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Crossing the Rubicon:
Entrepreneurial education at the
          crossroads

           Steve Blank
        www.steveblank.com
            @sgblank
We’ve learned a lot about
   entrepreneurship
Perhaps our curriculums should
  reflect what we’ve learned?
Agenda

1.   What we used to believe / What we now know
2.   Business Models and Customer Development
3.   Class Example
4.   The Evolution of the Curriculum
Part 1

What We Used to Believe
 What We Now Know
What We Used to Believe
There is one type of startup and
          entrepreneur
What We Now Know
Lifestyle Startups
               Work to Live their Passion




     Startup




• Serve known customer with
  known product
• Work for their passion
Small Business Startups
               Work to Feed the Family



                                          Small
     Startup
                                         Business



• Serve known customer with
  known product
• Feed the family
Small Business Startups
                    Work to Feed the Family



                                                 Small
      Startup
                                                Business


                       Exit Criteria
• known customer       - Business Model found
  known product
                       - Profitable business
• Feed the family
                       - Existing team
                       < $500K in revenue
                       - Not venture-backable
Social Entrepreneurship Startups



      Social                            Large
     Startup                          Non-Profit



• Solve pressing social problems
• Social Enterprise: Profitable
• Social Innovation: New Strategies
   • Not venture-backable
Scalable Startup
                  Born to Be Big

    Search                         Execute

    Scalable                         Large
    Startup                        Company



Goal is to solve for:
 unknown customer and
 unknown features
Scalable Startup

    Search                              Execute

    Scalable                              Large
    Startup                             Company



Goal is to solve for:   Exit Criteria
 unknown customer and   - Business model found
 unknown features       - Total Available Market > $500m
                        - Can grow to>$100m/year
                        - Can be Venture capital funded
Buyable Startup


     Search                                 Sell
     Scalable                            $2 to $50M
     Startup                             Acquisition




Goal is to solve for:            - Sell to larger company
 Internet, Mobile, Gaming Apps   - Angel or early stage VC
Large Company Sustaining Innovation
            Innovate or Evaporate

                             Sustaining Innovation
 Scalable                              Large
                Transition
 Startup                             Company




                   • Existing Market / Known customer
                   •Known product feature needs
Large Company Disruptive Innovation




     New                                   Large
                       Transition
    Division                             Company


                 Disruptive Innovation
•New Market
•New tech, customers, channels
Large Company Disruptive Innovation


                                         Large
  New Division         Transition
                                         Company



                 Disruptive Innovation
  •Build
  •Partner
  •Acquire
      - IP
  - Talent
      - Product
      - Customers
      - Business
What We Used to Believe
Startups are About Vision & Ideas
What We Now Know
Most visions are hallucinations
What We Used to Believe
Startups are a Smaller Version
     of a Large Company
What We Now Know
Startups Search
Companies Execute
What We Used to Believe

        Strategy
Start With an Operating Plan
    and Financial Model
All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
All I Need to Do is and Make the
             Forecast
All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
What We Now Know

     Strategy
No Business Plan survives first
   contact with customers
Planning comes before the plan
Business Models
Business Models
Search          Execution

           Business Model   Operating Plan +
Strategy
            Hypotheses      Financial Model
What We Used to Believe

        Process
We Built Startups by
Managing Processes

  Product Management
            +
  Waterfall Engineering
Product Introduction Model



 Concept/    Product   Alpha/Beta   Launch/
Seed Round    Dev.        Test      1st Ship
Tradition – Hire Marketing




     Concept/          Product             Alpha/Beta         Launch/
    Seed Round          Dev.                  Test            1st Ship


                 - Create Marcom        - Hire PR Agency   - Create Demand
Marketing          Materials            - Early Buzz       - Launch Event
                 - Create Positioning                      - “Branding”
Tradition – Hire Sales



     Concept/           Product               Alpha/Beta              Launch/
    Seed Round           Dev.                    Test                 1st Ship


                  - Create Marcom          - Hire PR Agency       - Create Demand
Marketing           Materials              - Early Buzz           - Launch Event
                  - Create Positioning                            - “Branding”


                                         • Hire Sales VP          • Build Sales
Sales                                    • Hire 1st Sales Staff    Organization
Tradition – Hire Bus Development



      Concept         Product                 Alpha/Beta           Launch/
                       Dev.                      Test              1st Ship


                - Create Marcom            - Hire PR Agency   - Create Demand
 Marketing        Materials                - Early Buzz       - Launch Event
                - Create Positioning                          - “Branding”


                                       • Hire Sales VP        • Build Sales Channel /
  Sales                                • Pick distribution     Distribution
                                        Channel

 Business                                • Hire First         • Do deals for FCS
Development                                Bus Dev
Tradition – Hire Engineering



      Concept             Product                 Alpha/Beta             Launch/
                           Dev.                      Test                1st Ship


                    - Create Marcom            - Hire PR Agency     - Create Demand
 Marketing            Materials                - Early Buzz         - Launch Event
                    - Create Positioning                            - “Branding”


                                           • Hire Sales VP          • Build Sales Channel /
  Sales                                    • Pick distribution       Distribution
                                            Channel

 Business                                    • Hire First           • Do deals for FCS
Development                                    Bus Dev


Engineering     • Write MRD      • Waterfall                • Q/A         •Tech Pubs
Waterfall / Product Management
                                    Execution on Two “Knowns”



                                 Requirements
                                                                 Product Features: known
                                            Design

                                                Implementation


                                                         Verification

   Customer Problem: known                                       Maintenance




Source: Eric Ries
http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
Waterfall / Product Management
                                    Execution on Two “Knowns”



                                 Requirements
                                                                 Product Features: known
                                            Design

                                                Implementation


                                                         Verification

   Customer Problem: known                                       Maintenance




Source: Eric Ries
http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
What We Now Know

     Strategy
More startups fail from
a lack of customers than from a
failure of product development
Startups go from failure to failure
Startups go from failure to failure
The ones that win are those that
        learn from failure
Customer Development
Search             Execution

Strategy    Business Model
                                 Operating Plan +
              Hypotheses
                                 Financial Model


Process       Customer &       Product Management
                                   & Waterfall
           Agile Development      Development
What We Used to Believe

      Organization
Hire and Build a
Functional Organization
What We Now Know

    Organization
Founders run a
 Customer Development Team

No sales, marketing and business
          development
Search                      Execution

 Strategy     Business Model
                                           Operating Plan +
                Hypotheses
                                           Financial Model

             Customer Development,        Product Management
 Process
               Agile Development     Agile or Waterfall Development


                 Customer             Functional Organization
Organization
             Development Team,            by Department
               Founder-driven
What We Used to Believe

       Education
Entrepreneurial Education was
       about execution
Entrepreneurial Education was
       about execution
What We Now Know

    Education
Entrepreneurial Education
begins with the Search for a
      business model
Search                          Execution
Strategy    Business Model
                                              Operating Plan +
              Hypotheses
                                              Financial Model

Process     Customer Development,            Product Management
              Agile Development         Agile or Waterfall Development


Organization Customer Development           Functional Organization
            Team, Founder-driven                by Department


Education     Creativity/Innovation,        Organizational Behavior,
             Business Model Design,          HR Mgmt, Accounting,
             Customer Development,            Modeling, Strategy,
                                            Operations, Leadership,
              Startup team building,
                                            Marketing, Manufacturing
             Entrepreneurial Finance,
               Agile Development,
                Customer Funnel:
              Get/Keep/Grow Market
Putting Search first is a
          radical change

It’s not just one more methodology
What We Used to Believe

   Instructional Strategies
Cases and a Business Plans were
good entrepreneurial teaching tools
Cases and a Business Plan were
     good teaching tools
What We Now Know

Instructional Strategies
Experiential Immersion

              ~100 GOOTB connections
Team-based Simulations
Business Model Patterns
    Replace Cases


                                             Nespresso
                                               club
         production
                                Nespresso
                                machines



                               Nespressopo
                                   ds
         distribution
          channels                             Nespresso
                                                 .com

                  production
coffee
                   facilites




     B2C                                     1 x machine
 distribution                                    sales
                                                           73
Business Model Competitions
Replace Business Plan Competitions
Business Model Competitions
Replace Business Plan Competitions




         http://www.businessmodelcompetition.com/
Now imagine these classes virtual and
 networked independent of location
Search                             Execution

Strategy        Business Model
                                                      Operating Plan +
                  Hypotheses
                                                      Financial Model

Process         Customer Development,                Product Management
                  Agile Development             Agile or Waterfall Development


Organization
           Customer Development                     Functional Organization
            Team, Founder-driven                        by Department


 Education       Business Model Design,              Organizational Behavior,
                 Customer Development,                HR Mgmt, Accounting,
                  Startup team building,               Modeling, Strategy,
                 Entrepreneurial Finance,            Operations, Leadership,
                   Agile Development,                Marketing, Manufacturing
                        Marketing
Instructional   Experiential, constructivist,        Case, Lecture, Small
Strategies          learner-centered,                 Group, Mentorship
                      inquiry-based
Classes on Entrepreneurial
Execution Follows Search
Search

Strategy          Business Model
                    Hypotheses


Process         Customer Development,
                  Agile Development


Organization
           Customer Development
            Team, Founder-driven


 Education       Business Model Design,
                 Customer Development,
                  Startup team building,
                 Entrepreneurial Finance,
                   Agile Development,
                        Marketing
Instructional   Experiential, constructivist,
Strategies       learner-centered, inquiry-
                           based
Search                             Execution

Strategy          Business Model
                                                      Operating Plan +
                    Hypotheses
                                                      Financial Model

Process         Customer Development,                Product Management
                  Agile Development             Agile or Waterfall Development


Organization
           Customer Development                     Functional Organization
            Team, Founder-driven                        by Department


 Education       Business Model Design,              Organizational Behavior,
                 Customer Development,                HR Mgmt, Accounting,
                  Startup team building,               Modeling, Strategy,
                 Entrepreneurial Finance,            Operations, Leadership,
                   Agile Development,                Marketing, Manufacturing
                        Marketing
Instructional   Experiential, constructivist,     Case, Lecture, Small Group,
Strategies       learner-centered, inquiry-               Mentorship
                           based
Part 2

 Business Models and
Customer Development
What’s A Company?
What’s A Company?

