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GUTWISER
               APRIL 3, 2013




 PERSONALIZED NUTRITION
EMPOWERING INDIVIDUALS
TO RESHAPE THEIR BODIES
           WITH SCIENCE
             INTERVIEWS: 102


               ADRIEN BURCH
              BUBBA BROOKS
            CHRISTINA CHANG
           TATIANA ECOIFFIER
              ANNA MAYBANK
             LORIS DZAGOYAN
GUTWISER TEAM

Brandon Brooks   Anna Maybank    Tatiana Ecoiffier   Adrien Burch   Christina Chang   Loris Dzagoyan
     Ph.D            MBA               Ph.D              Ph.D             MBA              M.Eng
VISION 1.0
CROWDSOURCING HEALTH

    Research:            Patient communities:



                         Connect to people with
                         Crohns around you
    Map the human
    microbiome with
    citizen science
                         179K patients, 1K+ conditions




                         Crowd sourced clinical trials


    General population   People with serious diseases
Using cutting-edge sequencing technology, Gut Wiser is a consumer-facing•       Red = self-referring, “asymptomatic” individual customers seeking personal analysis

Gut Wiser              service to analyze bacterial community in the digestive system and provide •a
                                                                                                   •
                       web-based platform where individuals can easily interpret and find relevant •
                                                                                                       Green = self-referring, “symptomatic” individual customers
                                                                                                       Blue = peer or heath practitioner referred, “symptomatic” customers
                                                                                                       Purple = organization customers seeking aggregated individual customer data
                       information about their results based on published scientific data.         •   Black = relevant to all customer segments




1) Partners                  •   Stool sample collection
•   Partnership with         •   Analysis of the sample;              • Maintaining                         1) For testing service                  • Health conscious
    scientific literature        sequencing of the 16s rDNA                                                 • Membership                              individual customers
                                 gut bacteria; creating a               personal health
    community through:
    a. Research engines                    •       Who is our target customer?
                                 complete profile of the                through                             • Retail partner/outlet
                                                                                                            • Pay-as-you-go
                                                                                                                                                      with disposable income
                                 customer gut microflora                scientifically-based
    (Google Scholar,
    Pubmed) b. Journals
                             •                     • Quantified self?
                                 Providing customers with a
                                 comparison of their microflora
                                                                        self-knowledge                      • Referral                              • Symptomatic
                                                                                                                                                      (undiagnosed illness)
    (Science, Nature,                              • People with digestive issues?
                                 profile with up-to-date peer-
                                                           • Do-It-Yourself non-
                                 reviewed scientific literature                  2) For data service                                                  individual customers
    Journal of Intestinal
    Microbiology)
                             •
                                                   • Doctors? diagnosis
                                 Creating a database
                                 aggregating customer results
                                                             clinical            • Subscribers
                                                                                 • Pay-as-you-go                                                    • Vulnerable/dependent
•                                                            (digestive issues,
    Food product
    manufacturers                                  • Research disorders,
                                 for research purposes
                                                             mood institutions that                                                                   individual customers
                                                                                                                                                    • Chronic-disease
•   Quantified self
    groups
                                                      want data?etc…)
                                                             obesity,
                                                                                                                                                      patients
                                 • Easy-to-use testing kit            • Prevention and/or                   • Consumer facing-                      • Health practitioners
•   Patient groups
•   Health providers             • Operational lab                      monitoring existing                   advertising                             (traditional and
•   Research grant-                facility                             conditions (crohn’s                 • Food supplier/health                    alternative doctors)
                                 • Database of                          disease, colitis,
    making agencies                                                                                           stores
                                   translated gut                                                                                                   • Researchers:
                                   microbiology literature
                                                                        IBD)                                • Peer
2) Suppliers                                                                                                  recommendation                          government
                                   into plain English
•   Sampling devices             • Web platform for                   • Tool to perform                     • Health practitioner                     institutions/private
•   Shipping service               consumer access                      discovery-based                       referral                                sector/nutritional health
•   Lab sequencing               • Data access for                      science                             • Scientific publication                  supplement companies
    facilities                     scientists


   •   Collection kit
   •   Sample handling                                                                      •   Product placement sales (i.e. probiotic drinks)
   •   Sequencing cost ($20/customer)                                                       •   Subscription model (sell testing kits + results)
   •   Technical worker (lab, bioinformatics, statistic)                                    •   Free kits, pay for results
   •   Web development management                                                           •   Health providers pay
   •   Marketing                                                                            •   Researchers pay for data
   •   Customer service
WE STARTED WITH SCIENCE AND
                    INFORMATION…
                              “Here’s a snapshot of your gut flora”
                              “High diversity is correlated with lean
                              people”

1


2   Symptomatic /
    proactive individuals


3                             •   Traditional MDs:
                                  “the science isn’t there”

                              •   Healthy don‟t care about data/
                                  awareness: “but if you can tell me what
4                                 diets actually work / how to lose weight”

                              •   Symptomatic individuals want
                                  solutions: “if you could tell me how to
                                  build up my tolerance to spicy foods”
PIVOT TO: A COMMUNIT Y PLATFORM

                                                Your Bacterial Diversity Results
Pain                                                        A lean person
•Can‟t lose weight or
 successfully keep it off
•Too many unfounded
 diet fads
                                                                            YOU at week 8
                             MVP
Gain                        1) TEST:                           An obese person
                            Gut bacteria
•A more scientific          analysis
 approach to
 dieting
                            2) TRACK:
                            Online
                            results        Which diets worked for
                                           others?

                            3) SHARE:
                            Community      Paleo
                            platform       Juice cleanse
                                           Atkins
                                           Gluten-free
                                           Raw food
                                           Probiotic supplements
DOES THE SCIENCE MATCH THE
                CUSTOMER‟S WANTS?


Hypothesis                  Results
Symptomatic individuals     ✗ Want interventions
want info to better           that the science can’t
manage their conditions       (yet) offer



Weight-loss seekers want       Want specific direction
info on how to maintain /       + proof (sustainable
lose weight                     results, not fads)
HOW DO WE REACH WEIGHT LOSS SEEKERS?




