Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
Factors influencing the demand on Renewable Energy with a focus on Solar Thermal Energy - Mohamed Salah ElSobki - Cairo University - 2013-06-11
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.

×

Saving this for later?

Get the SlideShare app to save on your phone or tablet. Read anywhere, anytime - even offline.

Text the download link to your phone

Standard text messaging rates apply

Factors influencing the demand on Renewable Energy with a focus on Solar Thermal Energy - Mohamed Salah ElSobki - Cairo University - 2013-06-11

236
views

Published on

Dr. Mohamed Salah Elsobki elaborating on the factors influencing renewable energy development in Egypt and possible scenarios for hybridization (integration of solar thermal into conventional thermal …

Dr. Mohamed Salah Elsobki elaborating on the factors influencing renewable energy development in Egypt and possible scenarios for hybridization (integration of solar thermal into conventional thermal power stations) - presentation held at Heliopolis University for Sustainable Development

Published in: Technology, Business

0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
236
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
2
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)Faculty of Engineering – Cairo UniversityEnergy Research CenterJune 11, 2013DateFactors Influencing the demand onRenewable energywith focus on solar thermal energy
  • 2. Factors Influencing the demand onRenewable energy• Supply• Demand• Legislations
  • 3. 566063677175808590951011071131201271350204060801001201401602006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22MilliontonFrom fuel products From N.G.From Hydro From WindFrom Nuclear Local energy needsLocal energy needs with energy eff. Additional needed energyRenewable - current 3000 MWand target 13500 MW (9%) (2022)Nuclear up 4000-5000MW (6%) (2022)Reduce energy use by 8,3%(2022)Retain Oil and NG levelsof production (40%)(2022)94% from fossil fuel and NG5% hydro1% from wind and others‫المستقبل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتوقع‬ ، ً‫ا‬‫حالي‬ ، ً‫ا‬‫سابق‬ ‫مصر‬ ‫في‬ ‫الطاقة‬ ‫وضع‬The Status of Energy in Egypt: The Present, Past and Future
  • 4. Objective• Investigating the development ofelectricity generation with less fuel byintegrating solar fields into existingconventional thermal power plants.• This will lead to electricity generationform a RE source and reduce thecurrent amount of fossil fuels used.Hybridization of Thermal Power Stationswith Solar Collection Fields ??
  • 5. Annual Capacity based on stations type tillYear 2021/2022
  • 6. Annual Energy Generated based on stationstype till Year 2021/2022
  • 7. Annual Fuel Needs based on stations type tillYear 2021/2022
  • 8. Ranking CriteriaSelection procedure1. Age of the fossil plant,2. Average capacity factor of the fossil plant,3. DNI resource available at the plant site,4. Land available surrounding the existing plant– Available land inside stations boarder– Available land inside and outside stations boarder5. Topography of that land, and6. Solar-use efficiency that could be expected if the plantwere augmented with a solar field.– Parabolic Trough– Power Tower
  • 9. Final Ranking Results, Higher to lower score(Parabolic Trough)RatingScorePower PlantExcellent4.9Kuraymat 1 (C.C)Excellent4.7Kuraymat steamExcellent4.7Oyoun MousaExcellent4.6Kuraymat 2 (C.C)Excellent4.4Cairo South IExcellent4.2Nubaria (1, 2, 3)Excellent4.05Abu SultanGood4WalidiaGood3.85El-AtfGood3.8ArishGood3.8Wadi HofGood3.8AtakaGood3.65DamiettaGood3.45MahmoudiaGood3.35DamanhourGood3.35Damanhour Ext
  • 10. Walidia Steam Power Station• A total of 41,649.67 m2 or 10.3 Acres are availableinside the station boarders to be covered by solarcollectors. It consists of two units, 312 MW each.
  • 11. Walidia Solar Field annual Energy Flow
  • 12. TOTALINDUSTRY33%4%12%8%38%5%Currently in 2012 TOTAL INDUSTRYAGRICULTUREPUBLIC UTILITIES+LIGHTINGCOMMERCIAL & OTHERSRESIDENTIALGOVERNMENT‫إ‬‫فى‬ ‫الكهربائية‬ ‫الطاقة‬ ‫ستخدام‬،ً‫ا‬‫حالي‬ ،ً‫ا‬‫مصرسابق‬‫في‬ ‫المتوقع‬‫المستقبل‬Electric energy use in Egypt :Past, Present and Future16/06/2013 08:2612Energy in Egypt .. going where Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)