  A business organization which sells a
product or service in exchange for revenue
                 and profit
What’s A Startup?
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
       business model
A temporary organization
      designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
        business model
A Startup aims to become a
          company
How Are Companies
   Organized?
How Are Companies
    Organized?
Companies are organized around
      Business Models
What’s a Business Model?
What’s a Business Model?
Value Proposition

What Are You Building and For Who?
What About My
Idea/Technology?
What About My
        Idea/Technology?
Your idea/ technology is one of the pieces
       necessary to build a company.
   It is part of the “Value Proposition”
Customer Segments

           Who Are They?
       Why Would They Buy?
What Job are They Trying to Get Done?
Channels

How does your Product
  Get to Customers?
Customer Relationships

How do you Get, Keep and Grow Customers?
Revenue Streams
How do you Make Money?
Key Resources
What are your most important Assets?
Key Partners

Who are your Partners and Suppliers?
Key Activities

What’s Most Important for the Business?
Cost Structure
What are the Costs and Expenses
CANVAS OVERLAY
KEY        KEY          OFFER         CUSTOMER      CUSTOMER
PARTNERS   ACTIVITIES                 RELATIONSHIPS SEGMENTS




           KEY                        CHANNELS
           RESOURCES




COST STRUCTURE                  REVENUE STREAMS




                                                       images by JAM
But,
Realize They’re Hypotheses
9 Guesses


                            Guess
Guess    Guess
                                     Guess

                  Guess
        Guess               Guess



        Guess                Guess
Business Model Canvas

              building
               block                                 building
                                                                       building
                               building               block
                                                                        block
                  building      block
building           block
 block



                                                     building
                               building               block
               building         block                                   building
                block                                                    block




  building          building              building          building
   block             block                 block             block
Customer Development
Customer Development

The Process for Turning
 Hypotheses Into Facts
The Four Steps – The Startup Path


        Customer Development
Customer Development

Test the Problem, Then the Solution
Hypotheses Testing and Insight
Customer Development

       The Pivot
Customer Development is
   how you search for the model
        Search                          Execution




Customer            Customer     Customer       Company
Discovery           Validation   Creation       Building



            Pivot
Customer Discovery
Web/Mobile Versus Physical


                   Customer            Customer
                   Discovery           Validation



                               Pivot




•Web/Mobile startups run faster
•Different process steps for web vs. physical
•Customer Relationships are radically different
Customer Discovery
Customer Validation
Customer
Validation
Part 3

How Does this Really Work?
How Does This Really Work?

  Lean LaunchPad Class
8 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
Search

Strategy           Business Model
                     Hypotheses


Process         Customer Development,
                  Agile Development


Organization    Customer Development
                 Team, Founder-driven            This Class
 Education         Business Model Design,
                  Customer Development,
                    Startup team building,
                Entrepreneurial Finance, Agile
                  Development, Marketing

Instructional    Experiential, constructivist,
Strategies           learner-centered,
                       inquiry-based
dentalOptics
Amit Desai, Aaswath Raman,
AshwinMadgavkar, AlokVasudev



Revolutionizing dental diagnostics
through non-invasive imaging



Final Presentation
Interviewed: 72 people
The A-Team




Amit Desai            AshwinMadgavkar Aaswath Raman          AlokVasudev

Ph.D., Mat. Sci       MBA/M.S.         Ph.D., App. Physics   Ph.D., EE

Cambridge,            BCG, UT Austin   Microsoft, Harvard    UT Austin
NC State



Mentor: Ethan Bloch
                                                             dentalOptics
Dental lighting is
ripe for innovation
                  dentalOptics
Original Idea : Inside-Out Dental
Lighting
Bring the light-source
inside the mouth


Provide better, more
consistent illumination




                               dentalOptics
Overview
I.     Understanding our Customers

II.    Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit

III.   Building the Business:
       Channels, Partners & Regulators

IV.    Introducing.. periOptics




                                            dentalOptics
Overview
I.     Understanding our Customers

II.    Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit

III.   Building the Business:
       Channels, Partners & Regulators

IV.    Introducing.. periOptics




                                            dentalOptics
Version 0                       The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping
                                             •                     • Personal
•   Manufacturers     •   Design
                                                 Improved                             • Dentists
                      •                          diagnostics         service
                          Manufacturing                                               • Hygienists
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                • Training &
                      •   Sales              •   Better                               • Specialists
                                                 customization       demos
•   Distributors      •   Service

•   Marketers                                •   Superior
                                                 patient                              • Chains
•   Trade
                      •   Stanford
                                                 experience        •   Direct sales   • Dental
    organizations
                                                                   •   Trade            schools
                      •   IP                 •   Lower price           shows          • Hospitals
                      •   Human
                                                                   •   Dental
                      •   Our network
                                                                       schools


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
Getting out of the building




                              dentalOptics
Three major dentist archetypes
              Most typical dentist
              • Primarily concerned with patient care
    Care
              • Worried about costs
  providers   • Optimizes lifestyle and income



              Uses technology to up-sell additional procedures
              • Typically in high-income areas
 “Bentley”
              • State-of-the-art facilities and technologies
  dentists    • Early adopter of dental devices



              Equipment handled by purchasing department
              • Uses financial metrics to make decisions
  “Chain”
              • Technologies standardized across all offices
  dentists

                                                        dentalOptics
Version 0                       The A-Team


                     • Prototyping
                                             •                     • Personal
•   Manufacturers    • Design
                                                 Improved                             • Dentists
                     • Manufacturing             diagnostics         service
                                                                                      • Hygienists
•   Hypotheses
    Resellers       Tested:
                     • Marketing                                   • Training &
                     • Sales                 •   Better                               • Specialists
                                                 customization       demos
•   Distributors     • Service
    • Intra-oral lighting
•      provides value for all
    Marketers                                •   Superior
                                                 patient                              • Chains
       dental professionals
•   Trade                                        experience        •   Direct sales   • Dental
    • Channels • Stanford
    organizations
                                                                   •   Trade
                      •   IP                 •   Lower price
                                                                                        schools
                                                                       shows          • Hospitals
                      •   Human
                                                                   •   Dental
                      •   Our network
                                                                       schools


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
Immediate changes
• Current lighting was satisfactory for most uses


• However dentists expressed interest in better lighting for
 particular sets of procedures




                                               dentalOptics
Immediate changes
• Current lighting was satisfactory for most uses


• However dentists expressed interest in better lighting for
 particular sets of procedures

• Redid customer segmentation:



     Segment by Procedure Length

                                               dentalOptics
Version 0                       The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping
                                             •                     • Personal
•   Manufacturers     •   Design
                                                 Improved                             • Dentists
                      •                          diagnostics         service
                          Manufacturing                                               • Hygienists
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                • Training &
                      •   Sales              •   Better                               • Specialists
                                                 customization       demos
•   Distributors      •   Service

•   Marketers                                •   Superior
                                                 patient                              • Chains
•   Trade
                      •   Stanford
                                                 experience        •   Direct sales   • Dental
    organizations
                                                                   •   Trade            schools
                      •   IP                 •   Lower price           shows          • Hospitals
                      •   Human
                                                                   •   Dental
                      •   Our network
                                                                       schools


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
Version 0+                          The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                               •   Personal
•   Manufacturers     •   Design             •    Improved              service          • Procedure
                      •   Manufacturing           diagnostics       •   Training &         length
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                     demos
                      •   Sales              •    Better            •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •   Service                 customization         education           - Short
                                                                                            - Medium
•   Marketers                                •    Superior
                                                  patient
                                                                                            - Long
•   Trade                                         experience
                                                                    •
                      •   Stanford                                      Direct sales
    organizations
                      •   IP                 •    Lower price       •   Trade
                      •   Human                                         shows
                      •   Our network        •    Reduced time      •   Distributor



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                        • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                           • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                             • Accessory sales

                                                                                 dentalOptics
Version 1                          The A-Team


                     • Prototyping                                 •   Personal
•   Manufacturers    • Design                •   Improved              service          • Procedure
                     • Manufacturing             diagnostics       •   Training &         length
•   Hypothesis
    Resellers       Tested:
                     • Marketing                                       demos
                     • Sales                 •   Better            •   Continuing
•   Distributors     • Service                   customization         education           - Short
    • Lighting needs differ                                                                - Medium
•   Marketers on procedure
       based                                 •   Superior
                                                 patient
                                                                                           - Long
•
       length
    Trade                                        experience
    organizations     •   Stanford                                 •   Direct sales
                      •   IP                 •   Lower price       •   Trade
                      •   Human                                        shows
                      •   Our network        •   Reduced time      •   Distributor



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
Procedure length learnings

Procedure length   Short (< 1 hr)



                   Moderate
                   (1-2 hrs)



                   Long (> 2 hrs)




                                    dentalOptics
Procedure length learnings

Procedure length        Short (< 1 hr)



                         Moderate
                         (1-2 hrs)

                                                Existing lighting solutions
                         Long (> 2 hrs)           Surgical microscope
                                                  Loupe light
                                                  Clamps
                            Anesthesia


                   Patient comfort / movement
                        no longer an issue
                                                          dentalOptics
Procedure length learnings

Procedure length   Short (< 1 hr)
                                    Identified key procedures:
                                       Root canals
                                       Crack detection
                   Moderate            Color matching
                   (1-2 hrs)
                                         Done by all
                                          dentists
                   Long (> 2 hrs)        Lighting critical




        Segment by Procedure Type
                                             dentalOptics
Version 1                          The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                              •   Personal
•   Manufacturers     •   Design             •   Improved              service          • Procedure
                      •   Manufacturing          diagnostics       •   Training &         length
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                    demos
                      •   Sales              •   Better            •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •   Service                customization         education           - Short
                                                                                           - Medium
•   Marketers                                •   Superior
                                                 patient
                                                                                           - Long
•   Trade                                        experience
    organizations     •   Stanford                                 •   Direct sales
                      •   IP                 •   Lower price       •   Trade
                      •   Human                                        shows
                      •   Our network        •   Reduced time      •   Distributor



