Forecasts & Trend in the ICT Industry

Forecasts & Trendsin the ICT Industry 16th August, 2009ICICT2009Dr. Sayeed Ghani Associate Dean, Faculty of Computer Science, IBA
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TIA forecasts a 3 percent loss for ICT Industry in 2009. First overall decline ever predicted by TIA.
However, ICT expected to be a driver for economic recovery in 2010-12.
$26 billion ICT Stimulus funds being injected into the US economy.
Modest 1.2 percent increase expected in 2010
Globally, strong rebound for the ICT industry projected after 2010:
6.4% revenue growth expected in 2011
7.9% increase expected in 2012
TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast
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TIAs 2009 ICT Market Review & Forecast
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$26 billion overall for ICT industry to spur recovery
$7.2 billion for broadband
$4.5 billion for Energy (Smart Grid)
$2 billion for health IT
$3.6 billion for R&D recovery
Broadband expected to be a driver for recovery in all areas.
US Stimulus Package - Details
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Speed vs Mobility
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Convergence - Industry

Triple Play (Voice, Internet, TV)

Use DSL (telephone lines)

PTCL

Using Cable

Worldcall
Using FTTH (Fiber to the Home)
GPON (Gigabit Passive Optical Network)
Nayatel in deployment stage
802.11n?
Broadband Services in Pakistan
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PTCL’s Smart TV
a
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Revenue to grow at 9.1% (CAGR)
Broadband in the U.S.
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42% growth projected for 2009
Residential landlines proportion to go from 19% in 2008 to 42% by 2012
VoIP and IPTV Will Override the Recession
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As of March 2009
IPTV Penetration
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In wireless services, overall spending is up
data is the driver
voice relatively flat
Wireless Service revenueby category in US :($ millions)
Wireless Services
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Mobile/Wireless Trends
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Pakistan Mobile IndustryGrowth in Subscribers leveling off - 2009

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Network Readiness Index

Pakistan Software Exports & Services
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Thank You!
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