Smart Governance
Complexity and the Megacity
Prof. Dr. Helmut Willke
Zeppelin University
Friedrichshafen, Germany
Agenda
1.
2.
3.
4.

Governing complex systems
Coping with uncertainty
Building competencies
Achieving resilience
Part 1

GOVERNING COMPLEX SYSTEMS
Trivial system

input

Linear
Serial
Computable

output

4
Complex system
Self-reference

Who am I?
Cognition pattern

System memory

What is my
interest?

Identity

5
Why interventions fail
Surface

surface

Rationality 1

Intervention 1
Explanation 1

Deep-

Explanation 2

Intervention X...
Models of governing complex systems

Control and cohesion

Hierarchy
Apathy from below

Guided autonomy
Decentral coordina...
Part 2

COPING WITH UNCERTAINTY
Types of complexity

Source: [Snowden, 2004 #2544]: 144
Complexity: Network of twitter-conversations (1 hour)

10
Quelle: http://blog.socialflow.com/post/7120243870/audience-stud...
Knowns and unknowns

11
Risk interconnection map 2009

Source:
WEF 2009: 6
Levels of pre-intervention inquiry
Surface
1.Order
observing

Deep structure

Deep structure

2. Order
observing

Complex
...
Part 3

BUILDING COMPETENCIES
Architecture of knowledge
Data
Basic
Coded
Operati Observatio
ns
on
Numbers

Restrictexts
tions

pictures

challen
ge

inn...
Economic complexity index: the product space
computer

garments

aircrraft
chemicals
machinery

construction

Source: Haus...
Economic complexity index: Poland

Source: Hausmann, Ricardo, and Cesar et al Hidalgo. 2011. The Atlas of Economic Complex...
Part 4

RESILIENCE
The concept of resilience
Resilience is not about responding to a one-time crisis.
It is not about rebounding from a setb...
RESILIENCE IN CHILDREN

20
Systemic resilience
Systemic
intelligence

Learning
Organization

Systemic
resilience
Systemic
management

21
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prof. Helmut Wilke, Zeppelin Universität, “Inteligentne zarządzanie w praktyce”

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prof. Helmut Wilke, Zeppelin Universität, “Inteligentne zarządzanie w praktyce”

  1. 1. Smart Governance Complexity and the Megacity Prof. Dr. Helmut Willke Zeppelin University Friedrichshafen, Germany
  2. 2. Agenda 1. 2. 3. 4. Governing complex systems Coping with uncertainty Building competencies Achieving resilience
  3. 3. Part 1 GOVERNING COMPLEX SYSTEMS
  4. 4. Trivial system input Linear Serial Computable output 4
  5. 5. Complex system Self-reference Who am I? Cognition pattern System memory What is my interest? Identity 5
  6. 6. Why interventions fail Surface surface Rationality 1 Intervention 1 Explanation 1 Deep- Explanation 2 Intervention X Explanation Z Effect 1 structure Effect Y 6
  7. 7. Models of governing complex systems Control and cohesion Hierarchy Apathy from below Guided autonomy Decentral coordination Alliances and PPPs Hybrid Flat hierarchies Contextual guidance Matrix organization Active Network Lacking compliance Hybrid Market Indivdualistic syndrome Involvement and autonomy
  8. 8. Part 2 COPING WITH UNCERTAINTY
  9. 9. Types of complexity Source: [Snowden, 2004 #2544]: 144
  10. 10. Complexity: Network of twitter-conversations (1 hour) 10 Quelle: http://blog.socialflow.com/post/7120243870/audience-study
  11. 11. Knowns and unknowns 11
  12. 12. Risk interconnection map 2009 Source: WEF 2009: 6
  13. 13. Levels of pre-intervention inquiry Surface 1.Order observing Deep structure Deep structure 2. Order observing Complex causation Paradigm level Paradigm level Paradigm level What are we talking about? What is the system? What is driving the system?
  14. 14. Part 3 BUILDING COMPETENCIES
  15. 15. Architecture of knowledge Data Basic Coded Operati Observatio ns on Numbers Restrictexts tions pictures challen ge innovative hybrid forms Information Knowledge Capabilities Systemicly relevant data Information embedded in fields of practice Patterns of knowledge composing action fields Information is system specific Community of practice Time for practice Information transfer Knowledge sharing Specialization Differentiation
  16. 16. Economic complexity index: the product space computer garments aircrraft chemicals machinery construction Source: Hausmann, Ricardo, and Cesar et al Hidalgo. 2011. The Atlas of Economic Complexity: 45
  17. 17. Economic complexity index: Poland Source: Hausmann, Ricardo, and Cesar et al Hidalgo. 2011. The Atlas of Economic Complexity: 280
  18. 18. Part 4 RESILIENCE
  19. 19. The concept of resilience Resilience is not about responding to a one-time crisis. It is not about rebounding from a setback. It is about continuously anticipating - and adjusting to - ongoing contextual transformations. Resilience means the capacity to change before the case for change becomes desperate. Source: Hamel/Välikangas 2003
  20. 20. RESILIENCE IN CHILDREN 20
  21. 21. Systemic resilience Systemic intelligence Learning Organization Systemic resilience Systemic management 21
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