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
Version 1                          The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping        •   Improved          •   Personal
•   Manufacturers     •   Design                 diagnostics           service          • Procedure
                      •   Manufacturing                            •   Training &         type
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                    demos
                                             •   Superior                               - Root canal
                      •   Sales                                    •   Continuing
                                                 patient
•   Distributors      •   Service                                      education        - Crack
                                                 experience
                                                                                        detection
•   Marketers
                                             •   Reduced                                - Color
•   Trade                                        procedure                              matching
    organizations     •   Stanford               time              •   Direct sales
                      •   IP                                       •   Trade
                      •   Human                                        shows
                      •   Our network                              •   Distributor



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                       • Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &
•   Marketing                 support                          • Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Sales                 •   Legal                            • Accessory sales

                                                                                dentalOptics
$200 MM/yr US market size
                                                                  $25 B dental
                                                               equipment industry
  • 180,000 dentists
  • 2300 visits per year average
  • Consumable for each patient                                    TAM: $2B
  • ~$5 cost per consumable
  • 10% of visits
  • $0-100 cost per tool
                                                               $200 M serviceable
  • 20% of dentists
                                                             diagnostic tool market




Source: US BLS, ADA, dentist interviews, industry research           dentalOptics
$200 MM/yr US market size
                                                                  $25 B dental
                                                               equipment industry
  • 180,000 dentists
  • 2300 visits per year average
  • Consumable for each patient                                    TAM: $2B
  • ~$5 cost per consumable
  • 10% of visits
  • $0-100 cost per tool
                                                               $200 M serviceable
  • 20% of dentists
                                                             diagnostic tool market




                         Consumables are key
Source: US BLS, ADA, dentist interviews, industry research           dentalOptics
Version 1                           The A-Team


                     •   Prototyping     •   Improved           •   Personal
•    Manufacturers   •   Design              diagnostics            service          • Procedure
                     •   Manufacturing                          •   Training &         type
•    Resellers       •   Marketing                                  demos
                                         •   Superior                                - Root canal
                     •   Sales                                  •   Continuing
                                             patient
•    Distributors    •   Service                                    education        - Crack
                                             experience
                                                                                     detection
•    Marketers
                                         •   Reduced                                 - Color
•    Trade                                   procedure                               matching
     organizations   •   Stanford            time               •   Direct sales
                     •   IP                                     •   Trade
                     •   Human                                      shows
                     •   Our network                            •   Distributor
    Key Learning:

••   Human resources component drastically
      Consumable       • Compliance                        •   Product sales
•     improves revenue potential &
     Manufacturing     • Warranties                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•    Marketing           support                           •   Accessory sales
•    Sales             • Legal                             •   Consumable sales

                                                                             dentalOptics
Overview
I.     Understanding our Customers

II.    Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit

III.   Building the Business:
       Channels, Partners & Regulators

IV.    Introducing.. periOptics




                                            dentalOptics
Version 2+                           The A-Team


                • Prototyping                 •    Improved           •   Personal
• Manufacturers • Design                           diagnostics            service          • Procedure
                • Manufacturing                                       •   Training &         type
• Hypothesis Tested:
   Resellers    • Marketing
                                              •    Superior               demos
                • Sales                                               •   Continuing       - Root canal
                                                   patient
• Distributors  • Service                                                 education        - Crack
    • Lighting needs differ                        experience
                                                                                           detection
•    Marketers on procedure type
      based                                   •    Reduced                                 - Color
•    Trade                                         procedure                               matching
     organizations     •   Stanford                time               •   Direct sales
                       •   IP                                         •   Trade
                       •   Human                                          shows
                       •   Our network                                •   Distributor



•    Human resources       •   Compliance                        •   Product sales
•    Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                      •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•    Marketing                 support                           •   Accessory sales
•    Sales                 •   Legal                             •   Consumable sales

                                                                                   dentalOptics
Segmenting by Procedure Types
                 Intra-oral light
                     benefit              Procedure
                    Increased
                     visibility in       Root canal
                     tight spaces
   Reduce
    procedure
    time
                    Multiple teeth      Crack               Dentists
                     at once              detection
   Improve
    Diagnostic
    Capability
                    More natural        Color
                     light                matching




                                                       dentalOptics
Best response: Transillumination
                      Intra-oral light
                    + imaging benefit             Procedure
                        Track
                         crack/defect             Root canal
   Reduce               progress
    procedure
    time
                        Multiple teeth          Transillumination          Dentists
   Improve              at once                  for Cracks
    Preventative
    Diagnostic
    Capability
                        Proactive
                                                  Color
                         detection vs.
   Drive patient        waiting for               matching
    loyalty and          patient pain
    return visits




                                                                      dentalOptics
Prototyping




              Transilluminated tooth using fiber or LED source




                                                      dentalOptics
Prototypes




             dentalOptics
Form & Function




          function   form

                       dentalOptics
Physical prototypes help!
• Handing dentists a crude clay mockup got us better, more actionable
 feedback

• A great way of gauging whether new functionality satisfies a need




                                                     dentalOptics
Interest, but not excitement
    Dentists generally liked the
             prototype                                   Key Takeaways

Dentist #
                                                 Imaging back teeth is essential
       5
                                                 Market would be somewhat
       4                                         limited / niche

       3

       2

       1

      None         Neutral       Very Positive
             Interest in prototype
                                                                  dentalOptics
Version 2+                           The A-Team


                • Prototyping                 •    Improved           •   Personal
• Manufacturers • Design                           diagnostics            service          • Procedure
                • Manufacturing                                       •   Training &         type
• Hypothesis Tested:
   Resellers    • Marketing
                                              •    Superior               demos
                • Sales                                               •   Continuing       - Root canal
                                                   patient
• Distributors  • Service                                                 education        - Crack
    • Lighting needs differ                        experience
                                                                                           detection
•    Marketers on procedure type
      based                                   •    Reduced                                 - Color
•    Trade                                         procedure                               matching
     organizations     •   Stanford                time               •   Direct sales
                       •   IP                                         •   Trade
                       •   Human                                          shows
                       •   Our network                                •   Distributor



•    Human resources       •   Compliance                        •   Product sales
•    Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                      •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•    Marketing                 support                           •   Accessory sales
•    Sales                 •   Legal                             •   Consumable sales

                                                                                   dentalOptics
Version 2+                            The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                 •   Personal
                      •                      •    Reduced                 service          • Crack
•   Manufacturers         Design
                      •   Manufacturing           procedure           •   Training &
                                                  time
                                                                                             detection
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                       demos
                      •   Sales                                       •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •   Service            •    Improve                 education
                                                  preventative
•   Marketers                                     diagnostics

•   Trade                                    •    Increase # of
    organizations     •   Stanford                                    •   Direct sales
                                                  procedures
                      •   IP                                          •   Trade
                      •   Human              •    Provide a               shows
                      •   Our network             patient record      •   Distributor



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                         •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                       •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                            •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                              •   Consumable sales

                                                                                   dentalOptics
Keeping our ear to the ground..
We were tipped off to a potentially larger diagnostic market:




                                              dentalOptics
Keeping our ear to the ground..
We were tipped off to a potentially larger diagnostic market:


                             Non-invasive gum disease
                             detection



                               “This would be a game changer!”
                                   “A new standard of care”



                                               dentalOptics
This should get poked into your
gums 192 times during a dental
visit




        …there must be a better way
                          dentalOptics
Version 2+                            The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                 •   Personal
                      •                      •    Reduced                 service          • Crack
•   Manufacturers         Design
                      •   Manufacturing           procedure           •   Training &
                                                  time
                                                                                             detection
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                       demos
                      •   Sales                                       •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •   Service            •    Improve                 education
                                                  preventative
                                                                                           • Periodontal
•   Marketers                                     diagnostics
                                                                                             imaging
•   Trade                                    •    Increase # of
    organizations     •   Stanford                                    •   Direct sales
                                                  procedures
                      •   IP                                          •   Trade
                      •   Human              •    Provide a               showsCustomer Insight:
                      •   Our network             patient record      •   Distributor
                                                                            • Periodontal
                                                                               imaging could be
•   Human resources       •   Compliance                         • Product sales larger market
                                                                               a
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                       •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                            •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                              •   Consumable sales

                                                                                   dentalOptics
Periodontal care right now
              Considerable undertreatment

              70% of offices don’t regularly do a full
              probe test of all teeth! Time & effort

              50% of US population has mild-severe
              periodontitis, only 5-10% of are
              treated

              “The number-one reason dentists are
              sued is failure to diagnose periodontal
              disease”*

              30% of patients don’t feel the need for
              the recommended treatment*

              Increases with aging population
                                     dentalOptics
              *K. Esler, Sidekick (2009)
Version 3+                            The A-Team


                • Prototyping                                          •   Personal
                • Design                      •    Reduced                 service          • Crack
• Manufacturers
                • Manufacturing                    procedure           •   Training &
                                                   time
                                                                                              detection
• Hypothesis Tested:
   Resellers    • Marketing                                                demos
                • Sales                                                •   Continuing
• Distributors  • Service                     •    Improve                 education
    • Periodontal imaging is of                    preventative
                                                                                            • Periodontal
•    Marketers interest to
       greater                                     diagnostics
                                                                                              imaging
•
       dentists
     Trade                                    •    Increase # of
     organizations     •   Stanford                                    •   Direct sales
                                                   procedures
                       •   IP                                          •   Trade
                       •   Human              •    Provide a               shows
                       •   Our network             patient record      •   Distributor



•    Human resources       •   Compliance                         •   Product sales
•    Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                       •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•    Marketing                 support                            •   Accessory sales
•    Sales                 •   Legal                              •   Consumable sales

                                                                                    dentalOptics
Version 3+                             The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •   Personal
                                             •    Accuracy
•   Manufacturers     •   Design                                           service          • Crack
                      •   Manufacturing      •    Reduced time         •   Training &         detection
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                        demos
                      •   Sales              •    Patient comfort      •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •   Service                                          education


