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a perspective for human development in the 21st century    Inaugural lecture, Rutger de Graaf, Tuesday 6th November 2012
Contents| Lecture outline      – Introduction         • Before we start         • A family moment         • Thinking about...
Introduction| RDM in the 1960’s
Introduction| A family moment
Introduction| A family moment
PROBLEM                     OVERVIEW“You could not step twice into the same river; for other waters are ever flowing on to...
Global city light image                          NASA
Manila, Philippines                      Earthzine, 2010
Natural weather catastrophes                               Munich Re
Sandy, New York City                       Photo: Charles Sykes, AP
Population exposed to flooding in 2007 and 2070                                              Source: OECD, 2007
Effects of land subsidence, Jakarta, Indonesia                                             Source: Piet Dircke, 2012
Land shortage | Business as usual                                    Land shortage                                    ≈ 22...
Land shortage | Business as usual
Land shortage | Best case scenario                                     Land shortage:                                     ...
Where to go?  Desert? : water resources are lacking        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Barnards_Ga                  ...
The Ocean !     http://www.philipp-     winterberg.com/galerie/mexico_wallpaper.php
ADAPTIVE            URBAN         DEVELOPMENT           ON WATER“We are tied to the ocean. And when we go back to the sea,...
Floating Cities| l’Ile a Helice (Jules Vernes, 1895)
Floating Cities| Triton City (Richard Buckminster Fuller, 1966)
Floating Cities| Sea City of the Future (Walt Disney, 1984)       Walt Disney, 1984
Floating Cities| GREEN FLOAT (Shimizu Corporation, 2010)
Enough space On water 50 times more efficient Less than 0,2 % of the oceans  needed One third of the current  agricultu...
DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Closing the cycle          Conventional city     Conventional + Floating city          ‘Linear metabolism’      ...
Concept | Closing the cycle                              Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Case study                       Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Producing food and fuel from algae                                               Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Global potential 44% of the world food demand can be met by using the  available (waste) nutrients and CO2 from current c...
DeltaSync, 2012
Building blocks| Floating platforms
Building blocks| Floating buildings
Building blocks| Floating biofuel production
Building blocks| Floating food productionSource: Aquaponics.blog
Building blocks| Wave protectionSource: Nederland in Beeld
Building blocks| Wave protectionSource: FDN Engineering
Building blocks| Artificial reefs                                    Source: Reefballs.org
Building blocks| Floating wetlands                                     Source: Floating Islands International
Building blocks| Utility units and infrastructure                                                    Source: DeltaSync, 2008
RESEARCH AGENDA              Project                        Knowledge Gaps                                    Integrating ...
IMPLEMENTATIONIf at first an idea isnt absurd, theres no hope for it.”-Albert Einstein-
Implementation| From vision to mission                                         DeltaSync, 2006
Implementation| Defining a short term step                                       DeltaSync and Public Domain Architecten, ...
Implementation| Building Process
Implementation| The Result
Implementation| Succes factors  1.   Political importance  2.   Collaboration  3.   Window of opportunity: WE Shanghai 201...
Implementation| Citizens as project developers
Implementation| Building process  Floating Houses Harnaschpolder
Implementation| Ambitions for RotterdamSource: Municipality of Rotterdam
Implementation| Municipal policySource: Gemeente Rotterdam
Implementation| Developing the building blocks                            Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water & Del...
Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water &DeltaSync, 2011/2012
Source: RDM Campus, 2010
Source:RDM Campus, 2010
Conclusions A fundamental new approach to urban development is  needed for the challenges of the 21st century Cities on ...
“Because the people who are crazy enough to think theycan change the world, are the ones who do.”- Steve Jobs
Inaugural Lecture BlueRevolution
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Inaugural Lecture BlueRevolution

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This is my Inaugural Lecture about the Blue Revolution. It shows that we need to ralize urban expansions on the water and combine this with floating food production and floating algae biofuel production to deal with the challenges of the 21st century. Much of the work was developed with my colleagues at DeltaSync. We want to collaborate with people all over the world to develop pilot projects and expand on the water in a sustainable way. it goes much further than being self-sufficient. The purpose is to create a symbiosis between cities on land and water. Floating cities could use the waste CO2 and nutrients of land based cities in a productive way, providing at the same time affordable flood proof housing for the people. Most of the building blocks are there. We need to bring it together to make the next step. Because only a small part of the ocean is needed, the rest can become a nature reserve giving marine ecosystems a long term perspective on survival. A perspective that is currently lacking. We look forward to receive comments and ideas. Best regards,

