Health Index:The Health of Nigerians                   StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
According to UNICEF; Life expectancy of Nigerians at birth (years) in2010 was 51. Falls short of Ghana’s (59.6); Malaysia’...
Methodology of Study:JAMB 2011 and 2012 data will be used foranalysis; with application for Medicine & Surgeryas subject o...
Medicine & Surgery as Course of Study2011: Medicine & Surgery Applicants                                                  ...
Medicine & Surgery as Course of Study 2012: Medicine & Surgery Applicants Institution     UNN     OAU     UNILORIN      UN...
Total Applicants             No.      Year                       Total Count             1        2011                    ...
JAMB Application and Admission ratio (2000 – 2007)  Application  FACULTY              2000     2002        2003      2005 ...
Case Study – Application : Admission ratio    No.   Institution    Year   Applicants   Admitted   % of Admitted     1    U...
Recommended Doctors : Patient ratio The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends 1:600 Doctor-Patient ratio. Nigeria is ...
Conclusion: Over 100,000 qualified applicants show interest in  studying Medicine & Surgery yearly, less than 5% are  off...
From all indication, the onus lies on the  Government – Federal, State and Local.  Funding Education appropriately wouldin...
Data source:- The World Economic Forum https://www.weforum.org/- Lagos Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Economic  Plannin...
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The health of nigerians doctors

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The Health of the Nation is greatly determined by the number of People willing to study Medical courses and also practice as soon as certified fit. In this study; Applicant's for Medicine & Surgery are analysed to know if Interest is part of the shortfall of Nigeria ranking least among the Healthy Nations. JAMB 2011 & 2012 data was used in this analysis.

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The health of nigerians doctors