                                                                                                  ✔
                                             •    Increase # of
                                                  procedures                                • Periodontal
•   Marketers
                                                                                              imaging
                                             •    Improve records
•   Trade
    organizations     •   Stanford                                     •   Direct sales
                                             •    Patient
                      •   IP                      education
                                                                       •   Trade
                      •   Human                                            shows
                      •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Distributor
                                                  malpractice



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                    dentalOptics
Version 3+                             The A-Team


                      •    Prototyping                                  •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                             •    Accuracy
•                     •    Design                                           service
    Manufacturers
                      •    Manufacturing                                •   Training &
                                                                                             • Periodontal
                                              •    Reduced time
•   Resellers         •                                                                        imaging
•   Resellers              Marketing                                        demos
                      •    Sales              •    Patient comfort      •   Continuing
•
•   Distributors
    Distributors      •    Service                                          education
                                              •    Increase # of
•
•   Marketers
    Marketers         New hypothesis:              procedures

                                              •    Improve records
•   Trade
    Trade
    organizations
    organizations     ••   Stanford
                            Insurance companies                         •   Direct sales
                                          •  Patient
                      •    IP                                           •   Trade
                            could be strategic partners
                                             education
•   Insurance         •    Human                                            shows
    companies         •    Our network    •  Reduced                    •   Distributor
                                                   malpractice



•   Human resources        •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing          •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                  support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                  •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                     dentalOptics
Overview
I.     Understanding our Customers

II.    Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit

III.   Building the Business:
       Channels, Partners & Regulators

IV.    Introducing.. periOptics




                                            dentalOptics
Version 4+                              The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                       •  Accuracy
                      •   Design                                           service
                      •   Manufacturing                                •   Training &
                                                                                             • Periodontal
                                        •  Reduced time
                                 Hypotheses Tested:
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                                            imaging
                                                                           demos
                      •   Sales         •  Patient comfort             •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •          •
                          Service Insurance companies
                                             •    Increase # of
                                                                           education
•   Marketers                    would embrace this
                                           procedures
                                 technology
                                       •   Improve records
•   Trade                    • FDA compliance is not • Direct sales
    organizations     • Stanford
                                       •   Patient
                                 prohibitive
                      • IP                 education
                                                           • Trade
•   Insurance         •   Human                                            shows
    companies         •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Distributor
                                                  malpractice



•   Human resources       •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                     dentalOptics
Key Partner: Insurance
                              Largest dental insurance
                              provider in California


“Periodontal probing is the single most inaccurate piece of data
we get from dentists. Fraud and abuse are common”




                                                         dentalOptics
Key Partner: Insurance
                               Largest dental insurance
                               provider in California


“Periodontal probing is the single most inaccurate piece of data
we get from dentists. Fraud and abuse are common”

Dental Policy Committee
• Meets regularly to evaluate new technologies
• Determines which technologies will be added to annual contracts
  based on efficacy and cost savings to insurance company


Willing to recommend use of new technology
Need more clinical data, but are enthusiastic about the idea!


                                                           dentalOptics
What we make


           Device cost
            (one time)

             ~$2000

Dental
                              Dentist
Optics
           Disposables
         ~$2.50 per patient



                                        dentalOptics
What the dentist normally makes
                                            $250
                                                               Insurance



                                                                          Membership
                                                       $250
                                                      Co-pay

                                            Dentist             Patient




                                                           Equipment / Variable Costs
Note: Assumes 50/50 copay-insurance split
                                                                          dentalOptics
What we’d add for the dentist
                                                                              Device creates
                                            $250                                additional
                                                               Insurance       periodontal
                                                                               procedures
                            Device cost
                             (one time)
                                                                          Membership
                               ~$2000                  $250
                                                      Co-pay
      Dental
                                            Dentist             Patient
      Optics
                            Disposables
                       ~$2.50 per patient


                                                           Equipment / Variable Costs
Note: Assumes 50/50 copay-insurance split
                                                                          dentalOptics
Three classes of FDA Devices
                                       Criteria                     FDA Requirements
                            Minimal health and safety           Need to register with FDA but
       Class I              risks, established precedent        not get approval before putting it
      (eg, dental                                               on the market
pick, gloves, toothbru
          sh)


                            Presents safety and health risks    Submit 510-K application to
      Class II              that aren't completely controlled   FDA, include detail about
       (eg, dental          by GMP (good manufacturing          device, marketing
fillings, ceramics, drill   processes)                          materials, device safety
            s)                                                  features, and other paperwork


                            Invasive, inflammable, or           Very thorough process similar to
                            presents other significant          drug approval. Requires clinical
      Class III             significant safety risks. Often     trails and mountains of
(eg, stent, implantabl
                            times a new type of device          paperwork
   e pacemaker)

                                                                         dentalOptics
Some regulatory risk
             Device key risk:        Proxy suggests our device
              misdiagnosis                 will be class II

Device carries little direct risk   Intra-oral, non-invasive laser light
• Intra-oral, non-invasive probe    caries (tooth decay) detector
• Uses non-harmful wavelengths
  of radiation                      Approved as class II medical
                                    device. Clinical tests conducted to
                                    prove accuracy
Key risk: misdiagnosis
• Clinical evidence required to
  establish efficacy




Source: Iowa Dental Supply                               dentalOptics
Class II FDA approval process
Month        0               3             6               9              12             15                18


                  Feasibility study                   Class II device FDA trials and approval

             • Construct device                • Determine predicate device(s)
                 prototype
                                               • Enroll 4-7 sites and 10+ periodontists in study
             • Determine device
                                               • Fix critical end-points based on device capability (eg,
                 diagnostic capabilities
                                                1 mm measurement error)
             • Begin FDA 510(k)
                                               • Submit 510(k) to FDA and obtain approval
                 documentation
             • Enroll 1-2 periodontists
                 in preliminary efficacy
                 study

                                                                                           Without a predicate

Trial Size         30 patients                           200-400 patients                 1000-2000 patients
Costs               $200 K                               $200 - 400 K                    dentalOptics
                                                                                        $1,000 – 2,000 K
Version 4+                              The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                       •  Accuracy
•                     •   Design                                           service
    Manufacturers
                      •   Manufacturing                                •   Training &
                                                                                             • Periodontal
                                        •  Reduced time
                                 Hypotheses Tested:
•   Resellers         •                                                                        imaging
•   Resellers             Marketing                                        demos
                      •   Sales         •  Patient comfort             •   Continuing
•   Distributors      •
•   Distributors                 •
                          Service Insurance companies
                                             •    Increase # of
                                                                           education
•
•   Marketers
    Marketers
                                 would embrace this
                                           procedures
                                 technology
                                       •   Improve records
•   Trade
    Trade                    • FDA compliance is not • Direct sales
    organizations
    organizations     • Stanford
                                       •   Patient
                                 prohibitive
                      • IP                                 • Trade

                    ✔
                                           education
•   Insurance         •   Human                                            shows
    companies         •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Distributor
                                                  malpractice



•
•
•
    Human resources
    Manufacturing
                          •
                          •
                              Compliance
                              Warranties &
                                                 ✔                •
                                                                  •
                                                                      Product sales
                                                                      Licensing (physical & IP)
    Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                     dentalOptics
Version 4+                             The A-Team


                      • Prototyping                                      •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                     • Accuracy
                      • Design                                               service
                      • Manufacturing                                    •   Training &
                                                                                              • Periodontal
                                      • Reduced time
•   Resellers         • Marketing                                                               imaging
                                                                             demos
                      • Sales         • Patient comfort                  •   Continuing
•   Distributors      • Question asked:
                         Service                                             education
                                               •    Increase # of
•   Marketers                                       procedures
                          • How do we sell our
                                       •   Improve records
•   Trade                   product?
    organizations     •     Stanford                                     •   Direct sales
                                               •    Patient
                      •     IP                      education
                                                                         •   Trade
•   Insurance         •     Human                                            shows
    companies         •     Our network        •    Reduced              •   Distributor
                                                    malpractice



•   Human resources         •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing           •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                   support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                   •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                      dentalOptics
Channels



     Direct Sales         Big Distributors




  Private Practice   Institutional   Purchasing
      Dentist          Dentist       Department



                                                  dentalOptics
Channels



     Direct Sales         Big Distributors

                                                  80% Market Share
                                                  30% Margin




  Private Practice   Institutional   Purchasing
      Dentist          Dentist       Department



                                                         dentalOptics
Channels
                                                  Continuing
                                                  Education     Magazines   Trade
                                                   Courses       & Email    Shows




     Direct Sales         Big Distributors

                                                   80% Market Share
                                                   30% Margin




  Private Practice   Institutional   Purchasing
      Dentist          Dentist       Department



                                                               dentalOptics
Version 4+                             The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                            •    Accuracy
                      •   Design                                           service
                      •   Manufacturing                                •   Training &
                                                                                            • Periodontal
                                             •    Reduced time
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                                           imaging
                                                                           demos
                      •   Sales              •    Patient comfort      •   Continuing
•   Schein/Patt.      •   Service                                          education
                                             •    Increase # of
•   Marketers                                     procedures

                                             •    Improve records
•   Trade
                      •   Stanford                                     •   Direct sales
    organizations                            •
                      •   IP
                                                  Patient              •   Trade
                                                  education
•   Insurance         •   Human                                            shows
    companies         •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Patterson/S
                                                  malpractice              chein


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales
                                                                                    dentalOptics
Version 4+                          The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •  Personal
•   Manufacturers                            •    Accuracy
                      •   Design                                          service
                      •   Manufacturing                                • Training &
                                                                                           • Periodontal
                                             •    Reduced time
•   Resellers         •   Marketing                                                          imaging
                                                                          demos
                      •   Sales              •    Patient comfort      • Hypothesis
                                                                          Continuing     Tested:
•   Distributors      •   Service                                         education
                                             •    Increase # of
•   Marketers                                     procedures            • Value Propositions are
•   Trade                                    •    Improve records         strong enough to sell
                      •   Stanford                                     • Direct sales
                                                                          products
    organizations                            •
                      •   IP
                                                  Patient              •   Trade
                                                  education
•   Insurance         •   Human                                            shows
    companies         •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Patterson/S
                                                  malpractice              chein


