gone, while Nate Robinson, Randy Foye and J.J. Hickson were brought in for reinforcement, making Denver a very deep team. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Andre Miller is still around, and Nate Robinson is now in Denver, but you have to think this will be the season the keys are fi- nally turned over to Ty Lawson, who should be a top fantasy point guard. Robinson and Miller are worth a look late in drafts, but don’t expect any miracles as long as Lawson is healthy. SHOOTING GUARD:Randy Foye looks like the new starting shooting guard in Denver but could be challenged by Evan Fournier. Neither player is a must-own at this point, but Foye is probably worth a late-round flier if he’s starting. SMALL FORWARD: With Gallinari possibly out until February and Andre Iguodala playing in Golden State, someone is going to have to step up at small forward. And that someone should be Wilson Chandler. He’s got plenty of skill, should be healthy and is officially one of our favorite sleepers this season. Jordan Hamilton and Quin- cy Miller will both be role players off the bench as long as Chandler is playing. POWER FORWARD: The addition of Hickson could be a buzzkill for the value of Kenneth Faried, while Darrell Arthur is also in Denver. Faried is still the guy to target here, but after his solid sea- son last year, Hickson is also a guy who can be drafted in most leagues. CENTER: McGee should start and get a ton of minutes, with ‘TinaFey’ Mozgov backing him up. If there was ever a chance for McGee to ex- plode, make a ton of boneheaded plays and rack up blocks like nobody’s business, this is the year. And if it doesn’t happen now, it probably never will. Feel free to make him your No. 1 center this season and hope it works out. SUMMARY If nothing else, with Lawson, Chandler, Faried and McGee on the court together, the Nuggets will be fun to watch. We’re still not sure a team with McGee as a centerpiece can win anything, but if this team gels and Shaw can coach, any- thing’s possible. DENVER NUGGETS Coach Brian Shaw PG 1.Ty Lawson 2.Andre Miller 3. Nate Robinson SG 1. Randy Foye 2. Evan Fournier 3. Erick Green SF 1. Danilo Gallinari 2.Wilson Chandler 3. Jordan Hamilton 4. Quincy Miller PF 1. Kenneth Faried 2. J.J. Hickson 3. Darrell Arthur 4.Anthony Randolph C 1. JaVale McGee 2.Timofey Mozgov 3. Joffrey Lauvergne Wk1 Oct 30 @Sac Nov 1 Port Wk2 Nov 5 SA Nov 7 Atl Nov 8 @Pho Wk3 Nov 11 @Utah Nov 13 LAL Nov 15 Min Nov 16 @Hou Wk4 Nov 18 @OKC Nov 21 Chi Nov 23 Dal Wk5 Nov 25 @Dal Nov 27 @Min Nov 29 NY Dec 1 @Tor Wk6 Dec 3 @Brook Dec 4 @Cle Dec 6 @Bos Dec 7 @Phi Wk7 Dec 9 @Wash Dec 13 Utah Dec 15 NO Wk8 Dec 17 OKC Dec 20 Pho Dec 21 @LAC Wk9 Dec 23 GS Dec 27 @NO Dec 28 @Mem Wk10 Dec 30 Mia Jan 1 Phi Jan 3 Mem Jan 5 @LAL Wk11 Jan 7 Bos Jan 9 OKC Jan 11 Orl Wk12 Jan 13 @Utah Jan 15 @GS Jan 17 Cle Jan 19 @Pho Wk13 Jan 23 @Port Jan 25 Ind Jan 26 @Sac Wk14 Jan 29 Char Jan 31 Tor Wk15 Feb 3 LAC Feb 5 Mil Feb 7 @NY Feb 8 @Det Wk16 Feb 10 @Ind Feb 12 @Min Wk17 Feb 18 Pho Feb 20 @Mil Feb 21 @Chi Feb 23 Sac Wk18 Feb 25 Port Feb 27 Brook Mar 1 @Port Wk19 Mar 3 Min Mar 5 Dal Mar 7 LAL Mar 9 @NO Wk20 Mar 10 @Char Mar 12 @Orl Mar 14 @Mia Mar 15 @Atl Wk21 Mar 17 LAC Mar 19 Det Mar 21 @Dal Mar 23 Wash Wk22 Mar 24 @OKC Mar 26 @SA Mar 28 SA Wk23 Mar 31 Mem Apr 2 NO Apr 4 @Mem Apr 6 @Hou Wk24 Apr 9 Hou Apr 10 @GS Apr 12 Utah Wk25 Apr 15 @LAC Apr 16 GS 2012-2013 Record: 57-25 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 42-40 WESTERN CONFERENCE - NORTHWEST Division
  • 54. 54 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW A lot. Mo Cheeks takes over as coach, Brandon Jennings will replace Brandon Knight at point guard, rookie Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will get plenty of minutes at shooting guard, Josh Smith takes over at small forward and Andre Drummond looks like the starting center for the Pistons. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: There’s still chatter about the Pistons trying to acquire Rajon Rondo, but it doesn’t appear likely to happen. Jennings says he’s going to stop gunning and become a true point guard, which we’ll believe when we see. But either way, He’s going to be running the show in Detroit and will be a popular fantasy point guard, backed by Will Bynum and Rod- ney Stuckey. SHOOTING GUARD: We have Stuckey penciled in as the starter here, but it wouldn’t be all that surprising to see Caldwell-Pope take over at some point. Both guys are worth drafting, but not until the later rounds, and we prefer the rookie over Stuckey. SMALL FORWARD: Smith comes along with some red flags and a lot of talent. His free throw shooting has become a real disaster, and with Drummond also in the lineup, the Pistons should be the worst foul-shooting team in the league. Smoove will also have to fight his team- Deroit Pistons Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (No. 8) Tony Mitchell (No. 37) Peyton Siva (No. 56) Jose Calderon (to Mavs) Jason Maxiell (to Magic) Kim English (to Montepaschi Siena) Maurice Cheeks Lawrence Frank Brandon Knight (to Bucks) Viacheslav Kravtsov (to Bucks) Khris Middleton (to Bucks) Brandon Jennings (from Bucks) Chauncey Billups (from Clippers) Will Bynum (re-signed) Luigi Datome (from Virtus Roma) Josh Smith (from HaWks) DRAFT FREE AGENCY COACH COACH PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE mates for shots, rebounds and blocks, so this doesn’t look like the year to target him before Round 3, although he’ll likely go in Round 2 in many drafts. Kyle Singler will back him up, but shouldn’t have fantasy value. POWER FORWARD: Greg Monroe has proven him- self to be a very solid fantasy big man and should continue to build his resume. But Drummond and Smoove are going to challenge him for re- bounds and blocks, which could hurt him a little. This frontcourt is crowded. Jonas Jerebko may struggle to make a dent this year as a backup. CENTER: Drummond is going to be the man in the middle and should rack up a ton of boards and blocks, while missing a boatload of free throws. His free throw shooting, or lack thereof, is a ma- jor concern, but he’s still going to be fun to own. Just plan on punting free throw percentage if you choose to take him. Monroe looks like his pri- mary backup at this point, which could present a problem if Drummond is in foul trouble early and often. SUMMARY The Pistons’ new frontcourt and the addition of Cheeks and Jennings are all big moves, and they have a chance to be very good. The crowded frontcourt could hurt everyone’s rebounding numbers, but there is plenty to like about De- troit’s new collection of players. If nothing else, it won’t be boring basketball. DETROIT PISTONS Coach Maurice Cheeks PG 1. Brandon Jennings 2.Will Bynum 3. Chauncey Billups 4. Peyton Siva SG 1. Rodney Stuckey 2.Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SF 1. Josh Smith 2. Kyle Singler 3. Luigi Datome PF 1. Greg Monroe 2. Jonas Jerebko 3. Charlie Villanueva 4.Tony Mitchell C 1.Andre Drummond 2. Josh Harrellson Wk1 Oct 30 Wash Nov 1 @Mem Nov 3 Bos Wk2 Nov 5 Ind Nov 8 OKC Wk3 Nov 11 @Port Nov 12 @GS Nov 15 @Sac Nov 17 @LAL Wk4 Nov 19 NY Nov 20 @Atl Nov 22 Atl Nov 24 @Brook Wk5 Nov 25 Mil Nov 27 Chi Nov 29 LAL Dec 1 Phi Wk6 Dec 3 @Mia Dec 4 @Mil Dec 7 @Chi Dec 8 Mia Wk7 Dec 10 Min Dec 11 @NO Dec 13 Brook Dec 15 Port Wk8 Dec 16 @Ind Dec 18 @Bos Dec 20 Char Dec 21 Hou Wk9 Dec 23 @Cle Dec 27 @Orl Dec 28 @Wash Wk10 Dec 30 Wash Jan 5 Mem Wk11 Jan 7 @NY Jan 8 @Tor Jan 10 @Phi Jan 11 Pho Wk12 Jan 17 Utah Jan 18 @Wash Wk13 Jan 20 LAC Jan 22 @Mil Jan 24 NO Jan 26 @Dal Wk14 Jan 28 Orl Jan 29 @Atl Feb 1 Phi Wk15 Feb 3 @Mia Feb 5 @Orl Feb 7 Brook Feb 8 Den Wk16 Feb 10 SA Feb 12 Cle Wk17 Feb 18 Char Feb 19 @Char Feb 21 Atl Feb 22 Dal Wk18 Feb 24 GS Feb 26 @SA Mar 1 @Hou Wk19 Mar 3 NY Mar 5 Chi Mar 7 @Min Mar 9 @Bos Wk20 Mar 11 Sac Mar 12 @Tor Mar 15 Ind Wk21 Mar 19 @Den Mar 21 @Pho Mar 22 @LAC Wk22 Mar 24 @Utah Mar 26 Cle Mar 28 Mia Mar 29 @Phi Wk23 Mar 31 Mil Apr 2 @Ind Apr 4 @Brook Apr 5 Bos Wk24 Apr 9 @Cle Apr 11 @Chi Apr 13 Tor Wk25 Apr 16 @OKC 2012-2013 Record: 29-53 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 42-40EASTERN CONFERENCE - CENTRAL Division
  • 55. 55NBA Season Preview Nemanja Nedovic (No. 30) Jarrett Jack (to Cavs) Carl Landry (to Kings) Dwayne Jones Scott Machado Kevin Murphy (to Strasbourg) Toney Douglas (from Kings) Jermaine O’Neal (from Suns) Marreese Speights (from Cavaliers) Eric Bledsoe (to Suns) Caron Butler (to Suns) Andre Iguodala (from Nuggets) DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE FREE AGENCY Golden State Warriors WHAT’S NEW The W’s lost Jarrett Jack and added Andre Iguo- dala and Marreese Speights, but not a lot has changed in Oakland. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Stephen Curry will try to stay healthy again this season, and if he does, he could be the third-best fantasy player in the league. Forget about his ankle history and plan on us- ing a top-6 pick on him this year. If we’re pick- ing third in drafts this year, we’d probably flip a coin between James Harden, Russell Westbrook and Curry. Toney Douglas will back him up but should only be drafted as a handcuff to Curry, if at all. SHOOTING GUARD: Klay Thompson will try to build on last year’s stellar performance and is primed for another big year. And since Andre Iguodala has decided he’s no longer an offensive weapon, Thompson should have a green light from all over the court again. Kent Bazemore is entertaining but nothing more than a role player. SMALL FORWARD: Iguodala’s arrival is a problem for Harrison Barnes, who would have been set for a breakout season if Iguodala was still in Den- ver. Barnes could still do it but has his work cut out for him, playing behind both Iguodala and David Lee. Iguodala’s lack of offense hurts his ADP quite a bit, but he does enough of every- thing to be worth a solid draft pick in the early- to-middle rounds. And Barnes should be drafted in all leagues as the W’s sixth man. POWER FORWARD: Lee’s lack of defense aside, he’s still a very good fantasy player due to the points, rebounds and shooting. Speights and Barnes will back him up, but Lee should get most of the PF minutes for Golden State. CENTER: Along with Andrew Bynum and Ander- son Varejao in Cleveland, Andrew Bogut and Jer- maine O’Neal will challenge them for the most missed games from a center tandem this season. We’re not high on either of the Warriors’ cen- ters, although Bogut should still be drafted in all leagues. Just make sure you’ve got a couple other centers on board if you’re going to roll the dice on Bogut. SUMMARY The Warriors’ turbo-based offense is fun to watch, and if Barnes can go off from the bench, and the starters can stay healthy, they’re going to be a good team. And in fantasy, Curry, Thomp- son, Iguodala, Barnes and Lee should all be fun to own. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS Coach Mark Jackson PG 1. Stephen Curry 2.Toney Douglas SG 1. Klay Thompson 2. Kent Bazemore 3. Nemanja Nedovic SF 1.Andre Iguodala 2. Harrison Barnes 3. Draymond Green PF 1. David Lee Sidelined 2. Marreese Speights C 1.Andrew Bogut 2. Jermaine O’Neal 3. Festus Ezeli Wk1 Oct 30 LAL Oct 31 @LAC Nov 2 Sac Wk2 Nov 4 @Phi Nov 6 @Min Nov 8 @SA Nov 9 @Mem Wk3 Nov 12 Det Nov 14 OKC Nov 16 Utah Wk4 Nov 18 @Utah Nov 20 Mem Nov 22 @LAL Nov 23 Port Wk5 Nov 26 @NO Nov 27 @Dal Nov 29 @OKC Dec 1 @Sac Wk6 Dec 3 Tor Dec 6 @Hou Dec 7 @Mem Wk7 Dec 9 @Char Dec 11 Dal Dec 13 Hou Dec 15 @Pho Wk8 Dec 17 NO Dec 19 SA Dec 21 LAL Wk9 Dec 23 @Den Dec 25 LAC Dec 27 Pho Dec 29 @Cle Wk10 Dec 31 @Orl Jan 2 @Mia Jan 3 @Atl Jan 5 @Wash Wk11 Jan 7 @Mil Jan 8 @Brook Jan 10 Bos Wk12 Jan 15 Den Jan 17 @OKC Jan 18 @NO Wk13 Jan 20 Ind Jan 24 Min Jan 26 Port Wk14 Jan 28 Wash Jan 30 LAC Jan 31 @Utah Wk15 Feb 4 Char Feb 6 Chi Feb 8 @Pho Wk16 Feb 10 Phi Feb 12 Mia Wk17 Feb 19 @Sac Feb 20 Hou Feb 22 Brook Wk18 Feb 24 @Det Feb 26 @Chi Feb 28 @NY Mar 2 @Tor Wk19 Mar 4 @Ind Mar 5 @Bos Mar 7 Atl Mar 9 Pho Wk20 Mar 11 Dal Mar 12 @LAC Mar 14 Cle Mar 16 @Port Wk21 Mar 18 Orl Mar 20 Mil Mar 22 SA Wk22 Mar 28 Mem Mar 30 NY Wk23 Apr 1 @Dal Apr 2 @SA Apr 4 Sac Apr 6 Utah Wk24 Apr 10 Den Apr 11 @LAL Apr 13 @Port Wk25 Apr 14 Min Apr 16 @Den 2012-2013 Record: 47-35 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 53-29 WESTERN CONFERENCE -PACIFIC Division
  • 56. 56 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW The Rockets added center Dwight Howard, along with role players like Reggie Williams, Omri Casspi and Terrence Jones. They also added Marcus Camby, but he’s become irrel- evant. With James Harden and Howard in the lineup, they’re going to be a team that causes problems for most opposing defenses. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Jeremy Lin is back at point guard, but don’t be surprised if Patrick Beverly pushes him into a timeshare this season. Lin looks like a mid-round pick, while Beverly is a good way to blow a late-round flier in most drafts. SHOOTING GUARD:It’s all Harden, all the time, and he should be the No. 3 pick in most fantasy drafts this season. SMALL FORWARD: Chandler Parsons has solidi- fied his position as the starter and should be a popular mid-round pick, while Francisco Gar- cia, Omri Casspi and Terrence Jones will all fight for minutes off the bench. But Chandler looks like the only draftable SF in Houston. POWER FORWARD: Here’s where things get inter- esting. We have Greg Smith penciled in as the starter, while Donatas Motiejunas could chal- lenge for the job with a good training camp. Neither player is must-own, but if you need a PF late, Smith is probably the way to go and could emerge as a nice sleeper. Having said all that, news broke just before our print deadline that the Rockets are going to try using Howard at PF and Asik at C, which could be a big move for both players if it works. Houston Rockets Isaiah Canaan (No. 34) Marko Todorovic (No. 45) Kostas Papanikolaou (No. 48, 2012) James Anderson (claimed, 76ers) Carlos Delfino (to Bucks) Tim Ohlbrecht (claimed, 76ers) Thomas Robinson (to Blazers) Royce White (to 76ers) Ronnie Brewer (from Thunder) Aaron Brooks (re-signed) Marcus Camby (from Raptors) Omri Casspi (from Cavs) Francisco Garcia (re-signed) Jordan Henriquez Reggie Williams (from Bobcats) Robert Covington Dwight Howard (from Lakers) B.J.Young DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE CENTER: Howard’s free throw shooting is a mess, but his back is healthy, he’s been working with Hakeem Olajuwon and should be ready for a bounce-back after last season’s mediocrity in L.A. He’ll also have a chip on his shoulder and go back to being the most dominant center in the league. Omer Asik’s promising season now means very little, as he’s been relegated to back-up duties and will struggle for playing time. And if you play in a league that counts free throws made instead of percentage, Dwight becomes a top-10 pick. It’s also possible that, if a preseason experiment with Howard at PF and Asik at C works, Howard could gain dual position eligibility, which would also give Asik a boost in value. We’ll believe it when we see it, but if Howard plays PF success- fully in the preseason, anything is possible for Asik this season. SUMMARY Despite the big question mark at power for- ward, the Rockets should be ready to win a lot of games and will give the rock to Howard and Harden possession after possession. Lin, Beverly, Harden, Parsons, Smith and Howard should all be drafted in all formats this season. And Asik could be worth owning if Howard somehow ends up starting at power forward on opening night. HOUSTON ROCKETS Coach Kevin McHale PG 1. Jeremy Lin 2. Patrick Beverley 3.Aaron Brooks 4. Isaiah Canaan 5. B.J.Young SG 1. James Harden 2. Reggie Williams SF 1. Chandler Parsons 2. Francisco Garcia 3. Omri Casspi 4.Terrence Jones 5. Robert Covington PF 1. Greg Smith 2. Donatas Motiejunas C 1. Dwight Howard 2. Omer Asik 3. Marcus Camby 4. Jordan Henriquez Wk1 Oct 30 Char Nov 1 Dal Nov 2 @Utah Wk2 Nov 4 @LAC Nov 5 @Port Nov 7 LAL Nov 9 LAC Wk3 Nov 11 Tor Nov 13 @Phi Nov 14 @NY Nov 16 Den Wk4 Nov 19 Bos Nov 20 @Dal Nov 23 Min Wk5 Nov 25 @Mem Nov 27 Atl Nov 29 Brook Nov 30 @SA Wk6 Dec 2 @Utah Dec 4 Pho Dec 6 GS Dec 8 Orl Wk7 Dec 12 @Port Dec 13 @GS Dec 15 @Sac Wk8 Dec 18 Chi Dec 20 @Ind Dec 21 @Det Wk9 Dec 23 Dal Dec 25 @SA Dec 26 Mem Dec 28 NO Dec 29 @OKC Wk10 Dec 31 Sac Jan 3 NY Wk11 Jan 8 LAL Jan 10 @Atl Jan 11 @Wash Wk12 Jan 13 @Bos Jan 15 @NO Jan 16 OKC Jan 18 Mil Wk13 Jan 20 Port Jan 22 Sac Jan 24 Mem Jan 25 @Mem Wk14 Jan 28 SA Jan 29 @Dal Feb 1 Cle Wk15 Feb 5 Pho Feb 8 @Mil Wk16 Feb 10 @Min Feb 12 Wash Wk17 Feb 19 @LAL Feb 20 @GS Feb 23 @Pho Wk18 Feb 25 @Sac Feb 26 @LAC Mar 1 Det Wk19 Mar 4 Mia Mar 5 @Orl Mar 7 Ind Mar 9 Port Wk20 Mar 11 @OKC Mar 13 @Chi Mar 16 @Mia Wk21 Mar 17 Utah Mar 20 Min Mar 22 @Cle Wk22 Mar 24 @Char Mar 27 Phi Mar 29 LAC Wk23 Apr 1 @Brook Apr 2 @Tor Apr 4 OKC Apr 6 Den Wk24 Apr 8 @LAL Apr 9 @Den Apr 11 @Min Apr 12 NO Wk25 Apr 14 SA Apr 16 @NO 2012-2013 Record: 45-37 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 52-30WESTERN CONFERENCE - Southwest Division
  • 57. 57NBA Season Preview Solomon Hill (No. 23) D.J.Augustin (to Raptors) Jeff Pendergraph (to Spurs) Chris Copeland (from Knicks) David West (re-signed) Donald Sloan C.J.Watson (from Nets) Gerald Green (to Suns) Miles Plumlee (to Suns) Luis Scola (from Suns) DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE FREE AGENCY Indiana Pacers WHAT’S NEW The Pacers didn’t do a whole lot this summer but did add Luis Scola, improving their already strong depth off the bench, along with role play- ers like C.J. Watson, Donald Sloan, rookie Solo- mon Hill and last year’s surprising forward Chris Copeland from the Knicks. They’ll also welcome back a supposedly healthy Danny Granger, who looks like the starting shooting guard. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Hill is the clear starter here, while Watson will back him up when necessary. Hill has established himself as a quality fantasy point guard and should have another good year. SHOOTING GUARD:Granger’s knees will once again be a concern, while it also remains to be seen if he can co-exist with phenom Paul George. Either way, Granger’s going to play and shoot a lot of threes if healthy but is no longer a player to target inside the first four rounds of fantasy drafts. The return of Granger will also hurt Lance Stephen- son, who will go undrafted in many leagues but could become relevant if Granger’s knee acts up. SMALL FORWARD; Paul George broke out last sea- son, and while we still don’t know how he’s going to mesh with Granger, he will be a top-8 pick in all formats, and for good reason. Draft him with confidence and hope that Granger lets him play his game. POWER FORWARD: David West will have to deal with both Scola and Copeland backing him up, which should hurt his minutes slightly. All three players may return fantasy value, but West is clearly the guy to target here. CENTER: Hibbert came into his own last season and should be even better this year, especially if he can get his layups to fall in instead of rolling out. He should be a top-6 fantasy center and will be backed up by Ian Mahinmi, who is an after- thought with Scola around. SUMMARY The already stacked Pacers got deeper with the addition of Scola and Copeland and are going to be a team no one wants to see in the playoffs. The only real fantasy concern is what Granger’s return does to team chemistry, but Hill, George, West and Hibbert are good enough that they should be able to stop Granger’s game from lim- iting theirs. INDIANA PACERS Coach Frank Vogel PG 1. George Hill 2. C.J.Watson 3. Ben Hansbrough 4. Donald Sloan SG 1. Danny Granger 2. Lance Stephenson 3. Orlando Johnson SF 1. Paul George 2. Solomon Hill PF 1. David West 2. Luis Scola 3. Chris Copeland C 1. Roy Hibbert 2. Ian Mahinmi Wk1 Oct 29 Orl Oct 30 @NO Nov 2 Cle Wk2 Nov 5 @Det Nov 6 Chi Nov 8 Tor Nov 9 @Brook Wk3 Nov 11 Mem Nov 15 Mil Nov 16 @Chi Wk4 Nov 20 @NY Nov 22 @Bos Nov 23 Phi Wk5 Nov 25 Min Nov 27 @Char Nov 29 Wash Dec 1 @LAC Wk6 Dec 2 @Port Dec 4 @Utah Dec 7 @SA Dec 8 @OKC Wk7 Dec 10 Mia Dec 13 Char Wk8 Dec 16 Det Dec 18 @Mia Dec 20 Hou Dec 22 Bos Wk9 Dec 23 @Brook Dec 28 Brook Wk10 Dec 31 Cle Jan 1 @Tor Jan 4 NO Jan 5 @Cle Wk11 Jan 7 Tor Jan 8 @Atl Jan 10 Wash Wk12 Jan 14 Sac Jan 16 NY Jan 18 LAC Wk13 Jan 20 @GS Jan 22 @Pho Jan 24 @Sac Jan 25 @Den Wk14 Jan 28 @LAL Jan 30 Pho Feb 1 Brook Wk15 Feb 3 Orl Feb 4 @Atl Feb 7 Port Feb 9 @Orl Wk16 Feb 10 Den Feb 12 Dal Wk17 Feb 18 Atl Feb 19 @Min Feb 22 @Mil Wk18 Feb 25 LAL Feb 27 Mil Mar 1 @Bos Mar 2 Utah Wk19 Mar 4 GS Mar 5 @Char Mar 7 @Hou Mar 9 @Dal Wk20 Mar 11 Bos Mar 14 @Phi Mar 15 @Det Wk21 Mar 17 Phi Mar 19 @NY Mar 21 Chi Mar 22 @Mem Wk22 Mar 24 @Chi Mar 26 Mia Mar 28 @Wash Mar 30 @Cle Wk23 Mar 31 SA Apr 2 Det Apr 4 @Tor Apr 6 Atl Wk24 Apr 9 @Mil Apr 11 @Mia Apr 13 OKC Wk25 Apr 16 @Orl 2012-2013 Record: 49-32 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 54-28 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Central Division
  • 58. 58 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Vinny Del Negro is out and has been replaced with Doc Rivers, who left the rebuilding Celtics to take a shot at another championship while Chris Paul is still in his prime. The Clippers also added PG Darren Collison, SG J.J. Redick, SF Jared Dudley and PF Byron Mullens, while losing Caron Butler, who signed with the Suns. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Paul will once again be one of the league’s best point guards but may not be the first point guard taken in your draft. He has quickly been tracked down by young guns like Derrick Rose, Stephen Curry, Russell Westbrook and Kyrie Irving, while John Wall could also enter elite territory this year. He’ll be backed up by Darren Collison, who has become an afterthought after filling in for Paul so well in New Orleans four years ago. SHOOTING GUARD:Redick should come in as the starter, and we see him hitting a ton of 3-point- ers this season. He’s an upgrade over last year’s starter, Willie Green, and will be backed up by Jamal Crawford, who was nearly named the Sixth Man of the Year. SMALL FORWARD: Jared Dudley should start here and will be backed up by Matt Barnes, who re-signed over the summer, and rookie Reggie Bullock. Dudley is a sleeper for sure but has never really lived up to the hype when he’s had an opportunity. Los Angeles Clippers Reggie Bullock (No. 25) Grant Hill Chauncey Billups (to Pistons) Ronny Turiaf (to Timberwolves) DaJuan Summers Eric Bledsoe (to Suns) Caron Butler (to Suns) Matt Barnes (re-signed) Darren Collison (from Mavs) Ryan Hollins (re-signed) Byron Mullens (from Bobcats) Chris Paul (re-signed) DRAFT RETIRED FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Blake Griffin is all you need to know about power forwards for the Clips, al- though he’s probably overrated and will be taken higher than he should be in most leagues. On the other hand, Byron Mullens is going to be under- rated after last year’s injury-riddled campaign but probably won’t see enough minutes to make a dif- ference in fantasy this season. Lamar Odom will also see time at both forward spots in a limited capacity. CENTER: I happen to like DeAndre Jordan as a player, but he was painful to own in fantasy last season. He just doesn’t see the ball enough on of- fense and will bum you out with his free throw shooting. He’ll have plenty of big games this sea- son, but over the long haul, he’s more frustrating than valuable. SUMMARY The Clippers should be the best team in L.A. this season, and while it’s hard to envision them win- ning a championship with LeBron and Durant around, they could go very deep into the play- offs. But they’ll need Jordan, Redick and Dudley to truly break out if they’re going to get Doc Riv- ers that ring. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS Doc Rivers Vinny Del Negro Jared Dudley (from Suns) J.J. Redick (from Bucks) COACH COACH TRADE Coach Doc Rivers PG 1. Chris Paul 2. Darren Collison 3. Maalik Wayns SG 1. J.J. Redick 2. Jamal Crawford 3.Willie Green SF 1. Jared Dudley 2. Matt Barnes 3. Reggie Bullock PF 1. Blake Griffin 2. Byron Mullens C 1. DeAndre Jordan 2. Ryan Hollins Wk1 Oct 29 @LAL Oct 31 GS Nov 1 @Sac Wk2 Nov 4 Hou Nov 6 @Orl Nov 7 @Mia Nov 9 @Hou Wk3 Nov 11 Min Nov 13 OKC Nov 16 Brook Wk4 Nov 18 Mem Nov 20 @Min Nov 21 @OKC Nov 23 Sac Nov 24 Chi Wk5 Nov 27 NY Nov 29 @Sac Dec 1 Ind Wk6 Dec 4 @Atl Dec 5 @Mem Dec 7 @Cle Wk7 Dec 9 @Phi Dec 11 @Bos Dec 12 @Brook Dec 14 @Wash Wk8 Dec 16 SA Dec 18 NO Dec 21 Den Dec 22 Min Wk9 Dec 25 @GS Dec 26 @Port Dec 28 Utah Wk10 Dec 30 Pho Jan 1 Char Jan 3 @Dal Jan 4 @SA Wk11 Jan 6 Orl Jan 8 Bos Jan 10 LAL Wk12 Jan 15 Dal Jan 17 @NY Jan 18 @Ind Wk13 Jan 20 @Det Jan 22 @Char Jan 24 @Chi Jan 25 @Tor Wk14 Jan 27 @Mil Jan 29 Wash Jan 30 @GS Feb 1 Utah Wk15 Feb 3 @Den Feb 5 Mia Feb 7 Tor Feb 9 Phi Wk16 Feb 12 Port Wk17 Feb 18 SA Feb 21 @Mem Feb 23 @OKC Wk18 Feb 24 @NO Feb 26 Hou Mar 1 NO Wk19 Mar 4 @Pho Mar 6 @LAL Mar 8 Atl Wk20 Mar 10 Pho Mar 12 GS Mar 14 @Utah Mar 16 Cle Wk21 Mar 17 @Den Mar 22 Det Wk22 Mar 24 Mil Mar 26 @NO Mar 27 @Dal Mar 29 @Hou Wk23 Mar 31 @Min Apr 2 @Pho Apr 3 Dal Apr 6 LAL Wk24 Apr 9 OKC Apr 12 Sac Wk25 Apr 15 Den Apr 16 @Port 2012-2013 Record: 56-26 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 55-27WESTERN CONFERENCE - Pacific Division
  • 59. 59NBA Season Preview Ryan Kelly (No. 48) Earl Clark (to Cavaliers) Andrew Goudelock (to UNICS Kazan) Dwight Howard (to Rockets) Chris Duhon Metta World Peace (amnesty, to Knicks) Jordan Farmar Elias Harris Wesley Johnson (from Suns) Chris Kaman (from Mavs) Robert Sacre (re-signed) Nick Young (from 76ers) DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY Los Angeles Lakers WHAT’S NEW Yes, Mike D’Antoni is still around, and Dwight Howard is now in Houston. The Lakers hope to have Steve Nash healthy this time around, Kobe Bryant hopes to be available for Game 1 after re- covering from a ruptured Achilles, and the Lak- ers added Jordan Farmar, Nick Young, Wes John- son, Chris Kaman and rookie Ryan Kelly to the mix in the offseason. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: We never saw the real Steve Nash last season after it started with a broken leg, but he should be much better this time around. He doesn’t have an ideal cast of players to dish the rock to, especially if Kobe is out for long, but Nash should at least have some fantasy value this season. If he deals with injuries again, flip a coin between Steve Blake and Farmar to figure out which one will have more fantasy value. SHOOTING GUARD:We still don’t know if Kobe will be back for opening night, but we wouldn’t put it past him. Having said that, it also wouldn’t be too surprising if he doesn’t look like himself this sea- son, and it’s also possible he misses the first 10 or 20 games. He should still have a big season, and we’re thinking he’ll be ready sooner than later, but Jodie Meeks and Nick Young could end up starting at SG if Kobe’s not ready. SMALL FORWARD: Even when Kobe is playing, it’s still possible Young will start at SF for the Lakers. He’ll battle Wes Johnson, and this is one that will be worth watching in training camp and the pre- season. Whoever is starting at SF for the Lakers will be worth drafting. POWER FORWARD: Gasol is another player that never really got it going last year but is better than his numbers suggest. And with Howard out of the way, Gasol should be primed for a big year. And there is no battle for position here with rookies Ryan Kelly and Elias Harris on the depth chart behind Gasol. CENTER: With his Dwight-ness now in Houston, the Lakers signed Chris Kaman to play center. He’s another year older and hasn’t been used cor- rectly for a couple seasons, officially making him a sleeper this year. Taking him late could pay off if he can stay healthy all season. If he can’t, Jor- dan Hill and Robert Sacre will play center for the Lakers, to which we say ‘yikes.’ SUMMARY Kobe’s ticked off that the Lakers have been pre- dicted to finish 12th in the West, but unless Kobe, Gasol and Nash are fully healthy and ready to go, 12th might even be a little high. Their sea- son likely depends on the health of Bryant. If he plays opening night, we’re guessing it will be the quickest comeback from a ruptured Achilles by a well-known athlete in history. And if anyone can do it, it’s Bryant. He might be this season’s biggest risk vs. reward player, but we think he’ll deliver for those of you who take an early flier on him. And really keep an eye on Young and Johnson in the preseason. One of them is going to have a big year. LOS ANGELES LAKERS Coach Mike D’Antoni PG 1. Steve Nash 2. Steve Blake 3. Jordan Farmar SG 1. Kobe Bryant 2. Jodie Meeks SF 1. Nick Young 2.Wes Johnson PF 1. Pau Gasol 2. Ryan Kelly 3. Elias Harris C 1. Chris Kaman 2. Jordan Hill 3. Robert Sacre Wk1 Oct 29 LAC Oct 30 @GS Nov 1 SA Nov 3 Atl Wk2 Nov 5 @Dal Nov 7 @Hou Nov 8 @NO Nov 10 Min Wk3 Nov 12 NO Nov 13 @Den Nov 15 Mem Nov 17 Det Wk4 Nov 22 GS Nov 24 Sac Wk5 Nov 26 @Wash Nov 27 @Brook Nov 29 @Det Dec 1 Port Wk6 Dec 6 @Sac Dec 8 Tor Wk7 Dec 10 Pho Dec 13 @OKC Dec 14 @Char Wk8 Dec 16 @Atl Dec 17 @Mem Dec 20 Min Dec 21 @GS Wk9 Dec 23 @Pho Dec 25 Mia Dec 27 @Utah Dec 29 Phi Wk10 Dec 31 Mil Jan 3 Utah Jan 5 Den Wk11 Jan 7 @Dal Jan 8 @Hou Jan 10 @LAC Wk12 Jan 14 Cle Jan 15 @Pho Jan 17 @Bos Jan 19 @Tor Wk13 Jan 20 @Chi Jan 23 @Mia Jan 24 @Orl Jan 26 @NY Wk14 Jan 28 Ind Jan 31 Char Wk15 Feb 4 @Min Feb 5 @Cle Feb 7 @Phi Feb 9 Chi Wk16 Feb 11 Utah Feb 13 OKC Wk17 Feb 19 Hou Feb 21 Bos Feb 23 Brook Wk18 Feb 25 @Ind Feb 26 @Mem Feb 28 Sac Wk19 Mar 3 @Port Mar 4 NO Mar 6 LAC Mar 7 @Den Mar 9 OKC Wk20 Mar 13 @OKC Mar 14 @SA Wk21 Mar 19 SA Mar 21 Wash Mar 23 Orl Wk22 Mar 25 NY Mar 27 @Mil Mar 28 @Min Mar 30 Pho Wk23 Apr 1 Port Apr 2 @Sac Apr 4 Dal Apr 6 @LAC Wk24 Apr 8 Hou Apr 11 GS Apr 13 Mem Wk25 Apr 14 @Utah Apr 16 @SA 2012-2013 Record: 45-37 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 44-38 WESTERN CONFERENCE -Pacific Division
  • 60. 60 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Unlike a lot of teams, the Grizzlies didn’t make a lot of moves this summer, or at least any big ones. Mike Miller, rookie Jamaal Franklin, Kosta Koufos and Jon Leuer are the biggest ad- ditions this season, but none of them are ex- pected to start. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Jerryd Bayless and Tony Wro- ten are decent backups, but this job belongs to Mike Conley, who isn’t flashy, but is consistent and one of the safest plays in fantasy. SHOOTING GUARD: Tony Allen always flirts with fantasy value, but a lack of scoring and 3-point- ers hurts him. The Grizz added some more fire- power from behind the arc with Miller, but nei- ther one of these players are guys you’re going to want to target on most fantasy teams. SMALL FORWARD: Tayshaun Prince is one of the least appealing fantasy small forwards in the game, while Quincy Pondexter doesn’t get enough minutes to really help much either. Find your SFs somewhere other than Memphis. POWER FORWARD: Zach Randolph is still a bit of a beast and even blocks and steals the ball more than he did early in his career, and the Grizzlies shipped Darrell Arthur to the Nuggets for Koufos, clearing the way for big Ed Davis to get more minutes. Davis is a sleeper and will become a must-own player if Z-Bo goes down. Memphis Grizzlies Jamaal Franklin (No. 41) Janis Timma (No. 60) Nick Calathes (No. 45, 2009) Austin Daye (to Raptors) Darrell Arthur (to Nuggets) Donte Greene (to Celtics) Tony Allen (re-signed) Jon Leuer (re-signed) Mike Miller (from Heat) Josh Akognon (from Mavs) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE CENTER: Marc Gasol might be the No. 1 overall fantasy center and is pretty reliable, to boot. Kou- fos will also do a nice job of backing him up but should only be worth owning in most leagues if Gasol goes down. SUMMARY As usual, the Grizzlies will field a very good team who no one will want to see in the playoffs. But they just don’t appear to have the horses to get by the Thunder or Spurs in the West. But they’ll try their best to prove us wrong. MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES David Joerger David Joerger Kosta Koufos (from Nuggets) Fab Melo (from Celtics) COACH COACH TRADE Coach David Joerger PG 1. Mike Conley 2. Jerryd Bayless 3.Tony Wroten 4. Josh Akognon 5. Nick Calathes SG 1.Tony Allen 2. Mike Miller 3. Jamaal Franklin SF 1.Tayshaun Prince 2. Quincy Pondexter 3. Janis Timma PF 1. Zach Randolph 2. Ed Davis 3. Jon Leuer 4. Fab Melo 5.Willie Reed C 1. Marc Gasol 2. Kosta Koufos Wk1 Oct 30 @SA Nov 1 Det Nov 2 @Dal Wk2 Nov 4 Bos Nov 6 NO Nov 9 GS Wk3 Nov 11 @Ind Nov 13 Tor Nov 15 @LAL Nov 17 @Sac Wk4 Nov 18 @LAC Nov 20 @GS Nov 22 SA Wk5 Nov 25 Hou Nov 27 @Bos Nov 30 Brook Wk6 Dec 3 Pho Dec 5 LAC Dec 7 GS Wk7 Dec 9 Orl Dec 11 OKC Dec 13 @NO Dec 15 Min Wk8 Dec 17 LAL Dec 18 @Dal Dec 21 @NY Wk9 Dec 23 Utah Dec 26 @Hou Dec 28 Den Wk10 Dec 30 Chi Jan 2 @Pho Jan 3 @Den Jan 5 @Det Wk11 Jan 7 SA Jan 10 Pho Jan 12 Atl Wk12 Jan 14 OKC Jan 15 @Mil Jan 17 Sac Wk13 Jan 20 NO Jan 24 @Hou Jan 25 Hou Wk14 Jan 28 @Port Jan 29 @Sac Jan 31 @Min Feb 1 Mil Wk15 Feb 3 @OKC Feb 5 Dal Feb 8 @Atl Feb 9 @Cle Wk16 Feb 11 Wash Feb 12 @Orl Wk17 Feb 18 NY Feb 21 LAC Feb 22 @Char Wk18 Feb 26 LAL Feb 28 @OKC Mar 1 Cle Wk19 Mar 3 @Wash Mar 5 @Brook Mar 7 @Chi Mar 8 Char Wk20 Mar 11 Port Mar 12 @NO Mar 14 @Tor Mar 15 @Phi Wk21 Mar 19 Utah Mar 21 @Mia Mar 22 Ind Wk22 Mar 24 Min Mar 26 @Utah Mar 28 @GS Mar 30 @Port Wk23 Mar 31 @Den Apr 2 @Min Apr 4 Den Apr 6 @SA Wk24 Apr 9 Mia Apr 11 Phi Apr 13 @LAL Wk25 Apr 14 @Pho Apr 16 Dal 2012-2013 Record: 56-26 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 50-32WESTERN CONFERENCE - Southwest Division
  • 61. 61NBA Season Preview James Ennis (No. 50) Mike Miller (amnesty, to Grizzlies) Chris Andersen (re-signed) Eric Griffith Greg Oden DRAFT PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY Miami Heat WHAT’S NEW The champs didn’t make any big splashes in free agency, mainly because they don’t have any fi- nancial flexibility, but they did lose Mike Miller to the Grizzlies and added center Greg Oden over the summer. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Mario Chalmers had a nice sea- son for Miami but is a lower tiered fantasy point guard. You can do better, but he’ll at least be worth owning in most leagues. And if he goes down, Norris Cole would be a hot pick up with limited upside due to the fact he plays with the Big 3. SHOOTING GUARD:Dwyane Wade’s knees are be- coming a bigger concern year by year, and he had more extensive treatment on them again this season. He’s not a guarantee for opening night, but our guess is he’ll be out there. He’s looking like a potential value pick if you can get him in Round 3, but he’ll likely come with 20 missed games or so if you get him. Ray Allen will have some value as a 3-point specialist off the bench, but that’s about it. SMALL FORWARD: One word – LeBron. Maybe Shane Battier will have a little value in deeper leagues due to his 3-point shooting and all around roto-friendly game, but the minutes just aren’t there. POWER FORWARD: Udonis Haslem and Chris Andersen should get most of the minutes here, unless Oden can somehow get healthy enough to play center, which we don’t see happening. If it does, Chris Bosh would play more at his natural position. Haslem and Andersen aren’t going to offer much fantasy value, but at least Andersen is as entertaining to watch as any player in the league. CENTER: Bosh is quietly a very good fantasy player even though LeBron and Wade carry most of the workload. His two clutch offensive rebounds are the reason the Heat won their rings last season. SUMMARY As long as Wade can stay relatively healthy, the Heat will be the favorites to win it all again this season. And if Wade’s knees become a serious problem, Bron might throw the other 14 guys on his back and carry them to a championship anyway. MIAMI HEAT Coach Erik Spoelstra PG 1. Mario Chalmers 2. Norris Cole SG 1. Dwyane Wade 2. Ray Allen 3. James Jones SF 1. LeBron James 2. Shane Battier 3. Rashard Lewis PF 1. Udonis Haslem 2. Chris Andersen 3. Jarvis Varnado C 1. Chris Bosh 2. Joel Anthony 3. Greg Oden Wk1 Oct 29 Chi Oct 30 @Phi Nov 1 @Brook Nov 3 Wash Wk2 Nov 5 @Tor Nov 7 LAC Nov 9 Bos Wk3 Nov 12 Mil Nov 15 Dal Nov 16 @Char Wk4 Nov 19 Atl Nov 20 @Orl Nov 23 Orl Wk5 Nov 25 Pho Nov 27 @Cle Nov 29 @Tor Dec 1 Char Wk6 Dec 3 Det Dec 5 @Chi Dec 7 @Min Dec 8 @Det Wk7 Dec 10 @Ind Dec 14 Cle Dec 16 Utah Wk8 Dec 18 Ind Dec 20 Sac Wk9 Dec 23 Atl Dec 25 @LAL Dec 27 @Sac Dec 28 @Port Wk10 Dec 30 @Den Jan 2 GS Jan 4 @Orl Jan 5 Tor Wk11 Jan 7 NO Jan 9 @NY Jan 10 @Brook Wk12 Jan 15 @Wash Jan 17 @Phi Jan 18 @Char Wk13 Jan 20 @Atl Jan 21 Bos Jan 23 LAL Jan 26 SA Wk14 Jan 29 OKC Feb 1 @NY Wk15 Feb 3 Det Feb 5 @LAC Feb 8 @Utah Wk16 Feb 11 @Pho Feb 12 @GS Wk17 Feb 18 @Dal Feb 20 @OKC Feb 23 Chi Wk18 Feb 27 NY Mar 1 Orl Wk19 Mar 3 Char Mar 4 @Hou Mar 6 @SA Mar 9 @Chi Wk20 Mar 10 Wash Mar 12 Brook Mar 14 Den Mar 16 Hou Wk21 Mar 18 @Cle Mar 19 @Bos Mar 21 Mem Mar 22 @NO Wk22 Mar 24 Port Mar 26 @Ind Mar 28 @Det Mar 29 @Mil Wk23 Mar 31 Tor Apr 2 Mil Apr 4 Min Apr 6 NY Wk24 Apr 8 Brook Apr 9 @Mem Apr 11 Ind Apr 12 @Atl Wk25 Apr 14 @Wash Apr 16 Phi 2012-2013 Record: 66-16 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 59-23 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Southeast Division
  • 62. 62 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEWThe Bucks were as busy as any team this offseason, bringing in coach Larry Drew from Atlanta, losing Brandon Jennings, Monta Ellis and Gustavo Ayon, re-signing Lar- ry Sanders, bringing Carlos Delfino back and adding O.J. Mayo, Gary Neal, Luke Ridnour, Ish Smith, Nate Wolters, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Zaza Pachulia, to name a few. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Brandon Knight takes over for Jennings and will be backed up by Ridnour and Smith. Knight should be a good fit for the Bucks but looks like a low-end fantasy starting point guard. Get another good one or two be- fore going after Knight. SHOOTING GUARD: Mayo takes over for Ellis at shooting guard and should lead the team in scoring. Unlike last season in Dallas, he won’t have to deal with Dirk Nowitzki stealing his shots and should be the No. 1 option on offense. Expect a big year and a ton of threes from him. SMALL FORWARD: Delfino looks like the starter here and could lead the league in 3-pointers made if he can stay healthy. We like him as a sleeper pick, but his injury history is a concern. If he falters or goes down, Khris Middleton could make some noise, making him a deep- league sleeper, who could also become a hot waiver-wire pick up at some point this season. Milwaukee Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo (No. 15) Nate Wolters (No. 38) Samuel Dalembert (to Mavericks) Mike Dunleavy Jr. (to Bulls) Monta Ellis (to Mavericks) Gustavo Ayon (claimed, HaWks) Drew Gooden (amnesty) Brandon Jennings (to Pistons) Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (to Kings) J.J. Redick (to Clippers) Carlos Delfino (from Rockets) O.J. Mayo (from Mavs) Gary Neal (from Spurs) Zaza Pachulia (from HaWks) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Ersan Ilyasova will try to pick up where he left off last season. He was all over the place early last year, then came into his own and provided solid value over the second half. He could be a real value pick in the middle rounds this season. John Henson has a ton of talent and could be worth owning, so keep an eye on how things go in training camp. Henson is probably worth a late flier even if he’s not starting for the Bucks and will rack up boards and blocks regard- less of his playing time status. CENTER: The Show was a blast to own last season, and he got paid in August. However, the hype is big and he could be in for a bit of a letdown, but you know you’re going to get a ton of blocks and solid rebounding from him this season. If he goes down, Henson and Pachulia would be the hot pickups. SUMMARY The Bucks look like a pretty fantasy-friendly team and have a shot at the playoffs. But despite the wholesale changes, they still have their work cut out for them to play in the postseason. Mayo was taken in Round 7 in our mock draft, and he looks like a steal that late. MILWUAKEE BUCKS Larry Drew Jim Boylan Brandon Knight (from Pistons) Viacheslav Kravtsov (from Pistons) Khris Middleton (from Pistons) Luke Ridnour (from Timberwolves) COACH COACH TRADE Coach Larry Drew PG 1. Brandon Knight 2. Luke Ridnour 3. Ishmael Smith 4. Nate Wolters SG 1. O.J. Mayo 2. Gary Neal SF 1. Carlos Delfino 2. Khris Middleton 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo PF 1. Ersan Ilyasova 2. John Henson C 1. Larry Sanders Sidelined 2. Zaza Pachulia 3. Ekpe Udoh 4.Vyacheslav Kravtsov 5. Miroslav Raduljica Wk13 Jan 22 Det Jan 24 @Cle Jan 25 Atl Wk14 Jan 27 LAC Jan 29 Pho Jan 31 @Orl Feb 1 @Mem Wk15 Feb 3 NY Feb 5 @Den Feb 8 Hou Wk16 Feb 10 Bos Feb 12 NO Wk17 Feb 18 Orl Feb 20 Den Feb 22 Ind Wk18 Feb 24 @Phi Feb 27 @Ind Mar 1 Brook Wk19 Mar 3 Utah Mar 5 Sac Mar 7 @NO Mar 8 Wash Wk20 Mar 10 Orl Mar 11 @Min Mar 13 @Atl Mar 15 @NY Mar 16 Char Wk21 Mar 18 @Port Mar 20 @GS Mar 23 @Sac Wk22 Mar 24 @LAC Mar 27 LAL Mar 29 Mia Wk23 Mar 31 @Det Apr 2 @Mia Apr 4 @Chi Apr 5 Tor Wk24 Apr 9 Ind Apr 11 Cle Apr 12 @Wash Wk25 Apr 14 @Tor Apr 16 Atl Wk1 Oct 30 @NY Nov 1 @Bos Nov 2 Tor Wk2 Nov 6 Cle Nov 9 Dal Wk3 Nov 12 @Mia Nov 13 @Orl Nov 15 @Ind Nov 16 OKC Wk4 Nov 20 Port Nov 22 @Phi Nov 23 Char Wk5 Nov 25 @Det Nov 27 Wash Nov 29 @Char Nov 30 Bos Wk6 Dec 3 @Bos Dec 4 Det Dec 6 @Wash Dec 7 Brook Wk7 Dec 10 @Chi Dec 11 SA Dec 13 Chi Dec 14 @Dal Wk8 Dec 18 NY Dec 20 @Cle Dec 21 Phi Wk9 Dec 23 @Char Dec 27 @Brook Dec 28 Min Wk10 Dec 31 @LAL Jan 2 @Utah Jan 4 @Pho Wk11 Jan 7 GS Jan 10 Chi Jan 11 @OKC Wk12 Jan 13 @Tor Jan 15 Mem Jan 18 @Hou Jan 19 @SA 2012-2013 Record: 38-44 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 36-46EASTERN CONFERENCE - Central Division
  • 63. 63NBA Season Preview Shabazz Muhammad (No. 14) Gorgui Dieng (No. 21) Lorenzo Brown (No. 52) Bojan Dubljevic (No. 59) Andrei Kirilenko (to Nets) Brandon Roy Mickael Gelabale Greg Stiemsma (to Pelicans) Malcolm Lee (to Suns) Luke Ridnour (to Bucks) Carlos Delfino (from Rockets) O.J. Mayo (from Mavs) Gary Neal (from Spurs) Zaza Pachulia (from HaWks) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE Minnesota Timberwolves WHAT’S NEW The Wolves re-signed center Nikola Pekovic, lost Andrei Kirilenko and Greg Stiemsma to free agency and drafted Shabazz Muhammad, who will spend a lot of time in the D-League. In ad- dition to inking Pek to a new deal, they got the starting shooting guard they needed by landing Kevin Martin in free agency. Chase Budinger is healthy and could start at small forward, ahead of Corey Brewer and Muhammad. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Ricky Rubio will try to stay healthy and improve his shooting this season and is a le- gitimate threat to lead the league in assists. J.J. Barea will back him up and could be worth a flier but will only be a must-own player if Rubio goes down. SHOOTING GUARD:Martin is fired up about being a top offensive option again and is also excited to run in Rick Adelman’s offense. Injuries are always a concern, but he should shoot it well, hit a ton of 3-pointers and free throws and have a nice sea- son after being the third wheel in OKC last year. We like him. SMALL FORWARD: It’s hard to put much faith in Budinger, who played in just 23 games last sea- son due to knee surgery. He’s healthy and ready to go and looks like the starting small forward. He and Brewer will likely be in a timeshare, but if Budinger can stay healthy, he should make for a late value pick. POWER FORWARD: Kevin Love was a disaster for fantasy owners who drafted him in Round 1 last season, appearing in just 18 games and basically sleepwalking through them as he dealt with a shooting hand he broke twice. He should be fully healthy and have a monster season if he can stay healthy. You’ll have to use a first-round pick to get him, and it’s important to keep in mind that he hasn’t played much down the stretch in the fantasy playoffs since his rookie season. CENTER: Big Pek is back after re-signing on a four-year deal. He’s got a history of foot prob- lems, which is a concern, but he’s also a fun cen- ter to own when he’s healthy. He was taken early in Round 6 of our mock and will be backed up by Dieng and Ronny Turiaf. SUMMARY Big Pek returns and the Wolves are primed for their best season in years. If Rubio, Love and Pe- kovic can stay healthy, the Wolves could make a serious run at the playoffs. They should also be one of the most entertaining teams in the league to watch on TV with the big names, flashy pass- ing from Rubio, and Love’s 3-point shooting and rebounding show. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES Brandon Knight (from Pistons) Viacheslav Kravtsov (from Pistons) Khris Middleton (from Pistons) Luke Ridnour (from Timberwolves) TRADE Coach Rick Adelman PG 1. Ricky Rubio 2. J.J. Barea 3. Lorenzo Brown SG 1. Kevin Martin 2.Alexey Shved SF 1. Chase Budinger 2. Corey Brewer 3. Shabazz Muhammad PF 1. Kevin Love 2. Derrick Williams 3. Dante Cunningham C 1. Nikola Pekovic 2. Gorgui Dieng 3. Ronny Turiaf 4. Chris Johnson 5. Bojan Dubljevic Wk13 Jan 21 @Utah Jan 24 @GS Jan 25 @Port Wk14 Jan 27 @Chi Jan 29 NO Jan 31 Mem Feb 1 @Atl Wk15 Feb 4 LAL Feb 5 @OKC Feb 7 @NO Feb 8 Port Wk16 Feb 10 Hou Feb 12 Den Wk17 Feb 19 Ind Feb 22 @Utah Feb 23 @Port Wk18 Feb 25 @Pho Mar 1 @Sac Wk19 Mar 3 @Den Mar 5 NY Mar 7 Det Mar 9 Tor Wk20 Mar 11 Mil Mar 14 @Char Mar 16 Sac Wk21 Mar 19 @Dal Mar 20 @Hou Mar 23 Pho Wk22 Mar 24 @Mem Mar 26 Atl Mar 28 LAL Mar 30 @Brook Wk23 Mar 31 LAC Apr 2 Mem Apr 4 @Mia Apr 5 @Orl Wk24 Apr 9 Chi Apr 11 Hou Apr 13 @Sac Wk25 Apr 14 @GS Apr 16 Utah Wk1 Oct 30 Orl Nov 1 OKC Nov 3 @NY Wk2 Nov 4 @Cle Nov 6 GS Nov 8 Dal Nov 10 @LAL Wk3 Nov 11 @LAC Nov 13 Cle Nov 15 @Den Nov 16 Bos Wk4 Nov 19 @Wash Nov 20 LAC Nov 22 Brook Nov 23 @Hou Wk5 Nov 25 @Ind Nov 27 Den Nov 30 @Dal Dec 1 @OKC Wk6 Dec 4 SA Dec 7 Mia Wk7 Dec 10 @Det Dec 11 Phi Dec 13 @SA Dec 15 @Mem Wk8 Dec 16 @Bos Dec 18 Port Dec 20 @LAL Dec 22 @LAC Wk9 Dec 27 Wash Dec 28 @Mil Wk10 Dec 30 Dal Jan 1 NO Jan 4 OKC Wk11 Jan 6 @Phi Jan 8 Pho Jan 10 Char Jan 12 @SA Wk12 Jan 15 Sac Jan 17 @Tor Jan 18 Utah 2012-2013 Record: 31-51 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 41-41 WESTERN CONFERENCE -Northwest Division
  • 64. 64 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Perhaps the biggest change in the NBA this season came in New Orleans, as the team name changed from the Hornets to the Pelicans. But that wasn’t all that happened. They got point guard Jrue Holiday in a draft-day trade, then got Tyreke Evans in a deal for Greivis Vasquez, drafted Jeff Withey and added free agents Roger Mason Jr., Anthony Morrow and Greg Stiems- ma. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: The point guard job is all about Holiday after they moved Vasquez to the Kings. He’ll be backed up by Brian Roberts, and Holi- day should have another very good season, making him a nice value option at point guard in fantasy. SHOOTING GUARD: Eric Gordon is hoping to finally be healthy, but we trust his knee about as much as we trust Greg Oden at this point. If Gordon is healthy he’ll be a steal in fantasy. If he’s not, Austin Rivers may get a chance to take a big step forward, or Tyreke Evans could be moved to SG, which is his natural position. SMALL FORWARD: We’ve got Evans penciled in as the starting SF for the Pelicans, but he could see a lot of minutes at shooting guard if Gordon is hurt again. Al-Farouq Aminu and Anthony Morrow will be the backups, and we see no rea- son to draft them at this time. New Orleans Pelicans Jeff Withey (No. 39) Pierre Jackson (No. 42) Lou Amundson (renounced) Xavier Henry (renounced) Roger Mason Jr. (renounced) Lance Thomas Robin Lopez (to Blazers) Terrel Harris (to Blazers) Greivis Vasquez (to Kings) Al-Farouq Aminu (re-signed) Anthony Morrow (from Mavericks) Greg Stiemsma (from Timber- wolves) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Ryan Anderson should be primed for a big season, but there are going to be questions about his mental state after his girl- friend tragically committed suicide in his house in August. There’s no way to know how he will recover from such a devastating loss, but we’re guessing he’ll be ready for the start of the season. If he’s not ready or is relegated to a bench role, Anthony Davis would start at power forward, and will play heavy minutes there regardless. We’re guessing Davis will start at center, but if the Pelicans decide to go with Jason Smith instead, Davis would then start here, sending Anderson to the bench. CENTER: We’ve got Davis penciled in as the start- ing center, but it could end up being Smith. Ei- ther way, Davis is going to be the guy to own here, while Smith might be worth a late flier if he is indeed starting. Watch this one closely in train- ing camp, as the starters will also directly impact the role and playing time of Anderson. SUMMARY The Pelicans have a nice nucleus, and it will be in- teresting to see what the final product looks like once Holiday and Evans are worked into the mix. Davis is primed to fully breakout in season two as long as he can stay healthy, while the success of the team, outside of obvious chemistry concerns, may hinge on the health of Gordon. New Orleans Pelicans Tyreke Evans (from Kings) Jrue Holiday (from 76ers) TRADE Coach Monty Williams PG 1. Jrue Holiday 2. Brian Roberts SG 1. Eric Gordon 2.Austin Rivers SF 1.Tyreke Evans 2.Al-Farouq Aminu 3.Anthony Morrow 4. Darius Miller PF 1. Ryan Anderson C 1.Anthony Davis 2. Jason Smith 3. Greg Stiemsma 4. Jeff Withey Wk14 Jan 28 @Cle Jan 29 @Min Feb 1 Chi Wk15 Feb 3 SA Feb 5 Atl Feb 7 Min Feb 9 @Brook Wk16 Feb 10 @Tor Feb 12 @Mil Wk17 Feb 19 NY Feb 21 @Char Feb 22 @Wash Wk18 Feb 24 LAC Feb 26 @Dal Feb 28 @Pho Mar 1 @LAC Wk19 Mar 3 @Sac Mar 4 @LAL Mar 7 Mil Mar 9 Den Wk20 Mar 12 Mem Mar 14 Port Mar 16 Bos Wk21 Mar 19 Tor Mar 21 @Atl Mar 22 Mia Wk22 Mar 24 Brook Mar 26 LAC Mar 28 Utah Mar 29 @SA Wk23 Mar 31 Sac Apr 2 @Den Apr 4 @Utah Apr 6 @Port Wk24 Apr 9 Pho Apr 11 @OKC Apr 12 @Hou Wk25 Apr 14 OKC Apr 16 Hou Wk1 Oct 30 Ind Nov 1 @Orl Nov 2 Char Wk2 Nov 5 Pho Nov 6 @Mem Nov 8 LAL Nov 10 @Pho Wk3 Nov 12 @LAL Nov 13 @Utah Nov 16 Phi Wk4 Nov 20 Utah Nov 22 Cle Wk5 Nov 25 @SA Nov 26 GS Nov 29 @Phi Dec 1 @NY Wk6 Dec 2 @Chi Dec 4 Dal Dec 6 OKC Wk7 Dec 11 Det Dec 13 Mem Dec 15 @Den Wk8 Dec 17 @GS Dec 18 @LAC Dec 21 @Port Wk9 Dec 23 @Sac Dec 27 Den Dec 28 @Hou Wk10 Dec 30 Port Jan 1 @Min Jan 3 @Bos Jan 4 @Ind Wk11 Jan 7 @Mia Jan 8 Wash Jan 10 Dal Jan 11 @Dal Wk12 Jan 13 SA Jan 15 Hou Jan 18 GS Wk13 Jan 20 @Mem Jan 21 Sac Jan 24 @Det Jan 26 Orl 2012-2013 Record: 27-55 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 33-49WESTERN CONFERENCE - Southwest Division
  • 65. 65NBA Season Preview Tim Hardaway Jr. (No. 24) Chris Copeland (to Pacers) James White Marcus Camby (to Raptors) Steve Novak (to Raptors) Quentin Richardson (to Raptors) Jason Kidd C.J. Leslie Kenyon Martin (re-signed) Pablo Prigioni (re-signed) J.R. Smith (re-signed) Jeremy Tyler Metta World Peace (from Lakers) Beno Udrih (from Magic) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE RETIRED New York Knicks WHAT’S NEW The Knicks didn’t make any wholesale changes but did add some pieces. Metta World Peace signed as a free agent and should bring plenty of drama to the big city. Andrea Bargnani was trad- ed to the Knicks for Marcus Camby, Steve Novak, Quentin Richardson and a first-round pick. Beno Udrih was signed as a backup point guard, Ken- yon Martin was added for rebounding and they drafted Tim Hardaway Jr. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Raymond Felton returns to run the point and will be backed up by Udrih, while Pablo Prigioni will be in the mix as well. Felton will not be a top fantasy PG but will be worth owning in all leagues, while Udrih could also have some value. SHOOTING GUARD: J.R. Smith won the Sixth Man of the Year award and then signed a big extension over the summer. Coming off the bench worked out just fine for Smith last year, but now we’ll have to see what the money does to his game. He managed to get along pretty well with Mike Woodson last year, and if he can do it again, he could win the award again. Starter Iman Shump- ert hasn’t lived up to the hype and will be left on the board in many fantasy leagues, once again. And Hardaway Jr. is going to struggle playing be- hind those two. SMALL FORWARD: Carmelo Anthony will start and be worth a late first-round pick, while MWP will come off the bench and play both forward spots. World Peace might be worth a late flier, but his shooting percentage is not for the weak at heart, and he’s becoming a role-playing, defensive spe- cialist, which won’t generate much fantasy excite- ment. POWER FORWARD: Bargnani looks like the starter here, although that hasn’t yet been guaranteed. Amare Stoudemire’s knees will appreciate com- ing off the bench, as will Kenyon Martin’s, but then again, Bargnani hasn’t been able to stay healthy for long stretches at a time. All of these players could be banged up at the same time, which would probably send Melo or MWP to fill in at some point this season. CENTER: Tyson Chandler will hold things down in the middle once again, but his production trick- led off last season after he missed 16 games and averaged just over a block per contest. SUMMARY The Knicks should make a nice run at a playoff berth again but simply don’t have the horses to do much damage. Melo was a beast last year and will look to lead the league in scoring if he can stay healthy for 75 games or so, while Bargnani would emerge as a super-sleeper if he can stay healthy. But we would be shocked if it actually happened. NEW YORK KNICKS Andrea Bargnani (from Raptors) TRADE Coach Mike Woodson PG 1. Raymond Felton 2. Beno Udrih 3. Pablo Prigioni SG 1. Iman Shumpert 2. J.R. Smith Sidelined 3.Tim Hardaway Jr. SF 1. Carmelo Anthony 2. Metta World Peace PF 1.Andrea Bargnani 2.Amare Stoudemire 3. Kenyon Martin 4. C.J. Leslie C 1.Tyson Chandler 2. Jeremy Tyler Wk13 Jan 20 Brook Jan 22 Phi Jan 24 Char Jan 26 LAL Wk14 Jan 28 Bos Jan 30 Cle Feb 1 Mia Wk15 Feb 3 @Mil Feb 5 Port Feb 7 Den Feb 9 @OKC Wk16 Feb 12 Sac Wk17 Feb 18 @Mem Feb 19 @NO Feb 21 @Orl Feb 22 @Atl Wk18 Feb 24 Dal Feb 27 @Mia Feb 28 GS Mar 2 @Chi Wk19 Mar 3 @Det Mar 5 @Min Mar 7 Utah Mar 8 @Cle Wk20 Mar 10 Phi Mar 12 @Bos Mar 15 Mil Wk21 Mar 19 Ind Mar 21 @Phi Wk22 Mar 23 Cle Mar 25 @LAL Mar 26 @Sac Mar 28 @Pho Wk23 Mar 30 @GS Mar 31 @Utah Apr 2 Brook Apr 4 Wash Apr 6 @Mia Wk24 Apr 11 @Tor Apr 13 Chi Wk25 Apr 15 @Brook Apr 16 Tor Wk1 Oct 30 Mil Oct 31 @Chi Nov 3 Min Wk2 Nov 5 Char Nov 8 @Char Nov 10 SA Wk3 Nov 13 @Atl Nov 14 Hou Nov 16 Atl Wk4 Nov 19 @Det Nov 20 Ind Nov 23 @Wash Wk5 Nov 25 @Port Nov 27 @LAC Nov 29 @Den Dec 1 NO Wk6 Dec 5 @Brook Dec 6 Orl Dec 8 Bos Wk7 Dec 10 @Cle Dec 11 Chi Dec 13 @Bos Dec 14 Atl Wk8 Dec 16 Wash Dec 18 @Mil Dec 21 Mem Wk9 Dec 23 @Orl Dec 25 OKC Dec 27 Tor Dec 28 @Tor Wk10 Jan 2 @SA Jan 3 @Hou Jan 5 @Dal Wk11 Jan 7 Det Jan 9 Mia Jan 11 @Phi Wk12 Jan 13 Pho Jan 14 @Char Jan 16 @Ind Jan 17 LAC 2012-2013 Record: 54-28 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 46-36 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Atlantic Division
  • 66. 66 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Kevin Martin is now in Minnesota, meaning Jeremy Lamb, Reggie Jackson and Thabo Se- folosha will all see increased roles, while Ryan Gomes was added as a free agent. They drafted center Steven Adams, who could see decent run with Kendrick Perkins appearing to be on his last legs and also picked up PF Grant Jerrett. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Russell Westbrook is the name to know here, although many are predicting a breakout season for Reggie Jackson, who will battle with SG Jeremy Lamb for the role of sixth man. Derek Fisher is still around, but just barely. SHOOTING GUARD: With Martin gone, starter Thabo Sefolosha should see a small boost but still isn’t likely to do enough to be more than a late-round flier. The battle between Reggie Jackson and Jeremy Lamb for sixth man should be intense, and owners will want to keep a close eye on both of them in camp. Both players look like solid ways to blow a very late fantasy pick at this point. SMALL FORWARD: Kevin Durant. Enough said. Oklahoma City Thunder Steven Adams (No. 12) Andre Roberson (No. 26) Alejandro Abrines (No. 32) Grant Jerrett (No. 40) Szymon Szewczyk (No. 35, 2003) Ronnie Brewer (to Rockets) Kevin Martin (to Timberwolves) Derek Fisher (re-signed) Ryan Gomes DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE POWER FORWARD: Serge Ibaka. Enough said, except that last season’s 3-point shooting was a very pleasant surprise, and we hope that he keeps shooting them this year. CENTER: Perkins says he’s working on his shot and his explosiveness, but we’re not holding our breath for him to become a good fantasy player. If he struggles again, Hasheem Thabeet and rookie Steven Adams could both quickly become rel- evant. SUMMARY The Thunder will be one of the best teams in the league again, and Durant, Westbrook and Ibaka will all be big-time fantasy players. Lamb and Jackson look like sleepers, while one of the young centers could step up and be worth a fli- er this season. The OKC training camp will be worth watching closely, and the same goes for their preseason. OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER Coach Scott Brooks PG 1. Russell Westbrook 2. Reggie Jackson 3. Derek Fisher SG 1.Thabo Sefolosha 2. Jeremy Lamb 3. DeAndre Liggins SF 1. Kevin Durant 2. Ryan Gomes 3. Perry Jones III 4.Andre Roberson PF 1. Serge Ibaka 2. Nick Collison 3. Grant Jerrett C 1. Kendrick Perkins 2. Hasheem Thabeet 3. Steven Adams 4. Daniel Orton Wk13 Jan 21 Port Jan 22 @SA Jan 24 @Bos Jan 25 @Phi Wk14 Jan 27 Atl Jan 29 @Mia Jan 31 @Brook Feb 1 @Wash Wk15 Feb 3 Mem Feb 5 Min Feb 7 @Orl Feb 9 NY Wk16 Feb 11 @Port Feb 13 @LAL Wk17 Feb 20 Mia Feb 23 LAC Wk18 Feb 26 Cle Feb 28 Mem Mar 2 Char Wk19 Mar 4 Phi Mar 6 @Pho Mar 9 @LAL Wk20 Mar 11 Hou Mar 13 LAL Mar 16 Dal Wk21 Mar 17 @Chi Mar 20 @Cle Mar 21 @Tor Wk22 Mar 24 Den Mar 25 @Dal Mar 28 Sac Mar 30 Utah Wk23 Apr 3 SA Apr 4 @Hou Apr 6 @Pho Wk24 Apr 8 @Sac Apr 9 @LAC Apr 11 NO Apr 13 @Ind Wk25 Apr 14 @NO Apr 16 Det Wk1 Oct 30 @Utah Nov 1 @Min Nov 3 Pho Wk2 Nov 6 Dal Nov 8 @Det Nov 10 Wash Wk3 Nov 13 @LAC Nov 14 @GS Nov 16 @Mil Wk4 Nov 18 Den Nov 21 LAC Nov 24 Utah Wk5 Nov 27 SA Nov 29 GS Wk6 Dec 1 Min Dec 3 @Sac Dec 4 @Port Dec 6 @NO Dec 8 Ind Wk7 Dec 10 @Atl Dec 11 @Mem Dec 13 LAL Dec 15 Orl Wk8 Dec 17 @Den Dec 19 Chi Dec 21 @SA Dec 22 Tor Wk9 Dec 25 @NY Dec 27 @Char Dec 29 Hou Wk10 Dec 31 Port Jan 2 Brook Jan 4 @Min Jan 5 Bos Wk11 Jan 7 @Utah Jan 9 @Den Jan 11 Mil Wk12 Jan 14 @Mem Jan 16 @Hou Jan 17 GS Jan 19 Sac 2012-2013 Record: 60-22 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 56-26WESTERN CONFERENCE - Northwest Division
