The Future: Frankenbooks, Social<br />Collaboration and Learning on Steroids<br />Stephen Abram, MLS<br />Emerging Technology Forum @ Geelong<br />May 17, 2011<br />
Economic<br />Change <br />and <br />Challenges<br />These slides are available at Stephen’s Lighthouse blog<br />
We Only Get So Many Once-in-a-Lifetime Chances To Do Great Things<br />
Welcome<br />Questions for Today:<br />Is this the end of libraries as we know them?<br />Whither learning, community, support?<br />What is actually changing?<br />Do people still value the book? <br />Where is all this change taking us?<br />What is the role for librarians and all types of libraries in our info-future?<br />
Physical access and basic reading evolves to intellectual access with new competencies</li></li></ul><li>Skip to the End: Why listen to me?<br /><ul><li>School libraries raise standardized test scores 15-25%!
School library / Public library partnerships increase scores 5% plus!
Libraries and information content and technology leadership are critical to Higher Ed
Communities with libraries as an investment receive very high ROI – average 650%!
There are more libraries than McDonalds & Starbucks combined with better distribution and staffing models for government services</li></li></ul><li>Grocery Stores<br />
5 Things have Changed . . A LOT! <br />Cardholders, Users, Members, Patrons, Clients, Customers, Learners, Students, Scholars, Researchers, Teachers, Professors<br />Books & Media & Collections<br />Mobility<br />Learning & Research<br />Government<br />The History of Unintended Consequences & Unpredictability<br />
“Strategy is a Choice. . .<br />To be a victim and feel these changes are fated and blamestorm<br />OR<br />Create the future we need and take collective responsibility for the conversation and development of the future.”<br />Find Reasons not Excuses.<br />
Mobile data usage is growing beyond youth very quickly, workplace use is huge </li></li></ul><li>We often believe a lot that isn’t true.<br />What We Never Really Knew Before (US/Canada)<br /><ul><li>27% of our users are under 18.
What are the<br />good and bad<br />things about<br />e-books?<br />
Library Goals<br />Be the Bee<br />Or Be the Hive.<br />Care.<br />
Strategic Thinking for Libraries<br />Choosing a Future<br />Setting Phased Priorities<br />Making Choices<br />Taking Action<br />Doing the Next Step<br />Adjusting Tactics with Experience<br />Seeking Feedback and Adjusting<br />Measuring Progress<br />
Choosing Top Priorities <br /><ul><li>Suppose that in three years:
Majority of library use will be virtual – yes even rural! And especially academic courses.
Majority of Non-fiction Book circulation will be e-books and Fiction will split 50/50 – digital/print