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                    dentalOptics
Our Sales Pitch




                  dentalOptics
Patient experience is key
                        •    Accuracy                          
                        •    Reduced time                      ☐
                        •    Patient comfort                   
Value Props             •    Patient education                 
                        •    Reduced malpractice exposure      
                        •    Up-sell procedures                
                        •    Improved record keeping           


                                    “This seems
                                    reasonable”
              “I’d write you a      “We would have          “It would be cost
              check today!”         the discussion”         prohibitive”
Cost Props
                            $1000     $2000                   $8000

                                 Per patient consumable cost < $5
                                                         dentalOptics
Version 4+                             The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                                  •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                            •    Accuracy
•                     •   Design                                           service
    Manufacturers
                      •   Manufacturing                                •   Training &
                                                                                            • Periodontal
                                             •    Reduced time
•   Resellers         •                                                                       imaging
•   Resellers             Marketing                                        demos
                      •   Sales              •    Patient comfort      •   Continuing
•
•   Distributors
    Distributors      •   Service                                          education
                                             •    Increase # of
•
•   Marketers
    Marketers                                     procedures

                                             •    Improve records
•   Trade
    Trade
                      •   Stanford                                     •   Direct sales
    organizations
    organizations                            •
                      •   IP
                                                  Patient              •   Trade
                                                  education
•   Insurance         •   Human                                            shows
    companies         •   Our network        •    Reduced              •   Patterson/S
                                                  malpractice              chein


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                          •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                        •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                             •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                               •   Consumable sales

                                                                                    dentalOptics
Version 4+                         The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                              •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                            •    Accuracy
•                     •   Design                                       service
    Manufacturers
                      •   Manufacturing                            •   Training &
                                                                                        • Periodontal
•   Resellers         •                      •    Reduced time                            imaging
•   Resellers             Marketing                                    demos
                      •   Sales                                    •   Continuing
•
•   Distributors
    Distributors      •   Service            •    Patient              education
                                                  comfort
•
•   Marketers
    Marketers
                                             •    Improved
•   Trade
    Trade                                         records
                      •   Stanford                                 •   Direct sales
    organizations
    organizations
                      •   IP                 •    Patient
                                                                   •   Trade
•   Insurance         •   Human                   education            shows
    companies         •   Our network                              •   Patterson/S
                                                                       chein


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                      •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                    •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                         •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                           •   Consumable sales
                                                                                dentalOptics
Version 5                         The A-Team


                      •   Prototyping                             •   Personal
•   Manufacturers                            •   Accuracy
•                     •   Design                                      service
    Manufacturers
                      •   Manufacturing                           •   Training &
                                                                                       • Periodontal
•   Resellers         •                      •   Reduced time                            imaging
•   Resellers             Marketing                                   demos
                      •   Sales                                   •   Continuing
•
•   Distributors
    Distributors      •   Service            •   Patient              education
                                                 comfort
•
•   Marketers
    Marketers
                                             •   Improved
•   Trade
    Trade                                        records
                      •   Stanford                                •   Direct sales
    organizations
    organizations
                      •   IP                 •   Patient
                                                                  •   Trade
•   Insurance         •   Human                  education            shows
    companies         •   Our network                             •   Patterson/S
                                                                      chein


•   Human resources       •   Compliance                     •   Product sales
•   Manufacturing         •   Warranties &                   •   Licensing (physical & IP)
•   Marketing                 support                        •   Accessory sales
•   Sales                 •   Legal                          •   Consumable sales
                                                                               dentalOptics
dentalOptics




               dentalOptics
dentalOptics

 periOptics



               dentalOptics
Our Product: periOptics




                          dentalOptics
Our Product: periOptics

                     $2000 per unit
                     $2.50 per silicone sleeve

                     Distributed through:
                     Patterson Dental &
                     Direct

                     Imaging Resolution:
                     < 1mm



                              dentalOptics
$400 MM annual total addressable market
for Periodontal Diagnostic Device
                              Total addressable market ($MM)
    450
                                                        $320 MM                  $400 MM
    400
    350
    300
    250
    200
    150
    100                 $75 MM

     50
      0
                     Device sales                     Consumables                  Total
             •    Device cost - $2000             •   $2.5 consumables per
             •    Amortized over 4 years              patient
                                                  •   128 MM patients per year   dentalOptics
Source: Department of Health and Human Services
Growth Plan
Month         0                6         12                18                24


Regulatory        Feasibility study     Class II device FDA trials and approval

Product
              Early Prototype Dev.    Product Cycle I            Product Cycle II
Development

Scale-up
                                              Planning with Manufacturers
Preparation

Costs               $300 K                              $1.5-2 M




                                                                dentalOptics
Growth Plan
Month             0                  6                12                  18                24


Regulatory              Feasibility study            Class II device FDA trials and approval

Product
                   Early Prototype Dev.            Product Cycle I              Product Cycle II
Development

Scale-up
                                                           Planning with Manufacturers
Preparation

Costs                     $300 K                                     $1.5-2 M

Unit Economics                                                                      Cost to Dentist:
                                                                                    $2000

   Cost of Goods                         Margin                       Distributor


        $500*                               $900                        $600
                                                        Revenue
 *At scale: 10K units                                                          dentalOptics
Next Step: Evaluate Technical Options
Optical                Acoustic




                      J Clin Periodontol 2003; 30: 849–854
                      Printed in Denmark. All rights reserved




                         function                       dentalOptics
                      Periodontal ultrasonogra
Lessons Learned
Physical prototypes engage potential customers

Consumables are key to revenue models in dental devices

Listen to your customers for new directions

Caregivers don’t think exclusively like businesspeople: the
patient experience is paramount

“Hi, I’m a Stanford student…” gets you a conversation with
pretty much anyone



                                                  dentalOptics
Lean LaunchPad – Student Selection
• Students apply as a team
  – Their application is their business model canvas
  – Interdisciplinary business and engineering teams
• We select for teams, notideas
Lean LaunchPad - Class Organization
• Teams present every week
  – Teaching team critiques
• Teams spend tens of hours outside the classroom
  – They keep a blog of their customer discovery
• Lectures are minimalist
• Syllabus and slides on-line
Example of a
Lean LaunchPad Team Blog
Lean LaunchPad Class




 National Science Foundation
Lean LaunchPad Class
We’ll Teach ~175 Teams in 2012




 National Science Foundation
Part 4


The New Entrepreneurship Curriculum
This is Not about One Class
It Changes Everything
It Changes Everything

      Undergraduate/Graduate
 Technology Startups, Small Business
Startups, Corporate Entrepreneurship
How?
Building the New Curriculum
Step 1:
      Decide what type of
Entrepreneurship you’re teaching
Step 1:
      Decide what type of
Entrepreneurship you’re teaching
  Small business? Social? Scalable?
         Buyable? Corporate?
Step 2:
Embrace Search Versus Execute
Step 2:
Embrace Search Versus Execute
     It drives the new curriculum
Step 3:
 Start By Teaching the
Business Model Canvas
Step 3:
Start Teaching the Canvas
 It’s the basics for “hypotheses”
Step 3:
Start Teaching the Canvas
    Undergrads to graduates
Step 4:
Start Teaching Customer Development
Step 4:
Start Teaching Customer Development

        It’s the basics for “search”
Step 4:
Start Teaching Customer Development

    Level of intensity can vary – but getting
        out of the classroom is the key
Step 5:
Move Teaching the Plan
Step 5:
  Move Teaching the Plan
Operating Plans come after the search
Step 5:
Move Teaching the Plan
 Business Plan competitions
 do not teach real-world skills
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312
NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312

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NCIIA Steve Blank Keynote 032312