  • 67. 67NBA Season Preview Victor Oladipo (No. 2) Romero Osby (No. 51) Beno Udrih (to Knicks) Al Harrington (to Wizards) Jason Maxiell (from Pistons) Ronnie Price DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY Orlando Magic WHAT’S NEW The Magic drafted SG Victor Oladipo with the No. 2 pick in the draft, and he’s expected to com- pete for Rookie of the Year. They’re expected to buy out Hedo Turkoglu, saw J.J. Redick sign with the Clippers and Al Harrington went to Wash- ington. They’re also hoping that big man Glen Davis comes back quickly after foot surgery, but it might not happen. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: The job remains Jameer Nelson’s to lose, while there’s been talk about Oladipo play- ing some point guard as well. E’Twaun Moore and Ronnie Price will help back up Nelson but would likely only have value if Nelson gets hurt. SHOOTING GUARD: Arron Afflalo is penciled in as the starter over Oladipo but could be on the trading block. Afflalo will hit a lot of 3-pointers but isn’t an exciting player to own, especially with Oladipo around. SMALL FORWARD: Tobias Harris looks like the starter after he exploded last season upon arriv- ing in Orlando. Moe Harkless will back him up, and the two could split minutes this season. But given how good Harris looked at times last year, he qualifies as a serious sleeper. POWER FORWARD: Davis is not a lock to be ready for the opener, meaning Andrew Nicholson could start the season as the starting PF for the Magic. But once Davis is healthy, he’s the PF we’d rather own, while Nicholson should be worth a late flier. CENTER: Nikola Vucevic was a very pleasant sur- prise for fantasy owners last season, and the fact that Davis is still hurting works in his favor. He should have another good season and will be backed up by Jason Maxiell and Kyle O’Quinn. Neither should impact his playing time much at all. SUMMARY It’s going to be a long season for Magic fans, but there are plenty of exciting fantasy pieces here, including sleepers like Oladipo, Harris and Da- vis. ORLANDO MAGIC Coach Jacque Vaughn PG 1. Jameer Nelson 2. E’Twaun Moore 3. Ronnie Price SG 1.Arron Afflalo 2.Victor Oladipo 3. Doron Lamb SF 1.Tobias Harris 2. Moe Harkless 3. Hedo Turkoglu PF 1. Glen Davis 2.Andrew Nicholson C 1. Nikola Vucevic 2. Jason Maxiell 3. Kyle O’Quinn Wk13 Jan 21 Port Jan 22 @SA Jan 24 @Bos Jan 25 @Phi Wk14 Jan 27 Atl Jan 29 @Mia Jan 31 @Brook Feb 1 @Wash Wk15 Feb 3 Mem Feb 5 Min Feb 7 @Orl Feb 9 NY Wk16 Feb 11 @Port Feb 13 @LAL Wk17 Feb 20 Mia Feb 23 LAC Wk18 Feb 26 Cle Feb 28 Mem Mar 2 Char Wk19 Mar 4 Phi Mar 6 @Pho Mar 9 @LAL Wk20 Mar 11 Hou Mar 13 LAL Mar 16 Dal Wk21 Mar 17 @Chi Mar 20 @Cle Mar 21 @Tor Wk22 Mar 24 Den Mar 25 @Dal Mar 28 Sac Mar 30 Utah Wk23 Apr 3 SA Apr 4 @Hou Apr 6 @Pho Wk24 Apr 8 @Sac Apr 9 @LAC Apr 11 NO Apr 13 @Ind Wk25 Apr 14 @NO Apr 16 Det Wk1 Oct 30 @Utah Nov 1 @Min Nov 3 Pho Wk2 Nov 6 Dal Nov 8 @Det Nov 10 Wash Wk3 Nov 13 @LAC Nov 14 @GS Nov 16 @Mil Wk4 Nov 18 Den Nov 21 LAC Nov 24 Utah Wk5 Nov 27 SA Nov 29 GS Wk6 Dec 1 Min Dec 3 @Sac Dec 4 @Port Dec 6 @NO Dec 8 Ind Wk7 Dec 10 @Atl Dec 11 @Mem Dec 13 LAL Dec 15 Orl Wk8 Dec 17 @Den Dec 19 Chi Dec 21 @SA Dec 22 Tor Wk9 Dec 25 @NY Dec 27 @Char Dec 29 Hou Wk10 Dec 31 Port Jan 2 Brook Jan 4 @Min Jan 5 Bos Wk11 Jan 7 @Utah Jan 9 @Den Jan 11 Mil Wk12 Jan 14 @Mem Jan 16 @Hou Jan 17 GS Jan 19 Sac 2012-2013 Record: 20-62 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 27-55 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Southeast Division
  • 68. 68 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW Center Andrew Bynum (Cavs) and PG Jrue Holiday (Pelicans) are gone, although it can be argued that Bynum was never even there in the first place. They drafted PG Michael Carter- Williams and C Nerlens Noel, both of whom are expected to start when healthy and acquired Royce White, who famously didn’t play for the Rockets last year. They also added new head coach Brett Brown, while Evan Turner and James Anderson look like the only shooting guards on the roster. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Quite simply, Carter-Williams is the only true point guard on the roster, and we’re guessing he’s backed up by Evan Turner, unless they sign someone late this summer. MCW should rack up some points and dimes, but he’s not a 3-point shooter, and his shooting percentages will be shaky. But the minutes are going to be there, and he should make for an interesting third or fourth fantasy point guard. SHOOTING GUARD: Jason Richardson may miss the season with a knee injury, and they waived Justin Holiday, leaving unknown James Ander- son as the only option at SG, if they choose to start Turner at small forward. Anderson might be a good way to burn a final pick in many drafts. Philadelphia 76ers Nerlens Noel (No. 6) Michael Carter-Williams (No. 11) Arsalan Kazemi (No. 54) Furkan Aldemir (No. 53, 2012) Andrew Bynum (to Cavaliers) Charles Jenkins (to Red Star Belgrade) Dorell Wright (to Blazers) Nick Young (to Lakers) Justin Holiday Jrue Holiday (to Pelicans) Royce White (from Rockets) James Anderson (from Rockets) Tim Ohlbrecht (from Rockets) DRAFT FREE AGENCY PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE SMALL FORWARD: Turner looks like the guy here, but if he starts at shooting guard, it’s possible that Thaddeus Young could play out of position at small forward. Both Turner and Young are going to be fun to own in fantasy this year, regardless of who plays where. POWER FORWARD: Young could be a beast on this depleted (and awful) team, while Arnett Moult- rie is going to see heavy action this season off the bench. And if they do go with Young at SF, Moultrie could even emerge as a starter at some point. They also added troubled Royce White from Houston, but we doubt he plays in many games. CENTER: Spencer Hawes looks like he’ll see a lot of minutes at center as Nerlens Noel could miss half the season as he recovers from knee surgery. Noel is not even really draftable in most leagues, while Hawes looks like a must-own fantasy center this season. Lavoy Allen and Kwame Brown will back Hawes up, but neither is worth owning for now. SUMMARY This team is going to be awful, and even though they swear they’re not tanking, they’re tanking. MCW, Turner, Young and Hawes all look like they should be drafted this year, while Anderson could end up having some value as well. Philadelphia 76ers Coach Brett Brown PG 1. Michael Carter-Williams SG 1. James Anderson 2. Jason Richardson SF 1. Evan Turner PF 1.Thaddeus Young 2.Arnett Moultrie 3. Royce White 4.Tim Ohlbrecht 5.Arsalan Kazemi C 1. Spencer Hawes 2. Lavoy Allen 3. Kwame Brown 4. Nerlens Noel Wk13 Jan 20 @Wash Jan 22 @NY Jan 24 Tor Jan 25 OKC Wk14 Jan 27 Pho Jan 29 @Bos Jan 31 Atl Feb 1 @Det Wk15 Feb 3 @Brook Feb 5 Bos Feb 7 LAL Feb 9 @LAC Wk16 Feb 10 @GS Feb 12 @Utah Wk17 Feb 18 Cle Feb 21 Dal Wk18 Feb 24 Mil Feb 26 Orl Mar 1 Wash Mar 2 @Orl Wk19 Mar 4 @OKC Mar 8 Utah Wk20 Mar 10 @NY Mar 12 Sac Mar 14 Ind Mar 15 Mem Wk21 Mar 17 @Ind Mar 19 Chi Mar 21 NY Mar 22 @Chi Wk22 Mar 24 @SA Mar 27 @Hou Mar 29 Det Wk23 Mar 31 @Atl Apr 2 Char Apr 4 @Bos Apr 5 Brook Wk24 Apr 9 @Tor Apr 11 @Mem Apr 12 @Char Wk25 Apr 14 Bos Apr 16 @Mia Wk1 Oct 30 Mia Nov 1 @Wash Nov 2 Chi Wk2 Nov 4 GS Nov 6 Wash Nov 8 Cle Nov 9 @Cle Wk3 Nov 11 SA Nov 13 Hou Nov 15 @Atl Nov 16 @NO Wk4 Nov 18 @Dal Nov 20 Tor Nov 22 Mil Nov 23 @Ind Wk5 Nov 27 @Orl Nov 29 NO Dec 1 @Det Wk6 Dec 3 Orl Dec 6 @Char Dec 7 Den Wk7 Dec 9 LAC Dec 11 @Min Dec 13 @Tor Dec 14 Port Wk8 Dec 16 @Brook Dec 20 Brook Dec 21 @Mil Wk9 Dec 28 @Pho Dec 29 @LAL Wk10 Jan 1 @Den Jan 2 @Sac Jan 4 @Port Wk11 Jan 6 Min Jan 7 @Cle Jan 10 Det Jan 11 NY Wk12 Jan 15 Char Jan 17 Mia Jan 18 @Chi 2012-2013 Record: 34-48 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 17-65EASTERN CONFERENCE - Atlantic Division
  • 69. 69NBA Season Preview Alex Len (No. 5) Archie Goodwin (No. 29) Alex Oriakhi (No. 57) Wesley Johnson (to Lakers) Jermaine O’Neal (to Warriors) Hamed Haddadi Jared Dudley (to Clippers) Luis Scola (to Pacers) Eric Bledsoe (from Clippers) Caron Butler (from Clippers) Gerald Green (from Pacers) Malcolm Lee (from Timberwolves) Miles Plumlee (from Pacers) DRAFT FREE AGENCY TRADE PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST TRADE Phoenix Suns WHAT’S NEW Eric Bledsoe is the big piece the Suns added this summer and he should start at shooting guard right off the bat. Michael Beasley was busted for weed again and could be looking at a suspension, Gerald Green is now a Sun along with Caron Butler and draft picks C Alex Len and G Archie Goodwin were added. They’re hoping that Chan- ning Frye can return to form after missing last season due to heart surgery. And Jeff Hornacek will take over coaching duties from Lindsey Hunter. Swingman Jared Dudley signed with the Clippers, and F/C Luis Scola was traded to the Pacers. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Goran Dragic should hold the starting job while Kendall Marshall will back him up. Dragic had a fine season, although he was a bit inconsistent and didn’t live up to the hype he was getting in the preseason. Regardless, he’s still a very solid point guard option in fantasy. SHOOTING GUARD: Bledsoe is probably our favor- ite sleeper pick this season and should explode on the scene for a Suns team that will struggle. He’ll contribute in most categories and should be a very exciting player to own. Rookie Archie Goodwin, Gerald Green, Shannon Brown and Malcolm Lee can all play shooting guard, but we’d be surprised if Bledsoe doesn’t get most of the minutes. He went in Round 5 of our mock draft, which sounds about right. SMALL FORWARD: Beasley’s NBA career is hanging on by a thread, and the Suns don’t appear to be fans of his game or antics these days. P.J. Tucker looks like the starter with Jared Dudley gone to the Clippers, while Caron Butler will also get some run. Keep an eye on all these guys in train- ing camp and the preseason, as it’s still unclear who will start. POWER FORWARD: Markieff Morris will look to take a big step forward after Luis Scola was sent to the Pacers. He should be available later in drafts, and his 3-point shooting and potential playing time should make him a nice sleeper. Brother Marcus Morris and Channing Frye will back him up, but this should be the year of Markieff. CENTER: Marcin Gortat, who was very unhappy with the Suns last season, is set to start again this year and should be a solid fantasy center, while rookie Alex Len and Miles Plumlee will back him up. Len is going to be ready for training camp after recovering from ankle surgery and could eventually push Gortat for the starting job. But for now, Gortat’s the guy you want to own. SUMMARY While the franchise appears to be heading in the right direction, it’s hard to imagine them mak- ing the playoffs. But there’s plenty to like fantasy- wise here, starting with Bledsoe, Dragic and Gor- tat and ending with Markieff Morris. Phoenix Suns Coach Jeff Hornacek PG 1. Goran Dragic 2. Kendall Marshall 3. Diante Garrett SG 1. Eric Bledsoe 2.Archie Goodwin 3. Gerald Green 4. Shannon Brown 5. Malcolm Lee SF 1. P.J.Tucker 2. Michael Beasley 3. Caron Butler PF 1. Markieff Morris 2. Marcus Morris 3. Channing Frye C 1. Marcin Gortat 2.Alex Len 3. Miles Plumlee Wk13 Jan 22 Ind Jan 24 Wash Jan 26 @Cle Wk14 Jan 27 @Phi Jan 29 @Mil Jan 30 @Ind Feb 1 Char Wk15 Feb 4 Chi Feb 5 @Hou Feb 8 GS Wk16 Feb 11 Mia Wk17 Feb 18 @Den Feb 19 Bos Feb 21 SA Feb 23 Hou Wk18 Feb 25 Min Feb 26 @Utah Feb 28 NO Mar 2 Atl Wk19 Mar 4 LAC Mar 6 OKC Mar 9 @GS Wk20 Mar 10 @LAC Mar 12 Cle Mar 14 @Bos Mar 16 @Tor Wk21 Mar 17 @Brook Mar 19 Orl Mar 21 Det Mar 23 @Min Wk22 Mar 24 @Atl Mar 26 @Wash Mar 28 NY Mar 30 @LAL Wk23 Apr 2 LAC Apr 4 @Port Apr 6 OKC Wk24 Apr 9 @NO Apr 11 @SA Apr 12 @Dal Wk25 Apr 14 Mem Apr 16 @Sac Wk1 Oct 30 Port Nov 1 Utah Nov 3 @OKC Wk2 Nov 5 @NO Nov 6 @SA Nov 8 Den Nov 10 NO Wk3 Nov 13 @Port Nov 15 Brook Wk4 Nov 19 @Sac Nov 20 Sac Nov 22 @Char Nov 24 @Orl Wk5 Nov 25 @Mia Nov 27 Port Nov 29 @Utah Nov 30 Utah Wk6 Dec 3 @Mem Dec 4 @Hou Dec 6 Tor Wk7 Dec 10 @LAL Dec 13 Sac Dec 15 GS Wk8 Dec 18 SA Dec 20 @Den Dec 21 Dal Wk9 Dec 23 LAL Dec 27 @GS Dec 28 Phi Wk10 Dec 30 @LAC Jan 2 Mem Wk11 Jan 4 Mil Jan 7 @Chi Jan 8 @Min Jan 10 @Mem Jan 11 @Det Wk12 Jan 13 @NY Jan 15 LAL Jan 17 Dal Jan 19 Den 2012-2013 Record: 25-57 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 21-61 WESTERN CONFERENCE -Pacific Division
  • 70. 70 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW The Blazers may have made less noise this sum- mer than any other team. They added Mo Wil- liams, Earl Watson, Dorell Wright, Robin Lopez and rookies C.J. McCollum and Allen Crabbe. F/C J.J. Hickson now plays for the Nuggets. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Damian Lillard is coming off a stellar rookie campaign and will be backed up by Mo Williams and Earl Watson. Having Wil- liams around is a minor concern, but it’s hard to see the Blazers not giving Lillard full reign over this lineup. It’s also hard to imagine Mo-Will getting enough minutes to be worth owning. SHOOTING GUARD: Wesley Matthews looks locked in as the starter here, but the presence of C.J. McCollum is going to have to negatively impact him some. McCollum should see solid minutes off the bench and is expected to put his name in the hat for a shot at ROY. Both play- ers are must-own, and Matthews will likely be worth using on a daily basis in fantasy. SMALL FORWARD: Nicolas Batum should build on what has been a pretty strong career and could fully break out if he can stay healthy. A wrist problem slowed him down last season, but he comes into this one healthy. Dorell Wright’s presence should help the Blazers, and while Wright will hit a lot of 3-pointers, this job is all about Batum. Portland Trail Blazers PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST POWER FORWARD: Aldridge is one of the league’s top power forwards and should be ready for an- other big year. With Robin Lopez and Meyers Leonard both around to play center, Aldridge should spend most of his time at PF, while Thom- as Robinson will grab some boards off the bench when Aldridge takes a brief rest each night. CENTER: Lopez and Leonard should have a good position battle in camp. We’re calling Lopez the favorite to start, but it could go either way. Both players should make for decent late picks by own- ers in need of one more center in deeper leagues. SUMMARY Terry Stotts has a nice nucleus, and if everyone can stay healthy, and McCollum is as good as advertised, the Blazers will make a serious chal- lenge in the crowded West. And in fantasy, Lil- lard, Batum and Aldridge are three of the bigger names on the board. PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS C.J. McCollum (No. 10) Allen Crabbe (No. 31) J.J. Hickson (to Nuggets) Eric Maynor (to Wizards) Nolan Smith (to Cedevita Zagreb) Jared Jeffries Sasha PavlovicDee Bost Earl Watson (from Jazz) Mo Williams (from Jazz) Dorell Wright (from 76ers) DRAFT FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY Terrel Harris (from Pelicans) Robin Lopez (from Pelicans) Thomas Robinson (from Rockets) TRADE Coach Terry Stotts PG 1. Damian Lillard 2. Mo Williams 3. Earl Watson SG 1.Wesley Matthews 2. C.J. McCollum 3.Will Barton 4.Allen Crabbe 5.Terrel Harris SF 1. Nicolas Batum 2. Dorell Wright 3.Victor Claver 4. Sasha Pavlovic PF 1. LaMarcus Aldridge 2.Thomas Robinson 3. Joel Freeland C 1. Robin Lopez 2. Meyers Leonard Wk13 Jan 20 @Hou Jan 21 @OKC Jan 23 Den Jan 25 Min Jan 26 @GS Wk14 Jan 28 Mem Feb 1 Tor Wk15 Feb 3 @Wash Feb 5 @NY Feb 7 @Ind Feb 8 @Min Wk16 Feb 11 OKC Feb 12 @LAC Wk17 Feb 19 SA Feb 21 Utah Feb 23 Min Wk18 Feb 25 @Den Feb 26 Brook Mar 1 Den Wk19 Mar 3 LAL Mar 5 Atl Mar 7 @Dal Mar 9 @Hou Wk20 Mar 11 @Mem Mar 12 @SA Mar 14 @NO Mar 16 GS Wk21 Mar 18 Mil Mar 20 Wash Mar 22 @Char Wk22 Mar 24 @Mia Mar 25 @Orl Mar 27 @Atl Mar 28 @Chi Mar 30 Mem Wk23 Apr 1 @LAL Apr 4 Pho Apr 6 NO Wk24 Apr 9 Sac Apr 11 @Utah Wk25 Apr 13 GS Apr 16 LAC Wk1 Oct 30 @Pho Nov 1 @Den Nov 2 SA Wk2 Nov 5 Hou Nov 8 Sac Nov 9 @Sac Wk3 Nov 11 Det Nov 13 Pho Nov 15 @Bos Nov 17 @Tor Wk4 Nov 18 @Brook Nov 20 @Mil Nov 22 Chi Nov 23 @GS Wk5 Nov 25 NY Nov 27 @Pho Dec 1 @LAL Wk6 Dec 2 Ind Dec 4 OKC Dec 6 Utah Dec 7 Dal Wk7 Dec 9 @Utah Dec 12 Hou Dec 14 @Phi Dec 15 @Det Wk8 Dec 17 @Cle Dec 18 @Min Dec 21 NO Wk9 Dec 26 LAC Dec 28 Mia Dec 30 @NO Wk10 Dec 31 @OKC Jan 2 Char Jan 4 Phi Wk11 Jan 7 @Sac Jan 8 Orl Jan 11 Bos Wk12 Jan 15 Cle Jan 17 @SA Jan 18 @Dal 2012-2013 Record: 33-49 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 38-44WESTERN CONFERENCE - Northwest Division
  • 71. 71NBA Season Preview PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST Sacramento Kings WHAT’S NEW The Kings had a pretty crowded backcourt last year, and it is now officially a mess after they acquired Greivis Vasquez from the Pelicans and drafted Ben McLemore, while shipping Tyreke Evans to New Orleans. They also added Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Carl Landry to their frontcourt in the offseason. And Mike Malone will take over as head coach for much-maligned Keith Smart. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Vasquez was a good get for the Kings, but they still have incumbent starter Isa- iah Thomas and drafted Ray McCallum, who will be the third point guard. Some kind of true time- share is coming for Thomas and Vasquez, mak- ing both of them much less desirable to fantasy owners than they were last year. Keep a close eye on this one in training camp and the preseason, but chances are both Thomas and Vasquez will be worth using a late draft pick on. SHOOTING GUARD: Things don’t get any easier here as McLemore, Marcus Thornton and Jimmer Fredette will all battle it out for minutes. Jimmer looks like the odd man out, while Thornton, who was already too inconsistent, will have to share his minutes with one of the favorites for Rookie of the Year. There’s just not a lot to love here. SMALL FORWARD: John Salmons looks like the default starter, unless Malone wants to go with Mbah a Moute for defensive purposes. Yes, yet another position battle is set to unfold. POWER FORWARD: Things aren’t any clearer at power forward, as Carl Landry, Patrick Patterson and Jason Thompson will all battle it out for min- utes. Any of them could start or be third string, and this is sure to be another intense position battle. This looks like a three-way timeshare, so look for your power forward somewhere else. CENTER: Finally. The one thing we know in Sac- ramento is that DeMarcus Cousins is the starting center, will get a bulk of the minutes and could finally put it all together and put up a monster season. He’s the only center you need to know about here, although Thompson can also play some center and might be the backup there. SUMMARY The Sacramento Position Battles would be a bet- ter team name than the Kings at this point. In re- ality, they should continue to make strides and be an entertaining team to watch. In fantasy though, it looks like Cousins and one big mess. SACRAMENTO KINGS Ben McLemore (No. 7) Ray McCallum (No. 36) Toney Douglas (to Warriors) Carl Landry (from Warriors) Tyreke Evans (to Pelicans) DRAFT FREE AGENCY FREE AGENCY TRADE Mike Malone Keith Smart Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (from Bucks) Greivis Vasquez (from Pelicans) COACH COACH TRADE Coach Mike Malone PG 1. Greivis Vasquez 2. Isaiah Thomas 3. Ray McCallum SG 1. Ben McLemore 2. Marcus Thornton 3. Jimmer Fredette SF 1. John Salmons 2. Luc Richard Mbah a Moute 3.Travis Outlaw PF 1. Carl Landry 2. Patrick Patterson 3. Jason Thompson C 1. DeMarcus Cousins 2. Chuck Hayes Wk14 Jan 27 @Utah Jan 29 Mem Jan 31 @Dal Feb 1 @SA Wk15 Feb 3 Chi Feb 5 Tor Feb 7 @Bos Feb 9 @Wash Wk16 Feb 11 @Cle Feb 12 @NY Wk17 Feb 19 GS Feb 22 Bos Feb 23 @Den Wk18 Feb 25 Hou Feb 28 @LAL Mar 1 Min Wk19 Mar 3 NO Mar 5 @Mil Mar 7 @Tor Mar 9 @Brook Wk20 Mar 11 @Det Mar 12 @Phi Mar 15 @Chi Mar 16 @Min Wk21 Mar 18 Wash Mar 21 SA Mar 23 Mil Wk22 Mar 26 NY Mar 28 @OKC Mar 29 @Dal Wk23 Mar 31 @NO Apr 2 LAL Apr 4 @GS Apr 6 Dal Wk24 Apr 8 OKC Apr 9 @Port Apr 12 @LAC Apr 13 Min Wk25 Apr 16 Pho Wk1 Oct 30 Den Nov 1 LAC Nov 2 @GS Wk2 Nov 5 Atl Nov 8 @Port Nov 9 Port Wk3 Nov 13 Brook Nov 15 Det Nov 17 Mem Wk4 Nov 19 Pho Nov 20 @Pho Nov 23 @LAC Nov 24 @LAL Wk5 Nov 29 LAC Dec 1 GS Wk6 Dec 3 OKC Dec 6 LAL Dec 7 @Utah Wk7 Dec 9 Dal Dec 11 Utah Dec 13 @Pho Dec 15 Hou Wk8 Dec 17 @Char Dec 18 @Atl Dec 20 @Mia Dec 21 @Orl Wk9 Dec 23 NO Dec 27 Mia Dec 29 @SA Wk10 Dec 31 @Hou Jan 2 Phi Jan 4 Char Wk11 Jan 7 Port Jan 10 Orl Jan 12 Cle Wk12 Jan 14 @Ind Jan 15 @Min Jan 17 @Mem Jan 19 @OKC Wk13 Jan 21 @NO Jan 22 @Hou Jan 24 Ind Jan 26 Den 2012-2013 Record: 28-54 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 35-47 WESTERN CONFERENCE -Pacific Division
  • 72. 72 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW There aren’t many changes in San Antonio, al- though the decline we saw from Manu Ginobili in the playoffs should continue into this season. They added G Marco Belinelli, F/C Jeff Pender- graph and SF Livio Jean-Charles and didn’t lose anyone of note outside of G Gary Neal and F/C DeJuan Blair. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Tony Parker will once again run the show, and despite a lack of threes and poor free throw shooting, remains a top fantasy point guard option. Cory Joseph, Patty Mills and Nando De Colo will back him up. SHOOTING GUARD: Danny Green should be on the verge of a full breakout season as Manu Ginobili begins to saunter off into the sunset. Marco Belinelli’s presence won’t help Ginobili either, but Green is the guy to own here. SMALL FORWARD: Kawhi Leonard picked it up in the second half and playoffs last season and should be primed for a monster season. He’s also unchallenged for minutes and is fully ex- pected to become the face of the franchise. POWER FORWARD: Tim Duncan’s as old as they come but still effective. He slid to Round 6 in our mock draft and should be a real value pick there. Ignore backups Boris Diaw and Jeff Pen- dergraph. San Antonio Spurs PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST CENTER: Tiago Splitter could have a big year and should see a ton of minutes, as Matt Bonner and Aron Baynes are simply role players. SUMMARY The Spurs should be very good in reality once again, while Parker, Green, Leonard, Duncan and Splitter all look like viable fantasy options for Gregg Popovich. SAN ANTONIO SPURS Livio Jean-Charles (No. 28) Deshaun Thomas (No. 58) Alan Anderson (to Nets) John Lucas (to Jazz) Marcus Camby (to Rockets) Linas Kleiza (amnesty) Andrea Bargnani (to Knicks) Marco Belinelli (from Bulls) Manu Ginobili (re-signed) Jeff Pendergraph (from Pacers) Tiago Splitter (re-signed) DRAFT FREE AGENCY TRADE FREE AGENCY Coach Gregg Popovich PG 1.Tony Parker 2. Cory Joseph 3. Patrick Mills 4. Nando De Colo SG 1. Danny Green 2. Manu Ginobili 3. Marco Belinelli SF 1. Kawhi Leonard 2. Livio Jean-Charles PF 1.Tim Duncan 2. Boris Diaw 3. Jeff Pendergraph C 1.Tiago Splitter 2. Matt Bonner 3.Aron Baynes Wk13 Jan 22 OKC Jan 24 @Atl Jan 26 @Mia Wk14 Jan 28 @Hou Jan 29 Chi Feb 1 Sac Wk15 Feb 3 @NO Feb 5 @Wash Feb 6 @Brook Feb 8 @Char Wk16 Feb 10 @Det Feb 12 @Bos Wk17 Feb 18 @LAC Feb 19 @Port Feb 21 @Pho Wk18 Feb 26 Det Feb 28 Char Mar 2 Dal Wk19 Mar 4 @Cle Mar 6 Mia Mar 8 Orl Wk20 Mar 11 @Chi Mar 12 Port Mar 14 LAL Mar 16 Utah Wk21 Mar 19 @LAL Mar 21 @Sac Mar 22 @GS Wk22 Mar 24 Phi Mar 26 Den Mar 28 @Den Mar 29 NO Wk23 Mar 31 @Ind Apr 2 GS Apr 3 @OKC Apr 6 Mem Wk24 Apr 10 @Dal Apr 11 Pho Wk25 Apr 14 @Hou Apr 16 LAL Wk1 Oct 30 Mem Nov 1 @LAL Nov 2 @Port Wk2 Nov 5 @Den Nov 6 Pho Nov 8 GS Nov 10 @NY Wk3 Nov 11 @Phi Nov 13 Wash Nov 15 @Utah Wk4 Nov 20 Bos Nov 22 @Mem Nov 23 Cle Nov 25 NO Wk5 Nov 27 @OKC Nov 29 @Orl Nov 30 Hou Wk6 Dec 2 Atl Dec 4 @Min Dec 7 Ind Wk7 Dec 10 @Tor Dec 11 @Mil Dec 13 Min Dec 14 @Utah Wk8 Dec 16 @LAC Dec 18 @Pho Dec 19 @GS Dec 21 OKC Wk9 Dec 23 Tor Dec 25 Hou Dec 26 @Dal Dec 29 Sac Wk10 Dec 31 Brook Jan 2 NY Jan 4 LAC Wk11 Jan 7 @Mem Jan 8 Dal Jan 12 Min Wk12 Jan 13 @NO Jan 15 Utah Jan 17 Port Jan 19 Mil 2012-2013 Record: 58-24 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 52-30WESTERN CONFERENCE - Southwest Division
  • 73. 73NBA Season Preview PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST Toronto Raptors WHAT’S NEW Andrea Bargnani was shipped to the Knicks, while the Raptors added role players like PGs D.J. Augustin and Dwight Buycks, G/F Austin Daye, Fs Steve Novak and Quentin Richardson and PF Tyler Hansbrough. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Kyle Lowry underperformed last season, but if he can stay healthy, he could be ready to put up big numbers. Draft him with guarded confidence while ignoring D.J. Augustin and Dwight Buycks in all but very deep leagues. SHOOTING GUARD: DeMar DeRozan doesn’t hit many 3-pointers but has become a quality start- ing fantasy shooting guard. Terrence Ross should fill in nicely while DD is on the bench, but DeRo- zan is the guy to own here. SMALL FORWARD: This job is all Rudy Gay, all the time. When he’s resting, Steve Novak will come in and launch a bunch of 3-pointers, but he is simply a specialist. Gay was taken in Round 5 of our mock draft, where he should return nice value. POWER FORWARD: With Bargnani out of the way, it’s time for Amir Johnson to put it all together and fully breakout. Tyler Hansbrough should be an afterthought but gives the Raps some depth off the bench. CENTER: Jonas Valanciunas had a great summer and should be ready to blow up this season. He went in Round 3 of our mock draft, which is probably too high, but he could easily pay off if things go well. Hopefully he’ll be around in Round 4 in most drafts this year. SUMMARY The Raptors are heading in the right direction but will need Lowry healthy to make it all work. Lowry, DeRozan, Gay, Johnson and Valanciunas should all be very solid fantasy players this sea- son. TORONTO RAPTORS Alan Anderson (to Nets) John Lucas (to Jazz) Marcus Camby (to Rockets) Linas Kleiza (amnesty) D.J.Augustin (from Pacers) Dwight Buycks Austin Daye (from Grizzlies) Tyler Hansbrough (from Pacers) Julyan Stone (from Nuggets) Andrea Bargnani (to Knicks) FREE AGENCYFREE AGENCY TRADE Steve Novak (from Knicks) Quentin Richardson (from Knicks) TRADE Coach Dwane Casey PG 1. Kyle Lowry 2. D.J.Augustin 3. Dwight Buycks SG 1. DeMar DeRozan 2.Terrence Ross 3.Austin Daye SF 1. Rudy Gay 2. Steve Novak 3. Quincy Acy 4. Landry Fields 5. Quentin Richardson PF 1.Amir Johnson 2.Tyler Hansbrough C 1. Jonas Valanciunas 2.Aaron Gray Wk14 Jan 27 @Brook Jan 29 Orl Jan 31 @Den Feb 1 @Port Wk15 Feb 3 @Utah Feb 5 @Sac Feb 7 @LAC Wk16 Feb 10 NO Feb 12 Atl Wk17 Feb 18 @Wash Feb 19 Chi Feb 21 Cle Feb 23 Orl Wk18 Feb 25 @Cle Feb 27 Wash Mar 2 GS Wk19 Mar 7 Sac Mar 9 @Min Wk20 Mar 10 @Brook Mar 12 Det Mar 14 Mem Mar 16 Pho Wk21 Mar 18 @Atl Mar 19 @NO Mar 21 OKC Mar 23 Atl Wk22 Mar 25 @Cle Mar 26 @Bos Mar 28 Bos Mar 30 @Orl Wk23 Mar 31 @Mia Apr 2 Hou Apr 4 Ind Apr 5 @Mil Wk24 Apr 9 Phi Apr 11 NY Apr 13 @Det Wk25 Apr 14 Mil Apr 16 @NY Wk1 Oct 30 Bos Nov 1 @Atl Nov 2 @Mil Wk2 Nov 5 Mia Nov 6 @Char Nov 8 @Ind Nov 9 Utah Wk3 Nov 11 @Hou Nov 13 @Mem Nov 15 Chi Nov 17 Port Wk4 Nov 20 @Phi Nov 22 Wash Wk5 Nov 26 Brook Nov 29 Mia Dec 1 Den Wk6 Dec 3 @GS Dec 6 @Pho Dec 8 @LAL Wk7 Dec 10 SA Dec 13 Phi Dec 14 @Chi Wk8 Dec 18 Char Dec 20 @Dal Dec 22 @OKC Wk9 Dec 23 @SA Dec 27 @NY Dec 28 NY Wk10 Dec 31 @Chi Jan 1 Ind Jan 3 @Wash Jan 5 @Mia Wk11 Jan 7 @Ind Jan 8 Det Jan 11 Brook Wk12 Jan 13 Mil Jan 15 @Bos Jan 17 Min Jan 19 LAL Wk13 Jan 20 @Char Jan 22 Dal Jan 24 @Phi Jan 25 LAC 2012-2013 Record: 34-48 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 37-45 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Atlantic Division
  • 74. 74 NBA Season Preview WHAT’S NEW The Jazz lost C Al Jefferson (Bobcats), PF Paul Millsap (HaWks), SG Randy Foye (Nuggets) and PG Mo Williams (Blazers) to free agency, while adding rookie PG Trey Burke, FA PG John Lucas, rookie SG Jerel McNeal, undrafted SG Ian Clark, FA G/F Brandon Rush, F Richard Jefferson and centers Rudy Gobert and Andris Biedrins. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: With Mo Williams gone, rookie Trey Burke has the potential for a ton of min- utes, some very poor shooting and some very nice fantasy point guard numbers. The job is his to lose, and he went in Round 10 of our mock, giving him the potential to be a value pick if he can live up to the hype. SHOOTING GUARD: With Foye out of the way, it’s time for Alec Burks to break out as the start- ing 2-guard. He should have a nice year and was taken in Round 11 of our mock draft and should provide excellent value that late. He’s the only SG you need to know in Utah. SMALL FORWARD: Gordon Hayward should be primed for a big season as Marvin Williams has become an afterthought. It’s a little crowded with Brandon Rush (knee surgery) and Richard Jefferson (old age) in tow, but Hayward should get most of the minutes here and was a Round 6 pick in our mock. Utah Jazz PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST POWER FORWARD: With Millsap finally gone (and freed) this should be the year that Favors turns into a monster. We love him, and it’s hard to see him failing with only Jeremy Evans to challenge him for minutes. Favors, who went in Round 4 of our mock, should be a fantasy beast this season. CENTER: Enes Kanter is also primed for a mon- ster season now that Al Jefferson is in Charlotte. Rudy Gobert and Andris Biedrins will back him up, but this job is all about Kanter in what should be a breakout bonanza. SUMMARY Burke, Burks, Hayward, Favors and Kanter are all going to play well and should all be fun to own this season, as the Jazz hope to put it all together and make the playoffs in the West. Their success will likely hinge on how quickly Burke can learn to play in the NBA. UTAH JAZZ Trey Burke (No. 9) Rudy Gobert (No. 27) Raul Neto (No. 47) Al Jefferson (to Bobcats) DeMarre Carroll (to HaWks) Paul Millsap (to HaWks) Earl Watson (to Blazers) Mo Williams (to Blazers) Randy Foye (to Nuggets) Kevin Murphy (to Warriors) Richard Jefferson (from Warriors) Andris Biedrins (from Warriors) Brandon Rush (from Warriors) Ian Clark John Lucas (from Raptors) DRAFT FREE AGENCY TRADE TRADE FREE AGENCY Coach Tyrone Corbin PG 1.Trey Burke 2. John Lucas SG 1.Alec Burks 2. Jerel McNeal 3. Ian Clark SF 1. Gordon Hayward 2. Marvin Williams 3. Brandon Rush 4. Richard Jefferson PF 1. Derrick Favors 2. Jeremy Evans C 1. Enes Kanter 2. Rudy Gobert 3.Andris Biedrins Wk13 Jan 21 Min Jan 25 Wash Wk14 Jan 27 Sac Jan 31 GS Feb 1 @LAC Wk15 Feb 3 Tor Feb 7 @Dal Feb 8 Mia Wk16 Feb 11 @LAL Feb 12 Phi Wk17 Feb 19 Brook Feb 21 @Port Feb 22 Min Wk18 Feb 24 Bos Feb 26 Pho Feb 28 @Cle Mar 2 @Ind Wk19 Mar 3 @Mil Mar 5 @Wash Mar 7 @NY Mar 8 @Phi Wk20 Mar 10 Atl Mar 12 Dal Mar 14 LAC Mar 16 @SA Wk21 Mar 17 @Hou Mar 19 @Mem Mar 22 Orl Wk22 Mar 24 Det Mar 26 Mem Mar 28 @NO Mar 30 @OKC Wk23 Mar 31 NY Apr 4 NO Apr 6 @GS Wk24 Apr 8 Dal Apr 11 Port Apr 12 @Den Wk25 Apr 14 LAL Apr 16 @Min Wk1 Oct 30 OKC Nov 1 @Pho Nov 2 Hou Wk2 Nov 5 @Brook Nov 6 @Bos Nov 8 @Chi Nov 9 @Tor Wk3 Nov 11 Den Nov 13 NO Nov 15 SA Nov 16 @GS Wk4 Nov 18 GS Nov 20 @NO Nov 22 @Dal Nov 24 @OKC Wk5 Nov 25 Chi Nov 29 Pho Nov 30 @Pho Wk6 Dec 2 Hou Dec 4 Ind Dec 6 @Port Dec 7 Sac Wk7 Dec 9 Port Dec 11 @Sac Dec 13 @Den Dec 14 SA Wk8 Dec 16 @Mia Dec 18 @Orl Dec 20 @Atl Dec 21 @Char Wk9 Dec 23 @Mem Dec 27 LAL Dec 28 @LAC Wk10 Dec 30 Char Jan 2 Mil Jan 3 @LAL Wk11 Jan 7 OKC Jan 10 Cle Wk12 Jan 13 Den Jan 15 @SA Jan 17 @Det Jan 18 @Min 2012-2013 Record: 43-39 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 33-49WESTERN CONFERENCE - Northwest Division
  • 75. 75NBA Season Preview PLAYERS ADDED PLAYERS LOST Washington Wizards WHAT’S NEW John Wall signed a monster contract, they draft- ed F Otto Porter and Glen Rice Jr., and added G Eric Maynor and F/C Al Harrington. The Wiz- ards have one of the most exciting (and young) sets of players in the league with Wall, Bradley Beal and Porter taking position in the starting lineup on the wings and point. They’ve got some big-man issues, but that should just mean more goodies for the little guys. POSITION BATTLES POINT GUARD: Wall is poised for a big season if he can stay healthy and should become one of the top point guards in the league. He was taken 15th overall in our mock, and you may have to burn a late first-round pick in order to land him on draft night. Maynor will be his backup, but will only have value if Wall goes down. SHOOTING GUARD:Bradley Beal is poised for a big year as well, although he might have to share time with Martell Webster. Beal’s rookie numbers were nice, and he should only get better. SMALL FORWARD: We like Porter to start at small forward, although Trevor Ariza will battle him for the job in camp. Watch this one closely and through the preseason. POWER FORWARD: Nene looks like the starter, but how long he’ll be healthy is anyone’s guess. When he goes down, look for Trevor Booker to step in, while Jan Vesely looks like nothing more than a role player. CENTER: Emeka Okafor is the incumbent starter and is coming off a surprisingly good season, but given his age, Kevin Seraphin might be ready for a much bigger role this season. Both guys are worth drafting, while Harrington, who is on his last legs, should be ignored for now. SUMMARY Wall, Beal and Porter should be a wild ride in fantasy this season with as much upside as any backcourt in the league. Nene, Booker, Oka- for and Seraphin aren’t quite as appealing, but Seraphin has a chance to stand out and make for a nice, late sleeper pick. WASHINGTON WIZARDS Al Harrington (from Magic) Eric Maynor (from Trail Blazers) Garrett Temple (re-signed) Martell Webster (re-signed) FREE AGENCY Otto Porter Jr. (No. 3) Glen Rice Jr. (No. 35) DRAFT Coach Randy Wittman PG 1. John Wall 2. Eric Maynor 3. Garrett Temple SG 1. Bradley Beal 2. Martell Webster SF 1. Otto Porter 2.Trevor Ariza 3. Glen Rice Jr. PF 1. Nene Hilario 2.Trevor Booker 3. Jan Vesely 4. Chris Singleton C 1. Emeka Okafor 2. Kevin Seraphin 3.Al Harrington Wk14 Jan 28 @GS Jan 29 @LAC Feb 1 OKC Wk15 Feb 3 Port Feb 5 SA Feb 7 Cle Feb 9 Sac Wk16 Feb 11 @Mem Feb 12 @Hou Wk17 Feb 18 Tor Feb 19 @Atl Feb 22 NO Feb 23 @Cle Wk18 Feb 25 Orl Feb 27 @Tor Mar 1 @Phi Wk19 Mar 3 Mem Mar 5 Utah Mar 8 @Mil Wk20 Mar 10 @Mia Mar 12 Char Mar 14 @Orl Mar 15 Brook Wk21 Mar 18 @Sac Mar 20 @Port Mar 21 @LAL Mar 23 @Den Wk22 Mar 26 Pho Mar 28 Ind Mar 29 Atl Wk23 Mar 31 @Char Apr 2 Bos Apr 4 @NY Apr 5 Chi Wk24 Apr 9 Char Apr 11 @Orl Apr 12 Mil Wk25 Apr 14 Mia Apr 16 @Bos Wk1 Oct 30 @Det Nov 1 Phi Nov 3 @Mia Wk2 Nov 6 @Phi Nov 8 Brook Nov 10 @OKC Wk3 Nov 12 @Dal Nov 13 @SA Nov 16 Cle Wk4 Nov 19 Min Nov 20 @Cle Nov 22 @Tor Nov 23 NY Wk5 Nov 26 LAL Nov 27 @Mil Nov 29 @Ind Nov 30 Atl Wk6 Dec 2 Orl Dec 6 Mil Wk7 Dec 9 Den Dec 13 @Atl Dec 14 LAC Wk8 Dec 16 @NY Dec 18 @Brook Dec 21 @Bos Wk9 Dec 27 @Min Dec 28 Det Wk10 Dec 30 @Det Jan 1 Dal Jan 3 Tor Jan 5 GS Wk11 Jan 7 @Char Jan 8 @NO Jan 10 @Ind Jan 11 Hou Wk12 Jan 13 @Chi Jan 15 Mia Jan 17 Chi Jan 18 Det Wk13 Jan 20 Phi Jan 22 Bos Jan 24 @Pho Jan 25 @Utah 2012-2013 Record: 29-53 2013-2014 PROJECTED Record: 41-41 EASTERN CONFERENCE -Southeast Division
  • 76. 76 NBA Season Preview CHA 3 3 4 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 2 2 4 2 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 10/29/2013 11/4/2013 11/11/2013 11/18/2013 11/25/2013 12/2/2013 12/9/2013 12/16/2013 12/23/2013 12/30/2013 1/6/2014 1/13/2014 1/20/2014 1/27/2014 2/3/2014 2/10/2014 2/18/2014 2/24/2014 3/3/2014 3/10/2014 3/17/2014 3/24/2014 3/31/2014 4/8/2014 4/14/2014 BOS 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 1 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 2 CLE 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 2 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 1 CHI 3 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 2 4 3 4 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 2 DEN 2 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 2 DAL 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 2 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 1 GS 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 DET 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 4 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 1 IND 3 4 3 3 4 4 2 4 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 1 HOU 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 5 2 3 4 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 2 LAK 4 4 4 2 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 2 4 2 3 3 5 2 3 4 4 3 2 LAC 3 4 3 5 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 1 3 3 3 4 2 4 4 2 2 ME 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 2 BKN 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 1 4 3 4 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 2 ATL 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 1 4 4 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 T O T A L G A M SCHEDULE GRIDS RED - LOW AMOUNT GREEN - HIGH AMOUNT
  • 77. 77NBA Season Preview AK 4 4 4 2 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 2 4 2 3 3 5 2 3 4 4 3 2 MIA 4 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 MEM 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 2 MLW 3 2 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 3 3 4 5 3 3 4 3 2 MIN 3 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 NY 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 1 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 2 2 NO 3 4 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 ORL 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 1 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 OKC 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 PHI 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 2 2 4 2 4 4 3 4 3 2 SA 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 2 POR 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 2 4 3 3 5 2 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 5 3 3 1 TOR 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 3 2 SAC 3 3 3 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 1 WAS 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 2 UTA 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 PHO 3 4 2 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 1 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 A M E S 8 2 There are people who plan ahead and people who don’t. Both can win at fantasy hoops, but in weekly playoff leagues, the planners have a distinct advantage.
  • 78. 78 NBA Season Preview78 NBA Season Preview POINT GUARDS Position Tiers Tier 1 Stephen Curry, Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Rose and John Wall We really debated about Tier 1 for the point guards, originally lim- iting it to just Stephen Curry and Russell Westbrook. But after more consideration, we decided to add CP3, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Rose and John Wall to the mix. You can’t go wrong starting your draft off with Curry or Westbrook, while Paul, Irving and Wall should all be beasts as well. We’re a little concerned about Irving’s injury history, and Wall has yet to prove himself, but all signs are pointing to a breakout season for the Wizards’ young gun. The bottom line is that none of these guys should let fantasy owners down this season, as long as they stay healthy. And speaking of health, the wild card in Tier 1 is Derrick Rose. Given that he hasn’t played in forever, he should come in fully healthy and be ready to roll. There is some risk in drafting him too early, but the chance at a big reward makes him worth it. If he had been healthy and himself last season, he would be sitting up there with Curry and Westbrook. Tier 2 Damian Lillard, Kemba Walker, Mike Conley, Brandon Jennings, Ty Lawson, Tony Parker and Deron Williams Damian Lillard is a borderline Tier 1 guy after his ROY season, while Kemba Walker, Mike Conley, Brandon Jennings, Ty Lawson, Tony Parker and Deron Williams shouldn’t disappoint. Deron would be higher if there weren’t so many offensive weapons in Brook- lyn, while Jennings says he’s going to change his game in Detroit. But we’ll have to wait and see if he really has the discipline to stop gunning. Tier 3 Jeff Teague, Ricky Rubio, Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, George Hill, Rajon Rondo Goran Dragic and Jose Calderon Tier 3 is looking like a relatively safe group of guys to choose from, although Kyle Lowry’s strange 2012 campaign may have put him in the “never again” list for many of you. Ricky Rubio’s injury history makes him a little risky, but this should be his breakout season, while Rajon Rondo’s injury is a major concern. The hope is that he’ll be ready for the start of the season, but it remains to be seen whether that’s a realistic goal. George Hill appears to be a rock-solid option again for the Pacers. Tier 4 Steve Nash, Jeremy Lin, Jameer Nelson, Raymond Felton, Brandon Knight, Greivis Vasquez, Trey Burke, Michael Carter-Williams, Isaiah Thomas and Jarrett Jack Steve Nash is hoping to bounce back from last year’s disastrous cam- paign, while watching the Greivis Vasquez and Isaiah Thomas time- share in Sacramento should be interesting, to say the least. Brandon Knight has a new team and starts in Milwaukee, while rookies Trey Burke and Michael Carter-Williams should challenge for ROY honors with their starting roles. Something tells us Jarrett Jack is go- ing to get a lot of minutes in Cleveland, but he’ll probably play more shooting guard than point guard as long as Irving is healthy. There’s nothing wrong with getting two of these point guards (Nelson, Knight) if you end up going for big men early in your draft. Tier 5 Nate Robinson, Ramon Sessions, J.J. Barea, Luke Ridnour, Mario Chalmers, Andre Miller, Darren Collison, Devin Harris, Patrick Bev- erly, Mo Williams, Dennis Schroder and Avery Bradley You don’t want to have to rely on any of the guys in Tier 5 to start on a nightly basis for your fantasy team, but all of them should offer value this season. And if the guy in front of them gets hurt, they’ll become must-own, must-start players in many instances. Tier 6 Dwight Buycks, E’Twaun Moore, Jerryd Bayless, Brian Roberts, C.J. Watson, Will Bynum, Steve Blake, Jordan Farmar, Kirk Hinrich, Toney Douglas, Patrick Mills, Chauncey Billups, Norris Cole, D.J. Augustin, Kendall Marshall, John Lucas, Reggie Jackson, Archie Goodwin, Shaun Livingston, Eric Maynor, Pablo Prigioni, Nando De Colo, Mar- quis Teague, Garrett Temple, Ray McCallum, Shane Larking, Cory Joseph, Tyshawn Taylor, Aaron Brooks, Earl Watson, Gal Mekel and Beno Udrih Tier 6 has its share of sleepers and older players, and like Tier 5, injuries need to happen for these guys to be worth using in most leagues. Dwight Buycks had a nice summer for Toronto and is a player certainly worth taking a late flier on. By: Steve Alexander Position Tier Rankings can be an invaluable draft tool, helping fantasy owners gauge which positions to target based on the talent left on the board. If you take one thing with you to your draft, make sure it’s our tiers.
  • 79. 79NBA Season Preview 79NBA Season Preview SHOOTING GUARDS Position Tiers Tier 1 James Harden James Harden will look to pick up where he left off last season and is the clear-cut No. 1 option at shooting guard. Once Durant and LeBron are off the board, Harden can be taken anywhere from picks 3-6 and should not disappoint. Tier 2 Monta Ellis, Dwyane Wade, Klay Thompson, Kobe Bryant Monta Ellis will have to compete with Dirk Nowitzki to lead the Mavs in scoring, and we wouldn’t be surprised if he pulls it off. Dwyane Wade and Kobe Bryant both have some injury concerns, while Klay Thompson may lead the league in 3-pointers made this season. If Bryant’s Achilles’ injury happened to a player with any other name than Kobe, there’s no way we’d have him ranked this high. But he appears to be more machine than human being at this point. Tier 3 Eric Bledsoe, O.J. Mayo, Danny Granger, Kevin Martin, Danny Green, Jimmy Butler, Bradley Beal, Gerald Henderson, DeMar DeRozan and Wesley Matthews Eric Bledsoe is at the top of many experts’ sleeper lists and we’re go- ing all in on him by placing him at the top of Tier 3. O.J. Mayo could have a big year in Milwaukee, andDanny Granger will try to make it through a full season on bum knees whilealso dealing with Paul George, which could be tricky. Kevin Martin looks like a breakout candidate in Minnesota, but he could have trouble staying healthy. Danny Green, Jimmy Butler and Brad Beal offer nothing but upside, while Henderson, DeRozan and Matthews are quietly very effective. Tier 4 Courtney Lee, Alec Burks, Arron Afflalo, Joe Johnson, Eric Gordon, J.R. Smith, Dion Waiters, Ben McLemore, Victor Oladipo, Rodney Stuckey, Jamal Crawford, J.J. Redick, Ray Allen, Jeremy Lamb, Randy Foye, C.J. McCollum, Jordan Crawford, Marcus Thornton and Tony Allen Courtney Lee could have a big year for the depleted Celtics, while Alec Burks should be primed for a mini-breakout in Utah. Ar- ron Afflalo should see plenty of shot attempts in Orlando, while Joe Johnson could have a tough time getting enough shots play- ing alongside Deron Williams, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Brook Lopez and Andrei Kirilenko. Most of the Rotoworld crew probably isn’t touching Eric Gordon this season, but if he can somehow stay healthy, he’ll be a steal. Every player in Tier 4 should make valu- able contributions to their real team and will be worth drafting in standard fantasy leagues. Jeremy Lamb looks like s super-sleeper with Kevin Martin now in Minnesota, although Thabo Sefolosha will probably continue to start for OKC. Ben McLemore and Victor Oladipo are two more rookies who will be in the race to win Rookie of the Year. Tier 5 Ken Caldwell-Pope, Iman Shumpert, Lance Stephenson, John Jenkins, Alexey Schved, Martell Webster, Louis Williams, Wayne El- lington, Gary Neal, Terrence Ross, Jason Terry, Manu Ginobili, Marco Belinelli, Austin Rivers, C.J. Miles, Evan Fournier, Will Barton, Jodie Meeks and Ben Gordon Several players in this tier will have big seasons, but figuring out which ones will break through is no easy task. Caldwell-Pope, John Jenkins, Lou Williams and Terrence Ross could all be ranked too low if the stars align, while it’s starting to look like Manu Ginobili’s fantasy stud days are over. After watching him look lost in the Fi- nals, we don’t even feel guilty for putting him this low. Tier 6 Thabo Sefolosha, Jimmer Fredette, Gerald Green, Reggie Williams, Marshon Brooks, Tim Hardaway Jr., Alan Anderson, Jamaal Franklin, Shannon Brown, Mike Miller, Kent Bazemore, Ricky Ledo, Austin Daye, Malcolm Lee, Allen Crabbe and Jason Richardson There’s a lot of young talent and older veterans in Tier 6, and none of them look like must-own players given the issues they might have finding enough minutes to make an impact. Justin Holiday is a guy we’d recommend keeping an eye on as the Sixers have a pretty big hole at shooting guard heading into the season. In case you missed it, Jason Richardson might miss the entire season after left knee surgery.
  • 80. 80 NBA Season Preview80 NBA Season Preview SMALL FORWARDS Position Tiers Tier 1 Kevin Durant and LeBron James Say hello to the No. 1 and 2 picks in your draft. LeBron is certainly tempting to grab No. 1 overall, but based on his history of missing a few games late while Durant is usually still playing, gives Durant the edge. Tier 2 Paul George, Carmelo Anthony, Jeff Green, Nicolas Batum, Rudy Gay, Josh Smith, Kawhi Leonard and Luol Deng Paul George officially broke out last season, and while the return of Danny Granger is a mild concern, George should be good enough to overcome it. Carmelo Anthony should have another monster sea- son, and Jeff Green looks like a true breakout star with Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett in Brooklyn, and you can’t really lose with Nico- las Batum, Rudy Gay and Kawhi Leonard. Josh Smith’s free throw shooting has become a true disaster, so handle with care, and while Luol Deng’s another year older, he’s still an effective option at SF. Tier 3 Andre Iguodala, Tyreke Evans, Tobias Harris, Wilson Chandler, Gor- don Hayward, Evan Turner, Paul Pierce, Chandler Parsons, Carlos Delfino and Harrison Barnes Andre Iguodala should enjoy running in Golden State, but his lack of offense has become a concern and knocked him down a tier over the last few seasons. He still contributes in nearly every category, but beware of his poor free throw shooting. Every player in Tier 3 looks like a relatively safe pick, with Wilson Chandler getting a big opportunity due to Danilo Gallinari’s serious knee injury that could keep him out until the new year. Carlos Delfino could also have a great season as the starter in Milwaukee but has had trouble staying healthy recently. If he plays, he’s going to hit a boatload of 3-point- ers. Tier 4 Gerald Wallace, Andrei Kirilenko, Chase Budinger, Otto Porter, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Shawn Marion, Jared Dudley, Metta World Peace, Vince Carter, Nick Young and Moe Harkless There is a lot of potential for success in Tier 4, as Gerald Wallace will try to bounce back from a disaster in Brooklyn last year. Andrei Kirilenko will try to stay healthy, and Chase Budinger will try his hand at starting in Minnesota. Otto Porter is another ROY candi- date, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will try to find some offense for the Bobcats, while Shawn Marion should be able to spend most of the year at SF for the Mavs. Nick Young could have a big year for the Lakers and is worth a late flier in all leagues. Tier 5 Corey Brewer, John Salmons, Danilo Gallinari, Tayshaun Prince, Alonzo Gee, Mike Dunleavy, Dorell Wright, Matt Barnes, P.J. Tucker, Kyle Korver, Steve Novak, Wes Johnson, Michael Beasley, Khris Middleton, Earl Clark, Jeff Taylor, Jordan Hamilton, DeMarre Carroll, Caron Butler, Francisco Garcia, Kyle Singler, Jae Crowder, Terrence Jones, Al-Farouq Aminu, Trevor Ariza, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Quincy Pondexter Tier 5 is massive and contains a lot of specialists that will be worth owning. Kyle Korver, if he can stay healthy, should hit a ton of threes for Atlanta, while P.J. Tucker could be ready to break out in Phoenix. Steve Novak is another 3-point specialist, and Khris Middleton is a guy to watch, especially the minute Delfino goes down in Milwau- kee. Jae Crowder has a lot of talent for the Mavs but just can’t seem to crack the starting lineup. If he does, he’ll be moving up our list quickly. Tier 6 Shane Battier, Brandon Rush, Ryan Gomes, Solomon Hill, Sergey Karasev, Landry Fields, Victor Claver, Glen Rice Jr., Draymond Green, Rashard Lewis, Omri Casspi, Marvin Williams, Perry Jones III, Reggie Bullock, Gianni Antetokoun, Tony Snell, DeShaun Thomas, Quincy Miller and Shabazz Muhammad There is some talent in Tier 6, but most of these guys should be ignored except in deeper leagues. There’s a chance that Brandon Rush, Donte Greene, Solomon Hill, Sergey Karasev, Landry Fields, Victor Claver, Glen Rice Jr. and Draymond Green could all end up being worth owning, but they would have to break out in camp or the preseason to be worth a pick in standard leagues. photo by Issac Baldizon/Getty Images
  • 81. 81NBA Season Preview 81NBA Season Preview POWER FORWARDS Position Tiers Tier 1 Kevin Love There was a small argument amongst the Rotoworld crew about whether Kevin Love should get his own tier or be joined by guys like LaMarcus Aldridge and Paul Millsap. It was close, especially after Love’s disaster last season before he left for good after re-breaking his shooting hand, which caused him to miss the start of the season. Love shot it terribly when he played, but it’s easy to cut him a break given that he was dealing with a broken shooting hand. Missed games are always a concern for Love, and despite the fact he ruined many fantasy seasons last year, he’s simply too good to be ignored in Round 1. And when he’s healthy and playing like he’s capable of, there are few players who can make a bigger impact in fantasy, as he’s dominant in scoring, 3-pointers, rebounding and shooting percentages. Tier 2 LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap, Dirk Nowitzki, Serge Ibaka, David Lee, Pau Gasol, Tim Duncan, Derrick Favors, Greg Monroe, Blake Grif- fin, Thaddeus Young, Zach Randolph, Amir Johnson and David West Tier 2 is full of studs. Millsap should be uncontested in Atlanta, Derrick Favors doesn’t have to deal with Al Jefferson or Millsap any longer in Utah, Thaddeus Young could be the leading scorer for the tanking Sixers, and Amir Johnson should get all the minutes he can handle with Andrea Bargnani now in New York. Tier 3 Ryan Anderson, Kenneth Faried, Ersan Ilyasova, Carlos Boozer, Andrea Bargnani, Markieff Morris, Carl Landry and Kevin Garnett If Anthony Davis plays a lot of center this season, it should work out well for Anderson, who will once again be among the league leaders in 3-pointers made. His days of being a big rebounder are probably limited in New Orleans, but we look for him to bounce back this season. Kenneth Faried and J.J. Hickson will be fighting each other for minutes, while Ersan Ilyasova, as usual, is a wild card in Mil- waukee. When he’s on, he’s as fun to own as any player in the league. Markieff Morris is looking to break out as the starter in Phoenix. Carlos Boozer doesn’t excite us but is still consistent enough to be a reliable fantasy player. Kevin Garnett comes with some risk due to his ancient knees and the factthe Nets are as deep as any team in the league. Tier 4 Cody Zeller, Anthony Bennett, Luis Scola, Tyler Hansbrough, Jason Thompson, Andrew Nicholson, Glen Davis, J.J. Hickson, Ed Davis and John Henson Cody Zeller and Anthony Bennett are more names in a long line of ROY candidates, Luis Scola will assume a backup role in Indy, and Glen Davis will look to bounce back from last year’s devastating shoulder injury. The Grizzlies got rid of Darrell Arthur to get more minutes for Ed Davis, who along with Andrew Nicholson and John Henson could end up being very valuable late sleeper picks. We absolutely love what Henson does when he gets minutes, but they could be scant as long as Larry Sanders and Ilyasova are playing in front of him. Tier 5 Derrick Williams, Amare Stoudemire, Tristan Thompson, Greg Smith, Nene Hilario, B.J. Mullens, Jared Sullinger and Reggie Evans Derrick Williams appears to be locked in limbo land, Amare Stou- demire is on the verge of being washed up, and Tristan Thompson actually switched shooting hands this offseason. Nene’s injury his- tory makes him a bit of a crapshoot, while Byron Mullens and Jared Sullinger look like the true breakout candidates in this tier, playing for teams where they could see a ton of minutes. But the bottom line is that you want to have your power forwards locked up before your draft gets to Tier 5. Tier 6 Josh McRoberts, Taj Gibson, Brandon Bass, Chris Copeland, Thomas Robinson, Marreese Speights, DeJuan Blair, Donatas Motiejunas, Dante Cunningham, Patrick Patterson, Trevor Booker, Charlie Villanueva, Arnett Moultrie, Jan Vesely, Jonas Jerebko, Boris Diaw, Marcus Morris, Nick Collison, Chris Andersen, Gustavo Ayon, Chris Singleton, Mike Scott, Udonis Haslem, Kenyon Martin, Channing Frye, Jeff Pendergraph, Mirza Teletovic, Jeremy Evans, Tony Mitchell, Royce White and Darrell Arthur There are many players in Tier 6 who could contribute for fantasy owners this season, but none of them appear to be in ideal situa- tions. Chris Copeland, Thomas Robinson, Donatas Motiejunas, Pat- rick Patterson and Arnett Moultrie are all young guys worth keeping a close eye on this preseason if you play in a deeper league.
  • 82. 82 NBA Season Preview82 NBA Season Preview CENTER Position Tiers Tier 1 Marc Gasol and Al Jefferson Marc Gasol is like Old Faithful in that he’s very reliable, and you know what to expect from him each year. Al Jefferson has raised some debate among the staff as Dr. A loves him and doesn’t think he can miss as the man in the middle for the lowly Bobcats, while Aaron Bruski has Jefferson pretty high up on his list of busts. But if he could manage to return late first-round value while dealing with Enes Kanter, Derrick Favors and Paul Millsap last season in Utah, it makes sense that he could really go nuts with only Bismack Bi- yombo, rookie Cody Zeller and Josh McRoberts around to challenge him for minutes in Charlotte. Tier 2 Brook Lopez, Al Horford, DeMarcus Cousins and Roy Hibbert Brook Lopez, Al Horford and Roy Hibbert are also pretty reliable these days, and while DeMarcus Cousins can be a buzzkill to own when he loses his mind, it is starting to feel like the stars are aligning for him to have a monster season. In fact, we might even have him ranked too low. Any of these guys could have been in Tier 1 without many arguments. Tier 3 Dwight Howard, Joakim Noah, Chris Bosh, Anthony Davis, Jonas Valanciunas, Enes Kanter, JaVale McGee, Nikola Pekovic, Larry Sanders, Nikola Vucevic, Andre Drummond, Marcin Gortat and Tyson Chandler You all know the deal with Dwight Howard. If you’re punting free throws and TOs, he’s your guy. If you’re not, he’s poison. His back is healthy, he’s fired up to be in Houston and has a chip on his shoulder the size of his head. In leagues that don’t count FTP or TOs, Howard is always a candidate for the No. 1 overall pick, and in other leagues, especially nine-category Roto leagues, he should generally be avoid- ed. Anthony Davis, Jonas Valanciunas, Enes Kanter, JaVale McGee, Larry Sanders and Andre Drummond are the new young guns at center in the NBA. And all of them should be fun to own this year, although let’s be very clear here -- if you’re scared of Dwight How- ard’s pathetic free throw shooting, you want no part of Drummond. Tier 4 Spencer Hawes, Tiago Splitter, Andrew Bynum, Chris Kaman, Samuel Dalembert, Elton Brand, Andrew Bogut, DeAndre Jordan, Robin Lopez, Meyers Leonard, Kris Humphries, Anderson Varejao and Kelly Olynyk While Hawes could have a surprising impact for the tanking Sixers, there are a ton of concerns in Tier 4. Chris Kaman, Samuel Dalem- bert, Elton Brand, Andrew Bogut, Kris Humphries and Anderson Varejao are all a little shady, whether it is due to failing to live up to the hype in the past, injury concerns or age. And then there’s Andrew Bynum. We’ve got him slated for 48 games this year, and he is clearly a guy you draft at your own risk, as it’s anyone’s guess as to how long his knees will last for the Cavs. Tier 5 Brandan Wright, Jason Smith, Andray Blatche, Kevin Seraphin, Emeka Okafor, Tyler Zeller, Ian Mahinmi and Kosta Koufos You don’t want any Tier 5 guys starting for your fantasy team, so be sure to get a center early in your draft. And if you play in a league where you start two of them, it might be wise to focus on big men early and wait on point guards and the wing positions, which are much deeper positions than center. Tier 6 Omer Asik, Jordan Hill, Jermaine O’Neal, Greg Oden, Zaza Pachulia, Hasheem Thabeet, Ekpe Udoh, Kendrick Perkins, Chuck Hayes, Matt Bonner, Gorgui Dieng, Greg Stiemsma, Aron Baynes, Alex Len, Timofey Mozgov, Aaron Gray, Rudy Gobert, Mason Plumlee, Bernard James, Steven Adams, Nerlens Noel, Joel Anthony, Nazr Mohammed, Bismack Biyombo, Festus Ezeli, Andris Biedrins and Marcus Camby If Tier 5 scares you, Tier 6 is terrifying. Omer Asik was a nice player to own last season, but the arrival of Dwight Howard has canceled those plans. There is chatter about Howard sliding to PF, but we’ll believe it when we see it. Hasheem Thabeet could be interesting since Kendrick Perkins plays like a 50-year-old man, and then there’s Greg Oden. He signed with the Heat and has reportedly looked good in workouts. He hasn’t played in forever, has a total of 82 games under his belt in the NBA and would appear to have almost no chance of making it through half a season. But if he does, the blocks and boards would make him worth owning in any league when all is said and done.