                     What about people not in a
                     program… who are health seekers?
CUSTOMER ARCHET YPE:
   THE FEEL-BETTER
                 Female, 30
                years +, high
                 disposable
                   income
Comfortable                       Already healthy:
talking about                     But wants to be
    poop!                              100%




Comfortable                       Not just fitness:
  with new                         Interested in
 technology                          wellbeing
                Highly educated
                 about health
WHAT DO “FEEL BETTERS” WANT?


   ✗ • Tracking / shared experience
     • DIY




                                      • Personalized product recs
                                 ✓    • Handholding (~$100 OOP
                                        /nutritionist visit)
PIVOT TO: SPECIFIC PRODUCT
            RECOMMENDATIONS



1 .) ANALYSE



2.) COMPARE



3.) SUGGEST
HOW DO WE REACH FEEL BETTERS?




          $100 NUTRITIONIST         Diet
                                                            ✖
                                           $80
                                 diagnosis



“Feel better”
                • Holistic
                  practitioner
                • Unlicensed
                                 Behavior
                                  change                    ✔
                                             No MD approval
                                             Product suggestions
                                             Less expensive for client
COMPETITIVE SPECTRUM:
        SCIENCE VS. MARKETING?
                                         Gut Wiser
Provide Data
         Metametrix




                         CustomVite    Renew Life
                                      FitKit
                      GeneMe            Cust. Prob.

                          Vitaganic


                               Sell Products
TWO REVENUE STREAMS:
           KIT SALES + PRODUCT SALES
                                           Amazon platform
Net Revenue from Kits          Probiotics sales / customer/mo.         $30
                               x # mos./yr                              12
                               = Annual sales /customer               $360
Price per kit              $80 x Gutwiser cut                          15%
                                 = Profit /customer /year            $54
- Gutwiser cost per kit    $60             Fully Personalized
                                 Probiotics sales per customer/mo.     $60
                                 X # mos./yr                            12
= Profit /Kit             $20    = Annual sales per customer          $720
                                 x Gutwiser cut                        40%
                                 = Profit /customer /year            $288
HOW IT WORKS

                 Nutritional
              product vendors              Consumer


                         15%                Prob                Kit
$$ spent
$$ received
Consumer‟s
 $$ spent                                             Kit              Nutritionist
                                                            $80 wholesale




 Kits                           Analysis                         WebSite
WILL WE KEEP DOING THIS?                                                YES!


                                                          Phase 5
                                            Phase 4       Reach out
                             Phase 3        Test our      to a larger
                             Create the     platform with market
              Phase 2        database       nutritionists
                                            and their
              Provide        Begin to       customers
              probiotic to   teach in
  Phase 1     customers      nutritionist
  Continue    and assess     schools
  Customer    their effect
  Discovery
APPENDIX
1

          Symptomatic /
      2
          proactive individuals


      3




      4




$49
CANVAS WEEK 2
LaunchPad Cent ral
  KEY PARTNERS                            KEY ACTI VI TI ES                        VALUE PROPOSI TI ONS                      CUSTOM RELATI ONSHI PS
                                                                                                                                   ER                                 CUSTOM SEG ENTS
                                                                                                                                                                            ER  M



  GETcu st o me r: h e a lt h             Ma n a g in g sa mp le                   To o l t o p e rfo rm                      GET cu s t : p e e r                   We a lt h ie r wo me n ,
  t ra ckin g a p p »                     co lle ct io n a n d                     d isco ve ry-b a se d                     r e co m m e n d a t io n »              st ru g g lin g wit h we ig h t
                                          a n a lysis p ro ce ss wit h             scie n ce »                                                                        lo ss (DIY), 2 5 + »
  Nu t rit io n a n d                     la b su p p lie r »                                                                 GET cu s t :
  p ro b io t ic su p p le me n t                                                  DIY n o n -clin ica l                     p r o m o s t o h ig h -e n d            Ph a rma »
  ve n d o rs »                           Se q u e n cin g /a n a lysis            sn a p sh o t o f yo u r g u t            n u t r it io n is t s »
                                                                                                                                                                      Pro b io t ics
                                          o f 1 6 s rDNA g u t                     b a ct e ria t o co mp a re
  La b se q u e n cin g                                                                                                      KEEP cu st :                             ma n u fa ct u re rs »
                                          b a ct e ria »                           t o t h a t o f le a n p e o p le
  fa cilit ie s (o u t so u rcin g )                                                                                         Disco u n t e d ,
                                                                                   »
  »                                                                                                                                                                   Fo o d ma n u fa ct u re rs
                                          KEY RESOURCES                                                                      CHANNELS
                                                                                                                                                                      p u rch a sin g a d s »
                                                                                     Ge t
  Sa mp lin g d e vice s »
                                                                                   r e co m m e n d a t io n s
                                                                                                                                                                       1 . ) Pr o a ct ive life
                                          We b p la t fo rm fo r                   fo r o t h e r                            Fo o d su p p lie r/h e a lt h
  Sh ip p in g se rvice »                                                                                                                                             im p r o ve r s 2 . )
                                          co n su me r a cce ss »                  s u p p le m e n t s /d ie t s            st o re s »
                                                                                                                                                                      Pa s s ive n u t r it io n is t
  Gyms »                                                                           t o t ry ba se d on
                                          Op e ra t io n a l la b fa cilit y                                                 Co n su me r-fa cin g a d s              clie n t s »
                                                                                   y o u r p r o file »
  We ig h t Wa t ch e rs »                »                                                                                  »

                                                                                                                             Pe e r re co mme n d a t io n
                                                                                                                             »


  COST STRUCTURE                                                                                         REVENUE STREAMS



  Se q u e n cin g a n d a n a lysis co st ($ 6 0 /kit fo r ma t e ria ls/la b o r) »                    Pro d u ct p la ce me n t sa le s (i.e . p ro b io t ic d rin ks) »

  Ove rh e a d (we b d e v, cu st o me r se rvice , ma rke t in g e t c) »                               Pa y p e r p a cka g e (3 kit s + in d ivid u a l re su lt s) »
CANVAS WEEK 4
CANVAS WEEK 5
LaunchPad Cent ral
  KEY PARTNERS                            KEY ACTI VI TI ES                                         VALUE PROPOSI TI ONS                                      CUSTOM RELATI ONSHI PS
                                                                                                                                                                    ER                                                 CUSTOM SEG ENTS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ER  M



