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Commercial property blues

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  • 1. Commercial-property blues According the U.K. i n December 2009
  • 2. The risk to banks, and to the economy at large
    • Problems
    • How to continue ?
    • Solutions
  • 3. Problems
    • Fear
    • A giant overhang of loans
    • Little is on offer and hard is to get credit
  • 4. How to continue ? Bank in this situation face a stark choice: foreclose the loan and trigger a fire sale, or hang the hope that the market will improve
  • 5.  
  • 6. The most likely provides of this capital a foreign investors
  • 7.  
  • 8. Solutions
    • Rise in interest rates
    • Make the loans more expensive
    • Pitch more borrowers into default
  • 9. The Economist December 5th 2009 economist.com/britain
  • 10. Thank you!