Whats On Your Horizon?

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Presentation on the 2008 NMC Horizon Report that I did for Camosun College's Distributed Ed days

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  • Whats On Your Horizon?

    1. 1. http://www.flickr.com/photos/alaw168/324768577/ What’s On Your Horizon? A conversation about the 2008 NMC Horizon Report with Scott Leslie, BCcampus
    2. 2. About The Horizon Report
    3. 3. Horizon Reports 2004-2007
    4. 4. The Advisory Board
    5. 5. research dialog The Process ( http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Main_Page )
    6. 6. hz08 tag
    7. 7. Perils of Predicting the Future <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/kk/4983299/ </li></ul>
    8. 8. Forecasting versus Predicting <ul><li>Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world, uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity. </li></ul><ul><li>-- Paul Saffo </li></ul>
    9. 9. Not About Being “Right” creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy
    10. 10. Time to Adoption != Time To Viable creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy
    11. 11. Not Determinism, but Technology Does Transform <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/rutty/503238148/ </li></ul>
    12. 12. Trends <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/banlon1964/11647398/ </li></ul><ul><li>The growing use of Web 2.0 and social networking—combined with collective intelligence and mass amateurization—is gradually but inexorably changing the practice of scholarship. </li></ul><ul><li>The way we work, collaborate, and communicate is evolving as boundaries become more fluid and globalization increases. </li></ul><ul><li>Access to—and portability of—content is increasing as smaller, more powerful devices are introduced. </li></ul><ul><li>The gap between students’ perception of technology and that of faculty continues to widen. Students and faculty continue to view and experience technology very differently. </li></ul>
    13. 13. Challenges <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/nessman/2795762/ </li></ul><ul><li>Significant shifts in scholarship, research, </li></ul><ul><li>creative expression, and learning have created </li></ul><ul><li>a need for innovation and leadership at all </li></ul><ul><li>levels of the academy. </li></ul><ul><li>Higher education is facing a growing </li></ul><ul><li>expectation to deliver services, content and </li></ul><ul><li>media to mobile and personal devices. </li></ul><ul><li>The renewed emphasis on collaborative </li></ul><ul><li>learning is pushing the educational community </li></ul><ul><li>to develop new forms of interaction and </li></ul><ul><li>assessment. </li></ul><ul><li>The academy is faced with a need to provide </li></ul><ul><li>formal instruction in information, visual, and </li></ul><ul><li>technological literacy as well as in how to create </li></ul><ul><li>meaningful content with today’s tools. </li></ul>
    14. 14. The Three Horizons <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/fristle/1538513687/ </li></ul>
    15. 15. Horizon 1- One Year or Less <ul><li>“What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?” </li></ul>http://www.flickr.com/photos/splat/729854812/
    16. 16. Horizon 2 - Two to Three Years <ul><li>“What technologies that have a solid user base in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?” </li></ul>http://www.flickr.com/photos/mobilhomme/2181653996/
    17. 17. Horizon 3 - Three to Five Years <ul><li>“What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?” </li></ul>http://www.flickr.com/photos/stevenwbohm/1285931512/
    18. 18. Play the Horizon Game – The Camosun Version! <ul><li>“ What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?” </li></ul><ul><li>“ What technologies that have a solid user bas in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?” </li></ul><ul><li>“ What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?” </li></ul>
    19. 19. The 2008 Short List
    20. 20. The 2008 Finalists <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/the-o/2144485591/ </li></ul>
    21. 21. Horizon 1 – Grassroots Video <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/ezalis/77430740/ </li></ul>
    22. 22. <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/shapeshift/125590964/ </li></ul>Horizon 1 – Collaboration Webs
    23. 23. Horizon 2 – Mobile Broadband <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/andyi/482006549 / </li></ul>
    24. 24. Horizon 2 – Data Mashups http://weblogs.elearning.ubc.ca/brian/archives/040266.php
    25. 25. Horizon 3 – Collective Intelligence <ul><li>http://www.flickr.com/photos/mykaul/21095046/ </li></ul>
    26. 26. Horizon 3 – Social Operating Systems
    27. 27. After Five Years: The Metatrends
    28. 28. Research Agenda http:// horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Research_Agenda
    29. 29. K-12 Horizon Project http://horizonproject2008.wikispaces.com/
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