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Col credit suisse industrials conference final
 

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    Col credit suisse industrials conference final Col credit suisse industrials conference final Presentation Transcript

    • Investor Presentation Credit Suisse Global Industrials Conference December 3, 2013 D b 3 © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved.
    • Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains statements, including certain projections and business trends, that are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to the financial condition of our customers, including bankruptcies; the health of the global economy, including p g y g potential deterioration in economic and financial market conditions; the rate of recovery of y the commercial OEM production rates and the aftermarket; the impacts of natural disasters, including operational disruption, potential supply shortages and other economic impacts; cybersecurity threats, including the potential misappropriation of assets or sensitive information, corruption of data or operational disruption; delays related to the award of domestic and international contracts; delays in customer programs; unanticipated impacts of sequestration and other provisions of the Budget Control Act of 2011; the continued support for military transformation and modernization programs; potential adverse impact of oil prices on the commercial aerospace industry; the impact of terrorist events on the commercial aerospace industry; declining defense budgets resulting from budget deficits in the U.S. and abroad; changes in domestic and foreign government spending, budgetary, procurement and trade policies adverse to our businesses; market acceptance of our new and existing technologies, products and services; reliability of and customer satisfaction with our products and services; favorable outcomes on or potential cancellation or restructuring of contracts, orders or program priorities by our customers; recruitment and retention of qualified personnel; regulatory restrictions on air travel due to environmental concerns; effective negotiation of collective bargaining agreements by us and our customers; performance of our customers and subcontractors; risks inherent in development and fixed-price contracts, particularly the risk of cost overruns; risk of significant reduction to air travel or aircraft capacity beyond our forecasts; our ability to execute to our internal performance plans such as our productivity and quality improvements and cost reduction initiatives; achievement of our acquisition and related integration plans; continuing to maintain our planned effective tax rates; our ability to develop contract compliant systems and products on schedule and within anticipated cost estimates; risk of fines and penalties related to noncompliance with laws and regulations including export control and environmental regulations; risk of asset impairments; our ability to win new business and convert those orders to sales within the fiscal year in accordance with our annual operating plan; and the uncertainties of the outcome of lawsuits, claims and legal proceedings, as well as other risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to those detailed herein and from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date hereof and the company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement. © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 2 2
    • What we do ‣ Government 52% 48% Commercial Navigation ‣ Automated flight control ‣ Displays/surveillance Di l / ill Aviation services ‣ Integrated electronic solutions ‣ 2013 Sales: $4 61 Billion $4.61 ‣ ‣ Communications and electronics products, C i ti d l t i d t systems and solutions for commercial aviation and military applications worldwide Communications Information management systems Avionics 58% Air transport 50% Comm products 24% ‣ Simulation and training Business & regional g 46% Surface sol 10% Nav products 8% © 2013 Rockwell Collins. Wide-body IFE 4% All rights reserved. 3
    • Strengths of our business • Well positioned in long-cycle programs • Strong customer relationships • Leveraged operating model utilizing shared services and common investments • Highly exportable products • Robust intellectual property portfolio and high barriers to entry • Financially sound balance sheet © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 4
    • Government Systems • Long-term avionics positions across a broad spectrum of platforms • Established core capabilities in air and ground communication and navigation solutions • Leverage commercial technologies • Growing international positions across our government portfolios © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 5
    • Returning to growth - Government Systems ($ Millions) $2,395 Mid-to-high single digits 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Market Outlook: Key Areas of Growth: • Sequestration continues to impact DOD funding • Tankers & Transports • International growth • Rotary Wing • Hardware programs transitioning to production • Networked Communication • 2015 sales about flat with 2014 • Next Gen GPS • L Low-single di it growth after 2015 i l digit th ft • T Targeting Systems ti S t © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 6
    • Commercial Systems • Growing share in air transport through increased standard positions • Increasing business jet positions in the mid to heavy jets • International growth through captured positions with emerging t d iti ith i international OEMs • Di Diverse product portfolio d t tf li • Supplier of choice for information-enabled aircraft i f ti bl d i ft © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 7
