2.
Zone Areas
Zone Area
Tahrir Sqaure 121,819
Ittihadeya 112,227
Areas
3.
Age Groups Statistics in Egypt
Age Group % of Population Total X Y % of 15+ Total
0 to 15 31.10% 27,990,000 0 0
15 to 45 48.79% 43,911,000 9 1 71%
45 to 60 13.01% 11,709,000 5 5 19%
60 and above 7.10% 6,390,000 2 8 10%
Where X is the number of individual per 10 protesters in age group to spend the entire day.
Where Y is the number of individual per 10 protesters in age group to spend 4 to 6 hours a day.
X and Y are based on samples taken to set a statistic. The sample is composed of over 300 people.
4.
Assumptions
Assuming 12 hours of protesting a day.
Assuming no parents took their kids along henceusing up spaceof other adults and teens.
Assuming theageranges concerned arethosewith a voting capability.
Assuming peoplewho leftearly werereplaced as they leftafter 4 hours on averageof protesting
5.
Number of Protesters given areas
could carry
Zone Area (SQM) Max Protesters
Tahrir Sqaure 121,819 487,276
Ittihadeya 112,227 448,908
Total 234,046 936,184
Not assuming circulation or other small protests
6.
Age Group Distribution of These
Protesters
15 to 45 45 to 60 60 and above Total
345,054 92,010 50,213 487,276
317,884 84,765 46,259 448,908
662,938 176,774 96,472 936,184
Age Group Distribution
7.
No. Of Protesters after factoring in for
circulation and small protests in Cairo
Margin for small protests 15 to 45 45 to 60 60 and above Total Max Protesters
97,455 34,505 46,005 40,170 120,680 705,412
89,782 31,788 42,382 37,007 111,178 649,868
187,237 66,294 88,387 77,177 231,858 1,355,279
AgeGroup Distribution for Circulation
The core assumption here is a 20% markup on the number of protesters in Tahrir and
Ittihadeya for protests outside Tahrir and Ittihadeya
8.
Cairo Calculations
Governorate Population @ 17 Million @ 20 Million @ 33 Million
Cairo 20,968,723 3,960,759 4,659,716 7,688,532
990,190 1,164,929 1,922,133
4.23 4.98 8.21
Assumptions and Definitions:
- 4 Individuals per square meter based on studies world wide.
Required Area (SQM)
Multipliers of Tahrir + Ittihadeya
Protesters
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