  Pro b io t ic/su p p le me n t          St o o l sa mp le                                         Ge t re co mme n d a t io n s                             GET cu st : p e e r                                      Fo o d ma n u fa ct u re rs
  ma n u fa ct u re rs »                  co lle ct io n »                                          fo r o t h e r                                            re co mme n d a t io n »                                 p u rch a sin g a d s »
                                                                                                    su p p le me n t s/d ie t s t o
  La b se q u e n cin g                   FDA 5 1 0 K a p p ro va l »                               t ry b a se d o n yo u r                                  GET cu st : h ig h -e n d                                1 .) Pro a ct ive life
  fa cilit ie s (o u t so u rcin g )                                                                p ro file »                                               n u t rit io n ist /h e a lt h                           imp ro ve rs 2 .) Pa ssive
                                          Cre a t e co mp le t e g u t
  »                                                                                                                                                           co n su lt a n t »                                       n u t rit io n ist clie n t s »
                                          micro flo ra p ro file fo r
                                                                                                    Use scie n ce , n o t
  Nu t rit io n ist s (p ro d u ct        cu st o me r »                                                                                                      KEEP cu st :                                             Nu t rit io n ist s »
                                                                                                    t ria l/e rro r, t o b e t t e r
  re fe rra l) »                                                                                                                                              Me mb e rsh ip ,
                                                                                                    u n d e rst a n d imp a ct o f
                                          KEY RESOURCES                                             d ie t mo d ifica t io n s o r                            CHANNELS
                                                                                                    a b n o rma lit ie s »

                                          Te st in g kit »                                           To o ls t o                                             Fo o d su p p lie r/h e a lt h
                                                                                                    n u t r it io n is t t o                                  st o re s »
                                          We b p la t fo rm fo r
                                                                                                    m a k e s cie n t ifica lly
                                          co n su me r a cce ss »                                                                                             Co n su me r-fa cin g a d s
                                                                                                    b a s e d p r o b io t ic
                                                                                                                                                              »
                                                                                                    r e co m m e n d a t io n »

                                                                                                                                                              Pe e r re co mme n d a t io n
                                                                                                                                                              »


  COST STRUCTURE                                                                                                                 REVENUE STREAMS



  Ove rh e a d (we b d e v, cu st o me r se rvice , ma rke t in g e t c) »                                                       Pro d u ct p la ce me n t sa le s (i.e . p ro b io t ic d rin ks) »

  Se q u e n cin g a n d a n a lysis co st ($ 6 0 /kit fo r ma t e ria ls/la b o r) »                                            Pa y p e r p a cka g e (3 kit s + in d ivid u a l re su lt s) »

                                                                                                                                 Su b scrip t io n fo r p e rso n a lize d p ro d u ct re cs a n d d isco u n t s »

                                                                                                                                 Fre e a cce ss t o co mmu n it y p la t fo rm »

                                                                                                                                  p r o b io t ic s a le s »


                                          Li c e n se d fr o m b u si n e ssm o d e lg e n e r a t i o n .c o m u n d e r a Cr e a t i ve Co m m o n s At t r i b u t i o n -S h a r e Al i ke 3.0 Un p o r t e d Li c e n se
CANVAS WEEK 7
CANVAS WEEK 8
MOCK-UP OF IDEA #1

1            2




3            4
MOCK UP OF IDEA #2
MOCK UP OF IDEA #3


                                    Prebiotics
                     Patient Page
                                    Probiotics


Nutritionist          Nutri. Page




   Kits               DataBase




               Analysis
HOW CAN WE MAKE
                    RECOMMENDATIONS?


       1.) Profiling:           2.) Community rating:          3.) Matching:
 We analyze your sample      Other Gutwiser users have     We look for a user that
and can see who else has      rated probiotics based on   looks similar to you and
  a similar profile to you   their personal experiences   who has rated a probiotic
CHANNEL ARCHET YPE

Naturopathic doctor         Registered Dietitian (R.D)        Nutritionist / Health Coach

  Licensed physician     Are licensed                     Not credited, Unregulated
  Holistic method        Can work in hospital             Can be certified from certain school
                          must meet the continuing         “personalized” approach
                           professional education
                           requirements of ADA




                                                         Practitioners would:

                                                         1/ recommend our service free of charge
                                                         2/ be motivated by coupons for discounted
                                                         or free product
                                                         3/ ask for monetary compensation for
                                                         endorsing service
NUTRITIONIST AS CHANNEL


                        GET:                                     KEEP:         GROW:

                      Product                                    • Community   • Customer
                      referral                                     results       referrals



                        Nutritionists
                   • Can‟t order labs without MD
                   • Want to attract more clients

“Feel betters”
                   Wk 0                   Wk 4       Wk 8          Wk 12

                 Baseline:            Results 1:    Results 2:    Results 3
                  Test 1               Test 2        Test 3
WHAT DO NUTRITIONISTS WANT?

                  “Trial and error”        Metametrix                      Gutwiser
Technology        Intuition                PCR , traditional Sanger        Ultra high-throughput
                                           sequencing                      Illumina-tag sequencing


Process           See what happens         MD approval required to         No MD approval
                                           order test


Output            Client perception only   •     Select bacteria           •     Complete bacteria
                                                 snapshot                        profile
                                           •     Yeast and fungus          •     Personalized diet,
                                           •     Drug resistance                 supplement, and
                                           •     Parasites                       probiotic
                                           •     Short chain fatty               recommendations
                                                 acids
                                           •     Inflammation

Cost to user       Free                        $400 for one kit                $400(?) for 3 kits

Value                                          Limited, static bacterial       Robust, dynamic
                                               profile                         bacterial profile
SELLING THROUGH NUTRITIONISTS

  Hypothesis        Experiment                         Outcome

Sell through             Too expensive to build 1. Trade shows are
nutritionists:                direct sales      useful for reaching
                                                supplement retailers as
                              Nutritionists:    partners
1.) Trade shows
                           $1000/booth, 400
                               attendees        2. Use nutritionists as
2.) Schools
                                                only initial channel:
                         Supplement retailers   reach them through
                         $5250/booth, 63000     schools. Break even
                              attendees         and reach 1,950
                                                grads/year

                  Holistic nutritionist schools: 3. Next steps:
                  ~ 13 schools x 150 grads/year RETHINK OUR
                  = 1,950 grads/year             CHANNELS AT SCALE!
SCIENCE VS MARKETING


