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ANECDOTES


Customers complaints from customers about traffic
    • Increasing
        (especially after High Street inter...
Two Questions:


How many of our customers
come from South Lexington?

How has that changed since
 South Limestone closure?
IMPACTS




          40504
40513     40503
        40514
              40517


 40356
IMPACTS



30
  Southside



         Percent
of Lowell’s Customer Base
IMPACTS



30
  Southside



         Percent
of Lowell’s Customer Base
IMPACTS



30
  Southside



         Percent
of Lowell’s Customer Base




 After Closure



 ¼¾
of Southside customers l...
IMPACTS



30
  Southside



         Percent
of Lowell’s Customer Base




 After Closure



 ¼¾
of Southside customers l...
If Lowell’s lost 10% of customers following South Lime closure…



  What is the impact to
   all of downtown?
TRAFFIC




South Broadway
  36,000



                 South Limestone
                   25,000
TRAFFIC




South Broadway
  61,000
TRAFFIC

                 West Main
                 19,000




South Broadway
  61,000
TRAFFIC

                                      West Main
                                      19,000
Old Frankfort Pike
 ...
TRAFFIC

                                             West Main
                                             19,000
Old Fr...
TRAFFIC


  True Costs of Traffic
45 mins = 5% of waking hours
TRAFFIC


                                              True Costs of Traffic
                                           4...
TRUE COST




11                      -5
Lexington             Downtown                  Impact
$
        Billion
    Size...
TRUE COST




11                                     -5
Lexington                          Downtown                       ...
TRUE COST
         Business Costs
 $
   84 to 92                   $
                                   Million
Lost Busin...
TRUE COST
         Business Costs
 $
   84 to 92                   $
                                   Million
Lost Busin...
TRUE COST
           Business Costs
   $
     84 to 92                   $
                                     Million
  ...
TRUE COST
             Business Costs
     $
       84 to 92                   $
                                       Mi...
TRUE COST
                 Business Costs
         $
           84 to 92                   $
                             ...
When will a beautified
South Limestone return
 $100 million or 1,000
  jobs to Lexington’s
      economy?
A QUESTION


“Are these numbers right?”
A QUESTION


“AreWrong Question
    these numbers right?”
A BETTER QUESTION


       Right Question:

 “How did we let ourselves vote for
such economic devastation without
   any i...
TWITTER TRAFFIC
TRUE COST




    3                                       2
Business Owners                        Walking Tour


        ...
TRUE COST




      3                                       2
  Business Owners                        Walking Tour


    ...
South Limestone:
   What to do
SEEDS TO SOLUTION


Commissioner Webb & Project Manager Milligan
  have already identified how to accelerate the
        c...
SEEDS TO SOLUTION


Ask for more people / effort from utilities


Ask cement company to stay open past 5PM


Deal with noi...
SEEDS TO SOLUTION


Uncomfortable / effort from utilities
  Ask for more people

Uncomfortable to stay open past 5PM
  Ask...
$100 million is at stake.

1000 jobs are at stake.
$100 million is at stake.

 1000 jobs are at stake.

Get over your discomfort.
Cheapside | Vine | Main:
      What to do
SEEDS TO SOLUTION



Give “full faith and credit” to no one.
SEEDS TO SOLUTION



Give “full faith and credit” to no one.


Only trust detailed plans of execution.
PRETTY PICTURES
PRETTY PICTURES




The problem?
PRETTY PICTURES




    The problem?

This isn’t South Lime…
PRETTY PICTURES

Non-Existent Buildings
    & Storefronts




       Gleaming Marble
          Sidewalks?
REALITY
REALITY
PRETTY PICTURES
PRETTY PICTURES




Without detailed plans of execution,
         it’s just a picture
KEY QUESTIONS
• Could all three streets, as with South Limestone, be completely closed?
• Which sections of which streets ...
SIGNS OF FAILURE
                        Lack of Detail




If they can’t provide step-
 by-step sequence of how
 the proj...
SIGNS OF FAILURE
                        Lack of Detail