  • 83. 83NBA Season Preview By: Matthew Braine E very year there are always those players who are the bubble, ones who look to make an impact at the perfect time and the 2013-14 campaign will be no different. This season there will be a huge swath of players looking to improve their prospects going forward as contracts come to an end. Following the 2013-14 season, there will be a large group of players and teams facing personnel and financial decisions. Whether it be a FA, player or team option or even a qualifying offer, the list of potential players on the move can be found right here. We’ve broken them down into tiers to better illustrate the impact of the players in limbo. These players are the cream of the crop and are paid as such. As crazy as it is to believe, the MIA trio could actually end after the 2013-14 season as all three stars have player options. However, with the exorbitant amount of money they are all making, only LeBron James could seemingly have the power to opt oUTA in order to get a bigger deal. Two big names that jump off this list are Kobe Bryant and Dirk Nowitzki. Pending Bryant’s recovery, he should be back to at least an All-Star level while Nowitzki can still be the alpha dog of a rebuilding Mavericks squad. Pau Gasol is also an intriguing name in this category. The Spaniard dealt with the injury bug in 2012-13 bUTA could get a nice payday if he bounces back in 2013-14. NBA Elite Tier 1: Many of these players have shown flashes of brilliance while others are looking to make the next big step. Andrew BogUTA is a curious case. When healthy he is one of the best big men in the league, bUTA unfortunately his injury history will likely hinder him in contract negotiations. Kyle Lowry had a resurgence in Toronto and Spencer Hawes has shown a lot of talent since coming to Philly and one more quality season could see both players looking at a solid long-term deal.This category also has a few make or break guys that need to show some- thing or they could be forced to move on. Tristan Thompson and Brandon Knight are prime examples of top draft picks that have yet to break oUTA. All-Star Potential Tier 3 This crop is right on the cusp of greatness bUTA are either not there yet or falling from it. Jennings is a big name on this list. As a high-end point guard in a guard dominated league, he could be looking at a nice payday. However, his lack of a true breakoUTA campaign and average passing ability doesn’t really scream “max player”. Luol Deng is another player who will look to rebound from an injury-plagued 2012-13 campaign. Deng could see his value boost or decline depending on his chemistry with a healthy Derrick Rose. Kawhi Leonard and Damian Lillard may be a bit frustrated by the end of 2014 as they’ll likely be underpaid at that point. The same can be said for both Paul George and John Wall as they asses next year’s qualifying offers. Superstars Tier 2 The fUTAure of these players depends solely on team needs. Many players on this list have played in the D-League or abroad and may not get another contract after the 2013-14 season. Best of the Rest Tier 5 Kobe Bryant - LAL (FA) Pau Gasol - LAL (FA) Dirk Nowitzki - DAL (FA) Kyrie Irving - CLE (TO 2014-15) LeBron James - MIA (PO 2014-15) Dwyane Wade - MIA (PO 2014-15) Chris Bosh - MIA (PO 2014-15) Zach Randolph - MEM (PO 2014-15) Carmelo Anthony - NYK (PO 2014-15) Tim Duncan - SA (PO 2014-15) Andrew Bogut - GS (FA) Gerald Henderson - CHA (FA) Spencer Hawes - PHI (FA) Kyle Lowry - TOR (FA) Bradley Beal - WSH (TO 2014-15) Harrison Barnes - GS (TO 2014-15) Jonas Valanciunas - TOR (TO 2014-15) Tobias Harris - ORL (TO 2014-15) Anthony Davis - NO (TO 2014-15) Iman Shumpert - NYK (TO 2014-15) Brandon Knight - DET (TO 2014-15) Jimmy Butler - CHI (TO 2014-15) Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - CHA (TO 2014-15) Dion Waiters - CLE (TO 2014-15) John Henson - MIL (TO 2014-15) Tristan Thompson - CLE (TO 2014-15) Andre Drummond - DET (PO 2014-15) Andrea Bargnani - TOR (PO 2014-15) Evan Turner - PHI (QO 2014-15) Derrick Favors - UTA (QO 2014-15) Gordon Hayward - UTA (QO 2014-15) Brandon Jennings - MIL (FA) Luol Deng - CHI (FA) Marcin Gortat - PHX (FA) Klay Thompson - GS (TO 2014-15) Kenneth Faried - DEN (TO 2014-15) Kawhi Leonard - SA (TO 2014-15) Ricky Rubio - MIN(TO 2014-15) Damian Lillard - POR (TO 2014-15) Amare Stoudemire - NYK (PO 2014-15) DeMarcus Cousins - SAC (QO 2014-15) Paul George - IND (QO 2014-15) Greivis Vasquez - NO (QO 2014-15) Greg Monroe - DET (QO 2014-15) John Wall - WSH (QO 2014-15) These guys are the bruisers, the shooters, the screen-setters and the rebound- ers. All of them have value and while there is still some potential to reach the next level, many of these players simply are what they are. Quality Role Players Tier 4: Emeka Okafor - WSH (FA) Trevor Ariza - WSH (FA) Thabo Sefolosha - OKC (FA) Boris Diaw - SA (FA) Shannon Brown - PHX (FA) Kris Humphries - BKN (FA) Shawn Marion - DAL (FA) Vince Carter - DAL (FA) Rodney Stuckey - DET (FA) Byron Mullens - CHA (FA) Luke Ridnour - MIN(FA) Kirk Hinrich - CHI (FA) Ben Gordon - CHA (FA) Ramon Sessions - CHA (FA) Caron Butler - LAC (FA) E’Twaun Moore - ORL (FA) C.J.Watson - BKN (FA) Festus Ezeli - GS (TO 2014-15) Derrick Williams - MIN(TO 2014-15) MarShon Brooks - BKN (TO 2014-15) Evan Fournier - DEN (TO 2014-15) Marcus Morris - PHX (TO 2014-15) Markieff Morris - PHX (TO 2014-15) Jimmer Fredette - SAC (TO 2014-15) Patrick Patterson - SAC (TO 2014-15) Enes Kanter - UTA (TO 2014-15) Alec Burks - UTA (TO 2014-15) Bismack Biyombo - CHA (TO 2014-15) Tyler Zeller - CLE (TO 2014-15) Reggie Jackson - OKC (TO 2014-15) Norris Cole - MIA (TO 2014-15) Udonis Haslem - MIA (TO 2014-15) Moe Harkless - ORL (TO 2014-15) Kendall Marshall - PHX (TO 2014-15) Austin Rivers - NO (TO 2014-15) Terrence Ross - TOR (TO 2014-15) Thomas Robinson - HOU (TO 2014-15) Donatas Motiejunas - HOU (TO 2014-15) Linas Kleiza - TOR (PO 2014-15) Mike Miller - MIA (PO 2014-15) Channing Frye - PHX (PO 2014-15) Larry Sanders - MIL (QO 2014-15) Lavoy Allen - PHI (QO 2014-15) Eric Bledsoe - LAC (QO 2014-15) Ed Davis - MEM (QO 2014-15) Brian Roberts - NO (QO 2014-15) PJ Tucker - PHX (QO 2014-15) Trevor Booker - WSH (QO 2014-15) Kevin Seraphin - WSH (QO 2014-15) Richard Jefferson -GS (FA) Brandon Rush - GS (FA) Hasheem Thabeet - OKC (FA) Hamed Haddadi - PHX (FA) Matt Bonner - SA (FA) Jason Smith - NO (FA) Jordan Hill - LAL (FA) Chris Duhon - LAL (FA) Steve Blake - LAL (FA) Kwame Brown - PHI (FA) Omri Casspi - CLE (FA) Wayne Ellington - CLE (FA) CJ Miles - CLE (FA) Jarvis Varnado - MIA (FA) Dante Cunningham - MIN(FA) Greg Stiemsma - MIN(FA) Meyers Leonard - POR (TO 2014-15) Jeremy Lamb - OKC (TO 2014-15) Perry Jones - OKC (TO 2014-15) Jae Crowder - DAL (TO 2014-15) Jared Cunningham - DAL (TO 2014-15) Royce White - HOU (TO 2014-15) Terrence Jones - HOU (TO 2014-15) Fab Melo - BOS (TO 2014-15) Jared Sullinger - BOS (TO 2014-15) Marquis Teague - CHI (TO 2014-15) Miles Plumlee - IND (TO 2014-15) Chris Singleton - WSH (TO 2014-15) Jan Vesely - WSH (TO 2014-15) Cory Joseph - SA (TO 2014-15) Jordan Hamilton - DEN (TO 2014-15) Joel Anthony - MIA (PO 2014-15) Darrell Arthur - DEN (PO 2014-15) Jonas Jerebko - DET (PO 2014-15) Vyacheslav Kravtsov - DET (PO 2014-15) Tony Wroten - MEM (QO 2014-15) Quincy Pondexter - MEM (QO 2014-15) Ekpe Udoh - MIL (QO 2014-15) Jeff Taylor - CHA (QO 2014-15) Mike Scott - ATL (QO 2014-15) Kevin Murphy - UTA (QO 2014-15) Tornike Shengelia - BKN (QO 2014-15) Tyshawn Taylor - BKN (QO 2014-15) Darius Miller - NO (QO 2014-15) Lance Thomas - NO (QO 2014-15) Kim English - DET (QO 2014-15) Nando De Colo - SA (QO 2014-15) Malcolm Lee - MIN(QO 2014-15) Kent Bazemore - GS (QO 2014-15)
  • 84. 84 NBA Season Preview Steven Adams - Oklahoma City Thunder - C Age: 20 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Adams averaged 7.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.0 blocks per game for Pittsburgh last season, and was taken with the 12th pick in thedraft by the Thunder, who needed help at center. What’s Changed: He’ll compete with Kendrick Perkins, Hasheem Thabeet and Daniel Orton for minutes as a rookie, but isn’t projected to start. Outlook: If he does end up winning the starting job, he’ll be worth a late flier, but don’t expect it to happen this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ OKC 60 100 187 .53 0 27 60 .45 3.8 3.9 0.3 0.32 0.70 1.00 Arron Afflalo - Orlando Magic - SG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 215 A2012-2013: In his first season with Orlando, Afflalo found himself surrounded by young players on a rebuilding team that went on to finish last in the Southeast division with a 20-62 record. The pile of defeats didn’t hurt Afflalo’s fantasy value, however, as he racked up career-highs of 16.5 points, 3.7 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 0.6 steals in 36 minutes per game. What’s Changed: First and foremost, the Magic selected guard Victor Oladipo with the No. 2 pick in the draft. They intend to give him some PG minutes, to develop his skills and determine if he could handle the position in the NBA, but he remains a clear and present threat to Afflalo’s playing time. Outlook: Afflalo has been fairly durable throughout his six-year career, but he missed 18 games last season due to a calf injury and a slight hamstring tear which ended his season in March. The hamstring injury didn’t require surgery and he should be 100 percent for training camp. His career-high numbers from last season are likely a stretch with Oladipo nipping at his heels off the bench, and we can’t recommend drafting him before the final rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 69 312 627 .50 105 138 163 .85 12.6 3.6 2.4 0.49 1.03 0.45 2011-2012 DEN 62 329 699 .47 88 197 247 .80 15.2 3.2 2.4 0.58 1.37 0.21 2012-2013 ORL 64 397 905 .44 72 191 223 .86 16.5 3.7 3.2 0.63 2.16 0.17 PROJ ORL 69 377 856 .44 83 204 247 .83 15.1 3.8 3.3 0.65 2.30 0.20 LaMarcus Aldridge - Portland Trail Blazers - PF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Aldridge finished the season as the highest-scoring power forward in the NBA with 21.2 points per game to go with a career-high 9.1 boards. He also tied his career high with 1.2 blocks per game, but had a career-low 48.4 percent from the field. Although, Aldridge started the year slowly, shooting just 44.2 percent in November due to shooting a whopping 9.7 shots per game from 16-23 feet in that span. He missed just eight games all season while leading all power forwards and centers at 37.7 minutes per game. LMA finished the season ranked as the 14th-best player in fantasy hoops. What’s Changed: The Blazers had no depth up front and their lack of depth forced LMA to play more minutes per game than any other power forward or center. The added depth shouldn’t drop him more than a minute or two per game, though. Outlook: He has been hurt to end the year for two seasons in a row, but Aldridge is a monster in all the big-man categories except blocks. He’s a fairly safe pick in the second round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 81 707 1415 .50 4 351 444 .79 21.8 8.8 2.1 1.01 1.89 1.16 2011-2012 POR 55 483 943 .51 2 223 274 .81 21.7 8.0 2.4 0.93 2.02 0.82 2012-2013 POR 74 638 1318 .48 2 282 348 .81 21.1 9.1 2.6 0.84 1.93 1.23 PROJ POR 77 668 1354 .49 0 313 385 .81 21.4 9.3 2.5 0.88 1.99 1.19 Ray Allen - Miami Heat - SG Age: 38 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Father Time caught up to Jesus Shuttlesworth in his first season with the Heat. He hovered at the bottom of the late rounds for most of the season, displaying the type of consistency one expects from a 3-point specialist coming off the bench, but by playing in 79 games he eked his way into top-100 value. What’s Changed: Mike Miller departed but Erik Spoelstra may find it increasingly difficult to give Allen the 26 minutes per game he played last season. Allen’s defense is at a league-bottom level, his offensive numbers fell across the board, and it appeared at times like he lost confidence in his shot. Outlook: Allen will still give owners 3-point shooting but his efficiency is slipping, his playing time is waning, and he’ll be a candidate for rest down the stretch. He may still hold borderline standard league value, but with less upside than ever he profiles as a guy who should be drafted in 14-16 team formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 80 480 978 .49 168 193 219 .88 16.5 3.4 2.7 0.96 1.46 0.20 2011-2012 BOS 46 226 493 .46 106 97 106 .92 14.2 3.1 2.4 1.07 1.48 0.17 2012-2013 MIA 79 292 651 .45 139 140 158 .89 10.9 2.7 1.7 0.85 1.30 0.19 PROJ MIA 80 309 685 .45 152 157 176 .89 11.6 2.7 1.9 0.91 1.50 0.19 Tony Allen - Memphis Grizzlies - SG Age: 31 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 213 2012-2013: Allen lost some of his trademark shooting efficiency, dropping 2.4 percent from the field (44.5) and 8.3 percent from the line (71.7). He also stole the ball less (1.8 to 1.5 per game) in the same amount of minutes per game (26.7), and he was only worth using in standard leagues from January to March. What’s Changed: The Grizzlies got a few nice games out of Quincy Pondexter in the playoffs and they added Mike Miller to the wing group. Rookie SF Jamaal Franklin fell all the way to No. 41 in the draft, but he’s an intriguing prospect built similarly to Allen. Lionel Hollins is out as coach and assistant Dave Joerger is in, representing a change inphilosophy favoring analytics. Outlook: Allen was re-signed to a four-year, $20 million deal and he should stay around 26 minutes per game. He should revert to his career averages shooting the ball, and if anything Joerger’s stated desire to play faster will encourage Allen to go for more steals. He had late-round value on the year, missing only three games, and owners in standard leagues looking for a safe, low-end play could do worse. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 72 251 492 .51 4 137 182 .75 8.9 2.7 1.4 1.79 1.19 0.61 2011-2012 MEM 58 210 448 .47 8 140 175 .80 9.8 4.0 1.4 1.79 1.62 0.57 2012-2013 MEM 79 284 638 .45 3 134 187 .72 8.9 4.6 1.2 1.51 1.19 0.56 PROJ MEM 80 322 710 .45 8 164 216 .76 10.2 4.7 1.4 1.59 1.40 0.61 Al-Farouq Aminu - New Orleans Pelicans - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: It was a topsy-turvy season for Aminu, who started 71 games at SF despite inconsistent play which frustrated coach Monty Williams and led to a handful of benchings. He averaged 7.3 points, 7.7 boards, 1.3 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocks per game, giving him fringe appeal in deeper leagues. What’s Changed: The Pelicans gave Aminu a one-year deal worth $3.7 million this summer, and there’s a reasonable chance that he’ll start at SF with Tyreke Evans coming off the bench. Outlook: It’s impossible to overlook Aminu’s shaky jumper. He made 56.3 percent of his shots within eight feet of the rim, but beyond that he shot 45-of-140 from the field (32.1 percent). He didn’t give fantasy owners many points (7.3) or assists (1.4), but he had enough rebounds (7.7) steals (1.2) and blocks (0.7) to offer sporadic late-round value. With Tyreke Evans now nipping at his heels, we’re not expecting more from Aminu this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 81 160 406 .39 45 92 119 .77 5.6 3.3 0.7 0.73 1.27 0.31 2011-2012 NO 66 150 365 .41 13 86 114 .75 6.0 4.7 1.0 0.89 1.38 0.52 2012-2013 NO 76 225 474 .47 4 101 137 .74 7.3 7.7 1.4 1.21 1.53 0.67 PROJ NO 78 198 455 .44 8 87 117 .74 6.3 4.5 1.1 0.94 1.29 0.50 Chris Andersen - Miami Heat - PF Age: 35 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: The Heat actually passed up on Andersen for Josh Harrelson during the middle of the season, but eventually inked him to a pair of 10-day contracts before taking him on for the rest of the year. It was perhaps their best decision of the year, as the Birdman cawed throughout the playoffs and was a key piece of their championship run. What’s Changed: Andersen signed a one-year deal with a player option for $1.7 million, a reflection of his bad knees and potential off-court issues. On the court he has been a good soldier and it would be a mistake if the Heat didn’t use him as much as his body can handle. Outlook: Andersen snuck his way into borderline late-round value in March and April in just 15-19 minutes per game, scoring 6.0 points on 62.6 percent shooting with 4.5 rebounds, 1.3 blocks and 0.7 turnovers per game. Health will be an issue, but a jump into the 25-minute range isn’t out of the question, making him worth consideration late in 14-18 team formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 45 82 137 .60 0 86 135 .64 5.6 4.9 0.4 0.51 0.56 1.29 2011-2012 DEN 32 59 108 .55 0 50 82 .61 5.3 4.6 0.2 0.59 0.53 1.44 2012-2013 MIA 42 71 123 .58 2 63 93 .68 4.9 4.1 0.4 0.38 0.57 1.05 PROJ MIA 74 144 254 .57 0 118 178 .66 5.5 4.3 0.3 0.50 0.59 1.20 James Anderson - Philadelphia 76ers - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 215 2012-13: Anderson barely made a blip on the radar screen in San Antonio and Houston, but there also wasn’t really anywhere for him to play. What’s Changed: He was scooped up by the Sixers after being waived by the Rockets. The Sixers may not have Jason Richardson for the entire season (knee surgery), but also cut Justin Holiday in mid-August, making them dangerously thin at SG. Outlook: Anderson and Evan Turner, as of press time, are the only players resembling shooting guards in Philly. And with Turner also able to play point guard and small forward, it’s quite possible that Anderson could emerge as a deep sleeper. Don’t expect any miracles, but also don’t be surprised if he’s worth picking up this season, or a late draft pick in some deeper leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 26 31 81 .38 18 14 18 .78 3.6 0.9 0.7 0.12 0.50 0.23 2011-2012 SA 51 66 174 .38 19 39 52 .75 3.7 1.5 0.8 0.16 0.59 0.04 2012-2013 HOU 39 52 126 .41 21 24 28 .86 3.8 1.8 1.1 0.38 0.64 0.13 PROJ PHI 70 218 577 .38 49 88 119 .74 8.2 2.2 2.3 0.50 1.30 0.30 Ryan Anderson - New Orleans Pelicans - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Anderson’s numbers in 22 starts for the Hornets were markedly higher than in 59 games off the bench, but overall his stats were very similar to his 2011-12 campaign with the Magic. The core of his fantasy value was 16.2 points, 2.6 threes, 6.4 rebounds and 84.4 percent from the FT line, and he finished with top-40 value in nine-cat roto leagues. What’s Changed: The Pelicans added Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans this summer, and Eric Gordon might be healthy. Anderson is also dealing with the tragic death of his girlfriend, who hanged herself in his bathroom in August. Outlook: His 2.6 threes per game were second-best in the NBA, behind only Stephen Curry (3.5). Owners seeking elite 3-point shooting should look no further, though his PLAYER PROFILES
  • 85. 85NBA Season Preview lack of assists (1.2), steals (0.5) and blocks (0.4) make him better suited to the early- middle rounds. Keep an eye on him in the preseason to see how he’s doing mentally after August’s horrific tragedy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 64 226 525 .43 134 95 117 .81 10.6 5.5 0.8 0.47 0.77 0.59 2011-2012 ORL 61 332 757 .44 166 150 171 .88 16.1 7.7 0.9 0.82 0.93 0.43 2012-2013 NO 81 472 1115 .42 213 152 180 .84 16.2 6.4 1.2 0.52 1.20 0.38 PROJ NO 80 462 1072 .43 216 164 192 .85 16.3 6.5 1.1 0.60 1.09 0.40 Giannis Antetokounmpo - Milwaukee Bucks - SF Age: 18 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Antetokounmpo played overseas for Greece last season, then signed a four-year contract in Spain (with an easy, affordable buyout) before declaring for the NBA draft. What’s Changed: The Bucks drafted Giannis No. 15 overall, with the expectation that he’ll blossom as an NBA player in ‘two to three years,’ according to Bucks personnel director Dave Babcock. He signed his rookie contract in July, confirming that his buyout in Spain wasn’t complicated. Outlook: The Bucks decided to bring their rookie SF to the NBA this season, but that doesn’t mean that he’ll be part of the rotation. He could wind up in the D-League for a while, and either way he’ll be limited to spot minutes behind Carlos Delfino and Khris Middleton. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ MLW 55 95 196 .48 61 47 66 .71 5.4 3.4 0.9 0.51 1.00 0.75 Carmelo Anthony - New York Knicks - SF Age: 29 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Carmelo Anthony led the league in scoring at 28.7 points per game, making 44.9 percent FGs and 83.0 percent FT shooting with a career-high 2.3 three- pointers. The only negative was Melo’s 15 missed games due to a variety of injuries, including a lacerated finger, a sprained left ankle and a troublesome right knee which was eventually drained. What’s Changed: None of Melo’s regular-season injuries were very serious, but in mid-April he suffered a “left shoulder contusion” which bothered him in the playoffs and wound up being diagnosed as a small tear in his labrum. Fortunately, the injury was expected to heal fully without surgery. Outlook: Melo’s offensive efficiency in 2012-13 came despite a career-high usage rate, with 35.6 percent of New York’s plays ended by his hands. The addition of Metta World Peace and Andrea Bargnani shouldn’t worry fantasy owners, who can confidently target Melo with a top-12 pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NY 77 684 1503 .46 95 507 605 .84 25.6 7.3 2.9 0.88 2.68 0.60 2011-2012 NY 55 441 1025 .43 68 295 367 .80 22.6 6.3 3.6 1.13 2.62 0.44 2012-2013 NY 67 669 1489 .45 157 425 512 .83 28.7 6.9 2.6 0.78 2.61 0.48 PROJ NY 74 725 1651 .44 155 452 549 .82 27.8 6.7 2.7 0.91 2.72 0.51 Joel Anthony - Miami Heat - C Age: 31 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Anthony averaged just nine minutes per game in 62 contests and didn’t do much but block 0.7 shots per game. He had one playoff game in which he played 28 minutes, but otherwise he barely cracked the rotation. What’s Changed: Chris Andersen emerged as the team’s best center option when they’re not playing a small lineup, and otherwise the same crew of Chris Bosh and Udonis Haslem is in play. The Heat were thinking about amnestying Anthony, but chose to cut ties with Mike Miller instead. Greg Oden was added as a developmental project. Outlook: Unless you’re in a bizarro ‘worst stats wins’ league, thereis no reason to consider Anthony in any format. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 75 53 99 .54 0 47 73 .64 2.0 3.5 0.3 0.13 0.48 1.24 2011-2012 MIA 64 85 152 .56 0 49 71 .69 3.4 3.9 0.1 0.56 0.70 1.31 2012-2013 MIA 62 35 68 .51 0 17 28 .61 1.4 1.9 0.2 0.21 0.35 0.68 PROJ MIA 70 90 171 .53 0 31 49 .63 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.31 0.50 0.90 Trevor Ariza - Washington Wizards - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Knee and ankle injuries limited Ariza to just 56 games last year, and he’s missed an average of 17 games in the past four seasons. He shot 41.7 percent from the field but was a career-best 36.4 percent from beyond the arc last season. Interestingly, he averaged 1.4 more points per game off the bench on his way to 13th-round value last season. What’s Changed: Ariza had a $7.7 million option with the team and it was a no- brainer pickup for the UCLA product. He was unproductive as a starter last year, however, which should put the kibosh on his odds of starting this season. He will provide some depth behind Otto Porter and Bradley Beal. Outlook: He needs some injured teammates to match his 26.3 minutes per game from last year. If you can stomach the woeful shooting, Ariza is capable of earning some steals and threes, even with minutes in the low 20s, but he won’t be worth drafting in standard league. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 75 303 762 .40 82 138 197 .70 11.0 5.4 2.2 1.60 1.57 0.41 2011-2012 NO 41 168 403 .42 29 79 102 .77 10.8 5.2 3.3 1.68 1.85 0.61 2012-2013 WAS 56 188 451 .42 76 78 95 .82 9.5 4.8 2.0 1.29 1.50 0.36 PROJ WAS 70 198 480 .41 84 102 133 .77 8.3 4.1 1.7 1.00 1.30 0.44 Darrell Arthur - Denver Nuggets - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Arthur played in 59 games for the Grizzlies, mainly as a backup, and was shipped to the Nuggets in order to clear up some more minutes for Ed Davis in Memphis. He averaged just 6.1 points and 2.9 boards, and appears to be nothing more than a career role player. What’s Changed: Arthur was shipped out of Memphis in order to free up time for Davis. He’ll play for a rookie coach in Brian Shaw, and back up studs like Kenneth Faried and J.J. Hickson in Denver. Outlook: Nothing to see here, fantasy-wise. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-0 MEM 80 310 624 .50 0 109 134 .81 9.1 4.3 0.7 0.65 1.10 0.79 2012-2013 MEM 59 162 359 .45 5 33 46 .72 6.1 2.9 0.6 0.41 0.73 0.56 PROJ DEN 68 154 330 .47 2 46 61 .75 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.60 0.40 0.50 Omer Asik - Houston Rockets - C Age: 27 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Asik started for the Rockets, averaging 30 minutes, 10.1 points and 11.7 boards per game while improving his foul shooting from 45 to 56 percent. Straight-up he was a top 90-110 player whose rating was boosted by playing all 82 games. And without free throws, he was a Top 50 player. What’s Changed: Daryl Morey went all out and nabbed Dwight Howard, who looks like the starting center, meaning bad news for Asik. However, there is also talk about Howard playing PF and Asik starting at center, so watch the Rockets closely in training camp. Outlook: Asik’s offensive game is still his weak point, but he took steps forward last season and it’s likely he’ll take more steps forward this season. The Judge Reinhold doppelganger will lose a handful of minutes and owners should chop a round or two off last year’s valuations, or better yet wait a few more rounds where he’ll likely be available after getting demoted. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 82 78 141 .55 0 73 145 .50 2.8 3.7 0.4 0.24 0.78 0.68 2011-2012 CHI 66 79 156 .51 0 47 103 .46 3.1 5.3 0.5 0.45 1.03 1.03 2012-2013 HOU 82 332 614 .54 0 168 299 .56 10.1 11.7 0.9 0.56 2.11 1.06 PROJ HOU 82 191 355 .54 0 76 139 .55 5.6 4.7 0.5 0.40 0.80 1.00 D.J. Augustin - Toronto Raptors - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 183 2012-2013: It wasn’t a banner year for Augustin, and Bobcats fans might still be wondering why their team took him over Brook Lopez in the 2008 draft. Speaking of terrible choices, DJA shot a career-low 35.0 percent from the field with the Pacers last year, and his 4.7 points, 2.2 assists, 0.4 steals weren’t very good either. Amusingly, he has exactly four blocks in 2,945 minutes over the past two seasons (Larry Sanders had four blocks in just seven seconds on November 30). What’s Changed: He moves to another backup role in Toronto, and this time he has some competition,he might have to beat out newly-discovered Dwight Buycks to become number two on the depth chart. Outlook: There isn’t much to like about Augustin’s fantasy value these days. His numbers have fallen off, he can’t find teammates like he used to in his Charlotte days, and he’s become more of a specialized shooter with a tough-to-define role. If Kyle Lowry does miss time, the best-case scenario for DJA is probably a timeshare with Buycks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHA 82 399 958 .42 111 269 297 .91 14.4 2.7 6.1 0.66 1.89 0.04 2011-2012 CHA 48 183 487 .38 61 105 120 .88 11.1 2.3 6.4 0.75 2.29 0.02 2012-2013 IND 76 103 294 .35 67 83 99 .84 4.7 1.2 2.2 0.46 0.89 0.04 PROJ TOR 78 134 339 .40 86 106 125 .85 5.9 1.8 3.3 0.71 1.00 0.05 J.J. Barea - Minnesota Timberwolves - PG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: The good news is that J.J. Barea was relatively healthy in 2012-13 after missing 41 games in his first year with Minnesota. He did suffer a last-season spate of injuries (foot, quad, back) but wound up with season averages of 11.3 points, 1.3 triples, 2.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 0.4 steals in 74 appearances. What’s Changed: Barea will earn $9.2 million over the next two seasons, guaranteed, and he should reprise his role as a backup combo guard behind Ricky Rubio. Rubio is a considerable injury risk, which could thrust Barea into a bigger role at some point, but remember that he’ll also be contending with second-year guard Alexey Shved. Outlook: Barea hasn’t cracked 42 percent shooting in either season with the Wolves and his playing time actually dipped to 23 minutes per game in 2012- 13. He should be avoided in fantasy leagues unless you are desperate for 3-pointers and assists. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 81 285 649 .44 66 133 157 .85 9.5 2.0 3.9 0.37 1.68 0.01 2011-2012 MIN 41 167 418 .40 53 76 98 .78 11.3 2.8 5.7 0.51 2.51 0.00 2012-2013 MIN 74 316 758 .42 97 105 134 .78 11.3 2.8 4.0 0.43 1.96 0.00 PROJ MIN 75 341 802 .43 98 113 143 .79 11.9 2.9 4.2 0.51 2.31 0.05 Andrea Bargnani - New York Knicks - PF Age: 28 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Bargnani has played in just 66, 31 and 35 games over his last three seasons, seeing last year’s campaign coming to an early end with an avulsion sprain in his right elbow. His scoring really fell off, along with his shooting, and he had the worst year of his NBA career. His rebounds are almost nonexistent for a big man. What’s Changed: He was traded to the Knicks and should come into camp healthy. Both of those things should really help re-start his career, but how long he’ll stay healthy is anyone’s guess. Look for Amare Stoudemire and his ancient knees to come off the bench, meaning Bargs should be in the starting lineup opening night. Outlook: He’ll still have to compete with Metta World Peace, Stoudemire and Kenyon Martin for minutes, but could have a bounce-back season in New York. But we have him penciled in for just 64 games, which means there is a quite a bit of risk (with potential upside) in drafting him. He could end up being a very valuable sleeper if he can somehow stay healthy for the Knicks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 66 525 1173 .45 77 287 350 .82 21.4 5.2 1.8 0.52 2.30 0.70 2011-2012 TOR 31 209 484 .43 34 151 173 .87 19.5 5.5 2.0 0.58 2.23 0.48 2012-2013 TOR 35 170 426 .40 38 65 77 .84 12.7 3.7 1.1 0.60 1.54 0.66 PROJ NY 64 390 909 .43 77 187 218 .86 16.3 4.4 1.7 0.55 1.91 0.80
  • 86. 86 NBA Season Preview Matt Barnes - Los Angeles Clippers - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 226 2012-2013: Barnes had a nice year for the Clippers and was helpful to fantasy owners for much of the season, averaging 10.3 points, 1.4 3-pointers, a steal and 4.6 rebounds per game. What’s Changed: Jared Dudley and J.J. Redick were signed by the Clippers, and Jamal Crawford is still around, which could hurt Barnes this season. Barnes also re-signed with the team and should see plenty of minutes off the bench. Outlook: He will probably be worth grabbing at some point this season, but we can’t think of too many reasons to grab him on draft night, as the pieces the Clippers added don’t work in his favor. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 53 131 279 .47 34 60 77 .78 6.7 4.3 1.3 0.74 1.09 0.42 2011-2012 LAK 63 175 387 .45 46 95 128 .74 7.8 5.5 2.0 0.56 1.16 0.76 2012-2013 LAC 80 312 675 .46 111 87 117 .74 10.3 4.6 1.5 1.03 1.13 0.79 PROJ LAC 80 308 661 .47 97 96 127 .76 10.1 3.8 1.5 0.86 1.19 0.80 Harrison Barnes - Golden State Warriors - SF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Barnes rarely flashed his potential during the regular season, but the playoffs were a different story. David Lee’s injury propelled him to 38.4 mpg and he averaged 15 points, 6.5 boards and 1.6 threes while doubling his field goal attempts. Inadvertently, Lee’s bad fortune made the Warriors a better team in the playoffs as they used Barnes at power forward in a dynamic small lineup. What’s Changed: Andre Iguodala was signed and Jarrett Jack went off to Cleveland, handing the sixth-man role to Barnes. His strong play continued into Team USA games this summer, and a move to the Warriors’ bench could give him freedom to attack lesser defenders. He’s a coin flip to surpass 30 mpg this season. Outlook: Barnes’ best month last year was January, when he flirted with late round value on the strength of 45 percent FGs, nine points, five boards and a triple per game. He has plenty of room to improve and is certainly a late-round pick, if not quite top-100. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 GS 81 276 628 .44 52 144 190 .76 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.64 1.25 0.17 PROJ GS 82 405 915 .44 57 158 205 .77 12.5 5.1 1.5 0.76 1.40 0.26 Brandon Bass - Boston Celtics - PF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Bass played in 81 games and made 69 starts, but managed to average just 8.7 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, barely making him worth owning in most fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: Kevin Garnett is now in Brooklyn, but Bass will still have to compete with Jared Sullinger, Kris Humphries and Fab Melo for minutes at power forward, although we do have him penciled in as the starting PF for new coach Brad Stevens. Outlook: Bass has had the starting job in Boston before, and while he could win it again this season, there is just too much competition for minutes at PF in Boston for us to tell you to invest much in Bass. In fact, all Boston power forwards should probably be avoided on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 76 332 645 .51 0 190 233 .82 11.2 5.6 0.8 0.36 1.28 0.68 2011-2012 BOS 59 303 632 .48 0 132 163 .81 12.5 6.2 0.9 0.58 1.10 0.92 2012-2013 BOS 81 286 589 .49 0 129 150 .86 8.7 5.2 1.0 0.54 0.99 0.79 PROJ BOS 80 253 500 .51 0 149 176 .85 8.2 4.7 1.0 0.45 0.99 0.84 Shane Battier - Miami Heat - SF Age: 35 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Battier averaged 25 mpg in his typical 3-point shooting role off Miami’s bench. He missed 10 games while sporadically averaging late-round value, which made him better suited for deep formats. He disappeared in the playoffs, making 29 percent of his field goals, and only five of his 93 attempts were of the two-point variety. What’s Changed: Mike Miller was amnestied, so Battier has some shoes to fill (or one shoe if you go back to Miller’s crazy triple in Game 6 of the Finals). Only Ray Allen figures to compete with Battier for reserve minutes, and 25 minutes per game seems reachable. Outlook: Battier shot 42.0 percent from the field during the regular season, based largely on his blistering 43 percent shooting from downtown. He was still streaky and hard to use in standard formats, but he pulled in top 140-160 value and should do so again, depending on his health and playing time. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 82 229 509 .45 102 64 93 .69 7.6 4.5 2.3 0.84 0.96 0.99 2011-2012 MIA 65 113 292 .39 62 23 37 .62 4.8 2.4 1.3 0.98 0.57 0.51 2012-2013 MIA 72 152 362 .42 136 32 38 .84 6.6 2.3 1.0 0.57 0.47 0.76 PROJ MIA 75 155 356 .44 121 35 45 .78 6.2 2.2 1.1 0.51 0.60 0.65 Nicolas Batum - Portland Trail Blazers - SF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Batum had a unique season for the Blazers. He was the only player to average at least 2.0 triples, 1.0 blocks and 1.0 steals on the year, while adding career highs with 14.3 points, 5.6 boards, 4.9 assists and 84.8 percent FT shooting. He made only 42.3 percent of his FGs, but his average was pulled down by a right wrist injury that hampered him in March. He finished with second-round value in standard leagues. What’s Changed: The wrist injury should be a fluke and Batum’s minutes should be safe regardless of the added depth. He’s theteam’s best defender and he’s just too valuable to take off the floor. Outlook: Batum was putting up first-round stats before injuries got the best of him. He might come at a discount and would be a steal in middle of the second round, but you’ll likely have to grab him around the turn of the first and second rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 80 367 807 .45 118 138 164 .84 12.4 4.5 1.5 0.85 1.04 0.61 2011-2012 POR 59 289 641 .45 107 133 159 .84 13.9 4.6 1.4 0.97 1.53 1.02 2012-2013 POR 73 352 833 .42 165 178 210 .85 14.3 5.6 4.9 1.25 2.60 1.14 PROJ POR 76 421 942 .45 175 192 228 .84 15.9 5.8 5.2 1.30 2.50 1.20 Jerryd Bayless - Memphis Grizzlies - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Bayless shot 30 percent from the field in December, but he was pretty consistent as a swing backup guard the rest of the season. Once Rudy Gay was traded the Grizzlies relied on him as their sixth man and his minutes crept up to 25-27 per game in March and April. He was only worth owning in standard leagues during March, but overall he provided low-end value in 16-20 team leagues. What’s Changed: The Grizzlies signed Summer League standout Josh Akognon, rookie Franklin Jamaal has some potential and both Quincy Pondexter and Tayshaun Prince are back. At shooting guard, where the Grizzlies primarily envision Bayless playing, Tony Allen re-signed and Mike Miller was acquired via free agency. Outlook: The only way Bayless can provide value in deep leagues is by winning backup minutes at both point PG and SG. The PG minutes seem achievable but he’ll have to bump Pondexter from the rotation to get any SG minutes. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 71 218 517 .42 49 166 206 .81 9.2 2.3 3.7 0.54 1.79 0.07 2011-2012 TOR 31 117 276 .42 44 75 88 .85 11.4 2.1 3.8 0.77 1.71 0.13 2012-2013 MEM 80 260 621 .42 71 102 122 .84 8.7 2.2 3.3 0.74 1.50 0.21 PROJ MEM 75 240 570 .42 83 119 143 .83 9.1 2.3 3.9 0.80 1.80 0.20 Kent Bazemore - Golden State Warriors - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Bazemore’s claim to fame last year was his overactive cheerleading from the bench, and averaging four minutes per game there wasn’t much for us to assess. What’s Changed: Relatively speaking, a lot. Bazemore was in the running for Summer League MVP and he led the Warriors to the inaugural title in Vegas. The team is trying to develop him as a point guard and he’s legitimately in the discussion to backup Stephen Curry. Toney Douglas is his competition for the job. Outlook: With good athleticism and solid improvement he’s an interesting player in massive formats, but like Douglas he needs to show separation in the backup position battle before anybody can draft him as a potential beneficiary of a Curry injury. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 GS 61 43 116 .37 10 27 44 .61 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.28 0.30 0.07 PROJ GS 74 157 382 .41 30 48 74 .65 4.9 0.7 0.6 0.49 0.50 0.15 Bradley Beal - Washington Wizards - SG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 207 2012-2013: Beal had a handful of lower-leg injuries last season, limiting him to only 56 games in his rookie campaign. It was too bad that his season ended on April 2 with a broken fibula because he was really coming on strong. He averaged 15.2 points, 5.0 boards, 2.5 assists, 0.5 steals and 2.3 triples per game in 27.7 minutes in March. What’s Changed: The Wizards brought back Martell Webster and also spent their third pick in the draft to select Otto Porter, so there’s decent depth. Beal’s minutes should be safe and his 12.8 shots per game after the break seem like a fair expectation. Outlook: The positive shooting percentages and 3-point point production make Beal someone that could be a sneaky pick. He might slide a bit due to missing so many games, so don’t be bashful trying to steal him in the second half of your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 WAS 56 282 687 .41 91 125 159 .79 13.9 3.8 2.4 0.89 1.61 0.52 PROJ WAS 77 485 1058 .46 146 178 231 .77 16.8 5.1 2.4 0.90 1.60 0.60 Michael Beasley - Phoenix Suns - SF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Nothing says inconsistency like Michael Beasley. He had three months in which he shot below 40 percent, and four months with less than 19 minutes per game. In true Beasley fashion, he was able to mix in a dozen 20-point games. His end-of- season numbers weren’t pretty,10.1 points, 3.8 boards, 0.5 blocks and 0.6 triples on 40.5 percent shooting in 20.7 minutes per game. What’s Changed: As per usual, Beasley got in trouble with the law this summer and was cited for marijuana possession in August. Jared Dudley’s departure may have cleared extra opportunities at SF, but nobody with a shred of credibility will be mentioning the words ‘sleeper’ and ‘Beasley’ in the same sentence this season. Outlook: The Suns might be tied to Beasley entering the second year of his three- year deal. They’re a bit thin at SF and the loss of Luis Scola opens up some minutes at power forward, but we still wouldn’t advise taking a guy who doesn’t produce many secondary stats and has lackluster shooting numbers. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 73 561 1246 .45 60 219 291 .75 19.2 5.6 2.2 0.74 2.67 0.71 2011-2012 MIN 47 221 497 .44 38 61 95 .64 11.5 4.4 1.0 0.38 1.70 0.40 2012-2013 PHO 75 310 766 .40 45 94 126 .75 10.1 3.8 1.5 0.41 1.92 0.45 PROJ PHO 76 281 670 .42 53 84 114 .74 9.2 3.9 1.3 0.50 1.61 0.45 Marco Belinelli - San Antonio Spurs - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Bello’s numbers at the end of the year weren’t too bad at 9.6 points, 1.9 boards, 2.0 assists, 0.6 steals and 1.1 triples. He was a busy bee in March, playing 38.0 minutes per game, but the minutes affected him negatively, shooting 37.4 percent from the field for 12.3 points on 12.3 shots. Belinelli was clearly outplayed by Jimmy Butler and his minutes dipped all the way to 22.3 in April and 27.1 in the postseason. What’s Changed: The Butler experience basically sent the Italian packing. It doesn’t
  • 87. 87NBA Season Preview get much better as he’ll wind up behind two young studs in Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard on the wing. He and Manu Ginobili should pick up some bench minutes. Outlook: The best way to look at Belinelli is as a Manu insurance policy. The Spurs signed him to just a two-year, $6 million deal, which mitigates the risk and gave them some flexibility to bring on some smaller free agents. There’s not much reason to target Marco late. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 80 302 691 .44 134 98 125 .78 10.5 1.9 1.2 0.48 0.96 0.08 2011-2012 NO 66 286 686 .42 107 101 129 .78 11.8 2.6 1.5 0.73 1.05 0.08 2012-2013 CHI 73 241 610 .40 79 141 168 .84 9.6 1.9 2.0 0.60 1.12 0.08 PROJ SA 77 219 540 .41 91 125 154 .81 8.5 1.8 1.7 0.61 1.10 0.10 Anthony Bennett - Cleveland Cavaliers - PF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Bennett was shockingly the No. 1 pick in the draft despite dealing with shoulder surgery and rumors of weight issues, not to mention the fact the Cavs already have power forwards like Anderson Varejao and Tristan Thompson on the roster. What’s Changed: We originally had him penciled in as the starting small forward, but new coach Mike Brown says he doesn’t want to use him there initially, meaning he could come off the bench behind Thompson at power forward. Either way, there aren’t many reasons to prevent the Cavs from finding a way to give Bennett heavy minutes, regardless of which forward position he plays. Outlook: Bennett can shoot, score and is a great athlete. The Cavs are going to find a way to get him 30 minutes a night and he should be in the mix for Rookie of the Year. Target him as a sleeper in the later middle rounds of your draft and hope that he spends more time at small forward than Brown is suggesting he’ll get this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ CLE 80 305 590 .52 56 167 240 .70 10.4 6.2 0.5 0.40 1.20 0.74 Patrick Beverley - Houston Rockets - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Beverley rated in the top 160-180 range last season on a per-game basis in just 17 mpg, a reflection of how he racks up stats when he’s on the floor. His strong play in the second half culminated in a very good playoff showing, even flirting with a triple-double in Game 2 against the Thunder. What’s Changed: Beverley is going to handle all the backup PG minutes, and there’s some chatter out of Houston that he should start, with Lin coming off the bench as a combo guard. Outlook: Knowing Lin has had a knee issue in the past and was benched offense is , there is some good sleeper potential here. Either way, his low-minute numbers still provide a somewhat serviceable floor in deeper formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 HOU 41 79 189 .42 36 34 41 .83 5.6 2.7 2.9 0.90 1.07 0.51 PROJ HOU 72 236 552 .43 79 90 108 .83 8.9 2.9 3.3 1.19 1.50 0.40 Andris Biedrins - Utah Jazz - C Age: 27 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: While .308 might be a nice batting average in baseball, Biedrins’ 30.8 percent shooting from the charity stripe last year is abysmal. He might be the worst FT shooter in the entire NBA, and even his typically-decent boards and points took a tumble last year. What’s Changed: The Warriors were able to jettison the big man and his expiring deal to the Jazz, who had cap space and acquired some draft picks in the bargain. He could get minutes behind Enes Kanter, but as long as their lottery pick doesn’t fall on his face Biedrins will only see spot minutes. Outlook: If your league counts FT percentage, Biedrins isn’t worth touching with a 1,000-foot pole. He could possibly be a marginal fantasy pickup if Enes Kanter misses time, with an emphasis on “possibly.” YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 59 142 266 .53 0 10 31 .32 5.0 7.2 1.0 0.88 0.97 0.88 2011-2012 GS 47 39 64 .61 0 1 9 .11 1.7 3.7 0.3 0.49 0.30 0.96 2012-2013 GS 53 10 21 .48 0 4 13 .31 0.5 2.9 0.3 0.28 0.26 0.79 PROJ UTA 61 76 140 .54 0 7 18 .39 2.6 3.4 0.3 0.39 0.28 0.90 Chauncey Billups - Detroit Pistons - PG Age: 37 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: After appearing in just 21 and 22 games in the previous two seasons, Billups played in 22 games for the Clippers after finally recovering from a ruptured Achilles. His 8.4 points per game were a low-point in his career, and it’s clear his days as a meaningful NBA player are about over. What’s Changed: He signed with the Pistons where he hopes to play some backup guard at both spots, but is really setting himself up for a front-office job a year from now. Brandon Jennings is now the starter in Detroit, while Will Bynum could be his primary backup, and Rodney Stuckey should start at shooting guard. Outlook: Billups’ career was already in a downward spiral before he blew out his Achilles, and we expect him to be a shadow of his former self this season. Ignore the familiar name and leave him on the draft board this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NY 72 339 794 .43 146 384 419 .92 16.8 2.6 5.4 0.99 2.46 0.19 2011-2012 LAC 20 83 228 .36 48 85 95 .89 15.0 2.5 4.0 0.45 1.90 0.15 2012-2013 LAC 22 53 132 .40 33 45 48 .94 8.4 1.5 2.2 0.55 1.18 0.05 PROJ DET 50 136 324 .42 85 113 125 .90 9.4 1.8 2.5 0.50 1.40 0.10 Bismack Biyombo - Charlotte Bobcats - C Age: 21 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Biyombo had some exciting games and was an adequate rebounder (7.3) and shot blocker (1.8) last season, but averaged just 4.8 points per game in 27 minutes. The concerns about his offense are legit and will likely dog him over his entire career, but he is a strong rebounder and shot blocker. What’s Changed: BB has a new coach in Steve Clifford and a new role off the bench, thanks to the signing of free agent center Al Jefferson. Outlook: The arrival of Jefferson should eliminate a difficult decision for fantasy owners. Instead of having to stress about taking a shot blocker who can’t score, his bench role should make Biyombo pretty useless in most leagues. We can see him having some potential value in deep Roto leagues simply because of the blocks, but unless Jefferson goes down, it’s hard to see Biyombo doing much besides blocking a few shots and grabbing a few boards each night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 CHA 63 129 278 .46 0 69 143 .48 5.2 5.8 0.4 0.32 1.13 1.83 2012-2013 CHA 80 156 346 .45 0 74 142 .52 4.8 7.3 0.4 0.35 1.03 1.79 PROJ CHA 80 124 260 .48 0 80 161 .50 4.1 5.2 0.3 0.31 0.99 1.50 DeJuan Blair - Dallas Mavericks - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: Blair finally turned into a pumpkin for the Spurs last season, averaging 5.4 points and 3.8 boards in 14 minutes per game, before nearly dropping out of the playoff rotation. Despite his underwhelming play he complained about his limited minutes all year long. What’s Changed: Blair changed his Lone Star address and was signed by the Mavericks. Dallas may have swung and missed on Dwight Howard, but they did a nice job of landing rotation-worthy big men like Blair, Brandan Wright and Samuel Dalembert. They also have a few young and intriguing prospects in Bernard James and Jackie Carmichael, too. Outlook: A change of scenery is always a good thing for a guy that wore out his welcome, but the Mavs’ depth makes it hard to even recommend Blair late in drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 81 292 583 .50 0 90 137 .66 8.3 7.0 1.0 1.17 1.40 0.52 2011-2012 SA 64 269 504 .53 0 73 119 .61 9.5 5.5 1.2 0.92 1.44 0.19 2012-2013 SA 61 142 271 .52 0 44 70 .63 5.4 3.8 0.7 0.61 0.80 0.16 PROJ DAL 76 238 450 .53 1 85 137 .62 7.4 4.4 1.1 0.84 1.11 0.46 Steve Blake - Los Angeles Lakers - PG Age: 33 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Blake lost 37 games to a nasty abdominal strain and his backup role upon returning didn’t give him much of a shot at fantasy value. But as teammates got injured he found himself in a 26-minute role in March and a 39-minute role in April, which led to late-round and top-50 value in those months. What’s Changed: The Lakers suddenly find themselves talking about 11-man rotations because of a roster with few proven commodities. Jordan Farmar was brought back from Turkey, and the group of Jodie Meeks, Nick Young and Wes Johnson isn’t necessarily an upgrade over Blake if the team wants to use him at shooting guard. Kobe Bryant’s early season availability (Achilles) will also be a factor in Blake’s playing time. Outlook: Blake’s athleticism is below average now and he’s not the most talented offensive player, but he’s the Lakers’ most consistent guard not named Kobe or Steve Nash. If Nash stays healthy for most of the year, the 26 mpg Blake averaged last season is probably a good projection on the high end of things. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 79 110 306 .36 73 26 30 .87 4.0 2.0 2.2 0.51 0.92 0.04 2011-2012 LAK 53 101 268 .38 53 21 27 .78 5.2 1.6 3.3 0.74 1.36 0.04 2012-2013 LAK 45 114 270 .42 72 27 35 .77 7.3 2.9 3.8 0.76 1.38 0.13 PROJ LAK 75 190 483 .39 113 47 60 .78 7.2 2.8 3.2 0.80 1.40 0.11 Andray Blatche - Brooklyn Nets - C Age: 27 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Blatche played off the bench for most of the season but averaged a respectable 10.3 points, 5.1 rebounds, a steal and 0.7 blocks in just 19 minutes while playing in all 82 games. In eight starts he averaged nearly 18 points, 9.3 boards, 1.8 steals and 0.3 blocks. What’s Changed: Blatche had a fine season for the Nets last season and will back up both Kevin Garnett and Brook Lopez for new coach Jason Kidd. Outlook: As long as Garnett is healthy it should be tough for Blatche to get more than 24 minutes a night. Expect him to match last season’s production and to build on it if KG goes down. Blatche is still young (27) and could become a hot pickup once the season starts if KG’s legs fail him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 64 426 957 .45 4 220 283 .78 16.8 8.2 2.3 1.53 2.69 0.80 2011-2012 WAS 26 93 245 .38 2 33 49 .67 8.5 5.8 1.1 0.77 1.42 0.65 2012-2013 BKN 82 346 676 .51 3 148 216 .69 10.3 5.1 1.0 1.05 1.50 0.66 PROJ BKN 82 287 588 .49 8 131 189 .69 8.7 4.7 0.9 0.80 1.30 0.70 Eric Bledsoe - Phoenix Suns - SG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Bledsoe’s season averages don’t jump out,8.5 points with 3.0 boards, 3.1 assists, 1.4 steals, 0.7 blocks and 0.4 triples on 44.5percent FGs and 79.1 percent FTs. He did that in a mere 20.4 minutes per game, however, and he was a fantasy star in 12 starts sans Chris Paul, averaging a robust 14.2 points, 4.8 boards, 5.3 assists, 2.5 steals, 1.3 blocks and 0.6 triples. His defensive stats are unique, he shot 36.8 percent from downtown, and a whopping 44 percent of his shots came at the rim, as he finished the season with 10th-round value. What’s Changed: The Kentucky product made it clear he’s a starting-caliber guard. The Suns have already said that they’ll play Dragic and Bledsoe together, which shouldn’t be a problem. Bledsoe led all PGs in blocked shots last year with 0.7 per game, which is leaps and bounds above second-place Monta Ellis (0.4). He can guard shooting guards. Outlook: The intrigue of drafting Bledsoe is almost too much. He is an eight-category player without much of an injury history, so you’re going to have to spend a pretty penny in the third or fourth round to own him, but we don’t see a problem with that at all.
  • 88. 88 NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 81 206 486 .42 32 99 133 .74 6.7 2.8 3.6 1.14 2.40 0.32 2011-2012 LAC 40 49 126 .39 6 28 44 .64 3.3 1.6 1.7 0.78 1.18 0.35 2012-2013 LAC 76 253 568 .45 31 106 134 .79 8.5 3.0 3.1 1.43 1.80 0.72 PROJ PHO 80 459 1048 .44 72 197 256 .77 14.8 4.1 4.1 1.80 2.30 0.86 Andrew Bogut - Golden State Warriors - C Age: 28 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Bogut’s season was predictably beset by injury as he played just 32 games while averaging 24.6 minutes per contest. He disappeared in the offense but his numbers otherwise held to prior form, and he spent much of the year tugging his shorts while appearing extremely out of shape due to his ongoing ankle issues. Still, he provided late-round value when on the floor based on the strength of 1.7 blocks and 7.7 boards per game. What’s Changed: Bogut’s feelings got hurt when the Warriors tried to wiggle into the Dwight Howard hunt, and the team added a lot of frontcourt depth, but his role is pretty much the same. He’ll give the Warriors as many minutes as his broken body can handle, and if he can miraculously turn a corner there’s some sneaky upside if GSW lets him loose. Outlook: As a valuable expiring contract there is good incentive for the Warriors to showcase him with starter’s minutes in the first half of the season, but don’t be surprised if they keep him between 24-30 mpg while using Jermaine O’Neal and their new crop of big men to save him for the playoffs. With mid-round upside if absolutely everything breaks right, we wouldn’t break our backs to draft him, but there will be few big men available late in drafts with that type of potential. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 65 367 742 .49 0 96 217 .44 12.8 11.1 2.0 0.72 1.92 2.58 2011-2012 GS 12 61 136 .45 0 14 23 .61 11.3 8.3 2.6 1.00 2.00 2.00 2012-2013 GS 32 83 184 .45 1 19 38 .50 5.8 7.7 2.1 0.63 1.09 1.72 PROJ GS 48 181 391 .46 0 41 72 .57 8.4 8.3 2.0 0.71 1.60 1.79 Matt Bonner - San Antonio Spurs - C Age: 33 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: The Red Rocket is always good for a fun spot-start for owners in deep leagues looking for some desperation triples out of a power forward. Well, maybe he’s not always fun. He had five games in the regular season with at least three 3-pointers and his 0.8 triples per game in just 13.4 minutes is a potent amount. He’s one of Pop’s guys that he likes to throw out there to spread the floor and used him to help limit teams from packing the paint against the slashing Tony Parker. What’s Changed: The Spurs added a little depth, but none of the players figure to usurp Bonner’s role as a floor-spacing four. He might fall a little short of his 13.4 minutes per game unless Tim Duncan misses time. Outlook: If you’re going to draft a backup, it might as well be a guy that’s going to take over as a starter. Bonner’s role won’t change much no matter how much depth the Spurs lose through injuries, so you can leave him on the wire. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 66 172 371 .46 105 32 43 .74 7.3 3.6 0.9 0.39 0.41 0.32 2011-2012 SA 65 154 350 .44 105 16 21 .76 6.6 3.3 0.9 0.23 0.22 0.32 2012-2013 SA 68 112 230 .49 53 11 15 .73 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.25 0.24 0.28 PROJ SA 70 160 342 .47 63 16 21 .76 4.8 2.2 0.6 0.26 0.31 0.30 Trevor Booker - Washington Wizards - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: It was an injury-riddled season for Booker, who dealt with ankle, wrist, knee and shoulder ailments. He played 25.0 minutes per game in November, but the injuries may have been a factor in preventing him from playing over 19.2 per game in any of the following months. He did finish on a high note, though, averaging 12.0 points and 8.7 boardsin his final three games of last season. What’s Changed: Booker should again come off the bench and he’s not much of an offensive threat, having made just 24.4 percent of his jumpers and 32 percent of his shots from 3-10 feet. Outlook: Booker hasn’t done enough over the course of his career to help his case as more than just bench depth. He is a solid rebounder, but a lack of blocks and efficient scoring makes him undesirable in most leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 65 139 253 .55 0 68 101 .67 5.3 3.9 0.5 0.45 0.58 0.65 2011-2012 WAS 50 181 341 .53 1 56 93 .60 8.4 6.5 0.8 0.96 1.16 0.86 2012-2013 WAS 48 108 220 .49 0 40 72 .56 5.3 5.0 0.8 0.67 0.65 0.33 PROJ WAS 65 219 420 .52 0 69 117 .59 7.8 5.9 0.9 0.91 0.80 0.85 Carlos Boozer - Chicago Bulls - PF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 266 2012-2013: Boozer played in 79 games and saw his numbers improve slightly this season, averaging 16 points and 10 boards while shooting 48 percent from the floor. What’s Changed: Boozer will once again have to battle with teammate Joakim Noah for points and boards, but the two seemed to do a better job of working together last season. However, despite the improvement, Boozer returned just 7th round value in most fantasy leagues. Boozer will be there for the Bulls this season, but could be amnestied next summer, clearing the way for a Taj Gibson breakout. Outlook: Boozer’s lack of blocks and steals, along with his 72 percent career free throw shooting limit his upside. The presence of Noah doesn’t help, either, but taking Boozer any time in the middle rounds still seems to make sense, especially if you find yourself in need of boards at that point in your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 59 431 845 .51 0 171 244 .70 17.5 9.6 2.5 0.76 2.53 0.31 2011-2012 CHI 66 448 842 .53 0 95 137 .69 15.0 8.5 1.9 0.95 1.74 0.36 2012-2013 CHI 79 544 1140 .48 0 193 264 .73 16.2 9.8 2.3 0.84 2.23 0.35 PROJ CHI 78 480 992 .48 0 187 265 .71 14.7 9.5 2.0 0.85 2.10 0.40 Chris Bosh - Miami Heat - C Age: 29 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Bosh beat his top-50 draft day ADP to finish with top 20-30 value in 9- and 8-cat leagues, respectively. After a blistering start he settled into top-50 per-game value in every month except April, and he only missed eight games. His rebounding dipped, but he made up for it with improved FG percentage (53.5) and shot-blocking (1.4). What’s Changed: Miami’s roster remains intact up front, but Chris Andersen’s strong play in the postseason could prove to be a bonus for Bosh, who prefers to play power forward and could avoid unnecessary wear and tear if the Birdman stays healthy. Greg Oden was also added but he’s a developmental project at this point. Outlook: Bosh’s increased FG percentage can be attributed to increased comfort playing with LeBron James, who does a great job getting him the ball in good spots. He has increased his 3-point makes nominally over recent years, though more PF minutes could lead to (even more) sub-par rebounding and a regression in his block total. All told, playoff owners may want to discount him slightly, but a repeat performance is well within his reach and a potential decline in Dwyane Wade’s play can only help. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 77 524 1056 .50 6 384 471 .82 18.7 8.3 1.9 0.77 1.79 0.64 2011-2012 MIA 57 393 807 .49 10 229 279 .82 18.0 7.9 1.8 0.89 2.05 0.79 2012-2013 MIA 74 485 907 .53 21 241 302 .80 16.6 6.8 1.7 0.89 1.73 1.36 PROJ MIA 76 510 1013 .50 23 264 327 .81 17.2 7.0 1.8 0.93 1.79 1.30 James Anderson - Philadelphia 76ers - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Bradley, who some in the media mockingly refer to as Average Bradley, was just that, averaging 9.2 points, 2.1 assists and 1.3 steals in 29 minutes per game in 50 games last season. Even when Rajon Rondo was lost for the season, Bradley was still not worth owning in most fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: He started at shooting guard a lot last season, but that job should go to Courtney Lee this time around. Outlook: Bradley looks like a below average backup this season and should be avoided on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 31 23 67 .34 0 6 12 .50 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.29 0.52 0.00 2011-2012 BOS 64 200 402 .50 22 62 78 .79 7.6 1.8 1.4 0.67 1.17 0.19 2012-2013 BOS 50 192 478 .40 40 37 49 .76 9.2 2.2 2.1 1.28 1.44 0.38 PROJ BOS 77 298 666 .45 69 65 85 .76 9.5 2.4 2.8 1.40 1.70 0.40 Elton Brand - Atlanta Hawks - C ge: 34 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Brand played in 72 games for the Mavs last season, averaging just 7.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game in 21 minutes. What’s Changed: He signed with the Hawks over the summer and figures to be the backup center for incumbent Al Horford, while also seeing some minutes backing up new Hawks power forward Paul Millsap. Outlook: Brand’s age is quickly catching up with him and the fact he’s very likely to come off the bench isn’t going to do him any favors. He might still be worth a late flier due to his ability to board and block shots, but he’s no longer a must-own fantasy player. If you need a big man late, give him a look. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 81 502 981 .51 0 213 273 .78 15.0 8.3 1.5 1.14 1.25 1.31 2011-2012 PHI 60 287 581 .49 0 85 116 .73 11.0 7.2 1.6 0.97 1.08 1.62 2012-2013 DAL 72 226 478 .47 0 66 93 .71 7.2 6.0 1.0 0.69 0.79 1.25 PROJ ATL 74 227 467 .49 0 64 89 .72 7.0 5.3 1.0 0.50 0.70 1.20 Corey Brewer - Minnesota Timberwolves - SF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Brewer used his open-court speed to simply outrun his opponents on a regular basis for Denver last season , a whopping 28 percent of his scoring chances came in transition. He didn’t miss a single game all year and chipped in just enough 3-pointers (1.1) and steals (1.4) to hold sporadic value in most formats. What’s Changed: The Wolves were able to bring Brewer back to Minnesota on a three-year, $15 million deal. With Kevin Martin at SG and Chase Budinger expected to start at SF, Brewer will support both wing positions as the Wolves’ sixth-man. Outlook: Transition baskets accounted for nearly 20 percent of the Nuggets’ plays last season, compared to less than 13 percent for the Wolves. Minnesota should pick up the pace now that Ricky Rubio and Kevin Love are healthy, and Kevin Martin and Brewer have joined the team, but it’s hard to anticipate Brewer increasing last year’s numbers , 12.1 points on 42.5 percent shooting, 1.1 threes, 2.9 boards, 1.5 assists and 1.4 steals in 25 minutes per game. Owners in 14-team leagues should give him a look at the end of the draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 69 193 488 .40 30 136 192 .71 8.0 2.5 1.3 1.45 1.26 0.23 2011-2012 DEN 59 201 463 .43 33 90 130 .69 8.9 2.5 1.5 1.22 0.95 0.29 2012-2013 DEN 82 375 883 .42 91 149 216 .69 12.1 2.9 1.5 1.44 1.24 0.28 PROJ MIN 80 297 695 .43 81 141 200 .71 10.2 3.0 1.5 1.30 1.10 0.31 Aaron Brooks - Houston Rockets - PG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 161 2012-2013: There were many things wrong with the Kings last season, but former GM Geoff Petrie’s decision to acquire Brooks was a team-crippling decision. Outside of the occasional flashy play, he gave notorious point guard killer Keith Smart a warm body to bench team favorite Isaiah Thomas with -- and the Kings were finished before they started. For his part, Brooks was thrust into the wrong place at the wrong time, and after a detour to China he has settled in as abackup-level scoring guard in the NBA. What’s Changed: Brooks took a one-year, minimum deal with the hopes he can showcase his talents. He’s a long-shot for a rotation slot due to the emergence of Patrick Beverley, not to mention starter Jeremy Lin and popular second round draft
  • 89. 89NBA Season Preview pick Isaiah Canaan. Outlook: Unless he can hop somebody on the depth chart in the preseason, there is no reason to draft Brooks even in massive formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-0 PHO 59 220 587 .37 70 124 140 .89 10.7 1.3 3.9 0.58 1.68 0.05 2012-2013 HOU 53 143 316 .45 50 40 52 .77 7.1 1.5 2.2 0.57 1.26 0.19 PROJ HOU 50 68 162 .42 40 63 75 .84 4.8 1.2 2.3 0.50 1.20 0.30 MarShon Brooks - Boston Celtics - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Brooks took a step back last season, averaging just 12.5 minutes per game, along with 5.4 points. He was at 12.6 points per game as a rookie, but didn’t see the court much with Joe Johnson and Gerald Wallace around. What’s Changed: He was shipped to Boston in the mega-deal that sent Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry to the Nets, but will have to compete with Courtney Lee, Jordan Crawford, Jeff Green and Gerald Wallace for minutes. Outlook: It should be another long season for Brooks, and while the talent is there and he has the ability to score in bunches, MarShon will be hard pressed to make a fantasy dent this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 BKN 56 274 640 .43 47 113 148 .76 12.6 3.6 2.3 0.93 2.11 0.27 2012-2013 BKN 73 155 335 .46 15 69 94 .73 5.4 1.4 1.0 0.47 0.95 0.22 PROJ BOS 75 206 463 .44 60 90 121 .74 7.5 2.6 1.8 0.71 1.31 0.20 Shannon Brown - Phoenix Suns - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: LetShannonDunk.com isn’t much of a player in domain names these days and Brown fell off last season. He logged 25 DNPs after Valentine’s Day and fell out of the rotation. Brown played 25.2 minutes per game before that time and his terrible shot selection may have been the culprit. What’s Changed: After not really having any legit competition, Brown has Eric Bledsoe in the fold. It’s unlikely that the powers that be will give him some run. Although, it’s worth mentioning that the team did not waive him and his contract will be guaranteed. Outlook: There’s really nothing to like here with Brown and the Bledsoe-Dragic tandem should see most of the guard minutes. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 82 273 643 .42 74 92 101 .91 8.7 1.9 1.2 0.82 0.91 0.20 2011-2012 PHO 59 251 598 .42 68 80 99 .81 11.0 2.7 1.2 0.75 1.08 0.25 2012-2013 PHO 59 240 571 .42 39 98 125 .78 10.5 2.5 1.8 1.00 1.25 0.25 PROJ PHO 70 156 369 .42 56 100 126 .79 6.7 2.4 1.5 0.90 1.20 0.30 Kobe Bryant - Los Angeles Lakers - SG Age: 35 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Kobe entered the season with major injury questions, but he went on to crush a top 5-6 valuation while playing through ailments that would’ve sidelined mere mortals. It took a ruptured Achilles’ tendon to finally put him down. He managed to improve his numbers in most categories, most notably FG percentage (46.3) and assists (6.0), even though Steve Nash was around. What’s Changed: Kobe swears that he will be ready for the season opener, and when he returns he will play for a patchwork squad that has nine free agents after this season (including himself). Dwight Howard is gone, which will free up Pau Gasol, and if Nash can remain healthy the offense should have a nice tempo. Outlook: Can owners ignore Kobe’s Achilles injury on the basis that no injury has been able to slow him down? The answer is no, especially at his age. There is much to be said for taking a safe first round pick, but letting him slide out of the top-15 picks could be a recipe for regret. The Lakers will still rely on him heavily to carry the team, and with plenty of teammates willing to defer he’s a near lock to put up similar numbers this year if healthy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 82 740 1639 .45 115 483 583 .83 25.3 5.1 4.7 1.21 2.96 0.15 2011-2012 LAK 58 574 1336 .43 87 381 451 .84 27.9 5.4 4.6 1.19 3.52 0.31 2012-2013 LAK 78 738 1595 .46 132 525 626 .84 27.3 5.6 6.0 1.36 3.68 0.32 PROJ LAK 73 618 1366 .45 117 488 584 .84 25.2 5.5 5.8 1.30 3.60 0.30 Chase Budinger - Minnesota Timberwolves - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Budinger started out hot (11.8 points on 48.0 percent shooting in November) before tearing the meniscus in his left knee. Surgery kept him out until late March, but he returned and averaged 20+ minutes in the final 17 games of the season, including multiple back-to-backs. What’s Changed: Bud looked like a nice fit for the Wolves and the team agreed,they signed him early in free agency to a three-year, $16 million contract. He said in July that his surgically-repaired knee feels ‘great,’and he’s on pace to play in the season opener. Corey Brewer signed on as a backup wing player. Outlook: With a career mark of 35.8 percent from downtown, Budinger could be a sneaky pick late in deep-league drafts. Just don’t expect him to provide much beyond 3-point shooting and a handful of points and boards. His career per-36-minute averages are a nice guideline for fantasy owners: 15.7 points, 1.8 threes, 5.0 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.0 steals and 0.5 blocks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 78 279 656 .43 89 118 138 .86 9.8 3.6 1.6 0.53 0.86 0.23 2011-2012 HOU 58 208 471 .44 88 54 70 .77 9.6 3.7 1.3 0.50 0.95 0.12 2012-2013 MIN 23 79 191 .41 26 32 42 .76 9.4 3.1 1.1 0.61 1.00 0.30 PROJ MIN 70 310 707 .44 91 108 139 .78 11.7 3.6 1.6 0.60 1.10 0.30 Reggie Bullock - Los Angeles Clippers - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: The 6’7/200 small forward out of North Carolina did all the little things for the Tarheels and found himself taken with the No. 25 pick by the Clippers. He hit 42.9 percent of his 3-point attempts last season and enters the league as a potential 3-and-D guy with the mental makeup and just enough athleticism to make it happen. What’s Changed: Bullock will start the season buried on the depth chart behind Jared Dudley and Matt Barnes, and with logjams all around the rotation he’ll need significant injury help to find consistent minutes this year. Outlook: Dynasty owners will want to keep tabs on Bullock as a future 3-point shooter with a little versatility, but in terms of the near future he can be ignored in the vast majority of formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ LAC 60 102 219 .47 60 49 66 .74 5.2 2.2 1.1 0.75 1.12 0.13 Trey Burke - Utah Jazz - PG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Burke was one of the best players in the NCAA last year, averaging 18.6 points with 3.2 boards, 6.7 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.9 triples on his way to the Wooden Award. He was selected ninth in the draft and was the first PG off the board. What’s Changed: Burke has a great opportunity to start at PG in Utah. He’s undersized, however, and his pathetic 24 percent FG shooting during Summer League raised a red flag. The team didn’t really bother getting a reliable backup, so they’re committed to him as their franchise PG until further notice. Outlook: Everyone was expecting Burke to just come out like gangbusters in his first year, but his horrible summer league casts some serious doubt. The good news is that his playing time isn’t in question and his scoring, assists, threes and steals should offset lousy FG percentages and high TOs. He’ll be a high-upside pick in the second half of your draft, but don’t expect him to be Damian Lillard. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ UTA 78 373 875 .43 94 150 187 .80 12.7 3.6 5.7 1.29 3.21 0.10 Alec Burks - Utah Jazz - SG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Coming out of Colorado, Burks got some comparisons to Dwyane Wade for his aggressive style of play. While those predictions haven’t come to fruition, Burks made a bit of a leap last year. He played much better in the second half, shooting 44.7 percent from the field and scoring 8.2 points per game. The 22-year-old guard had some issues scoring with the ball from 3-16 feet, making only 25.9 percent of his 81 attempts from there. He didn’t register value in the top 250 in fantasy. What’s Changed: The word on the street is that the Jazz are going to give Burks some run at shooting guard. He’ll be the starter for the team and with Randy Foye no longer there, the minutes could come in bunches. The team could use Gordon Hayward at SG to cut down on Burks’ responsibilities, but Hayward has been a little more productive in his career at small forward. Outlook: If Burks had a little more variety to his game, he could make for a big-time sleeper. Although, he doesn’t really do anything special , a la DeMar DeRozan , so we’re not going to set our expectations too high for Burks. He has opportunity and his 3-point shooting has gotten a lot better, so he does make sense as a late-round flier. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 UTA 59 153 357 .43 15 104 143 .73 7.2 2.2 0.9 0.46 0.86 0.08 2012-2013 UTA 64 163 388 .42 33 92 129 .71 7.0 2.3 1.4 0.55 1.16 0.20 PROJ UTA 75 327 750 .44 70 163 225 .72 11.7 2.6 1.9 0.71 1.60 0.20 Caron Butler - Phoenix Suns - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Butler made it through 78 games last season and averaged 10 points and 1.6 3-pointers for the Clippers. What’s Changed: He signed with the Suns where he’ll have to compete with P.J. Tucker, Michael Beasley and breakout star Eric Bledsoe, while the fact he’s now 33 years old doesn’t work in his favor. Outlook: We aren’t expecting much out of Butler with Bledsoe and Tucker around, but there is a decent chance he could impress his coaching staff in camp and win the starting small forward job. If it happens, we’ll change our tune on him, but for now we see him getting garbage minutes off the bench as a role player. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 29 170 378 .45 28 68 88 .77 15.0 4.1 1.6 0.97 1.69 0.28 2011-2012 LAC 63 287 705 .41 92 87 107 .81 12.0 3.7 1.2 0.83 1.22 0.13 2012-2013 LAC 78 305 720 .42 128 75 90 .83 10.4 2.9 1.0 0.65 0.92 0.14 PROJ PHO 78 271 648 .42 109 90 109 .83 9.5 3.0 1.1 0.79 1.12 0.14 Jimmy Butler - Chicago Bulls - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Butler averaged 14.5 points, 7.1 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 1.1 three- pointers as a starter in 20 games last season, though he checked in at just 6.7 points and 3.0 boards as a reserve. What’s Changed: Butler looks primed for a big season and he should start at SG now that Marco Belinelli is playing for the Spurs. Nate Robinson also moved on to the Nuggets. Outlook: The swingman is the favorite to start at SG unless Kirk Hinrich pulls a coup during training camp, and he’ll be a very popular sleeper pick in fantasy drafts , if he starts on opening night, he could even return fourth-round value out of the gate. Don’t go crazy and take him in the top-30, but any time after that could pay dividends if he has the breakout season we think is coming. And if his average draft position falls into the fifth or sixth rounds, he’s going to be a steal. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 CHI 42 32 79 .41 2 43 56 .77 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.26 0.33 0.12 2012-2013 CHI 82 239 512 .47 40 187 233 .80 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.95 0.76 0.38 PROJ CHI 82 417 918 .45 57 192 246 .78 13.2 4.8 1.5 1.10 1.11 0.40 Andrew Bynum - Cleveland Cavaliers - C Age: 26 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 285 2012-2013: Bynum famously was traded to the Sixers and made it (barely) through one practice and zero games due to serious problems with both knees, which were made worse during an outing to the, um, bowling alley. Add in Bynum’s nutty hair choices, and one word can be used to sum up his run in Philly, and it’s your choice:
  • 90. 90 NBA Season Preview laughable or mega-bust. What’s Changed: Bynum swears he’s going to be healthy to start the season after signing with the Cavaliers. He’ll play for new coach Mike Brown and is being touted as the team’s starting center for now. Anderson Varejao will likely be his backup, as the duo will now become the most injury-prone center combo in the league. Outlook: There are several questions hanging over Bynum’s head entering the season. Which knee will he blow out first? Will he make it through 30 games? What will his hair look like? Will he survive a fall while flying a kite? Many owners will never touch him again after getting burned last year, while others will look at him as a potential game-changer when he falls to the middle rounds in some drafts. He doesn’t exactly have a will to win (or play) and only owners who enjoy gambling should target him on draft night. But if you find yourself desperate for big-man numbers and Bynum is sitting there in Round 5, it may be hard to pass him up. May the Force be with you. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 54 237 413 .57 0 138 209 .66 11.3 9.4 1.4 0.35 1.37 1.96 2011-0 LAK 60 444 796 .56 1 234 338 .69 18.7 11.8 1.4 0.45 2.53 1.93 PROJ CLE 48 251 445 .56 0 151 216 .70 13.6 8.5 1.2 0.40 1.79 1.71 Will Bynum - Detroit Pistons - PG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Bynum played in 65 games and averaged nearly 10 points and four assists in 19 minutes per game for the Pistons. What’s Changed: Jose Calderon (Dallas) and Brandon Knight (Bucks) are gone, while Brandon Jennings will start at PG and Chauncey Billups is back in Detroit, but we’re guessing Bynum might still be the second-string backup for Jennings under new coach Mo Cheeks. Outlook: As long as Jennings is healthy it’s unlikely that Bynum will make much noise in fantasy leagues. However, as we’ve seen in the past, if Jennings goes down, Bynum has some big-game potential. But not enough to use a draft pick on him this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 61 182 406 .45 16 102 122 .84 7.9 1.2 3.2 0.85 1.36 0.07 2011-2012 DET 36 74 194 .38 7 49 64 .77 5.7 1.6 1.8 0.64 1.50 0.06 2012-2013 DET 65 253 540 .47 24 106 131 .81 9.8 1.5 3.6 0.69 1.92 0.08 PROJ DET 66 207 463 .45 22 105 132 .80 8.2 1.5 3.2 0.61 1.61 0.11 Jose Calderon - Dallas Mavericks - PG Age: 32 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 208 2012-2013: Calderon split his time between Toronto and Detroit last season and was a serviceable fantasy point guard, averaging around 11 points, seven dimes and two 3-pointers in 73 games. What’s Changed: Calderon signed with the Mavericks over the summer and will become the primary point guard for Dallas, assuming Devin Harris doesn’t shock the world. The Mavs are PG heavy with Calderon, Harris, Gal Mekel and rookie Shane Larkin on board, but Larkin is iffy for the start of the season after ankle surgery. Outlook: Calderon should again be a decent fantasy point guard, but we don’t see him scoring a ton of points, as usual. And if Harris can stay healthy, the two could find themselves in a timeshare, but Rick Carlisle is probably thrilled to have Calderon ready to dish to Dirk Nowitzki, Monta Ellis, Shawn Marion, Vince Carter and Samuel Dalembert this year, instead of Darren Collison and Mike James. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 68 262 596 .44 57 88 103 .85 9.8 3.0 8.9 1.19 2.18 0.10 2011-2012 TOR 53 218 477 .46 59 60 68 .88 10.5 3.0 8.8 0.89 1.96 0.06 2012-2013 DET 73 312 635 .49 130 72 80 .90 11.3 2.4 7.1 0.79 1.73 0.11 PROJ DAL 63 265 559 .47 107 68 76 .89 11.2 2.4 6.9 0.90 1.90 0.10 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - Detroit Pistons - SG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: After a stellar year at Georgia (SEC Player of the Year) the Pistons took Caldwell-Pope with the No. 8 pick in the draft. He should challenge for the starting shooting guard in Detroit and was an effective scorer (18.5 points), rebounder (7.1) and 3-point shooter (37.7 percent) in college. What’s Changed: He’ll have to battle with Rodney Stuckey for the starting job and it’s possible that he could win it. Chauncey Billups is also back in Denver, but is an afterthought at this point, while Mo Cheeks will take over the coaching reins. Outlook: KCP looks like he’s going to have a solid rookie season and could win Rookie of the Year if he wins the starting job for the Pistons. We’ll have to see how things shake out in training camp, but even if he comes off the bench, Caldwell-Pope should be an interesting late flier in all leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ DET 75 299 688 .43 98 107 136 .79 10.7 2.7 2.1 1.11 1.40 0.11 Marcus Camby - Houston Rockets - C Age: 39 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Marcus Camby’s return to the Knicks was forgettable. He struggled with plantar fasciitis and struggled even more to gain the trust of coach Mike Woodson, appearing in 24 regular season games before playing a total of three minutes in the postseason. What’s Changed: He was traded to the Raptors in the deal for Andrea Bargnani, but Toronto quickly bought him out and he signed a one-year deal with the Rockets. Outlook: The Cambyman averaged 9.0 boards and 1.4 blocks as recently as 2011-12 and he could be a fantasy specialist if Houston eventually trades away Omer Asik. That may never happen, however, and Camby should be undrafted in all formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 59 117 294 .40 0 43 70 .61 4.7 10.3 2.1 0.68 1.05 1.56 2011-2012 HOU 59 128 287 .45 2 29 64 .45 4.9 9.0 1.8 0.85 0.97 1.44 2012-2013 NY 24 17 53 .32 0 8 19 .42 1.8 3.3 0.6 0.29 0.63 0.58 PROJ HOU 40 52 118 .44 4 12 24 .50 3.0 3.2 0.5 0.40 0.60 0.73 DeMarre Carroll - Atlanta Hawks - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 204 2012-2013: Carroll played in 66 games for the Jazz last season, averaging just 6.0 points in 17 minutes, but not much else per game. What’s Changed: He signed with the Hawks and could see a big boost in minutes playing behind Kyle Korver, who could be injured a lot this season. Outlook: Carroll is far from a must-own fantasy player, but will be worth keeping a close eye on during training camp and the early part of the season. And if he’s getting over 20 minutes per game, he might be worth a last-round flier on draft night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 12 4 12 .33 0 2 2 1.00 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.08 0.00 0.08 2011-2012 UTA 24 43 105 .41 7 14 16 .88 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.50 0.46 0.04 2012-2013 UTA 66 149 324 .46 20 75 98 .77 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.88 0.52 0.36 PROJ ATL 70 235 531 .44 35 97 126 .77 8.6 3.1 1.1 0.90 0.80 0.30 Vince Carter - Dallas Mavericks - SF Age: 36 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Carter had a bit of a bounce-back season, averaging 13.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 2.0 3-pointers per games last season, all improvements over the previous year. What’s Changed: Carter will likely spend most of his time at small forward now that the Mavs have Monta Ellis and Wayne Ellington at shooting guard, and will likely come off the bench behind Shawn Marion. Outlook: Carter might be worth a last-round flier in some leagues, but it appears that the days of him being a must-own fantasy player are over. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 73 389 891 .44 116 128 173 .74 14.0 3.8 2.0 0.92 1.23 0.27 2011-2012 DAL 61 223 542 .41 74 95 115 .83 10.1 3.4 2.3 0.92 1.38 0.41 2012-2013 DAL 81 372 855 .44 162 182 223 .82 13.4 4.1 2.4 0.93 1.31 0.54 PROJ DAL 77 292 682 .43 123 148 185 .80 11.1 3.4 2.3 0.90 1.40 0.44 Michael Carter-Williams - Philadelphia 76ers - PG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Michael Carter-Williams played 35 minutes per game for Syracuse as a sophomore, posting 11.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, 7.3 assists and 2.8 steals per game. What’s Changed: He was drafted No. 11 overall, filling the PG void left by the trade that sent Jrue Holiday to New Orleans. He averaged 4.8 rebounds, 7.3 assists and 2.0 steals during Summer League, but he also turned the ball over in bunches and shot 26.1 percent from the field, admitting afterward that he needs to improve his ‘conditioning and strength, and just shooting the ball consistently.’ Outlook: As evidenced with Syracuse and during Summer League, MCW needs to improve his jump shot. NBA defenders will routinely dive under screens, cutting off his driving and passing lanes, and it’s up to him to make them pay. The good news is that he projects as Philly’s starting PG and will get heavy playing time regardless of his struggles. He should be a nice source of assists and steals, but fantasy owners should take a wary view of his FG and FT percentages, not to mention his shaky 3-point shooting and what are sure to be sky-high turnovers. Whether to draft him at all will depend upon your league’s format and team’s composition. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ PHI 78 313 815 .38 78 139 187 .74 10.8 2.4 5.1 1.40 2.21 0.50 Omri Casspi - Houston Rockets - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Casspi continued his downward spiral in Cleveland, appearing in 43 games while playing just under 12 minutes per contest. What’s Changed: Cleveland let Casspi walk and he signed in Houston where he’ll attempt to revive his career. He’ll have a shot to back up Chandler Parsons, but he’ll have to beat out a rag-tag group of reserves in Reggie Williams, second-year player Terrence Jones and rookie Robert Covington. Outlook: As long as Parsons is healthy there is no need for owners to pay attention to Casspi, who isn’t guaranteed a rotation slot. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 71 225 546 .41 92 68 101 .67 8.6 4.3 1.0 0.76 0.96 0.18 2011-2012 CLE 65 166 412 .40 53 74 108 .69 7.1 3.5 1.0 0.57 0.98 0.32 2012-2013 CLE 43 63 160 .39 25 22 41 .54 4.0 2.7 0.7 0.58 0.51 0.28 PROJ HOU 66 121 300 .40 53 62 91 .68 5.4 3.0 0.8 0.62 0.80 0.30 Mario Chalmers - Miami Heat - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Chalmers entered last season coming off a top-80 fantasy campaign built on shooting guard style numbers, and playing in 77 games he essentially duplicated that performance after a slow start. The Heat immediately picked up his $4 million option this offseason knowing they have a battle-tested low-end point guard to play alongside LeBron James and Dwyane Wade. What’s Changed: Nothing. Norris Cole will continue to back up the point and the Heat will continue to deploy Chalmers as a quasi-shooting guard. The team did find success with using Rio in the pick-and-roll with LeBron during the playoffs, a development we’re sure to see more of this season. Outlook: With all of his numbers staying within a very consistent range owners can be a lot more bullish than they were last season with Chalmers, when he went undrafted in a lot of standard leagues. A couple of threes, a steal or two and a handful of assists are what owners should expect. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 70 155 388 .40 83 54 62 .87 6.4 2.1 2.5 1.09 1.30 0.10 2011-2012 MIA 64 223 498 .45 101 80 101 .79 9.8 2.7 3.5 1.52 2.22 0.17 2012-2013 MIA 77 227 529 .43 123 89 112 .79 8.6 2.2 3.5 1.53 1.55 0.16 PROJ MIA 78 243 555 .44 125 100 125 .80 9.1 2.4 3.7 1.50 1.90 0.21