 SCIENCE
   Revenue model 1: Manufacturing and selling our own probiotics
   Revenue model 2: Selling data to probiotics manufacturers
   Key questions:
     Do people care enough about the science? No!
     Do probiotics companies care about the science? No!
     Nutritionists care about science and people care about what nutritionists
      think


 MARKETING
   Revenue model: Diets and probiotics sales
   Channel: Nutritionists (Avon model) vs direct to consumer via
    infomercials
   Science is just one part of our story
TWO REVENUE STREAMS:
                   KIT SALES + PRODUCT SALES
Net Revenue from Kits
(per customer)                                                             Overhead Expenses
Price per kit                                $80                           # Sales employees               2
- Gutwiser cost per kit                      $60                           + # of Technicians              1
= Profit per kit                             $20                           + # of Web dev employees        1
x # of kits/yr                                 3                           + # of Science Experts          1
= Kit profit per customer per year          $60                            = # of Employees                5
                                                                           x Avg salary              $50,000
                                                                           = Salary expense         $250,000
      Net Revenue from "Amazon platform”
 A    Probiotics sales per customer/mo.     $30
      x # mos./yr                            12
                                                                             Travel and
                                                   Profit per Breakeven # of conference/expo expenses     $3,000
      = Annual sales per customer          $360
                                                   customer     customers: x # of conferences per
      x Gutwiser cut                        15%
      = Gutwiser product profit per                                        year                               6
      customer per year                    $54       $114         2,667
                                                                           = Travel/conference
                                                                           expenses                      $18,000
      Fully Personalized Probiotics
 B    Probiotics sales per customer/mo.     $60
      X # mos./yr                            12                            Other overhead                 $3,000
      = Annual sales per customer          $720                            x # of mos.                        12
      x Gutwiser cut                        40%                            = Other expenses              $36,000
      = Gutwiser product
      revenue/customer                    $288       $348         874
                                                                           Total SG&A Expenses          $304,000
CAN WE MAKE TRULY CUSTOMIZED
                PROBIOTICS?

                             Revenue Model          Volume constraints        Time to customer
        Option A:        •   Product price: ~   •     None                •   2-4 wks for analysis
                             $30/mo.
    Kit + Amazon                                                          •   Readily available
 marketplace/platform    •   GW profit: 10-                                   probiotics
   of product reccs          25% cut of sales



        Option B:        •   Product price:     •     “150K tablets”      •   2-4 wks for analysis
                             ~$60/mo.                 minimum order,
       Kit + Fully                                    15k piggybacking •      +4-12 wks to
  personalized, custom   •   GW profit: 150-          off existing orders     develop customized
       probiotics            900% markup                                      probiotics
                             possible




Source: Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTIES

 Where is our value
   Database
   Supplement recommendation algorithm
   Patentable insights on the gut microbiome


 How de we want to protect it
   Database: consent form the participant may be required
   Algorithm: Patent vs. Trade secret?


 The university in this process?
REGULATORY INSIGHTS FROM AN FDA
            LAWYER
FDA Class I Medical Device status                                 •   Find a FDA-cleared,
                                                                      marketed device to
•“As soon as you say 'test kit' it is going to be a med device"       qualify for Class I
•“It would be the manufacturer‟s responsibility to get FDA            exemption
 approval, but your company could get in some trouble if
 using an unapproved FDA test kit.”
                                                                  •   Cannot make
Who interprets the results? What claims can be made?                  claims/reccs beyond
                                                                      what a non-licensed
•”If the consumer reads the results – fine to give consumer
 some guidance on nutrition supplements they should be                practitioner can do,
 taking… but not for any disease treatment or abnormal                (i.e., stay away from
 condition.. You can probably say you may have symptoms of            claims on disease
 IBS but need to go to an internal medicine MD to find out.”
                                                                      treatment/diagnosis)
Financial incentives with partners must be disclosed
                                                                  •   Be transparent that
•“Giving nutritionists a kickback would probably be okay but          we/nutritionists are
 might need a disclosure – e.g., „I understand that this              recommending
 practice owns the MRI ctr‟”
•“You might need to disclose on the website that all of the
                                                                      products that
 products offered / recommended here have a relationship              we/nutritionists reap
 with the company.”                                                   financial benefit from
SYMPTOMATIC/PROACTIVE INDIVIDUALS -
      HOW BIG IS THE MARKET?
                                                           Digestive
 TAM: Digestive diseases, 60 M adults 1                    disease
     SAM: IBS sufferers: 15.3M adults                    60 M adults
         % that take supplements: 50% 2
         x approx monthly spend on supplements: $20 3        IBS
         Target = $1.84 BN                                  15 M




 TAM: Dieter s, 1 88 M adults 4
     SAM: Women dieters: 104M 5                            Dieters
         “Wealthy dieters” comprise only 20% 6           188 M adults
         x approx monthly spend on supplements: $ 20 7

         Target = $4.98 BN
                                                            Wealthy
                                                            women
1 NIH (NIDDK), incl. Crohns, IBS, UC                        dieters
2 Center for Disease Control and
Prevention
                                                            20.8M
3,7 Customer interview
4,5 Gallup
6 Marketdata Enterprises
NUTRITIONIST MARKET SIZE


Estimated number of women aged 35-64 who get information about nutrition from a
nutritionist
                                 35-44           45-54      55-64         Total
%age of total US pop who get
info from nutritionists            2%             3%          3%
%age of women who get info
from nutritionists                 1%             2%          2%
x Number of women in US pop    20,128,000     22,459,000 19,038,000
= Est. no. of women who get
info from nutritionist               201,280       336,885 285,570        823,735


                          Gutwiser sells to 5% of market at $114 profit/sale = $4.7M


   Source: Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics
SELLING THROUGH NUTRITIONIST
                         SCHOOLS
 Cover our costs from teaching at nutrition schools
 Make a small profit from future referrals of our students

Income from providing testing and teaching in nutritionist
schools                                                                             Income from referrals by nutritionists
Revenue                            Costs                                            Total number of students                                        1950
                                                                                    %age of students who go on to practice                           50%
Wholesale price per kit       80   Curriculum development (hours)             35    = Practicing nutritionists reached                                975
x Number of students        1950   x Salary per hour                          50    x %age of nutritionists who refer clients to Gutwiser            50%
= Total revenue           156000   = Curriculum development cost            1750    = Number of nutritionists referring clients                       488
                                                                                    x Clients per nutritionist                                         10
                                   Salary per hour                            50    = Clients using Gutwiser                                        4875
                                   x Teaching hours per course                15    x Profit per client to Gutwiser                                   174
                                   = Cost per course per school              750    = Profit from referrals by nutritionists via school channel   848,250
                                   x Number of schools                        13
                                   = Cost to teach at every school          9750

