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Improving Your Entrepreneurial Odds:
 the Customer Development Process

             Steve Blank
Some Definitions
!"#$$%&'()*+((%!,#-,'.(%


     !"#$"%&'                              !"#$$%&'()*+((%




                  - Business Model found
                  - Profitable business
                  -  Existing team
                  < $10M in revenue


•  5.7 million small businesses in the U.S. <500 employees
•  They employ 99.5% of our workforce
!,#$#-$+%!,#-,'.%


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                  -  Total Available Market > $500m
                  -  Company can grow to $100m/year
                  -  Known business model
                  -  Focused on execution and process



•  In contrast a scalable startup is designed to grow big
•  It typically needs risk capital
•  These are what Silicon Valley means when they say “Startup”
!,#-,'.(
                             %
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                - Business Model found
                - Profitable business
                -  Existing team
                < $10M




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            -  Total Available Market > $500m
            -  Company can grow to $100m/year
            -  Known business model
            -  Focused on execution and process
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X X X
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                - Business Model found
                - Profitable business
                -  Existing team
                < $10M




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            -  Total Available Market > $500m
            -  Company can grow to $100m/year
            -  Known business model
            -  Focused on execution and process
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              -  Founders depart
              -  Professional Mgmt
              -  Process
              -  Beginning of scale
76#,8(%9%!,#-,'.:%

 !(#)#*)+'                                   3#$4+'
                          9$#8:;<68'
 !"#$"%&'                                  567&#82'




      -  Business Model found
      -  Product/Market fit
      - Repeatable sales model
      - Managers hired




A Startup is the organization you use to search for
         your scalable business model
OUR COMPANY




 •    Device
 •    Software
 •    IP
 •    Services


       Product

          •  Networks
             - 
                Technolog
                y
             - Customer
             - Partner
             •  Data




            •  Employees


  Resources
OUR COMPANY


                                •  EE
                                •  System
                                •  Mechanica
                                   l
 •    Device
 •    Software                  •  Industrial
                               Design
 •    IP
 •    Services


       Product
                                •  Standard
                                •  Tooled
          •  Networks           •  Critical
             - 
                Technolog                        Sales &
                y           Components          Distribution
             - Customer
             - Partner
             •  Data                                           Users


            •  Employees
            •  Knowledge
                            Manufacturing
  Resources
OUR COMPANY

                                 -'

                                                      Sales &
 •    Device                                         Distribution
 •    Software
 •    IP                         -'
 •    Services

                                                                     Users
       Product              -'
                                      Design
          •  Networks
             -                                       Demand
                Technolog                            Creation
                y           -'
             - Customer          Components
             - Partner
             •  Data



                            -'
            •  Employees
                                 Manufacturin

  Resources
                                     g
                                                -'                  Customers
!,#-,'.(%;2*8,%/#(,%<2-+=+-%


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     -  Business Model found      - Cash-flow breakeven
     -  Product/Market fit        - Profitable
     - Repeatable sales model     - Rapid scale
     - Managers hired             - New Senior Mgmt
                                  ~ 150 people


      You fail if you remain a startup!
!,#-,'.(%!+#->6?%12".#*)+(%@A+>',+%

The Search for the Business Model             The Execution of the Business Model


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             -  Business Model found      - Cash-flow breakeven
             -  Product/Market fit        - Profitable
             - Repeatable sales model     - Rapid scale
             - Managers hired             - New Senior Mgmt
                                          ~ 150 people
How Do Startups Search For A
     Business Model?
1'(,2"+-%;+=+$2."+*,
                   %
More startups Fail from
a Lack of Customers than from
     a Failure of Product
         Development
It Started With a Question

  If Startups Fail from a Lack of customers
        not Product Development Failure

             Then why do we have:
•  process to manage product development?