  • 91. 91NBA Season Preview Wilson Chandler - Denver Nuggets - SF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Chandler was banged up all season after recovering from hip surgery, dealing with a groin injury and then separating his shoulder. He made it through just 43 games, but it’s important to note that in eight starts he averaged nearly 19 points, six rebounds, 1.4 steals and 2.3 triples. What’s Changed: Chandler should enter this campaign healthy and will start at small forward right off the bat, as teammate Danilo Gallinari (left knee ACL surgery) could be out until January or February. He’ll likely be backed up by Jordan Hamilton and should return to the bench once Gallinari is finally healthy again. Andre Iguodala is also out of the picture, now playing in Golden State. Outlook: Even if it’s just for the first month or two, Chandler will be a must-own player out of the gate due to Gallinari’s injury. Chandler had a season-high 35 points off the bench in March, and he scored 18+ points in six of his eight starts late in the year. Target him in the fifth round and hope that Gallinari continues to struggle with injuries, as he has for most of his career. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 72 429 953 .45 112 130 161 .81 15.3 5.7 1.7 0.67 1.44 1.31 2011-2012 DEN 8 31 79 .39 3 10 12 .83 9.4 5.1 2.1 0.75 2.25 0.75 2012-2013 DEN 43 210 455 .46 52 88 111 .79 13.0 5.1 1.3 1.05 1.40 0.28 PROJ DEN 72 421 928 .45 79 145 180 .81 14.8 5.1 1.7 1.00 1.90 0.85 Tyson Chandler - New York Knicks - C Age: 31 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Tyson Chandler didn’t receive a single first-place vote for Defensive Player of the Year this season. He did earn All-Defensive First Team honors, though, while leading the NBA in offensive rebounds per game (4.1), and he trailed only DeAndre Jordan in FG percentage (63.8 percent). He averaged 10.4 points, 10.7 boards and 1.1 blocks, and the only clear caveat was 16 games missed due to injuries. What’s Changed: Chandler was banged up and sick during the playoffs but he will be fully healthy for training camp. He took some shots at the Knicks’ offense after their second-round loss to the Pacers, saying, “We’re a jump-shooting team. I would like us to have a free-flowing offense ... Everybody to a man is going to have to come back better, including the coaches.” Mike Woodson shot back by asking Chandler to bulk up and improve his low-post skills this summer, an unlikely prospect for the 12- year veteran. Outlook: Chandler has missed an average of 19.2 games over the past five seasons. That number drops to 9.3 games per season when you toss out his injury-riddled campaigns from 2008-10, however, and at 31 years old it’s not as though Chandler is washed up. As a pure-center source of blocks, rebounds and FG percentage, Chandler ranked No. 5 in the league last season behind only Tim Duncan, Larry Sanders, Serge Ibaka and Dwight Howard. Fantasy owners in eight- and nine-cat leagues can comfortably target him in the sixth round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 74 266 407 .65 0 216 295 .73 10.1 9.4 0.4 0.49 1.19 1.08 2011-2012 NY 62 241 355 .68 0 217 315 .69 11.3 9.9 0.9 0.90 1.65 1.44 2012-2013 NY 66 255 400 .64 0 179 258 .69 10.4 10.7 0.9 0.64 1.32 1.14 PROJ NY 72 286 448 .64 0 205 288 .71 10.8 11.0 1.0 0.69 1.40 1.10 Earl Clark - Cleveland Cavaliers - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Clark played in 59 games for the Lakers and has never made it through an entire season. He averaged career highs of 7.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, but was barely on the fantasy radar, despite the career year. What’s Changed: He signed with the Cavaliers and will battle guys like Andrew Bynum, Anderson Varejao, Tristan Thompson and Anthony Bennett for big-man minutes, while also spending some time at small forward for coach Mike Brown. Outlook: There are a lot of big names in front of him on the depth chart at power forward, but if spends a lot of time at small forward, he could make a nice impact - especially on the defensive end. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 42 68 158 .43 0 27 47 .57 3.9 2.4 0.2 0.19 0.67 0.43 2011-2012 ORL 45 51 139 .37 0 21 29 .72 2.7 2.8 0.4 0.27 0.56 0.71 2012-2013 LAK 59 170 386 .44 35 53 76 .70 7.3 5.5 1.1 0.61 1.05 0.75 PROJ CLE 70 268 606 .44 49 94 133 .71 9.7 5.8 1.2 0.60 1.20 0.79 Norris Cole - Miami Heat - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Cole’s rookie season saw him come out with a bang and then slowly get phased out of the rotation. He improved his play incrementally in his sophomore effort, averaging a more consistent 20 minutes per game while improving his shooting numbers. What’s Changed: Nothing. He will continue to back up Mario Chalmers and with another year of experience Erik Spoelstra will have more confidence deploying him in a pinch. Outlook: Playing in 80 games Cole hovered around the bottom of the top-250, and with very little upside to speak of, owners in massive formats can do better looking for somebody better in that area. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 MIA 65 177 450 .39 21 66 85 .78 6.8 1.4 2.0 0.68 1.62 0.03 2012-2013 MIA 80 179 425 .42 35 52 80 .65 5.6 1.6 2.1 0.71 1.30 0.09 PROJ MIA 80 181 434 .42 40 61 88 .69 5.8 1.5 2.2 0.70 1.40 0.10 Nick Collison - Oklahoma City Thunder - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Nick Collison played under 20 minutes per game last season, lowest since his rookie year, averaging 5.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks. He appeared in 81 games. What’s Changed: Collison is owed a reasonable $4.8 million over the next two seasons, after which he’ll become a 34-year-old free agent. Outlook: Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka remain under contract in OKC, and there’s no reason to think that Collison’s role will change in 2013-14. He’s a blue-collar big man who bolsters OKC’s frontcourt during the season and plays a key bench role in the playoffs, but he’s simply not a fantasy contributor in standard formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 71 137 242 .57 0 55 73 .75 4.6 4.5 1.0 0.59 0.77 0.44 2011-2012 OKC 63 120 201 .60 0 44 62 .71 4.5 4.3 1.3 0.52 0.97 0.44 2012-2013 OKC 81 176 296 .59 0 60 78 .77 5.1 4.1 1.5 0.63 0.85 0.37 PROJ OKC 78 178 299 .60 0 58 78 .74 5.3 4.2 1.4 0.55 0.91 0.40 Darren Collison - Los Angeles Clippers - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Collison spent the season in Rick Carlisle’s doghouse, but still finished with top 55-70 cumulative value boosted by just one missed game. He was benched down the stretch for journeyman Mike James and had his minutes yanked around all year, so owners had a hard time tapping into that value. What’s Changed: Collison found very little interest in free agency as he essentially flunked his make-or-break season to remain a starting NBA point guard. He took on a two-year deal with the Clippers to reunite with Chris Paul, and he will play 12-18 minutes as his backup. Outlook: As a backup in such a limited role it would be hard for Collison to crack the top-200, and it doesn’t help that the Clippers are so loaded in general. Jamal Crawford will handle the rock as much as Collison on the second unit if not more. Still, in a massive 25-30 team format there is some value to stashing him or handcuffing him to Chris Paul for the chance the Point God goes down. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 79 398 870 .46 41 202 232 .87 13.2 2.8 5.1 1.10 2.46 0.18 2011-2012 IND 60 230 523 .44 34 127 153 .83 10.4 3.1 4.8 0.82 1.90 0.23 2012-2013 DAL 81 341 724 .47 48 242 275 .88 12.0 2.7 5.1 1.23 2.14 0.10 PROJ LAC 78 220 476 .46 47 168 195 .86 8.4 2.5 4.1 1.10 2.00 0.21 Mike Conley - Memphis Grizzlies - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Conley started off slow but kept hammering away and a particularly strong March, with top 3-5 value after the Rudy Gay trade, pushed him into the top- 15 on the year. What’s Changed: The biggest change for the Grizzlies was on the sidelines and in the front office, where stat-guru John Hollinger joined as a vice president and Lionel Hollins was swapped out for assistant Dave Joerger in the coaching box. Joerger says he wants the team to ‘play faster,’which should work in Conley’s favor. Outlook: While it might make sense that the team encourages him to shoot more threes, we haven’t heard any specific clamoring for it from the team. One of the easiest players in fantasy hoops to project because of year-over-year consistency, Conley figures to finish more or less where he did last season and should be drafted accordingly. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 81 423 953 .44 80 181 247 .73 13.7 3.0 6.5 1.78 2.17 0.22 2011-2012 MEM 62 296 684 .43 60 136 158 .86 12.7 2.5 6.5 2.19 2.02 0.18 2012-2013 MEM 80 414 940 .44 106 234 282 .83 14.6 2.8 6.1 2.18 2.36 0.30 PROJ MEM 80 418 946 .44 112 244 288 .85 14.9 2.9 6.5 2.20 2.40 0.30 Chris Copeland - Indiana Pacers - PF Age: 29 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Copeland was a nice story making the Knicks squad as a 28-year old undrafted free agent, and he put up decent late-round numbers in the months of December and April, averaging 20-25 mpg during that time. He started 13 games and in those contests he averaged 16 points, four rebounds and two threes per game, and scoring for him has never been the problem. A defensive and rebounding liability, he still showed enough offensively to get a two-year, $6 million deal from the Pacers this summer. What’s Changed: It appeared that Copeland would be the answer to Hansbrough’s exit, but the Pacers traded Gerald Green for Luis Scola and then Copeland went ahead with knee surgery. He’ll be questionable for the start of the year and on the outside looking in at the rotation. Outlook: 3-point shooting big men can be fun in fantasy leagues and provide sneaky value, but being buried in the rotation there is no real incentive to draft Copeland. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 NY 56 182 380 .48 59 63 83 .76 8.7 2.1 0.5 0.29 0.89 0.21 PROJ IND 65 217 471 .46 78 86 111 .77 9.2 2.5 0.8 0.40 1.00 0.31 DeMarcus Cousins - Sacramento Kings - C Age: 23 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 270 2012-2013: There were some lofty expectations on DMC and he didn’t really deliver. Shots at the rim isn’t a fantasy stat that will directly apply to your team, but Cousins’ numbers dipped just about everywhere with his points per game dropping 1.0, his rebounds down 1.1 per game and his blocks down 0.5. He finished with seventh- round value in fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: The biggest change for Cousins is that Keith Smart is no longer the head coach. His minutes dropped in every month last season from January to April and Smart’s presence may have been a factor. Mike Malone takes over and he’s believed to be one of the better instructional coaches in the NBA. Outlook: He burned fantasy owners all over the globe that took him with a top-15 pick and with a new ownership group and head-coaching regime, there’s a sense that Cousins could have a bounce-back season. Tyreke Evans is gone and this could be his greatest chance to score 20 points per game. It won’t happen, but if he does slide out of the second round, he could be a steal. This is a risk-reward guy, folks, but it feels like he’s about to put it all together. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 81 432 1004 .43 3 276 402 .69 14.1 8.6 2.5 1.05 3.31 0.84 2011-2012 SAC 64 448 999 .45 2 262 373 .70 18.1 11.0 1.6 1.45 2.66 1.17 2012-2013 SAC 75 482 1036 .47 4 312 423 .74 17.1 9.9 2.7 1.44 3.00 0.73 PROJ SAC 78 602 1275 .47 8 333 452 .74 19.7 10.8 2.8 1.50 2.90 0.90
  • 92. 92 NBA Season Preview Jordan Crawford - Boston Celtics - SG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Crawford was traded to the Celtics during the season and averaged just 9.1 points and 0.9 3-pointers while shooting just 41.5 percent for his new team, appearing in 27 games in a bench role. What’s Changed: With most of the big names gone and a new coach in Butler’s Brad Stevens, Crawford is sure to have some big games off the bench for the Celtics this season. But it’s hard to see him starting over Courtney Lee. Outlook: Crawford is streaky and can hurt your field goal percentage just as quickly as he can blow up for 30 points on any given night. Inconsistency will rule for Jordan this season, and he should only be targeted at the end of drafts if you find yourself desperate for 3-pointers late on draft night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 42 192 500 .38 33 73 84 .87 11.7 2.5 2.8 0.93 1.98 0.07 2011-2012 WAS 64 349 872 .40 79 161 203 .79 14.7 2.6 3.0 0.92 2.20 0.08 2012-2013 BOS 70 301 725 .42 83 129 159 .81 11.6 3.0 3.2 0.56 2.01 0.10 PROJ BOS 76 309 749 .41 99 149 182 .82 11.4 3.0 3.1 0.50 2.11 0.11 Jamal Crawford - Los Angeles Clippers - SG Age: 33 - Ht: 6'5' - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Crawford started last season with a bang, providing top-50 value in the month of November. He cooled off before going on a tear in February and March, making 48 percent of his field goals and eventually finishing with top-80 value. What’s Changed: Eric Bledsoe and Caron Butler are out and J.J. Redick, Jared Dudley and Darren Collison are in, which will certainly tighten the belt on minutes in the Clippers’ backcourt. Crawford saw 29 mpg last season in a somewhat crowded situation, but he’ll likely lose a few this season because new coach Doc Rivers will have alternatives when Crawford inevitably goes cold. Outlook: There’s no reason to believe that Crawford’s production will change much from last season, giving us a pretty solid measurement to start with. Adjusting for the chance of a minute-reduction, owners can target him in the top 80-100 picks and feel good about the value. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 76 368 874 .42 119 222 260 .85 14.2 1.7 3.2 0.75 1.91 0.18 2011-2012 POR 60 283 737 .38 80 191 206 .93 14.0 2.0 3.2 0.92 1.85 0.23 2012-2013 LAC 76 445 1016 .44 149 216 248 .87 16.5 1.7 2.5 1.04 1.92 0.17 PROJ LAC 77 368 859 .43 154 220 254 .87 14.4 1.6 2.5 1.00 1.88 0.21 Jae Crowder - Dallas Mavericks - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Crowder failed to live up to the hype while Dirk Nowitzki was out with a knee injury, but did have some nice moments and is showing a lot of promise for the future. He averaged just 5.0 points and 2.4 boards on the year and the numbers weren’t much more impressive in his 16 starts. What’s Changed: With Dirk Nowitzki, Shawn Marion and Vince Carter returning to the Mavs this season, the chances of Crowder starting at either forward spot appear to be very slim. Outlook: While we’ve got Crowder slotted as the third-string small forward, he is going to get some decent run and appears to have the green light from beyond the arc this season. Watch him closely in the preseason to see who is getting a majority of the small forward minutes, but only plan on drafting Crowder if he is getting more run than either of the old guys (Marion and Carter). YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DAL 78 141 367 .38 63 47 73 .64 5.0 2.4 1.2 0.81 0.63 0.22 PROJ DAL 78 195 466 .42 94 63 94 .67 7.0 3.4 1.7 1.00 0.90 0.40 Dante Cunningham - Minnesota Timberwolves - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 226 2012-2013: Dante Cunningham lucked into a big role due to the Wolves’ many injuries, averaging 25 minutes in 80 games. His energy and defensive effort were greatly appreciated by Wolves’ fans, but fantasy owners were left indifferent by averages of 8.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting, 5.1 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks. What’s Changed: The Wolves picked up Cunningham’s $2.2 million option for next season, a reasonable price tag for a versatile backup forward. Andrei Kirilenko left the Wolves to sign in Brooklyn, but Chase Budinger, Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic are comfortably locked into the starting lineup. Outlook: Cunningham might be lucky to average the 25 minutes per game he played in 2012-13. Kirilenko missed 18 games last year, Pekovic missed 20 games, Love missed 64 games, Budinger missed 59 games and even Josh Howard’s season ended with ACL surgery after just 11 games. Cunningham had a golden opportunity for fantasy value, in other words, yet he wound up barely having nine-cat value in 14- team leagues. There will be better sleeper picks available. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHA 78 218 472 .46 1 45 62 .73 6.2 3.6 0.6 0.69 0.65 0.55 2011-2012 MEM 64 144 279 .52 0 45 69 .65 5.2 3.8 0.6 0.66 0.45 0.53 2012-2013 MIN 80 314 671 .47 0 67 103 .65 8.7 5.1 0.8 1.05 0.70 0.48 PROJ MIN 80 236 492 .48 2 55 80 .69 6.6 3.5 0.6 0.91 0.61 0.50 Stephen Curry - Golden State Warriors - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Curry overcame his ankle issues and played in 78 of 82 games, racking up a monster season, as well as carrying the Warriors into Round 2 of the playoffs. He averaged nearly 23 points, seven assists, 1.6 steals and 3.5 3-pointers per game, while shooting it very well from everywhere, and committing 3.1 turnovers per game. He finished as a top 3-4 fantasy player, according to Basketballmonster.com, due to the fact he missed just four games and played at such a high level all season. What’s Changed: Not much as far as Curry is concerned. Newly acquired Andre Iguodala has threatened the assists of PGs he has played with in the past, but this is Curry’s team and nobody in the building disputes that. Outlook: As long as he’s upright he’s a near lock to produce at the same level this season. Where he gets drafted this season will be a referendum on his famous ankle, but when you factor in a jaw-dropping playoff performance and last year’s success he’s not going to slide much, if at all. Letting him slide beyond the top 6-8 picks would be a mistake, and he’ll be taken as high as No. 3 by fearless owners recognizing his elite- level potential. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 74 505 1053 .48 151 212 227 .93 18.6 3.9 5.8 1.47 3.05 0.27 2011-2012 GS 26 145 296 .49 55 38 47 .81 14.7 3.4 5.3 1.50 2.50 0.31 2012-2013 GS 78 626 1388 .45 272 262 291 .90 22.9 4.0 6.9 1.62 3.08 0.15 PROJ GS 74 614 1343 .46 252 267 296 .90 23.6 3.9 7.1 1.59 3.20 0.22 Samuel Dalembert - Dallas Mavericks - C Age: 32 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Dalembert had some huge games for the Bucks when some of his teammates were injured last season, but still never really broke out. He finished with averages of 6.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.1 blocks in just 47 games for the Bucks. What’s Changed: Sammy D signed with the Mavericks this summer and projects as their starting center. He could average more than 20 minutes per game and should block a lot of shots, but has plenty of offensive weapons to deal with in Big D, such as Monta Ellis and Dirk Nowitzki. Outlook: Dalembert should be a serviceable fantasy center and could be in line for a career year if he can stay healthy and get along well with Rick Carlisle and his new teammates. But there’s no reason to target him early and he might end up being a better No. 2 center than a guy you want to count on in the middle for your fantasy team. If you draft him, make sure you get a couple other solid center options in case he fails. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 80 268 567 .47 0 108 148 .73 8.1 8.2 0.8 0.45 1.65 1.45 2011-2012 HOU 65 200 395 .51 0 90 113 .80 7.5 7.0 0.5 0.57 1.26 1.71 2012-2013 MLW 47 137 253 .54 1 38 55 .69 6.7 5.9 0.4 0.36 1.09 1.13 PROJ DAL 75 281 549 .51 0 98 135 .73 8.8 7.8 0.6 0.51 1.19 1.60 Glen Davis - Orlando Magic - PF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 289 2012-2013: Glen Davis got off to a roaring start laden with career-highs, averaging 15.1 points, 7.2 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks, but a broken left foot ended his season after just 34 games. What’s Changed: Davis rehabbed strenuously and shed weight to reduce pressure on his surgically-repaired foot, but he had a setback in July when he ‘tweaked’ his foot and ultimately needed to have a screw replaced. The procedure shouldn’t have long- term effects for his career, but it casts doubt on his availability for opening night. Outlook: Davis is owed $13 million over the next two seasons and Orlando shows no signs of replacing him at PF just yet, though Andrew Nicholson is presumably being groomed for the starting job. Presumably the Magic will start Jameer Nelson, Arron Afflalo, Tobias Harris, Big Baby (if he’s healthy) and Nikola Vucevic to begin the season, with Moe Harkless, Nicholson and rookie Victor Oladipo leading the second unit. Regardless of his health to start the season, owners should be very wary of Big Baby’s per-36-minute career averages - 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 0.5 blocks, with middling shooting percentages. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 78 359 801 .45 2 195 265 .74 11.7 5.4 1.2 1.00 1.09 0.38 2011-2012 ORL 61 225 534 .42 2 114 167 .68 9.3 5.4 0.8 0.70 1.23 0.31 2012-2013 ORL 34 214 478 .45 0 84 117 .72 15.1 7.2 2.1 0.94 1.88 0.62 PROJ ORL 60 305 688 .44 1 134 186 .72 12.4 5.5 1.8 0.92 1.78 0.53 Ed Davis - Memphis Grizzlies - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Davis started in a reserve role but got his chance to start when Andrea Bargnani went down. For 23 games as a starter, Davis provided top 90-110 value on the strength of 13.0 points, 7.7 boards, 0.6 steals and 1.0 blocks, though his 57.1 percent FT shooting was a drag. He was traded to the Grizzlies in the Rudy Gay deal, where he played just 15 minutes per game. What’s Changed: Grizzlies management was reportedly bothered that Lionel Hollins played Darrell Arthur over Davis last year, and Arthur has since been traded to Denver for Kosta Koufos. Davis, however, refused to play in Summer League because Hollins, the person who asked him to go, was subsequently fired. It’s odd, but there’s no evidence that the organization has a problem with Davis. Unless Zach Randolph is traded, Davis will begin the season playing 14-20 minutes off the bench. Outlook: Davis will hang out at the bottom of the top-200 in a bench role. There’s some upside if Randolph gets traded, but that’s not something owners can plan for on draft day. He’s only worth a look if you’re in a Dynasty format or a 14-18 team league. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 65 215 373 .58 0 71 128 .55 7.7 7.1 0.6 0.60 0.74 1.03 2011-2012 TOR 66 172 335 .51 0 71 106 .67 6.3 6.6 0.9 0.61 1.02 0.95 2012-2013 MEM 81 260 482 .54 0 103 167 .62 7.7 5.7 0.8 0.47 0.78 1.05 PROJ MEM 72 299 544 .55 1 106 180 .59 9.8 7.1 1.1 0.60 1.00 1.40 Anthony Davis - New Orleans Pelicans - C Age: 20 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 220 2012: Anthony Davis lived up to his status as the consensus No. 1 draft pick of 2012, averaging 13.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.2 steals, 1.8 blocks and only 1.4 turnovers. Those numbers are all better than Kevin Garnett’s first NBA season, and both guys logged 29 minutes per game as rookies. Davis only played only 64 games, however, due to a list of injuries which included multiple sprained ankles and sprained knees, a concussion, a groin injury, and a bruised shoulder. What’s Changed: Davis’ sprained MCL, which spoiled the end of his season, was reported to be ‘100 percent healthy’ in early June. The Pelicans have repeatedly
  • 93. 93NBA Season Preview said they want Davis to add weight and muscle to his 6’10’, 220-pound frame, and he agrees. The 20-year-old phenom skipped Summer League, but he more than compensated by practicing with Team USA during their mini-camp in July. Outlook: Davis boasted the league’s 16th-best Player Efficiency Rating at 21.7. He was similarly effective in fantasy leagues, where his solid percentages, steals, boards and blocks gave him top-40 value in both eight-cat and nine-cat leagues. Assuming he stays healthy, Davis should settle into second-round value this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 NO 64 349 676 .52 0 169 225 .75 13.5 8.2 1.0 1.17 1.39 1.75 PROJ NO 72 461 837 .55 0 208 274 .76 15.7 9.4 1.3 1.32 1.69 1.90 Austin Daye - Toronto Raptors - SG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 218 2012-2013: The Grizzlies picked up Daye last year as a throw-in player with the deal for Tayshaun Prince. The Gonzaga product played just 10.6 minutes per game with Memphis, below any of his averages with the Pistons in 3.5 seasons. What’s Changed: Daye signed a two-year deal with the Raptors, but the third verse is the same as the first. He shows promise and it makes sense that teams like the Raptors, Pistons and Grizzlies could use him, but it still hasn’t clicked for him. Outlook: If the Raptors get hit with the injury bug, Daye will likely share the extra minutes with Terrence Ross. Daye at least has more upside since he’s a better shooter and has a couple big lines on his game logs from previous seasons. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 72 193 471 .41 69 82 108 .76 7.5 3.8 1.1 0.54 0.82 0.54 2011-2012 DET 41 73 227 .32 13 35 43 .81 4.7 2.2 0.8 0.54 0.98 0.51 2012-2013 MEM 55 90 208 .43 41 26 34 .76 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.25 0.53 0.40 PROJ TOR 65 110 252 .44 59 53 65 .82 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.40 0.49 0.51 Nando De Colo - San Antonio Spurs - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: He had one of the best summer league games in July on the 15th, shooting 8-of-12 from the field for 19 points with eight assists, two steals, one turnover and two 3-pointers in 28 minutes. Astutely observing the sample size here, it’s not like De Colo went off last year. He did play 12.8 minutes per game, but his box scores were quiet at just 3.8 points, 1.9 assists, 0.6 steals and 0.4 triples. What’s Changed: His minutes did have an upward trend and his game against the Heat while the team rested players was one of the more memorable moments for the Spurs. That said, the Spurs still have the same core of players and De Colo is buried on the depth chart. Outlook: He and Cory Joseph would split time with a Parker injury, so the reward isn’t there as an extremely deep flier. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 SA 72 105 241 .44 31 35 44 .80 3.8 1.9 1.9 0.57 1.13 0.08 PROJ SA 75 116 262 .44 45 46 60 .77 4.3 2.2 2.4 0.71 1.20 0.11 Carlos Delfino - Milwaukee Bucks - SF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Delfino made it through 67 games last season, keeping his streak of disappointing health alive for another year. He also failed to live up to the hype, averaging just 10.6 points for the Rockets, but his 2.4 3-pointers per game were a career high. His shooting percentage is painful, but he helps make up for it by doing a nice job of stealing the ball year to year. What’s Changed: Delfino signed with the Bucks and could start at small forward. There’s also a chance the Bucks will use Ersan Ilyasova some at small forward, which would likely slow Delfino’s roll, as will the presence of O.J. Mayo at shooting guard. Outlook: If Delfino starts and manages to stay healthy, he could have a huge year, but the injury concerns make him a risky draft pick. Feel free to grab him if you find yourself desperate for 3-pointers in the middle rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 49 200 513 .39 105 60 75 .80 11.5 4.1 2.3 1.55 1.16 0.16 2011-2012 MLW 54 182 453 .40 86 38 48 .79 9.0 3.9 2.3 1.46 1.22 0.19 2012-2013 HOU 67 251 620 .40 158 48 56 .86 10.6 3.3 2.0 1.01 1.07 0.13 PROJ MLW 70 291 712 .41 171 58 71 .82 11.6 3.4 2.2 1.30 1.20 0.20 Luol Deng - Chicago Bulls - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Deng was hospitalized with a serious illness for part of the season, but still played in 75 games and had another fine season, averaging 16.5 points, 6.3 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.0 3-pointers per game, while shooting 43 percent from the floor and 82 percent from the line. What’s Changed: Deng’s shooting is a bit of a concern, but if you can get him late enough in your draft, he generally plays through injuries and is an effective fantasy player. His wrist will be an ongoing concern until he has surgery, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see him appear in 75 games this year. Outlook: Target Deng after the middle rounds of your draft and hope that his wrist injury doesn’t become a bigger issue this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 82 531 1155 .46 115 253 336 .75 17.4 5.8 2.8 0.95 1.90 0.59 2011-2012 CHI 54 311 755 .41 79 127 165 .77 15.3 6.5 2.9 1.04 1.78 0.67 2012-2013 CHI 75 466 1093 .43 75 230 282 .82 16.5 6.3 3.0 1.08 1.92 0.43 PROJ CHI 75 466 1070 .44 90 239 300 .80 16.8 6.4 2.8 1.11 1.99 0.47 DeMar DeRozan - Toronto Raptors - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 217 2012-2013: DeRozan’s shooting improved last year, hitting at a 41.4 percent clip from 16-23 feet, though his 28.3 percent 3-point shooting hindered his overall numbers. Otherwise, DD had a fairly big season with career highs in minutes, points, boards, assists, steals and FT attempts, and he even lowered his fouls and turnovers from last season. He finished with seventh-round value in standard leagues. What’s Changed: DeRozan’s situation hasn’t changed. He still has Terrence Ross behind him, though Ross doesn’t seem worthy of the lottery pick the team used on him last year. Dwane Casey said that DeRozan’s 3-point shot is improving, but we’ve seen this movie before and it ends badly. Outlook: DeRozan is going to get his points, but not much else. If you’re in a league that favors scoring he could be a sneaky pickup, but standard-league owners might want to let someone else gamble that the talk of his improved 3-point shooting is for real this time. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 82 539 1154 .47 5 327 402 .81 17.2 3.8 1.8 1.04 1.76 0.38 2011-2012 TOR 63 381 903 .42 24 268 331 .81 16.7 3.3 2.0 0.76 1.95 0.27 2012-2013 TOR 82 548 1231 .45 34 355 427 .83 18.1 3.9 2.5 0.93 1.84 0.29 PROJ TOR 82 504 1157 .44 41 352 427 .82 17.1 3.6 2.4 1.00 1.90 0.30 Boris Diaw - San Antonio Spurs - PF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Diaw averaged 5.8 points for the Spurs last season, but didn’t do enough with his 23 minutes a game to be used in most fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: He’ll be back with the Spurs this season and can play a bunch of positions, but the arrival of Jeff Pendergraph could hurt him, along with the presence of studs like Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard, as well as emerging center Tiago Splitter. Outlook: Don’t draft Diaw, but keep an eye on him throughout the season and be prepared to make a move on him if one of the Spurs main cogs goes down with an injury at some point. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHA 82 381 774 .49 78 84 123 .68 11.3 5.0 4.1 0.90 2.02 0.56 2011-2012 SA 57 156 351 .44 31 22 35 .63 6.4 4.9 3.6 0.60 1.96 0.44 2012-2013 SA 75 179 332 .54 30 47 65 .72 5.8 3.4 2.4 0.69 1.12 0.36 PROJ SA 72 187 358 .52 36 51 72 .71 6.4 3.8 2.5 0.72 1.31 0.46 Gorgui Dieng - Minnesota Timberwolves - C Age: 23 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Dieng averaged 9.8 points, 9.4 boards and 2.5 blocks in 31 minutes per game as a junior with Louisville last year. What’s Changed: The Wolves drafted Dieng No. 21 overall with the hope that he will blossom into a rim-protector (unlike Pekovic) who can rebound, learn the offensive system, and shore up their second unit’s defense. Dieng admitted that he was ‘kind of lost’ during his first few Summer League games, particularly on offense. Outlook: The fact that Dieng played three years in college makes him more NBA- ready than your typical rookie center, but he still has a long way to go. His solid physical attributes and impressive defensive abilities are countered by a raw, limited repertoire offensively, and fantasy leagues tend to overvalue offensive stats. Pass him by on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ MIN 70 145 281 .52 0 46 70 .66 4.8 4.8 0.9 0.70 1.10 1.50 Toney Douglas - Golden State Warriors - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Douglas found a bit of new life when he was traded to Sacramento, after he talked and played his way out of both New York and Houston. Not lacking confidence to put it nicely, he has good lateral quickness and shot 38 percent from deep last year. By overplaying his man on defense and expending a little bit of effort, he stood out at times on a Kings team that had rolled over on Keith Smart well before Douglas arrived. What’s Changed: A few good games didn’t change the market for Douglas, but he did land in a nice spot in Oakland where he will fight for the backup point guard job with combo guard Kent Bazemore. Outlook: Douglas and Bazemore are timeshare candidates if anything happens to Curry, so one would need to be in a massive format to take a chance on that calculus. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NY 81 314 755 .42 143 85 107 .79 10.6 3.0 3.0 1.10 1.10 0.05 2011-2012 NY 38 94 290 .32 27 22 26 .85 6.2 1.9 2.0 0.76 1.47 0.03 2012-2013 SAC 71 188 466 .40 82 76 84 .90 7.5 1.9 2.1 1.00 1.14 0.04 PROJ GS 66 184 440 .42 73 55 66 .83 7.5 2.3 2.7 1.11 1.20 0.05 Goran Dragic - Phoenix Suns - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: After an underwhelming start to the season, Dragic finished as one of the best point guards in the league down the stretch. In March and April, he shot 47 percent from the field for 16.6 points per game with 8.8 assists, 1.0 triples and 1.1 steals over those 20 games. The 27-year-old stayed fairly healthy through the course of the year, only missing five games and two of them coming as a strange coach’s decision in April. He finished the season with sixth-round value. What’s Changed: As encouraging as Dragic’s finish was, the ominous news of Eric Bledsoe showing up puts a damper on Dragic big time. He’s still probably going to find a way to get his 30 minutes, but the ball won’t be in his hands nearly as much. Outlook: Dragic’s ADP is going to take a hit and he could emerge as a bit of a value pick. He still has an array of weapons as a fantasy asset, so don’t be afraid to take a chance on him once the less risky guys are gone. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 70 192 441 .44 56 83 133 .62 7.5 2.0 2.9 0.71 1.67 0.14 2011-2012 HOU 66 277 600 .46 68 153 190 .81 11.7 2.5 5.3 1.29 2.38 0.15 2012-2013 PHO 77 401 906 .44 88 244 326 .75 14.7 3.1 7.4 1.61 2.75 0.34 PROJ PHO 78 425 932 .46 94 242 320 .76 15.2 3.2 7.7 1.50 2.90 0.29 Andre Drummond - Detroit Pistons - C Age: 20 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 279 2012-2013: Drummond played in 60 games after suffering a serious back injury, averaging 11.1 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks after the All-Star break. He dominated Summer League with averages of 15.5 points and 14.8 rebounds. What’s Changed: Mo Cheeks takes over at head coach and Drummond will line up alongside Greg Monroe and Josh Smith, giving the Pistons one of the more
  • 94. 94 NBA Season Preview intimidating front lines in the NBA. It should be a block party, while they also added Brandon Jennings to start at point guard. Outlook: Drummond enters the season fully healthy and projects as the Pistons’ starting center. He’s a blocking machine but his FT shooting will be disastrous (37.1 percent last year) and he’s probably best left untouched in Roto leagues. But in head- to-head and points leagues he’ll be one of the most popular sleeper picks in this year’s drafts, even though he may struggle offensively with Jennings, Smith and Monroe around to do most of the scoring. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DET 60 208 342 .61 1 59 159 .37 7.9 7.6 0.5 0.98 0.95 1.58 PROJ DET 78 409 677 .60 0 110 257 .43 11.9 9.5 0.6 0.94 1.60 2.17 Jared Dudley - Los Angeles Clippers - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: After an eye-catching 2011-12, Dudley was a bit of a letdown. He finished the season with 10.9 points, 3.1 boards, 0.9 steals and 1.3 triples. His numbers were trending down as the season went along, playing just 24.1 minutes per game with his usage rate also taking a massive hit after the All-Star break. What’s Changed: New GM Ryan McDonough sent Dudley to the Clippers in a terrific deal to acquire Eric Bledsoe. It’s not a terrible landing spot for Dudley and presumably, he could assume Caron Butler’s 24.1 minutes per game with Matt Barnes behind him. The Clippers did also draft a highly-talented Reggie Bullock, so that’ll be something to keep an eye on. Outlook: The Clippers likely picked up Dudley with the mindset of trying to improve their already impressive 3-point shooting. It’s going to be tough for J-Dud to get shots with J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford also getting their share of looks. Dudley will have his hot stretches, but he’s not someone that’s worth a target in standards. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 82 300 629 .48 105 162 218 .74 10.6 3.9 1.3 1.06 0.94 0.24 2011-2012 PHO 65 312 643 .49 80 119 164 .73 12.7 4.6 1.7 0.75 1.11 0.29 2012-2013 PHO 79 313 669 .47 106 129 162 .80 10.9 3.1 2.6 0.95 1.28 0.10 PROJ LAC 80 244 517 .47 112 129 160 .81 9.1 2.5 2.2 0.80 1.19 0.20 Tim Duncan - San Antonio Spurs - PF Age: 37 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Duncan’s one of the best players ever and shockingly turned in one of his best seasons ever. He made a career-high 81.7 percent from the line, his 14.1 FGAs were the most he’s shot in four seasons, the 2.7 blocks were the first time he’s eradicated at least 2.0 in the last six seasons, and he played 30.1 minutes per game. And even with 13 missed games he finished with first-round value. What’s Changed: The Spurs didn’t do much in the offseason and Duncan is still going to be a workhorse, taking as many minutes as Gregg Popovich will give him. Outlook: Myopic fantasy owners probably won’t let Duncan slide much following his renaissance last year, but if you see him slide past some of the studs and sky-high upside guys, it might not be a bad idea to swallow your pride and take the plunge on TD. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 76 419 838 .50 0 184 257 .72 13.4 8.9 2.7 0.66 1.61 1.92 2011-2012 SA 58 361 733 .49 0 173 249 .69 15.4 9.0 2.3 0.66 1.67 1.52 2012-2013 SA 69 490 976 .50 2 245 300 .82 17.8 9.9 2.7 0.72 2.13 2.65 PROJ SA 72 461 914 .50 0 223 288 .77 15.9 9.4 2.5 0.72 2.00 2.40 Mike Dunleavy - Chicago Bulls - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Dunleavy spent the last couple seasons with the Bucks, playing in 55 and 75 games while dealing with various injuries, as well as some playing time issues. His minutes played have dropped for three straight seasons, while his production wasn’t great last year. He averaged 10.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.7 3-pointers in 26 minutes over 75 games, mostly as a bench player. What’s Changed: Dunleavy signed with the Bulls where he’ll serve as Luol Deng’s primary backup, while also spending some time at shooting guard. Outlook: Injuries are always a concern for Dunleavy and the fact he’s 33 isn’t going to help in that area. The good news is that he made it through last season in one piece and he won’t be needed to play heavy minutes in Chicago. He’ll likely have some fantasy value at some point during the season, especially if Deng goes down, but it would have to be a pretty deep league for Dunleavy to be drafted. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 61 240 520 .46 102 100 125 .80 11.2 4.5 1.7 0.66 1.13 0.49 2011-2012 MLW 55 239 504 .47 83 116 143 .81 12.3 3.7 2.1 0.51 1.05 0.15 2012-2013 MLW 75 276 624 .44 128 105 128 .82 10.5 3.9 1.9 0.52 1.20 0.47 PROJ CHI 72 295 654 .45 108 123 151 .81 11.4 3.5 1.7 0.50 1.31 0.44 Kevin Durant - Oklahoma City Thunder - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Kevin Durant turned in another MVP-worthy season full of career-high numbers, scoring 28.1 points per game (second in the NBA) on 51.0 percent shooting, with 1.7 threes, 7.9 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. He missed one game all year, a precautionary DNP-CD on April 17, making him the leading eight-cat and nine-cat fantasy player on both a per-game and cumulative basis. What’s Changed: Other than committing to play for Team USA in the FIBA World Cup in Spain next summer, Durant had a below-the-radar offseason. That’s typical of OKC’s humble superstar, who undoubtedly used the months to fine-tune and expand his already devastating abilities on both ends of the court. Outlook: Durant’s prolific free throw shooting gives him a critical edge in most fantasy leagues,his 90.5 percent FT shooting ranked first in the NBA, and his 9.3 attempts per game ranked third behind James Harden and Dwight Howard. He’s the only player in the NBA who is a plus-contributor in every category of eight-cat leagues, and combined with his durability (15 games missed in six seasons) he’s the odds-on favorite to remain the fantasy basketball MVP. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 78 711 1538 .46 145 594 675 .88 27.7 6.8 2.7 1.13 2.79 0.97 2011-2012 OKC 66 643 1297 .50 133 431 501 .86 28.0 8.0 3.5 1.33 3.76 1.17 2012-2013 OKC 81 731 1433 .51 139 679 750 .91 28.1 7.9 4.6 1.43 3.46 1.30 PROJ OKC 79 734 1457 .50 142 649 727 .89 28.6 8.0 4.4 1.30 3.51 1.25 Wayne Ellington - Dallas Mavericks - SG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Ellington averaged 10.4 points and 1.4 3-pointers once he was shipped from Memphis to Cleveland last season, but was nothing more than a pick-and-play waiver option in deeper leagues. What’s Changed: Ellington signed with the Mavericks where he will back up new SG Monta Ellis, who was also signed as a free agent this summer. Outlook: Ellis doesn’t typically miss games and we doubt the Mavs signed him to put him on the bench. Therefore, we’re not expecting much from Ellington on his new team. Ignore him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 62 160 397 .40 48 42 53 .79 6.6 1.7 1.2 0.45 0.85 0.05 2011-2012 MIN 51 122 302 .40 35 32 40 .80 6.1 1.9 0.6 0.51 0.51 0.20 2012-2013 CLE 78 226 529 .43 94 68 75 .91 7.9 2.1 1.3 0.58 0.73 0.04 PROJ DAL 78 250 588 .43 117 108 125 .86 9.3 3.1 1.5 0.76 0.99 0.14 Monta Ellis - Dallas Mavericks - SG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Ellis enjoyed his first full season in Milwaukee, bouncing back a bit by averaging 19 points, four boards, six assists, two steals and a 3-pointer per game, without missing a single one all year. He finished with solid third-round value, in part because he played in all 82 games, and despite his 41.6 percent shooting. What’s Changed: Ellis signed with the Mavericks and will take over the starting shooting guard position from O.J. Mayo, who is now in Milwaukee. It will be interesting to see how well Ellis shares the ball with Dirk Nowitzki and his other teammates, as Mayo’s numbers really dropped off once Dirk returned to action from knee surgery last year. Outlook: Ellis is a volume shooter and scorer, and while he isn’t likely to average more than 20 points per game like he has for much of his career, he will still be option 1B for the Mavs this season. Target him in Round 3 or 4 and beware of his poor field goal shooting and high turnovers. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 80 726 1611 .45 137 340 431 .79 24.1 3.5 5.6 2.10 3.15 0.29 2011-2012 MLW 58 450 1040 .43 62 219 275 .80 20.4 3.4 6.0 1.47 3.05 0.31 2012-2013 MLW 82 597 1436 .42 94 289 374 .77 19.2 3.9 6.0 2.06 3.10 0.44 PROJ DAL 80 601 1410 .43 96 279 360 .78 19.7 3.8 5.5 1.96 3.01 0.33 Reggie Evans - Brooklyn Nets - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Evans was one of the best surprises of the fantasy season last year, despite averaging just 4.5 points in less than 25 minutes per game. His 11.1 rebounds were a difference maker, and he hauled in 20 or more boards nine times, the first of which didn’t happen until January. What’s Changed: Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Andrei Kirilenko will all be around to challenge Evans for boards this season, not to mention Brook Lopez and Andray Blatche. Outlook: Evans’ rebounding prowess was fun last year, but his lack of offense, and all the new bigs in Brooklyn should mean a decline for the 33-year-old. But if you find yourself desperate for boards near the end of your draft, Evans may be worth a flier. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 30 42 103 .41 0 48 88 .55 4.4 11.5 1.3 0.97 1.30 0.20 2011-2012 LAC 56 34 72 .47 0 36 71 .51 1.9 4.8 0.3 0.55 0.79 0.11 2012-2013 BKN 80 125 261 .48 0 113 222 .51 4.5 11.1 0.5 0.93 1.39 0.16 PROJ BKN 75 92 193 .48 0 93 180 .52 3.7 7.9 0.4 0.71 1.11 0.20 Tyreke Evans - New Orleans Pelicans - SF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 220 2012: A left knee injury sidelined Tyreke, who was out for nearly the entire month of December, limiting him to 56 games played. He wound up averaging 15.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 31 minutes per game, all career lows, and finished the year with eighth-round fantasy value (cumulative). What’s Changed: A three-team trade brought Evans to New Orleans, where he’ll serve as either starting SF (a role he’s never embraced in the past) or sixth-man. Outlook: No matter where Monty Williams puts him to start the game, the Pelicans will find plenty of minutes for their $44 million man. The offense will be explosive and fast with Holiday, Evans and Eric Gordon each capable of pushing the pace, and bigs like Anthony Davis and Ryan Anderson capable of keeping up, and Tyreke should have a nice year as he looks to re-establish himself outside of Sacramento. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 57 382 933 .41 43 205 266 .77 17.8 4.8 5.6 1.49 3.23 0.53 2011-2012 SAC 63 408 900 .45 20 201 258 .78 16.5 4.6 4.5 1.33 2.71 0.46 2012-2013 SAC 65 366 765 .48 45 210 271 .77 15.2 4.4 3.5 1.38 1.97 0.42 PROJ NO 68 370 796 .46 48 226 292 .77 14.9 4.5 3.9 1.50 2.40 0.51 Jeremy Evans - Utah Jazz - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 194 2012-2013: In his third year, Evans’ numbers dipped yet again. He played just 37 games with the team and played more than 12 minutes in a game just three times on the season. Evans doesn’t have much to his game outside of being able to dunk and he was off the fantasy radar the entire year. What’s Changed: The Jazz lost their starting frontcourt, but there’s little reason to think that Evans will be able to help fill the void. He could be the next man up if any of the main rotational big men miss time, but we’ll cross that bridge when we get to it. Outlook: His minutes trending down pretty much tell you all you need to know about Evans. He’s not worth your time in fantasy leagues.
  • 95. 95NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 49 76 115 .66 0 26 37 .70 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.35 0.39 0.35 2011-2012 UTA 29 27 42 .64 0 8 16 .50 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.21 0.17 0.83 2012-2013 UTA 37 27 44 .61 0 21 33 .64 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.22 0.22 0.35 PROJ UTA 65 133 219 .61 0 40 65 .62 4.7 2.3 0.6 0.31 0.51 0.65 Festus Ezeli - Golden State Warriors - C Age: 24 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Despite Andrew Bogut’s 32 games, Ezeli averaged just 14 minutes per game, 2.4 points and 4.0 rebounds for the Warriors last season. What’s Changed: He had knee surgery in June and isn’t expected to be back until January or February. Outlook: Ignore him on draft night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 GS 78 74 169 .44 0 43 81 .53 2.4 4.0 0.3 0.29 0.81 0.95 PROJ GS 39 66 145 .46 0 29 51 .57 4.1 4.6 0.3 0.31 0.69 0.79 Kenneth Faried - Denver Nuggets - PF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Faried didn’t have the breakout season we were hoping for, but was a very good power forward, averaging 11.5 points, 9.2 rebounds, a steal and block on 55 percent shooting, although he hit just 61 percent of his free throws last season. What’s Changed: The arrival of J.J. Hickson and Darrell Arthur aren’t going to do Faried any favors, but we’re guessing new coach Brian Shaw will see the Manimal for what he is, and turn him loose this season. Outlook: Faried is generally a fun player to own, although more blocks and better free throw shooting would be nice. But as long as he’s starting, he looks like a solid starting power forward option in fantasy leagues. Just watch training camp as the battle for the job between Faried and Hickson unfolds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 DEN 46 181 309 .59 0 109 164 .66 10.2 7.7 0.8 0.74 1.17 1.02 2012-2013 DEN 80 380 689 .55 0 163 266 .61 11.5 9.2 1.0 1.01 1.41 1.04 PROJ DEN 81 463 816 .57 0 183 284 .64 13.7 9.8 1.2 1.10 1.51 1.06 Jordan Farmar - Los Angeles Lakers - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Farmar averaged about 30 minutes per game for Turkish squad Anadolu Efes, scoring 14 points per game while shooting 47 percent from the field and 40 percent from deep. What’s Changed: Steve Nash and Steve Blake are ahead of him on the depth chart at point guard, while Jodie Meeks, Wes Johnson and Nick Young will all compete for minutes on the wing behind Kobe Bryant. Outlook: Betting on Farmar after a year overseas is the longest shot in the group. Even if he does surprise and earn minutes, anything above 25 mpg would be a shock. A flier pick in 20-25 team leagues is the most we can get behind. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BKN 73 255 651 .39 109 82 100 .82 9.6 2.4 5.0 0.85 1.90 0.08 2011-0 BKN 39 147 315 .47 55 57 63 .90 10.4 1.6 3.3 0.62 1.74 0.05 PROJ LAK 75 162 375 .43 113 96 113 .85 7.1 1.9 3.4 0.71 1.80 0.11 Derrick Favors - Utah Jazz - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 263 2012-2013: Favors entered the season as a very popular sleeper, with Jazz beat writers saying he would start ahead of Paul Millsap. That didn’t happen, but he has improved his FT shooting in each of his three years and his points and boards have also been on the rise. He struggled on shots away from the rim, making just 29.0 percent of his 279 attempts more than three feet from the basket, and finished the year with eighth- round value. What’s Changed: Favors is now the clear-cut starting power forward for the Jazz. In eight starts last year, he averaged a double-double with 2.3 blocks in 27.3 minutes per game, though he did struggle with trouble. In six starts at power forward, he committed 4.0 fouls per game (Dwight Howard led the NBA with 3.8 on the season). With few backup options, Favors should get as many minutes as he can handle. Outlook: If he shoots 70 percent from the FT line like he did after the All-Star break, Favors should become a three-cat beast in points, boards and blocks while not hurting percentages. He’s going to cost a lot on draft day, but grabbing him in the early-middle rounds could be worth the risk. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 78 215 416 .52 0 103 173 .60 6.8 5.3 0.5 0.37 0.99 0.86 2011-2012 UTA 65 222 445 .50 0 126 194 .65 8.8 6.5 0.7 0.58 1.58 1.00 2012-2013 UTA 77 274 568 .48 0 179 260 .69 9.4 7.1 1.0 0.87 1.68 1.69 PROJ UTA 79 404 813 .50 0 203 292 .70 14.1 9.6 1.3 1.00 1.99 1.90 Raymond Felton - New York Knicks - PG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Felton bounced back in New York last season, but fizzled late in the playoffs, finishing with two points on 0-of-7 shooting in his final game, a loss to the Pacers. What’s Changed: Felton will have Andrea Bargnani to pass to this season and is hoping Mike Woodson will allow the offense to run a bit more. Outlook: Felton is the unchallenged starting point guard for the Knicks and returned eighth-round value in most leagues. He could show some improvement this season, but should still be treated as a second point guard option in most fantasy leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 75 427 1005 .42 116 194 241 .80 15.5 3.6 8.3 1.67 2.95 0.15 2011-2012 POR 60 261 642 .41 62 100 124 .81 11.4 2.5 6.5 1.30 2.83 0.17 2012-2013 NY 68 377 882 .43 93 101 128 .79 13.9 2.9 5.5 1.38 2.28 0.21 PROJ NY 75 390 919 .42 113 119 150 .79 13.5 3.1 5.9 1.40 2.51 0.20 Evan Fournier - Denver Nuggets - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 204 2012-2013: Fournier had a nice rookie season, averaging 5.3 points in 38 games, but saw those numbers shoot up to 13 points, 1.3 steals and 1.3 3-pointers in four starts he made last year. What’s Changed: Andre Iguodala is now on the Warriors and Nate Robinson and Randy Foye have joined the Nuggets, along with new coach Brian Shaw. Outlook: Fournier probably has more competition for minutes this season than he did last year, so it would be surprising if he does too much more than he managed last season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DEN 38 75 152 .49 22 30 39 .77 5.3 0.9 1.2 0.50 0.84 0.03 PROJ DEN 75 216 444 .49 53 71 90 .79 7.4 1.4 1.7 0.60 1.00 0.15 Randy Foye - Denver Nuggets - SG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Foye played in all 82 games for Utah last season, averaging 10.8 points and 2.2 3-pointers, but wasn’t a must-own in fantasy. What’s Changed: Brian Shaw replaces George Karl at coach and Andre Iguodala is now playing for GSW, clearing a hole at shooting guard in Denver. Foye may very well be the opening-night starter, while Nate Robinson, Evan Fournier and rookie Erick Green will likely back him up. Outlook: Foye didn’t exactly kill it in his 82 games last season but could once again be a starting NBA shooting guard, and could match last season’s production. But with Robinson waiting in the wings, it doesn’t appear likely to happen, although he should hit a couple threes per game. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 63 206 531 .39 71 133 149 .89 9.8 1.6 2.7 0.75 1.51 0.33 2011-2012 LAC 65 256 644 .40 127 73 85 .86 11.0 2.1 2.2 0.71 1.12 0.37 2012-2013 UTA 82 293 738 .40 178 118 144 .82 10.8 1.5 2.0 0.80 1.12 0.33 PROJ DEN 80 310 783 .40 160 132 152 .87 11.4 1.9 2.1 0.80 1.19 0.31 Jamaal Franklin - Memphis Grizzlies - SG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: The Mountain West Player of the Year at San Diego State the year before last, Franklin had another solid season in which he averaged 16.6 points, 1.3 treys, 9.4 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.6 steals and 0.7 blocks. Called the most athletic player in the draft by some, he has shown the ability to hit the three but shot selection and recklessness on offense made shooting a big concern heading into the draft. What’s Changed: Franklin joins a Grizzlies squad prepped to make a run in the West and on the wing they have Tony Allen, Quincy Pondexter, Tayshaun Prince and Mike Miller. The latter three have age and/or injury issues, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see Franklin pressed into action at some point during the season. Outlook: Dynasty owners should certainly have Franklin on their radar, but his shooting will remain a concern. If he can keep things moving in the right direction he’ll be a poor man’s version of Kawhi Leonard, who also played at SD State. As for this season, redraft owners can take a pass outside of 30-team formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ MEM 75 159 376 .42 83 73 90 .81 6.3 1.8 1.7 0.87 1.41 0.12 Jimmer Fredette - Sacramento Kings - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Jimmer Fredette did improve in his second season, but he played only 14.0 minutes per game and didn’t make a single start, hardly justifying the Kings’ decision to draft him in the lottery in 2011. What’s Changed: The Kings drafted another shooting guard in Ben McLemore, which speaks volumes about their commitment to The Jimmer. Mike Malone was hired as the Kings’ new head coach, and he has done well with guys who are perceived to be strong shooters. Outlook: Despite Malone’s arrival, there is no reason to believe Jimmer will have any value this season with the Kings. His best chance for a kick-start would be a trade, and the Kings have been ‘listening’ to offers, but we’re not expecting a team to make a deal for him. He can be left on the wire. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 SAC 61 172 446 .39 78 40 48 .83 7.6 1.2 1.8 0.49 1.10 0.05 2012-2013 SAC 69 172 409 .42 65 85 99 .86 7.2 1.0 1.3 0.45 0.99 0.04 PROJ SAC 72 231 545 .42 86 93 108 .86 8.9 1.2 1.5 0.50 1.10 0.06 Channing Frye - Phoenix Suns - PF Age: 30 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Frye missed all of last season after undergoing heart surgery in October. What’s Changed: It’s still unclear whether he’ll be able to return, but Frye did say that he’s ‘95 percent positive’ that he’ll be able to return and the team is optimistic he’ll be able to play. Outlook: If he’s able to return to the NBA, it’s unlikely to be until at least 2014 given the lack of updates on his comeback. He could have value with the Suns a little thin up front. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 77 358 829 .43 171 89 107 .83 12.7 6.7 1.2 0.60 0.95 1.03 2011-0 PHO 64 255 613 .42 91 73 82 .89 10.5 5.9 1.4 0.66 0.98 1.09 PROJ PHO 38 112 262 .43 57 39 46 .85 8.4 4.5 1.3 0.61 1.11 1.00 Danilo Gallinari - Denver Nuggets - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Gallinari played in 71 games, the second highest number in his five-year career, and averaged 16.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, 0.9 steals and 1.9 3-pointers on 41.8 percent shooting. Of course, he went down hard in April with a torn ACL in his left knee and had two surgeries to correct the problem. What’s Changed: Gallinari may not be ready to play until after the new year and is hoping to resume basketball drills in December. Additionally, Andre Iguodala is now
  • 96. 96 NBA Season Preview playing small forward for the Warriors, while Brian Shaw takes over from George Karl as head coach. Outlook: Gallo’s simply an injury-prone player, and the fact we don’t know when he’ll play is a huge concern. Wilson Chandler looks like the man in his absence and could have an excellent year if it takes Gallinari some time to get fully healthy. Gallo is officially a risk vs. reward player, and we’re thinking you should let someone else deal with the headaches he causes, unless he falls until the later rounds of your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 62 265 640 .41 103 337 391 .86 15.6 4.9 1.7 0.82 1.34 0.44 2011-2012 DEN 43 193 466 .41 60 182 209 .87 14.6 4.7 2.7 0.98 1.58 0.53 2012-2013 DEN 71 364 871 .42 135 286 348 .82 16.2 5.2 2.5 0.90 1.56 0.51 PROJ DEN 44 204 490 .42 71 186 221 .84 15.1 4.6 2.3 0.93 1.70 0.50 Francisco Garcia - Houston Rockets - SF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Garcia suffered through a wasted season until he was traded to the Rockets, where he stepped up in the playoffs once Kevin McHale unleashed him with starter’s minutes. What’s Changed: By scoring approximately 15 points with three triples and a block and steal per game over the Rockets’ last four playoff games, Cisco earned himself a two-year deal with a player option. For a team lacking experienced depth on the wings, he’s a steal at just $1.3 million per year. Outlook: Dwight Howard will siphon off a handful of interior touches, but this is the same run-and-gun unit from last year. Patrick Beverly is Garcia’s biggest threat for backup minutes, but the group of Omri Casspi, Reggie Williams and Terrence Jones is a massive question mark. Garcia a good bet for 20-25 minutes propping up the reserve unit in Carlos Delfino’s old role. His defense is serviceable, he can handle the ball, and most importantly he is a 36% career 3-point shooter. He could flirt with late- round value and is worth a glance in deeper leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 58 207 475 .44 81 65 76 .86 9.7 2.3 1.2 0.88 0.78 0.84 2011-2012 SAC 49 86 229 .38 38 24 30 .80 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.73 0.45 0.76 2012-2013 HOU 58 118 300 .39 67 18 21 .86 5.5 1.6 1.1 0.79 0.55 0.66 PROJ HOU 74 222 525 .42 96 38 44 .86 7.8 1.6 1.1 0.80 0.81 0.50 Kevin Garnett - Brooklyn Nets - PF Age: 37 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 253 2012-2013: KG played in 68 games in his 18th season and spent most of his time at center for the undermanned Celtics. Despite playing less than 30 minutes per game for the first time since his rookie season, he still averaged 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks per game. What’s Changed: KG and Paul Pierce will join new coach Jason Kidd and free agent forward Andrei Kirilenko in Brooklyn after agreeing to a monster trade that got them out of a serious rebuild in Boston. Outlook: Garnett still has some gas left in the tank and won’t have to play monster minutes for the Nets. He’ll still be worth owning in fantasy, but like most of his teammates, don’t think about grabbing him until after the early rounds, and then only if you need big-man numbers. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 71 434 822 .53 1 187 217 .86 14.9 8.9 2.4 1.34 1.62 0.80 2011-2012 BOS 60 391 777 .50 3 162 189 .86 15.8 8.2 2.9 0.93 1.78 1.02 2012-2013 BOS 68 422 850 .50 2 158 201 .79 14.8 7.8 2.3 1.15 1.62 0.91 PROJ BKN 70 390 778 .50 7 173 210 .82 13.7 7.8 2.7 1.00 1.50 0.96 Marc Gasol - Memphis Grizzlies - C Age: 28 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: Gasol was a model of consistency all year, ranking in the top 15-45 players in per-game value for every month of the season. He won the Defensive Player of the Year award and survived a near abdominal tear at the end of the year, ultimately missing just two games all season. He finished as a top-10 play in most formats. What’s Changed: The Grizz added Kosta Koufos for depth at center and the new, statistics-friendly front office replaced coach Lionel Hollins with Dave Joerger, who says he wants to play ‘faster’ despite having two lumbering big men in his frontcourt. Outlook: Gasol averaged one rebound and 0.2 blocks per game less than his top- 15 campaign from the year before. But gains elsewhere (FG shooting, assists, and most notably a 10-point gain in FT percentage) helped push him into the top-10. A regression in his FT shooting is certainly possible, but the only real concern this season is that with added depth the team might chop a minute or two off his load. Still, Gasol is among the safest early round picks in fantasy drafts this year and owners can start to look at him in the second round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 81 364 691 .53 3 220 294 .75 11.7 7.0 2.5 0.91 1.80 1.68 2011-2012 MEM 65 357 740 .48 1 237 317 .75 14.6 8.9 3.1 0.95 1.86 1.86 2012-2013 MEM 80 429 869 .49 1 268 316 .85 14.1 7.8 4.0 1.00 1.96 1.74 PROJ MEM 79 440 875 .50 0 257 332 .77 14.4 8.0 3.9 1.00 2.00 0.53 Pau Gasol - Los Angeles Lakers - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 275 2012-2013: It was a frustrating year for Gasol, who missed 33 games due primarily to a torn plantar fascia, a concussion and knee tendinitis. Mike D’Antoni often went away from Gasol so Dwight Howard could play center in a small-ball lineup, and Pau saw declines in playing time (four minutes), FG percentage (46.6%) and FT percentage (70.2%). He showed flashes of his prior year’s form but he finished the in the bottom of the top-100 on a per-game basis. What’s Changed: D’Antoni is still around but Dwight is gone, and although Chris Kaman was signed to a one-year deal, the offense will increasingly feature Gasol at center. Jordan Hill is the only other frontcourt player who could theoretically cut into Gasol’s playing time, but that’s unlikely. Outlook: With Dwight out of town Gasol could return to his normal levels of production, which theoretically could approach his top-20 per-game numbers from 2011-12. Then again, he could see his minutes chopped in an effort to preserve his health and D’Antoni could cool him once more. We’ll be watching preseason reports to see if some of that downside can be ruled out, but for now owners need to tread carefully and aim somewhere around the early-to-middle rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 82 593 1120 .53 1 354 430 .82 18.8 10.2 3.3 0.59 1.73 1.59 2011-2012 LAK 65 459 917 .50 7 204 261 .78 17.4 10.4 3.7 0.57 2.18 1.35 2012-2013 LAK 49 270 579 .47 8 125 178 .70 13.7 8.6 4.1 0.49 2.12 1.24 PROJ LAK 74 465 936 .50 15 224 297 .75 15.8 9.5 3.8 0.59 1.99 1.30 Rudy Gay - Toronto Raptors - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: A move from Memphis to Toronto worked out well for Gay. While his minutes went down, his points, FGP and attempts, free throw shooting and attempts, rebounds, assists, steals and threes all went up. He finished the season with sixth- round value. What’s Changed: Toronto decided to get a bunch of garbage and put it behind Rudy at the three. They added Steve Novak and Quentin Richardson, so it goes without saying that his minutes are safe. Outlook: There isn’t much reason to think Gay’s numbers will be much different from what he put up with the Raptors last year. His shots might come down with Jonas Valanciunas getting a bigger piece of the pie, but his production should be there. He’s a fairly safe pick in the third round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 54 409 869 .47 57 194 241 .80 19.8 6.2 2.8 1.69 2.50 1.07 2011-2012 MEM 65 485 1067 .45 54 208 263 .79 19.0 6.4 2.3 1.46 2.48 0.85 2012-2013 TOR 75 521 1253 .42 84 240 295 .81 18.2 6.1 2.7 1.51 2.64 0.71 PROJ TOR 79 603 1395 .43 103 288 340 .85 20.2 6.5 2.7 1.59 2.70 0.75 Alonzo Gee - Cleveland Cavaliers - SF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 219 2012-2013: Gee didn’t miss a game last season, but didn’t have the breakout many thought was coming, either. He basically had the same season he had the previous year, with one less rebound per game. His shooting percentage fell off a cliff late in the year and he was dropped my most of the folks who owned him throughout the season. What’s Changed: The Cavs see Gee as a backup wingman, and as long as that’s the expectation, fantasy owners shouldn’t get too excited. However, if they’re not prepared to start Anthony Bennett or Earl Clark at small forward, Gee might be the default starter. Rookie Sergey Karasev has looked good early and will also likely see solid minutes this season. Outlook: Feel free to take a last-round flier on Gee, especially if he wins a starting job, but leaving him on waivers in most leagues is probably the way to go. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CLE 56 121 264 .46 17 72 92 .78 5.9 3.3 0.7 0.71 0.98 0.32 2011-2012 CLE 63 227 551 .41 44 167 212 .79 10.6 5.1 1.8 1.32 1.81 0.27 2012-2013 CLE 82 305 744 .41 69 163 205 .80 10.3 3.9 1.6 1.30 1.61 0.35 PROJ CLE 80 287 672 .43 64 186 232 .80 10.3 4.2 1.7 1.30 1.69 0.35 Paul George - Indiana Pacers - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: George started slow and more than a few leagues were won by owners who bought low, as the emerging superstar turned on the jets en route to first-round fantasy value. Things only got better in the playoffs, as he went toe-to-toe with LeBron James and nearly led the Pacers to a Finals appearance by taking the Heat to the brink. What’s Changed: Danny Granger was a benign threat to George’s value throughout last year. Granger will reportedly be ‘100 percent’ by the time the season starts, but the 30-year old veteran still has to prove he can stay on the floor, and in any event he won’t be stealing many, if any, touches from George. Outlook: George’s FG percentage dipped to 41.9 percent, which isn’t surprising given his additional 2.4 3-point attempts and 5.2 FG attempts. It’s even possible that he hasn’t scratched the surface of his talent, as one second he looks raw and the next he has adjusted to make the same exact play correctly. With job security, health and room to grow on all fronts, he will compete to be a top-5 play. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 61 179 395 .45 41 77 101 .76 7.8 3.7 1.1 1.02 1.15 0.43 2011-2012 IND 66 281 639 .44 90 146 182 .80 12.1 5.6 2.4 1.64 1.77 0.58 2012-2013 IND 79 493 1176 .42 170 221 274 .81 17.4 7.6 4.1 1.81 2.95 0.65 PROJ IND 80 520 1193 .44 184 248 305 .81 18.4 7.4 3.9 1.70 2.89 0.64 Taj Gibson - Chicago Bulls - PF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Gibson clocked in with just 8.0 points and 5.3 boards last season, but averaged 16 points, 12 boards and an impressive 3.2 blocks per game in his five starts. What’s Changed: Carlos Boozer will return to the Bulls this season, but could be amnestied next summer. While this is bad news for the upcoming year, dynasty leaguers need to take notice. Outlook: Gibson doesn’t have much of a chance to make a fantasy splash as long as Joakim Noah and Boozer are healthy this season, but once this year is behind him, (or if another big man goes down) Gibson could be ready for an explosion in 2014-15. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 80 234 502 .47 1 100 148 .68 7.1 5.7 0.7 0.49 0.89 1.33 2011-2012 CHI 63 200 404 .50 0 84 135 .62 7.7 5.3 0.7 0.43 0.95 1.29 2012-2013 CHI 65 214 441 .49 0 89 131 .68 8.0 5.3 0.9 0.42 1.17 1.38 PROJ CHI 73 224 454 .49 0 100 145 .69 7.5 5.0 0.8 0.40 1.00 1.30
  • 97. 97NBA Season Preview Manu Ginobili - San Antonio Spurs - SG Age: 36 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: One look at Manu’s hairline and it’s easy to see his career is winding down. In 2012-13 he played only 60 games and his 23.2 minutes and 11.8 minutes per game were his lowest since him rookie campaign back in 2002-03. What’s Changed: As those stats show, Ginobili’s game is falling apart. He shot a miserable 32.9 percent on his jumpers last year, Danny Green is coming on strong, Kawhi Leonard made a case for more shots, and Tony Parker has done a nice job facilitating the offense. Outlook: It may sound harsh, but Manu is barely worth drafting. His 42.5 percent FG shooting last year marked his lowest since his sophomore season, his FT percentage fell to sub-80 percent, and a sequence of injuries put him near the 150-mark for player value. If you draft him in the late rounds it might be wise to just cut him at the first sign of trouble, and we’d rather take a chance on a young up-and-coming player. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 80 441 1018 .43 154 357 410 .87 17.4 3.7 4.9 1.54 2.18 0.35 2011-2012 SA 34 150 285 .53 52 88 101 .87 12.9 3.4 4.4 0.71 1.88 0.35 2012-2013 SA 60 229 539 .42 83 164 206 .80 11.8 3.4 4.6 1.33 2.20 0.22 PROJ SA 65 210 469 .45 85 167 202 .83 10.3 3.2 4.4 1.09 2.18 0.31 Rudy Gobert - Utah Jazz - C Age: 21 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: The Jazz snagged the lanky Frenchman with the 27th pick after a trade with the Nuggets. Gobert has an absurd 7’9’wingspan and a standing reach of 9’4’, so he can basically dunk on his tippy toes. What’s Changed: The Jazz haven’t been bashful about praising Gobert and he could be a quick riser for them. He’ll play behind Enes Kanter and could be in the rotation with a strong preseason. Outlook: The Jazz are really thin in the frontcourt, so it’s one of the best places for a raw project like Gobert. He played well in Summer League and could be a solid NBA player thanks to his length, quick feet and presence around the rim, but he needs to get stronger and put on weight. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ UTA 60 114 206 .55 0 43 60 .72 4.5 3.9 0.2 0.30 0.98 1.00 Ryan Gomes - Oklahoma City Thunder - SF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 245 2012: Gomes played eight games for the Artland Dragons last season, averaging 12.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting, with 5.9 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.0 steals per game. What’s Changed: The Thunder signed Gomes to an unguaranteed one-year minimum contract this summer. Outlook: As a 35 percent shooter from downtown in his NBA career, Gomes could provide some fill-in minutes while spreading the court and scoring for a second unit weakened by Kevin Martin’s departure. That depends upon him making the team, however, and he’s not a fantasy asset. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 76 207 505 .41 72 61 85 .72 7.2 3.3 1.6 0.82 0.72 0.16 2011-0 LAC 32 31 95 .33 4 8 11 .73 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.50 0.47 0.00 PROJ OKC 65 177 435 .41 33 51 66 .77 6.7 2.2 1.0 0.60 0.80 0.20 Archie Goodwin - Phoenix Suns - SG Age: 19 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 198 2012-2013: Archie Goodwin was one of the most striking players in summer league. He played with a lot of energy and the Suns have to be feeling pretty good about picking him up at 29 in the draft. He scored 14.1 points per game in his only season at Kentucky, adding 1.1 steals and 0.5 triples in 31.8 minutes. He has some ability and a game that may translate to fantasy hoops, too. What’s Changed: He actually has a decent path to minutes and as just one of two guards that is the new brain trust’s guy, it’s within the realm of possibilities that Goodwin cracks the rotation. Outlook: He’s got a lot to prove, but the opportunity is there for him. Just keep an eye on him for now. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ PHO 70 95 232 .41 98 146 182 .80 6.2 2.2 2.4 1.20 1.70 0.20 Ben Gordon - Charlotte Bobcats - SG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Gordon had another quiet season with his new team and despite playing in 75 games, averaged just 11.2 points and 1.5 3-pointers while hitting just 40.8 percent of his shots in 21 minutes. Gordon was highly inconsistent last season and often clashed with coach Mike Dunlap. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Dunlap after a 21-win season. A new coach could help Gordon, but he’s still not guaranteed to be worth owning, especially playing for such a young team with talent needing to be developed. Outlook: Gordon’s nothing more than a role player at this point and while he’s sure to have some big games, as he proved last year, he can disappear at any time. He’s just too inconsistent to be relied upon and would need an injury to Gerald Henderson in order to be worth picking up. And even then, you’ll still be rolling the dice by putting him in your lineup from day to day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 82 339 770 .44 107 136 160 .85 11.2 2.4 2.1 0.59 1.72 0.20 2011-2012 DET 52 234 530 .44 63 117 136 .86 12.5 2.3 2.4 0.65 2.21 0.21 2012-2013 CHA 75 310 760 .41 113 107 127 .84 11.2 1.7 1.9 0.47 1.81 0.21 PROJ CHA 78 273 654 .42 117 133 156 .85 10.2 1.8 2.1 0.60 2.10 0.21 Eric Gordon - New Orleans Pelicans - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Gordon somehow played in 42 games last season, but saw his numbers drop to just 17 points, 1.1 steals and 1.3 3-pointers. He also shot just 40.2 percent from the floor and failed to finish the season healthy due to lingering knee issues. What’s Changed: He says he feels good and is hoping to be fully healthy for training camp, but Gordon shouldn’t be trusted farther than you can throw him. Outlook: If healthy, Gordon has beast potential, but he’s missed so many games over the last three seasons that it’s impossible to trust him. We’ve got him penciled in for 60 games, which would actually be a pleasant surprise for the high-risk, reward player this season. Draft him at your own risk and don’t overpay for him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 56 427 949 .45 106 287 348 .82 22.3 2.9 4.4 1.27 2.70 0.32 2011-2012 NO 9 63 140 .45 10 49 65 .75 20.6 2.8 3.4 1.44 2.67 0.44 2012-2013 NO 42 235 584 .40 56 187 222 .84 17.0 1.8 3.3 1.07 2.79 0.19 PROJ NO 60 336 768 .44 90 293 360 .81 17.6 2.0 3.4 1.30 2.68 0.32 Marcin Gortat - Phoenix Suns - C Age: 29 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: It was a bumpy ride for the Polish Hammer last season. After coming out of the gate on fire with November averages of 11.4 points, 8.2 boards and 2.1 blocks, Gortat cooled off in December and January. He eventually came out of his funk in February, but his season came to an abrupt halt with a foot injury. Gortat missed the last 21 games of the season. What’s Changed: The Suns drafted Alex Len and that pick suggests that Gortat is not going to get an extension once his contract expires at the end of this season. Although, the loss of Luis Scola should give MG a few extra minutes. He is still expected to enter as the starter, but don’t expect him to hit 30 MPG again. Outlook: A possible trade probably isn’t going to help Gortat at all and owners definitely shouldn’t expect a strong second half. He was a capable backup for the Magic with Dwight Howard, so NBA teams might be willing to pony up and get Gortat. If you’re looking to draft him in the later part of your standard draft, be fully prepared to try and sell high. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 80 338 603 .56 1 140 193 .73 10.2 7.9 0.9 0.45 1.01 1.14 2011-2012 PHO 66 427 769 .56 0 163 251 .65 15.4 10.0 0.9 0.73 1.36 1.50 2012-2013 PHO 61 295 566 .52 0 90 138 .65 11.1 8.5 1.2 0.66 1.62 1.61 PROJ PHO 72 400 749 .53 0 122 187 .65 12.8 9.0 1.2 0.69 1.49 1.50 Danny Granger - Indiana Pacers - SG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Granger played in just five games before calling it a season due to left knee issues that ultimately required surgery. What’s Changed: Paul George is now the face of the franchise and Roy Hibbert has developed into a solid NBA center. Lance Stephenson took steps forward and held his own in the playoffs, and he will play 30-35 minutes whether he starts or comes off the bench. That leaves Granger a 23-29 minute role injecting scoring punch into last year’s lifeless second unit. He appears to be fine with a secondary role. Outlook: Granger was a top-40 fantasy play in 2011-12. The primary questions are how much his knee surgery will help and whether he can handle the rigors of an 82-game schedule. His production peaked between 2008 and 2010 and we can only expect him to take around 10 shots per game in a bench role. Maybe he’ll surprise us and be able to handle 30-plus minutes per night, but his injury risk is great enough that he should only be considered in the late rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 79 535 1260 .42 157 395 466 .85 20.5 5.4 2.6 1.13 2.61 0.78 2011-2012 IND 62 391 941 .42 123 254 291 .87 18.7 5.0 1.8 1.00 1.77 0.65 2012-2013 IND 5 10 35 .29 2 5 8 .63 5.4 1.8 0.6 0.40 0.80 0.20 PROJ IND 65 372 911 .41 104 212 254 .83 16.3 4.5 1.8 1.00 1.60 0.60 Aaron Gray - Toronto Raptors - C Age: 28 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 270 2012-2013: He had a 22-point, 10-board game on January 28 against the Warriors. Of course, that was his only double-digit scoring game of the year. Gray received 16 starts last year while the team was banged up, but somehow he played just 19.0 minutes per game in those outings. What’s Changed: He’s still going to back up Jonas Valanciunas and really has the same lackluster role. Gray’s game hasn’t changed much and the team might be willing to give Tyler Hansbrough some minutes at power forward and shift Amir Johnson to the five. Outlook: It’s Aaron Gray. He blocked just 0.1 shots per game last year and hasn’t scored more than 4.0 points per game since his rookie year back in 2007-08. There’s no reason to draft him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 41 56 99 .57 0 17 34 .50 3.1 4.2 0.4 0.27 0.78 0.29 2011-2012 TOR 49 83 161 .52 0 25 47 .53 3.9 5.7 0.6 0.45 1.04 0.35 2012-2013 TOR 42 48 90 .53 0 23 44 .52 2.8 3.2 0.8 0.17 0.86 0.12 PROJ TOR 65 125 239 .52 0 42 78 .54 4.5 4.9 0.8 0.31 1.00 0.32 Jeff Green - Boston Celtics - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Green managed to play in all 81 games for the Celtics (they had one canceled) despite coming off a lost season due to heart surgery, and averaged 12.8 points and nearly four boards per game. However, in 17 starts those numbers jumped to 20.1 points, 5.9 rebounds, 0.9 steals, 1.1 blocks and 1.6 3-pointers per game. What’s Changed: All signs point to Green starting at small forward this season for the new-look Celtics, making him a super-sleeper prospect in fantasy. Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Jason Terry are all in Brooklyn, while the C’s will be coached by
  • 98. 98 NBA Season Preview rookie head coach Brad Stevens. Outlook: Green’s numbers appear to have nowhere to go but up and he’s going to be a hot pickup in this year’s drafts. Green was worth just an eighth-round pick last season, but all signs are pointing to him being worth a third- or fourth-round selection this time around. And if he duplicates his numbers as a starter last season, he could easily be an All-Star. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-0 BOS 75 368 820 .45 64 198 244 .81 13.3 4.8 1.4 0.71 1.32 0.49 2012-2013 BOS 81 376 806 .47 70 214 265 .81 12.8 3.9 1.6 0.69 1.63 0.84 PROJ BOS 80 571 1175 .49 96 258 320 .81 18.7 5.2 2.9 0.90 2.20 1.20 Gerald Green - Phoenix Suns - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: After things were looking up for his chance at playing time due to Danny Granger’s knee injury, Green fell on his face in Indy. He shot just 37.1 percent in November and never really figured out how to score. Over the course of the season, 69.4 percent of Gerald Green’s shot attempts came from beyond 15 feet. What’s Changed: Green goes from a place where he ruined his chances for minutes to a team with one of the shallowest wing rotations in the NBA. The Suns have very little depth and Green could wind up in the rotation. It goes without saying, but he really has to work on his shot selection to get his career going. Outlook: The Nets did get 12.9 points per game out of him in 2012, so he has the capabilities to be a productive scorer. He’s a great enough athlete and given the Suns’ lack of depth, we’re not /totally/ counting Green out yet. We’re still not going to draft him and will need to see him string some games together first, though. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 BKN 31 154 320 .48 43 49 65 .75 12.9 3.5 1.1 0.90 1.77 0.55 2012-2013 IND 60 155 424 .37 59 52 65 .80 7.0 2.4 0.8 0.30 0.88 0.38 PROJ PHO 70 235 551 .43 84 83 105 .79 9.1 2.5 1.2 0.50 1.30 0.44 Danny Green - San Antonio Spurs - SG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: The Tarheel really busted out last season and became one of the best shooters in the NBA. His postseason 3-point shooting of 48.2 percent from downtown on 114 attempts was one of the highlights of the two-month marathon, and his 55 makes led the NBA in that span. He ranked eighth in the NBA in 3-point makes on a sterling 42.9 percent shooting, but his interior game does need some work. He finished with a cumulative fourth-round grade. What’s Changed: They signed Manu Ginobili to a two-year deal and he’ll continue to spell Green, but if Green’s 31.9 minutes per game in the postseason are any indication, he’ll be seeing close to 32 per night. Outlook: He’s only missed two games in the past two seasons and Green’s game doesn’t put him in harm’s way often. He seems like one of the safest players to draft for those trying to get at least 78 games, but Coach Pop will rest him every once in a while. Target him in the middle of your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 8 17 35 .49 7 0 0 .00 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.25 0.63 0.13 2011-2012 SA 66 211 477 .44 102 79 100 .79 9.1 3.5 1.3 0.88 1.02 0.70 2012-2013 SA 80 297 663 .45 177 67 79 .85 10.5 3.1 1.8 1.15 1.18 0.68 PROJ SA 82 419 942 .44 197 80 99 .81 13.6 3.3 1.9 1.26 1.32 0.70 Draymond Green - Golden State Warriors - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Green established himself as a worthy reserve in the NBA, using solid defense and intangibles as his calling card. Averaging just 13 minutes per game, he was well off the fantasy radar. What’s Changed: Green has had a good summer but he’s still stuck in the back of a suddenly deep forward group. One day he may claw his way into a substantial role as a veteran role player, but for now he’ll be a defensive specialist and energy guy. Outlook: There is no justification to draft Green even in the largest of formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 GS 79 84 257 .33 14 45 55 .82 2.9 3.3 0.7 0.53 0.65 0.32 PROJ GS 80 135 329 .41 32 66 80 .83 4.6 3.9 1.2 0.69 1.24 0.30 Blake Griffin - Los Angeles Clippers - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Griffin’s fantasy value swings wildly based on whether or not your league counts FT percentage or values defensive statistics. He took solid steps to correct his FT shooting (52 percent to 66 percent) and also improved from 0.8 steals per game to 1.2. His rebounding and scoring both declined and he played fewer minutes, but still increased his per-game value into the top 40-55 range. By missing just two games, he was a top-25 play regardless of whether or not you punted FTs. What’s Changed: The Clippers look like they’ll be letting Lamar Odom walk but they’ve already signed Byron Mullens to a one-year deal, so there is somebody slow and lanky for Griffin to dunk on in practice. The team is stacked with depth but Griffin is expected to play 32-36 mpg. Outlook: Griffin only jumped up a handful of ranks if you punted his FTs last season, so owners can take the ‘system play’ or ‘punt play’ bulls-eye off his back, at least a little bit. By playing 80 games he also answered many of his injury concerns from past years. He still has room for improvement and the third round is a good place to start looking at him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 82 696 1376 .51 7 446 695 .64 22.5 12.1 3.8 0.77 2.72 0.55 2011-2012 LAC 66 561 1022 .55 2 244 468 .52 20.7 10.9 3.2 0.82 2.27 0.73 2012-2013 LAC 80 577 1072 .54 5 281 426 .66 18.0 8.3 3.7 1.21 2.31 0.63 PROJ LAC 80 591 1119 .53 8 275 440 .63 18.3 8.4 3.8 1.10 2.40 0.69 Jordan Hamilton - Denver Nuggets - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Hamilton averaged just 5.2 points and 2.4 boards in his second season with the Nuggets, stuck behind Danilo Gallinari, Andre Iguodala and Wilson Chandler, who all helped to limit his minutes severely (less than 10 per game). What’s Changed: Andre Iguodala is on the Warriors and Danilo Gallinari could be out until January or February. Wilson Chandler is the guy to draft, but Hamilton could be a sneaky pick in the later rounds of drafts. Outlook: He’s not a must-own player by any means, but as long as Gallinari is out, Hamilton is going to see a lot of minutes off the bench. And if Chandler struggles with injuries as well, Hamilton could end up being a nice sleeper pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 DEN 26 48 111 .43 17 2 5 .40 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.15 0.62 0.12 2012-2013 DEN 40 84 201 .42 27 13 26 .50 5.2 2.4 0.6 0.38 0.48 0.20 PROJ DEN 72 266 633 .42 65 43 72 .60 8.9 3.6 1.1 0.60 0.81 0.19 Tyler Hansbrough - Toronto Raptors - PF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: The Pacers have two terrific big men with David West and Roy Hibbert, so Hansbrough didn’t really get much playing time while they were healthy. His role off the bench kept him to just 15.8 minutes per game, scoring 6.2 points with 4.0 boards in 73 games. In eight starts with David West hurt, he received 26.8 minutes in those outings. When the 2012-13 season was all said and done, Psycho T finished with averages of 7.0 points, 4.6 boards and 0.2 blocks on 43.2 percent shooting. What’s Changed: His team may have changed, but his role should be similar. Amir Johnson’s fouling issues project to be the main path to minutes for Hansbrough. He might see a bit more than his 16 minutes per night from last season, but it’s unlikely to be more than 22 with the team at full health. Outlook: Some players can muster up fantasy value with 20-24 minutes per game, but not Psycho T. He doesn’t shoot the ball well, doesn’t block shots and can’t really dominate in any facet. If Amir Johnson or Jonas Valanciunas go down, he could become a decent pickup and would see some time along with Quincy Acy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 70 285 613 .46 0 197 253 .78 11.0 5.2 0.6 0.53 1.09 0.21 2011-2012 IND 66 194 479 .41 0 226 278 .81 9.3 4.4 0.5 0.82 0.98 0.14 2012-2013 IND 81 176 407 .43 0 216 300 .72 7.0 4.6 0.4 0.36 0.96 0.22 PROJ TOR 80 276 627 .44 0 215 288 .75 9.6 4.8 0.5 0.60 1.10 0.21 Tim Hardaway Jr. - New York Knicks - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: The Knicks took Hardaway with the 24th pick in the draft after he averaged 14.6 points and 1.6 3-pointers for Michigan last season. What’s Changed: He suffered a wrist injury in Summer League and will have to deal with both J.R. Smith and Iman Shumpert in order to get minutes at shooting guard. Outlook: Maybe he’s worth a look in dynasty leagues, but in standard re-draft leagues, there aren’t many reasons to draft him this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ NY 64 189 449 .42 77 82 115 .71 8.4 2.9 2.0 0.91 1.42 0.11 James Harden - Houston Rockets - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: He went from sixth man to star in no time. Harden finished the year as a top 3-4 fantasy play, though he did fall off in March and April. On the year, Harden’s efficiency and turnovers took a hit, which is expected when a player adds seven field goal attempts per game and steps into the workhorse role. Otherwise, his numbers improved across the board and in particular he improved his defensive stats by a hair (or beard). What’s Changed: The Rockets acquired Dwight Howard and in general the rest of the younger core has a playoff year under their belts. Howard will improve the interior attack, but he’s not going to divert too many touches away from Harden. Outlook: Harden is young and talented enough to continue improving, but as his supporting cast improves the question becomes whether or not he’ll hand off some of his workhorse duties. While the issue of Howard’s presence is a bit unsettling since the team could struggle to get acclimated, Harden’s year-to-year numbers are consistent enough that we can predict relatively stable numbers for him this year, too. He’s in the discussion for a top-3 pick behind LeBron James and Kevin Durant, and may be the leader in the clubhouse for that slot with Chris Paul falling off a smidge last season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 82 298 684 .44 113 289 343 .84 12.2 3.1 2.1 1.12 1.29 0.29 2011-2012 OKC 62 309 629 .49 114 312 369 .85 16.8 4.1 3.7 1.00 2.21 0.24 2012-2013 HOU 78 585 1337 .44 179 674 792 .85 25.9 4.9 5.8 1.82 3.78 0.49 PROJ HOU 79 564 1261 .45 190 642 758 .85 24.8 4.6 5.5 1.90 3.70 0.46 Moe Harkless - Orlando Magic - SF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Harkless had a surprisingly effective rookie season and wound up starting 59 games for the short-handed Magic. What’s Changed: Harkless increased his weight to 222 lbs. and looked bigger in the arms and chest during Summer League. He already thrived attacking the rim and the increased physicality should spell success in his second NBA season. Outlook: Harkless may start at SF or come off the bench behind Tobias Harris, depending upon Glen Davis’ health and the whims of coach Jacque Vaughn. Either way his minutes (26 per game) and production should increase, and his stellar per- minute steals and blocks give him nice fantasy upside as a late-round pick. Two weaknesses worth monitoring are his FT shooting (57.0 percent) and his jump shot , as we noted on RW this summer, ‘according to HoopData.com he made just 33.3 percent of his shots between 10-15 feet, and an abysmal 13.0 percent from 16-23 feet.’
