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DIRECT
INVESTMENT
OPPORTUNITIES
OF THE IMP
POLISH STOCK MARKET


                      W. LATOCHA
SOME THEORY FIRST
CROSS LISTING OF SHARES
when a firm lists its equity shares on one or more
foreign stock exchange in addition to its domestic
exchange

 Primary listing – on a stock exchange in the country
  of incorporation
 Secondary listing – on a stock exchange of the
  other country

Common for companies that started out in a small
market but but grew into a larger market
WHY WOULD A COMPANY DO THAT?

 To
   reduce the cost of capital through an
 improvement of the firm’s information
 environment

 Toincrease domestic shares liquidity by the
 „bonding” process

 Tosignal their quality to outside contractors
 by showing them ability to adopt foreign
 regulations
DOES IT WORK?

Doidge, Karolyi, Stulz (2004):
„companies with a cross-listing in
the US have a higher valuation that
non-listed corporations”

It applies especially for firms with
high growth opportunities.
CROSS-LISTING
  INFRASTRUCTURE
        =
AMERICAN DEPOSITARY
      RECEIPT
American depositary receipt is a
negotiable security that represents the
underlying securities…


    SOUNDS FAMILIAR?

… of a non-U.S. company that trades in
the U.S. financial markets
ADRS FEATURES

 Denominated    in US dollars
 Pay   dividends in US dollars
 May   be traded like domiciled
 companies stock
 Ratio
RATIO
Example:
 Swiss ADR Tissot, with a ratio of 10:1, was priced
  $24.86
 In Zurich, its home exchange, Tissot was traded at
  379 Swiss Francs.
 The Dollar/Franc Exchange rate is 1.526

Now we can calculate:
 Multiply the price in Dollar with the ratio (10):
  24.86 * 10 = $248.6. It means that ten ADRs equal
  one share of Tissot and cost $248.6
 Multiply this Dollar-amount with the exchange rate:
  $248.6 x 1.526 = SFR 379.59
 The ADR has been valued fair
TYPES OF ADRS

1.    Unsponsored

 Issued     in accordance with market demand

 Foreign     company has no formal with a
     depositary bank

 Often     issued by more than one depositary
     bank

 About     50% of all ADR programs
2.    Sponsored Level I
 Company       has one designated depositary
     who also acts as its transfer agent
 The    most convenient way for foreign
     company to have its equity traded in the US
 Shares      can be only traded on the OTC
     market
 Foreign     company must publish in English on
     its website its annual report
3.    Sponsored Level II

 Shares       can be listed on the US stock exchange

 Company        must file a registration statement in SEC

 Company        is required to follow US GAAP standards
     or IFRS

4.    Sponsored Level III

 It’s   issuing shares to raise capital

 Requirements       as above plus more frequent
     reporting
5. Privately placed
 Under SEC rule 144A



6. Offshore
 Traded in the US stock markets

 Cannot be held by any „US Person”
HOW TO
(TECHNICALLY)
TRADE THEM?
2 WAYS
1. On a stock exchange
 Sponsored Level II
 Sponsored Level III
 Privately placed (Portal Market)
 Offshore


2. (croosbook) SWAP
 Unsponsored
 Sponsored Level I
UNSPONSORED


                      PLN

         DEPOSITARY         CUSTODIAN   50 pcs
            BANK              BANK
          50 (USD)    $      50 (PLN)
50 pcs
SPONSORED LEVEL I
    50 pcs



                                   STOCK

                      DEPOSITARY
                         BANK       $
                      ADRs POOL
50 pcs




             50 pcs
LET'S GET DOWN TO THE
BUSINESS!
THE OVERVIEW OF LISTED
                       INSTRUMENTS
                            # of                            # of
      sector                          Sponsorship
                       instruments                     instruments
Finance                    13        Sponsored             16
Mutual Funds                7        Unsponsored           22
Energy Minerals             5        Restricted
                                                            7
Industrial Services         5        Programs
Non-energy materials        4
Telecommunication           3                               # of
                                     Depositary Bank
Technology Services         3                          instruments
Consumer services           2        BNY Mellon            36
Healthcare                  1        Deutsche Bank         3
Process Industries          1        144A                  6
SELECTED COMPANIES’
PROFILES
DATA MINER




For updates email me anytime:
 wojciech.latocha@gmail.com
„POLISH OIL AND
                       GAS CO”

Core activity covers:
 exploration and production of natural gas
 and crude oil at home and abroad
 geological & geophysical services
 import, storage, trade and distribution of
 gas and liquid fuels
 maintenance and expansion of its
 distribution system
Polskie Górnictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo is the
largest Polish oil and gas exploration and production
company.


