Impact of wind power on power system operation - Presentation Transcript
Impact of Wind Energy on Power System Operation Joris Soens web-event Leonardo ENERGY 16 February 2006 Katholieke Universiteit Leuven Faculteit Ingenieurswetenschappen Departement Elektrotechniek (ESAT) Afdeling ELECTA
Presentation Outline
Introduction: wind power in Belgium, state of the art
installed power, turbine types
interaction with power grid
Dynamic modelling of wind power generators
Aggregated wind power in the Belgian control area
hourly time series
value of wind power
Conclusions
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
I. Wind power, state of the art
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Levels of installed wind power in Europe Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions Installed [MW] end 2003 New [MW] 2004 Installed [MW] end 2004 Germany 14.609 2.037 16.629 Spain 6.203 2.065 8.263 Denmark 3.115 9 3.117 ... Netherlands 910 197 1.078 ... Belgium 68 28 95 (> 160 in 2005) Europe (EU25) 28.568 5.703 34.205
Control options for wind turbines
Speed control
fixed speed
variable speed limited range
variable speed wide range
Reactive power control
Blade angle & active power control
fixed blade
pitchable blade
Yaw control
highly dependent on generator type Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
grid controlled wind turbine grid dispatch & control wind speed injected current voltage at turbine node reference P and Q controlled grid parameters Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model with doubly fed induction generator v wind u turb q ref p ref i turb Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation examples
step-wise wind speed increase
voltage dip at turbine generator
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example I (1) simulation input: step-wise increasing wind speed wind speed at hub height 400 600 800 1000 1200 1600 1800 2000 10 20 [m/s] time [s] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example I (2) 400 600 800 1000 1200 1600 1800 2000 time [s] 0,5 1 power [p.u.] variable speed & pitch control fixed speed & pitch control fixed speed & no pitch control turbine power for increasing wind speed Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example I (3) 400 600 800 1000 1200 1600 1800 2000 time [s] 0,5 1 speed [p.u.] turbine speed for increasing wind speed variable speed turbine constant speed turbine Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example I (4) zoom on turbine speed variable speed: propeller speed variable speed: generator speed fixed speed: propeller speed fixed speed: generator speed 995 1000 1005 1010 1015 1020 1025 0.95 1 1,05 time [s] speed [p.u.] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example II (1) 1000 1001 1002 voltage at turbine generator 0.4 0.6 1 [p.u.] 0.8 0.2 time [s] simulation input: voltage dip at turbine generator Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example II (2) 1000 1005 1010 1015 time [s] 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 speed [p.u.] propeller speed generator speed propeller and generator speed during voltage dip, for fixed-speed turbine with induction generator Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Detailed turbine model: simulation example II (3) propeller and generator speed during voltage dip, for variable-speed turbine with doubly fed induction generator 1000 1005 1010 1015 time [s] 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 speed [p.u.] propeller speed generator speed Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Dynamic turbine model: conclusions
Detailed model allows
examination of interaction between turbine and grid
electrical & mechanical quantities
good understanding of turbine behaviour
thorough insight in mechanical and electrical behaviour of turbine/grid
simulation of ‘heavy’ transients
help to set up connection requirements
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
III. Aggregated wind power in the Belgian control area Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Wind power in Belgium 95 MW wind power in total installed by end of 2004 (onshore) One offshore wind farm (216 - 300 MW) permitted and near construction phase (start construction soon) Legal supporting framework for offshore wind farms ‘established’ in January 2005 Best wind resources are offshore or in the west part (near shore) Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
High voltage grid in Belgium Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions 150 kV 220 kV 400 kV
Aggregated wind power in the Belgian control area
Time series of aggregated wind power
Value of aggregated wind power
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Time series for aggregated wind power
Research project ELIA - ELECTA
Research goal
estimation of hourly fluctuation of aggregated wind power in Belgium
Use
estimation of need for regulating power
estimation of value of wind power
Available data
Wind speed measurements at three sites in Belgium
Scenarios for future installed wind power
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Available wind speed data Wind speed data from meteo-stations Ostend, Brussels, Elsenborn Three-year period (2001 – 2003), hourly resolution Anemometer height: 10 m Complementary to data from European Wind Atlas (turbulence, landscape roughness…) Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Available wind speed data Ostend 140 km Brussels 110 km Elsenborn 60 km 140 km prevailing wind direction Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Scenarios for installed wind turbines
Turbine type parameters:
power curve
hub height
Developed algorithm allows arbitrary number of types
In following application: two turbine types
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Scenario I Evenly distributed Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Scenario II Concentrated Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Scenario III One offshore farm Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Scenario IV Scen. II + Scen. III Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Algorithm output: aggregated wind power time series Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Quantization of power fluctuations: power transition matrices
Number of occurrences that a power value in hour H is in given range
As a function of power value in hour H – 1, H – 4….
