Session 3 - The changing shape of Scottish Trade - Jonathan Slow

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  • 1. The Changing Face of Scottish Trade Jonathan Slow Scottish Development International The Scottish Government
  • 2. Summary • Scottish Exports have grown • But growth has not been steady • Major sectoral change has take place • Geographic composition has remained broadly similar • The Global Connections Survey has assisted policy focus The Scottish Government Source: The Scottish Government
  • 3. The Global Connections Survey • Annual voluntary business export survey • Covers all sectors in Scotland • Covered by National Statistics guidelines • Provides estimates of sales to Rest of World and Rest of UK • Provides destination information The Scottish Government Source: The Scottish Government
  • 4. International Growth 2002-2011 The Scottish Government Source: GCS 2011 14,430 13,280 12,405 11,525 11,555 12,225 13,190 12,750 13,540 14,675 19,495 18,695 18,270 17,860 18,530 19,450 21,250 21,570 22,350 23,915 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturing Total Exports
  • 5. Sectoral Changes 2002-2011 The Scottish Government Source: GCS 2011 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Services Production & Construction Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing
  • 6. Top 5 Sectors 2002-2011 The Scottish Government Source: GCS 2011 2002 2011 Ranking Sector Est. Sales(£m) 1 Computers/Electronic/Optical 5,570 2 Food & Drink 2,345 of which whisky& other distilling 1,860 3 Chemicals/Coke Manufacture 2,020 4 Machinery& Other Equipment 1,020 5 Wholesale/Retail Trade 930 Ranking Sector Est. Sales (£m) 1 Food & Drink 4,205 of which whisky & other distilling 3,530 2 Chemicals/Coke Manufacture 3,670 3 Computers/Electronic/Optical 1,430 4 Financial Services 1,415 5 Legal/Business Services 1,390
  • 7. Market Changes 2002-2011 The Scottish Government Source: GCS 2011 2002 2011 Ranking Destination Est. Sales (£m) 1 USA 2,145 2 Netherlands 1,865 3 France 1,785 4 Germany 1,785 5 Italy 935 6 Eire 845 7 Spain 820 8 Belgium 670 9 Sweden 615 10 Norway 560 Ranking Destination Est. Sales (£m) 1 USA 3,525 2 Netherlands 2,665 3 France 1,935 4 Germany 1,365 5 Belgium 980 6 Eire 780 7 Norway 765 8 Spain 710 9 Switzerland 640 10 Italy 610
  • 8. Evidence Informing Policy • Used in developing sector strategies • Understanding barriers to doing more international activity • Assessment of company requirements • Used in developing market strategies •Driving an approach to increased international engagement The Scottish Government Source: GCS 2011