A Method For Staffing Large Call Centers Based On Stochastic Fluid Models Customer Service Centers - Stephen Shum

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    A Method For Staffing Large Call Centers Based On Stochastic Fluid Models Customer Service Centers - Stephen Shum - Presentation Transcript

    1. A Method for Staffing Large Call Centers Based on Stochastic Fluid Models Written by: J. Michael Harrison Assaf Zeevi Presentation by: Stephen Shum 15.764 Theory of Operations This summary presentation is based on: Harrison, J. Michael, and Assaf Zeevi. \"A Method for Staffing Spring 2004 Management 1 Large Call Centers Based on Stochastic Fluid Models.\" Stanford University, 2003.
    2. Outline Motivation and Problem Proposed Model Supporting Logic Numerical Examples Comments and Discussion 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 2
    3. Motivation Large-Scale Call Centers Example: AT&T, Verizon Local Phone, DSL, Cell Phone, etc. Billing, Technical Support, Termination, etc. Different Agents/Servers for different types of calls Other examples: Banks, Insurance Companies, Dell, IBM and many others 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 3
    4. Model m customer classes 1 r agent pools 1 2 bi agents in pool i 2 Service time 3 depends on customer class and r service pool m 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 4
    5. Tasks Staff Scheduling/ Capacity Planning* 1. Number and types of agent pools # of agents in each pools Dynamic Routing 2. Customer arrival -> serve/buffer Service Completion -> server idle/another customer 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 5
    6. Assumptions Scale is large enough to treat variables as continuous variables The capacity is determined in advance and cannot be revised Demand is doubly stochastic Poisson All other uncertainty and variability are negligible compared to demand, i.e., assume everything else constant 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 6
    7. Doubly Stochastic Poisson Model Λ (t ) = (Λ1 (t ),..., Λ m (t )),0 ≤ t ≤ T Given Λ(t ) = (λ1 ,..., λm ) conditional distribution of arrivals in different classes immediately after t are independent Poisson processes 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 7
    8. Objective Cost ck per agent in pool k Penalty pi per abandonment call per customer for class I Want to select bk to minimize m r ∑c b + ∑ p q kk ii k =1 i =1 Problem: Difficult to find qi the total expected abandonment call per class 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 8
    9. Notations (Please see the Harrison and Zeevi paper for notation explanations.) 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 9
    10. Proposed Method Given λ ∈ b∈ m r + + π * (λ , b) = minimize π = p ⋅ (λ − Rx) subject to: Rx ≤ λ , Ax ≤ b, x ≥ 0 ⎧T * ⎫ ⎪ ⎪ c ⋅ b + Ε ⎨ ∫ π (Λ (t ), b)dt ⎬ Objective: minimize ⎪0 ⎪ ⎩ ⎭ T 1 F (λ ) := ∫ Ρ {Λ (t ) ≤ λ } dt for λ ∈ Let m + T0 minimize c ⋅ b + T ∫ π * (λ , b)dF (λ ) =: φ (b) m R+ 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 10
    11. Proposed Method Proposition φ (b) is a convex function on R + r Convex Optimization problem Gradient-descent method combined with Monte Carlo simulation to find the numerical solution 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 11
    12. Supporting Logic (See section 3 on page 9 of the Harrison and Zeevi paper) 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 12
    13. Numerical Examples Homogenous System (See Figure 3, Figure 4, and Table 1 on pages 15-17 of the Harrison and Zeevi paper) 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 13
    14. Numerical Examples Stylized Demand (See Figures 5-6, and Tables 2-6 on pages 18-23 of the Harrison and Zeevi paper) 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 14
    15. Comments and Critiques Well written paper with interesting under-research topic Proposed a model for skill-based routing Major Criticism: Assume no variability in service time Neglect the dependence between optimal policy and routing method -> most routing methods may only get a cost far above optimal given the theoretical policy Would be more interesting if they provide some interesting results using their methods 15.764 Theory of Operations Spring 2004 Management 15
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