Rutger de Graaf

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  1. 1. a perspective for human development in the 21st century Inaugural lecture, Rutger de Graaf, Tuesday 6th November 2012
  2. 2. Contents| Lecture outline – Introduction • Before we start • A family moment • Thinking about the future – Problem overview – Adaptive urban development on water • Key characteristics • Research agenda – Implementation – Conclusion
  3. 3. Introduction| RDM in the 1960’s
  4. 4. Introduction| A family moment
  5. 5. Introduction| A family moment
  6. 6. PROBLEM OVERVIEW“You could not step twice into the same river; for other waters are ever flowing on toyou.” - Heraclitus
  7. 7. Global city light image NASA
  8. 8. Manila, Philippines Earthzine, 2010
  9. 9. Natural weather catastrophes Munich Re
  10. 10. Sandy, New York City Photo: Charles Sykes, AP
  11. 11. Population exposed to flooding in 2007 and 2070 Source: OECD, 2007
  12. 12. Effects of land subsidence, Jakarta, Indonesia Source: Piet Dircke, 2012
  13. 13. Land shortage | Business as usual Land shortage ≈ 22 mn km² Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  14. 14. Land shortage | Business as usual
  15. 15. Land shortage | Best case scenario Land shortage: ≈ 12 mn km² Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  16. 16. Where to go? Desert? : water resources are lacking http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Barnards_Ga laxy.jpg Space?? : still too expensivehttp://www.mega-tapety.info/krajobrazy-polaipustynie-1414.html
  17. 17. The Ocean ! http://www.philipp- winterberg.com/galerie/mexico_wallpaper.php
  18. 18. ADAPTIVE URBAN DEVELOPMENT ON WATER“We are tied to the ocean. And when we go back to the sea, whether itis to sail or to watch - we are going back from whence we came.”- John F. Kennedy
  19. 19. Floating Cities| l’Ile a Helice (Jules Vernes, 1895)
  20. 20. Floating Cities| Triton City (Richard Buckminster Fuller, 1966)
  21. 21. Floating Cities| Sea City of the Future (Walt Disney, 1984) Walt Disney, 1984
  22. 22. Floating Cities| GREEN FLOAT (Shimizu Corporation, 2010)
  23. 23. Enough space On water 50 times more efficient Less than 0,2 % of the oceans needed One third of the current agricultural area will become available Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  24. 24. DeltaSync, 2012
  25. 25. Concept | Closing the cycle Conventional city Conventional + Floating city ‘Linear metabolism’ ‘Cyclical metabolism’ Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  26. 26. Concept | Closing the cycle Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  27. 27. Concept | Case study Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  28. 28. Concept | Producing food and fuel from algae Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  29. 29. Global potential 44% of the world food demand can be met by using the available (waste) nutrients and CO2 from current cities A total floating area of the size of Madagascar (585.000 km2) would be enough . In the optimal ratio, 13% of the population would live in the floating cities. Source: DeltaSync, 2012
  30. 30. DeltaSync, 2012
  31. 31. Building blocks| Floating platforms
  32. 32. Building blocks| Floating buildings
  33. 33. Building blocks| Floating biofuel production
  34. 34. Building blocks| Floating food productionSource: Aquaponics.blog
  35. 35. Building blocks| Wave protectionSource: Nederland in Beeld
  36. 36. Building blocks| Wave protectionSource: FDN Engineering
  37. 37. Building blocks| Artificial reefs Source: Reefballs.org
  38. 38. Building blocks| Floating wetlands Source: Floating Islands International
  39. 39. Building blocks| Utility units and infrastructure Source: DeltaSync, 2008
  40. 40. RESEARCH AGENDA Project Knowledge Gaps Integrating technologies and up scaling fromFloating structures and utilities house to neighbourhood and city level. Integrating floating aquaculture innovations in floating structures. Urban design instruments specificallyUrban design of floating cities accustomed to floating cities, including public space, separation, identities, mobility and possible ways of living in floating cities Development of new economic models, newRealizing floating urbanization methods of collaboration between research, government, companies and SME’s, starting pilot projects Data and understanding about water qualityImpacts on water quality and and ecological impacts, establishing designecology guidelines based on this understanding. Role of showcases in the development andRotterdam as entrepreneurial transition process of water citieswater en adaptation showcase
  41. 41. IMPLEMENTATIONIf at first an idea isnt absurd, theres no hope for it.”-Albert Einstein-
  42. 42. Implementation| From vision to mission DeltaSync, 2006
  43. 43. Implementation| Defining a short term step DeltaSync and Public Domain Architecten, 2009
  44. 44. Implementation| Building Process
  45. 45. Implementation| The Result
  46. 46. Implementation| Succes factors 1. Political importance 2. Collaboration 3. Window of opportunity: WE Shanghai 2010 4. Time pressure 5. Process approach vs blue print 6. Network of change agents 7. Ambition 8. Temporary functions
  47. 47. Implementation| Citizens as project developers
  48. 48. Implementation| Building process Floating Houses Harnaschpolder
  49. 49. Implementation| Ambitions for RotterdamSource: Municipality of Rotterdam
  50. 50. Implementation| Municipal policySource: Gemeente Rotterdam
  51. 51. Implementation| Developing the building blocks Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water & DeltaSync, 2011/2012
  52. 52. Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water &DeltaSync, 2011/2012
  53. 53. Source: RDM Campus, 2010
  54. 54. Source:RDM Campus, 2010
  55. 55. Conclusions A fundamental new approach to urban development is needed for the challenges of the 21st century Cities on land should be transformed into flood proof ecocities Floating city expansions combined with food production can accommodate future urbanization without sacrificing land At the same time this strategy provides global food security and reuses waste of conventional cities Much research is still needed but, at the same time, also fast implementation
  56. 56. “Because the people who are crazy enough to think theycan change the world, are the ones who do.”- Steve Jobs
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