  • 1. Crossing the Rubicon: Entrepreneurial education at the crossroads Steve Blank www.steveblank.com @sgblank
  • 2. We’ve learned a lot about entrepreneurship
  • 3. Perhaps our curriculums should reflect what we’ve learned?
  • 4. Agenda 1. What we used to believe / What we now know 2. Business Models and Customer Development 3. Class Example 4. The Evolution of the Curriculum
  • 5. Part 1 What We Used to Believe What We Now Know
  • 6. What We Used to Believe
  • 7. There is one type of startup and entrepreneur
  • 8. What We Now Know
  • 9. Lifestyle Startups Work to Live their Passion Startup • Serve known customer with known product • Work for their passion
  • 10. Small Business Startups Work to Feed the Family Small Startup Business • Serve known customer with known product • Feed the family
  • 11. Small Business Startups Work to Feed the Family Small Startup Business Exit Criteria • known customer - Business Model found known product - Profitable business • Feed the family - Existing team < $500K in revenue - Not venture-backable
  • 12. Social Entrepreneurship Startups Social Large Startup Non-Profit • Solve pressing social problems • Social Enterprise: Profitable • Social Innovation: New Strategies • Not venture-backable
  • 13. Scalable Startup Born to Be Big Search Execute Scalable Large Startup Company Goal is to solve for: unknown customer and unknown features
  • 14. Scalable Startup Search Execute Scalable Large Startup Company Goal is to solve for: Exit Criteria unknown customer and - Business model found unknown features - Total Available Market > $500m - Can grow to>$100m/year - Can be Venture capital funded
  • 15. Buyable Startup Search Sell Scalable $2 to $50M Startup Acquisition Goal is to solve for: - Sell to larger company Internet, Mobile, Gaming Apps - Angel or early stage VC
  • 16. Large Company Sustaining Innovation Innovate or Evaporate Sustaining Innovation Scalable Large Transition Startup Company • Existing Market / Known customer •Known product feature needs
  • 17. Large Company Disruptive Innovation New Large Transition Division Company Disruptive Innovation •New Market •New tech, customers, channels
  • 18. Large Company Disruptive Innovation Large New Division Transition Company Disruptive Innovation •Build •Partner •Acquire - IP - Talent - Product - Customers - Business
  • 19. What We Used to Believe
  • 20. Startups are About Vision & Ideas
  • 21. What We Now Know
  • 22. Most visions are hallucinations
  • 23. What We Used to Believe
  • 24. Startups are a Smaller Version of a Large Company
  • 25. What We Now Know
  • 27. What We Used to Believe Strategy
  • 28. Start With an Operating Plan and Financial Model
  • 29. All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
  • 30. All I Need to Do is and Make the Forecast
  • 31. All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
  • 32. What We Now Know Strategy
  • 33. No Business Plan survives first contact with customers
  • 37. Search Execution Business Model Operating Plan + Strategy Hypotheses Financial Model
  • 38. What We Used to Believe Process
  • 39. We Built Startups by Managing Processes Product Management + Waterfall Engineering
  • 40. Product Introduction Model Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
  • 41. Tradition – Hire Marketing Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event - Create Positioning - “Branding”
  • 42. Tradition – Hire Sales Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event - Create Positioning - “Branding” • Hire Sales VP • Build Sales Sales • Hire 1st Sales Staff Organization
  • 43. Tradition – Hire Bus Development Concept Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event - Create Positioning - “Branding” • Hire Sales VP • Build Sales Channel / Sales • Pick distribution Distribution Channel Business • Hire First • Do deals for FCS Development Bus Dev
  • 44. Tradition – Hire Engineering Concept Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Dev. Test 1st Ship - Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event - Create Positioning - “Branding” • Hire Sales VP • Build Sales Channel / Sales • Pick distribution Distribution Channel Business • Hire First • Do deals for FCS Development Bus Dev Engineering • Write MRD • Waterfall • Q/A •Tech Pubs
  • 45. Waterfall / Product Management Execution on Two “Knowns” Requirements Product Features: known Design Implementation Verification Customer Problem: known Maintenance Source: Eric Ries http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
  • 46. Waterfall / Product Management Execution on Two “Knowns” Requirements Product Features: known Design Implementation Verification Customer Problem: known Maintenance Source: Eric Ries http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com
  • 47. What We Now Know Strategy
  • 48. More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure of product development
  • 49. Startups go from failure to failure
  • 50. Startups go from failure to failure The ones that win are those that learn from failure
  • 52. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer & Product Management & Waterfall Agile Development Development
  • 53. What We Used to Believe Organization
  • 54. Hire and Build a Functional Organization
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57. What We Now Know Organization
  • 58. Founders run a Customer Development Team No sales, marketing and business development
  • 59. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Customer Development, Product Management Process Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Customer Functional Organization Organization Development Team, by Department Founder-driven
  • 60. What We Used to Believe Education
  • 61. Entrepreneurial Education was about execution
  • 62. Entrepreneurial Education was about execution
  • 63. What We Now Know Education
  • 64. Entrepreneurial Education begins with the Search for a business model
  • 65. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer Development, Product Management Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Organization Customer Development Functional Organization Team, Founder-driven by Department Education Creativity/Innovation, Organizational Behavior, Business Model Design, HR Mgmt, Accounting, Customer Development, Modeling, Strategy, Operations, Leadership, Startup team building, Marketing, Manufacturing Entrepreneurial Finance, Agile Development, Customer Funnel: Get/Keep/Grow Market
  • 66. Putting Search first is a radical change It’s not just one more methodology
  • 67. What We Used to Believe Instructional Strategies
  • 68. Cases and a Business Plans were good entrepreneurial teaching tools
  • 69. Cases and a Business Plan were good teaching tools
  • 70. What We Now Know Instructional Strategies
  • 71. Experiential Immersion ~100 GOOTB connections
  • 73. Business Model Patterns Replace Cases Nespresso club production Nespresso machines Nespressopo ds distribution channels Nespresso .com production coffee facilites B2C 1 x machine distribution sales 73
  • 74. Business Model Competitions Replace Business Plan Competitions
  • 75. Business Model Competitions Replace Business Plan Competitions http://www.businessmodelcompetition.com/
  • 76. Now imagine these classes virtual and networked independent of location
  • 77. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer Development, Product Management Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Organization Customer Development Functional Organization Team, Founder-driven by Department Education Business Model Design, Organizational Behavior, Customer Development, HR Mgmt, Accounting, Startup team building, Modeling, Strategy, Entrepreneurial Finance, Operations, Leadership, Agile Development, Marketing, Manufacturing Marketing Instructional Experiential, constructivist, Case, Lecture, Small Strategies learner-centered, Group, Mentorship inquiry-based
  • 79. Search Strategy Business Model Hypotheses Process Customer Development, Agile Development Organization Customer Development Team, Founder-driven Education Business Model Design, Customer Development, Startup team building, Entrepreneurial Finance, Agile Development, Marketing Instructional Experiential, constructivist, Strategies learner-centered, inquiry- based
  • 80. Search Execution Strategy Business Model Operating Plan + Hypotheses Financial Model Process Customer Development, Product Management Agile Development Agile or Waterfall Development Organization Customer Development Functional Organization Team, Founder-driven by Department Education Business Model Design, Organizational Behavior, Customer Development, HR Mgmt, Accounting, Startup team building, Modeling, Strategy, Entrepreneurial Finance, Operations, Leadership, Agile Development, Marketing, Manufacturing Marketing Instructional Experiential, constructivist, Case, Lecture, Small Group, Strategies learner-centered, inquiry- Mentorship based
  • 81. Part 2 Business Models and Customer Development
  • 83. What’s A Company? A business organization which sells a product or service in exchange for revenue and profit
  • 85. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 86. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 87. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 88. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
  • 89. A temporary organization designed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model A Startup aims to become a company
  • 90. How Are Companies Organized?
  • 91. How Are Companies Organized? Companies are organized around Business Models
  • 94.
  • 95. Value Proposition What Are You Building and For Who?
  • 96.
  • 98. What About My Idea/Technology? Your idea/ technology is one of the pieces necessary to build a company. It is part of the “Value Proposition”
  • 99. Customer Segments Who Are They? Why Would They Buy? What Job are They Trying to Get Done?
  • 100.
  • 101. Channels How does your Product Get to Customers?
  • 102.
  • 103. Customer Relationships How do you Get, Keep and Grow Customers?
  • 104.
  • 105. Revenue Streams How do you Make Money?
  • 106.
  • 107. Key Resources What are your most important Assets?
  • 108.
  • 109. Key Partners Who are your Partners and Suppliers?
  • 110.
  • 111. Key Activities What’s Most Important for the Business?
  • 112.
  • 113. Cost Structure What are the Costs and Expenses
  • 114.
  • 115. CANVAS OVERLAY KEY KEY OFFER CUSTOMER CUSTOMER PARTNERS ACTIVITIES RELATIONSHIPS SEGMENTS KEY CHANNELS RESOURCES COST STRUCTURE REVENUE STREAMS images by JAM
  • 117. 9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess
  • 118. Business Model Canvas building block building building building block block building block building block block building building block building block building block block building building building building block block block block
  • 119.
  • 121. Customer Development The Process for Turning Hypotheses Into Facts
  • 122. The Four Steps – The Startup Path Customer Development
  • 123.
  • 124. Customer Development Test the Problem, Then the Solution
  • 125.
  • 127. Customer Development The Pivot
  • 128.
  • 129. Customer Development is how you search for the model Search Execution Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building Pivot
  • 131. Web/Mobile Versus Physical Customer Customer Discovery Validation Pivot •Web/Mobile startups run faster •Different process steps for web vs. physical •Customer Relationships are radically different
  • 135. Part 3 How Does this Really Work?
  • 136. How Does This Really Work? Lean LaunchPad Class 8 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
  • 137. Search Strategy Business Model Hypotheses Process Customer Development, Agile Development Organization Customer Development Team, Founder-driven This Class Education Business Model Design, Customer Development, Startup team building, Entrepreneurial Finance, Agile Development, Marketing Instructional Experiential, constructivist, Strategies learner-centered, inquiry-based
  • 138. dentalOptics Amit Desai, Aaswath Raman, AshwinMadgavkar, AlokVasudev Revolutionizing dental diagnostics through non-invasive imaging Final Presentation Interviewed: 72 people
  • 139. The A-Team Amit Desai AshwinMadgavkar Aaswath Raman AlokVasudev Ph.D., Mat. Sci MBA/M.S. Ph.D., App. Physics Ph.D., EE Cambridge, BCG, UT Austin Microsoft, Harvard UT Austin NC State Mentor: Ethan Bloch dentalOptics
  • 140. Dental lighting is ripe for innovation dentalOptics
  • 141. Original Idea : Inside-Out Dental Lighting Bring the light-source inside the mouth Provide better, more consistent illumination dentalOptics
  • 142. Overview I. Understanding our Customers II. Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit III. Building the Business: Channels, Partners & Regulators IV. Introducing.. periOptics dentalOptics
  • 143. Overview I. Understanding our Customers II. Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit III. Building the Business: Channels, Partners & Regulators IV. Introducing.. periOptics dentalOptics