       INTERNATIONAL PEER GROUP
PGNIG’S INFRASTRUCTURE /
               RESOURCES
 107 thousand kilometers of gas pipelines
covers primarily industrialized and
 urbanized areas of the country
 natural gas and petroleum are produced
 in 67 mines
 the size of oil and gas resources are
 estimated at 768.8 million boe, while
 annual production is 30.1 billion boe
9000 employess
STOCK DATA HIGHLIGHT
              Last Trade          3.90 (October 12)
              Day's Range         3.89 - 3.97
              Turnover            36,120,281
              Previous            3.92
              Change              -0.02 (-0.51%)
              1 Year Change       8.64%
              Market Cap          23,010.00ml
              Volume              9,202,680
              52-week High        4.64 ()
              52-week Low         3.45 ()
              Last dividend       0.06 (Oct 06)

   All values given in Polish Zloty.
Indicator   P/BV   P/E    P/S
  Value     0,96   8,34   1,04
SELECTED FINANCIALS
STRENGHTS
The biggest gas company in
 Poland
Loyal customers (6.5 mln)
Governmental support (Treasury
 owns 72% of its shares)
Law environment allowing for
 shale gas mining
WEAKNESSES

Revenues   depend on external
 factors on which company has no
 impact
OPPORTUNITIES

Discovery of the gas field in
Poland that is an equal size as the
largest European gas fields at the
North Sea
In practice it means a gas
independence from Russia
THREATS
 3Legs Resources, UK company,
 received an access to shale gas by six
 exploration licences in the area of th
 Baltic Sea and three near Cracow

 Strongcompetition in the field of oil
 processing: 2 huge corporations
 winning the most of recent auctions
THE LAST TEN
     RECOMMENDATIONS

 Buy      8
 Sell     1
 Hold     1
Asseco Group was in the top ten in the ranking of "top 100
European Software Vendors" (published by Truffle Capital in
2010)
Core activities:
 company develops and implements a centralized,
  comprehensive information systems for the banking sector
 company's offer is now directed also to the energy
  industry, telecommunications, healthcare, local
  government, agriculture and the uniformed services and
  international organizations and institutions such as NATO
  or the EU
Total number of employees: 13 500

         INTERNATIONAL PEER GROUP
STOCK DATA HIGHLIGHT
              Last Trade          46.40
              Day's Range         44.12 - 46.40
              Turnover            4,077,488
              Previous            45.19
              Change              1.21 (2.68%)
              1 Year Change       -12.37%
              Market Cap          3,599.04ml
              Volume              90,364
              52-week High        56.45 ()
              52-week Low         35.45 ()
              Last dividend       1.8 (Jun 01)

   All values given in Polish Zloty.
Indicator   P/BV   P/E    P/S
  Value     0.56   5.48   0.87
SELECTED FINANCIALS
STRENGHTS
   International diversification
       Asseco Central Europe (Czech Republic, Slovakia,
        Hungary)
       Asseco South Eastern Europe (the Balkans, Turkey)
       Asseco DACH (Germany, Austria and Switzerland)
       Asseco South Western Europe (France, Italy, Spain
        and Portugal)
       Asseco Northern Europe (Scandinavia and the Baltic
        states)

   International recognition
WEAKNESSES

Revenues heavily depend
on the current economic
situation
BUT… OPPORTUNITIES
    8th of October – Asseco received a contract
    from Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego to custom
    software developement

   6th of October – Asseco received contract from
    Uniwersytet Kardynała Stefana Wyszynskiego w
    Warszawie to computer equipment and supplies

