Telecommunications and Media Forum John Kneuer
The End of History and the Last Man <ul><li>“ What we may be witnessing  is not just the end  of the Cold War, or the pass...
The End of Regulation and the Last Mile <ul><li>The arrival of wireless broadband services from multiple providers using m...
Processing Speeds: “Is that the Internet in your pocket or are you just glad to see me?” <ul><li>Apple iPhone – Samsung  S...
Bandwidth: Technology Competition is Driving Broadband to “Everywhere” <ul><li>TDMA, CDMA, OFDM </li></ul><ul><li>Long Ter...
Is 4G the Third Pipe? The Sixth? <ul><li>xDSL to Fiber -- >100MBs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1-2 Consumer Carriers/Market </li>...
When you hear hoofbeats, think “horse” not “zebra.” <ul><li>Commercial Wireless Services (Part 20) </li></ul><ul><li>Perso...
Markets v. Regulation: Open Access <ul><li>Internet on your handheld (EVDO) </li></ul><ul><li>Internet on your laptop (EVD...
Net Neutrality? <ul><li>Four Principles </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Consumers are entitled to access  lawful  content of their c...
Challenges for the next Administration <ul><li>Universal Service Reform </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Expand to include Broadband?...
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A Seismic Shift in Communications: The End of Regulation and the Last Mile

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Discusses the likely upheavals in the regulatory framework of communications particularly in the access networks required for future networks

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  • A Seismic Shift in Communications: The End of Regulation and the Last Mile

    1. 1. Telecommunications and Media Forum John Kneuer
    2. 2. The End of History and the Last Man <ul><li>“ What we may be witnessing is not just the end of the Cold War, or the passing of a particular period of post-war history, but the end of history as such: that is the end of point of mankind’s ideological evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government.” </li></ul><ul><li>-- Francis Fukuyama, “The End of History?” 1989 </li></ul>
    3. 3. The End of Regulation and the Last Mile <ul><li>The arrival of wireless broadband services from multiple providers using multiple technology platforms marks the end of the “last mile” bottle neck, and so the end of the need for traditional economic regulation of telecommunications . </li></ul>
    4. 4. Processing Speeds: “Is that the Internet in your pocket or are you just glad to see me?” <ul><li>Apple iPhone – Samsung S5L 8900 </li></ul><ul><li>Intel – Atom processors “PC-like capabilities, an uncompromised Internet Experience and long battery life in smaller devices that can fit in your pocket.” </li></ul><ul><li>Qualcomm SnapDragon – 1Ghz processor </li></ul>
    5. 5. Bandwidth: Technology Competition is Driving Broadband to “Everywhere” <ul><li>TDMA, CDMA, OFDM </li></ul><ul><li>Long Term Evolution -- >100MBs </li></ul><ul><li>WiMax -- ~70MBs </li></ul><ul><li>UMB (Qualcomm) -- >100MBs </li></ul>
    6. 6. Is 4G the Third Pipe? The Sixth? <ul><li>xDSL to Fiber -- >100MBs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1-2 Consumer Carriers/Market </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Cable to DOCSIS 3 -- >100MBs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1-2 Carriers/Market </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Fixed and Mobile Wireless 3G to 4G + -- >100MBs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>3-4+ Carriers/Market </li></ul></ul>
    7. 7. When you hear hoofbeats, think “horse” not “zebra.” <ul><li>Commercial Wireless Services (Part 20) </li></ul><ul><li>Personal Communications Services (Part 24) </li></ul><ul><li>Radio Broadcast Services (Part 73) </li></ul><ul><li>Interconnected Voice over Internet Protocol Services (Part 9) </li></ul><ul><li>Multi-Channel Video and Cable TV Services (Part 76) </li></ul><ul><li>Information Service v. Telecommunications Service </li></ul>
    8. 8. Markets v. Regulation: Open Access <ul><li>Internet on your handheld (EVDO) </li></ul><ul><li>Internet on your laptop (EVDO) </li></ul><ul><li>2 Services, 1 Network </li></ul>
    9. 9. Net Neutrality? <ul><li>Four Principles </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Consumers are entitled to access lawful content of their choice. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Consumers are entitles to run applications and use services of their choice ( subject to the needs of law enforcement ). </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Consumers are entitled to connect their choice of legal devices that don’t harm the network . </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Consumers are entitled to competition among network providers, application and service providers, and content providers. </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Legislation? </li></ul>
    10. 10. Challenges for the next Administration <ul><li>Universal Service Reform </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Expand to include Broadband? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Reform first or expansion? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Net Neutrality </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Fairness Doctrine? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Spectrum </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Licensed v. Unlicensed </li></ul></ul>
    11. 11. Thank you. Questions?
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