Statistical Validation of Moore’s Law by Dr Sanjoy Sanyal MBBS, MS, MSc, ADPHA, ADHRD Associate Professor, Consultant Surgeon, Health Informatician February 2009

Co-founders of Intel ® Gordon E Moore Bob Noyce

Birth of Intel Gordon E. Moore and Bob Noyce wanted to name their new company ‘Moore Noyce’ But it was already trademarked by a hotel chain So they settled for ‘Intel’, acronym from ‘Integrated Electronics’ Moore was at helm of Intel from 1975 to 1987 The rest is history

Gordon E. Moore and Bob Noyce wanted to name their new company ‘Moore Noyce’

But it was already trademarked by a hotel chain

So they settled for ‘Intel’, acronym from ‘Integrated Electronics’

Moore was at helm of Intel from 1975 to 1987

The rest is history

Moore’s Law “Moore’s Law” states the number of transistors on a chip roughly doubles every two years “Moore’s Law” states that transistor density on integrated circuits doubles about every two years.

“Moore’s Law” states the number of transistors on a chip roughly doubles every two years

“Moore’s Law” states that transistor density on integrated circuits doubles about every two years.

Moore’s Law Moore’s Law isn’t a law at all Moore’s prediction in 1965 popularly came to be known as “Moore’s Law” It is a statement that microprocessor design is going to carry on improving at a steady rate

Moore’s Law isn’t a law at all

Moore’s prediction in 1965 popularly came to be known as “Moore’s Law”

It is a statement that microprocessor design is going to carry on improving at a steady rate

Moore’s Law Philosophy Intel ® executives have turned ‘Moore's Law’ into a ‘mantra’. Intel ® has hammered Moore’s Law into its corporate culture It constantly provides a marketing buzzword It gives engineers ever-moving, tangible standard to reach with each new model. That is the real genius behind the concept

Intel ® executives have turned ‘Moore's Law’ into a ‘mantra’.

Intel ® has hammered Moore’s Law into its corporate culture

It constantly provides a marketing buzzword

It gives engineers ever-moving, tangible standard to reach with each new model.

That is the real genius behind the concept

In the subsequent slides, one needs to focus on the exponential graphs and their respective equations But, first let us see some theoretical data, as postulated in Moore’s Law…

Based on theoretical data (previous slide)

Based on theoretical data

Based on 2004 data (previous slide)

Based on 2004 data

Based on 2007 data (previous slide)

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Next 5 slides, also from Intel ® 2007 data, highlight some Moore’s Law variants Focus on chip clock speed and chip manufacturing technology (chip thickness)

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Based on Intel ® 2007 data

Next 5 slides have been sourced from Wikipedia and Intel ® websites, to underscore their similarity with previous derived graphs

Wikipedia

Wikipedia

Wikipedia

Wikipedia

Intel®

Geek, Engineering genius, Executive genius Predictor, Legal steamroller

Genius of Moore Genius of Moore’s Law concept Engineering genius and hardcore geek Moore was one of few people to earn the respect from geeks and chief executives. Engineers and executives are often at loggerheads. But Moore was an icon for both groups This truly underscores his genius

Genius of Moore’s Law concept

Engineering genius and hardcore geek

Moore was one of few people to earn the respect from geeks and chief executives.

Engineers and executives are often at loggerheads.

But Moore was an icon for both groups

This truly underscores his genius

Moore’s Law Drinking Game If you play the Moore’s Law Drinking Game at an Intel Developer Conference you will be unable to walk out by the end of the session.

If you play the Moore’s Law Drinking Game at an Intel Developer Conference you will be unable to walk out by the end of the session.