    5th of October – Asseco/BRE Bank consortium
    files best bid for regional public services card
    system for the Slaskie region
THREATS
The other Polish ADR’s
sponsor…
Sygnity – takes over the most of
contracts with healthcare
companies
THE LAST TEN
     RECOMMENDATIONS

 Buy      8
 Sell     0
 Hold     2
THANK
YOU

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Direct Investment Opportunities of The IMP

  • 3. CROSS LISTING OF SHARES when a firm lists its equity shares on one or more foreign stock exchange in addition to its domestic exchange  Primary listing – on a stock exchange in the country of incorporation  Secondary listing – on a stock exchange of the other country Common for companies that started out in a small market but but grew into a larger market
  • 4. WHY WOULD A COMPANY DO THAT?  To reduce the cost of capital through an improvement of the firm’s information environment  Toincrease domestic shares liquidity by the „bonding” process  Tosignal their quality to outside contractors by showing them ability to adopt foreign regulations
  • 5. DOES IT WORK? Doidge, Karolyi, Stulz (2004): „companies with a cross-listing in the US have a higher valuation that non-listed corporations” It applies especially for firms with high growth opportunities.
  • 6. CROSS-LISTING INFRASTRUCTURE = AMERICAN DEPOSITARY RECEIPT
  • 7. American depositary receipt is a negotiable security that represents the underlying securities… SOUNDS FAMILIAR? … of a non-U.S. company that trades in the U.S. financial markets
  • 8. ADRS FEATURES  Denominated in US dollars  Pay dividends in US dollars  May be traded like domiciled companies stock  Ratio
  • 9. RATIO Example:  Swiss ADR Tissot, with a ratio of 10:1, was priced $24.86  In Zurich, its home exchange, Tissot was traded at 379 Swiss Francs.  The Dollar/Franc Exchange rate is 1.526 Now we can calculate:  Multiply the price in Dollar with the ratio (10): 24.86 * 10 = $248.6. It means that ten ADRs equal one share of Tissot and cost $248.6  Multiply this Dollar-amount with the exchange rate: $248.6 x 1.526 = SFR 379.59  The ADR has been valued fair
  • 10. TYPES OF ADRS 1. Unsponsored  Issued in accordance with market demand  Foreign company has no formal with a depositary bank  Often issued by more than one depositary bank  About 50% of all ADR programs
  • 11. 2. Sponsored Level I  Company has one designated depositary who also acts as its transfer agent  The most convenient way for foreign company to have its equity traded in the US  Shares can be only traded on the OTC market  Foreign company must publish in English on its website its annual report
  • 12. 3. Sponsored Level II  Shares can be listed on the US stock exchange  Company must file a registration statement in SEC  Company is required to follow US GAAP standards or IFRS 4. Sponsored Level III  It’s issuing shares to raise capital  Requirements as above plus more frequent reporting
  • 13. 5. Privately placed  Under SEC rule 144A 6. Offshore  Traded in the US stock markets  Cannot be held by any „US Person”
  • 15. 2 WAYS 1. On a stock exchange  Sponsored Level II  Sponsored Level III  Privately placed (Portal Market)  Offshore 2. (croosbook) SWAP  Unsponsored  Sponsored Level I
  • 16. UNSPONSORED PLN DEPOSITARY CUSTODIAN 50 pcs BANK BANK 50 (USD) $ 50 (PLN) 50 pcs
  • 17. SPONSORED LEVEL I 50 pcs STOCK DEPOSITARY BANK $ ADRs POOL 50 pcs 50 pcs
  • 18. LET'S GET DOWN TO THE BUSINESS!
  • 19.
  • 20. THE OVERVIEW OF LISTED INSTRUMENTS # of # of sector Sponsorship instruments instruments Finance 13 Sponsored 16 Mutual Funds 7 Unsponsored 22 Energy Minerals 5 Restricted 7 Industrial Services 5 Programs Non-energy materials 4 Telecommunication 3 # of Depositary Bank Technology Services 3 instruments Consumer services 2 BNY Mellon 36 Healthcare 1 Deutsche Bank 3 Process Industries 1 144A 6
  • 22. DATA MINER For updates email me anytime: wojciech.latocha@gmail.com
