Us debt crisis
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Us debt crisis

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Us debt crisis Us debt crisis Presentation Transcript

  • WELCOME
  • SHOULD U.S. RAISE ITS DEBT CEILING?
  • THE FLOW• The Current Scenario• How did they reach here• Why do you need debt ceiling?• The Criticality of the situation• Issues if they raise and if they don’t raise the ceiling• Open Forum View slide
  • CURRENT SCENARIO• US $14.29 trillion• 96% of GDP• AAA rating since 1917 View slide
  • Have High Debt and High RatingWhy US has been able to raise so much money
  • THE DOLLAR• Largest industrial base and surplus of dollarbacked by Gold post 2nd world war.•1971: The Dollar was fixed as Reserve Currency.• 1973 oil crisis: Increase in US treasury billsheld by central governments•As a result demand for Dollar increased in theworld arena.
  • WHO IS HOLDING THIS DEBT
  • DEBT CEILING
  • DEBT CEILING• Limits the amount of public debt that can be outstanding.• Prevents the U.S. Treasury from issuing new debt once the limit has been reached.
  • IMPORTANCE OF DEBT CEILING
  • IMPORTANCE OF DEBIT CEILING• Provides Congress with the strings to control the federal purse• A form of fiscal accountability• Compels Congress and the President to check their debt borrowings
  • But you can always increase it
  • The REASONS From a forecast annual surpluses of$850 billion for 2009–2012 to deficit reality of $1,215 billion
  • How serious is this issue of Debt ceiling
  • Default inpayment
  • Default in Employmentpayment
  • Default in Employmentpayment Inflation
  • Default in EmploymentpaymentInflation Exchange Rate
  • GDPDefault in EmploymentpaymentInflation Exchange Rate
  • GDPDefault in Employmentpayment National IncomeInflation Exchange Rate
  • GDPDefault in Employmentpayment National Income Stock MarketInflation Exchange Rate
  • GDPDefault in Employmentpayment National Income Stock MarketInflation Exchange Rate Dollar Value
  • GDP Employment Default in paymentInterest National Rates Income Stock Market Inflation Exchange Rate Dollar Value
  • IF THEY DON’T RAISE THE DEBT CEILING
  • • Decrease in Expenses• Effect on Stock Market• Sky High mortgage and Interest rate• Treasury Bond Collapse
  • BUT WHAT IF THEY RAISE THE DEBT CEILING
  • Dollar weakens
  • Imports• Imports become dearer.• End up paying more money for same quantity of goods purchased.• Pace of economic growth rate slows down.
  • Exports• Exports become cheaper.• Importer country ends up buying same amount of goods for a lesser price.• As a result of increase in exports, the trade deficit might decrease.
  • INFLATION• As imports get dearer, inflation increases.• Prices of goods increases.
  • INTEREST RATES• As a result of increase in inflation, the interest rates will go up.• Investor confidence will go down.• As a result the investment in the economy will go down.
  • CAPITAL FLIGHT• Flow of funds or investments from develop to developing countries.• Increases unemployment in the country.
  • CAPITAL FORMATION• Investments and capital formation are positively correlated.• As investments go down rate of capital formation goes down.• Hence government needs money to initiate investments and growth in the economy.