                                   Cost per kit                                60
                                   x Number of students                     1950
                                   = Cost to provide kits for students    117,000

                                   Total revenue from teaching            156,000
                                   - Total cost to reach 1,950 students   128,500
                                   = Revenue from nutritionists schools    27,500
PROBIOTICS MARKET SIZE



              • Probiotic supplements annual
                North American revenue
                ~ $750M in 2011

              • Growing 35% in 5 years
                ~ $1bn in 2016

              • 5% of US market ~ $50M
NUTRACEUTICALS MARKET

Functional food, functional beverages and dietary supplements:

 2011 US market for nutraceuticals = $56.4bn

 2011 Global market = $142.1Bn

 2017 Global market = $204.8Bn

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Gutwiser final 2013 berkeley

  • 1. GUTWISER APRIL 3, 2013 PERSONALIZED NUTRITION EMPOWERING INDIVIDUALS TO RESHAPE THEIR BODIES WITH SCIENCE INTERVIEWS: 102 ADRIEN BURCH BUBBA BROOKS CHRISTINA CHANG TATIANA ECOIFFIER ANNA MAYBANK LORIS DZAGOYAN
  • 2. GUTWISER TEAM Brandon Brooks Anna Maybank Tatiana Ecoiffier Adrien Burch Christina Chang Loris Dzagoyan Ph.D MBA Ph.D Ph.D MBA M.Eng
  • 4. CROWDSOURCING HEALTH Research: Patient communities: Connect to people with Crohns around you Map the human microbiome with citizen science 179K patients, 1K+ conditions Crowd sourced clinical trials General population People with serious diseases
  • 5. Using cutting-edge sequencing technology, Gut Wiser is a consumer-facing• Red = self-referring, “asymptomatic” individual customers seeking personal analysis Gut Wiser service to analyze bacterial community in the digestive system and provide •a • web-based platform where individuals can easily interpret and find relevant • Green = self-referring, “symptomatic” individual customers Blue = peer or heath practitioner referred, “symptomatic” customers Purple = organization customers seeking aggregated individual customer data information about their results based on published scientific data. • Black = relevant to all customer segments 1) Partners • Stool sample collection • Partnership with • Analysis of the sample; • Maintaining 1) For testing service • Health conscious scientific literature sequencing of the 16s rDNA • Membership individual customers gut bacteria; creating a personal health community through: a. Research engines • Who is our target customer? complete profile of the through • Retail partner/outlet • Pay-as-you-go with disposable income customer gut microflora scientifically-based (Google Scholar, Pubmed) b. Journals • • Quantified self? Providing customers with a comparison of their microflora self-knowledge • Referral • Symptomatic (undiagnosed illness) (Science, Nature, • People with digestive issues? profile with up-to-date peer- • Do-It-Yourself non- reviewed scientific literature 2) For data service individual customers Journal of Intestinal Microbiology) • • Doctors? diagnosis Creating a database aggregating customer results clinical • Subscribers • Pay-as-you-go • Vulnerable/dependent • (digestive issues, Food product manufacturers • Research disorders, for research purposes mood institutions that individual customers • Chronic-disease • Quantified self groups want data?etc…) obesity, patients • Easy-to-use testing kit • Prevention and/or • Consumer facing- • Health practitioners • Patient groups • Health providers • Operational lab monitoring existing advertising (traditional and • Research grant- facility conditions (crohn’s • Food supplier/health alternative doctors) • Database of disease, colitis, making agencies stores translated gut • Researchers: microbiology literature IBD) • Peer 2) Suppliers recommendation government into plain English • Sampling devices • Web platform for • Tool to perform • Health practitioner institutions/private • Shipping service consumer access discovery-based referral sector/nutritional health • Lab sequencing • Data access for science • Scientific publication supplement companies facilities scientists • Collection kit • Sample handling • Product placement sales (i.e. probiotic drinks) • Sequencing cost ($20/customer) • Subscription model (sell testing kits + results) • Technical worker (lab, bioinformatics, statistic) • Free kits, pay for results • Web development management • Health providers pay • Marketing • Researchers pay for data • Customer service
  • 6. WE STARTED WITH SCIENCE AND INFORMATION… “Here’s a snapshot of your gut flora” “High diversity is correlated with lean people” 1 2 Symptomatic / proactive individuals 3 • Traditional MDs: “the science isn’t there” • Healthy don‟t care about data/ awareness: “but if you can tell me what 4 diets actually work / how to lose weight” • Symptomatic individuals want solutions: “if you could tell me how to build up my tolerance to spicy foods”
  • 7. PIVOT TO: A COMMUNIT Y PLATFORM Your Bacterial Diversity Results Pain A lean person •Can‟t lose weight or successfully keep it off •Too many unfounded diet fads YOU at week 8 MVP Gain 1) TEST: An obese person Gut bacteria •A more scientific analysis approach to dieting 2) TRACK: Online results Which diets worked for others? 3) SHARE: Community Paleo platform Juice cleanse Atkins Gluten-free Raw food Probiotic supplements
  • 8. DOES THE SCIENCE MATCH THE CUSTOMER‟S WANTS? Hypothesis Results Symptomatic individuals ✗ Want interventions want info to better that the science can’t manage their conditions (yet) offer Weight-loss seekers want  Want specific direction info on how to maintain / + proof (sustainable lose weight results, not fads)
  • 9. HOW DO WE REACH WEIGHT LOSS SEEKERS? What about people not in a program… who are health seekers?
  • 10. CUSTOMER ARCHET YPE: THE FEEL-BETTER Female, 30 years +, high disposable income Comfortable Already healthy: talking about But wants to be poop! 100% Comfortable Not just fitness: with new Interested in technology wellbeing Highly educated about health
  • 11. WHAT DO “FEEL BETTERS” WANT? ✗ • Tracking / shared experience • DIY • Personalized product recs ✓ • Handholding (~$100 OOP /nutritionist visit)
  • 12. PIVOT TO: SPECIFIC PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS 1 .) ANALYSE 2.) COMPARE 3.) SUGGEST
  • 13. HOW DO WE REACH FEEL BETTERS? $100 NUTRITIONIST Diet ✖ $80 diagnosis “Feel better” • Holistic practitioner • Unlicensed Behavior change ✔  No MD approval  Product suggestions  Less expensive for client
  • 14. COMPETITIVE SPECTRUM: SCIENCE VS. MARKETING? Gut Wiser Provide Data Metametrix CustomVite Renew Life FitKit GeneMe Cust. Prob. Vitaganic Sell Products
