Assessing macroseismic data reliability through
Rough Set Theory:
application on Vulture area
(Basilicata, southern Italy)...
PLAN
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data on
Seismic events
Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data
and Rough Setand Rough Set
Results andResults and
d...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
INCREASE
KNOWLEDGE
ABOUT
EAR...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
How to assess reliability?
R...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
ContextofResearch
Historical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
ContextofResearch
Melfi
Rion...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
dossier cataloguing
usage: p...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
dossier cataloguing
usage: p...
Historical data onHistorical data on
Seismic eventsSeismic events
Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data
and Rough Setand Ro...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
costs of reconstruction
work...
Building “x2”Building “x1”
After the earthquake, x1 and x2
present same characteristics
They are indiscernible
jiji xxxbxb...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
# of
buildings
# of analysed...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subs...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subs...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subs...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
# of
buildings
# of analysed...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
# of
buildings
# of analysed...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
DECISIONRULES
Historical dat...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
# of
Rules
# of Exact
Rules
...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
EXAMPLE: Rule 13
IF “impcont...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
INTERPRETATION
ONLY FOR
Rapo...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
INTERPRETATION
Historical da...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
# of
analysed
buildings
# of...
Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
Historical data onHistorical...
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Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture Area (Basilicata, Southern Italy)

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Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture Area (Basilicata, Southern Italy), presented @KES IDT 2010, Baltimore, 28-30 July 2010.
Work by Fabrizio Gizzi, Nicola Masini, Maria Danese, Cinzia Zotta, Maria Rosaria Potenza, Beniamino Murgante, Lucia Tilio

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Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture Area (Basilicata, Southern Italy)

  1. 1. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area (Basilicata, southern Italy) Intelligent Decision Technologies and Intelligent Interactive Multimedia Systems and Services 2010 International Conferences Fabrizio Gizzi, Nicola Masini, Maria Rosaria Potenza, Cinzia Zotta Archaeological and Monumental Heritage Institute, National Research Council lucia.tilio@unibas.it Lucia Tilio, Maria Danese, Beniamino Murgante Laboratory of Urban and Territorial Systems, University of Basilicata
  2. 2. PLAN Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area
  3. 3. Historical data on Seismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area INCREASE KNOWLEDGE ABOUT EARTHQUAKES AND VULNERABLE AREAS HISTORICAL DATAHISTORICAL DATA CONTRIBUTIONCONTRIBUTION
  4. 4. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area INCREASE KNOWLEDGE ABOUT EARTHQUAKES AND VULNERABLE AREAS HISTORICAL DATAHISTORICAL DATA CONTRIBUTIONCONTRIBUTION Historical data are reliable? BUT…BUT… Historical data on Seismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  5. 5. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area How to assess reliability? ROUGH SET APPROACH!! To tackle imprecise, vague and uncertain knowledge Historical data on Seismic events Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set
  6. 6. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area ContextofResearch Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works
  7. 7. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area ContextofResearch Melfi Rionero in Vulture Rapolla Ripacandida San Fele Macroseismic intensity VIII – IX MCS Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works
  8. 8. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works
  9. 9. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area dossier cataloguing usage: public, religious… costs of reconstruction works duration of reconstruction works real estate values of buildings owners annual income description of reconstruction interventions damage classification according EMS Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works
  10. 10. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area dossier cataloguing usage: public, religious… costs of reconstruction works duration of reconstruction works real estate values of buildings owners annual income description of reconstruction interventions damage classification according EMS Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works Which relationship between damage and reconstruction?
  11. 11. Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works Laboratory of Intelligent Decision Support Systems Institute of Computing Science Poznan
  12. 12. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area costs of reconstruction works duration of reconstruction works description of reconstruction interventions damage classification according EMS Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case of Vulture area Further worksFurther works
  13. 13. Building “x2”Building “x1” After the earthquake, x1 and x2 present same characteristics They are indiscernible jiji xxxbxb ,)()( →=if are indiscernible [ ] [ ] )()( , BIndjBIndi xx they belong to indiscernibility relation and they can be noted as: Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  14. 14. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area # of buildings # of analysed buildings Quality of classification Number of Atoms Number of Reducts # Attributes in Core Melfi 2256 1190 0.4538 557 1 4 Rapolla 728 316 0.7057 235 1 7 Rionero 3373 1213 0.4361 585 1 4 Ripacandida 754 374 0.7406 279 1 7 San Fele 1200 175 0.7371 75 1 5 Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  15. 15. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area ,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subset of U, U Set X Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  16. 16. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area ,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subset of U, U Set X U LOWER APPROXIMATION Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  17. 17. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area ,UX ⊂Let us consider X, subset of U, U Set X U U UPPER APPROXIMATION LOWER APPROXIMATION Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  18. 18. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area # of buildings # of analysed buildings Quality of classification Number of Atoms Number of Reducts # Attributes in Core Melfi 2256 1190 0.4538 557 1 4 Rapolla 728 316 0.7057 235 1 7 Rionero 3373 1213 0.4361 585 1 4 Ripacandida 754 374 0.7406 279 1 7 San Fele 1200 175 0.7371 75 1 5 Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  19. 19. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area # of buildings # of analysed buildings Quality of classification Number of Atoms Number of Reducts # Attributes in Core Melfi 2256 1190 0.4538 557 1 4 Rapolla 728 316 0.7057 235 1 7 Rionero 3373 1213 0.4361 585 1 4 Ripacandida 754 374 0.7406 279 1 7 San Fele 1200 175 0.7371 75 1 5 Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  20. 20. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  21. 21. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area DECISIONRULES Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  22. 22. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area # of Rules # of Exact Rules # of Approximate Rules Melfi 299 207 63 Rapolla 111 99 12 Rionero 340 252 88 Ripacandida 99 89 10 San Fele 37 31 6 DECISIONRULES Decision Variable: DAMAGE classification Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  23. 23. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic data and Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  24. 24. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area EXAMPLE: Rule 13 IF “impcont<3” AND “imprev<3” AND “valimm<4”… THEN “danno_ems=d2” EXAMPLE: Rule 40 IF “valimm<1” AND “intcopertu in [0, dem/ric]” AND “scucicuci=si” AND “demsolai=0” AND “durlav<28”THEN “danno_ems=d2” Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  25. 25. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area INTERPRETATION ONLY FOR Rapolla, Ripacandida What does it mean DISCREPANCY? Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  26. 26. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works INTERPRETATION
  27. 27. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area INTERPRETATION Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  28. 28. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  29. 29. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  30. 30. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area # of analysed buildings # of buildings with rules discrepancy # of building with damage overestimation # of building with damage underestimation # # % # % # % Rapolla 316 66 20% 49 15% 17 5% Ripacandida 374 9 2% 2 05% 7 1,5% Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results and discussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further worksFurther works
  31. 31. Assessing macroseismic data reliability through Rough Set Theory: application on Vulture area Historical data onHistorical data on Seismic eventsSeismic events Macro seismic dataMacro seismic data and Rough Setand Rough Set Results andResults and discussiondiscussion The case ofThe case of Vulture areaVulture area Further works

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