  • 99. 99NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 ORL 76 260 564 .46 32 73 128 .57 8.2 4.4 0.7 1.16 0.91 0.82 PROJ ORL 78 348 748 .47 47 85 141 .60 10.6 4.2 0.7 1.12 1.00 0.85 Devin Harris - Dallas Mavericks - PG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 192 2012-2013: Harris appeared in just 58 games for the Hawks and averaged 9.9 points and 3.4 assists, playing in the shadow of Jeff Teague. He also got a lot of starts (34 total) at shooting guard, but age and injuries continued to dog the talented guard. What’s Changed: Harris will return to the Mavericks this season, where he started his career. He’s too injury-prone to rely on in fantasy, although rookie Shane Larkin’s ankle injury could make Harris the primary backup to Jose Calderon, who will now run the point in Big D. The Mavs are deep enough at SG with Monta Ellis, Vince Carter and others, that Harris won’t be needed to pull double duty this year. Outlook: Harris will have some decent games, but will only be worth rostering in most leagues if Calderon, who has some injury history of his own to deal with, goes down. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 71 343 813 .42 58 335 402 .83 15.2 2.4 7.1 0.99 2.92 0.11 2011-2012 UTA 63 241 542 .44 77 156 209 .75 11.3 1.8 5.0 1.02 1.94 0.21 2012-2013 ATL 58 194 443 .44 77 112 154 .73 9.9 2.0 3.4 1.10 1.52 0.22 PROJ DAL 67 198 447 .44 94 160 201 .80 9.7 2.2 3.9 1.10 1.81 0.19 Tobias Harris - Orlando Magic - SF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 226 2012-2013: Tobias Harris was a reserve forward when the Bucks traded him to the Magic in February. Once in Orlando, however, Harris exploded with averages of 17.3 points, 1.0 threes, 8.5 rebounds, 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocks in 36 minutes per game. What’s Changed: Glen Davis was out with a fractured foot during Harris’ late-season binge, and a setback this summer (he had a screw replaced in July) leaves him iffy to begin the regular season. Even when Davis is healthy it’s unclear if he’ll retake the starting job from Harris, who fits better with Orlando’s trajectory (developing young players) and is more likely to stay with the team long-term - he won’t be a restricted free agent until the summer of 2016, whereas Davis’ contract expires after 2015. Outlook: The Magic are openly rebuilding around a talented young core that includes Victor Oladipo, Nikola Vucevic and Harris, so they’re bound to give him heavy minutes even if he does begin the season as a reserve. He was a top-50 player over the final two months of the season in 36 minutes per game, and he’s unlikely to fall farther than the sixth round in fantasy drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 MLW 42 79 169 .47 6 44 54 .81 5.0 2.4 0.5 0.31 0.74 0.17 2012-2013 ORL 55 233 512 .46 34 103 137 .75 11.0 5.2 1.3 0.58 1.20 0.80 PROJ ORL 77 470 1003 .47 77 239 308 .78 16.3 7.4 1.9 0.84 1.51 1.10 Udonis Haslem - Miami Heat - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Haslem started the season dealing with a quad injury and was brought off the bench by Erik Spoelstra, but eventually moved into the starting lineup. He played 19 minutes per game over 75 contests and finished outside of the top-225 on the year. What’s Changed: Haslem had knee surgery over the summer to clean up the meniscus and it was unclear as of early August how that will impact his preseason. He will play in the same group as last year that includes Chris Bosh and Chris Andersen, and developmental project Greg Oden was added, too. Outlook: Despite being a health risk it’s conceivable that he flirts with top-200 value, but even owners in massive leagues should be setting their sights toward a more durable, higher-upside player. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 13 44 86 .51 0 16 20 .80 8.0 8.2 0.5 0.54 1.08 0.23 2011-2012 MIA 64 151 357 .42 0 83 102 .81 6.0 7.3 0.7 0.55 0.94 0.38 2012-2013 MIA 75 129 251 .51 0 32 45 .71 3.9 5.4 0.5 0.40 0.60 0.20 PROJ MIA 77 139 274 .51 0 46 62 .74 4.2 5.7 0.6 0.51 0.81 0.34 Spencer Hawes - Philadelphia 76ers - C Age: 25 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Spencer Hawes started 40 games and didn’t have a single DNP last year, a huge break for a Sixers team which was being sucked into the roster void that was Andrew Bynum. He came on strong toward the end of the season, but overall he idn’t crack the top-100 in roto leagues with averages of 11.0 points on mediocre percentages, 7.2 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.3 steals and 1.4 blocks. What’s Changed: The arrival of No. 6 pick Nerlens Noel, acquired in a draft-day trade with the Pelicans, means a new look for Philly’s frontcourt. The ill-fated Andrew Bynum trade is also in the rearview now that he’s signed with the Cavaliers, and Hawes should split center minutes with Lavoy Allen until Noel is healthy. Outlook: Hawes seems best-suited to a reserve role behind Nerlens Noel and Thaddeus Young, but he’ll likely begin the season as a starter while Noel recovers from ACL surgery. His splits in 40 starts last season provide a baseline for his fantasy value,12.2 points, 0.5 triples, 8.4 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.5 blocks per game, good enough for late-middle round value. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 81 264 568 .46 9 47 88 .53 7.2 5.7 1.5 0.36 1.20 0.88 2011-2012 PHI 37 156 319 .49 3 40 55 .73 9.6 7.3 2.6 0.43 1.49 1.30 2012-2013 PHI 82 376 811 .46 31 122 157 .78 11.0 7.2 2.2 0.29 1.60 1.38 PROJ PHI 80 432 887 .49 32 120 159 .75 12.7 7.3 2.3 0.40 1.50 1.39 Gordon Hayward - Utah Jazz - SF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013:After the break, Hayward averaged 15.1 points, 3.5 boards, 3.7 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.5 blocks and 1.8 triples on 44.4 percent shooting in 33.4 minutes. There was a steady rise in his production from beyond the arc and he converted on 44 percent of his attempts from there during his aforementioned strong second half. Hayward saw 27 starts last year and was also head-and-shoulders better than when he came off the bench. What’s Changed: The Jazz decided to change their tune for the upcoming season and let their best two players walk. There’s a very good chance that Hayward will become the primary scorer for the Jazz. That speaks volumes about how bad the Jazz could be this season, but as far as Hayward’s fantasy prospects go, he’s in the catbird seat. Outlook: The points, 3-pointers, free throws, steals and even some assists could be there for Hayward. If he can continue to hold his own and flirt with 44 percent from the field, he has the potential to be a fantasy stud this season. He’s an easy player to pick as a breakout guy and grabbing him in the early-middle rounds adds up. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 72 142 293 .48 35 69 97 .71 5.4 1.9 1.1 0.42 0.97 0.26 2011-2012 UTA 66 267 586 .46 55 193 232 .83 11.8 3.5 3.1 0.80 1.65 0.62 2012-2013 UTA 72 336 773 .43 102 243 294 .83 14.1 3.1 3.0 0.81 1.67 0.53 PROJ UTA 75 405 907 .45 113 262 315 .83 15.8 3.2 3.1 0.91 1.80 0.55 Gerald Henderson - Charlotte Bobcats - SG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Henderson played in 68 games and averaged 15.5 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.0 steals and 0.5 3-pointers per game in 31 minutes. However, after the All-Star break he caught fire and averaged nearly 19 points, 4.0 boards and 3.4 assists, but still struggled to make 3-pointers, hitting just 0.4 per game. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Mike Dunlap after a 21-win season. Henderson inally re-signed after summer-long negotiations, and looks like the starting shooting guard for the Cats. Ben Gordon and Jeff Taylor are also around to threaten Hendo’s playing time, but the job is his to lose. Outlook: Henderson’s lack of 3-pointers is still a concern, but he’s young enough that he could continue to improve in that area. His main fantasy contribution will be as a scorer, so don’t jump on him too early, especially since he isn’t likely to hit more than 50 3-pointers again this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHA 68 259 570 .45 7 128 163 .79 9.6 3.0 1.5 0.74 0.94 0.47 2011-2012 CHA 55 332 723 .46 11 155 204 .76 15.1 4.1 2.3 0.89 1.82 0.36 2012-2013 CHA 68 382 855 .45 33 258 313 .82 15.5 3.7 2.6 1.00 1.59 0.50 PROJ CHA 74 434 955 .45 37 272 333 .82 15.9 3.5 2.5 0.96 1.80 0.50 John Henson - Milwaukee Bucks - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: John Henson showed plenty of promise during his rookie season, most evident in his numbers in nine starts,9.6 points, 7.2 rebounds, 0.8 steals and 1.0 blocks in just 23 minutes per game. His impressive per-36-minute splits were tempered in fantasy lezgues by abysmal 53.3 percent FT shooting. What’s Changed: The Bucks added centers Zaza Pachulia and Slava Kravtsov this summer, as well as SFs Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Luc Richard Mbah a Moute left for Sacramento and Henson slots as the backup PF behind Ersan Ilyasova. Outlook: New Bucks coach Larry Drew feels that Henson, Larry Sanders and Ersan Ilyasova are a ‘perfect fit’ together. Henson and Sanders played a grand total of 112 minutes together in 2012-13, during which time opponents shot 42.9 percent from the field, but their ability to mesh offensively is in doubt. Henson should be an undervalued sleeper in most 12-team leagues, as his shot-blocking and rebounding alone give him late-round upside. In the final week of the season he averaged 15.0 points, 15.0 rebounds and 2.8 blocks per game, including a massive 17/25/7 game vs. the Magic, but the presence of Ilyasova and Sanders may severely limit his massive potential this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 MLW 63 162 336 .48 0 56 105 .53 6.0 4.7 0.5 0.30 0.75 0.67 PROJ MLW 78 309 615 .50 0 77 140 .55 8.9 5.5 0.6 0.40 0.78 0.79 Roy Hibbert - Indiana Pacers - C Age: 26 - Ht: 7’2’ - Wt: 280 2012-2013: Hibbert started the season terribly and it’s hard to say how much of it was an ailing shooting wrist and how much of it was a simple lack of confidence. But he simply had trouble making shots. Layups, jumpers, whatever, he just couldn’t get them to fall. He finally got his act together though, and put up top 30-40 fantasy numbers in March and April on the strength of 17 points per game on roughly 50 percent shooting and over two blocks. What’s Changed: The Pacers added some big-man depth with Luis Scola and Chris Copeland, but Hibbert is competing against himself and he’ll get as many minutes as he can handle. Outlook: Hibbert has never cracked 50 percent in a season as a field goal shooter, but for a relatively skilled big man it’s hard to rule out that type of shooting if the light bulb turns on. He appears to be taking steps forward and he played big in the playoffs. With last year’s numbers coming in at 29 mpg, he has untapped upside and with officials giving him more leeway on foul calls, a jump into the 32-35 minute range could be a game-changer for Hibbert. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 81 410 890 .46 0 205 275 .75 12.7 7.5 2.0 0.41 2.28 1.75 2011-2012 IND 65 332 668 .50 0 170 239 .71 12.8 8.8 1.7 0.49 1.97 1.97 2012-2013 IND 79 385 859 .45 1 166 224 .74 11.9 8.3 1.4 0.49 2.05 2.61 PROJ IND 80 374 808 .46 0 180 241 .75 11.6 8.5 1.5 0.51 2.00 2.49
  • 100. 100 NBA Season Preview J.J. Hickson - Denver Nuggets - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 239 2012-2013: Hickson had a massive improvement last season. He even received a vote for All-NBA Third Team, but that’s beside the point. He ranked seventh in the league in double-doubles with averages of 12.7 points and 10.4 boards. His other big-time contribution came in the shooting department, making 56.2 percent from the field. Hickson produced sixth-round value in fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: He signed with the Nuggets and will battle Kenneth Faried for the starting job for new coach Brian Shaw, while also backing up JaVale McGee at C. Outlook: Hickson will see time backing up both Faried at power forward and McGee at center. He proved he can still play at a high level last season, and even if coming off the bench, can still provide some fantasy value with a late-round pick, but beware of the fact he’s not a shot blocker. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CLE 80 429 936 .46 0 247 367 .67 13.8 8.7 1.1 0.60 2.16 0.68 2011-2012 POR 54 183 392 .47 0 86 134 .64 8.4 6.2 0.8 0.56 1.30 0.65 2012-2013 POR 80 418 744 .56 0 182 268 .68 12.7 10.4 1.1 0.60 1.81 0.64 PROJ DEN 80 291 566 .51 0 155 241 .64 9.2 7.7 1.0 0.50 1.30 0.61 Nene Hilario - Washington Wizards - PF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: His 27.2 minutes per game were his lowest since in 2007. Nene’s minutes have been steadily declining in that span, too. It was also the first time he shot below 50.8 percent over those seasons, and his 48.0 percent is well below his career average of 55.2 percent. He’s dealt with a lot of injuries in his career and last year was no different, missing games due to knee, foot and shoulder injuries as well as missing action due to the flu. What’s Changed: He’s another year older and he’s on the wrong side of 30 with his 31st birthday on September 13. Randy Wittman said that Nene is doing great this offseason and he should be ready to start the year with the team in training camp. Outlook: There aren’t many things that will make fantasy owners a big fan of Nene. He missed 21 games last year, which is down from the 27 he missed in 2011-12. It’s not a terrible idea to pick him up late in your draft, but cutting him at the first sign of trouble seems like the pragmatic thing to do. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 75 402 654 .61 1 286 402 .71 14.5 7.6 2.0 1.12 1.79 0.97 2011-2012 WAS 39 211 393 .54 0 113 168 .67 13.7 7.5 2.1 1.08 2.46 0.97 2012-2013 WAS 61 285 594 .48 0 196 269 .73 12.6 6.7 2.9 0.90 2.28 0.61 PROJ WAS 60 263 521 .50 0 163 240 .68 11.5 6.5 2.5 1.00 2.10 0.85 George Hill - Indiana Pacers - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Hill struggled to get the Indy offense moving early in the season in his first year as the undisputed starter at point guard. Although, he set career-highs across the board and shot the ball within a consistent range compared to years past, finishing the year with top-50 value. What’s Changed: For Hill, nothing. The Pacers added C.J. Watson and Donald Sloan to replace the disaster that was backup PG D.J. Augustin last year. Indy will also get Danny Granger back, and that could mean a few less touches for secondary offensive threats like Hill, but keep in mind that the Pacers’ bench was paper-thin and Granger’s touches could be siphoned from other reserves. In any event, Hill will handle the ball plenty and he’ll enjoy the benefits of the experience he and his team earned in the playoffs. Outlook: With stable numbers from year-to-year it’s fairly easy to project Hill’s value, and the main question is how many touches he will lose to Granger, an emerging Lance Stephenson and even an addition like ball-mover Luis Scola. Chances are any losses will be incremental, and Hill stands a pretty good chance to improve over last year’s 34 mpg. With Granger being a major injury risk and other main cog David West also with plenty of miles on the odometer , Hill is more likely to improve than fall off. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 76 287 633 .45 77 233 270 .86 11.6 2.6 2.5 0.87 1.30 0.28 2011-2012 IND 50 168 380 .44 54 91 117 .78 9.6 3.0 2.9 0.84 1.04 0.34 2012-2013 IND 76 386 871 .44 130 174 213 .82 14.2 3.7 4.7 1.07 1.53 0.34 PROJ IND 78 428 950 .45 117 189 234 .81 14.9 3.5 5.7 1.10 1.71 0.29 Jordan Hill - Los Angeles Lakers - C Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Hill was a mess last season, starting the year with back and ankle issues, and moving on to a torn labrum in his hip that ended his season. He appeared in 29 games, performing at a top-250 level when he was on the floor. What’s Changed: Hill says he’ll be ready for the season and he is the only experienced big man behind Pau Gasol and Chris Kaman. Outlook: Mike D’Antoni dropped Hill from the rotation last year because he didn’t fit his mold, but won’t be able to discard him again with so little depth. In fact, Hill could be the only player the Lakers have that can keep up with the other athletic bigs in the league. Unless one of the rookies steps up or the Lakers add somebody else, a healthy Hill will be playing 18-22 minutes in a healthy Lakers frontcourt and will have injury upside beyond that. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 72 173 352 .49 0 60 85 .71 5.6 4.3 0.4 0.19 0.86 0.72 2011-2012 LAK 39 82 165 .50 0 30 47 .64 5.0 4.8 0.4 0.36 0.79 0.69 2012-2013 LAK 29 77 155 .50 0 40 61 .66 6.7 5.7 0.4 0.28 0.90 0.66 PROJ LAK 62 171 340 .50 0 80 124 .65 6.8 4.9 0.4 0.42 1.00 0.81 Solomon Hill - Indiana Pacers - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Hill (6’7/226) was labeled as a tweener in college, and as the No. 23 overall pick by the Pacers he will enter the league as a small forward needing to answer questions about lateral quickness on defense. The good news is that he took to an increased role at small forward for Arizona rather well, shooting 39 percent from deep while building on a solid all-around game. What’s Changed: The Pacers are still relatively shallow at the wings with just Lance Stephenson, Paul George and injury-risk Danny Granger as the only proven players at those positions. Second-year shooting guard Orlando Johnson had rare moments of limited productivity, but often looked lost and he profiles better as an emergency rotation player. If Hill can survive on defense, there’s a good chance he slides into the backup small forward job. Outlook: Relatively pedestrian college stats don’t give Hill the type of upside owners are looking for in their typical flier pick in those deep leagues where 15-20 minute guys matter. Deep Dynasty league owners may want to track his progress as a potential 3-and-D player, watching to see if his basketball IQ and past success improving on fundamentals can trump his defensive dilemma. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ IND 75 131 292 .45 83 84 113 .74 5.7 2.8 1.1 0.72 1.11 0.11 Kirk Hinrich - Chicago Bulls - PG Age: 32 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Hinrich had his fair share of injuries last season and was limited to just 60 games. And despite the fact Derrick Rose was out all year, Hinrich still managed to average just 7.7 points, 5.2 assists and 1.2 3-pointers for the Bulls. What’s Changed: Rose should be back, while Nate Robinson is now in Denver, meaning Marquis Teague might be relevant this year. And with Jimmy Butler emerging as a popular SG pick, Hinrich should struggle for enough minutes to be worthy of anything but a late fantasy pick. When you add in the fact Hinrich is now old and injury prone, he just doesn’t look like a guy you want to target on draft night. Outlook: It’s hard to imagine Hinrich’s numbers improving with Rose coming back and a Butler breakout coming, so go ahead and let someone else take a flier on him this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 72 278 623 .45 75 106 126 .84 10.2 2.5 4.0 1.04 1.68 0.24 2011-2012 ATL 48 122 295 .41 47 25 32 .78 6.6 2.1 2.8 0.79 1.21 0.23 2012-2013 CHI 60 159 422 .38 71 70 98 .71 7.7 2.6 5.2 1.05 1.65 0.42 PROJ CHI 62 84 207 .41 68 130 174 .75 5.9 2.3 3.6 0.90 1.40 0.19 Jrue Holiday - New Orleans Pelicans - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Holiday was the only player in the NBA to average at least 17.0 points and 8.0 assists last season, earning an All-Star appearance. He’s missed five games total in the past three seasons and is career 37.4 percent shooter from downtown, and his total rebound percentage last year ranked sixth in the NBA among starters 6’3’or shorter. What’s Changed: A stunning draft-day trade sent Jrue to New Orleans, where he’ll start at PG for the newly-dubbed Pelicans, who traded Greivis Vasquez to clear space for him. Outlook: New Orleans’ roster looks as though it’s built to run, featuring Holiday, Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans, Ryan Anderson and Anthony Davis, among others. The presence of Gordon and Evans is a mild concern for Holiday’s fantasy value, however, as both of them like to handle the ball and could rob Holiday of some touches. There is also the matter of pace , Monty Williams’ team averaged 90.9 possessions per game last year, according to ESPN’s John Hollinger, which was the slowest pace of any team in the NBA. Holiday thrived in a similarly plodding offense last season (Philly ranked 21st) but it’s a stretch to think he’ll improve upon last year’s All-Star numbers. He’s a safe pick in the third round of eight-cat leagues, but nine-cat owners unwilling to punt turnovers should bump him down at least two rounds (his 292 turnovers last year were second-most in the NBA behind James Harden). YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 82 446 999 .45 81 172 209 .82 14.0 4.0 6.5 1.46 2.66 0.35 2011-2012 PHI 65 360 834 .43 65 94 120 .78 13.5 3.3 4.5 1.58 2.08 0.28 2012-2013 PHI 78 555 1288 .43 91 182 242 .75 17.7 4.2 8.0 1.58 3.74 0.41 PROJ NO 80 484 1105 .44 96 200 256 .78 15.8 4.0 7.8 1.60 3.40 0.40 Al Horford - Atlanta Hawks - C Age: 27 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: After playing just 11 games in 2011-12 due to left shoulder surgery, Horford bounced back for 74 games, 37 minutes, 17.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks, finishing with borderline low first-round fantasy value last season. What’s Changed: Josh Smith and Zaza Pachulia are gone and Elton Brand is in Atlanta this season. None of this really impacts Horford, who should be locked and loaded into the starting center job. Outlook: Horford is one of the more sound fantasy centers around and returned strong second-round value in 74 games last season. He should be able to do it again and remains unchallenged for the starting center gig, so target him any time after Round 1 and hope that he can stay healthy for the entire season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 77 513 921 .56 2 150 188 .80 15.3 9.3 3.5 0.77 1.55 1.04 2011-2012 ATL 11 57 103 .55 0 22 30 .73 12.4 7.0 2.2 0.91 1.45 1.27 2012-2013 ATL 74 576 1060 .54 3 134 208 .64 17.4 10.2 3.2 1.05 1.99 1.05 PROJ ATL 77 633 1146 .55 0 167 223 .75 18.6 10.1 3.4 1.00 2.00 1.19 Dwight Howard - Houston Rockets - C Age: 27 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: Perhaps the most criticized player in the NBA last season, Howard got his wish being traded to L.A. but he also got more than he could handle in every other way. His numbers were only slightly down from his previous season in Orlando, but if you look a bit closer, the two-year slide from his career-best 2010-11 season is a bit disconcerting. Free throws and turnovers are his bugaboo, so if you play the game straight up you’re getting a player who provided top 65-105 value on the year in 8-
  • 101. 101NBA Season Preview and 9-cat leagues, respectively. When punting FTs he was a top-3 player, but opinions vary on the strategy and its best suited for head-to-head leagues. What’s Changed: Howard picked Houston for the next stage of his career, and with Omer Asik around, it remains to be seen if he spends more time at C or PF. Playing for Kevin McHale has the potential to be a good fit, since Howard learning a tenth of McHale’s old Celtics moves might mean doom for the rest of the league. Outlook: While it may seem like a roller coaster following Howard’s drama, his numbers are fairly predictable and the bigger question for owners is his health. But his back and shoulder should be fully healed, and while there’s still some risk that they might act up again, he should be drafted more or less where he has been selected in past years , wherever the punting owner feels he can no longer wait. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 78 619 1044 .59 0 546 916 .60 22.9 14.1 1.4 1.37 3.58 2.38 2011-2012 ORL 54 416 726 .57 0 281 572 .49 20.6 14.5 1.9 1.50 3.24 2.15 2012-2013 LAK 76 470 813 .58 1 355 721 .49 17.1 12.4 1.4 1.11 2.96 2.45 PROJ HOU 78 644 1107 .58 0 396 780 .51 21.6 13.2 2.0 1.29 3.21 2.50 Kris Humphries - Boston Celtics - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Like teammate Gerald Wallace, Humps fell off a cliff last season, seeing his production fall from 13.8 points and 11.0 rebounds in 35 minutes to just 5.8 points and 5.6 rebounds in 18 minutes per game. Wallace, a healthy Brook Lopez, Reggie Evans and Andray Blatche all helped contribute to Humphries’ disappearing act. What’s Changed: He’ll get a new start in Boston, but will still have to compete with the likes of rookie Kelly Olynyk at center, and PFs Brandon Bass, Jared Sullinger and Fab Melo for minutes under new coach Brad Stevens. Outlook: Humps could surprise us by winning the starting PF or C job and returning to form, but it doesn’t appear likely to happen. Target him late in your draft if he has a good training camp, but as we’ve said when talking about anyone playing center or power forward in Boston, there is going to be some competition for minutes. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BKN 74 307 583 .53 0 127 191 .66 10.0 10.4 1.1 0.45 1.39 1.08 2011-2012 BKN 62 323 671 .48 0 209 278 .75 13.8 11.0 1.5 0.81 1.92 1.19 2012-2013 BKN 65 139 310 .45 0 97 123 .79 5.8 5.6 0.5 0.25 0.88 0.51 PROJ BOS 74 307 642 .48 0 170 222 .77 10.6 6.6 1.0 0.41 1.20 0.91 Serge Ibaka - Oklahoma City Thunder - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Serge Ibaka’s four-year, $49.4 million extension last summer was quickly justified, as his expanding offensive game resulted in a career-high 13.2 points on 57.3 percent shooting, 7.7 rebounds and 3.0 blocks per game. He even made 35.1 percent of his limited 3-point attempts, overcoming an utter lack of assists (0.5) or steals (0.4) to pile up first-round roto value in the course of 80 games played. What’s Changed: Ibaka admitted that his confidence waned in the postseason, when he shot just 43.7 percent from the field. He had a few lingering injuries, also, and decided skip playing for Spain in Eurobasket in favor of resting and preparing for the 2013-14 season. Outlook: Ibaka was a first-round value last season despite playing only 31 minutes per game (a career-high). He averaged 2.7 fouls, so that wasn’t the problem, and even Scott Brooks will have a hard time limiting his minutes in 2013-14. Ibaka led the league with 3.0 blocks per game and his 57.3 percent FG shooting ranked fourth. Considering his durability and the likelihood that his minutes and stats will continue to increase next season, Ibaka makes a compelling first-round fantasy pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 82 335 617 .54 0 138 184 .75 9.9 7.6 0.3 0.38 0.87 2.41 2011-2012 OKC 66 262 490 .53 1 78 118 .66 9.1 7.5 0.4 0.50 1.20 3.65 2012-2013 OKC 80 446 778 .57 20 143 191 .75 13.2 7.7 0.5 0.35 1.56 3.03 PROJ OKC 81 433 790 .55 32 147 203 .72 12.9 8.2 0.6 0.51 1.51 3.30 Andre Iguodala - Golden State Warriors - SF Age: 29 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 207 2012-2013: Iguodala had a disappointing season as a third or fourth round pick, in what appeared to be a good fit in Denver’s uptempo offense. Almost all of his numbers headed in the wrong direction, while his 3-point and free throw shooting each took significant hits. He shot a career-worst 57.4 percent from the charity stripe and gave away 2.6 turnovers per game, giving him just top 45-65 overall value on the year , helped greatly by the fact he only missed two contests. What’s Changed: After Chris Paul and Dwight Howard he was arguably the most sought-after free agent this summer, landing in Golden State where he fits very nicely. Look for him to take on secondary ball-handling duties like he did in Denver and Philly, as he should both handle the ball less but also do more with it playing with an improved quality of teammate. Outlook: The eight-point decrease in 3-point percentage last season wasn’t too far off from his 32.9 percent career mark, but his foul shooting was a 15-percentage point outlier and that bodes well for a bounce-back. Yes, the little man might be in his head and the season prior to that was bad too, but usually these things iron themselves out. The Warriors might try to keep his minutes down in the 31-33 minute range to keep his mileage down, but overall he could be a sneaky pickup in the middle rounds after a down year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 67 338 759 .45 61 208 300 .69 14.1 5.8 6.3 1.51 2.06 0.57 2011-2012 PHI 62 287 632 .45 76 121 196 .62 12.4 6.1 5.5 1.73 1.85 0.48 2012-2013 DEN 80 396 879 .45 91 155 270 .57 13.0 5.3 5.4 1.74 2.58 0.65 PROJ GS 79 383 848 .45 79 157 253 .62 12.7 3.2 4.2 1.51 2.51 0.62 Ersan Ilyasova - Milwaukee Bucks - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Ilyasova got off to a horrific start under Scott Skiles last season, averaging 6.7 points and 4.8 rebounds in November, but his fortunes improved in early January when Skiles was replaced by interim coach Jim Boylan. He started at PF the rest of the way and once again proved to be a versatile fantasy option, routinely flirting with double-doubles while knocking down a few 3-pointers per game. Over the final three months of the season, he was a top-10 fantasy option in nine-cat leagues despite playing just 32 minutes per game. What’s Changed: Ilyasova should retain his starting job under coach Larry Drew, though he may face increased competition for minutes from second-year forward John Henson. He didn’t play overseas this summer and should be fully rested for training camp. Outlook: Without Skiles messing with his playing time, Ilyasova should be a lock for 2nd/3rd-round value in 30+ minutes per game at PF. The Bucks played at the third- fastest pace in the NBA last year, while Larry Drew’s Hawks were 13th, but any drop in team-wide shot attempts should be offset with Monta Ellis no longer hoarding the Bucks’ shot attempts. Ersan burned plenty of owners with his brutal start in 2012-13, but we’re not dissuaded from using a high draft pick on him again this year. The only hitch is Henson could be ready for a breakout, which would hurt Ilyasova’s value slightly. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 60 221 507 .44 36 93 104 .89 9.5 6.1 0.9 0.85 1.05 0.40 2011-2012 MLW 60 294 597 .49 51 143 183 .78 13.0 8.8 1.2 0.70 1.27 0.73 2012-2013 MLW 73 371 803 .46 95 125 157 .80 13.2 7.1 1.6 0.93 1.03 0.49 PROJ MLW 75 504 1130 .45 113 140 165 .85 16.8 8.4 1.5 0.97 1.24 0.51 Kyrie Irving - Cleveland Cavaliers - PG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 191 2012-2013: Injuries were once again a problem for Irving last season (severely sprained shoulder, fractured left finger), as he played in just 59 games after appearing in 51 (of 66) in his rookie season. His numbers are fantastic when he’s playing, and improved to 22.5 points, 5.9 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.8 3-pointers per game last season, while shooting 45.2 percent from the floor and 85.5 from the line. What’s Changed: Injuries are a concern for the young superstar after struggling with them in both of his seasons, although he’s fairly dominant when he plays and returns first- or second-round value. But when you add in his missed games last year and look at him cumulatively, he drops to fifth-round value. Outlook: It would be nice to be able to split the difference and hope that Irving is still available in Round 3. Unfortunately, there’s no way he drops that far given his immense talent. But given his injury history, using a late first-round pick on him involves some risk. If you take the dive, just be prepared for some missed games along the way. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 CLE 51 350 747 .47 73 171 196 .87 18.5 3.7 5.4 1.06 3.14 0.39 2012-2013 CLE 59 484 1070 .45 109 248 290 .86 22.5 3.7 5.9 1.51 3.24 0.36 PROJ CLE 70 591 1288 .46 141 314 364 .86 23.4 3.9 6.4 1.60 3.20 0.40 Jarrett Jack - Cleveland Cavaliers - PG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 197 2012-2013: Jack had another solid season for the Warriors last year, missing just three games and averaging 13 points, 3.1 boards, 5.5 assists and a 3-pointer per game, despite the fact Stephen Curry was healthy all year. He was helped by the fact Brandon Rush suffered a season-ending injury, but likely would have had a nice season either way. What’s Changed: He signed with the Cavaliers where he’ll help back up Kyrie Irvin at PG and also play SG. In fact, there’s a chance he could battle Dion Waiters for the starting shooting guard job. Outlook: Jack should see an even bigger role in Cleveland this season and should build on last season, when he was worthy of an eighth-round pick. Target him in the middle rounds of your draft and hope he improves in steals and threes this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 83 260 637 .41 33 182 214 .85 8.9 2.1 2.9 0.65 1.33 0.07 2011-2012 NO 45 266 583 .46 39 129 148 .87 15.6 3.9 6.3 0.69 2.36 0.20 2012-2013 GS 79 387 857 .45 82 167 198 .84 12.9 3.1 5.5 0.76 1.99 0.14 PROJ CLE 74 337 742 .45 74 170 200 .85 12.4 3.3 4.5 0.76 2.09 0.15 Reggie Jackson - Oklahoma City Thunder - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 208 2012-2013: Jackson took over full-time backup PG duties in February, just before Eric Maynor was traded to the Blazers, and he finished strong over the final three months of the season with 6.7 points on 47.1 percent shooting, with 0.4 threes, 2.7 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 0.6 steals in 17 minutes per game. He truly rose to prominence after Russell Westbrook’s knee injury in the postseason, however, averaging 15.5 points in OKC’s final eight games. What’s Changed: Jackson led all players by averaging 19.5 points during the Orlando Summer League and will compete with Jeremy Lamb for the sixth-man role in OKC, with Kevin Martin now in Minnesota. Outlook: His performance as a starter in the playoffs bodes well, and fantasy owners should be ready to pounce on him if WB gets hurt during the season. His averages in 34 minutes per game (13.9 points on 47.9 percent FGs and 89.7 percent FTs, 4.9 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 0.5 steals) suggest that he could finish as a mid-round fantasy player with upside in starter’s minutes. And you won’t have to take him until late in your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 OKC 45 51 159 .32 13 25 29 .86 3.1 1.2 1.6 0.56 0.80 0.02 2012-2013 OKC 70 149 325 .46 24 52 62 .84 5.3 2.4 1.7 0.41 0.76 0.19 PROJ OKC 75 170 383 .44 30 64 75 .85 5.8 2.5 1.8 0.51 0.91 0.20 LeBron James - Miami Heat - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Another MVP season culminated in a second-straight NBA championship while LeBron had the light bulb turn on in every way imaginable, particularly in terms of dictating game flow. He was a beast, but owners weren’t pleased when he took several games off during the fantasy playoffs. What’s Changed: Adding to the intrigue of what is possible for LeBron, Dwyane Wade took a sizeable step backwards last year and will likely be dealing with knee
  • 102. 102 NBA Season Preview issues all year. Bron may have to shoulder even more of the load, if that’s even possible. Outlook: As we mentioned in a few places last season, the concern for LeBron when comparing him to Kevin Durant, the No. 1 fantasy play from last season, was the chance LBJ took some games off, which came to fruition. And James’ free throw percentage (75.2) compared to Durant’s (90.5) was just too much for the King to overcome. While it’s possible that James takes another step forward in his production, the same can be said for Durant, and the same games-off calculus will apply with LeBron set for another season of ridiculous usage. Despite the case for another historic season, we’re taking him No. 2 again this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 79 758 1485 .51 92 503 663 .76 26.7 7.5 7.0 1.57 3.59 0.63 2011-2012 MIA 62 621 1169 .53 54 387 502 .77 27.1 7.9 6.2 1.85 3.44 0.81 2012-2013 MIA 76 765 1354 .56 103 403 535 .75 26.8 8.0 7.3 1.70 2.97 0.88 PROJ MIA 76 789 1414 .56 114 429 562 .76 27.9 8.2 7.4 1.80 3.11 1.00 Bernard James - Dallas Mavericks - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: James averaged just 2.8 points and 2.8 rebounds last season, while blocking 0.8 shots per game off the Dallas bench. What’s Changed: He should show improvement this season, but will still be a third stringer behind Samuel Dalembert and Brandan Wright. Outlook: There is no fantasy value to be found here, unless both Dalembert and Wright suffer injuries. And even then, it’s doubtful James would be a guy you’d want in your starting lineup. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DAL 46 53 103 .51 0 25 41 .61 2.8 2.8 0.1 0.26 0.39 0.83 PROJ DAL 62 107 204 .52 0 27 43 .63 3.9 3.1 0.2 0.31 0.50 0.69 Al Jefferson - Charlotte Bobcats - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 289 2012-2013: Jefferson saw his numbers drop a bit last season with the emergence of backup Enes Kanter and strong play by big men Paul Millsap and Derrick Favors. He made it through 78 games and averaged nearly 18 points, nine boards, a steal and a block for the Jazz. What’s Changed: Jefferson left the Jazz via free agency to sign a three-year, $41 million deal with Michael Jordan’s Bobcats, where he will start at center and (hopefully) become the star of the team, leaving the shadow of Bismack Biyombo and Brendan Haywood in his wake. Outlook: Unlike his last couple seasons in Utah, Jefferson should be the clear cut No. 1 priority in Charlotte and is poised for a truly monster season. And if Big Al was able to manage late first-round value last season for the Jazz, he should be a very elite fantasy option this season. Once the LeBron’s, Durant’s and Curry’s of the world are off the board, Jefferson should be targeted as a Top 12 pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 82 654 1319 .50 0 220 289 .76 18.6 9.7 1.8 0.56 1.28 1.87 2011-2012 UTA 61 516 1048 .49 1 137 177 .77 19.2 9.6 2.2 0.77 1.02 1.66 2012-2013 UTA 78 611 1236 .49 2 167 217 .77 17.8 9.2 2.1 1.03 1.35 1.14 PROJ CHA 79 691 1371 .50 0 183 237 .77 19.8 10.3 2.3 1.00 1.51 1.41 John Jenkins - Atlanta Hawks - SG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Jenkins appeared in 61 games, averaging just 6.1 points and 1.5 rebounds as a rookie. He scored 20-plus points in three of his final five games, showing some hope for the future, and also hit nearly a 3-pointer per game last season. What’s Changed: While it’s possible he could start at shooting guard, we expect Lou Williams to get most of the minutes there, even if coming off the bench. Outlook: If Jenkins does win the starting job he ‘ll be worth a late-round look in most leagues, but as long as Lou-Will can stay healthy, Jenkins will have trouble making a fantasy difference. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 ATL 61 131 294 .45 53 59 70 .84 6.1 1.5 0.9 0.20 0.66 0.16 PROJ ATL 77 275 616 .45 92 111 131 .85 9.8 2.2 1.4 0.40 1.19 0.19 Brandon Jennings - Detroit Pistons - PG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 169 2012-2013: Brandon Jennings notched a career-high 6.5 assists in his first and last season alongside Monta Ellis, and he was healthy enough to play 80 games after missing a combined 35 games in the previous two seasons. He also set a career-high with 2.2 triples per game, but that’s where the good news ends. Jennings regressed in points per game (17.5), field goal percentage (39.9 percent) and rebounds (3.1), while averaging a career-high 2.5 turnovers. The end result was third-round value in eight-cat leagues, and fourth-round value in nine-cat. What’s Changed: Jennings failed to attract (or accept) any offer sheets as a restricted free agent. Rather than accept a one-year qualifying offer to test the market again next summer, the Bucks were able to ship him to Detroit in a sign-and-trade deal. Outlook: Jennings still has significant fantasy value despite dubious shooting percentages, as explained above, and any dip in his shot attempts (15.6 per game last year) should be compensated for by increased assists , the jumbo trio of Josh Smith, Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond will give him plenty of easy dimes. Fantasy owners can once again safely target him in the 3rd-4th rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 63 361 926 .39 98 199 246 .81 16.2 3.7 4.8 1.51 2.32 0.33 2011-2012 MLW 66 469 1121 .42 129 193 239 .81 19.1 3.4 5.5 1.58 2.21 0.33 2012-2013 MLW 80 497 1247 .40 173 230 281 .82 17.5 3.1 6.5 1.56 2.54 0.13 PROJ DET 81 542 1327 .41 186 237 292 .81 18.6 3.0 6.2 1.70 2.40 0.20 Jonas Jerebko - Detroit Pistons - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 231 2012-2013: Coming off a ruptured Achilles, Jerebko appeared in 49 games and averaged 7.2 points and 3.8 rebounds in 18 minutes a night. tied a career high with 22 points in a January game, but failed to crack the rotation on a consistent basis for most of the season. What’s Changed: Jerebko’s ability to put up big-man numbers and hit 3-pointers has always been intriguing, but he’s never been able to put it all together. Outlook: With Josh Smith and Greg Monroe ready to absorb most of the forward minutes in Detroit, it looks like another lost season for Jerebko. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 DET 64 212 453 .47 32 100 124 .81 8.7 4.8 0.7 0.64 1.03 0.33 2012-2013 DET 49 142 316 .45 25 68 88 .77 7.7 3.8 0.9 0.78 0.86 0.16 PROJ DET 70 174 380 .46 35 79 105 .75 6.6 3.1 0.7 0.69 0.79 0.20 Joe Johnson - Brooklyn Nets - SG Age: 32 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Johnson played in 72 games and averaged a modest 16.3 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2.1 3- pointers while shooting 42.3 percent from the field and 82 percent from the line. While it was a disappointing season for Joe Cool, his ninth-round fantasy value was also disappointing for owners who overpaid for him in drafts. What’s Changed: Jason Kidd will coach the Nets this season and that could work in Johnson’s favor, as Kidd probably will have a soft spot for older players. And there are plenty of them on this team after the addition of Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, Jason Terry and Andrei Kirilenko. Outlook: The days of Johnson being a fantasy stud are long gone and things aren’t going to get any better with so many offensive weapons in Brooklyn. But grabbing J.J. in Round 8 or 9, instead of 3 or 4, should leave owners with a much better taste in their mouth after his last few disappointing seasons. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 72 514 1161 .44 89 195 243 .80 18.2 4.0 4.7 0.65 2.03 0.10 2011-2012 ATL 60 423 932 .45 125 158 186 .85 18.8 3.7 3.9 0.80 1.93 0.22 2012-2013 BKN 72 445 1052 .42 148 132 161 .82 16.3 3.0 3.5 0.68 1.71 0.19 PROJ BKN 75 424 981 .43 158 135 165 .82 15.2 3.2 3.5 0.80 1.80 0.20 Amir Johnson - Toronto Raptors - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 237 2012-2013: After being an under-the-radar talent since his D-League days, Amir flourished last year in Toronto. He was even better after the break and upped his playing time to 31.8 minutes per game and he kept his fouls in check a bit, too. Johnson did finish up leading the Eastern Conference in fouls per game for the second consecutive year, so it’s something that he’ll still have to work on. He amazingly finished with third-round value. What’s Changed: The Raptors gave Amir a vote of confidence with their trade sending Andrea Bargnani to the Big Apple. He and Jonas Valanciunas don’t have much depth behind them and Johnson should be able to see as many minutes as he can handle with the team. Outlook: It’s a nice outlook for Amir yet again this season. He’s a dirty-work player and that’s what the Raptors need with players like Rudy Gay and Jonas Valanciunas getting the spotlight. Johnson will probably slip in your draft since he’s not a sexy name, but he’s terrific with defense, so feel free to pounce in the late-middle rounds once the elite big men are gone. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 TOR 72 281 495 .57 0 126 160 .79 9.6 6.4 1.1 0.74 0.96 1.22 2011-2012 TOR 64 196 340 .58 2 58 84 .69 7.1 6.4 1.2 0.52 1.47 1.08 2012-2013 TOR 81 336 606 .55 5 136 187 .73 10.0 7.5 1.5 1.00 1.44 1.36 PROJ TOR 80 471 843 .56 8 147 201 .73 13.7 9.0 1.5 1.01 1.40 1.51 Wes Johnson - Los Angeles Lakers - SF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Johnson continued along his bust trajectory in Phoenix, where everybody gets a pass to a certain degree because of the coaching and general disarray, but he did have a nice March in which he averaged 13 points, 1.7 threes, 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks in 30 minutes per game. That was enough to give him late round value in that month, but the rest of the season was a disaster and he finished outside of the top-250. What’s Changed: Metta World Peace was amnestied and Antawn Jamison is on his way out, and the Lakers brought in Nick Young to compete with Jodie Meeks and Johnson for wing minutes. Kobe Bryant is coming off Achilles’ surgery, which would be concerning for most players but isn’t likely to keep the Mamba down. Outlook: A wide-open offense under Mike D’Antoni would seemingly benefit an athletic 3-point shooter like Johnson, but his 33.6 percent mark from deep isn’t exactly breaking down doors and he’s basically useless shooting from anywhere else (40.0 career FG%). Though this is a mediocre unit, betting on him to duplicate his numbers from March is bad business. Unless reports show he is making headway on a significant role, he is only worth a look in extremely deep formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 79 271 682 .40 103 64 92 .70 9.0 3.0 1.9 0.73 1.20 0.68 2011-2012 MIN 65 158 397 .40 53 24 34 .71 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.54 0.92 0.74 2012-2013 PHO 50 161 396 .41 50 27 35 .77 8.0 2.5 0.7 0.44 0.96 0.36 PROJ LAK 77 245 599 .41 85 57 77 .74 8.2 2.5 0.8 0.51 1.00 0.44 Terrence Jones - Houston Rockets - SF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 252 2012-2013: Jones spent most of the year in the D-League before getting called up after the Rockets unloaded Patrick Patterson and Marcus Morris at the trade deadline. He averaged just 14.5 minutes in 19 appearances in the regular season, but decent play at the end of the year earned him 23 mpg in April, when he averaged 8.8 points, 5.9 boards, 1.1 steals, 1.9 blocks and 0.4 triples per game, which was good for late-mid round value. What’s Changed: The Rockets added Dwight Howard and between he and Omer Asik they’re likely to gobble up 50-65 minutes, leaving the power forward bucket just a bit light. Donatas Motiejunas, Greg Smith and Jones will all fight for those minutes.
  • 103. 103NBA Season Preview Outlook: Owners shouldn’t overreact to some of his outings against really bad teams at the end of the year, which skewed his numbers heavily. That said, he is certainly a versatile producer and he played well in Summer League. If reports continue to be positive, there is some rationale for burning a late flier on him in 12-14 team formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 HOU 19 43 94 .46 5 13 17 .76 5.5 3.4 0.8 0.63 0.68 1.00 PROJ HOU 62 212 458 .46 25 48 62 .77 7.6 3.9 1.0 0.76 0.89 1.10 Perry Jones III - Oklahoma City Thunder - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Perry Jones scored 14 points and grabbed nine rebounds as a starter in the final game of OKC’s regular season, but that was the lone highlight of his NBA rookie season. Cumulatively, he played just eight minutes per game in 38 appearances, and he shot 39.4 percent from the field. What’s Changed: Jones joined his teammates in Orlando but didn’t play during Summer League due to a minor oral infection. Outlook: Nothing about Jones’ rookie season suggests he’ll be a fantasy asset in 2013- 14. Even his numbers in 19 D-League games are shrug-worthy,13.4 points on 44.4 percent FGs and 68.3 percent FTs, 6.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists. Darnell Mayberry, beat writer for the Oklahoman, writes that Jones is ‘in the mix for an increased role this season [with Kevin Martin gone],’but fantasy owners should look elsewhere for sleeper value. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 OKC 38 39 99 .39 0 10 15 .67 2.3 1.6 0.3 0.13 0.39 0.16 PROJ OKC 70 140 348 .40 7 49 70 .70 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.40 0.90 0.43 DeAndre Jordan - Los Angeles Clippers - C Age: 25 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: Jordan was signed by the Warriors to a four-year, $43 million offer sheet prior to last season but the Clippers ultimately matched, then watched as the relationship between Jordan and Vinny Del Negro soured throughout the year. Jordan, who didn’t miss a game, didn’t help matters by dropping 15 points off his free throw percentage all the way down to 38 percent and limped into a last-round value in 12-team leagues. What’s Changed: The Clippers don’t look like they’re bringing back Lamar Odom, and in his place arrives Byron Mullens while the rest of the frontcourt is the same. Doc Rivers is on board as the coach and he should provide Jordan with every chance possible to raise his minutes per game from 24.5 to a likely 26-28 this season. Outlook: With rebounding and block rates that are likely to hold and a field goal percentage glued tight in the 60-plus percent range, the only variables here are free throw shooting and minutes. A ‘system player,’ Jordan only averaged 3.0 FTAs per game, but that was still enough to only make him a top 70-90 value if you punted free throws. A 2-3 round jump in value is a decent projection if things go well this season, making him a worthwhile pick in the later rounds for owners playing straight up. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 80 234 341 .69 0 98 217 .45 7.1 7.2 0.5 0.51 1.26 1.78 2011-2012 LAC 66 206 326 .63 0 74 141 .52 7.4 8.3 0.3 0.45 1.12 2.05 2012-2013 LAC 82 314 488 .64 0 96 249 .39 8.8 7.2 0.3 0.59 1.22 1.37 PROJ LAC 82 328 505 .65 0 108 254 .43 9.3 8.0 0.3 0.55 1.09 1.70 Cory Joseph - San Antonio Spurs - PG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: He drew nine starts with the Spurs last season and the outcome wasn’t terrible for Joseph. In those games, he played 21.4 minutes per game, averaging 7.2 points, 2.2 boards, 3.1 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.0 turnovers on 53.1 percent shooting. Besides those games, Joseph didn’t really get much action off the bench at just 10.3 minutes per game in 19 contests. What’s Changed: Tony Parker is going to play for France and should be all set for another big year. The Spurs basically have the same backcourt rotation and Joseph continues to be the primary backup. Outlook: You should know the drill here. Joseph does have some upside and showed some improvement, including a summer-league performance with averages of 10.3 points, 4.5 assists and 0.8 steals in 28.3 minutes. He won’t be worth drafting and a best-case scenario would have him sharing time with Nando De Colo should Parker miss time. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 SA 29 22 70 .31 3 11 17 .65 2.0 0.9 1.2 0.24 0.41 0.10 2012-2013 SA 28 51 110 .46 6 18 21 .86 4.5 1.9 1.9 0.54 0.75 0.14 PROJ SA 50 110 260 .42 15 39 50 .78 5.5 2.0 2.1 0.60 1.10 0.10 Chris Kaman - Los Angeles Lakers - C Age: 31 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: The warm and fuzzies of playing with fellow German Dirk Nowitzki faded quickly, as Kaman and Rick Carlisle weren’t exactly fans of each other. Kaman’s role bounced all over the place and he was unreliable in fantasy leagues all year. Injuries limited him to 66 games, which was actually an improvement over the 28 missed games he has averaged over the past six years. What’s Changed: The Lakers lost out on Dwight Howard and turned to Kaman on a one-year deal. Mike D’Antoni may not like having a lumbering duo of Kaman and Pau Gasol, but they’re also legitimate scorers on a team with very little depth overall. Jordan Hill and Robert Sacre round out the frontcourt in terms of players with NBA experience. Outlook: Kaman’s production zigzagged in the top 100-200 throughout the year, due mainly to fluctuating minutes. In his past two seasons he was a late-round value with slightly less value in nine-cat leagues. Factor in his almost-bankable injury risk and owners should view Kaman as a very late-round pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 32 177 376 .47 0 43 57 .75 12.4 7.0 1.4 0.50 1.81 1.50 2011-2012 NO 47 266 597 .45 0 84 107 .79 13.1 7.7 2.1 0.53 2.74 1.64 2012-2013 DAL 66 313 617 .51 0 67 85 .79 10.5 5.6 0.8 0.45 1.58 0.77 PROJ LAK 70 408 848 .48 0 109 140 .78 13.2 6.2 1.7 0.50 1.90 1.20 Enes Kanter - Utah Jazz - C Age: 21 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 248 2012-2013: When the Jazz took Kanter, they knew they weren’t going to see dividends right away. The team got a glimpse of the future in his two starts last year, averaging 20.5 points, 15.0 boards and 1.0 blocks in 39.5 minutes on 60.7 percent shooting. That’s elite production, but the other 68 games, he played just 14.7 minutes. Considering his age, his offense has come along nicely. He has a nice little baseline jumper and converted on 41.4 percent of all of his jumpers. He didn’t finish in the top 200 for fantasy last season. What’s Changed: Opportunity isn’t just knocking for Kanter, it’s beating the door down. The Jazz allowing Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson to walk really set the table for Kanter to show what he can do. The Jazz really don’t have anyone that projects to contend for starters’ minutes behind him, so Kanter should get plenty of leash in his first year as the opening-night starter. Outlook: His two starts from last season aren’t going to be indicative of his numbers this year, but it does show the kind of upside he has. He can shoot free throws and really doesn’t have an Achilles heel as a fantasy big man. If you play it safe in the earlier part of your draft, grabbing Kanter in the late-middle rounds could turn a nice profit. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 UTA 66 117 236 .50 0 70 105 .67 4.6 4.2 0.1 0.27 0.82 0.35 2012-2013 UTA 70 206 379 .54 1 93 117 .79 7.2 4.3 0.4 0.40 1.44 0.46 PROJ UTA 77 398 739 .54 0 114 146 .78 11.8 8.2 1.0 0.60 1.90 0.84 Sergey Karasev - Cleveland Cavaliers - SF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 203 2012-2013: Karasev was taken with the 19th pick in the draft and they were not exactly deep at small forward, meaning he filled a need. What’s Changed: The Cavs have a new coach in Mike Brown and drafted PF Anthony Bennett No. 1 overall, who can also play some small forward. Outlook: Karasev needs to add some bulk to his body to play effectively in the NBA, but it does look like he could hurt the minutes of guys like Alonzo Gee and C.J. Miles. He might be worth a late-round flier in deeper leagues, but we’d recommend leaving him on waivers in most fantasy leagues this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ CLE 70 141 309 .46 71 75 91 .82 6.1 2.4 1.9 0.30 1.40 0.21 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - Charlotte Bobcats - SF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 232 2012-2013: Kidd-Gilchrist’s rookie season was a bit disappointing after he was taken with the second pick in the draft, as he averaged just 9.0 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 78 games. He also hit just 2-of-9 3-pointers on the season and averaged 0.7 steals. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Mike Dunlap after a 21-win season. MKG should be locked into the starting SF job, if he can hold off Jeff Taylor, who had a good summer. Outlook: MKG is a defensive specialist with a hitch in his jumper, which isn’t an ideal combination when you’re looking for a fantasy player at your draft. The lost steals and nonexistent 3-pointers were disappointing last season and while we fully expect him to take a step forward this year, don’t target him until the end of your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 CHA 78 281 613 .46 2 140 187 .75 9.0 5.8 1.5 0.69 1.29 0.90 PROJ CHA 82 399 857 .47 16 185 246 .75 12.2 6.5 2.1 0.90 1.50 1.10 Andrei Kirilenko - Brooklyn Nets - SF Age: 32 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 234 2012-2013: Kirilenko made it through 64 games with the Timberwolves last season, dealing with an early back injury, and then a lingering calf injury that slowed him down for the second half of the season. He averaged 12.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.5 steals, 1.0 blocks and 0.5 3-pointers in his return to the NBA after playing overseas the previous season. What’s Changed: He signed with the Nets and will likely be the sixth man, backing up Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett for new coach Jason Kidd. Outlook: AK-47 is still a five-tool fantasy player but does everything in smaller doses than he once did. He’s also prone to go down with an injury at any moment and like most of his teammates, will have to compete with a lot of old, solid players for minutes and production. Target him in the middle rounds and hope he can stay healthy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-0 UTA 64 253 542 .47 36 208 270 .77 11.7 5.1 3.0 1.27 1.83 1.16 2012-2013 MIN 64 284 560 .51 35 188 250 .75 12.4 5.7 2.8 1.50 1.86 0.97 PROJ BKN 65 277 570 .49 33 173 228 .76 11.7 4.5 2.5 1.31 1.71 1.11 Brandon Knight - Milwaukee Bucks - PG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 189 2012-2013: Knight played in 75 games for the Pistons, splitting time between PG and SG after Jose Calderon came over from Toronto. Knight averaged 13.3 points, 4.0 assists and 1.6 3-pointers in 75 games, giving him some low-end value as a fantasy guard. What’s Changed: Knight was traded to the Bucks in a late sign-and-trade deal and he will probably start for the Bucks, competing with Luke Ridnour, O.J Mayo and Gary Neal for minutes. Outlook: With relatively less depth at the guard slots, Knight should be a lock to play 28-32 minutes per game this season. The Bucks don’t have too many go-to guys, so it’s conceivable that Knight could take the reins and improve over last season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 DET 66 319 769 .41 105 104 137 .76 12.8 3.2 3.8 0.74 2.59 0.15 2012-2013 DET 75 357 878 .41 120 165 225 .73 13.3 3.3 4.0 0.77 2.73 0.11 PROJ MLW 76 399 961 .42 129 183 243 .75 14.6 3.4 4.5 0.80 2.80 0.13
  • 104. 104 NBA Season Preview Kyle Korver - Atlanta Hawks - SF Age: 32 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 212 2012-2013: Korver saw his scoring average rise from 8.1 to 10.9 points per game last season, and hit 2.6 3-pointers, easily his highest total in eight seasons. He was helped by Lou Williams’ season-ending knee injury, but Williams should be back this season. What’s Changed: Korver will play for new coach Mike Budenholzer and deal with guys like Williams, John Jenkins and Mike Scott all due to see more minutes this season, although it looks like Korver could start at small forward for the Hawks now that Josh Smith is in Detroit. Outlook: 3-pointers are his middle name, but Korver is another year older and could struggle to stay healthy this season. He’ll be worth a late draft pick by owners looking for 3-pointers, and could have a surprising year if he can stay healthy and hang onto a starting gig all season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 82 242 557 .43 120 77 87 .89 8.3 1.8 1.5 0.43 0.73 0.24 2011-2012 CHI 65 178 412 .43 118 55 66 .83 8.1 2.4 1.7 0.55 0.82 0.23 2012-2013 ATL 74 277 601 .46 189 67 78 .86 10.9 4.0 2.0 0.95 0.95 0.50 PROJ ATL 74 254 569 .45 185 70 81 .86 10.3 3.1 1.9 0.70 1.00 0.30 Kosta Koufos - Memphis Grizzlies - C Age: 24 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 265 2012-2013: Koufos was an unlikely source of fantasy value, especially before the All- Star break when he provided top-65 value in 9-cat leagues in December and January. His quietly efficient act slowly eroded over the course of the year. What’s Changed: Koufos was traded for Darrell Arthur this offseason and will now be the primary backup to Marc Gasol in Memphis. Outlook: While Koufos is hands-off in standard formats, his surprisingly efficient game (particularly in 9-cat leagues) may be of interest to owners in leagues of 20 teams or more, even in limited minutes. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 50 68 150 .45 0 24 43 .56 3.2 2.6 0.1 0.20 0.62 0.50 2011-2012 DEN 48 115 192 .60 0 33 55 .60 5.5 5.4 0.3 0.50 0.69 0.85 2012-2013 DEN 81 295 508 .58 0 58 104 .56 8.0 6.9 0.4 0.54 0.65 1.27 PROJ MEM 79 242 410 .59 0 61 111 .55 6.9 4.6 0.4 0.51 0.59 1.10 Jeremy Lamb - Oklahoma City Thunder - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Jeremy Lamb barely played for the Thunder last year, averaging six minutes in 23 appearances all season. He spent most of his time in the D-League, where he posted 21.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, 1.8 three-pointers and 1.4 steals per game, en route to D-League All-Star honors. What’s Changed: Kevin Martin, who played 28 minutes per game as OKC’s sixth- man last season, signed with the Timberwolves this summer. Lamb also paced the Thunder to a ‘championship’ in the Orlando Summer League, averaging 18.8 points per game, though he shot just 39.1 percent from the field. Outlook: Unlike fellow rookie Perry Jones, Lamb excelled in the D-League last year and thrived dur- ing Orlando Summer League. There’s no guarantee that his success will translate to the NBA next season (he shot just 35.3 percent in minimal action as an NBA rookie), but he has 3-point range and deserves to be watched closely early in the season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 OKC 23 24 68 .35 9 14 14 1.00 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.09 0.26 0.09 PROJ OKC 80 372 873 .43 72 104 121 .86 11.5 2.7 1.7 0.50 1.00 0.11 Carl Landry - Sacramento Kings - PF Age: 30 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 248 2012-2013: Landry was productive in standard leagues for about a third of the season, and failed to capitalize as Andrew Bogut struggled with injuries, mostly because Mark Jackson wouldn’t (or couldn’t) move David Lee into any center minutes. What’s Changed: Landry followed his old assistant coach Mike Malone over to the new-look Kings, where he will fight for minutes with Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, Patrick Patterson and Jason Thompson. Outlook: We’ve seen enough of Landry to know that he’s merely a low-end fantasy play when everything is going well. Facing a log-jam, he is only worth consideration in deeper formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 76 345 687 .50 0 213 288 .74 11.9 4.6 0.8 0.53 1.43 0.42 2011-2012 NO 41 182 362 .50 0 147 184 .80 12.5 5.2 0.9 0.32 1.56 0.29 2012-2013 GS 81 325 602 .54 1 223 273 .82 10.8 6.0 0.8 0.43 1.42 0.38 PROJ SAC 80 364 688 .53 0 288 360 .80 12.7 6.3 0.9 0.40 1.49 0.50 Shane Larkin - Dallas Mavericks - PG Age: 21 - Ht: 5’11’ - Wt: 176 2012-2013: Larkin played point guard for Miami before being taken by the Mavericks with the 18th pick in the draft. He suffered a broken right ankle in practice and will be sidelined at least until mid-October, leaving him questionable to start the season. What’s Changed: The Mavs added both Jose Calderon and Devin Harris, in addition to unknown Israeli PG Gal Mekel this summer, meaning Larkin will spend a lot of time on the bench learning. Outlook: Even if Larkin were healthy, it would still be tough to see him making a fantasy dent with Calderon and Harris around. Ignore him on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ DAL 60 74 175 .42 66 68 90 .76 4.7 2.5 3.2 0.80 1.80 0.05 Ty Lawson - Denver Nuggets - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 5’11’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Lawson had a big year, as expected, averaging 16.7 points, 6.9 assists, 1.5 steals, 1.2 3-pointers and a solid 2.5 turnovers per game. He played in 73 of them and averaged 34.25 minutes per game, returning fifth-round fantasy value. What’s Changed: The Nuggets lost Andre Iguodala and Kosta Koufos, will be without Danilo Gallinari for a bit, and added Nate Robinson, Randy Foye and J.J. Hickson in the offseason. Former point guard Brian Shaw will take over coaching duties from George Karl. Outlook: Lawson will continue to man the point for the Nuggets, but in addition to having to deal with Andre Miller as his backup, Robinson will also command some minutes at both guard spots. Regardless of the additional bodies, Lawson shouldn’t have much trouble matching last year’s fifth-round value, and should be targeted a round before that. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 80 346 688 .50 69 172 225 .76 11.7 2.6 4.7 1.00 1.71 0.05 2011-2012 DEN 61 374 767 .49 73 178 216 .82 16.4 3.7 6.6 1.34 2.44 0.10 2012-2013 DEN 73 448 971 .46 85 235 311 .76 16.7 2.7 6.9 1.47 2.49 0.11 PROJ DEN 75 474 991 .48 105 283 360 .79 17.8 2.9 7.1 1.51 2.60 0.11 Ricky Ledo - Dallas Mavericks - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Ledo never played at Providence so no one has seen him play in some time. He also played for four different high schools, but the consensus is that he has the potential to be a good NBA player. The Mavs took him with the 43rd pick in the draft. What’s Changed: The Mavs signed both Monta Ellis and Wayne Ellington to handle shooting guard duties, which is bad news for the rookie. Outlook: We’ll finally get to see Ledo, mostly in the preseason, but don’t expect to see him on the court very often for the Mavs once the regular season starts. Even in dynasty leagues, Ledo is not a guy who should be targeted except in the deepest of leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ DAL 60 106 237 .45 72 71 90 .79 5.9 2.3 2.5 0.80 1.42 0.18 David Lee - Golden State Warriors - PF Age: 30 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Lee played at the higher end of expectations last season, improving his efficiency while improving his rebounding and assists. Missing only three games he cruised right into a second round grade last year. What’s Changed: With Andre Iguodala in the fold and the roster getting both better and deeper, it’s more likely than not that Lee will take at least a small step back this season. Outlook: The Warriors are deep in the frontcourt so Mark Jackson will have plenty of ways to knock Lee’s minutes down from 37 mpg to 33-35 mpg. While he performed at a second round level last year, this might be the year to look at him in the third or fourth rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 73 496 978 .51 1 210 267 .79 16.5 9.8 3.2 1.01 2.33 0.42 2011-2012 GS 57 464 922 .50 0 219 280 .78 20.1 9.6 2.8 0.95 2.61 0.39 2012-2013 GS 79 602 1160 .52 0 255 320 .80 18.5 11.2 3.5 0.85 2.62 0.28 PROJ GS 75 524 1034 .51 0 234 301 .78 17.1 9.4 3.1 0.80 2.40 0.31 Courtney Lee - Boston Celtics - SG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: After showing a ton of promise in Orlando and Houston, Lee saw his average drop from 11.4 points to 7.8 in 78 games last season off the Boston bench. He also didn’t hit many 3-pointers, clocking in at just 0.7 per game after hitting 1.5 of them per game the previous season. What’s Changed: Lee looks like the starting two-guard in Boston, as long as he holds off the streaky shooting Jordan Crawford, and lackluster MarShon Brooks for the job. Outlook: Lee should have a nice season for a bad Boston team, as long as he wins the starting shooting guard job. Look for the numbers to go up and for a return to form in 3-pointers, targeting him in the middle rounds of most fantasy drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 81 253 576 .44 71 95 120 .79 8.3 2.6 1.2 0.72 0.84 0.22 2011-2012 HOU 58 251 580 .43 87 71 86 .83 11.4 2.7 1.5 1.17 1.10 0.38 2012-2013 BOS 78 246 530 .46 58 62 72 .86 7.8 2.4 1.8 1.14 1.08 0.27 PROJ BOS 74 385 926 .42 104 147 185 .79 13.8 3.1 3.2 0.59 2.09 0.09 Alex Len - Phoenix Suns - C Age: 20 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Len was drafted with the fifth pick by the Suns in the 2013 NBA Draft. He has potential to be a stud big man, but his career is off to a slow start with two ankle surgeries since his last year at Maryland , one on each. As alluded to, he has skills based on his averages of 11.9 points, 7.0 boards and 2.1 blocks in 26.4 minutes per game at Maryland. What’s Changed: He’s going to enter his rookie season as the backup to Gortat. Although, the expiring-contract factor makes Len a candidate to usurp the role, once he’s fully recovered from the ankle surgery he had last May. Outlook: The Suns could run an up-tempo style, and combined with Len’s well- rounded game, it could make for a promising campaign. He’s someone to think about and will be a player that should be on all watch lists, but make sure he’s healthy before jumping on him, and keep in mind that the job is still Gortat’s to lose. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ PHO 50 114 218 .52 0 66 100 .66 5.9 4.8 0.5 0.10 1.08 1.10 Meyers Leonard - Portland Trail Blazers - C Age: 21 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 251 2012-2013: Leonard had a handful of nice moments last season, but he was still extremely raw and he played just 11 minutes per game in January and February before injuries helped him to 26.6 minutes per game in nine April games. What’s Changed: The Blazers let J.J. Hickson walk which is more of a statement about Hickson than Leonard, who needs to learn the game and improve his fundamentals before he’s anything but an athlete playing basketball. The Blazers brought in Robin Lopez precisely for that reason. Outlook: Leonard will be given every opportunity to earn playing time this season, but outside of very deep leagues owners can watch that action from the wire.