  • 23. „POLISH OIL AND GAS CO” Core activity covers:  exploration and production of natural gas and crude oil at home and abroad  geological & geophysical services  import, storage, trade and distribution of gas and liquid fuels  maintenance and expansion of its distribution system
  • 24. Polskie Górnictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo is the largest Polish oil and gas exploration and production company. INTERNATIONAL PEER GROUP
  • 25. PGNIG’S INFRASTRUCTURE / RESOURCES  107 thousand kilometers of gas pipelines covers primarily industrialized and urbanized areas of the country  natural gas and petroleum are produced in 67 mines  the size of oil and gas resources are estimated at 768.8 million boe, while annual production is 30.1 billion boe 9000 employess
  • 26. STOCK DATA HIGHLIGHT  Last Trade 3.90 (October 12)  Day's Range 3.89 - 3.97  Turnover 36,120,281  Previous 3.92  Change -0.02 (-0.51%)  1 Year Change 8.64%  Market Cap 23,010.00ml  Volume 9,202,680  52-week High 4.64 ()  52-week Low 3.45 ()  Last dividend 0.06 (Oct 06) All values given in Polish Zloty.
  • 27. Indicator P/BV P/E P/S Value 0,96 8,34 1,04
  • 29. STRENGHTS The biggest gas company in Poland Loyal customers (6.5 mln) Governmental support (Treasury owns 72% of its shares) Law environment allowing for shale gas mining
  • 30. WEAKNESSES Revenues depend on external factors on which company has no impact
  • 31. OPPORTUNITIES Discovery of the gas field in Poland that is an equal size as the largest European gas fields at the North Sea In practice it means a gas independence from Russia
  • 32. THREATS  3Legs Resources, UK company, received an access to shale gas by six exploration licences in the area of th Baltic Sea and three near Cracow  Strongcompetition in the field of oil processing: 2 huge corporations winning the most of recent auctions
  • 33. THE LAST TEN RECOMMENDATIONS  Buy 8  Sell 1  Hold 1
  • 34. Asseco Group was in the top ten in the ranking of "top 100 European Software Vendors" (published by Truffle Capital in 2010) Core activities:  company develops and implements a centralized, comprehensive information systems for the banking sector  company's offer is now directed also to the energy industry, telecommunications, healthcare, local government, agriculture and the uniformed services and international organizations and institutions such as NATO or the EU
  • 35. Total number of employees: 13 500 INTERNATIONAL PEER GROUP
  • 36. STOCK DATA HIGHLIGHT  Last Trade 46.40  Day's Range 44.12 - 46.40  Turnover 4,077,488  Previous 45.19  Change 1.21 (2.68%)  1 Year Change -12.37%  Market Cap 3,599.04ml  Volume 90,364  52-week High 56.45 ()  52-week Low 35.45 ()  Last dividend 1.8 (Jun 01) All values given in Polish Zloty.
  • 37. Indicator P/BV P/E P/S Value 0.56 5.48 0.87
  • 39. STRENGHTS  International diversification  Asseco Central Europe (Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary)  Asseco South Eastern Europe (the Balkans, Turkey)  Asseco DACH (Germany, Austria and Switzerland)  Asseco South Western Europe (France, Italy, Spain and Portugal)  Asseco Northern Europe (Scandinavia and the Baltic states)  International recognition
  • 40. WEAKNESSES Revenues heavily depend on the current economic situation
  • 41. BUT… OPPORTUNITIES  8th of October – Asseco received a contract from Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego to custom software developement  6th of October – Asseco received contract from Uniwersytet Kardynała Stefana Wyszynskiego w Warszawie to computer equipment and supplies  5th of October – Asseco/BRE Bank consortium files best bid for regional public services card system for the Slaskie region
  • 42. THREATS The other Polish ADR’s sponsor… Sygnity – takes over the most of contracts with healthcare companies
  • 43. THE LAST TEN RECOMMENDATIONS  Buy 8  Sell 0  Hold 2