If they can’t provide step-

                       Fail
 by-s...
SIGNS OF FAILURE
               Economic Impact Estimate




If they can’t provide an
   estimate of the true
  economic d...
SIGNS OF FAILURE
               Economic Impact Estimate




If they can’t provide an
   estimate of the true


          ...
SIGNS OF FAILURE
Pretty Pictures
SIGNS OF FAILURE
Pretty Pictures




Fail
SIGNS OF FAILURE
        Vague Assurances




“We’ll take care not to
 disrupt businesses…”
SIGNS OF FAILURE
Vague Assurances
SIGNS OF FAILURE
Vague Assurances




 Fail
SIGNS OF FAILURE



    Lack of Detail
No Economic Estimates
    Pretty Pictures
  Vague Assurances
Streetscapes
Streetscapes
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Streetscapes

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An analysis of the impacts of Lexington's closure of South Limestone and the resultant loss of business and quality of life in our community.

Published in: News & Politics
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Transcript of "Streetscapes"

  1. 1. ANECDOTES Customers complaints from customers about traffic • Increasing (especially after High Street intersection closed) • One older customer gave up after attempting a trial run Other Businesses • South Limestone businesses closing, letting employees go • Similar business: Sales “fell off a cliff” in August & September • Festival Market business owner / customer: “Business sucks”
  2. 2. Two Questions: How many of our customers come from South Lexington? How has that changed since South Limestone closure?
  3. 3. IMPACTS 40504 40513 40503 40514 40517 40356
  4. 4. IMPACTS 30 Southside Percent of Lowell’s Customer Base
  5. 5. IMPACTS 30 Southside Percent of Lowell’s Customer Base
  6. 6. IMPACTS 30 Southside Percent of Lowell’s Customer Base After Closure ¼¾ of Southside customers lost Since July 22nd, a full 1/3 of those South Lexington and Nicholasville customers have evaporated
  7. 7. IMPACTS 30 Southside Percent of Lowell’s Customer Base After Closure ¼¾ of Southside customers lost Zero drop in rest of customer base
  8. 8. If Lowell’s lost 10% of customers following South Lime closure… What is the impact to all of downtown?
  9. 9. TRAFFIC South Broadway 36,000 South Limestone 25,000
  10. 10. TRAFFIC South Broadway 61,000
  11. 11. TRAFFIC West Main 19,000 South Broadway 61,000
  12. 12. TRAFFIC West Main 19,000 Old Frankfort Pike 7,000 South Broadway 61,000
  13. 13. TRAFFIC West Main 19,000 Old Frankfort Pike Over 90,000 vehicles 7,000 in disrupted traffic patterns 20% of all drivers South Broadway 61,000
  14. 14. TRAFFIC True Costs of Traffic 45 mins = 5% of waking hours
  15. 15. TRAFFIC True Costs of Traffic 45 mins = 5% of waking hours Retail Office Service Quality of Life Not buying at stores or Not working or Not delivering goods Not spending time with restaurants producing and services family and friends
  16. 16. TRUE COST 11 -5 Lexington Downtown Impact $ Billion Size of Economy 8 % of Local Economy % Hit to Downtown Businesses $
  17. 17. TRUE COST 11 -5 Lexington Downtown Impact $ Billion Size of Economy 8 % of Local Economy Hit to Downtown Businesses % Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure A 2x economic multiplier assumed for loss calculations
  18. 18. TRUE COST Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure
  19. 19. TRUE COST Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure 360,000 $ per Day
  20. 20. TRUE COST Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure 700 to 1,000+ Jobs
  21. 21. TRUE COST Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure Project Costs 9 or 13 or 15 or 17 $ $ $ Direct Construction Costs $ Million
  22. 22. TRUE COST Business Costs $ 84 to 92 $ Million Lost Business Attributable to South Lime Closure Project Costs 9 or 13 or 15 or 17 $ $ $ Direct Construction Costs $ Million Total Costs 90 to 110 $ $ Million
  23. 23. When will a beautified South Limestone return $100 million or 1,000 jobs to Lexington’s economy?