  • 105. 105NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 POR 69 151 277 .55 3 72 89 .81 5.5 3.7 0.5 0.16 0.71 0.55 PROJ POR 74 270 503 .54 0 97 118 .82 8.6 5.2 0.7 0.30 0.80 0.74 Kawhi Leonard - San Antonio Spurs - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Leonard emerged as one of the best young players in the NBA during the playoffs, and he may have been the Spurs’ MVP in the last few weeks of their failed title run. He suffered some quad tendinitis, missing 24 games of the regular season, but had an all-around solid year, scoring 11.9 points with 6.0 boards, 1.7 steals, 0.6 blocks and 1.1 triples on 49.4 percent from the field. What’s Changed: He averaged just 31.2 minutes during the season, but played 34.2 minutes per game after the All-Star break. There is room for growth and with Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili entering their twilight years, it should be Leonard’s show, and he could finish second on the team in scoring behind Tony Parker. Outlook: Besides the lack of assists and blocks, Leonard is becoming a fantasy superstar. He could sneak under the radar because he plays for Pop and suffered multiple knee injuries, but quad tendinitis isn’t quite as worrisome as some other injuries. If you’re able to nab him in the fourth round, do it. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 SA 64 199 404 .49 41 68 88 .77 7.9 5.1 1.1 1.33 0.69 0.38 2012-2013 SA 58 260 526 .49 65 104 126 .83 11.9 6.0 1.6 1.67 1.07 0.55 PROJ SA 75 438 900 .49 90 151 188 .80 14.9 6.2 1.8 1.80 1.31 0.71 Rashard Lewis - Miami Heat - SF Age: 34 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Lewis rode the bench as expected for most of the year, appearing in 55 games for 14 minutes per contest. If you plugged him in your lineup when the Heat rested many of their guys in April, he returned some early late-round value on the strength of 11.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 1.8 threes, 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks per game over an average of 28 mpg. While it showed he has something left in the tank, it’s highly unlikely he could sustain any significant minutes over time as his knees are shot. What’s Changed: Mike Miller was amnestied but the rest of the band is still together, leaving Lewis in the same ‘break glass in case of emergency’ role. Outlook: Lewis is well off the fantasy radar and he should be ignored on draft day in all formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 57 252 582 .43 87 77 96 .80 11.7 5.1 1.6 0.91 1.53 0.53 2011-2012 WAS 28 85 221 .38 16 31 37 .84 7.8 3.9 1.0 0.82 1.14 0.36 2012-2013 MIA 55 103 249 .41 51 28 45 .62 5.2 2.2 0.5 0.38 0.60 0.25 PROJ MIA 60 131 307 .43 61 44 59 .75 6.1 2.4 0.4 0.50 0.72 0.27 Damian Lillard - Portland Trail Blazers - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Lillard was unanimously named Rookie of the Year after the Blazers mercilessly rode him until he finally slowed down late in the year. While his production was definitely a reflection of the lack of depth in Portland, he had plenty of ‘wow’ moments. What’s Changed: Lillard will probably see 2-3 minutes chopped off his workload now that there is some depth with C.J. McCollum around, but if anything that should help his durability and efficiency. Outlook: Lillard won’t come cheap this year and he should have a similar role and usage rate. A top 20-35 play in 8- and 9-cat leagues last year, owners should target him in that range again this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 POR 82 553 1288 .43 185 271 321 .84 19.0 3.1 6.5 0.90 2.96 0.23 PROJ POR 82 600 1376 .44 197 309 369 .84 20.8 3.5 7.1 1.00 3.20 0.20 Jeremy Lin - Houston Rockets - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Lin had a solid season in Houston, although Linsanity appears to be a thing of the past. Knee issues and a poor preseason moved Lin into the 50-70 range on draft day, and with third-to-fifth round value in 8- and 9-cat leagues, he turned a tidy profit for most. What’s Changed: Dwight Howard will dominate the headlines, but it’s the play of backup guard Patrick Beverley in the second half of last year and the playoffs that could throw things off for Lin. If Beverley continues to see more minutes, he could easily eat into Lin’s value. As for Howard, he can both help and hurt an offense and while he’ll be better than Omer Asik and help on rolls to the hoop, he isn’t likely to change the overall shape of the Houston attack. Outlook: Lin’s numbers in Houston were nearly identical to his numbers in New York, despite the addition of six minutes per game (32.2). Even if Howard helps in the pick-and-roll, it’s hard to see Lin duplicating last year’s success as Houston’s personnel are all mostly on the upswing, as Beverley is looming. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 29 28 72 .39 1 19 25 .76 2.6 1.2 1.4 1.14 0.62 0.31 2011-2012 NY 35 171 383 .45 24 146 183 .80 14.6 3.1 6.2 1.57 3.60 0.26 2012-2013 HOU 82 396 897 .44 87 216 275 .79 13.4 3.0 6.1 1.63 2.88 0.35 PROJ HOU 80 410 926 .44 96 227 288 .79 14.3 3.1 6.4 1.60 3.09 0.40 Shaun Livingston - Brooklyn Nets - PG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Livingston split his time between the Wizards and Cavaliers last season, and averaged 7.2 points and 3.6 assists in 49 games as a backup for the Cavs. Not bad for a guy I never thought would play another NBA game after his gruesome knee injury in 2007. What’s Changed: Livingston signed with the Nets and will help Tyshawn Taylor back up Deron Williams. Outlook: While Livingston’s comeback story is one of the best in all of sports it’s very unlikely he’ll ever be a solid fantasy option in standard leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHA 73 185 397 .47 1 108 125 .86 6.6 2.0 2.2 0.64 1.21 0.40 2011-2012 MLW 58 127 271 .47 2 62 79 .78 5.5 2.1 2.1 0.47 1.14 0.34 2012-2013 CLE 66 166 346 .48 0 85 98 .87 6.3 2.4 3.3 0.73 1.15 0.47 PROJ BKN 70 155 308 .50 0 83 105 .79 5.6 2.3 3.1 0.70 1.10 0.40 Robin Lopez - Portland Trail Blazers - C Age: 25 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Lopez had a solid year in New Orleans, playing in all 82 games and averaging 11.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks. What’s Changed: He signed with the Blazers over the summer and could start at center, but will also have to deal with up and coming Meyers Leonard for minutes in the middle. Outlook: Lopez was worth a sixth-round pick based on the fact he was productive and didn’t miss a game last season, but it’s hard to see him matching last year’s production level. He’ll be worth owning in most leagues, but should be one of the last centers taken in drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 67 179 357 .50 0 74 100 .74 6.4 3.2 0.1 0.27 0.72 0.67 2011-2012 PHO 64 124 269 .46 0 100 140 .71 5.4 3.3 0.3 0.28 0.67 0.94 2012-2013 NO 82 384 719 .53 0 161 207 .78 11.3 5.6 0.8 0.39 1.34 1.56 PROJ POR 80 304 569 .53 0 145 192 .76 9.4 5.2 0.7 0.40 1.20 1.40 Brook Lopez - Brooklyn Nets - C Age: 25 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Bro-Lo played in 74 games after making it through just five of them the previous season, and racked up 19.4 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.1 blocks in 31 minutes per night. He also shot a stellar 52 percent from the floor and 75.8 percent from the line. What’s Changed: Lopez will be joined by a starting lineup of Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett, while Jason Terry, Andrei Kirilenko and Andray Blatche will come off the bench for the Nets and new coach Jason Kidd. He also had a screw replaced in his foot, which left him in a walking boot all summer. Outlook: Lopez restored fantasy faith with a fine season last year and he should continue to build on that this season. Rebounding is still an issue, but he was better around the glass last season. He’ll have to fight off his forwards for boards this year, but Lopez should be one of the first centers off the board in fantasy drafts this Fall. Just make sure his foot is healthy before you draft him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BKN 82 644 1309 .49 0 385 489 .79 20.4 6.0 1.6 0.57 2.15 1.46 2011-2012 BKN 5 38 77 .49 0 20 32 .63 19.2 3.6 1.2 0.20 1.20 0.80 2012-2013 BKN 74 570 1094 .52 0 297 392 .76 19.4 6.9 0.9 0.45 1.77 2.08 PROJ BKN 75 509 1005 .51 0 286 375 .76 17.4 5.5 0.8 0.40 1.71 1.91 Kevin Love - Minnesota Timberwolves - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 253 2012-2013: Love began the season in street clothes after fracturing his right hand doing ‘knuckle pushups’ in October. He finished the season in street clothes after re-fracturing the hand in early January. He played 18 games in between those two injuries, averaging 18.3 points, 1.1 threes and 14.0 rebounds, but he sank fantasy owners by shooting 35.2 percent from the field. What’s Changed: He had surgery to repair his hand in January, and minor arthroscopic knee surgery in April, but he’s expected to be 100 percent healthy for training camp. And his Wolves nemesis, David Kahn, is now out of the picture. Outlook: Love’s 2012-13 campaign was an unmitigated disaster for fantasy owners, but it didn’t diminish his top-5 fantasy potential. His hand injury was of the ‘fluky’ variety and it has been addressed with surgery, and his knee surgery was extremely minor. At full health, Love provides elite scoring, 3-point shooting, rebounding, and FT percentage. Injury concerns aside, he’s impossible to pass up after the first five picks are off the board. Just beware of his penchant for missing games late in the season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 73 482 1026 .47 88 424 499 .85 20.2 15.2 2.5 0.62 2.12 0.38 2011-2012 MIN 55 474 1059 .45 105 379 460 .82 26.0 13.3 2.0 0.85 2.33 0.51 2012-2013 MIN 18 105 298 .35 20 100 142 .70 18.3 14.0 2.3 0.72 2.17 0.50 PROJ MIN 70 500 1145 .44 105 463 560 .83 22.4 13.7 2.2 0.80 2.20 0.50 Kyle Lowry - Toronto Raptors - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Lowry was almost a colossal disappointment for those who opted to take him early in their drafts. His 40.1 percent from the field was all a part of his recent shooting struggles and he’s shot above 41.3 percent from the field just once in the past five seasons. Besides the noticeable shooting and scoring dips, it was a bit of business as usual for Lowry with 4.7 boards, 6.4 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.5 triples. He missed 14 games due to ankle, back and knee issues and finished with eighth-round value. What’s Changed: It’s hard to believe, but Lowry’s production actually went down with Jose Calderon in Detroit. His shooting was worse, points were down, free throw attempts took a hit and turnovers were up. Outlook: The rough season is going to leave bitter taste in the mouths of owners. There aren’t many positives to take out with respect to Lowry’s second year in Toronto, but the job is his and he can fill up the stat sheet like few other point guards. Let him slide a little, but then grab him with hopes of a bounce-back season coming. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 75 345 809 .43 129 192 251 .76 13.5 4.1 6.7 1.36 2.11 0.31 2011-2012 HOU 47 210 513 .41 79 171 198 .86 14.3 4.6 6.6 1.55 2.77 0.30 2012-2013 TOR 68 250 623 .40 101 190 239 .79 11.6 4.7 6.4 1.38 2.31 0.35 PROJ TOR 72 324 781 .41 115 230 295 .78 13.8 4.8 6.8 1.50 2.40 0.40 John Lucas - Utah Jazz - PG Age: 30 - Ht: 5’11’ - Wt: 157 2012-2013: There wasn’t much to Lucas’ last year with the Raptors. He had a mini outburst in February with four double-digit scoring games in a row, but outside of
  • 106. 106 NBA Season Preview that, he was fairly quiet on the season. He was able to hit shots, but didn’t really do much as a passer for Toronto. What’s Changed: He was an unrestricted free agent and the Jazz picked him up. He was a solid backup for the Raptors and with his favorable 3-point shooting, Utah should be able to find a way to use him. Outlook: The Jazz decided to give Lucas the backup point guard spot and he’ll play behind Trey Burke. Burke has loads of athleticism and could potentially play a lot of minutes, but given his struggles this summer, Lucas could be a guy that sees close to 20 minutes per game. He would be a nice pickup in just about all leagues in the event of a Burke injury. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 2 1 3 .33 0 0 2 .00 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.00 0.00 0.00 2011-2012 CHI 49 143 358 .40 55 28 32 .88 7.5 1.6 2.2 0.39 0.86 0.02 2012-2013 TOR 63 129 334 .39 57 18 25 .72 5.3 1.0 1.7 0.37 0.41 0.02 PROJ UTA 72 155 394 .39 79 56 72 .78 6.2 1.5 2.2 0.50 1.10 0.03 Ian Mahinmi - Indiana Pacers - C Age: 26 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Mahinmi flew under the radar in a strict backup role behind Roy Hibbert, averaging 16.5 minutes per game while struggling with his shot (45.3 FG%). What’s Changed: The Pacers added depth at the power forward position in Luis Scola and Chris Copeland, but as long as Mahinmi is healthy and doesn’t face-plant he’ll play most, if not all of the backup center minutes in Indy. Outlook: A top 240-260 value last season, owners can do better even in massive formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 56 55 98 .56 0 63 82 .77 3.1 2.1 0.1 0.25 0.45 0.27 2011-2012 DAL 61 130 238 .55 0 94 147 .64 5.8 4.7 0.2 0.62 0.82 0.51 2012-2013 IND 80 149 329 .45 0 104 171 .61 5.0 3.9 0.3 0.49 1.15 0.83 PROJ IND 80 216 394 .55 0 120 192 .63 6.9 4.5 0.3 0.60 1.00 0.76 Shawn Marion - Dallas Mavericks - SF Age: 35 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Marion quietly had a nice season, playing in 67 games and averaging 12.1 points, 7.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks while shooting 51.4 percent from the floor. What’s Changed: He opted in to stay with the Mavericks and they didn’t trade him. He’ll likely compete with Vince Carter for the starting small forward job, and we fully expect him to win it, despite the fact he’s entering his 15th season. Outlook: Marion will likely be worth owning once again, but shouldn’t be targeted until the later rounds of fantasy drafts. Vince Carter will likely split minutes with him, while Jose Calderon, Dirk Nowitzki, Monta Ellis and Samuel Dalembert will all get plenty of touches in Dallas. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 80 434 834 .52 5 126 164 .77 12.5 6.9 1.4 0.85 1.63 0.63 2011-2012 DAL 63 288 646 .45 20 74 93 .80 10.6 7.4 2.1 1.06 1.56 0.57 2012-2013 DAL 67 355 690 .51 23 79 101 .78 12.1 7.8 2.4 1.10 1.54 0.70 PROJ DAL 76 431 882 .49 23 89 114 .78 12.8 7.1 2.1 1.00 1.38 0.63 Kendall Marshall - Phoenix Suns - PG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: Kendall Marshall didn’t have the best start to his career. He was terrible in the D-League, shooting just 31.3 percent from the field in nine games, then increased it to 37.1 percent with the Suns in 48 outings. He started three games and wasn’t very good, shooting 29.5 percent from the field. On the plus side, he did hand out 12.3 assists per game in those starts. He really can’t shoot and made just 32 percent on his jumpers. The UNC product wasn’t spectacular in Summer League, either. What’s Changed: The acquisition of Eric Bledsoe put the kibosh on Marshall and he could be traded. What’s more, Archie Goodwin had a tremendous week in Vegas and may have leapfrogged him. Outlook: It’s a bleak outlook for Marshall and he’s the fourth-best point guard on his team. Diante Garrett might actually give him a run for his money as the fifth best. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 PHO 48 56 151 .37 23 8 14 .57 3.0 0.9 3.0 0.46 1.19 0.08 PROJ PHO 78 166 419 .40 70 57 78 .73 5.9 1.8 4.6 0.90 1.71 0.21 Kevin Martin - Minnesota Timberwolves - SG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Kevin Martin made a virtually seamless transition from the Rockets starting lineup to the Thunder bench, where he averaged 14.0 points on 45.0 percent shooting (including 42.6 percent from downtown), 2.1 three-pointers, 2.3 rebounds, and 0.9 steals. What’s Changed: The Timberwolves offered him more years, more money and a bigger role, and he inked a four-year, $28 million deal in hopes of helping to propel Minnesota into the playoffs. Outlook: K-Mart shot a career-best 42.6 percent from downtown last season, often benefiting from plays created by Russell Westbrook or Kevin Durant, but his fantasy value is indisputably in decline. He’s psyched to be playing for Rick Adelman and to have be a featured scorer, and we’re expecting big things as long as he can stay healthy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 80 553 1267 .44 176 594 669 .89 23.5 3.2 2.5 1.00 2.30 0.19 2011-2012 HOU 40 222 537 .41 78 160 179 .89 17.1 2.7 2.8 0.70 1.75 0.08 2012-2013 OKC 77 350 778 .45 158 219 246 .89 14.0 2.3 1.4 0.94 1.31 0.10 PROJ MIN 75 543 1246 .44 150 234 263 .89 19.6 2.4 2.1 0.91 1.51 0.12 Kenyon Martin - New York Knicks - PF Age: 35 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: K-Mart has limped through just 48, 42 and 18 games over the last three seasons and re-signed with the Knicks over the summer. What’s Changed: He’ll help Amare Stoudemire back up Andrea Bargnani, but the days of Martin getting more than 25 minutes per game are long gone. Outlook: He’ll likely have trouble staying healthy this season and while he has the potential to average a block and a steal per game, we’d let someone else deal with the 35 year old former star. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 48 185 362 .51 2 42 72 .58 8.6 6.2 2.3 0.90 1.23 0.73 2011-2012 LAC 42 97 220 .44 3 20 54 .37 5.2 4.3 0.4 1.05 0.76 1.02 2012-2013 NY 18 56 93 .60 0 17 40 .43 7.2 5.3 0.4 0.89 0.89 0.94 PROJ NY 47 141 280 .50 0 38 94 .40 6.8 4.1 0.3 0.70 1.00 0.81 Wesley Matthews - Portland Trail Blazers - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 214 2012-2013: Matthews had a bit of a breakout season, ranking fifth in the NBA with 2.4 triples per game to go with 14.8 points and 1.3 steals. Interestingly, he had one of the widest win-loss splits in the NBA, making 49.1 percent of his shots in wins and 39.7 in losses. The downside of Wes’ season was that he missed 13 games with ankle problems. He did have right-ankle problems back in 2011, but this past season was the first in which he missed any games. His injury woes gave him seventh-round value in fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: Wes played a career-high 34.8 minutes per game, but his shots only went up by 0.1 per game. There should be some concern about guys like Dorell Wright and C.J. McCollum taking his minutes, but Matthews is a clutch scorer and his stats should be similar. Outlook: You can probably pencil in Wes for 2.0 triples and 1.3 steals, but his 14.8 points may take a small dip. He’ll be someone to target in the middle rounds of drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 82 440 979 .45 154 266 315 .84 15.9 3.1 2.0 1.24 1.68 0.11 2011-2012 POR 66 314 763 .41 129 147 171 .86 13.7 3.4 1.7 1.45 1.11 0.23 2012-2013 POR 69 352 808 .44 169 149 187 .80 14.8 2.8 2.5 1.30 1.58 0.26 PROJ POR 77 371 834 .44 169 177 216 .82 14.1 2.9 2.6 1.40 1.51 0.30 Eric Maynor - Washington Wizards - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 170 2012-2013: Maynor was jettisoned by the Thunder at the trade deadline due to Reggie Jackson’s emergence, but Maynor revived his career with a strong second half with the Blazers. In his 27 games with the team, he averaged 6.9 points, 4.0 assists and 1.0 triples in 21.2 minutes per game. His production came off the bench and he got plenty of time at shooting guard since Damian Lillard isn’t going anywhere at the one. What’s Changed: Maynor’s strong play got him a nice contract with the Wizards. John Wall is going to play big minutes, but he’s not exactly indestructible. Outlook: Maynor will be a strong pickup should Wall ever miss time, but the odds of that happening and lower upside make Maynor waiver-wire fodder. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 82 134 333 .40 37 43 59 .73 4.2 1.5 2.9 0.43 0.94 0.07 2011-2012 OKC 9 14 39 .36 6 4 4 1.00 4.2 1.4 2.4 0.56 1.22 0.00 2012-2013 POR 64 106 281 .38 34 45 62 .73 4.5 0.7 2.8 0.34 1.23 0.02 PROJ WAS 70 116 285 .41 56 119 266 .45 5.4 1.7 1.5 0.50 1.90 0.04 O.J. Mayo - Milwaukee Bucks - SG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Mayo got off to a very hot start, averaging 17.9 points, 3.8 boards, 4.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 2.0 3-pointers per game prior to the All-Star break, but really struggled afterwards (10.9 points), when Dirk Nowitzki got fully healthy and took over the offensive load for the Mavs. What’s Changed: Mayo signed with Bucks and will help fill the scoring void left by the absence of both Brandon Jennings (Detroit) and Monta Ellis, who is now in Dallas. Outlook: Mayo has a legitimate shot at blowing up this season and he looks like a near lock to be a Top 6 shooting guard. And Dirk Nowitzki will not be around to rain on his parade this year in Milwaukee. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 71 304 747 .41 96 99 131 .76 11.3 2.4 2.0 1.03 1.39 0.37 2011-2012 MEM 66 300 736 .41 100 133 172 .77 12.6 3.2 2.6 1.08 1.88 0.35 2012-2013 DAL 82 461 1026 .45 142 191 233 .82 15.3 3.5 4.4 1.13 2.55 0.28 PROJ MLW 82 537 1225 .44 148 189 238 .79 17.2 3.5 4.5 1.10 2.50 0.35 Luc Richard Mbah a Moute - Sacramento Kings - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Mbah a Moute battled injuries for much of the year, playing just 22.9 minutes per game over 58 contests. He had the occasional good game but wasn’t a factor in fantasy leagues. What’s Changed: Mbah a Moute is an injury-risk but he fits pretty well as a defensively focused veteran in Sacramento, where there is no shortage of trigger happy offensive players. Outlook: We’d need to see him take a big step forward taking (and making) 3-point shots before we’ll consider him in most, if not all formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 79 198 428 .46 0 133 188 .71 6.7 5.3 0.9 0.91 0.97 0.35 2011-2012 MLW 43 133 261 .51 1 66 103 .64 7.7 5.3 0.7 0.93 0.91 0.51 2012-2013 MLW 58 151 377 .40 13 72 126 .57 6.7 4.4 0.9 0.72 1.21 0.24 PROJ SAC 74 222 479 .46 15 104 163 .64 7.6 4.6 0.8 0.80 1.09 0.30 Ray McCallum - Sacramento Kings - PG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: McCallum, a coach’s son, showed well in summer league but there are serious questions about whether or not his athleticism can translate at the NBA level. That’s not to say he isn’t skilled, though. What’s Changed: He’s going to be buried on the depth chart behind Greivis Vasquez and Isaiah Thomas and chances are he won’t seeconsistent minutes. Outlook: Keeper league owners should file the name away and see if he can translate his smarts and skills into a regular minutes down the road. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ SAC 65 104 220 .47 52 46 65 .71 4.7 2.5 2.1 0.82 1.51 0.20
  • 107. 107NBA Season Preview C.J. McCollum - Portland Trail Blazers - SG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: The Blazers were able to steal McCollum with the 10th pick in the draft. There’s a chance that he’s the best scorer in this year’s class and he proved that in summer league. He took a whopping 20.2 shots per game in Las Vegas and finished second in scoring behind Dwight Buycks. McCollum has plenty of range and has plus passing skills. What’s Changed: He comes into an unfavorable situation with Damian Lillard, Wes Matthews and Mo Williams all in front of him on the depth chart. Outlook: He has upside and there’s a chance Portland uses him as the sixth man. He has a shot for 1.2 threes, 1.0 steals and 10-plus points, and is worth a flyer for owners that missed the boat on stats like those, but owners have to hope he gets enough minutes to shine. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ POR 80 320 795 .40 88 161 200 .81 11.1 2.3 2.9 1.10 1.30 0.23 JaVale McGee - Denver Nuggets - C Age: 25 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 252 2012-2013: McGee came off the bench in every game last season, except for the Nuggets’ final two playoff games. This was frustrating to his owners, as he managed just 9.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.0 blocks despite playing 18 minutes a night in 79 games. What’s Changed: Kosta Koufos is in Memphis after being traded for Darrell Arthur, which should clear the way for McGee to start for new coach Brian Shaw. And make no mistake , the fact George Karl is no longer his coach is a good thing in regards to his fantasy value. Outlook: McGee could finally be primed for the breakout season we’ve all been waiting for and should be locked and loaded into the starting lineup. Look for his numbers to jump, and he’ll be an interesting No. 1 center candidate with the potential to average 14 points, seven rebounds and 2.5 blocks per game. Go get him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 79 332 604 .55 0 134 230 .58 10.1 8.0 0.5 0.52 1.29 2.44 2011-2012 DEN 61 307 552 .56 0 77 167 .46 11.3 7.8 0.5 0.57 1.43 2.16 2012-2013 DEN 79 303 527 .57 1 110 186 .59 9.1 4.8 0.3 0.38 1.14 1.99 PROJ DEN 80 440 751 .59 0 145 239 .61 12.8 8.8 0.7 0.60 1.59 2.48 Ben McLemore - Sacramento Kings - SG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: McLemore struggled in Summer League, but he was outstanding in his only year at Kansas, averaging 15.9 points, 5.2 boards, 1.0 steals and 2.0 triples on 49.5/42.0/87.0 shooting. What’s Changed: He joins a still-crowded situation even though Tyreke Evans is gone, where Marcus Thornton, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, Carl Landry and John Salmons will get their minutes. Outlook: Like many rookies, it’s going to be hard to peg McLemore’s value heading into drafts. With starter’s minutes not guaranteed, he will need to steadily progress to be worth using in any standard league. Yes, there is some upside if everything breaks the right way, and in the end he’s worth a look in the later rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ SAC 75 320 677 .47 91 215 263 .82 12.6 3.2 2.2 0.85 1.19 0.20 Josh McRoberts - Charlotte Bobcats - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: McRoberts was traded from Orlando to Charlotte mid-season and averaged 31 minutes per game for the Bobcats, while also filling in as a starter when Byron Mullens went down with an ankle injury. He held late-round value in March before exploding for surprising top 20-25 value in April. What’s Changed: The Bobcats drafted Cody Zeller with the fourth overall pick and Byron Mullens is now a Clipper. Al Jefferson and Bismack Biyombo will effectively close out minutes at center, so a timeshare with Zeller looks like it’s in McBob’s future. Outlook: Unless you’re in a deeper format you should feel free to look at higher upside players late in deep-league drafts. That said, if you’re looking for a stop-gap solution early in the year McRoberts might be your guy while Zeller gets up to speed. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 72 211 386 .55 23 88 119 .74 7.4 5.3 2.1 0.65 1.29 0.79 2011-2012 LAK 50 56 118 .47 3 23 36 .64 2.8 3.4 1.0 0.30 0.62 0.36 2012-2013 CHA 67 156 343 .45 24 65 85 .76 6.0 4.9 2.1 0.48 0.99 0.40 PROJ CHA 75 279 569 .49 23 109 150 .73 9.2 5.2 1.9 0.40 1.00 0.51 Jodie Meeks - Los Angeles Lakers - SG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Meeks was one of Mike D’Antoni’s preferred guys but that couldn’t keep him from struggling for most of the year. Shooting just 38.7 percent from the field with a one-dimensional game, he was a liability in both fantasy and reality. What’s Changed: The Lakers added Nick Young, Jordan Farmar and Wes Johnson in the backcourt, while Steve Blake is still around to compete for shooting guard minutes if Kobe slides over to the three. Outlook: Meeks barely held late-round value when things were going well, and unless he starts tearing up the preseason he can be ignored in most formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 74 242 570 .42 138 152 170 .89 10.5 2.3 1.1 0.85 0.81 0.05 2011-2012 PHI 66 191 467 .41 97 77 85 .91 8.4 2.4 0.8 0.61 0.44 0.05 2012-2013 LAK 78 205 530 .39 122 86 96 .90 7.9 2.2 0.9 0.74 0.67 0.06 PROJ LAK 78 219 538 .41 133 91 101 .90 8.5 2.3 1.0 0.76 0.85 0.10 Gal Mekel - Dallas Mavericks - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 198 2012-2013: Mekel was scheduled to play in the Eurobasket tournament over the summer, but was asked to withdraw once signed by the Mavericks. He played well in the Summer League for Dallas and will help fill in for rookie Shane Larkin, out with ankle surgery. What’s Changed: Mekel will likely start the season as the third-string point guard for the Mavericks, backing up Jose Calderon and Devin Harris. Outlook: No fantasy value here, although you may get to know his name if Larkin is slow to return from surgery. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ DAL 50 50 106 .47 30 31 40 .78 3.2 1.6 2.8 0.70 1.50 0.06 Khris Middleton - Milwaukee Bucks - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 217 2012-2013: Middleton appeared in just 27 games and averaged 6.1 points on 44 percent shooting. He scored a career-high 14 points on March 9 vs. the Mavericks, which was easily the highlight of his rookie season. What’s Changed: Middleton was traded to the Bucks where he’ll likely play off the bench behind Carlos Delfino. However, that’s a much better position to be in than had he stayed in Detroit, where he would have played behind Josh Smith and Kyle Singler. He also had a nice Summer League performance. Outlook: Playing behind the oft-injured Delfino could end up working out for Middleton, and while we’re not ready to call him a must-own player this season, he could become a hot pickup once Delfino goes down. Keep a close eye on him as the season progresses. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DET 27 62 141 .44 14 27 32 .84 6.1 1.9 1.0 0.56 0.41 0.15 PROJ MLW 75 254 569 .45 68 115 136 .85 9.2 2.5 1.5 0.71 0.91 0.20 C.J. Miles - Cleveland Cavaliers - SG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 222 2012-2013: Miles played in 65 games and started in 13 of them, when Kyrie Irving was banged up. He averaged 11 points and two 3-pointers on the season, and 15 points and 2.6 3-pointers as a starter. What’s Changed: Mike Brown takes over as coach and Jarrett Jack has joined the Cavs from Golden State. Miles is locked into a bench role for Cleveland. Outlook: Miles should have some nice games in Cleveland and might be worthy of a late flier, but our guess is you can find a player with more upside to blow a late fantasy pick on. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 78 366 899 .41 109 159 196 .81 12.8 3.3 1.7 0.95 1.19 0.49 2011-2012 UTA 56 177 465 .38 46 108 136 .79 9.1 2.1 1.2 0.82 0.95 0.32 2012-2013 CLE 65 255 614 .42 126 93 107 .87 11.2 2.7 1.0 0.75 1.06 0.26 PROJ CLE 75 273 669 .41 135 114 135 .84 10.6 2.5 1.2 0.85 1.19 0.31 Mike Miller - Memphis Grizzlies - SG Age: 33 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 218 2012-2013: Miller hit a key 3-pointer with one shoe missing in the Heat’s pivotal Game 6 win against the Spurs, and as usual his postseason performance was the only noteworthy thing about his season. What’s Changed: The Grizzlies are pretty well stocked on the wings, and Miller will slide into a secondary role in which he spreads the floor for 15-25 minutes per night. Outlook: Though Miller says he’s feeling better than he has in years, there’s way too much injury history on him and not enough minutes to justify a selection outside of massive formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 41 81 202 .40 43 23 34 .68 5.6 4.5 1.2 0.49 1.00 0.05 2011-2012 MIA 39 91 209 .44 53 2 5 .40 6.1 3.3 1.1 0.36 0.77 0.15 2012-2013 MIA 59 100 231 .43 73 8 11 .73 4.8 2.7 1.7 0.36 0.59 0.07 PROJ MEM 60 173 397 .44 84 14 18 .78 7.4 2.6 1.6 0.40 0.72 0.18 Andre Miller - Denver Nuggets - PG Age: 37 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Miller played in all 82 games (as usual) and averaged 9.6 points and 5.9 assists in 26 minutes per game. He ate into Ty Lawson’s minutes a bit, and will continue to do so again this season. What’s Changed: Miller is entering his 15th season and with the arrival of Nate Robinson, might finally be at the end of the fantasyline. Brian Shaw will take over as head coach for George Karl. Outlook: Miller was a nice player to own in deeper leagues last season and even had value in standards, but having to compete with both Lawson and Lil’ Nate, we see no reason to draft Miller this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 81 388 844 .46 4 249 292 .85 12.7 3.7 7.0 1.41 2.43 0.15 2011-2012 DEN 66 242 552 .44 18 137 169 .81 9.7 3.3 6.7 0.95 2.68 0.14 2012-2013 DEN 82 303 632 .48 17 163 194 .84 9.6 2.9 5.9 0.89 2.10 0.13 PROJ DEN 81 267 581 .46 16 147 178 .83 8.6 2.8 5.1 1.00 2.20 0.10 Patrick Mills - San Antonio Spurs - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: He received two starts for the Spurs and they didn’t exactly go swimmingly. He shot 30.0 percent from the field in those two games and turned the ball over 3.0 times. His two starts came before December of 2012, then the lackluster played allowed Cory Joseph to leapfrog him. What’s Changed: Mills remains at least third on the depth chart for the Spurs. Considering the attention that the team is paying to Joseph and Nando De Colo for
  • 108. 108 NBA Season Preview giving them playing time in Vegas, Mills is likely the fifth most-likely guard to have a noticeable impact. Outlook: You can sleep on PM, folks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 64 135 328 .41 47 36 47 .77 5.5 0.8 1.7 0.42 0.97 0.02 2011-2012 SA 16 63 130 .48 24 15 15 1.00 10.3 1.8 2.4 0.63 1.63 0.06 2012-2013 SA 58 113 241 .47 52 16 19 .84 5.1 0.9 1.1 0.45 0.67 0.07 PROJ SA 73 180 401 .45 88 35 44 .80 6.6 1.3 2.0 0.51 1.30 0.10 Paul Millsap - Atlanta Hawks - PF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 258 2012-2013: Millsap averaged 14.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 1.0 blocks in 78 games for the Jazz last season, sharing time with Derrick Favors and averaging 30- plus minutes per game. What’s Changed: Millsap was the big acquisition this off season for the Hawks, which means that Al Horford will once again likely play center,while Millsap will be somewhat uncontested at PF in Atlanta. His numbers have been on the decline over the past few seasons, but that should change with his new life in the ATL. The Hawks did add Gustavo Ayon to back up Millsap, but Millsap should get most of the minutes. Outlook: Look for Millsap’s numbers to jump, as we can see him averaging closer to the 17 points, eight boards and 1.5 steals he averaged a few years ago in Utah. He’s always had to compete for a job, but those days are over. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 76 525 988 .53 9 256 338 .76 17.3 7.6 2.5 1.36 1.91 0.91 2011-2012 UTA 64 426 861 .49 7 202 255 .79 16.6 8.8 2.3 1.84 1.75 0.81 2012-2013 UTA 78 429 875 .49 13 264 356 .74 14.6 7.1 2.6 1.31 1.77 1.03 PROJ ATL 79 521 1037 .50 8 286 379 .75 16.9 8.6 2.5 1.41 1.80 1.00 Tony Mitchell - Detroit Pistons - PF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: After a nice year at North Texas, Mitchell was taken with the 37th pick by the Pistons. He’s a tweener forward who can block shots, but should be buried in a Pistons lineup that features Josh Smith, Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond. What’s Changed: We love Mitchell’s game and he looks like a value pick where the Pistons got him. Outlook: However, he’s going to be buried on the depth chart on a team with plenty of forward options, which means you can forget about him in fantasy for now. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ DET 50 77 162 .48 20 36 50 .72 4.2 2.2 0.5 0.50 0.66 0.28 Nazr Mohammed - Chicago Bulls - C Age: 36 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Mohammed is nearing the end of his career and will again play for the Bulls, where he averaged just 2.6 points and 3.1 rebounds last season, which is about what he did the year before with OKC. What’s Changed: He’ll back up Joakim Noah and is only there as an insurance policy in case Noah goes down. Outlook: Given the fact Noah missed 16 games last season and Mohammed didn’t do much when called upon, there’s not much hope for this season. But he could come in handy in deeper leagues if Noah’s feet problems arise again this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 75 234 448 .52 0 67 112 .60 7.1 4.9 0.3 0.40 0.93 0.75 2011-2012 OKC 63 79 169 .47 0 13 23 .57 2.7 2.7 0.2 0.32 0.41 0.59 2012-2013 CHI 63 66 180 .37 0 34 47 .72 2.6 3.1 0.4 0.33 0.38 0.51 PROJ CHI 60 83 181 .46 0 20 30 .67 3.1 3.3 0.4 0.32 0.38 0.50 Greg Monroe - Detroit Pistons - PF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 253 2012-2013: Monroe only missed one game last season but failed to take a big step forward from the previous year, when he averaged 15.4 points and 9.7 rebounds. The numbers were similar last season, and while he was fun to own in fantasy, his lack of blocks and dip in field goal and free throw shooting were mild disappointments. Monroe was essentially worth only a fifth-round pick last year, despite missing just one game. What’s Changed: Mo Cheeks will be his new coach and Brandon Jennings is the new point guard, while Monroe will have to compete for rebounds with new teammate SF Josh Smith and new starting C Andre Drummond. Outlook: There is a lot to love about Monroe’s game and his career up to this point, and while we doubt he takes a step back, it will be interesting to see if he can hold his own with Jennings, Smoove and Drummond becoming focal points of the offense. There will also be intense competition for every loose rebound, so don’t be surprised if Monroe’s board totals (and scoring) drop a bit this season. He still looks like a solid way to blow a fifth-round pick, regardless of whom he’s playing with. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 80 303 550 .55 0 145 233 .62 9.4 7.5 1.3 1.16 1.01 0.56 2011-2012 DET 66 407 781 .52 0 201 272 .74 15.4 9.7 2.3 1.26 2.44 0.70 2012-2013 DET 81 514 1058 .49 0 270 392 .69 16.0 9.6 3.5 1.30 2.89 0.68 PROJ DET 80 460 926 .50 0 248 352 .70 14.6 8.2 3.0 1.20 2.59 0.69 E’Twaun Moore - Orlando Magic - PG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 191 2012-2013: Moore had a nice year in Orlando, averaging 7.8 points and 2.7 assists as Jameer Nelson’s backup. He also made 21 starts and saw those numbers jump to 11 points, 3.4 assists and 1.4 3-pointers when he was on the court for the opening tip. What’s Changed: Moore will battle with Ronnie Price for the right to back up Jameer Nelson in Orlando, but will only be worth grabbing if Nelson goes down with an injury. Outlook: Leave him on the wire on draft night, but be ready to pounce, especially in deep leagues, as soon as Nelson suffers an injury that will keep him out for multiple games. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 BOS 38 43 113 .38 17 7 7 1.00 2.9 0.9 0.9 0.29 0.55 0.08 2012-2013 ORL 75 237 598 .40 67 47 59 .80 7.8 2.2 2.7 0.68 1.40 0.31 PROJ ORL 77 272 671 .41 85 57 69 .83 8.9 2.4 2.9 0.81 1.60 0.30 Markieff Morris - Phoenix Suns - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: ‘Kieff really ended the year strongly, averaging 11.8 points, 6.9 boards, 1.5 blocks, 1.4 steals and 1.6 3PM on 46 percent from the field, 92 percent from the line and 65 percent from deep in April. The percentage is a fluke, but he has career averages of 0.6 triples, 0.7 blocks and 0.8 steals, which is fantasy gold. What’s Changed: The trade sending Luis Scola to Indiana should thrust Morris into a starting role, making him an interesting sleeper to target. Outlook: There’s a lot to like here and the mystery makes him a sneaky pick late in drafts even as just a bench player. He really can fill the stat sheet and the Suns wouldn’t have traded away Scola without some level of confidence in Morris. He could break out this year with some serious multi-category production. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 PHO 63 174 436 .40 43 76 106 .72 7.4 4.4 1.0 0.65 1.11 0.67 2012-2013 PHO 82 266 653 .41 45 93 127 .73 8.2 4.8 1.3 0.94 1.27 0.78 PROJ PHO 82 420 1009 .42 67 153 205 .75 12.8 6.7 1.8 1.00 1.40 0.96 Marcus Morris - Phoenix Suns - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: The Suns traded for Marcus Morris from the Rockets and he debuted with the team on February 22. After the team gave him some leash, his minutes took a hit in the middle of March. Morris was in a good situation with the Suns and their rash of injuries, but he still couldn’t muster up any value. He had a solid summer league, but not as great as his brother’s. What’s Changed: The Suns do have depth missing at the forward spots, but Marcus figures to be behind Markieff. Plus, there’s Channing Frye to worry about. Outlook: There are too many things that will have to happen for Marcus Morris to bust out, so he can be left on the wire. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 HOU 17 16 54 .30 2 6 8 .75 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.12 0.24 0.12 2012-2013 PHO 77 222 526 .42 86 66 117 .56 7.7 3.6 0.8 0.58 1.00 0.26 PROJ PHO 75 150 359 .42 68 75 135 .56 5.9 3.2 0.8 0.91 1.19 0.40 Donatas Motiejunas - Houston Rockets - PF Age: 23 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 222 2012-2013: Motiejunas was thrust into the starting lineup after the Rockets traded away Patrick Patterson and Marcus Morris, and after a decent debut what followed was a loud thud. Defense and court awareness are major roadblocks for him, and that’s before you get to the fact he can’t rebound or block shots. What’s Changed: The Rockets added Dwight Howard and between he and Omer Asik they’re likely to gobble up 50-65 minutes, leaving the power forward bucket a little bit light. Motiejunas can space the floor for Howard, Greg Smith adds bulk and double-double potential, and Terrence Jones has the potential to be an inside-out player once developed. Outlook: Even when Motie peaked at 20 mpg in March, he barely cracked the top- 250 and that’s largely because right now all he can do is hit the three-ball. Dynasty owners may want to keep one eye on him, but outside of massive formats owners can ignore him until he gives them a reason not to. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 HOU 44 97 213 .46 24 32 51 .63 5.7 2.1 0.7 0.16 0.84 0.23 PROJ HOU 70 207 441 .47 42 77 112 .69 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.30 0.99 0.26 Arnett Moultrie - Philadelphia 76ers - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 230 2012: Moultrie’s rookie season was a qualified success. He spent some time in the D-League and appeared in only 47 games for the Sixers, but he was effective when he played. What’s Changed: The Sixers watched Andrew Bynum limp to the Cavaliers as a free agent, they traded Jrue Holiday to acquire Nerlens Noel and other assets, and they claimed Tim Ohlbrecht off waivers. Outlook: The player shuffle leaves Philly’s frontcourt in flux,Spencer Hawes should start at center, backed up by Lavoy Allen, which leaves Thaddeus Young and Moultrie as the primary PFs (with Royce White and Ohlbrecht as wildcards). Despite an intriguing outlook and decent per-minute stats, fantasy owners should view Moultrie as a possible waiver-wire pickup, not a player to be drafted. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 PHI 47 78 134 .58 0 18 28 .64 3.7 3.1 0.2 0.36 0.40 0.21 PROJ PHI 72 207 357 .58 0 55 86 .64 6.5 4.5 0.6 0.60 1.00 0.50 Timofey Mozgov - Denver Nuggets - C Age: 27 - Ht: 7’1’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Mozgov was the third-string center in Denver behind Kosta Koufos and JaVale McGee, averaging just 2.6 points and 2.6 rebounds in nine minutes per game. What’s Changed: Koufos was sent to Memphis, but it sounds like JaVale McGee is now the starter, while new coach Brian Shaw can also use newcomer J.J. Hickson at center. Outlook: With McGee and Hickson around, it’s hard to imagine Mozgov doing much this season. Ignore him on draft day as long as the rest of the bigs are healthy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 45 63 133 .47 0 37 52 .71 3.6 2.7 0.3 0.33 0.78 0.56 2011-2012 DEN 44 100 190 .53 0 39 57 .68 5.4 4.1 0.5 0.34 1.20 0.95 2012-2013 DEN 41 44 87 .51 0 20 26 .77 2.6 2.6 0.2 0.15 0.61 0.44 PROJ DEN 60 120 223 .54 0 54 78 .69 4.9 3.8 0.4 0.20 0.80 0.82
  • 109. 109NBA Season Preview Shabazz Muhammad - Minnesota Timberwolves - SF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Muhammad averaged 17.9 points and 1.3 threes on 44.3 percent shooting as a freshman with UCLA, but quickly earned a reputation as a shot-happy black hole on offense. What’s Changed: Muhammad did nothing to change his image during Summer League, tallying just five assists in six games, while averaging 8.5 points on 36.5 percent shooting. Outlook: Flip Saunders has already said that Shabazz won’t have a guaranteed spot in the Wolves’ rotation as a rookie. Minnesota is trying to earn a playoff spot and they’ve restocked their SF position with Chase Budinger (now healthy) and Corey Brewer. There’s simply no reason to expect Muhammad will hold fantasy value in 2013-14. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ MIN 40 56 134 .42 20 25 32 .78 3.9 1.5 1.0 0.53 1.00 0.20 Byron Mullens - Los Angeles Clippers - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 275 2012-2013: Mullens mania was actually a thing last year, but it was charged with ups and downs and general disappointment. Knee and back injuries as well as a serious left ankle sprain limited him to 50 games, and once the Bobcats stopped using him as a primary option in the offense his already shaky consistency hit the skids. What’s Changed: Mullens signed a one-year deal with a player option following the season to play for the Clippers, where he will back up Blake Griffin and probably also see some time backing up DeAndre Jordan. Outlook: Mullens was a top-225 guy in 22 mpg during the 2011-12 season, which provides a good barometer of where his value will head in what will likely be a 16-22 minute role this season. And as long as Griffin is in his way, we’re not expecting much from Mullens off the bench. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 13 9 28 .32 0 7 14 .50 1.9 1.8 0.0 0.15 0.62 0.23 2011-2012 CHA 65 251 591 .42 12 92 112 .82 9.3 5.0 0.9 0.32 1.14 0.80 2012-2013 CHA 53 217 563 .39 66 64 99 .65 10.6 6.4 1.5 0.64 1.40 0.60 PROJ LAC 72 215 528 .41 58 97 130 .75 8.1 4.9 1.0 0.50 1.19 0.71 Steve Nash - Los Angeles Lakers - PG Age: 39 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Visions of Nash throwing alley-oops to Dwight Howard quickly turned into that little red cross on fantasy owners’ websites as a bruised shin in preseason evolved into ‘broken fibula.’ When he returned in late December he was able to string together a month of top 35-65 value in 8- and 9-cat leagues, respectively, but it was back to the training table for much of the rest of the year. Altogether injuries limited him to 50 games played and he finished the year with just top 70-80 value on a per-game basis. What’s Changed: The Lakers lost out on the Dwight Howard ‘sweepstakes’ and all of a sudden they’re a rebuilding team, while Kobe Bryant’s is iffy to start the season after rupturing his Achilles. The good news for Nash, aside from the fact he says he’s 100 percent, is that Howard’s departure will allow the team to coalesce around a high basketball-IQ core of Nash, Kobe and Pau Gasol, assuming everyone is healthy. Outlook: Aside from the missed games, the main drain to Nash’s value was the low assist totals. If healthy (a big if), there should be more fluidity to the offense and it’s probable that Nash adds an assist or two to that total. His top 45-65 per-game value from January is a good measure of what he might look like, but owners will probably want to wait until at least the halfway point of drafts before considering Nash. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHO 75 399 811 .49 81 227 249 .91 14.7 3.5 11.4 0.64 3.53 0.05 2011-2012 PHO 62 295 555 .53 55 127 142 .89 12.5 3.0 10.7 0.61 3.69 0.13 2012-2013 LAK 50 236 475 .50 57 107 116 .92 12.7 2.8 6.7 0.60 2.52 0.10 PROJ LAK 70 358 715 .50 77 152 168 .90 13.5 2.9 7.9 0.60 2.70 0.10 Gary Neal - Milwaukee Bucks - SG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Neal has been incredibly consistent off the Spurs’ bench, averaging between 9.5 and 9.9 points per game over his last three seasons. He’s never really been worth owning in standard leagues and that’s probably not going to change anytime soon. What’s Changed: Danny Green, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are all still in San Antonio, which means that Neal will continue to come off the bench. Outlook: He’s worth a look in deeper leagues for the points and 1.5 3-pointers he’ll hit a night, but leave him on the wire in 12-team leagues , at least until one of the aforementioned players go down with an injury. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 80 285 632 .45 129 84 104 .81 9.8 2.5 1.2 0.34 0.98 0.05 2011-2012 SA 56 212 486 .44 83 50 64 .78 9.9 2.1 2.1 0.48 1.07 0.04 2012-2013 SA 68 246 597 .41 89 64 74 .86 9.5 2.1 1.9 0.44 1.01 0.03 PROJ MLW 75 271 664 .41 105 75 90 .83 9.6 2.2 2.0 0.51 1.11 0.07 Jameer Nelson - Orlando Magic - PG Age: 31 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Jameer Nelson finished the 2012-13 season averaging 14.7 points on 39.2 percent shooting, but he also set career-highs with 2.2 threes, 3.7 rebounds, 7.4 assists and 1.3 steals per game. It worked out to mid-round value on a per-game basis, but unfortunately he also missed 26 games due to injury. What’s Changed: The Magic are already experimenting with Victor Oladipo as a point guard. He may not take over the starting PG job this season but he at least gives Orlando a viable alternative against bigger PGs, while providing insurance for oft-injured Nelson. Outlook: Between Nelson’s injury history and the arrival of No. 2 pick Oladipo, it will be hard for fantasy owners to draft the veteran PG before the eighth round this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 76 374 838 .45 119 130 162 .80 13.1 3.0 6.0 0.99 2.55 0.04 2011-2012 ORL 57 259 606 .43 87 71 88 .81 11.9 3.2 5.7 0.67 2.37 0.09 2012-2013 ORL 56 306 780 .39 121 89 102 .87 14.7 3.7 7.4 1.27 2.75 0.11 PROJ ORL 72 387 949 .41 151 119 144 .83 14.5 3.5 7.5 1.19 2.90 0.10 Andrew Nicholson - Orlando Magic - PF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Andrew Nicholson made the most of his opportunities as a rookie, which included 28 starts at PF in which he averaged 10.3 points on 54.5 percent shooting, 4.2 rebounds and 0.6 blocks in 22 minutes per game. What’s Changed: Nicholson reportedly improved his perimeter shot and bulked up this season, though that wasn’t reflected in his Summer League averages of 13.0 points and 3.0 rebounds in 26 minutes per game. Incumbent starting PF Glen Davis had a screw replaced in his surgically-repaired foot in July and is questionable for opening night. Davis’ availability will have a big impact on whether Nicholson is worth owning or not. Outlook: Nicholson posted impressive per-minute numbers last year, but his play tailed off in March and April and he’ll face stiff competition for minutes from Big Baby (once he’s healthy) and Tobias Harris. Owners willing to bet long odds should draft him in the final round, but chances are he’ll be left on the waiver wire in most leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 ORL 75 256 486 .53 0 75 94 .80 7.8 3.4 0.6 0.32 1.05 0.43 PROJ ORL 79 314 606 .52 0 123 158 .78 9.5 4.2 0.7 0.42 1.30 0.51 Joakim Noah - Chicago Bulls - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 232 2012-2013: Noah’s scoring has never been great, and he averaged just 11.9 points in 66 games last season, but also chipped in 11.1 boards, 1.2 steals and 2.1 blocks along the way. What’s Changed: Plantar fasciitis has been a problem for Noah thus far and while he avoided offseason surgery, it could also help to alleviate the problem going forward. Either way, expect him to be in there as the starting center for the Bulls on opening night. Outlook: Despite the missed games, Noah was worthy of a third-round pick in most leagues last season, and that’s where he should be targeted again this year. Just know you’re getting a player who will probably be lucky to play in 70 games. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 48 211 402 .52 0 139 188 .74 11.7 10.4 2.2 1.00 1.88 1.50 2011-2012 CHI 64 249 490 .51 0 154 206 .75 10.2 9.8 2.5 0.64 1.44 1.44 2012-2013 CHI 66 303 630 .48 0 178 237 .75 11.9 11.1 4.0 1.18 2.67 2.14 PROJ CHI 68 257 505 .51 0 174 238 .73 10.1 11.0 3.8 0.79 2.28 2.00 Nerlens Noel - Philadelphia 76ers - C Age: 19 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Noel averaged 4.4 blocks and 2.1 steals in 32 minutes as a freshman with Kentucky, adding 10.5 points on 59.0 percent shooting, 9.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. His season ended terribly when he tore his ACL in February. What’s Changed: Noel was the favorite to be drafted No. 1 overall but his injury, combined with his extremely lean build, caused him to slip all the way to the Pelicans at No. 6. He was quickly traded to the 76ers as part of the package for Jrue Holiday. Outlook: Noel’s recovery from ACL surgery is progressing nicely and he resumed running and taking layups in July. Unfortunately, GM Sam Hinkie wouldn’t even rule out Noel missing the entire 2013-14 season, meaning there’s no reason to draft him unless you have the patience of Job want to take a late flier. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ PHI 40 93 180 .52 0 41 80 .51 5.7 6.1 1.0 0.90 1.13 2.20 Steve Novak - Toronto Raptors - SF Age: 30 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: He’s quite the one-trick pony and it’s justified since Novak shot 42.5 percent from deep last year and shot 43.3 percent from there in his career. He’s really the anti-LeBron when it comes to attacking the basket with a staggering 98 percent of his shots coming from beyond 15 feet last season. He finished the season ranked 21st in 3-point field goals despite just 20.3 minutes per game. What’s Changed: He is what he is and the Raptors will likely use him in a similar fashion as the Knicks did. The Knicks were a bit banged up last year, so it’s a bit tough to say that Novak will get more than 20 minutes per game again. Outlook: There isn’t much to figure out about Novak. He seems like a safe bet to hit 1.5 triples per game after his 1.8 last year, but he won’t be scoring in double figures too often and doesn’t do much else. If you’re in a deep league and completely whiffed on treys, Novak could help you out. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 30 35 67 .52 26 8 8 1.00 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.03 0.13 0.17 2011-2012 NY 54 161 337 .48 133 22 26 .85 8.8 1.9 0.2 0.30 0.39 0.17 2012-2013 NY 81 178 430 .41 149 30 33 .91 6.6 1.9 0.4 0.35 0.15 0.10 PROJ TOR 80 258 578 .45 152 35 40 .88 8.8 2.0 0.4 0.33 0.31 0.15 Dirk Nowitzki - Dallas Mavericks - PF Age: 35 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Dirk got off to a very slow start, missing nearly the first two months of the season while recovering from knee surgery, but really came on after the All-Star break. He averaged 18.9 points, 7.7 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.7 blocks and 1.3 3-pointers after the break, and shot it very well from everywhere, as usual. What’s Changed: He will come in fully healthy this season and should return second- round fantasy value, just like he did last season once he was fully healthy. However, he’ll play with new PG Jose Calderon, SG Monta Ellis and C Samuel Dalembert.
