LDT Future of Learning Handout 2010

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LDT Future of Learning Handout 2010

  1. 1. Scenario Planning Step 1: Choose a Focal Issue (and Timeframe) Choose a big, wide issue of importance to you, your organization, your project, your family, your nation, etc. Step 2: Choose Your Critical Uncertainties Make some basic assumptions Create a list of critical uncertainties that have identifiable possibile outcomes, and choose 2 that will work well together Arrange your critical uncertainties in a Cartesian plane (aka 2x2) Step 3: Imagine details of each quadrant Step 4: Create scenarios (stories) explaining how each quadrant might happen Step 5: Figure out how your (organization, institution, family, project, etc) could act most effectively in each situation Step 6: Over the next year or two, watch for signs that one of these scenarios might be playing out Step 7: Revise your scenarios every few years

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