  • 13. ‫إنتاج‬ ‫تكلفة‬‫الطاقة‬‫الكهربائية‬Cost of Electric Energy GenerationU.S. Average Levelized Costs (2010 $/megawatthour) for Plants Entering Service in2017Plant TypeCapacity Factor(%)Levelized CapitalCostFixedO&MVariable O&M(including fuel)TransmissionInvestmentTotal SystemLevelizedCostLegendDispatchable TechnologiesConventional Coal 85 64.9 4 27.5 1.2 97.7 HighAdvanced Coal 85 74.1 6.6 29.1 1.2 110.9Advanced Coal with CCS 85 91.8 9.3 36.4 1.2 138.8 LowNatural Gas-firedConventional Combined Cycle 87 17.2 1.9 45.8 1.2 66.1 WindAdvanced Combined Cycle 87 17.5 1.9 42.4 1.2 63.1Advanced CC with CCS 87 34.3 4 50.6 1.2 90.1 SolarConventional CombustionTurbine 30 45.3 2.7 76.4 3.6 127.9Advanced Combustion Turbine 30 31 2.6 64.7 3.6 101.8Advanced Nuclear 90 87.5 11.3 11.6 1.1 111.4Geothermal 91 75.1 11.9 9.6 1.5 98.2Biomass 83 56 13.8 44.3 1.3 115.4Non-Dispatchable TechnologiesWind 33 82.5 9.8 0 3.8 96Solar PV 25 140.7 7.7 0 4.3 152.7Solar Thermal 20 195.6 40.1 0 6.3 242Hydro 53 76.9 4 6 2.1 88.9Costs are expressed in terms of net AC power available to the grid for the installed capacitySource U.S. Energy Information Administration , Levelized Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2012. Levelized Costs AEO 2012. July2012
  • 14. ‫الخاص‬ ‫القطاع‬ ‫من‬ ‫الطاقات‬ ‫إستخدام‬ ‫لزيادة‬ ‫المقترحة‬ ‫اآللية‬(‫والمتجددة‬ ‫تقليدي‬)(‫القدرة‬ ‫و‬ ‫الطاقة‬)A proposed scheme to increase electricity from private sector (conventional & renewablesources) (energy and power) – 3% penetration rate – Inverted Wedge Technique01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021AnnualElectricEnergy(GWh)‫الكهربائية‬‫للطاقة‬‫السنوي‬‫إستخدام‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)Year‫سنة‬5.74.84.03.83.02.31.61.00.50.6024681012141618PowerGW‫الكهربائية‬‫القدرة‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)-‫إلى‬ ‫للكهرباء‬ ‫الكلي‬ ‫الصناعي‬ ‫االستخدام‬ ‫يصل‬77,421‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬‫منها‬27%‫المتجددة‬ ‫المصادر‬ ‫من‬‫بـ‬ ‫تقدر‬ ‫و‬20,904‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬-‫يقابلها‬5,7‫ج‬.‫المتجددة‬ ‫الطاقات‬ ‫سعات‬ ‫من‬ ‫و‬Source: – Arab Electricity #110 – October/December 2012 ‫المصدر‬:‫عدد‬ ‫العربية‬ ‫الكهرباء‬110–‫أكتوبر‬/‫ديسمبر‬2012Energy in Egypt .. going where Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)
  • 15. Proposed Penetration Rate at 5%‫المقترح‬ ‫للسوق‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫معدل‬5%01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021AnnualElectricEnergy(GWh)‫الكهربائية‬‫للطاقة‬‫السنوي‬‫إستخدام‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)Year‫سنة‬9.68.06.65.44.23.82.71.70.80.6024681012141618PowerGW‫القدرة‬‫الكهربائية‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)-‫إلى‬ ‫للكهرباء‬ ‫الكلي‬ ‫الصناعي‬ ‫االستخدام‬ ‫يصل‬77,421‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫منها‬ ‫س‬%45‫المتجددة‬ ‫المصادر‬ ‫من‬‫بـ‬ ‫تقدر‬ ‫و‬34,839‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬-‫يقابلها‬9,6‫ج‬.‫المتجددة‬ ‫الطاقات‬ ‫سعات‬ ‫من‬ ‫و‬Energy in Egypt .. going where Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)Source: – Arab Electricity #110 – October/December 2012 ‫المصدر‬:‫عدد‬ ‫العربية‬ ‫الكهرباء‬110–‫أكتوبر‬/‫ديسمبر‬2012
  • 16. Proposed Penetration Rate at 7%‫المقترح‬ ‫للسوق‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫معدل‬7%01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021AnnualElectricEnergy(GWh)‫الكهربائية‬‫للطاقة‬‫السنوي‬‫إستخدام‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)Year‫سنة‬13.411.29.37.55.94.53.72.41.10.6024681012141618PowerGW‫القدرة‬‫الكهربائية‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)-‫إلى‬ ‫للكهرباء‬ ‫الكلي‬ ‫الصناعي‬ ‫االستخدام‬ ‫يصل‬77,421‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫منها‬ ‫س‬%63‫بـ‬ ‫تقدر‬ ‫و‬ ‫المتجددة‬ ‫المصادر‬ ‫من‬48,775‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬-‫يقابلها‬13,4‫ج‬.‫المتجددة‬ ‫الطاقات‬ ‫سعات‬ ‫من‬ ‫و‬Energy in Egypt .. going where Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)Source: – Arab Electricity #110 – October/December 2012 ‫المصدر‬:‫عدد‬ ‫العربية‬ ‫الكهرباء‬110–‫أكتوبر‬/‫ديسمبر‬2012
  • 17. Proposed Penetration Rate at 10%‫المقترح‬ ‫للسوق‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫معدل‬10%01000020000300004000050000600007000080000900002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021AnnualElectricEnergy(GWh)‫الكهربائية‬‫للطاقة‬‫السنوي‬‫إستخدام‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)Year‫سنة‬19.116.013.210.78.46.44.53.41.60.605101520PowerGW‫القدرة‬‫الكهربائية‬(‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬)‫إلى‬ ‫للكهرباء‬ ‫الكلي‬ ‫الصناعي‬ ‫االستخدام‬ ‫يصل‬77,421‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫منها‬ ‫س‬%90‫بـ‬ ‫تقدر‬ ‫و‬ ‫المتجددة‬ ‫المصادر‬ ‫من‬69,679‫ج‬.‫و‬.‫س‬-‫يقابلها‬19,1‫ج‬.‫المتجددة‬ ‫الطاقات‬ ‫سعات‬ ‫من‬ ‫و‬Energy in Egypt .. going where Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)Source: – Arab Electricity #110 – October/December 2012 ‫المصدر‬:‫عدد‬ ‫العربية‬ ‫الكهرباء‬110–‫أكتوبر‬/‫ديسمبر‬2012
  • 18. THANK YOUMohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.)Professor, Faculty of Engineering – Cairo UniversityDirector Energy Research CenterJune 11, 2013Sobki54-2@hotmail.comm.sobki@sobki.org