  • 144. Version 0 The A-Team • Prototyping • • Personal • Manufacturers • Design Improved • Dentists • diagnostics service Manufacturing • Hygienists • Resellers • Marketing • Training & • Sales • Better • Specialists customization demos • Distributors • Service • Marketers • Superior patient • Chains • Trade • Stanford experience • Direct sales • Dental organizations • Trade schools • IP • Lower price shows • Hospitals • Human • Dental • Our network schools • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 145. Getting out of the building dentalOptics
  • 146. Three major dentist archetypes Most typical dentist • Primarily concerned with patient care Care • Worried about costs providers • Optimizes lifestyle and income Uses technology to up-sell additional procedures • Typically in high-income areas “Bentley” • State-of-the-art facilities and technologies dentists • Early adopter of dental devices Equipment handled by purchasing department • Uses financial metrics to make decisions “Chain” • Technologies standardized across all offices dentists dentalOptics
  • 147. Version 0 The A-Team • Prototyping • • Personal • Manufacturers • Design Improved • Dentists • Manufacturing diagnostics service • Hygienists • Hypotheses Resellers Tested: • Marketing • Training & • Sales • Better • Specialists customization demos • Distributors • Service • Intra-oral lighting • provides value for all Marketers • Superior patient • Chains dental professionals • Trade experience • Direct sales • Dental • Channels • Stanford organizations • Trade • IP • Lower price schools shows • Hospitals • Human • Dental • Our network schools • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 148. Immediate changes • Current lighting was satisfactory for most uses • However dentists expressed interest in better lighting for particular sets of procedures dentalOptics
  • 149. Immediate changes • Current lighting was satisfactory for most uses • However dentists expressed interest in better lighting for particular sets of procedures • Redid customer segmentation: Segment by Procedure Length dentalOptics
  • 150. Version 0 The A-Team • Prototyping • • Personal • Manufacturers • Design Improved • Dentists • diagnostics service Manufacturing • Hygienists • Resellers • Marketing • Training & • Sales • Better • Specialists customization demos • Distributors • Service • Marketers • Superior patient • Chains • Trade • Stanford experience • Direct sales • Dental organizations • Trade schools • IP • Lower price shows • Hospitals • Human • Dental • Our network schools • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 151. Version 0+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Design • Improved service • Procedure • Manufacturing diagnostics • Training & length • Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Better • Continuing • Distributors • Service customization education - Short - Medium • Marketers • Superior patient - Long • Trade experience • • Stanford Direct sales organizations • IP • Lower price • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Reduced time • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 152. Version 1 The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Design • Improved service • Procedure • Manufacturing diagnostics • Training & length • Hypothesis Resellers Tested: • Marketing demos • Sales • Better • Continuing • Distributors • Service customization education - Short • Lighting needs differ - Medium • Marketers on procedure based • Superior patient - Long • length Trade experience organizations • Stanford • Direct sales • IP • Lower price • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Reduced time • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 153. Procedure length learnings Procedure length Short (< 1 hr) Moderate (1-2 hrs) Long (> 2 hrs) dentalOptics
  • 154. Procedure length learnings Procedure length Short (< 1 hr) Moderate (1-2 hrs) Existing lighting solutions Long (> 2 hrs)  Surgical microscope  Loupe light  Clamps Anesthesia Patient comfort / movement no longer an issue dentalOptics
  • 155. Procedure length learnings Procedure length Short (< 1 hr) Identified key procedures:  Root canals  Crack detection Moderate  Color matching (1-2 hrs)  Done by all dentists Long (> 2 hrs)  Lighting critical Segment by Procedure Type dentalOptics
  • 156. Version 1 The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Design • Improved service • Procedure • Manufacturing diagnostics • Training & length • Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Better • Continuing • Distributors • Service customization education - Short - Medium • Marketers • Superior patient - Long • Trade experience organizations • Stanford • Direct sales • IP • Lower price • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Reduced time • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 157. Version 1 The A-Team • Prototyping • Improved • Personal • Manufacturers • Design diagnostics service • Procedure • Manufacturing • Training & type • Resellers • Marketing demos • Superior - Root canal • Sales • Continuing patient • Distributors • Service education - Crack experience detection • Marketers • Reduced - Color • Trade procedure matching organizations • Stanford time • Direct sales • IP • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Marketing support • Licensing (physical & IP) • Sales • Legal • Accessory sales dentalOptics
  • 158. $200 MM/yr US market size $25 B dental equipment industry • 180,000 dentists • 2300 visits per year average • Consumable for each patient TAM: $2B • ~$5 cost per consumable • 10% of visits • $0-100 cost per tool $200 M serviceable • 20% of dentists diagnostic tool market Source: US BLS, ADA, dentist interviews, industry research dentalOptics
  • 159. $200 MM/yr US market size $25 B dental equipment industry • 180,000 dentists • 2300 visits per year average • Consumable for each patient TAM: $2B • ~$5 cost per consumable • 10% of visits • $0-100 cost per tool $200 M serviceable • 20% of dentists diagnostic tool market Consumables are key Source: US BLS, ADA, dentist interviews, industry research dentalOptics
  • 160. Version 1 The A-Team • Prototyping • Improved • Personal • Manufacturers • Design diagnostics service • Procedure • Manufacturing • Training & type • Resellers • Marketing demos • Superior - Root canal • Sales • Continuing patient • Distributors • Service education - Crack experience detection • Marketers • Reduced - Color • Trade procedure matching organizations • Stanford time • Direct sales • IP • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Distributor Key Learning: •• Human resources component drastically Consumable • Compliance • Product sales • improves revenue potential & Manufacturing • Warranties • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 161. Overview I. Understanding our Customers II. Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit III. Building the Business: Channels, Partners & Regulators IV. Introducing.. periOptics dentalOptics
  • 162. Version 2+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Improved • Personal • Manufacturers • Design diagnostics service • Procedure • Manufacturing • Training & type • Hypothesis Tested: Resellers • Marketing • Superior demos • Sales • Continuing - Root canal patient • Distributors • Service education - Crack • Lighting needs differ experience detection • Marketers on procedure type based • Reduced - Color • Trade procedure matching organizations • Stanford time • Direct sales • IP • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 163. Segmenting by Procedure Types Intra-oral light benefit Procedure  Increased visibility in  Root canal tight spaces  Reduce procedure time  Multiple teeth  Crack  Dentists at once detection  Improve Diagnostic Capability  More natural  Color light matching dentalOptics
  • 164. Best response: Transillumination Intra-oral light + imaging benefit Procedure  Track crack/defect  Root canal  Reduce progress procedure time  Multiple teeth  Transillumination  Dentists  Improve at once for Cracks Preventative Diagnostic Capability  Proactive  Color detection vs.  Drive patient waiting for matching loyalty and patient pain return visits dentalOptics
  • 165. Prototyping Transilluminated tooth using fiber or LED source dentalOptics
  • 166. Prototypes dentalOptics
  • 167. Form & Function function form dentalOptics
  • 168. Physical prototypes help! • Handing dentists a crude clay mockup got us better, more actionable feedback • A great way of gauging whether new functionality satisfies a need dentalOptics
  • 169. Interest, but not excitement Dentists generally liked the prototype Key Takeaways Dentist # Imaging back teeth is essential 5 Market would be somewhat 4 limited / niche 3 2 1 None Neutral Very Positive Interest in prototype dentalOptics
  • 170. Version 2+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Improved • Personal • Manufacturers • Design diagnostics service • Procedure • Manufacturing • Training & type • Hypothesis Tested: Resellers • Marketing • Superior demos • Sales • Continuing - Root canal patient • Distributors • Service education - Crack • Lighting needs differ experience detection • Marketers on procedure type based • Reduced - Color • Trade procedure matching organizations • Stanford time • Direct sales • IP • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 171. Version 2+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • • Reduced service • Crack • Manufacturers Design • Manufacturing procedure • Training & time detection • Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Continuing • Distributors • Service • Improve education preventative • Marketers diagnostics • Trade • Increase # of organizations • Stanford • Direct sales procedures • IP • Trade • Human • Provide a shows • Our network patient record • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 172. Keeping our ear to the ground.. We were tipped off to a potentially larger diagnostic market: dentalOptics
  • 173. Keeping our ear to the ground.. We were tipped off to a potentially larger diagnostic market: Non-invasive gum disease detection “This would be a game changer!” “A new standard of care” dentalOptics
  • 174. This should get poked into your gums 192 times during a dental visit …there must be a better way dentalOptics
  • 175. Version 2+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • • Reduced service • Crack • Manufacturers Design • Manufacturing procedure • Training & time detection • Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Continuing • Distributors • Service • Improve education preventative • Periodontal • Marketers diagnostics imaging • Trade • Increase # of organizations • Stanford • Direct sales procedures • IP • Trade • Human • Provide a showsCustomer Insight: • Our network patient record • Distributor • Periodontal imaging could be • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales larger market a • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 176. Periodontal care right now Considerable undertreatment 70% of offices don’t regularly do a full probe test of all teeth! Time & effort 50% of US population has mild-severe periodontitis, only 5-10% of are treated “The number-one reason dentists are sued is failure to diagnose periodontal disease”* 30% of patients don’t feel the need for the recommended treatment* Increases with aging population dentalOptics *K. Esler, Sidekick (2009)
  • 177. Version 3+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Design • Reduced service • Crack • Manufacturers • Manufacturing procedure • Training & time detection • Hypothesis Tested: Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Continuing • Distributors • Service • Improve education • Periodontal imaging is of preventative • Periodontal • Marketers interest to greater diagnostics imaging • dentists Trade • Increase # of organizations • Stanford • Direct sales procedures • IP • Trade • Human • Provide a shows • Our network patient record • Distributor • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 178. Version 3+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Accuracy • Manufacturers • Design service • Crack • Manufacturing • Reduced time • Training & detection • Resellers • Marketing demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • Distributors • Service education ✔ • Increase # of procedures • Periodontal • Marketers imaging • Improve records • Trade organizations • Stanford • Direct sales • Patient • IP education • Trade • Human shows • Our network • Reduced • Distributor malpractice • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 179. Version 3+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • • Design service Manufacturers • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time • Resellers • imaging • Resellers Marketing demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • • Distributors Distributors • Service education • Increase # of • • Marketers Marketers New hypothesis: procedures • Improve records • Trade Trade organizations organizations •• Stanford Insurance companies • Direct sales • Patient • IP • Trade could be strategic partners education • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Distributor malpractice • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 180. Overview I. Understanding our Customers II. Finding Customer & Value Proposition Fit III. Building the Business: Channels, Partners & Regulators IV. Introducing.. periOptics dentalOptics
