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China's overheating economy

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  • 1. China´s overheating economy Sanne Rüütelmaa
  • 2. Fast economic growth in Asia
    • Asia is pulling away from the developed world
    • If Central and Eastern European economies would grow just 2.8 percent this year, then in Asia the economic growth is expected more than 3x faster
    • Economic growth in Asia has rebounded at double-digit rates
  • 3. Asian industrial production is now well above the previous peak, while the US languishes below
  • 4. China´s overheating economy
    • Instead of supporting the growth of economy, it is necessary to cool it
    • Economy grew 11.9 percent in the first quarter
    • Consumer price inflation fell from 2.7 to 2.4 percent
  • 5.  
  • 6. Reason
    • Last year, China made the largest contribution to growth in real estate
    • Property prices rose at a record pace in March, up almost 12% from a year earlier
  • 7.  
  • 8. What to do?
    • Bigger downpayment for large housing loans
    • At least 50 percent of the payment, higher interest rate (second loan)
    • Not to grant third loan
    • More flexible monetary policy would help China keep inflation munder control.
  • 9. Thank you !