  • 15. TWO REVENUE STREAMS: KIT SALES + PRODUCT SALES Amazon platform Net Revenue from Kits Probiotics sales / customer/mo. $30 x # mos./yr 12 = Annual sales /customer $360 Price per kit $80 x Gutwiser cut 15% = Profit /customer /year $54 - Gutwiser cost per kit $60 Fully Personalized Probiotics sales per customer/mo. $60 X # mos./yr 12 = Profit /Kit $20 = Annual sales per customer $720 x Gutwiser cut 40% = Profit /customer /year $288
  • 16. HOW IT WORKS Nutritional product vendors Consumer 15% Prob Kit $$ spent $$ received Consumer‟s $$ spent Kit Nutritionist $80 wholesale Kits Analysis WebSite
  • 17. WILL WE KEEP DOING THIS? YES! Phase 5 Phase 4 Reach out Phase 3 Test our to a larger Create the platform with market Phase 2 database nutritionists and their Provide Begin to customers probiotic to teach in Phase 1 customers nutritionist Continue and assess schools Customer their effect Discovery
  • 19. 1 Symptomatic / 2 proactive individuals 3 4 $49
  • 21. LaunchPad Cent ral KEY PARTNERS KEY ACTI VI TI ES VALUE PROPOSI TI ONS CUSTOM RELATI ONSHI PS ER CUSTOM SEG ENTS ER M GETcu st o me r: h e a lt h Ma n a g in g sa mp le To o l t o p e rfo rm  GET cu s t : p e e r We a lt h ie r wo me n , t ra ckin g a p p » co lle ct io n a n d d isco ve ry-b a se d r e co m m e n d a t io n » st ru g g lin g wit h we ig h t a n a lysis p ro ce ss wit h scie n ce » lo ss (DIY), 2 5 + » Nu t rit io n a n d la b su p p lie r »  GET cu s t : p ro b io t ic su p p le me n t DIY n o n -clin ica l p r o m o s t o h ig h -e n d Ph a rma » ve n d o rs » Se q u e n cin g /a n a lysis sn a p sh o t o f yo u r g u t n u t r it io n is t s » Pro b io t ics o f 1 6 s rDNA g u t b a ct e ria t o co mp a re La b se q u e n cin g KEEP cu st : ma n u fa ct u re rs » b a ct e ria » t o t h a t o f le a n p e o p le fa cilit ie s (o u t so u rcin g ) Disco u n t e d , » » Fo o d ma n u fa ct u re rs KEY RESOURCES CHANNELS p u rch a sin g a d s »  Ge t Sa mp lin g d e vice s » r e co m m e n d a t io n s  1 . ) Pr o a ct ive life We b p la t fo rm fo r fo r o t h e r Fo o d su p p lie r/h e a lt h Sh ip p in g se rvice » im p r o ve r s 2 . ) co n su me r a cce ss » s u p p le m e n t s /d ie t s st o re s » Pa s s ive n u t r it io n is t Gyms » t o t ry ba se d on Op e ra t io n a l la b fa cilit y Co n su me r-fa cin g a d s clie n t s » y o u r p r o file » We ig h t Wa t ch e rs » » » Pe e r re co mme n d a t io n » COST STRUCTURE REVENUE STREAMS Se q u e n cin g a n d a n a lysis co st ($ 6 0 /kit fo r ma t e ria ls/la b o r) » Pro d u ct p la ce me n t sa le s (i.e . p ro b io t ic d rin ks) » Ove rh e a d (we b d e v, cu st o me r se rvice , ma rke t in g e t c) » Pa y p e r p a cka g e (3 kit s + in d ivid u a l re su lt s) »
  • 24. LaunchPad Cent ral KEY PARTNERS KEY ACTI VI TI ES VALUE PROPOSI TI ONS CUSTOM RELATI ONSHI PS ER CUSTOM SEG ENTS ER M Pro b io t ic/su p p le me n t St o o l sa mp le Ge t re co mme n d a t io n s GET cu st : p e e r Fo o d ma n u fa ct u re rs ma n u fa ct u re rs » co lle ct io n » fo r o t h e r re co mme n d a t io n » p u rch a sin g a d s » su p p le me n t s/d ie t s t o La b se q u e n cin g FDA 5 1 0 K a p p ro va l » t ry b a se d o n yo u r GET cu st : h ig h -e n d 1 .) Pro a ct ive life fa cilit ie s (o u t so u rcin g ) p ro file » n u t rit io n ist /h e a lt h imp ro ve rs 2 .) Pa ssive Cre a t e co mp le t e g u t » co n su lt a n t » n u t rit io n ist clie n t s » micro flo ra p ro file fo r Use scie n ce , n o t Nu t rit io n ist s (p ro d u ct cu st o me r » KEEP cu st : Nu t rit io n ist s » t ria l/e rro r, t o b e t t e r re fe rra l) » Me mb e rsh ip , u n d e rst a n d imp a ct o f KEY RESOURCES d ie t mo d ifica t io n s o r CHANNELS a b n o rma lit ie s » Te st in g kit »  To o ls t o Fo o d su p p lie r/h e a lt h n u t r it io n is t t o st o re s » We b p la t fo rm fo r m a k e s cie n t ifica lly co n su me r a cce ss » Co n su me r-fa cin g a d s b a s e d p r o b io t ic » r e co m m e n d a t io n » Pe e r re co mme n d a t io n » COST STRUCTURE REVENUE STREAMS Ove rh e a d (we b d e v, cu st o me r se rvice , ma rke t in g e t c) » Pro d u ct p la ce me n t sa le s (i.e . p ro b io t ic d rin ks) » Se q u e n cin g a n d a n a lysis co st ($ 6 0 /kit fo r ma t e ria ls/la b o r) » Pa y p e r p a cka g e (3 kit s + in d ivid u a l re su lt s) » Su b scrip t io n fo r p e rso n a lize d p ro d u ct re cs a n d d isco u n t s » Fre e a cce ss t o co mmu n it y p la t fo rm »  p r o b io t ic s a le s » Li c e n se d fr o m b u si n e ssm o d e lg e n e r a t i o n .c o m u n d e r a Cr e a t i ve Co m m o n s At t r i b u t i o n -S h a r e Al i ke 3.0 Un p o r t e d Li c e n se
  • 27. MOCK-UP OF IDEA #1 1 2 3 4
  • 28. MOCK UP OF IDEA #2
  • 29. MOCK UP OF IDEA #3 Prebiotics Patient Page Probiotics Nutritionist Nutri. Page Kits DataBase Analysis
  • 30. HOW CAN WE MAKE RECOMMENDATIONS? 1.) Profiling: 2.) Community rating: 3.) Matching: We analyze your sample Other Gutwiser users have We look for a user that and can see who else has rated probiotics based on looks similar to you and a similar profile to you their personal experiences who has rated a probiotic
  • 31. CHANNEL ARCHET YPE Naturopathic doctor Registered Dietitian (R.D) Nutritionist / Health Coach  Licensed physician  Are licensed  Not credited, Unregulated  Holistic method  Can work in hospital  Can be certified from certain school  must meet the continuing  “personalized” approach professional education requirements of ADA Practitioners would: 1/ recommend our service free of charge 2/ be motivated by coupons for discounted or free product 3/ ask for monetary compensation for endorsing service
  • 32. NUTRITIONIST AS CHANNEL GET: KEEP: GROW: Product • Community • Customer referral results referrals Nutritionists • Can‟t order labs without MD • Want to attract more clients “Feel betters” Wk 0 Wk 4 Wk 8 Wk 12 Baseline: Results 1: Results 2: Results 3 Test 1 Test 2 Test 3
  • 33. WHAT DO NUTRITIONISTS WANT? “Trial and error” Metametrix Gutwiser Technology Intuition PCR , traditional Sanger Ultra high-throughput sequencing Illumina-tag sequencing Process See what happens MD approval required to No MD approval order test Output Client perception only • Select bacteria • Complete bacteria snapshot profile • Yeast and fungus • Personalized diet, • Drug resistance supplement, and • Parasites probiotic • Short chain fatty recommendations acids • Inflammation Cost to user Free $400 for one kit $400(?) for 3 kits Value Limited, static bacterial Robust, dynamic profile bacterial profile