  • 181. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • Design service • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time Hypotheses Tested: • Resellers • Marketing imaging demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • Distributors • • Service Insurance companies • Increase # of education • Marketers would embrace this procedures technology • Improve records • Trade • FDA compliance is not • Direct sales organizations • Stanford • Patient prohibitive • IP education • Trade • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Distributor malpractice • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 182. Key Partner: Insurance Largest dental insurance provider in California “Periodontal probing is the single most inaccurate piece of data we get from dentists. Fraud and abuse are common” dentalOptics
  • 183. Key Partner: Insurance Largest dental insurance provider in California “Periodontal probing is the single most inaccurate piece of data we get from dentists. Fraud and abuse are common” Dental Policy Committee • Meets regularly to evaluate new technologies • Determines which technologies will be added to annual contracts based on efficacy and cost savings to insurance company Willing to recommend use of new technology Need more clinical data, but are enthusiastic about the idea! dentalOptics
  • 184. What we make Device cost (one time) ~$2000 Dental Dentist Optics Disposables ~$2.50 per patient dentalOptics
  • 185. What the dentist normally makes $250 Insurance Membership $250 Co-pay Dentist Patient Equipment / Variable Costs Note: Assumes 50/50 copay-insurance split dentalOptics
  • 186. What we’d add for the dentist Device creates $250 additional Insurance periodontal procedures Device cost (one time) Membership ~$2000 $250 Co-pay Dental Dentist Patient Optics Disposables ~$2.50 per patient Equipment / Variable Costs Note: Assumes 50/50 copay-insurance split dentalOptics
  • 187. Three classes of FDA Devices Criteria FDA Requirements Minimal health and safety Need to register with FDA but Class I risks, established precedent not get approval before putting it (eg, dental on the market pick, gloves, toothbru sh) Presents safety and health risks Submit 510-K application to Class II that aren't completely controlled FDA, include detail about (eg, dental by GMP (good manufacturing device, marketing fillings, ceramics, drill processes) materials, device safety s) features, and other paperwork Invasive, inflammable, or Very thorough process similar to presents other significant drug approval. Requires clinical Class III significant safety risks. Often trails and mountains of (eg, stent, implantabl times a new type of device paperwork e pacemaker) dentalOptics
  • 188. Some regulatory risk Device key risk: Proxy suggests our device misdiagnosis will be class II Device carries little direct risk Intra-oral, non-invasive laser light • Intra-oral, non-invasive probe caries (tooth decay) detector • Uses non-harmful wavelengths of radiation Approved as class II medical device. Clinical tests conducted to prove accuracy Key risk: misdiagnosis • Clinical evidence required to establish efficacy Source: Iowa Dental Supply dentalOptics
  • 189. Class II FDA approval process Month 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Feasibility study Class II device FDA trials and approval • Construct device • Determine predicate device(s) prototype • Enroll 4-7 sites and 10+ periodontists in study • Determine device • Fix critical end-points based on device capability (eg, diagnostic capabilities 1 mm measurement error) • Begin FDA 510(k) • Submit 510(k) to FDA and obtain approval documentation • Enroll 1-2 periodontists in preliminary efficacy study Without a predicate Trial Size 30 patients 200-400 patients 1000-2000 patients Costs $200 K $200 - 400 K dentalOptics $1,000 – 2,000 K
  • 190. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • • Design service Manufacturers • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time Hypotheses Tested: • Resellers • imaging • Resellers Marketing demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • Distributors • • Distributors • Service Insurance companies • Increase # of education • • Marketers Marketers would embrace this procedures technology • Improve records • Trade Trade • FDA compliance is not • Direct sales organizations organizations • Stanford • Patient prohibitive • IP • Trade ✔ education • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Distributor malpractice • • • Human resources Manufacturing • • Compliance Warranties & ✔ • • Product sales Licensing (physical & IP) Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 191. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • Design service • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time • Resellers • Marketing imaging demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • Distributors • Question asked: Service education • Increase # of • Marketers procedures • How do we sell our • Improve records • Trade product? organizations • Stanford • Direct sales • Patient • IP education • Trade • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Distributor malpractice • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 192. Channels Direct Sales Big Distributors Private Practice Institutional Purchasing Dentist Dentist Department dentalOptics
  • 193. Channels Direct Sales Big Distributors 80% Market Share 30% Margin Private Practice Institutional Purchasing Dentist Dentist Department dentalOptics
  • 194. Channels Continuing Education Magazines Trade Courses & Email Shows Direct Sales Big Distributors 80% Market Share 30% Margin Private Practice Institutional Purchasing Dentist Dentist Department dentalOptics
  • 195. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • Design service • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time • Resellers • Marketing imaging demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • Schein/Patt. • Service education • Increase # of • Marketers procedures • Improve records • Trade • Stanford • Direct sales organizations • • IP Patient • Trade education • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Patterson/S malpractice chein • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 196. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • Design service • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time • Resellers • Marketing imaging demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Hypothesis Continuing Tested: • Distributors • Service education • Increase # of • Marketers procedures • Value Propositions are • Trade • Improve records strong enough to sell • Stanford • Direct sales products organizations • • IP Patient • Trade education • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Patterson/S malpractice chein • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 197. Our Sales Pitch dentalOptics
  • 198. Patient experience is key • Accuracy  • Reduced time ☐ • Patient comfort  Value Props • Patient education  • Reduced malpractice exposure  • Up-sell procedures  • Improved record keeping  “This seems reasonable” “I’d write you a “We would have “It would be cost check today!” the discussion” prohibitive” Cost Props $1000 $2000 $8000 Per patient consumable cost < $5 dentalOptics
  • 199. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • • Design service Manufacturers • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Reduced time • Resellers • imaging • Resellers Marketing demos • Sales • Patient comfort • Continuing • • Distributors Distributors • Service education • Increase # of • • Marketers Marketers procedures • Improve records • Trade Trade • Stanford • Direct sales organizations organizations • • IP Patient • Trade education • Insurance • Human shows companies • Our network • Reduced • Patterson/S malpractice chein • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 200. Version 4+ The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • • Design service Manufacturers • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Resellers • • Reduced time imaging • Resellers Marketing demos • Sales • Continuing • • Distributors Distributors • Service • Patient education comfort • • Marketers Marketers • Improved • Trade Trade records • Stanford • Direct sales organizations organizations • IP • Patient • Trade • Insurance • Human education shows companies • Our network • Patterson/S chein • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 201. Version 5 The A-Team • Prototyping • Personal • Manufacturers • Accuracy • • Design service Manufacturers • Manufacturing • Training & • Periodontal • Resellers • • Reduced time imaging • Resellers Marketing demos • Sales • Continuing • • Distributors Distributors • Service • Patient education comfort • • Marketers Marketers • Improved • Trade Trade records • Stanford • Direct sales organizations organizations • IP • Patient • Trade • Insurance • Human education shows companies • Our network • Patterson/S chein • Human resources • Compliance • Product sales • Manufacturing • Warranties & • Licensing (physical & IP) • Marketing support • Accessory sales • Sales • Legal • Consumable sales dentalOptics
  • 202. dentalOptics dentalOptics
  • 203. dentalOptics periOptics dentalOptics
  • 204. Our Product: periOptics dentalOptics
  • 205. Our Product: periOptics $2000 per unit $2.50 per silicone sleeve Distributed through: Patterson Dental & Direct Imaging Resolution: < 1mm dentalOptics
  • 206. $400 MM annual total addressable market for Periodontal Diagnostic Device Total addressable market ($MM) 450 $320 MM $400 MM 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 $75 MM 50 0 Device sales Consumables Total • Device cost - $2000 • $2.5 consumables per • Amortized over 4 years patient • 128 MM patients per year dentalOptics Source: Department of Health and Human Services
  • 207. Growth Plan Month 0 6 12 18 24 Regulatory Feasibility study Class II device FDA trials and approval Product Early Prototype Dev. Product Cycle I Product Cycle II Development Scale-up Planning with Manufacturers Preparation Costs $300 K $1.5-2 M dentalOptics
  • 208. Growth Plan Month 0 6 12 18 24 Regulatory Feasibility study Class II device FDA trials and approval Product Early Prototype Dev. Product Cycle I Product Cycle II Development Scale-up Planning with Manufacturers Preparation Costs $300 K $1.5-2 M Unit Economics Cost to Dentist: $2000 Cost of Goods Margin Distributor $500* $900 $600 Revenue *At scale: 10K units dentalOptics
  • 209. Next Step: Evaluate Technical Options Optical Acoustic J Clin Periodontol 2003; 30: 849–854 Printed in Denmark. All rights reserved function dentalOptics Periodontal ultrasonogra
  • 210. Lessons Learned Physical prototypes engage potential customers Consumables are key to revenue models in dental devices Listen to your customers for new directions Caregivers don’t think exclusively like businesspeople: the patient experience is paramount “Hi, I’m a Stanford student…” gets you a conversation with pretty much anyone dentalOptics
  • 211. Lean LaunchPad – Student Selection • Students apply as a team – Their application is their business model canvas – Interdisciplinary business and engineering teams • We select for teams, notideas
  • 212. Lean LaunchPad - Class Organization • Teams present every week – Teaching team critiques • Teams spend tens of hours outside the classroom – They keep a blog of their customer discovery • Lectures are minimalist • Syllabus and slides on-line
  • 213. Example of a Lean LaunchPad Team Blog
  • 214. Lean LaunchPad Class National Science Foundation
  • 215. Lean LaunchPad Class We’ll Teach ~175 Teams in 2012 National Science Foundation
  • 216. Part 4 The New Entrepreneurship Curriculum
  • 217. This is Not about One Class
  • 219. It Changes Everything Undergraduate/Graduate Technology Startups, Small Business Startups, Corporate Entrepreneurship
  • 220. How?
  • 221. Building the New Curriculum
  • 222. Step 1: Decide what type of Entrepreneurship you’re teaching
  • 223. Step 1: Decide what type of Entrepreneurship you’re teaching Small business? Social? Scalable? Buyable? Corporate?
  • 224. Step 2: Embrace Search Versus Execute
  • 225. Step 2: Embrace Search Versus Execute It drives the new curriculum
  • 226. Step 3: Start By Teaching the Business Model Canvas
  • 227. Step 3: Start Teaching the Canvas It’s the basics for “hypotheses”
  • 228. Step 3: Start Teaching the Canvas Undergrads to graduates
  • 229. Step 4: Start Teaching Customer Development
  • 230. Step 4: Start Teaching Customer Development It’s the basics for “search”
  • 231. Step 4: Start Teaching Customer Development Level of intensity can vary – but getting out of the classroom is the key
  • 233. Step 5: Move Teaching the Plan Operating Plans come after the search
  • 234. Step 5: Move Teaching the Plan Business Plan competitions do not teach real-world skills

Editor's Notes

  1. ----- Meeting Notes (3/6/12 10:38) -----what the dentist makes for a perio procedure