A presentation conducted by Professor Ram Pendyala, Transport Systems, School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Ira A. Fulton Schools of Engineering, Arizona State University, United States of America. Presented on Tuesday the 1st of October 2013
Rapidly evolving vehicular technologies, including the advent of driverless and connected vehicles, are likely to have far-reaching implications on the design, development, provision, and financing of infrastructure in the future.
There is widespread interest in and debate on the possible impacts that autonomous vehicles will have on people’s activity travel patterns, location choices, vehicle ownership, and use of time. At the same time, ubiquitous mobile technologies and rapidly evolving communication systems
have provided the ability to access information any time anywhere, and to obtain instantaneous feedback on the
financial, temporal, energy, carbon, and health impacts of the full range of travel choices that may be exercised by users of the transport infrastructure. The gradual penetration of driverless and connected vehicles into households and business fleets over a period of time will necessitate the adaptation of existing infrastructure
to deal with a mixed fleet of autonomous and manually controlled vehicles on the transition to a fully automated transportation system. This presentation focuses on the
scenarios that may play out on the path to transport automation and the implications of the different scenarios on the design and provision of infrastructure. The presentation will draw a distinction among various emerging vehicular technologies, consider market penetration scenarios, identify the range of behavioral choices and outcomes that may result from the ownership of such vehicles, and assess the sustainability implications of emerging vehicles. While driverless vehicles may ease the stress of driving, enhance safety, reliability, and capacity utilization, and allow travelers to use travel time productively, many of these benefits do not necessarily come without costs. The convenience afforded by such
technologies may lead to dramatic shifts in work and home location choices that result in larger vehicle miles of travel – which will in turn have implications from energy, environmental, and infrastructure provision perspectives. This presentation includes a discussion of the multitude of perspectives that must be considered in planning for a driverless transportation system of the future.This presentation is the result of a collaboration between Professor Pendyala and Professors Brad Allenby and Mikhal Chester