  • 34. SELLING THROUGH NUTRITIONISTS Hypothesis Experiment Outcome Sell through Too expensive to build 1. Trade shows are nutritionists: direct sales useful for reaching supplement retailers as Nutritionists: partners 1.) Trade shows $1000/booth, 400 attendees 2. Use nutritionists as 2.) Schools only initial channel: Supplement retailers reach them through $5250/booth, 63000 schools. Break even attendees and reach 1,950 grads/year Holistic nutritionist schools: 3. Next steps: ~ 13 schools x 150 grads/year RETHINK OUR = 1,950 grads/year CHANNELS AT SCALE!
  • 35. SCIENCE VS MARKETING  SCIENCE  Revenue model 1: Manufacturing and selling our own probiotics  Revenue model 2: Selling data to probiotics manufacturers  Key questions:  Do people care enough about the science? No!  Do probiotics companies care about the science? No!  Nutritionists care about science and people care about what nutritionists think  MARKETING  Revenue model: Diets and probiotics sales  Channel: Nutritionists (Avon model) vs direct to consumer via infomercials  Science is just one part of our story
  • 36. TWO REVENUE STREAMS: KIT SALES + PRODUCT SALES Net Revenue from Kits (per customer) Overhead Expenses Price per kit $80 # Sales employees 2 - Gutwiser cost per kit $60 + # of Technicians 1 = Profit per kit $20 + # of Web dev employees 1 x # of kits/yr 3 + # of Science Experts 1 = Kit profit per customer per year $60 = # of Employees 5 x Avg salary $50,000 = Salary expense $250,000 Net Revenue from "Amazon platform” A Probiotics sales per customer/mo. $30 x # mos./yr 12 Travel and Profit per Breakeven # of conference/expo expenses $3,000 = Annual sales per customer $360 customer customers: x # of conferences per x Gutwiser cut 15% = Gutwiser product profit per year 6 customer per year $54 $114 2,667 = Travel/conference expenses $18,000 Fully Personalized Probiotics B Probiotics sales per customer/mo. $60 X # mos./yr 12 Other overhead $3,000 = Annual sales per customer $720 x # of mos. 12 x Gutwiser cut 40% = Other expenses $36,000 = Gutwiser product revenue/customer $288 $348 874 Total SG&A Expenses $304,000
  • 37. CAN WE MAKE TRULY CUSTOMIZED PROBIOTICS? Revenue Model Volume constraints Time to customer Option A: • Product price: ~ • None • 2-4 wks for analysis $30/mo. Kit + Amazon • Readily available marketplace/platform • GW profit: 10- probiotics of product reccs 25% cut of sales Option B: • Product price: • “150K tablets” • 2-4 wks for analysis ~$60/mo. minimum order, Kit + Fully 15k piggybacking • +4-12 wks to personalized, custom • GW profit: 150- off existing orders develop customized probiotics 900% markup probiotics possible Source: Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics
  • 38. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTIES  Where is our value  Database  Supplement recommendation algorithm  Patentable insights on the gut microbiome  How de we want to protect it  Database: consent form the participant may be required  Algorithm: Patent vs. Trade secret?  The university in this process?
  • 39. REGULATORY INSIGHTS FROM AN FDA LAWYER FDA Class I Medical Device status • Find a FDA-cleared, marketed device to •“As soon as you say 'test kit' it is going to be a med device" qualify for Class I •“It would be the manufacturer‟s responsibility to get FDA exemption approval, but your company could get in some trouble if using an unapproved FDA test kit.” • Cannot make Who interprets the results? What claims can be made? claims/reccs beyond what a non-licensed •”If the consumer reads the results – fine to give consumer some guidance on nutrition supplements they should be practitioner can do, taking… but not for any disease treatment or abnormal (i.e., stay away from condition.. You can probably say you may have symptoms of claims on disease IBS but need to go to an internal medicine MD to find out.” treatment/diagnosis) Financial incentives with partners must be disclosed • Be transparent that •“Giving nutritionists a kickback would probably be okay but we/nutritionists are might need a disclosure – e.g., „I understand that this recommending practice owns the MRI ctr‟” •“You might need to disclose on the website that all of the products that products offered / recommended here have a relationship we/nutritionists reap with the company.” financial benefit from
  • 40. SYMPTOMATIC/PROACTIVE INDIVIDUALS - HOW BIG IS THE MARKET? Digestive  TAM: Digestive diseases, 60 M adults 1 disease  SAM: IBS sufferers: 15.3M adults 60 M adults  % that take supplements: 50% 2  x approx monthly spend on supplements: $20 3 IBS  Target = $1.84 BN 15 M  TAM: Dieter s, 1 88 M adults 4  SAM: Women dieters: 104M 5 Dieters  “Wealthy dieters” comprise only 20% 6 188 M adults  x approx monthly spend on supplements: $ 20 7  Target = $4.98 BN Wealthy women 1 NIH (NIDDK), incl. Crohns, IBS, UC dieters 2 Center for Disease Control and Prevention 20.8M 3,7 Customer interview 4,5 Gallup 6 Marketdata Enterprises
  • 41. NUTRITIONIST MARKET SIZE Estimated number of women aged 35-64 who get information about nutrition from a nutritionist 35-44 45-54 55-64 Total %age of total US pop who get info from nutritionists 2% 3% 3% %age of women who get info from nutritionists 1% 2% 2% x Number of women in US pop 20,128,000 22,459,000 19,038,000 = Est. no. of women who get info from nutritionist 201,280 336,885 285,570 823,735 Gutwiser sells to 5% of market at $114 profit/sale = $4.7M Source: Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics
  • 42. SELLING THROUGH NUTRITIONIST SCHOOLS  Cover our costs from teaching at nutrition schools  Make a small profit from future referrals of our students Income from providing testing and teaching in nutritionist schools Income from referrals by nutritionists Revenue Costs Total number of students 1950 %age of students who go on to practice 50% Wholesale price per kit 80 Curriculum development (hours) 35 = Practicing nutritionists reached 975 x Number of students 1950 x Salary per hour 50 x %age of nutritionists who refer clients to Gutwiser 50% = Total revenue 156000 = Curriculum development cost 1750 = Number of nutritionists referring clients 488 x Clients per nutritionist 10 Salary per hour 50 = Clients using Gutwiser 4875 x Teaching hours per course 15 x Profit per client to Gutwiser 174 = Cost per course per school 750 = Profit from referrals by nutritionists via school channel 848,250 x Number of schools 13 = Cost to teach at every school 9750 Cost per kit 60 x Number of students 1950 = Cost to provide kits for students 117,000 Total revenue from teaching 156,000 - Total cost to reach 1,950 students 128,500 = Revenue from nutritionists schools 27,500
  • 43. PROBIOTICS MARKET SIZE • Probiotic supplements annual North American revenue ~ $750M in 2011 • Growing 35% in 5 years ~ $1bn in 2016 • 5% of US market ~ $50M
  • 44. NUTRACEUTICALS MARKET Functional food, functional beverages and dietary supplements:  2011 US market for nutraceuticals = $56.4bn  2011 Global market = $142.1Bn  2017 Global market = $204.8Bn