Example: H vs. H-1 matrix for Scenario 1
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
H vs. H-1 matrices for all scenarios Scenario I Scenario II Scenario III Scenario IV Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Value of aggregated wind power
Possible indicators for value of wind power
Capacity factor
Capacity credit
Potential reduction of CO 2 -emission by total power generation park in Belgium
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Capacity factor
Calculated for separate turbine or for aggregated park
Most important parameter for turbine exploiters, when money income ~ produced energy
capacity factor = annual energy production [MWh] installed power [MW] x 8760 [h] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions Scenario capacity factor [%] equivalent full-load hours I 20 1752 II 26 2278 III 31 2715 IV 29 2540
Capacity credit: definition
reliable capacity
amount of installed capacity in a power system, available with given reliability to cover the total power demand
loss of load probability (LOLP)
probability that total power demand exceeds the reliable capacity
capacity credit of wind power
Amount of conventional power generation plants that can be replaced by a given level of wind power, without increase of the LOLP
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Capacity credit: calculation H( 0 ) = LOLP = 4 h/year Assumption: probability that Total power demand > (reliable capacity + D MW ) Impact of additional power generator (park), with production probability p( P plant ) Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
LOLP graphical Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions 0 500 4 3 2 1 0 D (Demand not served) [MW] [hour/year] = 30 Q peak = 13.5 GW H(0) = 4 h/year LOLP H (D )
Capacity credit graphical 0 500 4 3 2 1 0 D (Demand not served) [MW] H (D ) & H 2 (D) Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions [hour/year]
Absolute capacity credit for wind power in Belgium 1000 2000 3000 4000 0 100 200 300 400 5000 Installed wind power [MW] Capacity credit [MW] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Shortcomings of capacity factor/credit as value indicator
Moment of energy production?
Instantaneous demand for electrical energy?
Energy production in next time sample?
True value indicator must reflect difference of a chosen paramater, between case with and without wind power
This requires
Knowledge of entire power system
Dynamic simulation of entire power system
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Dynamic simulation of entire power system (1)
Simulation tool PROMIX (‘Production Mix’)
Input data:
Parameters for all power plants in control area
Power range
Costs of start-up and continuous operation
Time for start-up and power regulation
Fuel consumption, gas emissions... for various operating regimes
Time series of aggregated load in control area (resolution: 1 hour)
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Dynamic simulation of entire power system (2)
Output:
Optimal power generation pattern for every hour
Fuel consumption, emissions, costs... for every plant & hour
Integrating wind power time series in input data
As equivalent reduction of aggregated load
For large values: ‘reliable’ wind power required
Results: CO 2 -emission abatement for various levels of installed wind power
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Relative annual abatement of CO 2 -emission Scenario I 5 10 15 20 0 2 4 6 8 Installed wind power [% of peak demand] CO 2 emission abatement [% of reference case] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Relative annual abatement of CO 2 -emission 5 10 15 20 0 2 4 6 8 Installed wind power [% of peak demand] Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions Scenario III CO 2 emission abatement [% of reference case]
Conclusions Value of wind power
Capacity factor: 20 - 31 % (spreading)
Capacity credit: 30 -10 % (installed power)
CO 2 emission abatement:
Optimum: 4% reduction for installed wind power equal to 5% of peak demand ( = 700 MW)
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
IV. Conclusions
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Conclusions (1)
Technical challenges for wind power integration are identified
Dynamic models are developed
responding to needs of quantifying higher electrical & mechanical demands towards wind turbines
detailed dynamic models, assessing all mechanical/electrical quantities
simplified dynamic models, allowing rough estimates of wind power absorption potential at busbar
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Hourly fluctuations of aggregated wind power in Belgium are quantified
Value of wind power in Belgium assessed with three indicators
Capacity factor
Capacity credit
Abatement of CO 2 -emission by total power generation park
> 700 MW installed power: wind power ≠ negative load
Conclusions (2) Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions
Recommendations for further research
Accurate wind speed forecasting
Integrating forecast updates in implementation of electricity market
Electricity storage
Demand side management
Impact of wind power on European border-crossing power flows
Introduction Dynamic Modelling Aggregated Wind Power Conclusions Impact of wind energy in a future power grid Ph.D Joris Soens – 15 december 2005, K.U.Leuven http://hdl.handle.net/1979/161
This presentation is based on a thesis which invest more
This presentation is based on a thesis which investigated on various levels the technical impact of wind power on the operation of the electrical power system.
First, the state of the art of actual wind turbines is briefly reviewed.
Then, the importance of specific ‘grid connection requirements’ is explained. These requirements are generally a set of technical demands that wind turbines have to comply with in order not to cause instability of the electrical power grid. This issue has gained importance since the fast increase of installed wind power in some European countries, e.g. Denmark, Germany and Spain. Whether a wind turbine complies with these technical requirements or not can be examined using detailed dynamic models of wind turbines. This is pointed out in this dissertation.
In a next part, all wind power production units in one control zone (i.e. a zone where one power system operator controls the transmission system) are hypothetically considered together as one power plant. The value of this aggregated wind power production is discussed, using three different value indicators: 1) the capacity factor, 2) the capacity credit, and 3) the abatement of carbon dioxide emissions by the other power plants in the regarded control zone. This final value indicator highly depends on the grid considered. The value of wind power is worked out for the specific case of the Belgium, for various scenarios of wind power that can be installed in the future. less
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