  • 110. 110 NBA Season Preview Outlook: Dirk is entering his 16th season and while he’s not getting any younger, is still the main man in Dallas, and he should be swiped in fantasy drafts any time after Round 1. Just beware that Ellis loves to shoot the ball and could challenge Dirk to lead the team in scoring. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 73 610 1179 .52 66 395 443 .89 23.0 7.0 2.6 0.52 1.88 0.64 2011-2012 DAL 62 473 1034 .46 78 318 355 .90 21.6 6.8 2.2 0.68 1.89 0.48 2012-2013 DAL 53 343 728 .47 65 166 193 .86 17.3 6.8 2.5 0.72 1.32 0.70 PROJ DAL 76 573 1203 .48 84 238 274 .87 19.3 6.9 2.4 0.70 1.50 0.61 Jermaine O’Neal - Golden State Warriors - C Age: 35 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Jermaine O’Neal shocked us all by playing in 55 games last year. He didn’t even reach that total in his previous two seasons combined with his chronic knee and back issues. In fact, he had not played in in more than 42 games in four of his last five seasons. His numbers last year weren’t bad: 8.3 points, 5.3 boards, and 1.4 blocks in 18.7 minutes. What’s Changed: Well, he’s another year older. He also signed with the Warriors and will provide some depth behind fellow oft-injured center Andrew Bogut. Outlook: It makes no sense to draft JO as long as Bogut is healthy. O’Neal won’t see enough minutes to matter even in a best-case scenario. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 24 50 109 .46 0 29 43 .67 5.4 3.7 0.5 0.08 1.13 1.25 2011-2012 BOS 25 52 120 .43 0 21 31 .68 5.0 5.4 0.4 0.32 0.84 1.72 2012-2013 PHO 55 179 371 .48 0 96 115 .83 8.3 5.3 0.8 0.35 1.33 1.42 PROJ GS 55 158 341 .46 0 85 110 .77 7.3 5.1 0.7 0.31 1.18 1.20 Greg Oden - Miami Heat - C Age: 25 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 270 2012-13: Oden, the former No. 1 overall pick, hasn’t played in an NBA game since 2009 and has played a total of 82 games in the league. Chronic knee problems and surgeries have ruined his career, but there’s a reason why we’re writing about him prior to the upcoming season. What’s Changed: And that reason is that he signed with the Miami Heat in August and hopes to log some minutes at center there this season. In reality, the Heat would be thrilled if he is able to play after the All-Star Break and can contribute with some rebounds, blocks and defense in the playoffs this season. Outlook: It’s still not known if Oden will play again, let alone when he might play again. But he has looked pretty good in workouts and the Heat decided to roll the dice on him, with little risk. Maybe lightning will strike twice, but it’s hard to imagine Oden playing in more than 30 games this season. But if he does manage to get healthy, stay healthy and play solid minutes for the Heat, he could end up being a great mid-season pickup. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ MIA 30 59 112 .53 0 41 60 .68 5.3 5.4 0.5 0.30 1.20 1.10 Emeka Okafor - Washington Wizards - C Age: 31 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Okafor shot just 47.7 percent from the floor, which was a career-low, and then struggled with a shoulder injury late as his minutes dwindled throughout the season. But he was worth owning for most of the year and finished with 12th-round value. What’s Changed: He’ll be in a contract year and will need a big year in order to get a nice contract next summer. He’s fairly durable and didn’t miss any games in three seasons from 2007-10, but he’s missed an average of 17.3 per season over his last three. He’s still expected to be the starting center for the Wizards. Outlook: Okafor’s on the decline and his free throw percentage is not appealing in fantasy. But if you find yourself looking for cheap boards and blocks late, he should at least be worth a roster spot in all leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 72 300 524 .57 0 145 258 .56 10.3 9.5 0.6 0.56 1.65 1.76 2011-2012 NO 27 114 214 .53 0 38 74 .51 9.9 7.9 0.9 0.59 1.37 0.96 2012-2013 WAS 79 328 687 .48 0 109 191 .57 9.7 8.8 1.2 0.57 1.35 0.97 PROJ WAS 70 298 610 .49 0 98 175 .56 9.9 8.6 1.1 0.60 1.30 1.00 Victor Oladipo - Orlando Magic - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 214 2012-2013: In his third season with Indiana, Victor Oladipo flourished with 13.6 points, 0.8 threes, 6.3 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 2.2 steals in just 28 minutes per game. He shot 59.9 percent from the field and 44.1 percent from downtown, while playing the type of aggressive on-ball defense. What’s Changed: The Magic drafted Oladipo with the No. 2 pick in the draft, and proceeded to play him at both PG and SG during Summer League. He didn’t shoot well, going 37.5 percent from the field, but he averaged 19.0 points (third-highest of the Orlando Summer League), with 4.3 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 3.0 steals per game. Outlook: Oladipo looks ready to contribute heavy minutes as a rookie, whether at PG or SG, and the rebuilding Magic won’t be shy about using him. He projects as a backup guard to begin the season, but could overtake injury-prone Jameer Nelson or Arron Afflalo before too long. He has all the tools to rack up elite steals totals, too, giving him enough upside to be drafted after the middle rounds in standard-sized leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ ORL 80 315 723 .44 24 89 120 .74 9.3 1.9 2.9 1.25 1.31 0.26 Kelly Olynyk - Boston Celtics - C Age: 22 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 238 2012-2013: Olynyk backed up a stellar season at Gonzaga by being taken with the 13th pick in the draft by the Mavericks, and then being traded to the Celtics. He then had a fantastic Summer League experience in Orlando and is in the mix to start for the Celtics this season. What’s Changed: The C’s are dangerously thin at center and despiteDanny Ainge saying they have no intention of tanking, they very well could be taking this season off. Olynyk could easily win the starting center job for new coach Brad Stevens, unless they choose to play Kris Humphries, Brandon Bass or Jared Sullinger out of position and start them in the middle this season. Outlook: Olynyk could be a surprising rookie if he wins the starting job, so keep a close eye on him in the preseason. If it looks like he’ll start for Boston this year, go ahead and target him late if you are thin in the middle. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ BOS 72 277 489 .57 0 123 166 .74 9.4 5.2 1.0 0.40 1.69 0.86 Zaza Pachulia - Milwaukee Bucks - C Age: 29 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 275 2012-2013: Pachulia’s minutes dipped to 22 per game as Al Horford’s backup last year. He averaged 5.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 0.2 blocks before a partially torn right Achilles abruptly ended his season in early March, limiting him to 52 games played. What’s Changed: The Bucks handed Zaza a guaranteed $15.6 million, three-year contract this summer, providing veteran depth and mentorship for starting center Larry Sanders. Outlook: Pachulia’s Achilles is expected to be fully healed in time for training camp. The 10-year veteran is still only 29 years old, but his brawny style of play doesn’t translate into fantasy value. We know what to expect from him in a backup role,limited scoring, a handful of rebounds and paltry block totals for a 6’11’center. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 79 107 232 .46 0 135 179 .75 4.4 4.2 0.7 0.43 0.87 0.28 2011-2012 ATL 58 169 339 .50 0 117 158 .74 7.8 7.9 1.4 0.95 1.40 0.50 2012-2013 ATL 52 114 241 .47 0 78 103 .76 5.9 6.5 1.5 0.67 1.35 0.23 PROJ MLW 75 142 297 .48 0 113 150 .75 5.3 4.1 1.0 0.80 1.11 0.35 Tony Parker - San Antonio Spurs - PG Age: 31 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: LeBron James’s monster season overshadowed Parker’s extremely productive year with the Spurs, but TP was in the running for MVP before All-Star Weekend. He finished the year leading all point guards in field goal percentage at 52.2 percent while he added his best campaign from the charity stripe ever, making 84.5 percent. He also averaged a career-best 7.7 assists, played in 66 games and turned in fourth-round value. What’s Changed: He’s another year older at 31, but is coming off a career-high 20.3 points per game. Not much has changed in San Antonio and Parker will efficiently run the point as long as he’s healthy. Outlook: Gregg Popovich has made no secret that the team will be resting their players and Parker’s DNPs could be on the rise. But even with a few missed games, as long as Parker’s legs hold up, he should give fantasy owners and the Spurs 70 nights of stellar play. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 78 555 1069 .52 25 233 303 .77 17.5 3.1 6.6 1.15 2.56 0.04 2011-2012 SA 60 427 890 .48 14 227 284 .80 18.3 2.9 7.7 0.95 2.55 0.08 2012-2013 SA 66 519 995 .52 24 279 330 .85 20.3 3.0 7.6 0.82 2.58 0.09 PROJ SA 70 494 998 .49 28 272 350 .78 18.4 2.9 7.5 1.00 2.60 0.10 Chandler Parsons - Houston Rockets - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 227 2012-2013: Parsons missed five games in April that penalized him in some playoff formats, but otherwise it was a breakout season. He was a top 30-40 play on the year while shooting an impressive 48.6 percent from the field and 38 percent from deep. What’s Changed: While Dwight Howard adds an interior element that will steal a few touches away from the group, the Rockets will still play an uptempo brand of ball and Parsons will have his hands all over it. The Rockets said goodbye to Carlos Delfino, brought in Omri Casspi and Reggie Williams, re-signed Francisco Garcia and drafted Robert Covington, but none of them are threats to Parsons’ minutes. Outlook: Parsons took big steps forward shooting the ball and cut his fouling down by 0.4 calls per game despite seeing his minutes jump from 28 to 36 per night. We’re fine with a late third- or fourth-round selection, but hopefully owners can take advantage of the lack of name recognition here and get him in the fifth. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 HOU 63 248 549 .45 60 43 78 .55 9.5 4.8 2.1 1.16 1.29 0.46 2012-2013 HOU 76 456 939 .49 152 113 155 .73 15.5 5.3 3.5 0.99 1.93 0.42 PROJ HOU 77 415 921 .45 123 109 154 .71 13.8 4.4 2.9 1.10 1.81 0.44 Patrick Patterson - Sacramento Kings - PF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: The Kings picked up Patterson in the middle of the season and he didn’t do much to suggest it was worth their while, averaging just 8.0 points and 4.8 boards in 24 games with the Kings. What’s Changed: He’ll have a similar role with this year, except that there’s even more depth alongside him after the Kings added Carl Landry to the mix. Outlook: It’ll be tough to roll the dice on Patterson. It’s nice that he can add threes, but there aren’t many boards or blocks to give him enough allure for most fantasy owners, especially given the fact he’s not even guaranteed to have a role with Landry, DeMarcus Cousins, Jason Thompson and Chuck Hayes around. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 52 149 267 .56 0 30 42 .71 6.3 3.8 0.8 0.33 0.60 0.71 2011-2012 HOU 64 225 511 .44 0 40 57 .70 7.7 4.5 0.8 0.42 0.77 0.56 2012-2013 SAC 71 319 623 .51 51 48 63 .76 10.4 4.7 1.1 0.44 0.86 0.56 PROJ SAC 68 208 413 .50 48 52 67 .78 7.6 4.6 1.2 0.46 0.84 0.62 Chris Paul - Los Angeles Clippers - PG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’0’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: CP3 was his typical dynamic self and concerns over his knee from seasons past were virtually non-existent, though he did bang his other (right) knee and miss 12 games as a result of it. He finished with top 5-7 value on the year in 9- and 8-cat
  • 111. 111NBA Season Preview leagues, respectively, and on a per-game basis he was a top 3-5 play. He signed a massive 5-year, $107 million deal this offseason and enters 2013 as the league’s best point guard. What’s Changed: Doc Rivers replacing Vinny Del Negro is a pretty big upgrade on the sidelines, and the Donald Sterling-owned Clippers know their window to win a championship is now so they loaded up. J.J. Redick, Jared Dudley, Darren Collison and Byron Mullens were added for depth, while Eric Bledsoe was the only significant player to leave the group besides Caron Butler, who is at the end of his career. Outlook: The No. 3 pick in drafts this year is likely to be pretty fluid, but you can etch Paul’s name into the conversation without blinking. The only concern would be that the Clippers ease off Paul with all that depth, but it’s not really CP3’s style to allow himself to be tapped out of the game. While the mileage will eventually catch up with him, this isn’t the year that it’s going to happen. If you’re looking for a safe play in the top 3-5 picks, CP3 is your guy. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 80 430 928 .46 71 337 384 .88 15.9 4.1 9.8 2.35 2.21 0.06 2011-2012 LAC 60 425 890 .48 79 260 302 .86 19.8 3.6 9.1 2.53 2.07 0.07 2012-2013 LAC 70 412 856 .48 76 286 323 .89 16.9 3.7 9.7 2.41 2.27 0.14 PROJ LAC 75 454 948 .48 90 314 360 .87 17.5 3.9 10.0 2.51 2.31 0.11 Nikola Pekovic - Minnesota Timberwolves - C Age: 27 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 281 2012-2013: Pekovic broke out for the Wolves last season with 16 points, nearly nine boards and just under a block per game. He’s also a decent free throw shooter, which helps make up for the fact that his feet seem to give him trouble every year. What’s Changed: Pekovic skipped Eurobasket this summer due to a lack of insurance because it took him so long to re-sign with the Wolves, which should be a good thing for his health this season. Outlook: He’s the starting center and should build on what he did last year, but injuries are obviously a big concern here. We’ve got him making it through 69 games this season and he should be a value pick once the bigger-named centers are off the board. Just be prepared for his season to end early, and make arrangements in advance to have a backup plan in place. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 65 136 263 .52 0 87 114 .76 5.5 3.0 0.4 0.28 1.40 0.54 2011-2012 MIN 47 256 454 .56 0 139 187 .74 13.9 7.4 0.7 0.62 1.85 0.66 2012-2013 MIN 62 385 741 .52 0 241 324 .74 16.3 8.8 0.9 0.69 1.63 0.81 PROJ MIN 69 374 708 .53 0 232 311 .75 14.2 7.8 0.7 0.59 1.70 0.80 Jeff Pendergraph - San Antonio Spurs - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Pendergraph was essentially non-existent with the Pacers during the 2012 portion of last season, but some injuries allowed him to see 13.9 minutes per game in January and February. What’s Changed: The Spurs picked him up knowing that they were going to jettison DeJuan Blair. A fair assumption would be that Pendergraph would add some depth for the Spurs, but he’s looking like the last big man in the rotation. Outlook: Aron Baynes figures to be ahead of Pendergraph on the totem pole, so Pendergraph will need a few things to go his way to garner our attention. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 IND 20 15 36 .42 0 4 7 .57 1.7 1.7 0.2 0.15 0.10 0.10 2012-2013 IND 37 61 126 .48 2 21 23 .91 3.9 2.8 0.4 0.16 0.62 0.32 PROJ SA 70 131 260 .50 7 48 56 .86 4.5 3.3 0.6 0.24 0.80 0.33 Kendrick Perkins - Oklahoma City Thunder - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 275 2012-2013: Kendrick Perkins’ decline accelerated during the 2012-13 regular season, in which he averaged just 4.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per g me. His production tailed off even more in the playoffs, when his toughness and veteran savvy should have been its most useful. What’s Changed: The Thunder drafted Pittsburgh C Steven Adams No. 12 overall this summer, a clear acknowledgement of Perkins’ shortcomings. Hasheem Thabeet and Daniel Orton are also hanging around, giving OKC some cheap insurance in the middle. Outlook: Perkins enters his 11th NBA season as the Thunder’s presumptive starting center, despite his lousy play last season. He’s one of a handful of players who wouldn’t be worth owning in fantasy leagues no matter how many minutes he plays, so ignore him for as long as you can. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 29 67 130 .52 0 40 72 .56 6.0 8.0 0.9 0.31 1.93 0.90 2011-2012 OKC 65 128 262 .49 0 73 112 .65 5.1 6.6 1.2 0.38 1.82 1.12 2012-2013 OKC 78 143 313 .46 0 44 72 .61 4.2 6.0 1.4 0.55 1.40 1.06 PROJ OKC 72 151 315 .48 0 44 72 .61 4.8 5.7 1.3 0.60 1.50 1.00 Paul Pierce - Brooklyn Nets - SF Age: 36 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Pierce made it through 77 games in his 15th season, averaging 18.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.9 3-pointers per game. What’s Changed: He convinced Kevin Garnett to waive his no-trade clause and landed the duo in Brooklyn to play for new coach Jason Kidd. Outlook: It’s now or never for Pierce and the Nets. While they have relatively young studs like Deron Williams and Brook Lopez, they’ve also got a plethora of old dudes like Pierce, KG, Jason Terry, Joe Johnson and Andrei Kirilenko. Pierce sounds like he’s ready to be a role player on a team full of former superstars, which is probably not ideal in regards to fantasy value. There’s still some gas in the tank and targeting the Truth near the middle of your draft could produce a steal, but don’t fool yourself into thinking he’ll avoid a drop in minutes and production this season. There’s almost no way around it. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 80 507 1021 .50 111 386 449 .86 18.9 5.4 3.3 1.00 2.14 0.64 2011-2012 BOS 61 394 890 .44 100 293 344 .85 19.4 5.2 4.5 1.15 2.84 0.43 2012-2013 BOS 77 476 1092 .44 145 333 423 .79 18.6 6.3 4.8 1.09 2.78 0.39 PROJ BKN 75 398 902 .44 128 299 375 .80 16.3 5.1 4.1 1.11 2.51 0.40 Mason Plumlee - Brooklyn Nets - C Age: 23 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Plumlee was taken with the 21st pick out of Duke and will help back up Brook Lopez at center in Brooklyn. What’s Changed: With the addition of Kevin Garnett and the presence of guys like Lopez, Reggie Evans and Andray Blatche it’s going to be tough for Plumlee to see meaningful minutes as a rookie. Outlook: Avoid him on draft day, as it will take a lot of injuries to his teammates for Plumlee to be worth owning, even in deep leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ BKN 60 103 200 .52 0 47 61 .77 4.2 3.7 0.6 0.52 0.80 0.70 Quincy Pondexter - Memphis Grizzlies - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Pondexter missed 23 games due to a sprained left MCL in his knee, and it’s worth noting he tweaked that knee a pair of times in the past, but he returned and finished the season in his typical low-volume role off the bench. He stepped up in the playoffs with averages of 15 points, three treys in the team’s last four games against the Spurs and tossed in a nine-rebound effort for good measure. What’s Changed: Mike Miller was added on the wing and the team drafted intriguing prospect Jamaal Franklin, who surprisingly fell all the way to No. 41. Outlook: While Pondexter showed well in the playoffs there isn’t a whole lot of room for him right now, and on the whole, his numbers will probably look a lot like last year’s when he ranked at the bottom of the top-250. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 66 73 180 .41 18 24 34 .71 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.26 0.24 0.15 2011-2012 MEM 64 108 239 .45 22 33 53 .62 4.2 2.0 0.4 0.42 0.47 0.08 2012-2013 MEM 59 128 299 .43 60 59 75 .79 6.4 2.2 1.0 0.59 0.71 0.10 PROJ MEM 75 222 511 .43 75 73 98 .74 7.9 2.4 1.2 0.51 0.91 0.20 Otto Porter - Washington Wizards - SF Age: 20 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: The Wizards selected Porter with the third pick of the 2013 NBA Draft. He had some promising numbers at Georgetown last year, filling the stat sheet with averages of 16.2 points, 7.5 boards, 2.7 assists, 1.8 steals, 0.9 blocks and 1.4 triples. Porter went to Summer League for the Wizards, but didn’t really get to show what he could do after two hamstring strains. What’s Changed: He could start at small forward if training camp goes well, but will have to learn quickly. If he doesn’t, talented guys like Trevor Ariza, Glen Rice Jr. and Martell Webster will be waiting for his minutes. Outlook: He really has a lot to offer as a fantasy player and there is plenty of upside here. However, the amount of competition for wing minutes also makes him a bit risky. Keep an eye on the small forward battle in training camp and if Porter wins it, get him late in your draft and plug him in on opening night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ WAS 78 378 817 .46 86 204 273 .75 13.4 5.6 2.1 1.21 1.79 0.21 Pablo Prigioni - New York Knicks - PG Age: 36 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: Pablo Prigioni debuted with the Knicks as the oldest rookie in NBA history. Filling a backup PG role behind Raymond Felton, Prigioni played 16 minutes per game during the regular season, averaging 3.5 points, 0.7 threes, 3.0 assists and 0.9 steals, before seeing his role expand somewhat (21 minutes per game) in the postseason. What’s Changed: Prigioni re-signed with New York for $6 million over three years, a lengthy deal considering that he’s already 36 years old. Outlook: Considering he was billed as a pass-first PG who lacked a reliable jumper, it was a welcome surprise to see Prigioni knock down 45.5 percent of his shots last year. That included 39.9 percent from downtown, though his limited usage relegated him to the waiver wire all season. Avoid him on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 NY 78 100 220 .45 53 22 25 .88 3.5 1.8 3.0 0.88 1.10 0.03 PROJ NY 79 121 259 .47 79 35 40 .88 4.5 2.1 3.5 1.10 1.41 0.05 Tayshaun Prince - Memphis Grizzlies - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: It took long enough, but Prince was finally traded out of Detroit to the Grizzlies in a three-team deal that also sent Rudy Gay packing. He stepped immediately into the starting small forward job and predictably took a back seat to the team’s primary offensive options. Playing all 82 games he eked his way to late-round value when in Detroit, and the move to Memphis put him at the bottom of the top-200. What’s Changed: The Grizzlies added Mike Miller to the wing group and drafted rookie SG/SF Jamaal Franklin, and also retained Jerryd Bayless and Quincy Pondexter, all of whom will cut into Prince’s minutes. Outlook: The low shooting numbers when in Memphis are likely an aberration, and Prince was actually shooting a blistering 43.4 percent from deep in Detroit. If he were projected to play 32 mpg again, he would probably settle in somewhere between the top 100-125 and top-200 he had for the Pistons and Grizzlies, respectively, but the likely loss in playing time means he’s going to hang out at the bottom of the top-200 this season.
  • 112. 112 NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 78 473 1001 .47 34 118 168 .70 14.1 4.2 2.8 0.38 1.05 0.53 2011-2012 DET 63 336 798 .42 37 89 115 .77 12.7 4.5 2.4 0.43 1.17 0.52 2012-2013 MEM 82 359 820 .44 38 96 130 .74 10.4 4.4 2.4 0.59 1.09 0.30 PROJ MEM 80 331 756 .44 41 91 119 .76 9.9 4.3 2.4 0.60 1.09 0.39 Zach Randolph - Memphis Grizzlies - PF Age: 32 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Randolph had some minor back and ankle issues last season but still managed to play in 76 games. He started to fall off in January and he never really got back on track, and by the time the Rudy Gay trade rolled around it looked like he was having a beef with either Lionel Hollins or the organization, or both. Randolph played better than his ADP with top 30-60 value in November and December, but finished with just top 75-85 value on the season. What’s Changed: Darrell Arthur is out and Ed Davis apparently has management’s blessing to slide into the backup PF slot, or maybe even the starting job if the team tries to get out from under Randolph’s remaining two years. Kosta Koufos was added in the trade sending Arthur out, and Lionel Hollins was replaced by Dave Joerger on the sidelines. Outlook: Randolph cured most of the ills from his injury-shortened 2011-12 season except for the field goal shooting. While it’s possible that he moves the shooting number back toward his career mark (47.2), the possibility for decline is fully in play. And it remains to be seen if Joerger and Z-Bo will get along or clash. Look at Z-Bo at the mid-point of standard drafts, but anything sooner is a bit optimistic. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 75 598 1188 .50 8 300 396 .76 20.1 12.2 2.2 0.84 2.01 0.33 2011-2012 MEM 28 132 285 .46 2 58 88 .66 11.6 8.0 1.7 0.75 1.43 0.14 2012-2013 MEM 76 471 1024 .46 2 225 300 .75 15.4 11.2 1.4 0.80 1.97 0.41 PROJ MEM 78 493 1047 .47 8 238 312 .76 15.8 11.3 1.5 0.79 2.00 0.40 J.J. Redick - Los Angeles Clippers - SG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Redick became a popular late-round pick during draft season and his last-round ADP never caught up with the reality that the Magic had absolutely no depth. He cruised along setting career highs while providing top-75 value until he was traded to the Bucks. What’s Changed: He lands in a very crowded situation in L.A., where Jamal Crawford was entrenched with a 29-minute role and significant ball-handling duties as a sixth man. They also added Jared Dudley, and lost Caron Butler. Redick will battle Dudley for starting duties, but minutes could be hard to come by. Outlook: We’ll project 23-27 minutes for Redick, and looking back to the 2009-11 seasons at that utilization he hung around the bottom of the top-200. He could improve on those values a bit, but not by much without an injury to one of his teammates. But when you need threes late in your draft, grab him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 59 197 447 .44 87 112 128 .88 10.1 1.9 1.7 0.49 0.90 0.05 2011-2012 ORL 65 248 584 .42 112 143 157 .91 11.6 2.3 2.5 0.42 1.05 0.09 2012-2013 MLW 78 382 880 .43 165 171 190 .90 14.1 2.2 3.8 0.49 1.77 0.12 PROJ LAC 79 364 853 .43 166 172 190 .91 13.5 2.2 3.1 0.48 1.91 0.10 Glen Rice Jr. - Washington Wizards - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 206 2012-2013: The Wizards were able to snap up Rice with the 35th pick in the draft. He went to Georgia Tech, but some character issues cut his year short and he headed to the D-League last year. Rice did rip up the D-League last season, scoring 25.0 points per game with 9.5 boards. He was also productive in summer league and showed a lot of confidence in the process. What’s Changed: He’s one of the more talented second-round picks of the draft, but he steps into an area of strength for Washington. Rice does have some potential as a fantasy guy with his range and being aggressive on the glass. Outlook: He’ll need a few injuries to the Wizards on the wing, but if he’s on the court, he might have a nice usage rate. He’ll need a terrific preseason to get on the radar in even very deep leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ WAS 70 113 252 .45 84 60 77 .78 5.3 3.7 1.0 0.71 0.70 0.20 Jason Richardson - Philadelphia 76ers - SG Age: 32 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Richardson did not have a good year, as the numbers amply prove - he averaged 10.5 points on 40.2 percent shooting in 28 minutes per game, all of which mark career-lows. What’s Changed: In an attempt to cure his knee ailments, Richardson underwent ‘Denovo surgery’ on his left knee in mid-February, which will leave his season in jeopardy. Outlook: Richardson is still just 32 years old, though he probably seems older to most NBA fans given his knee problems and 13-year NBA career. And because there’s no guarantee he plays at all this season, there’s no reason to take a flier on his this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ORL 80 472 1056 .45 189 116 159 .73 15.6 4.1 1.8 1.16 1.19 0.16 2011-2012 ORL 54 243 596 .41 102 41 69 .59 11.6 3.6 2.0 0.98 1.11 0.41 2012-2013 PHI 33 135 336 .40 57 20 33 .61 10.5 3.8 1.5 1.21 0.79 0.45 PROJ PHI 40 146 369 .40 61 29 40 .73 9.5 3.5 1.5 0.98 1.00 0.40 Luke Ridnour - Milwaukee Bucks - PG Age: 32 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 173 2012-2013: Luke Ridnour entered the 2012-13 season with a herniated disk in his back, which sent up a glaring red flag, yet he wound up averaging over 30 minutes in 82 starts. He was one of the most reliable players in Rick Adelman’s rotations, which were at times pell-mell due to the Wolves’ litany of injuries. What’s Changed: The Wolves traded Ridnour to the Bucks in July, clearing enough space to sign Corey Brewer while simultaneously breaking up their backcourt log- jam. Outlook: Fantasy owners have grown to appreciate Ridnour’s understated contributions. He finished last year with serviceable averages of 11.5 points, 0.8 threes, 3.8 assists and 1.0 steals in 30 minutes per game, without a single DNP. His numbers are sure to dip this year as long as Brandon Knight and O.J. Mayo are healthy, however, which makes him off-limits in standard leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 71 319 681 .47 81 121 137 .88 11.8 2.8 5.4 1.25 2.23 0.14 2011-2012 MIN 53 242 550 .44 49 106 119 .89 12.1 2.7 4.8 1.06 1.81 0.30 2012-2013 MIN 82 367 811 .45 66 139 164 .85 11.5 2.5 3.8 1.00 1.59 0.18 PROJ MLW 75 289 647 .45 75 142 165 .86 10.6 2.6 4.8 1.11 1.71 0.23 Austin Rivers - New Orleans Pelicans - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: The No. 6 pick in 2012, Rivers struggled to adjust to NBA defenders and finished the season shooting 37.2 percent from the field, before missing the final 23 games of the season after fracturing his right hand. He looked lost for long stretches and was physically overpowered by opposing guards. What’s Changed: Rivers’ fractured hand was fully healed by the first week of June and he looked much improved during Summer League, averaging a team-high 18.2 points on 48.6 percent shooting, with 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists. The health of Eric Gordon is key for Rivers this season. Outlook: Nothing about Rivers’ rookie season suggests that he’ll be a fantasy asset in 2013-14, especially if your league counts percentages. His 37.2 percent FG shooting is bad enough, but his 54.6 percent mark from the FT line is unconscionable for an NBA guard. And if Gordon is actually healthy for once, Rivers won’t get much burn. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 NO 61 145 390 .37 28 59 108 .55 6.2 1.8 2.1 0.43 1.21 0.15 PROJ NO 74 235 592 .40 56 134 207 .65 8.9 2.9 1.3 0.50 1.30 0.09 Brian Roberts - New Orleans Pelicans - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 173 2012-2013: Roberts’ rookie season was quietly successful, as he stayed healthy (78 games played) and served as a competent backup PG in 17 minutes per game. With averages of 7.1 points, 0.8 threes, 2.8 assists and 0.5 steals, he wasn’t a fantasy factor in standard leagues. What’s Changed: The Pelicans declined to waive him before July 20, which fully guaranteed his $1.1 million salary for the 2013-14 season. They also replaced starting PG Greivis Vasquez by acquiring Jrue Holiday from the Sixers. Outlook: Roberts is already a non-entity in fantasy leagues while starting PG Jrue Holiday is healthy. Even worse, backup ball-handling duties should primarily fall to Tyreke Evans, with Eric Gordon and Austin Rivers also candidates to lead the offense while Holiday rests. Roberts can safely be ignored on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 NO 78 213 511 .42 59 70 77 .91 7.1 1.2 2.8 0.47 0.91 0.04 PROJ NO 80 226 535 .42 72 84 96 .88 7.6 1.8 3.0 0.60 1.10 0.08 Nate Robinson - Denver Nuggets - PG Age: 29 - Ht: 5’9’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Robinson had some huge games for the Bulls last season, mainly due to the injury woes of both Derrick Rose and Kirk Hinrich, and averaged 13.1 points, 4.4 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.7 3-pointers in 82 games for the Bulls. What’s Changed: Robinson signed with the Nuggets, who are already heavy at point guard with Ty Lawson and Andre Miller, but could use some depth at shooting guard, with Randy Foye, Evan Fournier and Erick Green on board. Former point guard Brian Shaw takes over for George Karl as head coach. Outlook: Look for Lil’ Him to spend more time at shooting guard than point guard this season, and while he’ll have some nice lines occasionally, it’s hard to envision him matching last year’s production when Rose and Hinrich were both hurting. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 59 150 376 .40 65 36 44 .82 6.8 1.5 1.9 0.49 1.15 0.07 2011-2012 GS 51 205 484 .42 66 94 113 .83 11.2 2.0 4.5 1.16 1.47 0.04 2012-2013 CHI 82 399 921 .43 141 135 169 .80 13.1 2.2 4.4 1.04 1.76 0.12 PROJ DEN 80 353 826 .43 144 141 176 .80 12.4 2.1 4.2 1.10 1.70 0.10 Thomas Robinson - Portland Trail Blazers - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6'10' - Wt: 237 2012-2013: T-Rob was the fifth pick in the 2012 draft, but is now on his third team. The Kings just gave up on him while the Rockets had to ditch his contract to make room for Dwight Howard’s max deal. He shot just 54 percent at the rim, which is pretty bad considering that NBA power forwards shoot an average of 66 percent from there. He also shot 27 percent on shots from 3-16 feet, so that’s not good, either. What’s Changed: He gets a fresh start and with a smart head coach, things could turn around for him. He’s still a power forward and he’s second on the depth chart behind the best offensive PF in the game. Outlook: If you’re not a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately guy, T-Rob could be right up your alley. But he’s still behind LaMarcus Aldridge and hasn’t proven he can do anything but rebound. Unless he explodes in the preseason, there’s little reason to target him in drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 HOU 70 138 321 .43 0 57 109 .52 4.8 4.5 0.7 0.59 1.26 0.37 PROJ POR 70 245 537 .46 7 92 175 .53 8.4 6.0 0.9 0.90 0.91 0.50 Rajon Rondo - Boston Celtics - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 186 2012-2013: Rondo suffered a torn ACL in his right knee in late January and didn’t play again after undergoing surgery. He played in just 38 games and averaged 13.7 points (tying a career high), 5.6 rebounds, 11.1 assists and 1.8 steals before going down. He shot it well from the field (48 percent) but, as usual, hit just 64.5 percent of
  • 113. 113NBA Season Preview his free throws. What’s Changed: He’s been much less durable over his last three seasons, missing 44 games last year, 29 the prior season and 14 in the 2010-11 season. Additionally, he’ll have a new coach this season in Brad Stevens, as Doc Rivers is now coaching the Clippers, while Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry are now in Brooklyn. Jeff Green looks like Rondo’s go-to guy, along with Courtney Lee, Jordan Crawford and possibly Gerald Wallace. Outlook: Rondo is hoping to be ready for training camp, but there are no guarantees for players coming off such a serious injury (see Derrick Rose). He’ll once again be a top point guard option, but a lack of 3-pointers and the poor free throw shooting don’t work in his favor. However, despite the decimated lineup, he still has the potential to lead the league in assists and steals. Target him in Round 4. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BOS 68 318 670 .47 10 75 132 .57 10.6 4.4 11.2 2.25 3.44 0.16 2011-2012 BOS 53 256 572 .45 10 108 181 .60 11.9 4.8 11.7 1.79 3.64 0.06 2012-2013 BOS 38 225 465 .48 12 60 93 .65 13.7 5.6 11.1 1.84 3.89 0.24 PROJ BOS 62 395 849 .47 16 113 180 .63 14.8 5.5 9.4 1.90 3.50 0.19 Derrick Rose - Chicago Bulls - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Rose famously missed the entire season after knee surgery, but should be good to go for this one. What’s Changed: We haven’t seen Rose play in forever, but he’s a former MVP and all signs are pointing to him bouncing back strong. Outlook: We’d be reluctant to use a first-round pick on D-Rose, but taking him any time after the 10th pick should pay dividends, especially since he took the whole year off and should be healthy and well rested. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 81 711 1597 .45 128 476 555 .86 25.0 4.1 7.7 1.05 3.43 0.63 2011-0 CHI 39 302 695 .43 54 194 239 .81 21.8 3.4 7.9 0.90 3.05 0.72 PROJ CHI 73 504 1141 .44 102 393 475 .83 20.6 3.8 8.2 0.95 3.30 0.64 Terrence Ross - Toronto Raptors - SG Age: 22 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 197 2012-2013: Ross won the dunk contest last year, which was the highlight of his season, so that’s cool. He shot it well at the rim, but took way too many shots from the outside, wrecking his shooting percentage in the process. He also just didn’t get much playing time for the Raptors. What’s Changed: He’s essentially in the same role as last year as Rudy Gay’s backup. He wasn’t too impressive in summer league and he’ll have his work cut out for him to get the attention of the new front-office guys. Outlook: Ross needs to understand the value of a good shot and use his extreme athleticism to his advantage. He’s got plenty of time to still have a solid NBA career, but it doesn’t appear that this is going to be his year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 TOR 73 186 457 .41 65 30 42 .71 6.4 2.0 0.7 0.59 0.66 0.19 PROJ TOR 78 283 712 .40 117 34 47 .72 9.2 2.5 1.2 0.78 0.90 0.21 Ricky Rubio - Minnesota Timberwolves - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 194 2012-2013: Rubio missed 25 games while recovering from last year’s ACL surgery, but he didn’t miss a single game from January 8th until the final day of the season. He started out slowly, averaging 5.4 points on 29.0 percent shooting in January, but he returned elite fantasy PG numbers once he regained his rhythm and confidence. In March, his best month, Rubio averaged 14.1 points, 0.6 threes, 5.7 rebounds, 7.9 assists and 2.6 steals per game. What’s Changed: Rubio admitted that he lacked confidence until March, but said his surgically-repaired knee has ‘finally healed up.’His offseason workouts focused on his two most obvious weaknesses,getting stronger and shooting better from the field. Outlook: Playing with patchwork lineups over the final two months of the season, Rubio posted second-round value in eight-cat leagues (top-10 value if you ignore FG percentage). Since 1990, Rubio is one of just six players with regular-season averages of at least 4.0 rebounds, 7.3 assists and 2.4 steals per game. He’s healthy, surrounded by capable shooters, and even marginal improvement in his jump shot will make him a solid pick in the third round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 MIN 41 139 389 .36 32 126 157 .80 10.6 4.2 8.2 2.22 3.20 0.20 2012-2013 MIN 57 185 514 .36 27 211 264 .80 10.7 4.0 7.3 2.40 3.02 0.09 PROJ MIN 71 250 688 .36 43 253 320 .79 11.2 4.1 8.1 2.30 3.10 0.20 Brandon Rush - Utah Jazz - SG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: It was a tough way to start Brandon Rush’s 2012-13 season. In just the second game of the year, he suffered a torn right ACL. This was the second time in his career he suffered an ACL tear since he tore his left one back in 2007 at Kansas. What’s Changed: He was traded by the Warriors in their cap-clearing efforts during free agency. He will be in the rotation for the Jazz and back up Alec Burks and Gordon Hayward. Outlook: Rush has skills as a player and he hit between 1.4 and 1.5 triples in his three previous seasons before the ACL tear. He should be ready to go for training camp and could flirt with similar 3-point production at around 24 minutes per game. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 67 217 515 .42 93 80 106 .75 9.1 3.2 0.9 0.61 1.03 0.52 2011-2012 GS 65 235 469 .50 99 65 82 .79 9.8 3.9 1.4 0.54 1.05 0.89 2012-2013 GS 2 6 9 .67 0 2 3 .67 7.0 0.5 1.0 0.00 1.50 0.00 PROJ UTA 60 171 365 .47 72 67 90 .74 8.0 3.1 1.5 0.50 1.30 0.52 John Salmons - Sacramento Kings - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 207 2012-2013: He’s not a guy that screams 30 minutes per game and 72 starts, but that’s exactly what he was last season. Salmons was one of Keith Smart’s ‘guys’ and his minutes climbed all the way to 33.5 per game in March. Although, his stats suffered in that month, making just 34.3 percent of his field goals, which consequently led to him receiving just 27.1 minutes per game in April , his lowest average since November. He finished the year with 15th-round value in standard leagues. What’s Changed: The Kings really don’t have many small forwards on their roster. Although, Mike Malone, a top assistant with the Warriors, has played guys like Klay Thompson at small forward. Salmons projects to be the starter on paper, but he’ll be 34 in December and there’s not much chance he’ll match his production from last season. Outlook: Salmons took just 8.1 shots per game last year and ended his season on a down note. He’ll need to go above and beyond to impress the new group running the show. There isn’t enough upside to target him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 73 373 898 .42 83 195 240 .81 14.0 3.6 3.5 0.99 1.88 0.38 2011-2012 SAC 46 141 345 .41 33 29 45 .64 7.5 2.9 2.0 0.80 0.98 0.15 2012-2013 SAC 76 244 612 .40 99 85 110 .77 8.8 2.7 3.0 0.67 1.12 0.33 PROJ SAC 75 310 751 .41 105 85 113 .75 12.1 3.0 3.3 0.97 1.20 0.33 Larry Sanders - Milwaukee Bucks - C Age: 24 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: Sanders was one of the best stories of 2012-13, finishing second in the NBA with 2.9 blocks per game, and ranked ninth overall in rebounds per 40 minutes. Not bad for a guy who went undrafted in nearly every fantasy league. What’s Changed: He signed a nice extension with the Bucks and saw teammates Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis leave, along with the return of former teammate Carlos Delfino. The Bucks also hired Larry Drew to coach the team. Outlook: Sanders finished the season with third-round fantasy value (nine-cat) in spite of his a lack of offense, being foul-prone, playing under 30 minutes per game, and dealing with a mid-season coaching change. Blocks and rebounds are the obvious bedrocks of his value, and he’s going to be taken in Round 3 in a lot of drafts this year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MLW 60 116 268 .43 0 28 50 .56 4.3 3.0 0.3 0.37 0.63 1.20 2011-2012 MLW 52 84 184 .46 0 18 38 .47 3.6 3.1 0.6 0.62 0.83 1.46 2012-2013 MLW 71 306 605 .51 0 84 136 .62 9.8 9.5 1.2 0.75 1.23 2.83 PROJ MLW 76 431 884 .49 0 95 152 .63 12.6 9.8 1.5 0.84 1.20 2.78 Dennis Schroder - Atlanta Hawks - PG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 168 2012-2013: Schroder was taken with the 17th pick by the Hawks in June’s draft after a solid career in Germany. What’s Changed: The Hawks matched the Bucks offer to free agent Jeff Teague, meaning Schroder is going to be Teague’s backup as he learns the NBA game. Outlook: He’s a pretty solid two-way player and looked good in Summer League, averaging seven assists per game. But as long as Teague is healthy, Schroder is probably best left on the board on draft night. He just won’t see enough minutes to make a difference in all but the deepest of leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ ATL 77 100 235 .43 72 144 169 .85 5.4 2.1 4.1 1.10 2.19 0.30 Luis Scola - Indiana Pacers - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Scola, who didn’t miss a game, was a casualty of playing in Phoenix last year, where questionable decisions from coach to owner’s box impacted nearly the entire roster. He started off well enough, justifying his top-100 ADP with a top-70 November but then Alvin Gentry started playing musical rosters and Scola was a crapshoot from game-to-game. What’s Changed: Getting traded to the Pacers won’t do anything for his fantasy value, but he’s going to add a much-needed passing element to a second unit that could barely run the offense. But playing behind David West and Roy Hibbert is about all you need to know about Scola this year. Outlook: Knowing his 26 mpg from last season is likely going to be chopped to 18-24 mpg, there’s not a lot to like here in standard formats. Scola’s much better suited for 14-18 team leagues where low-level production can be utilized. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 74 569 1129 .50 0 214 290 .74 18.3 8.2 2.5 0.65 1.99 0.59 2011-2012 HOU 66 436 888 .49 0 153 198 .77 15.5 6.5 2.1 0.53 2.32 0.36 2012-2013 PHO 82 432 914 .47 3 181 230 .79 12.8 6.6 2.2 0.82 1.55 0.43 PROJ IND 82 296 609 .49 0 186 246 .76 9.5 4.9 2.0 0.50 1.40 0.40 Mike Scott - Atlanta Hawks - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 237 2012-2013: Scott finished his rookie season averaging 4.6 points in 40 games. He’s sure to take a step forward this season and could double his averages from last year, but doesn’t quite fall into the sleeper category. What’s New: The Hawks landed Paul Millsap to handle the power forward duties, which isn’t great news for Scott. Outlook: He’ll see a boost in playing time and could be worth owning at some point this season, but we don’t see any reason to take him on draft night in most leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 ATL 40 70 147 .48 0 43 56 .77 4.6 2.8 0.3 0.10 0.53 0.05 PROJ ATL 70 130 267 .49 0 76 98 .78 4.8 3.1 0.5 0.20 0.80 0.21 Thabo Sefolosha - Oklahoma City Thunder - SG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 215 2012-2013: Sefolosha missed just one game and was the starting SG for 81 regular season games and both rounds of the playoffs. His playing time increased to 28 minutes per game, but he scored just 7.6 points per game, along with 1.3 steals. What’s Changed: Kevin Martin is gone and Jeremy Lamb and Reggie Jackson are going to see a boost in minutes this season, likely hurting Sefolosha’s minutes. Outlook: There’s nothing glamorous about Sefolosha’s statistics, but he still managed sixth-round fantasy value in nine-cat leagues last season due to 1.3 threes and 1.3
  • 114. 114 NBA Season Preview steals per game, with solid percentages and negligible turnovers. He drops to the tenth round in eight-cat leagues, and doesn’t do enough offensively to be considered a must-own player. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 79 157 333 .47 28 59 79 .75 5.1 4.4 1.4 1.23 0.70 0.48 2011-2012 OKC 42 67 155 .43 31 38 43 .88 4.8 3.0 1.1 0.88 0.95 0.40 2012-2013 OKC 81 224 466 .48 108 57 69 .83 7.6 3.9 1.5 1.27 0.79 0.54 PROJ OKC 80 247 538 .46 88 67 80 .84 8.1 3.7 1.5 1.21 1.00 0.51 Kevin Seraphin - Washington Wizards - C Age: 23 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 275 2012-2013: Seraphin was fast out of the gate, scoring 19 and 16 points in his first two games, but quickly cooled off. His disappointing year was a bit of a shock, especially since the Wizards turned him loose in April 2012, allowing him to play 32.7 minutes per game in that month. Even the hot start couldn’t help him muster more than 19th- round value. What’s Changed: The Wizards have kept their frontcourt rotation the same, so there’s nothing really to get too excited about with Seraphin,although he could break through if either Emeka Okafor or Nene goes down. Outlook: After coming into last year with a head of steam, Seraphin is on the other side of the spectrum for this season. He doesn’t really have much upside with plenty of holes in his game , statistically speaking. The 23-year-old big man would probably need injuries to teammates in order to be rostered. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 58 66 147 .45 0 22 31 .71 2.7 2.6 0.2 0.29 0.72 0.48 2011-2012 WAS 57 203 382 .53 0 47 70 .67 7.9 4.9 0.6 0.33 1.16 1.33 2012-2013 WAS 79 330 716 .46 0 61 88 .69 9.1 4.4 0.7 0.30 1.65 0.75 PROJ WAS 76 337 674 .50 0 108 190 .57 10.3 9.0 1.3 0.61 1.50 1.11 Ramon Sessions - Charlotte Bobcats - PG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Sessions missed the last quarter of the season with a sprained MCL in his left knee, and averaged 14.4 points and 3.8 assists in 61 games, mostly off the Bobcats bench. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Mike Dunlap after a 21-win season, while he’ll likely back up Kemba Walker again after Walker’s breakout season. Outlook: Sessions’ scoring was nice for a bench player, but a lack of threes (0.5) and steals (0.8 last season) are both a concern. As long as Walker and Gerald Henderson are healthy, Sessions will be nothing more than a backup, and should only be considered near the end of fantasy drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CLE 81 362 776 .47 3 348 423 .82 13.3 3.1 5.2 0.74 2.20 0.10 2011-2012 LAK 64 242 565 .43 43 194 248 .78 11.3 3.3 5.5 0.69 2.20 0.05 2012-2013 CHA 61 276 676 .41 33 291 347 .84 14.4 2.8 3.8 0.79 1.70 0.11 PROJ CHA 76 306 693 .44 46 299 365 .82 12.6 2.9 4.2 0.80 2.20 0.11 Iman Shumpert - New York Knicks - SG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Shumpert returned from left knee ACL surgery in January and showed obvious signs of rust, shooting under 30 percent from the field in his first 17 games. He started every single game he played and he improved as the season progressed, however, even making 1.4 threes on 49.1 percent shooting from downtown in March. What’s Changed: Shumpert almost skipped Summer League to attend an NBA- sponsored trip to China, incurring the wrath of the Knicks’ decision-makers. He eventually showed up for one game, but New York clearly wasn’t happy with his decision. Outlook: The Knicks may be displeased with Shump at the moment, but he’s talented enough to maintain his starting SG job, with J.R. Smith reprising a sixth-man role. Assuming his knee is healthy and Mike Woodson doesn’t crimp his playing time, fantasy owners should view Shumpert as a late-round pick. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 NY 59 214 534 .40 48 87 109 .80 9.5 3.2 2.8 1.71 1.88 0.14 2012-2013 NY 45 109 275 .40 51 36 47 .77 6.8 3.0 1.7 0.96 0.82 0.16 PROJ NY 74 307 747 .41 81 89 111 .80 10.6 3.4 2.9 1.41 1.50 0.20 Alexey Shved - Minnesota Timberwolves - SG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 188 2012-2013: Shved mostly came off the bench behind Ricky Rubio and Luke Ridnour, and averaged 8.6 points, 3.7 assists and 0.7 steals in 24 minutes per game. The biggest caveat was his efficiency, as he hurt fantasy owners with 37.2 percent FG shooting, including 29.5 percent from downtown. His ability to improve as a jump-shooter is particularly important for the Wolves, who ranked dead-last in 3-point shooting. What’s Changed: Ridnour is gone, Ricky Rubio is healthy and Kevin Martin has signed on as the team’s starting SG. Outlook: As long as Rubio and Kev-Mart are healthy, Shved’s going to have trouble getting enough minutes to make a fantasy difference. But there is upside here, and he’s capable of returning solid value for owners willing to accept lousy FG percentages in exchange for points, triples, assists and steals, if he can get enough minutes. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 MIN 77 236 635 .37 85 108 150 .72 8.6 2.3 3.7 0.70 1.91 0.35 PROJ MIN 77 266 676 .39 100 114 154 .74 9.7 2.5 3.9 0.81 2.00 0.40 Kyle Singler - Detroit Pistons - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 230 2012-2013: Singler had a pretty special rookie season, playing in all 82 games and starting in 74 of those at small forward for the Pistons. The numbers weren’t great, but he had his moments and looks like he’s in line for a long NBA career, despite being a second-round pick out of Duke last year. What’s Changed: The Pistons signed Josh Smith to solve their problems at small forward and Singler is going to take a big hit as a result. Outlook: Singler had some value last season, but as long as Smoove is healthy, there’s little chance that Singler will be worth owning except in the deepest of leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 DET 82 275 642 .43 70 100 124 .81 8.8 4.0 0.9 0.70 1.20 0.45 PROJ DET 82 196 449 .44 66 91 115 .79 6.7 3.1 0.7 0.60 1.00 0.40 Jason Smith - New Orleans Pelicans - C Age: 27 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Jason Smith missed the final 24 games of the season after surgery to repair a torn labrum in his right shoulder. All told, he missed 31 games and finished with averages of 8.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 0.9 blocks in 17 minutes per game. The Hornets relied on him for bench scoring, and his 23.4 percent usage rate was easily the highest of his career, but of course he wasn’t on the court very often due to injuries. What’s Changed: The Pelicans picked up Smith’s $2.5 million option for 2012-13. Smith spent his summer rehabbing from his shoulder surgery but isn’t expected to begin on-court work until training camp starts in October. Outlook: Heading into a contract year, the 27-year-old Smith needs, first and foremost, to prove that he can stay healthy. With his rehabilitation stretching into training camp, however, there is no guarantee that he’ll be ready for opening night. Once healthy, expect him to reprise his backup PF/C role and average roughly 10 points, five boards and a block in 20 minutes per night. An injury in the Pelicans’ frontcourt could thrust him into a fantasy-worthy role, but he shouldn’t be drafted in standard leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 77 136 307 .44 0 59 70 .84 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.34 0.69 0.42 2011-2012 NO 40 181 348 .52 1 33 47 .70 9.9 4.9 0.9 0.53 1.00 1.03 2012-2013 NO 51 167 341 .49 0 86 102 .84 8.2 3.6 0.7 0.29 1.08 0.88 PROJ NO 55 203 404 .50 0 79 99 .80 8.8 4.1 0.8 0.40 1.00 0.95 Josh Smith - Detroit Pistons - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Smoove had a solid season, playing in 76 games and averaging 16.5 points, 8.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.2 steals and 1.8 blocks on the season. He shot a respectable 46.5 percent from the field and hit 0.8 3-pointers per game, but was a disaster at the line, shooting a career-low 51.7 percent from the charity stripe. That’s a big problem, putting him in Dwight Howard territory, but he was still worth a fifth-round pick. What’s Changed: Smoove signed with the Pistons and has virtually no competition for a job. The numbers should be similar in Detroit to what he was doing in Atlanta, although rebounds will be tougher to come by with Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond manning the paint. Hopefully, Smoove, new coach Mo Cheeks and new point guard Brandon Jennings will bond quickly. Outlook: His free throw percentage will likely be dreadful again, but he should do enough scoring, rebounding, assisting, stealing and shot blocking to be worth taking in the third round of fantasy drafts. Just be prepared for awful free throw shooting, which might be tough to overcome regardless of who you surround him with. The chip he will have on his shoulder now that he’s out of the ATL should have him highly motivated to have a big year. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 77 497 1041 .48 51 229 316 .72 16.5 8.5 3.3 1.29 2.56 1.56 2011-2012 ATL 66 504 1101 .46 28 203 322 .63 18.8 9.6 3.9 1.41 2.48 1.74 2012-2013 ATL 76 550 1182 .47 61 166 321 .52 17.5 8.4 4.2 1.24 2.97 1.79 PROJ DET 78 591 1256 .47 62 206 351 .59 18.6 7.4 4.1 1.29 2.90 1.77 J.R. Smith - New York Knicks - SG Age: 28 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Smith was named Sixth Man of the Year after averaging 18.1 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 steals in 34 minutes per game, all career-highs for the nine-year veteran. Even his much-maligned defense improved and he treated fantasy owners to 1.9 three-pointers per game, on top of his other production, setting the stage for a big year in 2013-14. What’s Changed: Smith turned down a $2.9 million option this summer to test free agency, and he wound up landing a three-year deal with the Knicks. He had knee surgery in mid-July and his availability for opening night is up in the air. Outlook: Smith’s fantasy outlook hinges primarily upon the health of his knees. He had surgery to repair his patellar tendon and a torn lateral meniscus in his left knee, which casts a pall over his early-season outlook. It stands to reason that he’ll reprise his bench role and he’s a mid-round value if healthy enough for opening night. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DEN 79 341 784 .43 124 163 221 .74 12.3 4.1 2.2 1.16 1.27 0.20 2011-2012 NY 35 165 405 .41 67 39 55 .71 12.5 3.9 2.4 1.54 1.31 0.17 2012-2013 NY 80 527 1249 .42 155 237 311 .76 18.1 5.3 2.7 1.25 1.68 0.30 PROJ NY 70 451 1085 .42 126 182 253 .72 17.3 5.1 2.5 1.40 1.59 0.26 Greg Smith - Houston Rockets - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Smith was a sporadic participant in Kevin McHale’s rotation, but he did have some good moments and he finished the season as the team’s starting power forward. He put up 18 & 19 on March 27 and had a few similar outings, but was too erratic to be trusted. What’s Changed: The Rockets added Dwight Howard and between he and Omer Asik, they’re likely to gobble up 50-65 minutes, leaving the power forward bucket just a little bit light. Donatas Motiejunas, Smith and Terrence Jones will all fight for those minutes. Smith adds bulk and double-double potential, but will have to win a starting job to offer much fantasy value. Outlook: Smith is a 62 percent career field goal shooter that can score a little, rebound, and provide some modest defensive numbers, but could easily be on the outside looking in at this cramped rotation. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 HOU 8 7 11 .64 0 0 0 .00 1.8 2.5 0.1 0.25 0.13 0.63 2012-2013 HOU 70 170 274 .62 0 81 130 .62 6.0 4.6 0.4 0.26 0.59 0.57 PROJ HOU 75 319 511 .62 0 96 150 .64 9.8 5.7 0.6 0.40 0.69 0.71
  • 115. 115NBA Season Preview Tony Snell - Chicago Bulls - SF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 200 2012-2013: Snell was drafted with the 20th pick by the Bulls out of New Mexico. He’s a better defender than shooter, but he can hit 3-pointers, and should improve offensively with time. What’s Changed: Snell might help fill the void left by the departure of Nate Robinson and Marco Belinelli, but the fact remains he’s a forward, and will have to play behind Luol Deng and Mike Dunleavy during most of his rookie season. Outlook: Snell looks like he’s going to be a nice player, but this isn’t the year you want to own him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ CHI 60 68 161 .42 88 58 72 .81 4.7 1.5 1.5 0.28 1.18 0.25 Marreese Speights - Golden State Warriors - PF Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 255 2012-2013: Speights had the best season of his five-year career and that nabbed him a three-year, $11 million deal with the Warriors , but don’t tell Byron Scott that. Scott was frustrated nightly by Speights after the Cavs acquired him via trade, and that’s been the book on the big man for his entire career. There were a few big nights but he was mostly a disappointment in fantasy leagues, sitting outside of the top-200 for most of the year. What’s Changed: Going to Oakland to play behind David Lee is a fantasy kiss of death, and it’s a bit much to predict that he’s going to suddenly learn the game and start playing defense. But Andrew Bogut and Jermaine O’Neal are Grade-A injury risks and it wouldn’t be surprising if Speights somehow snuck into a low-end role at some point. Outlook: Speights is only worth consideration in massive formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 64 144 291 .49 1 55 73 .75 5.4 3.3 0.5 0.13 0.63 0.30 2011-2012 MEM 60 221 488 .45 0 84 109 .77 8.8 6.2 0.8 0.35 1.23 0.48 2012-2013 CLE 79 260 584 .45 3 135 175 .77 8.3 4.9 0.6 0.30 1.01 0.67 PROJ GS 72 240 509 .47 0 110 144 .76 8.2 4.9 0.6 0.35 1.00 0.71 Tiago Splitter - San Antonio Spurs - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 232 2012-2013: It looked as if Splitter was ready to remain a consistent role player on fantasy teams, but he was an inconsistent shooter and finished with seventh-round value. What’s Changed: Tim Duncan getting older helps Splitter’s chances for more minutes and while the players behind Splitter have changed, Jeff Pendergraph and Aron Baynes aren’t likely to hurt his minutes too much. Outlook: If Splitter can keep up his 26.3 minutes per game after the break, it might be a successful 2013-14 for the Brazilian. However, his 20.4 minutes per game in the postseason is a large enough concern to make him someone that’s not quite worth targeting. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SA 60 101 191 .53 0 76 140 .54 4.6 3.4 0.4 0.48 0.53 0.28 2011-2012 SA 59 212 343 .62 0 125 181 .69 9.3 5.2 1.1 0.36 1.47 0.80 2012-2013 SA 81 315 563 .56 0 208 285 .73 10.3 6.4 1.6 0.78 1.23 0.79 PROJ SA 80 344 594 .58 0 201 280 .72 11.1 6.5 1.7 0.80 1.30 0.91 Lance Stephenson - Indiana Pacers - SG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 228 2012-2013: Stephenson’s season started dubiously, as it took him until February to become roster-worthy in standard formats. But he was more appropriately used in deeper formats where his top-140 value had an off-chance of being helpful every once in a while. Danny Granger’s lost season and Gerald Green’s struggles resulted in Stephenson’s mini breakout as a starter. What’s Changed: Stephenson might get bumped from the starting lineup because of Granger’s return, but that isn’t guaranteed. Either way, with nobody other than Granger and Paul George to compete with, 30-35 minutes for Stephenson is well within reach. Outlook: Stephenson’s shooting jumped to 46 percent from the field after a pair of sub-40 years in spot action, and he made a third of his 3-point attempts at a rate of 0.8 per game. He still has flaws in his fantasy game, including a low-volume 64.4 percent career mark from the line and a lack of versatility in the stat sheet. But as long as the minutes are there, he should return late-round value in deep leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 IND 12 13 39 .33 0 11 14 .79 3.1 1.5 1.8 0.33 1.33 0.00 2011-2012 IND 42 47 125 .38 4 8 17 .47 2.5 1.3 1.1 0.50 0.86 0.12 2012-2013 IND 78 275 598 .46 62 75 115 .65 8.8 3.9 2.9 1.04 1.40 0.21 PROJ IND 78 311 688 .45 70 80 117 .68 9.9 3.3 2.5 1.10 1.50 0.21 Greg Stiemsma - New Orleans Pelicans - C Age: 28 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 243 2012-2013: The Wolves signed Greg Stiemsma last summer as frontcourt depth, and he performed adequately as a rebounder (3.4 boards) and rim-protector (1.2 blocks) despite battling plantar fasciitis for much of the season. What’s Changed: Stiemsma agreed to a one-year, $2.7 million deal with the Pelicans, where he should earn solid playing time now that Robin Lopez is in Portland. Outlook: Stiemsma started 19 games for Minnesota while Nikola Pekovic was injured, and his numbers in those games provide a ceiling for his value , 6.5 points, 5.6 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. He’s a potential blocks-specialist if he stumbles into heavy minutes with the Pelicans this year, but owners in 12-team leagues can safely ignore him on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 BOS 55 66 121 .55 0 29 41 .71 2.9 3.2 0.5 0.67 0.60 1.55 2012-2013 MIN 76 127 278 .46 0 53 69 .77 4.0 3.4 0.4 0.58 0.78 1.18 PROJ NO 77 136 263 .52 0 52 69 .75 4.2 3.5 0.4 0.64 0.70 1.30 Amare Stoudemire - New York Knicks - PF Age: 30 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Injuries were once again the story of Amare’s season, and he ultimately appeared in only 29 regular season games and four playoff games, all as a reserve. The first major injury was a ruptured cyst in his left knee which required surgical debridement, delaying his season debut until January, and in March he required a right knee debridement which shelved him for another two months. When he was on the court, Amare scored 14.2 points on 57.7 percent shooting in 24 minutes per game. What’s Changed: The Knicks have repeatedly said that Stoudemire may have a 20-25 minute restriction next season, in a last-ditch effort to get him through the regular season in one piece. The arrival of Andrea Bargnani isn’t going to do him any favors, either. Outlook: STAT has gone from an elite fantasy player to a roster liability in the span of a few years. Persistent injuries are the main driver, sapping his athleticism and explosiveness, and Carmelo Anthony has become the unquestioned heart and soul of the Knicks’ attack. He’s owed $45.1 million over the next two seasons, so we can rule out a trade, and fantasy owners would be wise to let someone else deal with the headaches that come with owning Stoudemire. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NY 78 744 1482 .50 10 473 597 .79 25.3 8.2 2.6 0.91 3.21 1.92 2011-2012 NY 47 316 654 .48 5 186 243 .77 17.5 7.8 1.1 0.81 2.38 0.96 2012-2013 NY 29 154 267 .58 0 105 130 .81 14.2 5.0 0.4 0.34 1.72 0.72 PROJ NY 60 274 491 .56 0 196 252 .78 12.4 5.4 1.0 0.40 1.50 0.85 Rodney Stuckey - Detroit Pistons - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’5’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Stuckey steered clear of serious injury, appearing in 76 games and averaging 11.5 points and 3.6 assists per game, mostly off the bench. What’s Changed: Stuckey is what he is and it’s hard to see his numbers changing much from year to year, at least as long as he’s in Detroit. He does look like the starting shooting guard this season, unless Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has a great camp and beats him out for the job. Mo Cheeks will coach the Pistons this season as Brandon Jennings will replace Brandon Knight as the starting PG in Detroit. Outlook: Stuckey is likely to put up similar numbers to what he did last season, meaning he’s only worth looking at near the end of your draft. And even then, you’re probably better off letting someone else take him and setting your sights on a young player with more upside. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 70 363 827 .44 26 330 381 .87 15.5 3.1 5.2 1.09 2.21 0.14 2011-2012 DET 55 256 597 .43 33 267 320 .83 14.8 2.6 3.8 0.80 1.93 0.18 2012-2013 DET 76 304 748 .41 55 213 272 .78 11.5 2.8 3.6 0.67 1.76 0.22 PROJ DET 74 275 670 .41 48 239 289 .83 11.3 2.9 3.7 0.80 1.80 0.20 Jared Sullinger - Boston Celtics - PF Age: 21 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Sullinger made it through just 45 games and averaged 6.0 points and 5.9 rebounds before succumbing to back surgery, but vows to be completely healthy by the start of training camp. He was starting to come on though, racking up three double-doubles in his final 10 games just before shutting it down. What’s Changed: Sullinger has talent and upside, but he’s going to have to deal with Brandon Bass, Kris Humphries, Fab Melo and Shavlik Randolph for minutes this season. Outlook: Sullinger is an interesting prospect, but there are just too many similar power forwards in Boston right now, and none of them are exactly reliable. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 BOS 45 111 225 .49 1 47 63 .75 6.0 5.9 0.8 0.49 0.64 0.49 PROJ BOS 72 243 462 .53 1 82 108 .76 7.9 7.8 0.9 0.50 0.92 0.69 Jeff Taylor - Charlotte Bobcats - SF Age: 24 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Taylor played 77 games as a rookie and despite some flashes of brilliance, averaged just 6.1 points in less than 20 minutes per game. He did start 29 games, but averaged just 8.0 points and 2.6 rebounds in those. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Mike Dunlap after a 21-win season. Taylor will likely split his time off the bench between SG and SF, but would only start due to an injury to one of his teammates. Outlook: Taylor bulked up over the offseason and played well at Summer League. He should end up having a long NBA career, but likely will need Michael Kidd-Gilchrist to struggle (again) in order to become fantasy relevant this season. MKG had a disappointing rookie season, but we’re not ready to gamble on it happening again. Avoid Taylor unless he breaks out in training camp and forces MKG into a sixth-man role. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 CHA 77 172 399 .43 53 75 103 .73 6.1 1.9 0.8 0.61 0.62 0.19 PROJ CHA 79 242 541 .45 71 117 158 .74 8.5 2.8 1.1 0.75 0.90 0.30 Jeff Teague - Atlanta Hawks - PG Age: 25 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 181 2012-2013: Teague really came into his own last season, averaging 14.6 points, 7.2 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.1 3-pointers, all career highs. He played in 80 games and saw 33 minutes per game, unchallenged as the starting point guard for the Hawks. What’s Changed: Teague talked about wanting to leave Atlanta, but will return after they matched the offer he received from the Bucks. He should remain unchallenged for the job this season and will likely come back with even more confidence, although he’ll also be playing for a new coach in the form of Mike Budenholzer. He should be considered a top fantasy point guard option after returning late third-round value in
  • 116. 116 NBA Season Preview leagues that count turnovers. Outlook: Teague should come in with a lot of confidence and could explode this season, and the fact he doesn’t miss games and shoots it well from everywhere makes him a safe fantasy option. Target him any time after Round 2 and plan on using him every time the Hawks play. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 70 133 304 .44 18 77 97 .79 5.2 1.5 2.0 0.64 0.91 0.36 2011-2012 ATL 66 320 671 .48 51 140 185 .76 12.6 2.4 4.9 1.61 2.03 0.56 2012-2013 ATL 80 439 974 .45 89 199 226 .88 14.6 2.3 7.2 1.46 2.88 0.35 PROJ ATL 79 468 1030 .45 95 186 213 .87 15.4 2.5 7.7 1.59 3.10 0.51 Marquis Teague - Chicago Bulls - PG Age: 20 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Even without Derrick Rose around last season, Teague didn’t make much noise with Kirk Hinrich and Nate Robinson around to handle most of the point guard duties. He wasn’t worth owning at any point during the season. What’s Changed: Rose should be healthy and Robinson is in Denver. Hinrich looks like the backup point guard, but will also spend plenty of time at SG with the departure of Marco Belinelli. And given the injury history of Rose and Hinrich, Teague should at least get some chances to shine this season. Outlook: Jeff’s brother won’t be worth a fantasy pick as long as D-Rose is healthy, but Rose’s health is far from guaranteed, not to mention the Bulls may choose to limit his minutes early. And with Hinrich needed at shooting guard, Teague may end up seeing 20 minutes per game. Even so, he’s probably not worth a pick on draft night, unless you’re in a very deep league, or want to grab some Rose protection as a handcuff. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 CHI 48 43 113 .38 4 9 16 .56 2.1 0.9 1.3 0.19 0.73 0.15 PROJ CHI 68 149 372 .40 20 21 34 .62 4.7 1.2 2.0 0.21 0.79 0.10 Jason Terry - Brooklyn Nets - SG Age: 36 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 180 2012-2013: Terry came off the bench last season and played in all but three games, but also only managed to score 10.1 points per game with 1.6 3-pointers and just 0.8 steals per game. His knee bothered him all season and he underwent minor surgery in the offseason. What’s Changed: He’s entering his 15th season and Father Time is quickly catching up with the Jet, who was dealt to the Nets along with Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce. He’ll be good for some 3-pointers, but that’s about it. Outlook: Even if Terry is somehow a focal point (he won’t be), we still wouldn’t recommend drafting the old man with potentially shaky knees until the end of your draft. And using a late flier on a young player with upside looks like a much better game plan, especially with Joe Johnson and Deron Williams locked into the guard spots. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DAL 82 492 1091 .45 127 182 214 .85 15.8 1.9 4.1 1.13 2.04 0.16 2011-2012 DAL 63 357 830 .43 138 98 111 .88 15.1 2.4 3.6 1.16 2.02 0.17 2012-2013 BOS 79 281 648 .43 123 114 131 .87 10.1 2.0 2.5 0.84 1.29 0.14 PROJ BKN 80 210 471 .45 136 124 144 .86 8.5 2.1 2.5 0.94 1.50 0.13 Hasheem Thabeet - Oklahoma City Thunder - C Age: 26 - Ht: 7’3’ - Wt: 263 2012: Thabeet averaged 12 minutes in 66 games for OKC last year. He scored 2.4 points per game, with 3.0 rebounds and 0.9 blocks, and said after the season that he was ‘happy with how the year turned out.’ What’s Changed: Thabeet has been mentioned as a trade candidate. He’ll earn $1.2 million this season but his 2014-15 salary is completely unguaranteed. The Thunder drafted center Steven Adams No. 12 overall, providing a bit more competition for backup center minutes. Outlook: Whether Thabeet is traded or stays in OKC, he’s unlikely to hold fantasy value in a backup role. His per-36-minute averages last year explain why,7.5 points, 9.1 rebounds and 2.8 blocks aren’t too shabby for a low-end center, but he also committed a disturbingly high 6.9 personal fouls. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 HOU 47 17 40 .43 0 19 35 .54 1.1 1.6 0.1 0.19 0.36 0.34 2011-2012 POR 20 11 21 .52 0 13 20 .65 1.8 2.1 0.0 0.05 0.40 0.50 2012-2013 OKC 66 64 106 .60 0 32 53 .60 2.4 3.0 0.2 0.45 0.62 0.91 PROJ OKC 78 167 356 .47 0 64 101 .63 5.1 6.2 1.3 0.60 1.50 1.21 Isaiah Thomas - Sacramento Kings - PG Age: 24 - Ht: 5’9’ - Wt: 185 2012-2013: It’s easy to like Thomas’ style of play, well, unless you’re Keith Smart. His slow start threw off his season averages, but after the break his stats made him a must-start player with 17.3 points, 5.4 assists, 1.0 steals and 2.1 triples. He finished the season with eighth-round value, but after the break he had a third-round valuation in standard leagues. What’s Changed: His offseason got off on the wrong foot with the Kings bringing on Greivis Vasquez. Unlike Vasquez, Thomas is a little too small to play shooting guard, so his minutes will have to exclusively come at the point and off the bench. Tyreke Evans is gone, but Thomas is now looking at a best-case scenario of a true timeshare. The Kings also hired Mike Malone to coach the team. Outlook: He did all that damage in the second half in only 30.6 minutes per game, so even if he gets just 24.0 minutes, he’ll be worth owning in most formats. We expect him to slide and become a value pick as 100 approaches, but there’s plenty of risk involved with Vasquez around. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 SAC 65 256 571 .45 83 154 185 .83 11.5 2.6 4.1 0.82 1.62 0.12 2012-2013 SAC 79 366 832 .44 115 253 287 .88 13.9 2.0 4.0 0.85 1.77 0.04 PROJ SAC 78 184 415 .44 117 233 273 .85 9.2 2.2 3.7 0.79 1.60 0.10 DeShaun Thomas - San Antonio Spurs - SF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 225 2012-2013: Thomas has loads of talent and it was a mild surprise to see the Spurs snap him up at pick 58 in the draft. The Ohio State product is a lefty and can shoot it, as shown in Las Vegas with his line of 12.4 points, 5.0 boards, 0.4 steals and 1.2 triples in 28.6 minutes per game. In his last year with the Buckeyes, Thomas averaged 19.8 points, 5.9 boards and 1.9 triples in 35.4 minutes to lead the Big 10. What’s Changed: Considering he was a second-round pick, he’s in a good spot. The Spurs don’t have much behind Kawhi Leonard at small forward, but Gregg Popovich has always been creative in getting 48 minutes out of that spot no matter what his lineup looks like. Outlook: Everyone loves rookies, but there are a lot of things that will need to happen for Thomas to have value. Owners can feel free to throw him on their watch lists, but don’t expect anything. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ SA 60 84 191 .44 66 47 60 .78 4.7 2.0 0.5 0.70 0.60 0.25 Tristan Thompson - Cleveland Cavaliers - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 227 2012-2013: Thompson didn’t miss a game and the starting power forward saw his numbers increase substantially, coming in at 11.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks per games. He’s a terrible free throw shooter, and didn’t block as many shots as we were hoping for last season. What’s Changed: Thompson will be dealing with a new coach in Mike Brown, a new starting center in Andrew Bynum and the presence of No. 1 overall pick Anthony Bennett, a power forward. He also changed his shooting hand over the summer, from his left to his right. Yes, you read that correctly. Outlook: Thompson’s lack of blocks really hurt his fantasy value last season and while he has a lot of upside, the crowded front court (Bennett, Anderson Varejao, Earl Clark, Bynum, Tyler Zeller) doesn’t bode well for a breakout season. In fact, we’re guessing Thompson’s numbers will actually drop with all the competition coming for minutes. In other words, he’s not a must-have player, regardless of how far he falls on draft night. And the shooting-hand change only adds to the concerns about drafting him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 CLE 60 194 442 .44 0 106 192 .55 8.2 6.5 0.5 0.45 1.35 1.03 2012-2013 CLE 82 390 799 .49 0 177 291 .61 11.7 9.4 1.3 0.73 1.50 0.87 PROJ CLE 80 291 594 .49 2 152 256 .59 9.2 8.2 0.9 0.60 1.50 0.84 Klay Thompson - Golden State Warriors - SG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Thompson trudged through a streaky year and finished near his top 40-50 ADP, helped greatly by the fact he played all 82 games. Though he ran hot and cold, his season-long numbers all remained in a consistent range compared to his rookie season, including an 11-minute jump to 36 mpg. What’s Changed: Andre Iguodala was brought in and Harrison Barnes turned on the light bulb in the playoffs. There is already panic over Thompson’s playing time in some quarters, but that’s a bit overstated. Mark Jackson won’t have any problem fitting him into a 31-33 minute role. Outlook: With little chance of a major fall-off, owners can project production just underneath last year’s marks with relative confidence. Chances are he’ll shoot a bit more efficiently with a few less minutes and touches, but the rest of his stat line should take a hit with the impending minute loss, even if he can mitigate some of the impact by continuing to develop. After the top 50-60 picks are off the board, feel free to give him a look. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 GS 66 318 718 .44 111 79 91 .87 12.5 2.4 2.0 0.74 1.56 0.30 2012-2013 GS 82 508 1205 .42 211 132 157 .84 16.6 3.7 2.2 1.05 1.91 0.55 PROJ GS 82 533 1223 .44 221 147 172 .85 17.5 3.6 2.1 1.10 2.00 0.50 Jason Thompson - Sacramento Kings - PF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: JT’s year last season was right on par with his career averages of 10.9 points, 6.7 boards, 0.7 blocks and 0.6 steals on 50.2 percent from the field. He played in all 82 games and averaged 27.9 minutes. His minutes were down in the second half, but interestingly, he averaged 10.9 points and 6.7 boards before and after the break. He is what he is as a low-upside big man that isn’t going to make many highlights. He’s averaged over 12 points per game in just one month over the past two seasons. What’s Changed: He went on Twitter right after the Kings signed Carl Landry and said ‘wow,’so he wasn’t thrilled about the added competition. The two players play a similar style and they’re likely to get a 50-50 split of playing time. Thompson has played center before, so that could help him a bit for a handful of minutes. Outlook: He doesn’t block shots and he’s not much of a shooter from the line, so it’s hard to hitch your wagon to a guy like Thompson. He is not a difference maker for fantasy teams and would need DeMarcus Cousins or Landry to miss time to emerge as a reliable player. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 75 271 534 .51 0 121 200 .61 8.8 6.1 1.2 0.37 1.32 0.59 2011-2012 SAC 64 237 443 .53 0 109 181 .60 9.1 6.9 1.2 0.67 1.06 0.69 2012-2013 SAC 82 374 745 .50 0 143 206 .69 10.9 6.7 1.0 0.59 1.23 0.74 PROJ SAC 80 317 606 .52 0 126 208 .61 9.5 6.1 1.1 0.65 1.30 0.74 Marcus Thornton - Sacramento Kings - SG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Like many of his teammates, MT23 turned it around after the break. After shooting only 40.0 percent before the All-Star Game, he heated up to the tune of 14.6 points, 0.7 steals and 2.4 triples on 47.0 percent shooting. He also knocked down 91.8 percent of his 1.8 attempts from the charity stripe, too. Thornton did that damage in just 24.3 minutes and his 66 triples ranked eighth in the NBA after the break. He finished the season with 10th-round value in standard leagues. What’s Changed: In the grand scheme of things, Thornton is in a similar spot this year. The team subtracted Tyreke Evans, but brought on highly-touted rookie Ben McLemore as well
  • 117. 117NBA Season Preview as Greivis Vasquez to compete for minutes. Mike Malone has always used his shooters well and Thornton led the team last year in triples. Outlook: The Kings bringing on McLemore doesn’t help Thornton’s case. He’ll have an inverse relationship to how B-Mac performs. In other words, if McLemore’s sub-par summer league was not indicative of his skills, it’ll be tough to hold on to Thornton. He’ll be worth a look in very deep leagues for those that want to bet against McLemore. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 73 350 807 .43 88 145 184 .79 12.8 3.5 1.8 0.88 1.27 0.12 2011-2012 SAC 51 352 803 .44 107 141 163 .87 18.7 3.7 1.9 1.39 1.65 0.24 2012-2013 SAC 72 332 774 .43 141 111 126 .88 12.7 2.5 1.3 0.85 0.94 0.06 PROJ SAC 73 297 687 .43 146 122 139 .88 11.8 2.4 1.5 1.00 1.29 0.15 P.J. Tucker - Phoenix Suns - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 224 2012-2013: After not appearing in the NBA since 2007, Tucker emerged as a plus defender for the Suns, playing 24.2 minutes per game. He didn’t really do much on the stat sheet with season averages of 6.4 points, 4.4 boards, 1.4 assists, 0.8 steals and 0.3 triples. His best month of the season was April with 31.3 minutes and 10.9 points, so he did leave the NBA with a good taste in its mouth. What’s Changed: Tucker is slated to be the starting small forward, but the Suns might have to mix it up with some bigger bodies considering that their backcourt will be smaller. Outlook: If Tucker did anything special, he might he worthwhile with the possibility of minutes in the 30s. However, he doesn’t and can be left on the waiver wire, even with the distinction of starting. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 PHO 79 210 444 .47 22 64 86 .74 6.4 4.4 1.4 0.78 0.85 0.24 PROJ PHO 80 330 682 .48 40 68 96 .71 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.88 0.90 0.20 Evan Turner - Philadelphia 76ers - SF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Despite making a career-low 41.9 percent of his shots, Evan Turner showed significant improvement during the 2012-13 season. Part of his lowered FG percentage was due to increased 3-point attempts , he made 0.7 per game on 36.5 percent from deep. Throw in career-highs of 6.3 boards, 4.3 dimes and 0.9 steals in 35 minutes, and Turner at least took a halting step toward realizing his potential. What’s Changed: Jrue Holiday is gone and rookie Michael Carter-Williams holds the keys to the Sixers offense. MCW will need plenty of help as he adjusts to the NBA, however, and Turner could be in line for more ball-handling and play-making duties this season. Outlook: Even if Turner’s FG percentage drifts upward along with his 3-point totals, fantasy owners must contend with a disappointing lack of steals and blocks, as well as his career 74.4 percent FT shooting. It’s unwise to bet on a breakout season, but Turner is versatile and durable enough (zero DNPs last season) that he’s worth drafting after the ninth round of standard 12-team leagues. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 78 225 529 .43 14 101 125 .81 7.2 3.9 2.0 0.63 1.03 0.18 2011-2012 PHI 65 263 590 .45 11 73 108 .68 9.4 5.8 2.8 0.62 1.62 0.31 2012-2013 PHI 82 441 1053 .42 58 154 208 .74 13.3 6.3 4.3 0.87 2.28 0.21 PROJ PHI 81 522 1220 .43 65 162 219 .74 15.7 6.5 4.5 0.93 2.40 0.23 Ekpe Udoh - Milwaukee Bucks - C Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 245 2012-2013: Udoh, the No. 6 pick overall in 2010, averaged 17 minutes per game in 76 appearances in his first full season with the Bucks. The defensive specialist never made a dent in average fantasy leagues, averaging just 4.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game. What’s Changed: Udoh needs to earn a spot in Larry Drew’s rotation, but he should find a reliable bench role with Samuel Dalembert, Drew Gooden and Gustavo Ayon all gone, although the arrival of Zaza Pachulia won’t do him any favors. Outlook: Owners hunting for blocks in deep leagues should keep an eye on him, but the former lottery pick is a dubious source of standard-league fantasy value under coach Drew. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 58 97 222 .44 0 42 64 .66 4.1 3.1 0.7 0.38 0.83 1.48 2011-2012 MLW 61 127 295 .43 0 86 114 .75 5.6 4.2 0.9 0.66 0.87 1.67 2012-2013 MLW 76 117 269 .43 0 89 119 .75 4.3 3.3 0.6 0.51 0.57 1.12 PROJ MLW 77 154 361 .43 0 85 116 .73 5.1 3.5 0.5 0.60 0.70 1.31 Beno Udrih - New York Knicks - PG Age: 31 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 203 2012-13: Beno split his time between the Bucks and Magic, and played well in Orlando, averaging 10.2 points, 6.1 assists, 0.9 steals and nearly a 3-pointer per game. What’s Changed: He signed with the Knicks in the offseason, where he’ll help back up starter Raymond Felton, while also possibly playing some shooting guard. Outlook: It would likely take an injury to Felton for Udrih to have value this season, but the Knicks deserve some props for signing a talented and experienced backup for Felton. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 SAC 79 412 824 .50 65 197 228 .86 13.7 3.4 4.9 1.19 1.78 0.11 2011-2012 MLW 59 146 332 .44 17 39 55 .71 5.9 1.7 3.8 0.63 1.31 0.02 2012-2013 ORL 66 210 476 .44 34 84 103 .82 8.2 2.1 4.6 0.62 1.64 0.05 PROJ NY 74 232 508 .46 59 142 170 .84 8.2 2.1 4.1 0.76 1.80 0.03 Jonas Valanciunas - Toronto Raptors - C Age: 21 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 257 2012-2013: Valanciunas got off to a slow start, but really turned it on in March, when he hit 62 percent of his shots and averaged 11.4 points, 7.3 boards and 1.1 blocks. April was even better at 14.9 points, 5.9 boards and 2.4 blocks in 31.6 minutes. He was also spectacular in Las Vegas Summer League and took home MVP honors. What’s Changed: It gets better for JV. The team has said that the offense will run through him and he will be the ‘quarterback’ on many possessions. Offensive efficiency killer Andrea Bargnani is in New York and Valanciunas was at his worst with the Italian, while at his best with Amir Johnson, who is still around. Outlook: Valanciunas is one of the most popular sleepers in fantasy hoops this year and you’re going to have to plan on grabbing him early (Round 4?) if you want him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 TOR 62 204 366 .56 0 146 185 .79 8.9 6.0 0.7 0.27 1.52 1.26 PROJ TOR 75 404 752 .54 0 212 270 .79 13.6 8.8 2.1 0.51 1.79 1.80 Anderson Varejao - Cleveland Cavaliers - C Age: 31 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: Varejao was on fire before going down with a split quad and a blood clot in his lung, averaging 14.1 points, 14.4 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 0.6 blocks before being shut down after just 25 games. What’s Changed: Everything has changed. The Cavs signed Andrew Bynum, who will start at C if he’s healthy (a big if), and drafted PF Anthony Bennett with the No. 1 overall pick. Add in Tristan Thompson and Earl Clark, and it appears that Varejao will only repeat last year’s performance if Bynum struggles with knee problems again this season. Outlook: Expect Varejao to start the season as Bynum’s backup, while he should also see plenty of minutes at power forward. He’s a guy to keep a close eye on in the preseason. If he’s playing well and getting minutes, he’ll be worth a mid-round fantasy pick, but there is some risk involved in the event that Bynum stays healthy and Bennett comes as advertised. Add in the fact that Varejao has played just 31, 25 and 25 games in each of the last three seasons, and you’re probably better off letting someone else draft him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CLE 31 114 216 .53 0 54 81 .67 9.1 9.7 1.5 0.87 1.29 1.23 2011-2012 CLE 25 114 222 .51 0 43 64 .67 10.8 11.5 1.7 1.40 1.80 0.68 2012-2013 CLE 25 138 289 .48 0 77 102 .75 14.1 14.4 3.4 1.48 1.76 0.56 PROJ CLE 40 206 407 .51 0 84 121 .69 12.4 9.6 2.8 1.30 1.63 0.60 Greivis Vasquez - Sacramento Kings - PG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 211 2012-2013: Do you know who led the NBA in total assists last year? Well, if it wasn’t Vasquez, it wouldn’t make much sense to throw that stat in here, would it? GV also ranked third is assists per game with 9.0, while adding 13.9 points, 1.1 steals and 0.8 steals. He was also locked in at the line after the break, making 90.2 percent from there on his 1.6 attempts per night. He was able to keep Brian Roberts at bay throughout the season. His offensive game was unique and he led all guards with his 3.1 attempts from 3-9 feet , Tony Parker coming in at a distant second at 2.3. He finished the season with 10th-round fantasy value. What’s Changed: The Hornicans/ Pelinets traded Vasquez to the Kings as part of the fallout of acquiring Jrue Holiday. He goes from a team in which had had minimal competition to heading into what could shape up to be one of the bigger position battles with Isaiah Thomas. Outlook: There’s really no way that GV will be able to match his 9.0 dimes per game or 34.4 minutes per game. Mike Malone’s offensive system doesn’t quite suit Vasquez, but his size at 6’6’suggests he’ll be able to get some playing time at shooting guard. He’ll be a bit of a safer pick than Thomas and does have a decent shot at 30.0 minutes. He’ll still be tough to target with the young Thomas behind him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MEM 70 95 233 .41 25 34 44 .77 3.6 1.0 2.2 0.31 1.00 0.06 2011-2012 NO 66 225 523 .43 43 96 117 .82 8.9 2.6 5.4 0.91 2.24 0.12 2012-2013 NO 78 438 1012 .43 83 124 154 .81 13.9 4.3 9.0 0.85 3.17 0.08 PROJ SAC 79 390 898 .43 87 135 166 .81 12.7 4.3 8.2 0.90 3.10 0.10 Jan Vesely - Washington Wizards - PF Age: 23 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Needless to say, Vesely’s 2012-13 was not as good as Kawhi Leonard’s year. The Wizards made one of the biggest head-scratching picks with their selection of Vesely over Leonard back in 2011. He shot a pathetic 30.8 percent from the line on his 39 attempts on the year and his 2.1 fouls per game in just 11.8 minutes per game is awfully terrible, too. Cheer up, though. He was better in summer league and did much better at making shots from the field. Obviously, he still has a long way to go. What’s Changed: This is a contract year for Vesely and he will really have to turn his career around for the Wizards to consider keeping him. The team doesn’t have too much depth up front. Outlook: It’s Jan Vesely. He can’t get out of his own way and you will get a few chuckles out of your draft room with him on your team. No thanks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 WAS 57 117 218 .54 0 33 62 .53 4.7 4.4 0.8 0.68 1.05 0.56 2012-2013 WAS 50 57 114 .50 0 12 39 .31 2.5 2.4 0.6 0.30 0.54 0.34 PROJ WAS 65 205 404 .51 1 58 104 .56 7.2 5.8 0.8 0.91 1.00 0.71 Charlie Villanueva - Detroit Pistons - PF Age: 29 - Ht: 6’11’ - Wt: 232 2012-2013: Charlie V played in 69 games, averaging 6.8 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.3 3-pointers per game, shooting just 37.7 percent from the floor on the season. He scored a season-high 21 points with five 3-pointers in a February game, but that marked the only time he hit the 20-point plateau all season. What’s Changed: His bad contract is still around for new coach Mo Cheeks to deal with and given the Pistons’ depth at forward, it’s hard to imagine Villanueva doing much this season. Outlook: If you find yourself desperate for 3-pointers and rebounds near the end of a deep draft, feel free to take a flier, but your money will be better spent on a young guy with some upside. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 DET 76 313 708 .44 125 89 116 .77 11.1 3.9 0.6 0.55 0.87 0.55 2011-2012 DET 13 35 91 .38 15 6 7 .86 7.0 3.7 0.5 0.54 0.54 0.38 2012-2013 DET 69 175 464 .38 90 27 49 .55 6.8 3.5 0.8 0.45 0.57 0.57 PROJ DET 70 185 410 .45 35 99 126 .79 7.2 3.5 0.7 0.69 0.80 0.23
  • 118. 118 NBA Season Preview Nikola Vucevic - Orlando Magic - C Age: 23 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: Poor 76ers fans. Not only did they dump draft picks and young players for an injured Andrew Bynum, who didn’t play in 2012-13, they had to watch the meteoric rise of one of those young guys,Nikola Vucevic. As a starter for all 77 games in which he played, Vuc averaged 13.1 points on 51.9 percent shooting, 11.9 rebounds (second in the NBA behind Dwight Howard), and unlike most big men he shot a tolerable 68.3 percent from the FT line. What’s Changed: Kyle O’Quinn remains Orlando’s backup center and he’s no threat to Vucevic, whose knack for avoiding fouls should allow him to average 35 minutes per game, unless they roll with Glen Davis at center instead of power forward. However, we’re not too worried, as Vucevic should still get heavy minutes, either way. Outlook: The only knocks on Vucevic’s fantasy game last season were his mediocre steals (0.8) and blocks (1.0). Everything else, including his 1.8 turnovers per game, were good enough to make him a top-10 center. There’s a little risk here with Davis’ return to the fold, but Vucevic should return as a quality fantasy center. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 PHI 51 131 291 .45 3 18 34 .53 5.5 4.8 0.6 0.39 0.65 0.67 2012-2013 ORL 77 461 889 .52 0 86 126 .68 13.1 11.9 1.9 0.79 1.83 1.03 PROJ ORL 78 483 917 .53 0 86 133 .65 13.5 10.5 2.0 0.79 1.88 1.10 Dwyane Wade - Miami Heat - SG Age: 31 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Wade had minor knee surgery prior to the season and skipped the Olympics, setting the stage for a slow, frustrating start in which he performed at just a top 30-60 level. He turned it on from January to March, but then missed games in April due to more knee trouble. All told, he played in 69 games and finished with top- 20 value, which was a disappointment for a first-round pick. What’s Changed: He isn’t having any more procedures on his knees, but doctors have told him to take a month off prior to the season. The Heat’s roster is almost a carbon- copy of last year’s version, and Wade will look to preserve himself throughout the season for another playoff run. Outlook: Wade’s free throw percentage was well down last season (72.5%), but owners would surely live with that if they knew his knees were going to allow him to play the whole season. Given the injury risk and chance he gets rested down the stretch, owners should be looking to target him somewhere in the second-to-third rounds as long as reports are positive in the preseason, and then hope for the best. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIA 76 692 1384 .50 63 494 652 .76 25.5 6.4 4.6 1.46 3.12 1.14 2011-2012 MIA 49 416 837 .50 15 235 297 .79 22.1 4.8 4.6 1.67 2.63 1.29 2012-2013 MIA 69 569 1093 .52 17 308 425 .72 21.2 5.0 5.1 1.86 2.81 0.81 PROJ MIA 65 504 977 .52 20 298 397 .75 20.4 5.1 5.2 1.80 2.91 1.11 Dion Waiters - Cleveland Cavaliers - SG Age: 21 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 221 2012-2013: Waiters appeared in 61 games and had a nice rookie season, averaging 14.7 points, 2.4 assists, 3.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.0 3-pointers in 29 minutes per game. He missed time with a sore knee near the end of the season, and with a left ankle injury in December, and struggled with his shot, hitting just 41.2 percent from the floor and 31 percent from downtown. What’s Changed: Mike Brown will take over the coaching job again in Cleveland. Waiters showed in his rookie that he can play and should be locked into a starting job at shooting guard for the Cavaliers this season. Jarrett Jack’s arrival from GSW could eat into his minutes, or help him land on the bench if he continues to shoot it poorly. Outlook: Waiters has a lot of upside, but is unproven. He may have been worth owning last season for his scoring, but just didn’t do enough to qualify as a must-own player. That could change this year, but don’t look at him until the later middle rounds of your draft. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 CLE 61 336 815 .41 63 159 213 .75 14.7 2.4 3.0 0.97 1.98 0.26 PROJ CLE 72 377 891 .42 86 204 266 .77 14.5 2.6 2.4 1.10 2.21 0.31 Kemba Walker - Charlotte Bobcats - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 184 2012-2013: Walker blew up a bit last season, averaging 17.7 points, 5.7 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.3 3-pointers on 42.3 percent shooting in 35 minutes per game. He was one of the steals in fantasy drafts, worthy of a third-round pick, despite the presence of backup Ramon Sessions, who averaged 14 points per game. What’s Changed: Little known Steve Clifford will coach the Bobcats this season, relieving Mike Dunlap after a 21-win season. Ramon Sessions, who is coming off a painful knee injury, will once again back him up in Charlotte this season. Outlook: Walker should be able to match last season’s production and it would be nice if he could shoot closer to 45 percent, but that may be a pipe dream. He’s entering his third season and has yet to miss a game, making him a safe, value point guard pick once the big names are off the board. It’s also worth noting that he turned it over just 2.4 times per game last season, which is good for someone who handled the ball as much as Walker did. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 CHA 66 281 767 .37 69 168 213 .79 12.1 3.5 4.4 0.91 1.80 0.30 2012-2013 CHA 82 526 1244 .42 107 296 371 .80 17.7 3.5 5.7 1.95 2.44 0.38 PROJ CHA 82 557 1339 .42 115 313 394 .79 18.8 3.6 6.4 2.10 2.70 0.40 John Wall - Washington Wizards - PG Age: 23 - Ht: 6’4’ - Wt: 195 2012-2013: A broken kneecap caused Wall’s season debut to come on January 7 and he played just 49 games. After that, he didn’t miss a single game and his minutes trended upward every month. Wall was one of the best point guards after the All- Star break, averaging 20.7 points, 4.5 boards, 7.8 assists, 1.5 steals, 0 8 blocks and 0.4 triples in the second half. Wall finished the season with fifth-round value on a per-game basis. What’s Changed: The Wizards rewarded him with a five-year, $80 million extension this offseason. Bradley Beal should come back healthy, which could hurt Wall’s offensive output slightly, but all signs are pointing up when it comes to his future. Outlook: If last year was indicative of what could be on the way for Wall, his fourth year could bring us a monster. Wall has a nice supporting cast around him, but he’s going to be the busiest player on the team. Even with point guard being fairly deep, it makes sense to take a chance on Wall at the beginning of the second round, and simply forget about the fact he’s not a 3-point shooter. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 69 398 972 .41 34 301 393 .77 16.4 4.6 8.3 1.75 3.78 0.51 2011-2012 WAS 66 378 894 .42 3 317 402 .79 16.3 4.5 8.0 1.44 3.86 0.86 2012-2013 WAS 49 324 735 .44 12 246 306 .80 18.5 4.0 7.6 1.31 3.20 0.76 PROJ WAS 77 556 1245 .45 39 419 524 .80 20.4 4.5 8.4 1.51 3.51 0.90 Gerald Wallace - Boston Celtics - SF Age: 31 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Wallace was an absolute disaster last season, losing all his confidence and averaging just 7.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocks per game for the Nets, despite playing 30 minutes in 69 games. He was a strong candidate for fantasy bust of the year. What’s Changed: He was shipped to Boston in the KG/Pierce/Terry deal and now looks like the primary backup to Jeff Green for the Celtics. Outlook: It’s hard to find much to like about Wallace after last season’s disaster, but he might surprise us off the bench. But as long as Green can stay healthy and play at a high level, Wallace isn’t likely to be more than a role player for his new team this season. Feel free to take a last-round flier on Wallace, but it appears that his fantasy days are now behind him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 POR 71 386 851 .45 62 279 374 .75 15.7 8.0 2.4 1.48 2.14 0.89 2011-2012 BKN 58 287 632 .45 46 180 225 .80 13.8 6.7 2.8 1.47 1.91 0.62 2012-2013 BKN 69 182 458 .40 46 121 190 .64 7.7 4.6 2.6 1.41 1.59 0.67 PROJ BOS 70 290 681 .43 42 135 175 .77 10.8 4.5 2.8 1.50 1.70 0.63 Earl Watson - Portland Trail Blazers - PG Age: 34 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 202 2012-2013: He received four starts with the Jazz last year and to say they didn’t go well would be an understatement. Watson shot 11.1 percent from the field in those games and had only 2.8 assists while turning it over 3.0 times per game. Yikes. He eventually lost his minutes and the Jazz opted to go with other players. What’s Changed: The Blazers picked him up and he’s really just going to serve as an emergency guy behind Damian Lillard and Mo Williams. Outlook: Last we checked, his starting numbers from last year won’t help him. He’ll need both Lillard and Mo-Wil to miss time. No thanks. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 UTA 80 126 307 .41 36 55 82 .67 4.3 2.3 3.5 0.76 1.45 0.21 2011-2012 UTA 50 54 160 .34 10 31 46 .67 3.0 2.4 4.3 1.08 1.70 0.44 2012-2013 UTA 48 37 120 .31 5 17 25 .68 2.0 1.8 4.0 0.83 1.44 0.17 PROJ POR 70 88 257 .34 14 34 49 .69 3.2 1.9 3.9 0.90 1.50 0.20 C.J. Watson - Indiana Pacers - PG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’2’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Watson backed up Deron Williams in Brooklyn, averaging 19 minutes per game in a season with a handful of productive nights, but no real consistency to speak of. If you evaluated him in an extremely deep format he plodded his way to a top-180 rank, and during the last month of the season he held some borderline value in 14-16 team formats based mostly on 50 percent shooting from deep. What’s Changed: Watson was brought in to replace D.J. Augustin and while it’s a good pickup for last year’s paper-thin squad, the jury is still out on whether or not he can be an above-average reserve in the NBA. Donald Sloan was also added, but Watson will likely open the year behind George Hill. Outlook: If you’re in an extremely deep format there is something to be said for the fact Watson will likely plod his way to similar numbers this season. But in the vast majority of leagues he should be ignored on draft day. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 CHI 82 146 394 .37 44 69 93 .74 4.9 1.1 2.3 0.67 0.89 0.13 2011-2012 CHI 49 161 437 .37 68 84 104 .81 9.7 2.1 4.1 0.92 1.98 0.16 2012-2013 BKN 80 192 459 .42 88 71 91 .78 6.8 1.8 2.0 0.83 0.86 0.15 PROJ IND 80 195 457 .43 96 114 144 .79 7.5 1.9 2.8 0.90 1.40 0.20 Martell Webster - Washington Wizards - SG Age: 26 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 235 2012-2013: It might seem hard to believe, but Martell Webster tied Kevin Durant for 29th in 3-point makes last season and did so on 42.2 percent from beyond the arc. It was the first time in the past three years he stayed relatively healthy, missing only six games due to abdomen issues. He was a pleasant surprise with eighth-round value last year. What’s Changed: The Wizards brought him back and gave him a four-year, $22 million deal. His sports hernia injury won’t be an issue in training camp and he should be ready to go. While it’s good news they locked him up for four years, they also used a top-three pick on Otto Porter, who is after Webster’s job. Webster is still arguably the best 3-point shooter on the team, so he’ll still get minutes. Outlook: He’s unlikely to see 29 minutes per game again, but even at just 24 or so, he should still be able to flirt with double-digit points and 1.5 triples per game. Also, if Bradley Beal and Otto Porter continue their recent injury problems, Webster’s shots and minutes would see a nice boost. If you missed the boat on 3s, Webster isn’t a bad pick to take near the end of your draft.