Editor's Notes

  1. ChristinaDieter people are educated about hos to eat and want a great level of details, however ..% we re not interested into the scienceHealthy people with not real interest for themselves actually would refer it to symptomatic friend
  2. Christina
  3. ChristinaCanvas changes:1.) Axed wealthier women dieters for ‘feel betters’2.) Removed any mention of us analyzing samples ourselves and replaced with outsourcing to uB or AG3.) Removed WW/gyms and replaced with high-end nutritionists/health consultants4.) Replaced value prop associated with weight loss to value prop associated with feel betters5.) Added peer recommendation to customer relationshipsWHAT SHALL WE RE-ADD RE WEIGHT LOSS? DO WE NEED TO ADD OTHER THINGS TO ACTIVITIES?
  4. AnnaTell Kristi’s storyEnd point out that Lululemon did $1bn in revenues last year
  5. AnnaInsights from interviews with feel betters –Not as interested in tracking results and actively learning about others’ experiences (Patients Like Me)Don’t want complete DIY ….Really want specific, personalized product recsTrust nutritionists – typically pay $100/nutritionist visit – want stamp of approvalTakeaway:Focus the community around PRODUCTS, not EXPERIENCE
  6. 1.) Analyze your gut bacteria profile2.)Compare to other people in our database3.)Recommendations for you based on what’s worked for people with similar profiles
  7. Anna – talk about specific nutritionist we met – Tamar CohenKey points:Nutritionists type: Focused on hollistic health, unlicensedWhat they do: 1.) diet diagnosis 2.) behavior changeTo do the diet diagnosis, they like to order labs but they can’t Metametrix is the closest thing they have – needs approval, $400/kit and doesn’t give recommendations, only data – hard to interpretThey liked the idea of buying wholesale and selling to their clients
  8. LorisDo people care enough about the science? Do probiotics companies care about the science?Nutritionists care about science: People care about nutritionists’ opinions
  9. LorisWe envisioned 2 solutions:The 1st one was the Amazon platform were we would proposed to sell the products of probiotics manufacturersIn the 2nd one, we wanted to sell our own product, fully personalized
  10. Loris1. Manage FDA 510K approval w/ kit supplier(6 mos.)2.Analysis + sequencing of samples(2-4 wks)3. Develop product recs platform(1K samples)4. Partner with and train nutritionists5.Partner with probiotics manuf. as platform vendors
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  19. LorisWe envisioned 2 solutions:The 1st one was the Amazon platform were we would proposed to sell the products of probiotics manufacturersIn the 2nd one, we wanted to sell our own product, fully personalized
  20. Loris
  21. 93905790
  22. The global market for probiotic dietary supplements generated approximately USD 2.4 billion in the consumer sector and is expected to grow 8-10% on an annual basis.For ingredient suppliers, the demand for probiotics is great. In the coming five-year period, the market is expected to grow more than 35%. The market is primarily driven by Asia today, but consumption in the US is expected to exceed demand by more than 60% during the same period""