The Failure of US Diplomacy in the Middle East 3.0
The Failure of US Diplomacy in the Middle East 3.0The impending failure of Western Diplomacy discussed in the previousmonograph on the topic is now focused on the US.Few people analyse a situation as it is. Most interpret the situation in a way thatbest helps their agenda.Here is an analogy. The math analogy plays well to America’s position ininternational testing among school students.With global relations, the dispute is not that 10 x 10 = 100. Upon that, we can allagree. However, when the teacher poses the question to her class and Billyresponds 99, we break into two camps. One camp says that 99 is 99% correct.The other camp says that 99 is 100% wrong. Neither side realises that Billy doesnot understand arithmetic.We are so focused on the American paradigm that we lack the ability to grasp theconcept of what we are dealing with.In the previous monograph, I said that we assume that the Arab Spring will resultin a region of Pro-Western democracies. In 1776, we had a revolution. We builta democracy. We assume the same will hold true for the Middle East. We simplydo not allow, for example, that Libya will be a country run by ruling councils.Let us assume, however, for the purposes of discussion, that there is a wave ofrevolutionary fervor throughout the Middle East. Let us assume further, thatthere are a dozen democracies. Why should we then assume that thedemocracies would become our allies and trading partners?The problem with Western Diplomacy is that it is a product of WesternDiplomacy. Perhaps we are attempting to celebrate the success of Ben Franklin,Ambassador to France—200 years ago. The conundrum? The Middle East isnot France.We have decided, over the past several decades, that we will treat people theway we want to be treated. Nothing wrong with that if we want to be treated withrespect. The simplistic solution is to treat people with respect and we will berespected. The problem with that is that different people define respect indifferent terms.“If we were more concerned with being respectable and dignified, we would bemore often treated with dignity and respect.” Slim Fairview.Libya is not Egypt. Syria is not Libya.
I’d said, on previous occaision, that we are not fighting three wars in the MiddleEast. We are not fighting two wars in the Middle East. We are fighting one warin the Middle East. I was wrong. The war we are fighting is with ourselves.If the Arab Spring spreads to other nations, those nations may very well form aMiddle Eastern Diplomatic Union. (Thing of The European Union except withmore money, less debt.)There might not be an OPEC style union but rather a free-market union. Onewith the Union Members’ self-interest as the cornerstone. Not an ideological self-interest, not a theological self-interest, but rather an economic self-interest. Arewe prepared for another “front”? Financially? Economically?View our immigration policies. We are disputing immigration reform. The twosides of the issue are the interests of the immigrants and our national self-interest. (Economic and Security) We applaud our munificence. However,almost all of the immigrants come from countries with relatively few freedomsand with poor economic conditions. We completely ignore the fact that theimmigration rise can be attributed to the conditions in the countries from whichthe immigrants emigrate. We help a few thousand while a few million continue tosuffer. We hurt many and help few.We’ve had a history of embracing these failed polices: The pursuit of symbolicgestures over substantive gains. Here are some examples from the past 60years.Penal reform in the late 50’ and early 60’s intended to reduce recidivism in ourprisons resulted in a rise in crime and a rise in the prison population.Parole reform, intended to reduce recidivism resulted in a rise in crime and a risein the prison population.We repeatedly attempted to tax our way to prosperity. Then we attempt to cutthe programmes the money is being spent on.Add to that the fact that we’ve outsourced jobs to cut costs to increase corporateprofits to stay in business. The result? We’ve put our American customers out ofwork here at home. The result? The American customer can’t afford to buy ourproducts. The result? Lower sales. The result? Lower corporate profits.What will happen if the Middle Eastern nations form a Diplomatic Union? Theywill go into the free market. China is becoming an increasingly more profitablecustomer. Latin America is emerging from economic turmoil to economic growth.Can anyone see a symbiotic relationship between the Middle East (oil), China(money), and Latin America (expanding markets)?