•  no process to manage customer development?
All We Had Was 30 Years of This


  Concept/      Product      Alpha/Beta   Launch/
 Seed Round      Dev.           Test      1st Ship


              Product Development Model
It Resulted in a Few Hypotheses

•  Startups weren’t small versions of large companies
•  They were about learning and discovery, not
   execution of a business model
•  Entrepreneurs and their VC’s were executing on
   guesses
•  But the facts were outside the building
Which Turned Into A Model

                Product Development

Concept/         Product         Alpha/Beta   Launch/1st
Bus. Plan         Dev.              Test         Ship



                             +
             Customer Development


 Customer       Customer         Customer     Company
 Discovery      Validation       Creation     Building
Customer Development: Key Ideas

•  Parallel process to Product Development
•  Measurable Checkpoints
•  Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones
•  Notion of Market Types to represent reality
•  Emphasis is on learning & discovery before
  execution
Customer Discovery: Step 1

  Customer        Customer           Customer          Company
  Discovery       Validation         Creation           Building




•  Stop selling, start listening
   –  There are no facts inside your building, so get outside

•  Test your hypotheses
   –  Two are fundamental: problem and product concept
Customer Discovery: Exit Criteria
•  What are your customers top problems?
  –  How much will they pay to solve them

•  Does your product concept solve them?
  –  Do customers agree?
  –  How much will they pay?

•  Draw a day-in-the-life of a customer (archetypes)
  –  before & after your product

•  Draw the org chart of users & buyers
Customer Validation: Step 2


      Customer            Customer     Customer   Company
      Discovery           Validation   Creation    Building




                  Pivot



•  Develop a repeatable and scalable sales process
•  Only earlyvangelists are crazy enough to buy
•  Pivot back to Discovery if no customers
Customer Validation: Exit Criteria
•  Can you draw your business model?
   –  Acquisition costs, path to profitability?

•  Do you have a proven sales roadmap?
   –  Org chart? Influence map?

•  Do you understand the sales cycle?
   –  ASP, LTV, ROI, etc.

•  Do you have a set of orders ($’s) validating the
   roadmap?
Customer Creation: Step 3

 Customer     Customer      Customer     Company
 Discovery    Validation    Creation      Building




•  Creation comes after proof of sales
•  Creation is where you “cross the chasm”
•  It is a strategy not a tactic


                                                     3
                                                     2
Customer Creation
                    Big Ideas
!    Big Idea 1: Grow customers from few to many

!    Big Idea 2: Four Customer Creation activities:
     "    Year One objectives
     "    Positioning
     "    Launch
     "    Demand creation


!    Big Idea 3: Creation is different for each of the
     three types of startups

                                                         3
                                                         3
Company Building: Step 4

     Customer    Customer     Customer   Company
     Discovery   Validation   Creation   Building




•  (Re)build your company’s organization &
   management

•  Re look at your mission


                                                    3
                                                    4
Company Building: Big Ideas

   !    Big Idea 1:
        Management needs to change as the company grows
        "    Founders are casualties
        "    Development centric !
        "    Mission-centric !
        "    Process-centric


   !    Big Idea 2:
        Sales Growth needs to match market type



Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise   October 2008
                                                                  3
                                                                  5
Iteration versus Execution

             Iteration                              Execution


 Customer                Customer            Customer           Company
 Discovery               Validation          Creation           Building




The Search for a Business                  The Growth of a Business



                             Product/Market Fit
What They Didn’t Teach You
         at Haas
1'(,2"+-%;+=+$2."+*,%B+-('(%
          C-2D'>,%E#*#0+"+*,%
The Search for the Business Model            The Execution of the Business Model


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                                                        -  Delivers MRD’s
 -  Hypothesis Testing
                                                        -  Feature Spec’s
 -  Minimum Feature Set                                 -  Competitive Analysis
 -  Pivots

 Customer Development                                  Product Management
E+,-)>(%B+-('(%9>>2'*5*0%

The Search for the Business Model            The Execution of the Business Model


          !(#)#*)+'
                                      9$#8:;<68'              567&#82'
          !"#$"%&'




 Startup Metrics                                          Traditional Accounting
-  Customer Acquisition Cost                             -  Balance Sheet
-  Viral coefficient                                     -  Cash Flow Statement
-  Customer Lifetime Value                               -  Income Statement
-  Average Selling Price/Order Size
-  Monthly burn rate
-  etc.
/+#D+-(6).%B+-('(%E#*#0+"+*,
                           %
    !(#)#*)+'
                9$#8:;<68'   567&#82'
    !"#$"%&'
;'-#*,%B+-('(%!$2#*%