  24. 24. A QUESTION “Are these numbers right?”
  25. 25. A QUESTION “AreWrong Question these numbers right?”
  26. 26. A BETTER QUESTION Right Question: “How did we let ourselves vote for such economic devastation without any idea of the true impacts?”
  27. 27. TWITTER TRAFFIC
  28. 28. TRUE COST 3 2 Business Owners Walking Tour Weeks Weeks Since businesses pleaded for help Since you saw devastation first-hand A 2x economic multiplier assumed for loss calculations
  29. 29. TRUE COST 3 2 Business Owners Walking Tour Weeks Weeks Since businesses pleaded for help Since you saw devastation first-hand When will LFUCG address $100 million hole in our city? A 2x economic multiplier assumed for loss calculations
  30. 30. South Limestone: What to do
  31. 31. SEEDS TO SOLUTION Commissioner Webb & Project Manager Milligan have already identified how to accelerate the completion of South Limestone. They just aren’t willing to do so.
  32. 32. SEEDS TO SOLUTION Ask for more people / effort from utilities Ask cement company to stay open past 5PM Deal with noise ordinances
  33. 33. SEEDS TO SOLUTION Uncomfortable / effort from utilities Ask for more people Uncomfortable to stay open past 5PM Ask cement company Uncomfortable Deal with noise ordinances
  34. 34. $100 million is at stake. 1000 jobs are at stake.
  35. 35. $100 million is at stake. 1000 jobs are at stake. Get over your discomfort.
  36. 36. Cheapside | Vine | Main: What to do
  37. 37. SEEDS TO SOLUTION Give “full faith and credit” to no one.
  38. 38. SEEDS TO SOLUTION Give “full faith and credit” to no one. Only trust detailed plans of execution.
  39. 39. PRETTY PICTURES
  40. 40. PRETTY PICTURES The problem?
  41. 41. PRETTY PICTURES The problem? This isn’t South Lime…
  42. 42. PRETTY PICTURES Non-Existent Buildings & Storefronts Gleaming Marble Sidewalks?
  43. 43. REALITY
  44. 44. REALITY
  45. 45. PRETTY PICTURES
  46. 46. PRETTY PICTURES Without detailed plans of execution, it’s just a picture
  47. 47. KEY QUESTIONS • Could all three streets, as with South Limestone, be completely closed? • Which sections of which streets will be closed? For what periods? What is the planned sequence of closures? • When can each business on the affected streets expect their businesses to be interrupted? • How long will such business interruptions last? What will those interruptions look like? Where will they be most severe? • How can we accelerate the project where business interruptions will be most profound? • Can we sequence closures around business cycles? Could retailers be least affected during the holiday shopping season? Could work near outdoor cafés be completed by spring? • How will the city or DDA assist businesses during the closures? How will such assistance be more effective than what was done for South Limestone? Targeted ad campaigns? Special events? Shuttle services from parking garages? • Will drivers need to find alternate routes (as with South Limestone)? • What are the likely sources of project delay? How will those be mitigated?
  48. 48. SIGNS OF FAILURE Lack of Detail If they can’t provide step- by-step sequence of how the project will unfold…
  49. 49. SIGNS OF FAILURE Lack of Detail If they can’t provide step- Fail by-step sequence of how the project will unfold…
  50. 50. SIGNS OF FAILURE Economic Impact Estimate If they can’t provide an estimate of the true economic disruption caused by the new streetscapes…
  51. 51. SIGNS OF FAILURE Economic Impact Estimate If they can’t provide an estimate of the true Fail economic disruption caused by the new streetscapes…
  52. 52. SIGNS OF FAILURE Pretty Pictures
  53. 53. SIGNS OF FAILURE Pretty Pictures Fail
  54. 54. SIGNS OF FAILURE Vague Assurances “We’ll take care not to disrupt businesses…”
  55. 55. SIGNS OF FAILURE Vague Assurances
  56. 56. SIGNS OF FAILURE Vague Assurances Fail
  57. 57. SIGNS OF FAILURE Lack of Detail No Economic Estimates Pretty Pictures Vague Assurances
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