    • Accelerating growth – Commercial Systems ($ Millions) $2,215 $2 215 Mid singledigit 2013 2014 2015 2016 Market Outlook: Key Areas of Growth: y • • • • • • 2017 Robust air transport OEM backlogs International expansion Lagging business jet recovery New market entries with increased content Strong aftermarket demand © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. • Air Transport: 787, A350, CSeries, 737 MAX Business & Regional: Legacy 500 and 450 Learjet 85 Global 450, 85, 7000/8000, MRJ, ARJ-21, 5 unannounced platforms 8
    • FY 2014 guidance Total Sales $4.5B to $4.6B Total Segment Operating Margins g Earnings Per Share 21% to 22% $ $4.30 to $4.50 $ Cash Provided by Operating Activities $550M to $650M Research & Development Investment About $950M Capital Expenditures About $140M This guidance range excludes the planned acquisition of ARINC, which is expected to close shortly after receiving regulatory approval. Guidance ranges will be updated after the transaction has closed. g g y pp g p © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 9 9
    • Aviation information management and ARINC © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 10
    • Information management overview Apps Tablets, laptops Computer C t Wi-Fi, hot spot , p Router Cable / cellular Connectivity corporate intranet Network Content & Services Flight Management System, passenger entertainment On board On-board computer / server / flight computer Smart router VHF / UHF / SATCOM Air Traffic Control / Airline Net / Secure Networks / internet open Aviation charts and maps, flight planning, cabin services Information management in aviation is similar to common every day computing yet tends to be highly tailored to accommodate unique needs and constraints © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 11
    • Aviation information management outlook • Global traffic volume and safety/security requirements driving airspace modernization • Operator, crew and passenger needs for information access on/off the aircraft driving advances in avionics/connectivity • Aircraft becoming a mobile data center node on the highly secure global aviation network • Ground systems that provide operational monitoring and management will be modernized to keep pace with aircraft, airports, and airspace • Strong need for trusted suppliers of end-to-end solutions to seamlessly connect all the parts in a secure and cost effective manner Rockwell Collins has a vision to be a leader in aviation information management © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 12
    • Information enablement in commercial aviation Double digit Double-digit information enablement market growth: • Increasing fleet size • Increasing percentage of information enabled aircraft • Increasing applications and services 84,700 (1) active commercial aircraft 80% information enabled 33,800 (1) active commercial aircraft information-enabled aircraft “Smart Aircraft” • • • • 15-20% information enabled 2000 2010 Advanced avionics Connectivity & services Apps & content Security S it 2030 2020 (1) – Air transport, regional, and business aviation aircraft. © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 13
    • Information management in aviation Aircraft Computing Environment • Highly secure and regulated • Mission critical dependability • E i Environmental, weight, and power li i l i h d limits Rockwell Collins Strength • Complex connectivity requirements Aviation Industry Ground Systems • Highly secure and regulated • Mission critical dependability ARINC Strength • Interoperable with proprietary networks • Global network coverage footprint • Domain specific content and services Combined Strength Integrated End-to-End Solutions Rockwell Collins and ARINC combination creates customer and shareholder value by addressing currently unmet need for integrated end-to-end solutions © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 14
    • ARINC synergies overview • Significant synergy opportunities given complementary end markets and customers: – End-to end integrated solutions End to – Combined systems and services – Platform for profitable growth • Key revenue synergies: – Accelerated expansion of GlobaLink services – ARINC Direct and Rockwell Collins sce d g t Se ces Ascend Flight Services – Business aviation connectivity services – Global weather solutions – Airline trusted application hosting • Key cost synergies: – Corporate function consolidations – Flight services optimization © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 15
    • ARINC financial overview • 2014 ARINC expectations: – Expect 2014 EPS to be about neutral including the gain on the sale of Kaiser Optical Systems, Inc. Systems Inc – Expect deal costs to be $10 - $15 million • Long-term ARINC expectations: – Sales growth without synergies in high-single digits – EBITDA margins expanding to greater than 20% – ARINC expected to initially increase Rockwell Collins’ cash flow by about 10% and accelerate thereafter – Revenue synergies are expected to expand ARINC sales growth to double-digits d bl di it and further improve EBITDA margins d f th i i © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 16
    • Information management summary • Double-digit growth over the next decade • Rockwell Collins is uniquely positioned • ARINC accelerates our penetration in information management services • Increases Rockwell Collins pro forma commercial revenue p split to 54% of total sales © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 17
    • Rockwell Collins value proposition • Accelerating growth • Margin expansion as revenue grows • Accelerating cash flow generation • EPS growth in excess of sales growth Focused on shareowner value creation © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 18
    • © 2013 Rockwell Collins. All rights reserved. 19