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Protest figures – june 30, 2013

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  • 1. Protest Figures – June 30, 2013
  • 2. Zone Areas Zone Area Tahrir Sqaure 121,819 Ittihadeya 112,227 Areas
  • 3. Age Groups Statistics in Egypt Age Group % of Population Total X Y % of 15+ Total 0 to 15 31.10% 27,990,000 0 0 15 to 45 48.79% 43,911,000 9 1 71% 45 to 60 13.01% 11,709,000 5 5 19% 60 and above 7.10% 6,390,000 2 8 10% Where X is the number of individual per 10 protesters in age group to spend the entire day. Where Y is the number of individual per 10 protesters in age group to spend 4 to 6 hours a day. X and Y are based on samples taken to set a statistic. The sample is composed of over 300 people.
  • 4. Assumptions Assuming 12 hours of protesting a day. Assuming no parents took their kids along henceusing up spaceof other adults and teens. Assuming theageranges concerned arethosewith a voting capability. Assuming peoplewho leftearly werereplaced as they leftafter 4 hours on averageof protesting
  • 5. Number of Protesters given areas could carry Zone Area (SQM) Max Protesters Tahrir Sqaure 121,819 487,276 Ittihadeya 112,227 448,908 Total 234,046 936,184 Not assuming circulation or other small protests
  • 6. Age Group Distribution of These Protesters 15 to 45 45 to 60 60 and above Total 345,054 92,010 50,213 487,276 317,884 84,765 46,259 448,908 662,938 176,774 96,472 936,184 Age Group Distribution
  • 7. No. Of Protesters after factoring in for circulation and small protests in Cairo Margin for small protests 15 to 45 45 to 60 60 and above Total Max Protesters 97,455 34,505 46,005 40,170 120,680 705,412 89,782 31,788 42,382 37,007 111,178 649,868 187,237 66,294 88,387 77,177 231,858 1,355,279 AgeGroup Distribution for Circulation The core assumption here is a 20% markup on the number of protesters in Tahrir and Ittihadeya for protests outside Tahrir and Ittihadeya
  • 8. Cairo Calculations Governorate Population @ 17 Million @ 20 Million @ 33 Million Cairo 20,968,723 3,960,759 4,659,716 7,688,532 990,190 1,164,929 1,922,133 4.23 4.98 8.21 Assumptions and Definitions: - 4 Individuals per square meter based on studies world wide. Required Area (SQM) Multipliers of Tahrir + Ittihadeya Protesters