  • 119. 119NBA Season Preview YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 MIN 46 152 340 .45 55 94 122 .77 9.8 3.2 1.2 0.61 1.26 0.20 2011-2012 MIN 47 115 272 .42 37 57 72 .79 6.9 3.6 0.9 0.66 0.98 0.36 2012-2013 WAS 76 281 636 .44 139 168 198 .85 11.4 3.9 1.9 0.66 1.18 0.22 PROJ WAS 77 244 560 .44 106 137 169 .81 9.5 3.3 1.2 0.70 1.10 0.30 David West - Indiana Pacers - PF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: West was a focal point for the Pacers and wrapped the season up as a top-40 player. He missed seven games with a back injury and eight games overall, but didn’t have any problems with his knee as he showed the same form he had during his last season in New Orleans. What’s Changed: Perhaps the season took its toll on West, as his numbers took a hit in the playoffs and in the series against Miami he looked downright awful at times. The Pacers still re-signed West to a three-year, $36 million deal that was as much about his heart and soul as it was his abilities. Indy also added Luis Scola and Chris Copeland this offseason, in what appears to be a proactive move to ease up on West’s odometer. Outlook: While West is going to play as many minutes as his body can handle, the additions of Scola and Copeland mean that he doesn’t have to. The Pacers will likely take advantage of their newfound depth at the position, cutting him down to 28-31 mpg. Danny Granger’s return could also siphon off some touches, but the emergence of the team’s young core is probably a greater threat. It’s probable that he’s going to decline, and the only question is whether it will be a lot or a little. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 NO 70 528 1040 .51 2 264 327 .81 18.9 7.6 2.3 0.96 2.03 0.89 2011-2012 IND 66 349 716 .49 2 142 176 .81 12.8 6.6 2.1 0.79 1.41 0.70 2012-2013 IND 73 502 1009 .50 4 242 315 .77 17.1 7.7 2.9 1.01 2.15 0.95 PROJ IND 75 468 934 .50 8 241 300 .80 15.8 7.5 2.7 1.00 1.99 0.92 Russell Westbrook - Oklahoma City Thunder - PG Age: 24 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 190 2012-2013: Knee surgery knocked Russell Westbrook out of the playoffs, nfortunately, but that doesn’t diminish his accomplishments in 2012-13. In addition to scoring 23.3 points per game on 43.8 percent shooting, he set or tied numerous career-highs with 1.2 three-pointers, 5.2 rebounds, 7.4 assists and 1.8 steals. What’s Changed: Westbrook (knee surgery) shed his crutches in mid-June and should be 100 percent healthy in time for training camp. Outlook: He was one of the league’s most durable players prior to his knee surgery, which was fortunately a relatively ‘minor’ torn meniscus, and he should be ready to go on opening night. Keep in mind that he coughed up 3.3 turnovers per game last year, which made him more valuable in eight-cat leagues, where he was the No. 8 player, than in nine-cat leagues, where he was No. 17. That said, his ‘turnover percentage’ of 13.2 percent was a career-low and he also notched a career-best ‘Defensive Rating’ by allowing 103 points per 100 possessions while he was on the court. Even coming off knee surgery, WB shouldn’t slip outside of the first round of fantasy drafts. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 OKC 82 614 1390 .44 34 531 631 .84 21.9 4.6 8.2 1.89 3.85 0.37 2011-2012 OKC 66 578 1266 .46 62 340 413 .82 23.6 4.6 5.5 1.70 3.62 0.32 2012-2013 OKC 82 673 1535 .44 97 460 575 .80 23.2 5.2 7.4 1.77 3.33 0.29 PROJ OKC 82 670 1519 .44 90 497 607 .82 23.5 5.0 7.5 1.90 3.40 0.40 Royce White - Philadelphia 76ers - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 260 2012-2013: White didn’t play in a single game for the Rockets due to his mental health issues, along with concerns that the Rockets didn’t have his best interest in mind. What’s Changed: New Sixers GM Sam Hinkie had a lot to do with the Rockets drafting White last year, and is clearly a fan of the talented and troubled big man. We’ve got White behind Thaddeus Young and Arnett Moultrie at power forward, and it remains to be seen if he actually plays for the Sixers this year. Outlook: We’ve got White scheduled for just 25 games this season, which means you shouldn’t draft him. But if he plays in the preseason and actually gets minutes despite the presence of Young and Moultrie, we’ll move him up our draft boards. But we’re not holding our breath. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ PHI 25 63 129 .49 3 27 38 .71 6.2 4.4 1.2 0.60 1.12 0.64 Lou Williams - Atlanta Hawks - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 175 2012-2013: Williams was having a solid season, averaging 14.1 points and 1.8 3-pointers off the Hawks bench, before going down with a season-ending torn right ACL tear that required surgery. He played in just 39 games before shutting it down. What’s Changed: He is expected to be ready for the start of the season, but it’s not guaranteed. He’ll play for new coach Mike Budenholzer and it sounds like the plan is to bring Williams off the bench as the sixth man. If healthy, he should get plenty of minutes for the Hawks. Outlook: Williams could pick up where he left off last season if his knee allows it, and would likely get most of the SG minutes in the ATL, even as the sixth man. Fourteen points and a couple threes per game sounds about right for this season, but keep a close eye on him in training camp to make sure he’s healthy and that his new coach likes him as much as we do. However, we do have him projected at just 50 games this season, coming off major knee surgery. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 75 323 795 .41 88 293 356 .82 13.7 2.0 3.4 0.63 1.36 0.23 2011-2012 PHI 64 318 782 .41 83 237 292 .81 14.9 2.4 3.5 0.83 1.11 0.28 2012-2013 ATL 39 187 443 .42 72 105 121 .87 14.1 2.1 3.6 1.13 1.90 0.26 PROJ ATL 50 261 631 .41 85 123 150 .82 14.6 2.2 3.5 1.00 1.80 0.30 Mo Williams - Portland Trail Blazers - PG Age: 30 - Ht: 6’1’ - Wt: 186 2012-13: Williams played in 46 games for the Jazz last season and missed a large chunk of the season due to a thumb injury that required surgery. The injury ruined his season, although he did manage several nice games for the Jazz before (and after) going down. W hat’s Changed: He should be fully healthy for his new team, the Blazers, although his age (31 in December) is a concern, not to mention that he’ll play behind Rookie of the Year Damian Lillard and have to deal with potential rookie phenom C.J. McCollum in Portland. Outlook: Williams is an excellent grab for the Blazers and should add leadership, as well as a very solid point guard option off the bench. The Blazers made some good moves in the offseason, and acquiring Williams as a free agent is right there with the best of them. He’ll likely be worth a late-round flier by owners in need of a point guard, but with Lillard driving the bus in Portland, don’t expect Mo-Will to live up to his name this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAC 58 291 730 .40 79 151 177 .85 14.0 2.6 6.6 0.91 2.95 0.17 2011-2012 LAC 52 260 611 .43 93 72 80 .90 13.2 1.9 3.1 0.98 1.65 0.13 2012-2013 UTA 46 229 533 .43 59 75 85 .88 12.9 2.4 6.2 1.00 2.72 0.20 PROJ POR 59 224 524 .43 83 106 118 .90 9.4 2.3 3.9 1.00 2.10 0.14 Marvin Williams - Utah Jazz - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 237 2012-2013: It was another year in which people will quickly point out that the Hawks took Marvin over Chris Paul and Deron Williams back in the 2005 NBA Draft. He shot a career-low 42.3 percent from the field on the year and his 7.2 points were his lowest, too. His minutes were trending down for most of the year and after the break he dropped to just 20.0 per game. In short, he wasn’t even worth owning. What’s Changed: He’s arguably the only player in Utah that is worse off compared to last year. He’ll still be in the rotation and should see minutes around the 20s, but had surgery on his Achilles in June andcould miss half the season. Outlook: Marvin has never really endeared himself to fantasy owners thanks to a lack of defensive stats and not really shooting 3-pointers and given his health situation, there’s no reason to draft him. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 ATL 65 246 537 .46 37 147 174 .84 10.4 4.8 1.4 0.52 0.95 0.35 2011-2012 ATL 57 203 470 .43 58 115 146 .79 10.2 5.2 1.2 0.82 0.68 0.32 2012-2013 UTA 73 199 470 .42 54 77 99 .78 7.2 3.6 1.1 0.51 0.82 0.52 PROJ UTA 42 129 296 .44 34 57 71 .80 8.3 4.0 1.2 0.60 0.69 0.40 Deron Williams - Brooklyn Nets - PG Age: 29 - Ht: 6’3’ - Wt: 209 2012-2013: Williams played in 78 games despite being banged up at times, averaging 18.9 points, 7.7 assists, a steal and 2.2 3-pointers per game. His shooting was improved at 44 percent, and his free throw shooting was a stellar 85.9 percent. What’s Changed: Jason Kidd will coach the Nets this season, which could be good news for Williams. His numbers have dipped over the last few seasons, but having a former point guard pulling the strings should work in his favor. He also got rid of guys like Gerald Wallace and MarShon Brooks, and added Andrei Kirilenko, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Jason Terry. Outlook: The Nets could be substantially better this season, although the age of KG and Pierce is a little concerning. Handing out a ton of assists shouldn’t be an issue, but with so many weapons, Williams won’t be looked at to score as much as he has been on some of his past teams. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BKN 65 428 975 .44 105 348 412 .84 20.1 4.0 10.3 1.22 3.54 0.23 2011-2012 BKN 55 391 961 .41 115 257 305 .84 21.0 3.3 8.7 1.22 3.98 0.36 2012-2013 BKN 78 495 1124 .44 169 317 369 .86 18.9 3.0 7.7 0.96 2.79 0.38 PROJ BKN 76 411 940 .44 160 257 304 .85 16.3 3.1 8.4 1.11 3.11 0.39 Reggie Williams - Houston Rockets - SG Age: 27 - Ht: 6’6’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Williams played in just 40 games while averaging 9.5 minutes per contest, primarily due to a bum knee but also because of general ineffectiveness. That he couldn’t make more of an impact on a bad Bobcats team makes that production a whole lot worse. What’s Changed: Williams entered into a two-year, minimum deal including a team option as Daryl Morey is taking a flier on some of the potential he flashed earlier in his career. Francisco Garcia will keep Williams from having any backup shooting guard minutes, while Chandler Parsons is a heavy-minute guy and Omri Casspi will likely have the edge on any scraps. Outlook: Given his bad knee and being buried on the depth chart, owners can ignore Williams in all formats. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 80 268 572 .47 102 100 134 .75 9.2 2.7 1.5 0.35 0.71 0.04 2011-2012 CHA 33 106 255 .42 33 29 40 .73 8.3 2.8 1.8 0.61 1.00 0.09 2012-2013 CHA 40 57 132 .43 22 10 21 .48 3.7 1.3 1.0 0.30 0.48 0.03 PROJ HOU 76 221 483 .46 91 90 123 .73 8.2 2.7 1.8 0.61 1.11 0.11 Derrick Williams - Minnesota Timberwolves - PF Age: 22 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 243 2012-2013: Derrick Williams may never live up to the hype, but at least proved that he can be an effective NBA rotation player. He took advantage of Kevin Love’s injuries to average 14.3 points and 8.2 rebounds as the starting PF in February (his scoring peaked at 15.5 ppg in March). What’s Changed: Andrei Kirilenko’s departure may have opened extra playing time at SF, but the void was quickly filled by the re-signing of Chase Budinger and the acquisition of Corey Brewer. Outlook: His play last year provides some optimism for 2013-14, as he racked up eight double-doubles, but finished with rather dull season averages of 13.4 points,
  • 120. 120 NBA Season Preview 0.8 threes, 6.2 rebounds, 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks in 28 minutes, and his shooting percentages were no more impressive. He should probably be unowned unless Love goes down with an injury. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2011-2012 MIN 66 205 498 .41 37 136 195 .70 8.8 4.7 0.6 0.45 1.17 0.47 2012-2013 MIN 78 338 786 .43 65 192 272 .71 12.0 5.5 0.6 0.56 1.29 0.47 PROJ MIN 79 246 569 .43 63 195 277 .70 9.5 4.9 0.6 0.52 1.10 0.54 Metta World Peace - New York Knicks - SF Age: 33 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 260 2012: Metta was solid in 75 regular-season games, averaging 12.4 points, 1.9 threes and 5.0 boards in 34 minutes. His season concluded on a mixed note,he returned to the court just 12 days after having arthroscopic knee surgery, but shot 25 percent from the field (2-of-14 from downtown) in the Lakers’ first-round playoff exit. What’s Changed: Metta was amnestied by the Lakers as a cost-cutting move. The inveterate entertainer discussed coaching football in Canada, retiring, or signing with a team in China, but ultimately accepted a two-year, $3.5 million deal to join the Knicks. His surgically-repaired knee was reported to be fully healed in early June. Outlook: MWP slots into the backup SF spot in New York, though Carmelo’s success at PF last season could mean the two forwards will play together a considerable amount of the time. He returned sixth-round value (nine-cat) in 75 games last year, averaging 12.4 points with 1.9 triples, 5.0 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 0.6 blocks per game. A slight dip in games-played and minutes should be expected, which makes MWP a risky pick before the late rounds. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 LAK 82 261 658 .40 83 92 136 .68 8.5 3.3 2.1 1.51 1.10 0.44 2011-2012 LAK 64 183 465 .39 56 71 115 .62 7.7 3.4 2.2 1.08 1.08 0.42 2012-2013 LAK 75 332 824 .40 141 124 169 .73 12.4 5.0 1.5 1.63 1.31 0.56 PROJ NY 76 310 771 .40 122 133 182 .73 11.5 5.1 1.7 1.50 1.39 0.55 Dorell Wright - Portland Trail Blazers - SF Age: 27 - Ht: 6’9’ - Wt: 205 2012-2013: Wright has taken a tumble from his days with Golden State after falling out of Doug Collins’ good graces last season. Wright shot a career-low 39.6 percent from the field, including 36.7 percent at home. He had no mid-range game at all and his defense really fell apart. What’s Changed: Wright could have been an interesting fit in OKC, but the Blazers picked him up and it’s not a good spot for him. He’s a little slower these days and might not be a capable shooting guard like he was back in GSW as well as Miami. Outlook: He’ll have to battle for minutes and just has an outside shot to be the eighth man in the rotation. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 GS 82 485 1146 .42 194 180 228 .79 16.4 5.3 3.0 1.51 1.62 0.77 2011-2012 GS 61 222 526 .42 105 80 98 .82 10.3 4.6 1.5 0.95 0.84 0.43 2012-2013 PHI 79 237 599 .40 135 120 141 .85 9.2 3.8 1.9 0.78 0.81 0.44 PROJ POR 78 274 642 .43 133 131 156 .84 10.4 4.0 1.9 0.91 0.90 0.44 Brandan Wright - Dallas Mavericks - C Age: 26 - Ht: 6’10’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Wright was a pleasant surprise last season, and while he wasn’t a fantasy stud, he did average 10.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.4 blocks in 16 starts at center. What’s Changed: The Mavs signed Samuel Dalembert and Wright has already conceded the starting job to the newcomer. But it would not be surprising to see Rick Carlisle grow tired of Dalembert’s offensive inconsistency, meaning we could see a three-way timeshare between Dalembert, Wright and Bernard James. Outlook: Wright should have plenty of decent games, but as long as Dalembert is healthy and starting, Wright is probably better left on waivers. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 BKN 37 60 117 .51 0 21 31 .68 3.8 2.4 0.3 0.30 0.38 0.46 2011-2012 DAL 49 144 233 .62 0 52 82 .63 6.9 3.6 0.3 0.45 0.43 1.29 2012-2013 DAL 64 241 404 .60 0 59 96 .61 8.5 4.1 0.6 0.41 0.53 1.19 PROJ DAL 70 295 529 .56 0 67 105 .64 9.4 3.7 0.5 0.40 0.50 1.20 Nick Young - Los Angeles Lakers - SF Age: 28 - Ht: 6’7’ - Wt: 210 2012-2013: Swaggy P had yet another year with more swag off the court than on the court, struggling through another year of bad shot selection and low field goal percentage (41.3). He played in 59 games dealing with a variety of issues including ankle and toe injuries, finishing the season outside of the top-200. What’s Changed: He took a one-year, $1.1 million deal with a player option to play for the Lakers, and he might see time at small forward, while he would also see an early boost if Kobe Bryant misses the start of the season with his Achilles injury. Metta World Peace was amnestied and Antawn Jamison is gone. Outlook: As of early August, he’s only worth paying attention to in 14-18 team formats, unless he’s named the starting small forward, or if Bryant isn’t ready for the start of the season. In either scenario, Young could get off to a hot start, and then we’ll be telling you to sell high before the bottom falls out. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 WAS 64 412 935 .44 105 186 228 .82 17.4 2.7 1.2 0.70 1.41 0.27 2011-2012 LAC 62 316 784 .40 103 144 169 .85 14.2 2.1 0.9 0.71 1.34 0.27 2012-2013 PHI 59 224 542 .41 75 105 128 .82 10.6 2.2 1.4 0.61 0.85 0.24 PROJ LAK 70 312 779 .40 98 117 140 .84 12.0 2.1 1.4 0.70 1.10 0.24 Thaddeus Young - Philadelphia 76ers - PF Age: 25 - Ht: 6’8’ - Wt: 220 2012-2013: Thaddeus Young may be one of the most overlooked surprises from the 2012-13 season. Playing 35 minutes per game for the Sixers’ thin frontcourt, he racked up 14.8 points on 53.1 percent shooting, 7.5 boards, 0.7 blocks and a career-high 1.8 steals per game. He started all 76 games in which he played. What’s Changed: The Sixers have gutted their team in a full rebuilding process headed by GM Sam Hinkie. The good news is that Young’s role as the starting PF is safe, with guys like Arnett Moultrie, Tim Ohlbrecht and possibly Royce White playing off the bench. Outlook: Thad was a borderline top-50 player in eight-cat leagues last year (top-30 in nine-cat thanks to his stingy 1.2 turnovers). His quiet across-the-board should continue unchecked this season whether he starts at PF or shifts to a sixth-man role, as he may once Nerlens Noel is healthy. The only caveat for fantasy owners is that he shot 57.4 percent from the FT line last season, uncharacteristic for a career 69.7 percent shooter. Don’t let him slip past the fifth round. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2010-2011 PHI 82 458 847 .54 6 123 174 .71 12.7 5.3 1.0 1.10 1.21 0.32 2011-2012 PHI 63 348 687 .51 1 111 144 .77 12.8 5.2 1.2 1.02 0.87 0.65 2012-2013 PHI 76 509 958 .53 1 108 188 .57 14.8 7.5 1.6 1.75 1.18 0.72 PROJ PHI 78 546 1034 .53 0 148 211 .70 15.9 8.0 1.8 1.90 1.40 0.78 Tyler Zeller - Cleveland Cavaliers - C Age: 23 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 250 2012-2013: Zeller had a decent rookie season, averaging eight points, six boards and nearly a block per game. He saw a much bigger role than expected due to the fact that Anderson Varejao lasted just 25 games due to split in his quad, as well as a blood clot in his lung. What’s Changed: Andrew Bynum signed with the Cavs and is penciled in as the starting center, while Varejao and Earl Clark can also play center. Cody’s brother is likely to spend a lot of time on the bench this season. Outlook: Given that Bynum, Varejao and Clark are more famous for missing games than playing in them recently, there is still some hope for this Zeller. But it would take injuries to two, if not all three of these guys, for him to have any relevance in fantasy this season. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK 2012-2013 CLE 77 245 559 .44 0 120 157 .76 7.9 5.7 1.2 0.45 1.23 0.91 PROJ CLE 78 272 607 .45 0 151 195 .77 8.9 6.1 1.4 0.50 1.29 1.00 Cody Zeller - Charlotte Bobcats - PF Age: 21 - Ht: 7’0’ - Wt: 240 2012-2013: The Bobcats took Zeller out of Indiana with the No. 4 pick and he looked good in Summer League, despite playing against smaller opponents. Zeller struggled in the NCAA tournament, but is a better player than what he showed last March. What’s Changed: Tyrus Thomas and Byron Mullens are gone, leaving Josh McRoberts as Zeller’s main competition for the starting power forward job in Charlotte. Outlook: We think Zeller will win the starting job, at least eventually, and will have a solid rookie season. He’s still not worth taking until the later rounds of your draft, but 12 points and eight or nine boards should be attainable for the rookie. YEAR TEAM G FGM FGA FG% 3PTM FTM FTA FT% PPG RPG APG STL TO BLK PROJ CHA 75 352 745 .47 0 174 225 .77 11.7 7.5 1.8 0.71 1.20 0.85
  • 121. 121NBA Season Preview 1 LeBron James MIA SF 2 Kevin Durant OKC SF 3 James Harden HOU SG 4 Stephen Curry GS PG 5 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 6 Chris Paul LAC PG 7 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 8 Paul George IND SF 9 Dwight Howard HOU C 10 Kevin Love MIN PF 11 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 12 John Wall WAS PG 13 Josh Smith DET SF 14 Nicolas Batum POR SF 15 Derrick Rose CHI PG 16 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 17 Kemba Walker CHA PG 18 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 19 Joakim Noah CHI C 20 Brandon Jennings DET PG 21 Deron Williams BKN PG 22 Al Jefferson CHA C 23 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 24 Jrue Holiday NO PG 25 Blake Griffin LAC PF 26 Damian Lillard POR PG 27 Rudy Gay TOR SF 28 Larry Sanders MLW C 29 Andre Iguodala GS SF 30 Andre Drummond DET C 31 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 32 Marc Gasol MEM C 33 Al Horford ATL C 34 Mike Conley MEM PG 35 Monta Ellis DAL SG 36 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 37 Jeff Green BOS SF 38 Ty Lawson DEN PG 39 Anthony Davis NO C 40 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 41 Jeff Teague ATL PG 42 Derrick Favors UTA PF 43 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 44 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 45 Greg Monroe DET PF 46 Roy Hibbert IND C 47 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 48 Paul Millsap ATL PF 49 Tim Duncan SA PF 50 David Lee GS PF 51 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 52 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 53 Bradley Beal WAS SG 54 Goran Dragic PHO PG 55 Klay Thompson GS SG 56 Brook Lopez BKN C 57 Paul Pierce BKN SF 58 Trey Burke UTA PG 59 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 60 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 61 Luol Deng CHI SF 62 Kevin Martin MIN SG 63 Pau Gasol LAK PF 64 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 65 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 66 Chris Bosh MIA C 67 Victor Oladipo ORL SG PLAYER TEAM PS 135 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 136 Emeka Okafor WAS C 137 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 138 Andrew Bogut GS C 139 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 140 Chris Kaman LAK C 141 Brandan Wright DAL C 142 Tristan Thompson CLE PF 143 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 144 Shawn Marion DAL SF 145 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 146 Matt Barnes LAC SF 147 Brandon Bass BOS PF 148 J.J. Redick LAC SG 149 Nene Hilario WAS PF 150 Chase Budinger MIN SF 151 Tiago Splitter SA C 152 Thabo Sefolosha OKC SG 153 Jared Dudley LAC SF 154 Manu Ginobili SA SG 155 Alex Len PHO C 156 Meyers Leonard POR C 157 Wes Johnson LAK SF 158 Iman Shumpert NY SG 159 Tony Allen MEM SG 160 Andre Miller DEN PG 161 Nate Robinson DEN PG 162 Mo Williams POR PG 163 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 164 Robin Lopez POR C 165 Carl Landry SAC PF 166 James Anderson PHI SG 167 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 168 Ramon Sessions CHA PG 169 Samuel Dalembert DAL C 170 Phil Pressey BOS PG 171 J.J. Hickson DEN PF 172 Courtney Lee BOS SG 173 Jerryd Bayless MEM PG 174 Jordan Crawford BOS SG 175 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 176 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 177 Jason Thompson SAC PF 178 C.J. McCollum POR SG 179 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 180 Lance Stephenson IND SG 181 Earl Clark CLE SF 182 Mario Chalmers MIA PG 183 Nerlens Noel PHI C 184 Kris Humphries BOS C 185 Luis Scola IND PF 186 Metta World Peace NY SF 187 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 188 Greg Oden MIA C 189 Kevin Seraphin WAS C 190 Derrick Williams MIN PF 191 Tayshaun Prince MEM SF 192 Dorell Wright POR SF 193 P.J. Tucker PHO SF 194 John Salmons SAC SF 195 Devin Harris DAL PG 196 Beno Udrih NY PG 197 Mike Dunleavy CHI SF 198 Jason Terry BKN SG 199 Austin Rivers NO SG 200 Jason Smith NO C 68 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 69 Zach Randolph MEM PF 70 J.R. Smith NY SG 71 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 72 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 73 David West IND PF 74 Evan Turner PHI SF 75 Danny Green SA SG 76 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 77 Tyreke Evans NO SF 78 Jose Calderon DAL PG 79 Enes Kanter UTA C 80 Steve Nash LAK PG 81 Wilson Chandler DEN SF 82 Raymond Felton NY PG 83 George Hill IND PG 84 Tony Parker SA PG 85 Andrew Bynum CLE C 86 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 87 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 88 Markieff Morris PHO PF 89 Carlos Boozer CHI PF 90 Cody Zeller CHA PF 91 Ryan Anderson NO PF 92 Dion Waiters CLE SG 93 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 94 Wesley Matthews POR SG 95 Brandon Knight MLW PG 96 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 97 Harrison Barnes GS SF 98 Tyson Chandler NY C 99 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 100 Spencer Hawes PHI C 101 Ben McLemore SAC SG 102 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 103 Eric Gordon NO SG 104 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 105 Danny Granger IND SG 106 Anderson Varejao CLE C 107 Amir Johnson TOR PF 108 Moe Harkless ORL SF 109 Joe Johnson BKN SG 110 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 111 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 112 Jamal Crawford LAC SG 113 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 114 Tobias Harris ORL SF 115 Alec Burks UTA SG 116 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 117 John Henson MLW PF 118 Arron Afflalo ORL SG 119 Marcin Gortat PHO C 120 Lou Williams ATL SG 121 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 122 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 123 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 124 Kelly Olynyk BOS C 125 Nick Young LAK SF 126 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 127 Kyle Korver ATL SF 128 Martell Webster WAS SG 129 Omer Asik HOU C 130 JaVale McGee DEN C 131 Otto Porter WAS SF 132 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 133 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 134 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF CHEAT SHEETS POINTS-BASED SCORING SYSTEM PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS
  • 122. 122 NBA Season Preview 1 Kevin Durant OKC SF 2 LeBron James MIA SF 3 James Harden HOU SG 4 Paul George IND SF 5 Stephen Curry GS PG 6 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 7 Chris Paul LAC PG 8 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 9 Derrick Rose CHI PG 10 John Wall WAS PG 11 Kevin Love MIN PF 12 Marc Gasol MEM C 13 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 14 Al Jefferson CHA C 15 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 16 Damian Lillard POR PG 17 Monta Ellis DAL SG 18 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 19 Al Horford ATL C 20 Paul Millsap ATL PF 21 Nicolas Batum POR SF 22 Mike Conley MEM PG 23 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 24 Kemba Walker CHA PG 25 Deron Williams BKN PG 26 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 27 Pau Gasol LAK PF 28 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 29 Brook Lopez BKN C 30 Jeff Green BOS SF 31 Roy Hibbert IND C 32 Brandon Jennings DET PG 33 Joakim Noah CHI C 34 Ty Lawson DEN PG 35 David Lee GS PF 36 Larry Sanders MLW C 37 Tony Parker SA PG 38 Derrick Favors UTA PF 39 Anthony Davis NO C 40 Rudy Gay TOR SF 41 Jeff Teague ATL PG 42 Klay Thompson GS SG 43 Tim Duncan SA PF 44 Greg Monroe DET PF 45 Blake Griffin LAC PF 46 Josh Smith DET SF 47 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 48 Chris Bosh MIA C 49 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 50 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 51 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 52 Andre Iguodala GS SF 53 Dwight Howard HOU C 54 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 55 Kevin Martin MIN SG 56 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 57 Jrue Holiday NO PG 58 Luol Deng CHI SF 59 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 60 Tyreke Evans NO SF 61 Danny Green SA SG 62 Enes Kanter UTA C 63 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 64 Zach Randolph MEM PF 65 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 66 Bradley Beal WAS SG 67 Wilson Chandler DEN SF PLAYER TEAM PS 135 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 136 J.J. Barea MIN PG 137 J.J. Redick LAC SG 138 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 139 Ray Allen MIA SG 140 Lou Williams ATL SG 141 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 142 Manu Ginobili SA SG 143 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 144 Carl Landry SAC PF 145 Luis Scola IND PF 146 Glen Davis ORL PF 147 Samuel Dalembert DAL C 148 Chris Kaman LAK C 149 Elton Brand ATL C 150 Andrew Bogut GS C 151 DeAndre Jordan LAC C 152 Robin Lopez POR C 153 Kelly Olynyk BOS C 154 Brandan Wright DAL C 155 Anderson Varejao CLE C 156 C.J. McCollum POR SG 157 John Henson MLW PF 158 John Salmons SAC SF 159 Jordan Crawford BOS SG 160 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 161 Andre Miller DEN PG 162 Earl Clark CLE SF 163 Omer Asik HOU C 164 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 165 Kyle Korver ATL SF 166 Emeka Okafor WAS C 167 Nene Hilario WAS PF 168 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 169 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 170 Matt Barnes LAC SF 171 Brandon Bass BOS PF 172 Jason Thompson SAC PF 173 Nerlens Noel PHI C 174 Wes Johnson LAK SF 175 Thabo Sefolosha OKC SG 176 Tristan Thompson CLE PF 177 Moe Harkless ORL SF 178 Meyers Leonard POR C 179 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 180 Tony Allen MEM SG 181 Mo Williams POR PG 182 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 183 J.J. Hickson DEN PF 184 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 185 Alex Len PHO C 186 Mario Chalmers MIA PG 187 James Anderson PHI SG 188 P.J. Tucker PHO SF 189 Kris Humphries BOS C 190 Dorell Wright POR SF 191 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 192 Kevin Seraphin WAS C 193 Tayshaun Prince MEM SF 194 Avery Bradley BOS PG 195 Devin Harris DAL PG 196 Patrick Beverley HOU PG 197 Iman Shumpert NY SG 198 Beno Udrih NY PG 199 Jason Smith NO C 200 Greg Oden MIA C 68 George Hill IND PG 69 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 70 Amir Johnson TOR PF 71 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 72 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 73 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 74 Goran Dragic PHO PG 75 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 76 Wesley Matthews POR SG 77 David West IND PF 78 Ryan Anderson NO PF 79 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 80 Jose Calderon DAL PG 81 JaVale McGee DEN C 82 Evan Turner PHI SF 83 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 84 Paul Pierce BKN SF 85 Eric Gordon NO SG 86 Steve Nash LAK PG 87 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 88 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 89 Victor Oladipo ORL SG 90 Andrew Bynum CLE C 91 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 92 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 93 Andre Drummond DET C 94 Raymond Felton NY PG 95 Alec Burks UTA SG 96 Brandon Knight MLW PG 97 Marcin Gortat PHO C 98 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 99 Tyson Chandler NY C 100 Trey Burke UTA PG 101 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 102 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 103 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 104 Courtney Lee BOS SG 105 Tobias Harris ORL SF 106 J.R. Smith NY SG 107 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 108 Carlos Boozer CHI PF 109 Spencer Hawes PHI C 110 Cody Zeller CHA PF 111 Arron Afflalo ORL SG 112 Joe Johnson BKN SG 113 Danny Granger IND SG 114 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 115 Tiago Splitter SA C 116 Harrison Barnes GS SF 117 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 118 Dion Waiters CLE SG 119 Markieff Morris PHO PF 120 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 121 Nate Robinson DEN PG 122 Ben McLemore SAC SG 123 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 124 Jamal Crawford LAC SG 125 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF 126 Otto Porter WAS SF 127 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 128 Shawn Marion DAL SF 129 Jared Dudley LAC SF 130 Metta World Peace NY SF 131 Nick Young LAK SF 132 Vince Carter DAL SF 133 Chase Budinger MIN SF 134 Ramon Sessions CHA PG H2H/ROTO CATEGORY-BASED SCORING SYSTEM PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS
  • 123. 123NBA Season Preview 1 Kevin Durant OKC SF 2 LeBron James MIA SF 3 James Harden HOU SG 4 Paul George IND SF 5 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 6 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 7 Chris Paul LAC PG 8 Stephen Curry GS PG 9 Derrick Rose CHI PG 10 Marc Gasol MEM C 11 Al Jefferson CHA C 12 Kevin Love MIN PF 13 John Wall WAS PG 14 Anthony Davis NO C 15 Damian Lillard POR PG 16 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 17 Nicolas Batum POR SF 18 Ty Lawson DEN PG 19 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 20 Al Horford ATL C 21 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 22 Deron Williams BKN PG 23 Mike Conley MEM PG 24 Paul Millsap ATL PF 25 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 26 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 27 Jeff Green BOS SF 28 Roy Hibbert IND C 29 Josh Smith DET SF 30 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 31 Brook Lopez BKN C 32 Monta Ellis DAL SG 33 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 34 Greg Monroe DET PF 35 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 36 Jrue Holiday NO PG 37 David Lee GS PF 38 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 39 Rudy Gay TOR SF 40 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 41 Chris Bosh MIA C 42 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 43 Joakim Noah CHI C 44 Brandon Jennings DET PG 45 Kemba Walker CHA PG 46 Pau Gasol LAK PF 47 Larry Sanders MLW C 48 Derrick Favors UTA PF 49 Klay Thompson GS SG 50 Blake Griffin LAC PF 51 Dwight Howard HOU C 52 Victor Oladipo ORL SG 53 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 54 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 55 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 56 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 57 Kevin Martin MIN SG 58 Paul Pierce BKN SF 59 Tony Parker SA PG 60 Goran Dragic PHO PG 61 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 62 Enes Kanter UTA C 63 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 64 Andre Iguodala GS SF 65 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 66 George Hill IND PG 67 Andre Drummond DET C PLAYER TEAM PS 135 Anderson Varejao CLE C 136 Patrick Beverley HOU PG 137 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF 138 Chase Budinger MIN SF 139 Martell Webster WAS SG 140 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 141 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 142 Glen Davis ORL PF 143 Carl Landry SAC PF 144 Nene Hilario WAS PF 145 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 146 Omer Asik HOU C 147 J.J. Redick LAC SG 148 Brandan Wright DAL C 149 Emeka Okafor WAS C 150 Meyers Leonard POR C 151 Chris Kaman LAK C 152 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 153 Manu Ginobili SA SG 154 Jason Thompson SAC PF 155 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 156 Matt Barnes LAC SF 157 Mo Williams POR PG 158 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 159 Earl Clark CLE SF 160 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 161 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 162 Ramon Sessions CHA PG 163 Luis Scola IND PF 164 James Anderson PHI SG 165 Nick Young LAK SF 166 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 167 Iman Shumpert NY SG 168 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 169 Giannis Antetokounmpo MLW SF 170 Shawn Marion DAL SF 171 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 172 Brandon Bass BOS PF 173 John Jenkins ATL SG 174 Ian Clark UTA SG 175 Andrew Bogut GS C 176 Trevor Ariza WAS SF 177 Tony Allen MEM SG 178 DeAndre Jordan LAC C 179 Brandon Rush UTA SF 180 Rudy Gobert UTA C 181 Robin Lopez POR C 182 Jason Terry BKN SG 183 J.J. Hickson DEN PF 184 Wes Johnson LAK SF 185 Thomas Robinson POR PF 186 Terrence Jones HOU SF 187 Dwight Buycks TOR PG 188 Brian Roberts NO PG 189 Austin Rivers NO SG 190 Vince Carter DAL SF 191 Jared Dudley LAC SF 192 Khris Middleton MLW SF 193 Shane Larkin DAL PG 194 Samuel Dalembert DAL C 195 Marvin Williams UTA SF 196 Reggie Williams HOU SG 197 Greg Oden MIA C 198 Jerryd Bayless MEM PG 199 Tyler Zeller CLE C 200 Shabazz Muhammad MIN SF 68 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 69 Jeff Teague ATL PG 70 Tim Duncan SA PF 71 Ryan Anderson NO PF 72 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 73 Bradley Beal WAS SG 74 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 75 Danny Green SA SG 76 David West IND PF 77 Trey Burke UTA PG 78 Harrison Barnes GS SF 79 Tyreke Evans NO SF 80 Ben McLemore SAC SG 81 J.R. Smith NY SG 82 Tobias Harris ORL SF 83 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 84 Jose Calderon DAL PG 85 Otto Porter WAS SF 86 JaVale McGee DEN C 87 Cody Zeller CHA PF 88 Markieff Morris PHO PF 89 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 90 Dion Waiters CLE SG 91 Zach Randolph MEM PF 92 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 93 Wesley Matthews POR SG 94 Spencer Hawes PHI C 95 Amir Johnson TOR PF 96 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 97 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 98 Moe Harkless ORL SF 99 Luol Deng CHI SF 100 Alex Len PHO C 101 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 102 Eric Gordon NO SG 103 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 104 Danny Granger IND SG 105 Andrew Bynum CLE C 106 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 107 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 108 Tyson Chandler NY C 109 Raymond Felton NY PG 110 John Henson MLW PF 111 Lou Williams ATL SG 112 Nerlens Noel PHI C 113 Joe Johnson BKN SG 114 Alec Burks UTA SG 115 Kyle Korver ATL SF 116 C.J. McCollum POR SG 117 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 118 Marcin Gortat PHO C 119 Evan Turner PHI SF 120 Brandon Knight MLW PG 121 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 122 Wilson Chandler DEN SF 123 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 124 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 125 Steve Nash LAK PG 126 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 127 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 128 Tiago Splitter SA C 129 Kelly Olynyk BOS C 130 Tristan Thompson CLE PF 131 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 132 Nate Robinson DEN PG 133 Courtney Lee BOS SG 134 Arron Afflalo ORL SG DYNASTY RANKINGS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS
  • 124. 124 NBA Season Preview 1 Stephen Curry GS PG 2 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 3 Chris Paul LAC PG 4 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 5 John Wall WAS PG 6 Derrick Rose CHI PG 7 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 8 Kemba Walker CHA PG 9 Brandon Jennings DET PG 10 Deron Williams BKN PG 11 Jrue Holiday NO PG 12 Damian Lillard POR PG 13 Mike Conley MEM PG 14 Ty Lawson DEN PG 15 Jeff Teague ATL PG PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS POINTS-BASED POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Point Guards PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS POINTS-BASED POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Shooting Guards PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS POINTS-BASED POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Small Forwards POINTS-BASED SCORING SYSTEM 16 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 17 Goran Dragic PHO PG 18 Trey Burke UTA PG 19 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 20 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 21 Jose Calderon DAL PG 22 Steve Nash LAK PG 23 Raymond Felton NY PG 24 George Hill IND PG 25 Tony Parker SA PG 26 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 27 Brandon Knight MLW PG 28 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 29 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 30 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 31 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 32 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 33 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 34 Andre Miller DEN PG 35 Nate Robinson DEN PG 36 Mo Williams POR PG 37 Ramon Sessions CHA PG 38 Phil Pressey BOS PG 39 Jerryd Bayless MEM PG 40 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 41 Mario Chalmers MIA PG 42 Devin Harris DAL PG 43 Beno Udrih NY PG 1 James Harden HOU SG 2 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 3 Monta Ellis DAL SG 4 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 5 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 6 Bradley Beal WAS SG 7 Klay Thompson GS SG 8 Kevin Martin MIN SG 9 Victor Oladipo ORL SG 10 J.R. Smith NY SG 11 Danny Green SA SG 12 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 13 Dion Waiters CLE SG 14 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 15 Wesley Matthews POR SG 16 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 17 Ben McLemore SAC SG 18 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 19 Eric Gordon NO SG 20 Danny Granger IND SG 21 Joe Johnson BKN SG 22 Jamal Crawford LAC SG 23 Alec Burks UTA SG 24 Arron Afflalo ORL SG 25 Lou Williams ATL SG 26 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 27 Martell Webster WAS SG 28 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 29 J.J. Redick LAC SG 30 Thabo Sefolosha OKC SG 31 Manu Ginobili SA SG 32 Iman Shumpert NY SG 33 Tony Allen MEM SG 34 James Anderson PHI SG 35 Courtney Lee BOS SG 36 Jordan Crawford BOS SG 37 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 38 C.J. McCollum POR SG 39 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 40 Lance Stephenson IND SG 41 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 42 Jason Terry BKN SG 43 Austin Rivers NO SG 1 LeBron James MIA SF 2 Kevin Durant OKC SF 3 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 4 Paul George IND SF 5 Josh Smith DET SF 6 Nicolas Batum POR SF 7 Rudy Gay TOR SF 8 Andre Iguodala GS SF 9 Jeff Green BOS SF 10 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 11 Paul Pierce BKN SF 12 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 13 Luol Deng CHI SF 14 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 15 Evan Turner PHI SF 16 Tyreke Evans NO SF 17 Wilson Chandler DEN SF 18 Harrison Barnes GS SF 19 Moe Harkless ORL SF 20 Tobias Harris ORL SF 21 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 22 Nick Young LAK SF 23 Kyle Korver ATL SF 24 Otto Porter WAS SF 25 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 26 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF 27 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 28 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 29 Shawn Marion DAL SF 30 Matt Barnes LAC SF 31 Chase Budinger MIN SF 32 Jared Dudley LAC SF 33 Wes Johnson LAK SF 34 Earl Clark CLE SF 35 Metta World Peace NY SF 36 Tayshaun Prince MEM SF 37 Dorell Wright POR SF 38 P.J. Tucker PHO SF 39 John Salmons SAC SF 40 Mike Dunleavy CHI SF Points Scoring Leagues don’t take into consideration specific categories, for the most part. Your entire team can go a full week without an assist, and it doesn’t matter as long as the players on your team get it done in other areas. Scoring systems vary greatly in points-based leagues, and it’s in this format that Dwight Howard’s poor free throw shooting doesn’t ruin his fantasy value. In fact, he is worth a Top 10 pick in our opinion. An generic example of what a points-scoring system would look like would be to award .5 points for each point scored, 1 point for each rebound, 1 point for each assist, and -1 point for each turnover.
  • 125. 125NBA Season Preview PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS POINTS-BASED POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Power Forwards 1 Kevin Love MIN PF 2 Blake Griffin LAC PF 3 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 4 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 5 Derrick Favors UTA PF 6 Greg Monroe DET PF 7 Paul Millsap ATL PF 8 Tim Duncan SA PF 9 David Lee GS PF 10 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 11 Pau Gasol LAK PF 12 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 13 Zach Randolph MEM PF 14 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 15 David West IND PF 16 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 17 Markieff Morris PHO PF 18 Carlos Boozer CHI PF 19 Cody Zeller CHA PF 20 Ryan Anderson NO PF 21 Amir Johnson TOR PF 22 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 23 John Henson MLW PF 24 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 25 Tristan Thompson CLE PF 26 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 27 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 28 Brandon Bass BOS PF 29 Nene Hilario WAS PF 30 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 31 Carl Landry SAC PF 32 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 33 J.J. Hickson DEN PF 34 Jason Thompson SAC PF 35 Luis Scola IND PF 36 Derrick Williams MIN PF PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS POINTS-BASED POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Ranks Centers 1 Dwight Howard HOU C 2 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 3 Joakim Noah CHI C 4 Al Jefferson CHA C 5 Larry Sanders MLW C 6 Andre Drummond DET C 7 Marc Gasol MEM C 8 Al Horford ATL C 9 Anthony Davis NO C 10 Roy Hibbert IND C 11 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 12 Brook Lopez BKN C 13 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 14 Chris Bosh MIA C 15 Enes Kanter UTA C 16 Andrew Bynum CLE C 17 Tyson Chandler NY C 18 Spencer Hawes PHI C 19 Anderson Varejao CLE C 20 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 21 Marcin Gortat PHO C 22 Kelly Olynyk BOS C 23 Omer Asik HOU C 24 JaVale McGee DEN C 25 Emeka Okafor WAS C 26 Andrew Bogut GS C 27 Chris Kaman LAK C 28 Brandan Wright DAL C 29 Tiago Splitter SA C 30 Alex Len PHO C 31 Meyers Leonard POR C 32 Robin Lopez POR C 33 Samuel Dalembert DAL C 34 Nerlens Noel PHI C 35 Kris Humphries BOS C 36 Greg Oden MIA C 37 Kevin Seraphin WAS C 38 Jason Smith NO C H2H/ROTO CATEGORY-BASED SCORING SYSTEM PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS CATEGORY BASED RANKINGS - Point Guards 1 Stephen Curry GS PG 2 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 3 Chris Paul LAC PG 4 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 5 Derrick Rose CHI PG 6 John Wall WAS PG 7 Damian Lillard POR PG 8 Mike Conley MEM PG 9 Kemba Walker CHA PG 10 Deron Williams BKN PG 11 Brandon Jennings DET PG 12 Ty Lawson DEN PG 13 Tony Parker SA PG 14 Jeff Teague ATL PG 15 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 16 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 17 Jrue Holiday NO PG 18 George Hill IND PG 19 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 20 Goran Dragic PHO PG 21 Jose Calderon DAL PG 22 Steve Nash LAK PG 23 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 24 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 25 Raymond Felton NY PG 26 Brandon Knight MLW PG 27 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 28 Trey Burke UTA PG 29 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 30 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 31 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 32 Nate Robinson DEN PG 33 Ramon Sessions CHA PG 34 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 35 J.J. Barea MIN PG 36 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 37 Andre Miller DEN PG 38 Mo Williams POR PG 39 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 40 Mario Chalmers MIA PG 41 Avery Bradley BOS PG 42 Devin Harris DAL PG 43 Patrick Beverley HOU PG 44 Beno Udrih NY PG Category-based Rankings are set up for how most Yahoo! Leagues are run, using nine scor- ing categories, including turnovers, to come up with a player’s overall value. In this format, a player like Dwight Howard’s value takes a big hit because of the damage he does in free throw percentage and turnovers, not to mention his lack of assists. Use these rankings for H2H and Roto leagues that weigh each scoring category equally.
  • 126. 126 NBA Season Preview PLAYER TEAM PS CATEGORY BASED RANKINGS - Shooting Guards PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS CATEGORY BASED RANKINGS - Small Forwards PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS CATEGORY BASED RANKINGS - Power Forwards 1 James Harden HOU SG 2 Monta Ellis DAL SG 3 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 4 Klay Thompson GS SG 5 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 6 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 7 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 8 Kevin Martin MIN SG 9 Danny Green SA SG 10 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 11 Bradley Beal WAS SG 12 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 13 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 14 Wesley Matthews POR SG 15 Eric Gordon NO SG 16 Victor Oladipo ORL SG 17 Alec Burks UTA SG 18 Courtney Lee BOS SG 19 J.R. Smith NY SG 20 Arron Afflalo ORL SG 21 Joe Johnson BKN SG 22 Danny Granger IND SG 23 Dion Waiters CLE SG 24 Ben McLemore SAC SG 25 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 26 Jamal Crawford LAC SG 27 J.J. Redick LAC SG 28 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 29 Ray Allen MIA SG 30 Lou Williams ATL SG 31 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 32 Manu Ginobili SA SG 33 C.J. McCollum POR SG 34 Jordan Crawford BOS SG 35 Thabo Sefolosha OKC SG 36 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 37 Tony Allen MEM SG 38 James Anderson PHI SG 39 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 40 Iman Shumpert NY SG PLAYER TEAM PSPLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS 31 John Salmons SAC SF 32 Earl Clark CLE SF 33 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 34 Kyle Korver ATL SF 35 Matt Barnes LAC SF 36 Wes Johnson LAK SF 37 Moe Harkless ORL SF 38 P.J. Tucker PHO SF 39 Dorell Wright POR SF 40 Tayshaun Prince MEM SF 16 Evan Turner PHI SF 17 Paul Pierce BKN SF 18 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 19 Tobias Harris ORL SF 20 Harrison Barnes GS SF 21 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 22 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF 23 Otto Porter WAS SF 24 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 25 Shawn Marion DAL SF 26 Jared Dudley LAC SF 27 Metta World Peace NY SF 28 Nick Young LAK SF 29 Vince Carter DAL SF 30 Chase Budinger MIN SF 1 Kevin Durant OKC SF 2 LeBron James MIA SF 3 Paul George IND SF 4 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 5 Nicolas Batum POR SF 6 Jeff Green BOS SF 7 Rudy Gay TOR SF 8 Josh Smith DET SF 9 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 10 Andre Iguodala GS SF 11 Luol Deng CHI SF 12 Tyreke Evans NO SF 13 Wilson Chandler DEN SF 14 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 15 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 1 Kevin Love MIN PF 2 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 3 Paul Millsap ATL PF 4 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 5 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 6 Pau Gasol LAK PF 7 David Lee GS PF 8 Derrick Favors UTA PF 9 Tim Duncan SA PF 10 Greg Monroe DET PF 11 Blake Griffin LAC PF 12 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 13 Zach Randolph MEM PF 14 Amir Johnson TOR PF 15 David West IND PF 16 Ryan Anderson NO PF 17 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 18 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 19 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 20 Carlos Boozer CHI PF 21 Cody Zeller CHA PF 22 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 23 Markieff Morris PHO PF 24 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 25 Carl Landry SAC PF 26 Luis Scola IND PF 27 Glen Davis ORL PF 28 John Henson MLW PF 29 Nene Hilario WAS PF 30 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 31 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 32 Brandon Bass BOS PF 33 Jason Thompson SAC PF 34 Tristan Thompson CLE PF 35 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 36 J.J. Hickson DEN PF
  • 127. 127NBA Season Preview PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS CATEGORY BASED RANKINGS - Centers 1 Marc Gasol MEM C 2 Al Jefferson CHA C 3 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 4 Al Horford ATL C 5 Brook Lopez BKN C 6 Roy Hibbert IND C 7 Joakim Noah CHI C 8 Larry Sanders MLW C 9 Anthony Davis NO C 10 Chris Bosh MIA C 11 Dwight Howard HOU C 12 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 13 Enes Kanter UTA C 14 JaVale McGee DEN C 15 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 16 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 17 Andrew Bynum CLE C 18 Andre Drummond DET C 19 Marcin Gortat PHO C 20 Tyson Chandler NY C 21 Spencer Hawes PHI C 22 Tiago Splitter SA C 23 Samuel Dalembert DAL C 24 Chris Kaman LAK C 25 Elton Brand ATL C 26 Andrew Bogut GS C 27 DeAndre Jordan LAC C 28 Robin Lopez POR C 29 Kelly Olynyk BOS C 30 Brandan Wright DAL C 31 Anderson Varejao CLE C 32 Omer Asik HOU C 33 Emeka Okafor WAS C 34 Nerlens Noel PHI C 35 Meyers Leonard POR C 36 Alex Len PHO C 37 Kris Humphries BOS C 38 Kevin Seraphin WAS C 39 Jason Smith NO C 40 Greg Oden MIA C PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Point Guards 1 Russell Westbrook OKC PG 2 Kyrie Irving CLE PG 3 Chris Paul LAC PG 4 Stephen Curry GS PG 5 Derrick Rose CHI PG 6 John Wall WAS PG 7 Damian Lillard POR PG 8 Ty Lawson DEN PG 9 Deron Williams BKN PG 10 Mike Conley MEM PG 11 Ricky Rubio MIN PG 12 Jrue Holiday NO PG 13 Rajon Rondo BOS PG 14 Brandon Jennings DET PG 15 Kemba Walker CHA PG 16 Tony Parker SA PG 17 Goran Dragic PHO PG 18 Kyle Lowry TOR PG 19 George Hill IND PG 20 Jeff Teague ATL PG 21 Trey Burke UTA PG 22 Jose Calderon DAL PG 23 Isaiah Thomas SAC PG 24 Michael Carter-Williams PHI PG 25 Greivis Vasquez SAC PG 26 Jeremy Lin HOU PG 27 Raymond Felton NY PG 28 Jameer Nelson ORL PG 29 Brandon Knight MLW PG 30 Jarrett Jack CLE PG 31 Steve Nash LAK PG 32 Reggie Jackson OKC PG 33 Nate Robinson DEN PG 34 Patrick Beverley HOU PG 35 Luke Ridnour MLW PG 36 Mo Williams POR PG 37 Dennis Schröder ATL PG 38 Ramon Sessions CHA PG 39 Dwight Buycks TOR PG 40 Brian Roberts NO PG 41 Shane Larkin DAL PG 42 Jerryd Bayless MEM PG DYNASTY RANKINGS PLAYER TEAM PS DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Shooting Guards PLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS 1 James Harden HOU SG 2 Eric Bledsoe PHO SG 3 Monta Ellis DAL SG 4 Dwyane Wade MIA SG 5 Kobe Bryant LAK SG 6 Klay Thompson GS SG 7 Victor Oladipo ORL SG 8 Kevin Martin MIN SG 9 O.J. Mayo MLW SG 10 Bradley Beal WAS SG 11 Jimmy Butler CHI SG 12 Danny Green SA SG 13 Ben McLemore SAC SG 14 J.R. Smith NY SG 15 Dion Waiters CLE SG 16 Gerald Henderson CHA SG 17 Wesley Matthews POR SG 18 Eric Gordon NO SG 19 Danny Granger IND SG 20 Lou Williams ATL SG 21 Joe Johnson BKN SG 22 Alec Burks UTA SG 23 C.J. McCollum POR SG 24 DeMar DeRozan TOR SG 25 Courtney Lee BOS SG 26 Arron Afflalo ORL SG 27 Martell Webster WAS SG 28 Archie Goodwin PHO SG 29 J.J. Redick LAC SG 30 Rodney Stuckey DET SG 31 Manu Ginobili SA SG 32 Marcus Thornton SAC SG 33 James Anderson PHI SG 34 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DET SG 35 Iman Shumpert NY SG 36 Jeremy Lamb OKC SG 37 John Jenkins ATL SG 38 Ian Clark UTA SG 39 Tony Allen MEM SG 40 Jason Terry BKN SG 41 Austin Rivers NO SG 42 Reggie Williams HOU SG Dynasty Rankings should be used for deep keeper leagues, or true dynasty leagues that only draft rookies every year. Younger players are featured more prominently on this list, while the older dogs are generally ranked lower. The online version of the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide allows for customized scoring.
  • 128. 128 NBA Season Preview DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Small Forwards PLAYER TEAM PSPLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS 1 Kevin Durant OKC SF 2 LeBron James MIA SF 3 Paul George IND SF 4 Carmelo Anthony NY SF 5 Nicolas Batum POR SF 6 Jeff Green BOS SF 7 Josh Smith DET SF 8 Kawhi Leonard SA SF 9 Rudy Gay TOR SF 10 Gordon Hayward UTA SF 11 Paul Pierce BKN SF 12 Andre Iguodala GS SF 13 Chandler Parsons HOU SF 14 Harrison Barnes GS SF 15 Tyreke Evans NO SF 16 Tobias Harris ORL SF 17 Otto Porter WAS SF 18 Moe Harkless ORL SF 19 Luol Deng CHI SF 20 Danilo Gallinari DEN SF 21 Kyle Korver ATL SF 22 Evan Turner PHI SF 23 Wilson Chandler DEN SF 24 Gerald Wallace BOS SF 25 Carlos Delfino MLW SF 26 Andrei Kirilenko BKN SF 27 Chase Budinger MIN SF 28 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA SF 29 Matt Barnes LAC SF 30 Earl Clark CLE SF 31 Nick Young LAK SF 32 Giannis Antetokounmpo MLW SF 33 Shawn Marion DAL SF 34 Trevor Ariza WAS SF 35 Brandon Rush UTA SF 36 Wes Johnson LAK SF 37 Terrence Jones HOU SF 38 Vince Carter DAL SF 39 Jared Dudley LAC SF 40 Khris Middleton MLW SF 41 Marvin Williams UTA SF 42 Shabazz Muhammad MIN SF PLAYER TEAM PSPLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS 25 Andrea Bargnani NY PF 26 Glen Davis ORL PF 27 Carl Landry SAC PF 28 Nene Hilario WAS PF 29 Arnett Moultrie PHI PF 30 Jason Thompson SAC PF 31 Amare Stoudemire NY PF 32 Luis Scola IND PF 33 Jared Sullinger BOS PF 34 Brandon Bass BOS PF 35 J.J. Hickson DEN PF 36 Thomas Robinson POR PF DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Power Forwards 1 Kevin Love MIN PF 2 Serge Ibaka OKC PF 3 LaMarcus Aldridge POR PF 4 Paul Millsap ATL PF 5 Greg Monroe DET PF 6 David Lee GS PF 7 Pau Gasol LAK PF 8 Derrick Favors UTA PF 9 Blake Griffin LAC PF 10 Dirk Nowitzki DAL PF 11 Ersan Ilyasova MLW PF 12 Thaddeus Young PHI PF 13 Kenneth Faried DEN PF 14 Tim Duncan SA PF 15 Ryan Anderson NO PF 16 David West IND PF 17 Anthony Bennett CLE PF 18 Cody Zeller CHA PF 19 Markieff Morris PHO PF 20 Zach Randolph MEM PF 21 Amir Johnson TOR PF 22 Kevin Garnett BKN PF 23 John Henson MLW PF 24 Tristan Thompson CLE PF DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKINGS - Centers PLAYER TEAM PSPLAYER TEAM PS PLAYER TEAM PS 1 Marc Gasol MEM C 2 Al Jefferson CHA C 3 Anthony Davis NO C 4 Al Horford ATL C 5 DeMarcus Cousins SAC C 6 Roy Hibbert IND C 7 Brook Lopez BKN C 8 Jonas Valanciunas TOR C 9 Chris Bosh MIA C 10 Joakim Noah CHI C 11 Larry Sanders MLW C 12 Dwight Howard HOU C 13 Enes Kanter UTA C 14 Andre Drummond DET C 15 Nikola Vucevic ORL C 16 JaVale McGee DEN C 17 Spencer Hawes PHI C 18 Nikola Pekovic MIN C 19 Alex Len PHO C 20 Andrew Bynum CLE C 21 Tyson Chandler NY C 22 Nerlens Noel PHI C 23 Marcin Gortat