IIC – Telecommunications & Media Forum Washington, D.C. Tuesday, December 1, 2009 Beyond Recession – Visions for Broadband...
Where are we heading? <ul><li>Global Ubiquitous Mobile Broadband </li></ul><ul><li>HSPA Plus followed by LTE </li></ul><ul...
Policy Implications <ul><li>Planned Rural Broadband Initiatives in Canada and US are probably already Obsolete. </li></ul>...
Mobile Broadband will compete with Fixed Broadband
Broadband Metrics <ul><li>Will become even more complicated. </li></ul><ul><li>Wireline broadband – should be measured per...
Wireless Penetration <ul><li>Canadian Wireless penetration is one of the lowest in the OECD – 68%. </li></ul><ul><li>But w...
Broadband Speed <ul><li>OECD samples advertized speeds and again Canada does poorly. </li></ul><ul><li>The selection of se...
Conclusion <ul><li>Sound policy should be based on sound metrics. </li></ul>
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Beyond recession - visions for broadband

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Beyond recession - visions for broadband

  1. 1. IIC – Telecommunications & Media Forum Washington, D.C. Tuesday, December 1, 2009 Beyond Recession – Visions for Broadband Communications Post 2010 Kenneth Engelhart Senior Vice President - Regulatory
  2. 2. Where are we heading? <ul><li>Global Ubiquitous Mobile Broadband </li></ul><ul><li>HSPA Plus followed by LTE </li></ul><ul><li>In Canada, 3 National Carriers offering 21 Mps service </li></ul><ul><li>Not WiFi, probably not WiMax </li></ul>
  3. 3. Policy Implications <ul><li>Planned Rural Broadband Initiatives in Canada and US are probably already Obsolete. </li></ul><ul><li>Broadband Competition </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Not Just DSL vs. Cable </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Now 1, 2, 3 or 4 more mobile wireless competitors </li></ul></ul></ul>
  4. 4. Mobile Broadband will compete with Fixed Broadband
  5. 5. Broadband Metrics <ul><li>Will become even more complicated. </li></ul><ul><li>Wireline broadband – should be measured per household, not per pop. </li></ul><ul><li>Canada has “sunk” from #2 in the world to #10 based on population. </li></ul><ul><li>But we are also #5 in the world based on household penetration. </li></ul><ul><li>Many policy conclusions in Canada are based on erroneous population metric. </li></ul>
  6. 6. Wireless Penetration <ul><li>Canadian Wireless penetration is one of the lowest in the OECD – 68%. </li></ul><ul><li>But what does a 200% penetration rate mean? </li></ul><ul><li>According to Merrill Lynch, Canada is eighth best in the world on MOU/capita – a better measure of wireless usages. </li></ul>
  7. 7. Broadband Speed <ul><li>OECD samples advertized speeds and again Canada does poorly. </li></ul><ul><li>The selection of services is a bit of a mystery. </li></ul><ul><li>No weighting of the advertized speeds. </li></ul><ul><li>Akamai is a much better measure – speeds customers actually receive, gathered in a random, unbiased way. </li></ul><ul><li>Canada is eighth best among OECD countries in % of customers at 5 Mbps or greater. </li></ul>
  8. 8. Conclusion <ul><li>Sound policy should be based on sound metrics. </li></ul>

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