Whats On Your Horizon?

http://www.flickr.com/photos/alaw168/324768577/ What’s On Your Horizon? A conversation about the 2008 NMC Horizon Report with Scott Leslie, BCcampus

About The Horizon Report

Horizon Reports 2004-2007

The Advisory Board

research dialog The Process ( http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Main_Page )

hz08 tag

Perils of Predicting the Future

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Forecasting versus Predicting

Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world, uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity.

-- Paul Saffo

Not About Being “Right” creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy

Time to Adoption != Time To Viable creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy

Not Determinism, but Technology Does Transform

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Trends

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The growing use of Web 2.0 and social networking—combined with collective intelligence and mass amateurization—is gradually but inexorably changing the practice of scholarship.

The way we work, collaborate, and communicate is evolving as boundaries become more fluid and globalization increases.

Access to—and portability of—content is increasing as smaller, more powerful devices are introduced.

The gap between students’ perception of technology and that of faculty continues to widen. Students and faculty continue to view and experience technology very differently.

Challenges

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Significant shifts in scholarship, research,

creative expression, and learning have created

a need for innovation and leadership at all

levels of the academy.

Higher education is facing a growing

expectation to deliver services, content and

media to mobile and personal devices.

The renewed emphasis on collaborative

learning is pushing the educational community

to develop new forms of interaction and

assessment.

The academy is faced with a need to provide

formal instruction in information, visual, and

technological literacy as well as in how to create

meaningful content with today’s tools.

The Three Horizons

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Horizon 1- One Year or Less

“What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?”

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Horizon 2 - Two to Three Years

“What technologies that have a solid user base in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?”

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Horizon 3 - Three to Five Years

“What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?”

http://www.flickr.com/photos/stevenwbohm/1285931512/

Play the Horizon Game – The Camosun Version!

“ What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?”

“ What technologies that have a solid user bas in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?”

“ What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?”

The 2008 Short List

The 2008 Finalists