14 ExaTrends of the Decade

Map of the Decade: 2010s augmented reputation globalindividuals humans economy talent business technology haves and organizations economic awakens have nots to networks power shiftsociety everything bio demographic media collective destiny crunch intelligence culture jamming climate energy government clashes planet switch

Map of the Decade: 2010s augmented human More than ever before, we can transcend our human abilities. Traditional memory aids are supplemented by augmented reality glasses or contact lenses, thought interfaces allow us to control machines, augmented exoskeletons give us superhuman power. Machines humans will not take over humanity… because they will be us. technology organizations awakens to networks bio destiny individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s bio destiny augmented Now that biological and genomic technologies are humans largely driven by information technologies, they are on the same exponential trajectory. Medicines personalized to the individual, genetic modiﬁcation technology of our children, drugs to increase intelligence, and awakens life extension will all become commonplace. bio demographic destiny crunch energy switch individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s climate clashes The divide between believers and dis-believers in climate change and the necessity for action is increasing. Beyond that, views on the potential haves and of planetary engineering will cut to have nots the heart of the divide on faith in or fear of technology, Whatever the meteorological data that emerges, it will tear us apart. culture jamming climate energy clashes switch individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s reputation global economy talent technology awakens collective intelligence In a world of inﬁnite information and diversity of opinion we will not everything media collective drown, but harness our dormant intelligence potential to be more together than we are individually. Crowdsourcing culture platforms and aggregators of jamming insight will be part of the planks that create the reality of a global brain, expressing our destiny. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s culture jamming Remix culture will surge, with everybody taking and jamming up haves and have nots slices of everything and anything to express themselves, while intellectual property law fails to everything keep pace. Every culture on the media collective planet will reach everywhere – intelligence the only culture we will know is a global mashed-up emergent culture climate culture that changes by the minute. jamming clashes individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s haves and organizations economic have nots to networks power shift bio demographicdemographic crunch destiny crunchMany developed nations will start hittingthe wall in their ability to support theirelderly. The contrast with the rapidgrowth of developing nations will bringinto focus the turn in economic fortunes.The inevitable result is mass migration,licit or illicit. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s haves and organizations economic have nots to networks power shift demographiceconomic power shift crunchThe sheer weight of China’s burgeoning economytogether with India’s rise will change thebusiness world’s center of gravity. The Far East energy switchwill fund the continued proﬂigate spending ofthe West. The weightless economy based oninnovation, media, and professional serviceswill dominate growth. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s energy switch The way we use energy will change faster than ever before in human history. Renewable energy sources, electric cars, economic and strict energy accounting, driven in power shift part by carbon taxes on fossil fuels, will transform transportation and large chunks of the economy, faster than we bio destiny currently imagine. climate energy clashes switch individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s reputation economy everything media What we knew as media has exploded far beyond its technology traditional boundaries to awakens encompass most social activity, how organizations function, and indeed the everything collective creation of almost all media intelligence economic value. Even as newspaper extinction culture proceeds apace, the best jamming media operators will thrive. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010sglobal talentTalent is everywhere. As organizationsshift to networks, transcending reputation globalworkplaces, success will be driven by economy talenthow well they can attract the mosttalented, those who can choose where,how, and why they work. Real-time haves and organizationstranslation software will enable true have nots to networksmulti-cultural teams. Wealth will ﬂowto the talented, wherever they are. collective intelligence individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010shaves and have notsAcross communities,nations, and the world, there reputation globalis a keen risk of increasing economy talentseparation between thosewho have access totechnology, tools, and basicneeds, and those who do haves and organizations economic have nots to networks power shiftnot. This is not inevitable.However it will requireconcerted action around theworld to avoid an increasing demographic crunchschism between us. culture jamming climate clashes individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s augmented global humans talent haves and organizations economic have nots to networks power shiftorganizations to networks demographic crunchBy the end of this decade close to half the workforcewill be working independently, often across nationalboundaries. Companies will function on socialnetworks and gaming platforms, professionals willwork for many clients, and many of today’scompanies will be supplanted by networks of experts. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s reputation global economy talent haves and reputation economy have nots Emerging measures of reputation will shape business and society, providing everything increasingly accurate views of the collective media intelligence trustworthiness of individuals and companies. They will enable far more efﬁcient business, make dating easier, help to ﬁlter information overload, and allow no space for the dodgy to hide. individuals business government planet society

Map of the Decade: 2010s technology awakens The 2002 book Living Networks described how augmented the rise of a hyperconnected world is literally humans bringing to life the networks that connect us. Soon a profusion of billions of richly connected devices will together manifest behaviors technology beyond all expectations, evolving themselves awakens and seeking beauty. everything bio media collective destiny intelligence individuals business government planet society

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14 ExaTrends of the Decade

by Ross Dawsn on Feb 21, 2012

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14 ExaTrends of the Decade — Presentation Transcript