!(#)#*)+'                         3#$4+'
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!"#$"%&'                        567&#82'
&'()*+((%!>622$%B+-('(%
              @*,-+.-+*+'-(6).%!>622$ %

Entrepreneurship School                 Business School


      !(#)#*)+'                               3#$4+'
                          9$#8:;<68'
      !"#$"%&'                              567&#82'




-  Hypothesis testing                  -  Execution
-  Experiential                        -  Accounting
-  Hands-on                            -  Management
-  Chaotic
-  Leadership
Books Available on Amazon and Cafepress




   Four Steps to the Epiphany   Not All Those Who Wander Are Lost




 Blog www.steveblank.com

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Haas Alum 2010 03 25

  • 1. Improving Your Entrepreneurial Odds: the Customer Development Process Steve Blank
  • 3. !"#$$%&'()*+((%!,#-,'.(% !"#$"%&' !"#$$%&'()*+((% - Business Model found - Profitable business -  Existing team < $10M in revenue •  5.7 million small businesses in the U.S. <500 employees •  They employ 99.5% of our workforce
  • 4. !,#$#-$+%!,#-,'.% !(#)#*)+' /#-0+% !"#$"%&' 12".#*3% ,-.//012+#$' -  Total Available Market > $500m -  Company can grow to $100m/year -  Known business model -  Focused on execution and process •  In contrast a scalable startup is designed to grow big •  It typically needs risk capital •  These are what Silicon Valley means when they say “Startup”
  • 5. !,#-,'.( % !"#$"%&' !"#$$%&'()*+((% - Business Model found - Profitable business -  Existing team < $10M !(#)#*)+' /#-0+% !"#$"%&' 12".#*3% ,-.//012+#$' -  Total Available Market > $500m -  Company can grow to $100m/year -  Known business model -  Focused on execution and process
  • 6. !,#-,'.( % X X X !"#$"%&' !"#$$%&'()*+((% - Business Model found - Profitable business -  Existing team < $10M !(#)#*)+' /#-0+% !"#$"%&' 12".#*3% ,-.//012+#$' -  Total Available Market > $500m -  Company can grow to $100m/year -  Known business model -  Focused on execution and process
  • 7. 46+%./#*()01*% !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 4-#*()52*% !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Founders depart -  Professional Mgmt -  Process -  Beginning of scale
  • 8. 76#,8(%9%!,#-,'.:% !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Business Model found -  Product/Market fit - Repeatable sales model - Managers hired A Startup is the organization you use to search for your scalable business model
  • 9. OUR COMPANY •  Device •  Software •  IP •  Services Product •  Networks -  Technolog y - Customer - Partner •  Data •  Employees Resources
  • 10. OUR COMPANY •  EE •  System •  Mechanica l •  Device •  Software •  Industrial Design •  IP •  Services Product •  Standard •  Tooled •  Networks •  Critical -  Technolog Sales & y Components Distribution - Customer - Partner •  Data Users •  Employees •  Knowledge Manufacturing Resources
  • 11. OUR COMPANY -' Sales & •  Device Distribution •  Software •  IP -' •  Services Users Product -' Design •  Networks -  Demand Technolog Creation y -' - Customer Components - Partner •  Data -' •  Employees Manufacturin Resources g -' Customers
  • 12. !,#-,'.(%;2*8,%/#(,%<2-+=+-% !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Business Model found - Cash-flow breakeven -  Product/Market fit - Profitable - Repeatable sales model - Rapid scale - Managers hired - New Senior Mgmt ~ 150 people You fail if you remain a startup!
  • 13. !,#-,'.(%!+#->6?%12".#*)+(%@A+>',+% The Search for the Business Model The Execution of the Business Model !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Business Model found - Cash-flow breakeven -  Product/Market fit - Profitable - Repeatable sales model - Rapid scale - Managers hired - New Senior Mgmt ~ 150 people
  • 14. How Do Startups Search For A Business Model?
  • 16. More startups Fail from a Lack of Customers than from a Failure of Product Development
  • 17. It Started With a Question If Startups Fail from a Lack of customers not Product Development Failure Then why do we have: •  process to manage product development? •  no process to manage customer development?
  • 18. All We Had Was 30 Years of This Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship Product Development Model