  1. 1. Health Index:The Health of Nigerians StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
  2. 2. According to UNICEF; Life expectancy of Nigerians at birth (years) in2010 was 51. Falls short of Ghana’s (59.6); Malaysia’s (74.2); Brazil’s(72.5); Saudi Arabia’s (70.9), and misery-prone Haiti’s (59.1).World Economic Forum in its Global Competitive Index ranks Nigeria140 of 142 countries in Health and Primary Education. Thisstatistically implies there are less healthy people in Nigeriacompared to the rest of the World.The health of the Citizens determines greatly the Wealth of theNation. How can we explain this if the governing class seek medicalattention abroad while the governed are left to their fate?Do we have fewer people showing interest in studying Medicalcourses or it is just one of those gray areas of governance (likePower – Electricity) that the dividend of democracy is yet to come tobare for the masses?This study is undertaken to reveal the root cause of the present stateof Nigeria health sector using JAMB 2012 applicants’ choices.
  3. 3. Methodology of Study:JAMB 2011 and 2012 data will be used foranalysis; with application for Medicine & Surgeryas subject of focus. Admission data from someschools will also be used to calculate statistics ofinterest as itemized below:- How much interest is shown by Applicant’s to study Medicine & Surgery?- What is the of Application to Admission ratio / % ?- What is the estimate Doctors to Patients ratio?
  4. 4. Medicine & Surgery as Course of Study2011: Medicine & Surgery Applicants Owner Total Federal 15 Private 4 State 16Institution ABU OAU UNN UNILAG UNIBEN UNIPORT UI UNILORIN UNICAL NAU UNIMAID UDUS Count 12,273 8,674 8,549 7,949 7,821 7,614 7,107 6,516 5,158 4,426 4,270 4,088Institution BAYERO UNIJOS UNIUYO LAUTECH DELSU AAUA UNAD BSU NDU KSA ABSU UNIABUJA Count 4,057 3,774 3,147 2,766 2,341 1,763 1,734 1,448 1,273 1,232 1,108 819Institution EVANS EBSU OSUN LASU OOU ESUTECH GSU MADONNA BOWEN BINGHAM IGBINEDON Count 817 775 738 735 404 351 274 202 195 85 47
  5. 5. Medicine & Surgery as Course of Study 2012: Medicine & Surgery Applicants Institution UNN OAU UNILORIN UNIBEN UNILAG UI ABU NAU UNICAL UDU UNIJOS BAYERO Count 10,131 9,184 8,694 7,932 7,878 7,628 6,773 5,914 5,535 4,871 4,270 4,244Institution UNIUYO UNIPORT EVANS DELSU UNIMAID LAUTECH NDU ABSU KSU UNIABUJA BSU UNAD Count 3,861 3,625 2,858 2,642 2,566 2,281 2,104 1,801 1,590 1,533 1,271 1,241Institution AAUA OSUN EBSU LASU OOU ESUTECH ANSU MADONNA BOWEN IGBINEDION AFE Count 1,137 880 773 668 607 562 312 308 271 75 17
  6. 6. Total Applicants No. Year Total Count 1 2011 114,530 2 2012 116,037With a population of approximately 158,000,000 (2011)and 160,000,000 (2012), assuming all that applied to studyMedicine & Surgery were admitted: No. Year Total Count Doctor: Patient 1 2011 114,530 1 : 1380 2 2012 116,037 1 : 1379 *In reality, an extrapolated population figure of Nigeria in 7years time should be used with this JAMB figures – more so that Nigeria education system is unpredictable
  7. 7. JAMB Application and Admission ratio (2000 – 2007) Application FACULTY 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 Medical Sciences 73,388 150,679 170,813 161,755 146,306 165,693 Total applicants 416,381 994,380 1,132,392 916,371 803,472 911,653 Admission FACULTY 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 Medical Sciences 3,862 3,844 7,225 5,071 6,066 7,138 Total admitted 45,766 51,845 105,401 77,085 88,524 107,370 % of Medical Sciences Admitted FACULTY 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 Medical Sciences 5.26 2.55 4.23 3.13 4.15 4.31 Medical Sciences comprises of courses such as Dental Surgery, Nursing, Optometry, Physiology, Pharmacy, Radiography, Pharmacology, etc. Medicine & Surgery remains the most sought-after. Nevertheless, the number of candidates admitted is a great distance from expected doctors fit to cater for the health challenges of Nigerians.
  8. 8. Case Study – Application : Admission ratio No. Institution Year Applicants Admitted % of Admitted 1 UNILAG 2011 7,949 258 3.25% 2 BAYERO 2011 4,057 114 2.81% 3 UNN 2011 8,549 141 1.65% On the average less than 4% of applicants are admitted to study Medicine & surgery yearly. By extrapolation; 4% of total applicants: No. Year Total Count 4% of Applicants 1 2011 114,530 4,581 2 2012 116,037 4,641This implies less than 5,000 applicants are admitted yearly inthe whole of Nigerian universities to study Medicine & Surgery
  9. 9. Recommended Doctors : Patient ratio The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends 1:600 Doctor-Patient ratio. Nigeria is estimated to currently be on about 1:3500, Doctor-Patient ratio. Recent strike by Doctors working under the Lagos State government has put the above Doctor-Patient ratio to question. See the data below: Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2012 Doctors 307 375 468 645 806 875 788 Lagos Bureau of Statistics ,Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget (2010) Lagos state is the most populated state and the commercial hub of Nigeria; with 788 Doctors for 18million people (beside Doctors working in private establishments), Doctor-Patient ratio is 1:22,843 If Lagos state goes by these figures, Imagine other less developed States!
  10. 10. Conclusion: Over 100,000 qualified applicants show interest in studying Medicine & Surgery yearly, less than 5% are offered admission Not all that are enrolled eventually graduate as Doctors Some who graduated never practiced, so less medical doctors who graduate actually practice as Doctors Universities cannot admit more than certain quota based on NUC policy This is often due to lack of infrastructures in our Universities The government spend less on Education, same with the Health sector More Nigerian Doctors travel abroad to work because of better work environment and remuneration Doctors go on strike like normal employees!!!
  11. 11. From all indication, the onus lies on the Government – Federal, State and Local. Funding Education appropriately wouldincrease the number of applicants admitted to study Medicine & Surgery which will alsoincrease the number of Medical Graduates as well as reduce the Doctor-Patient ratio. Good health is basic to survival!
  12. 12. Data source:- The World Economic Forum https://www.weforum.org/- Lagos Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget (2010)Freely share, freely use and freely acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah Analysis by: Wale Micaiah e: walegate@yahoo.com m: 08078001800 b: walemicaiah.blog.com w. www.statisense.info StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
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