GCF2011: Wim Elfrink ,Cisco Services
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  • The IMF predicts that by 2015 Saudi Arabia’s GDP (by PPP) will make it, at 833.5 bn, the 21 st largest economy in the world beating Netherlands and Argentina © 2009, Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Presentation_ID.scr
  • According to a 2010 BCG report, there are 717 emerging-market cities with populations of more than 500,000 and another 371 such cities will reach this size by 2030. There are only 240 cities of equal size in the developed world today. The infrastructure investment in these cities is forecast at $30 trillion to $40 trillion cumulatively over the next 20 years. One-third of the world’s population – 2.6 billion – live in emerging-market cities – they already drive more than 60% of world GDP growth. By 2030 this number will increase by another 1.3 billion. In contrast cities in developed markets will add only 100 million new residents in the next 20 years. © 2009, Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Presentation_ID.scr
  • © 2009, Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Presentation_ID.scr
  • I was at the G20 Summit in Seoul that took place in November last year where Korean President Lee Myung-bak invited more than 100 CEOs to present a report on the Need For Sustainable And Balanced Growth to world leaders. For me, technology can play a huge role. I see Technology as an enabler to drive sustainability / Cisco as a horizontal player across all verticals to drive innovations / social virtualization – any services, any time, seamlessly. In parts of the world today, people have access to technology before they have access to quality water and electricity Cisco estimates that the number of devices connected to the Internet in 2020 could potentially reach 1 trillion - driven by sensors on buildings, smart meters, livestock, even your toilet can be connected providing you with a daily health update. This will enable huge productivity gains in the developed markets especially and create new services

Transcript

  • 1. Wim Elfrink Chief Globalisation Officer Executive Vice President, Cisco Services The Network As The Platform to Drive Sustainability
  • 2. The World is Changing… Massive Economic Rebalancing The World’s Top 10 Economies Source: World Bank/Angus Maddison. The World Economy: Historical Statistics; World Bank; IMF 1820 China 28.7% India 16.0% France 5.4% U.K. 5.2% Prussia 4.9% Japan 3.1% Austria 1.9% Spain 1.9% U.S. 1.8% Russia 1.7% 1999 U.S. 30.0% Japan 14.5% Germany 6.6% U.K. 4.7% France 4.7% Italy 3.8% China 3.8% Spain 2.0% Canada 2.1% Mexico 1.6% 2009 U.S. 24.3% Japan 8.7% China 8.6% Germany 5.7% France 4.6% U.K. 3.7% Italy 3.6% Brazil 2.7% Spain 2.5% Canada 2.3% 2050 China 32.7% U.S. 17.8% India 17.4% Brazil 5.3% Mexico 4.3% Russia 4.0% Indonesia 3.2% Japan 3.1% U.K. 2.4% Germany 2.3%
  • 3. The World is Changing… The World is Changing… Major Demographic Shifts Source: World Population Prospects: 2008, World Urbanization Prospects: 2009, United Nations Population Division; BCG Aging Shrinking Hypergrowth 700M urbanized worldwide - Next 10 years … 100 New 1M+ Cities by 2025 More than 50% of Saudi Arabia is under 25 By 2050, the population will grow by 66% Saudi Arabia is 82% urbanized… … will be 85% by 2025 and 90% by 2050 500,000+ population: 717 emerging-market cities today… additional 371 by 2030 Stimulus packages worldwide - urban revitalization. $30 - $40 trillion infrastructure spend in emerging markets - Next 20 years 3 B People Connected to the Internet - Next 10 years
  • 4. Future Competition is between Cities “ International competition is now increasingly based on cities, and clusters instead of individually…this will help accelerate the concerted development of cities and rural areas…” Cui Gong Hao, Professor, Urban and Regional Planning, Nanjing University, China “ This is the Urban Century.” Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General, United Nations “ The strategic and economic policies of the 20th century are obsolete and it is time to find new ones.” Council on Foreign Relations, February 2010 “ Technology has become the engine of globalisation.” World Bank
  • 5. Technology’s Role in Sustained & Balanced Growth 2004 2010 2020 2015 2005 300 Million Devices Enable Productivity Create New Services Environmentally Friendly
  • 6. Transportation Real Estate Sports & Entertainment Government Utilities Education Healthcare Safety & Security SUSTAINABILITY Social Environmental Economic Running a Community, Village, City, Country, the World on Networked Information
  • 7. Imagine the Possibilities for Citizens of the Future Economic, Social and Environmental Services
  • 8. What Are the Benefits? $1 / Doctor Visit $1 Month / Student Energy Savings  50% Traffic  20% Water  80% In the Next Decade Crime Rates  20%
  • 9. What Will it Take? Visionary Leadership Global Open Standards Smart Regulation Private Public Partnerships New Ecosystem
  • 10. The Industrialization of the Internet The Internet of Things 2011 2013 2009 1997 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 Productivity 1% 5% 2% 3% 4% Business Consumer Industrial Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 The Network as the Platform
  • 11. What Will Be Next? 14 yrs old First TV 20 yrs old First Cell Phone 30 yrs old 40 yrs old First Plane Ride First VPN Connection 50 yrs old First TelePresence
  • 12.