  • 19. It Resulted in a Few Hypotheses •  Startups weren’t small versions of large companies •  They were about learning and discovery, not execution of a business model •  Entrepreneurs and their VC’s were executing on guesses •  But the facts were outside the building
  • 20. Which Turned Into A Model Product Development Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/1st Bus. Plan Dev. Test Ship + Customer Development Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building
  • 21. Customer Development: Key Ideas •  Parallel process to Product Development •  Measurable Checkpoints •  Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones •  Notion of Market Types to represent reality •  Emphasis is on learning & discovery before execution
  • 22. Customer Discovery: Step 1 Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building •  Stop selling, start listening –  There are no facts inside your building, so get outside •  Test your hypotheses –  Two are fundamental: problem and product concept
  • 23. Customer Discovery: Exit Criteria •  What are your customers top problems? –  How much will they pay to solve them •  Does your product concept solve them? –  Do customers agree? –  How much will they pay? •  Draw a day-in-the-life of a customer (archetypes) –  before & after your product •  Draw the org chart of users & buyers
  • 24. Customer Validation: Step 2 Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building Pivot •  Develop a repeatable and scalable sales process •  Only earlyvangelists are crazy enough to buy •  Pivot back to Discovery if no customers
  • 25. Customer Validation: Exit Criteria •  Can you draw your business model? –  Acquisition costs, path to profitability? •  Do you have a proven sales roadmap? –  Org chart? Influence map? •  Do you understand the sales cycle? –  ASP, LTV, ROI, etc. •  Do you have a set of orders ($’s) validating the roadmap?
  • 26. Customer Creation: Step 3 Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building •  Creation comes after proof of sales •  Creation is where you “cross the chasm” •  It is a strategy not a tactic 3 2
  • 27. Customer Creation Big Ideas !  Big Idea 1: Grow customers from few to many !  Big Idea 2: Four Customer Creation activities: "  Year One objectives "  Positioning "  Launch "  Demand creation !  Big Idea 3: Creation is different for each of the three types of startups 3 3
  • 28. Company Building: Step 4 Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building •  (Re)build your company’s organization & management •  Re look at your mission 3 4
  • 29. Company Building: Big Ideas !  Big Idea 1: Management needs to change as the company grows "  Founders are casualties "  Development centric ! "  Mission-centric ! "  Process-centric !  Big Idea 2: Sales Growth needs to match market type Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise October 2008 3 5
  • 30. Iteration versus Execution Iteration Execution Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building The Search for a Business The Growth of a Business Product/Market Fit
  • 31. What They Didn’t Teach You at Haas
  • 32. 1'(,2"+-%;+=+$2."+*,%B+-('(% C-2D'>,%E#*#0+"+*,% The Search for the Business Model The Execution of the Business Model !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Delivers MRD’s -  Hypothesis Testing -  Feature Spec’s -  Minimum Feature Set -  Competitive Analysis -  Pivots Customer Development Product Management
  • 33. E+,-)>(%B+-('(%9>>2'*5*0% The Search for the Business Model The Execution of the Business Model !(#)#*)+' 9$#8:;<68' 567&#82' !"#$"%&' Startup Metrics Traditional Accounting -  Customer Acquisition Cost -  Balance Sheet -  Viral coefficient -  Cash Flow Statement -  Customer Lifetime Value -  Income Statement -  Average Selling Price/Order Size -  Monthly burn rate -  etc.
  • 34. /+#D+-(6).%B+-('(%E#*#0+"+*, % !(#)#*)+' 9$#8:;<68' 567&#82' !"#$"%&'
  • 35. ;'-#*,%B+-('(%!$2#*% !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82'
  • 36. &'()*+((%!>622$%B+-('(% @*,-+.-+*+'-(6).%!>622$ % Entrepreneurship School Business School !(#)#*)+' 3#$4+' 9$#8:;<68' !"#$"%&' 567&#82' -  Hypothesis testing -  Execution -  Experiential -  Accounting -  Hands-on -  Management -  Chaotic -  Leadership
  • 37. Books Available on Amazon and Cafepress Four Steps to the Epiphany Not All Those Who Wander Are Lost Blog www.steveblank.com