Features of the
pre-election situation in
Latvia
                          Ieva Strode
  Political and social project dire...
0%
                                                                                       10%
                            ...
Ethnic composition of the
       Latvian society
100%




80%
       8.8

                     29.6   29.4   29.2   29    ...
Ethnic composition within
       constituencies (citizens of RL)
100%

                        15.8      14.2
90%         ...
Attitude towards the past:
               USSR
What is your evaluation of the fact, that Latvia became a part of the USSR?...
Attitude towards lose of
                   Independence
Which of these statements, in your opinion, most precisely descri...
Criteria for electoral choice:
              People vs.Programms
What seems to be more important to you when thinking abou...
Thinking about next parliamental elections which areas seems to be most important to you, to whom would you
pay attention ...
Criteria for electoral choice:
                Old vs.New parties
Considering your choice within parliamental elections, w...
Popularity of political parties
                            (08.2010.)
25%
      Note: rating percentages refer to all tho...
0%
                                                                                         5%
                           ...
Political likes and dislikes
100%              2%                                          4%                             ...
Representation of political
     100%
                   parties in Parliament
               6                           ...
Thank you for
attention!
                     Ieva.Strode@skds.lv
            +37167312876, +37129783298

       Baznīcas ...
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Features of the pre-election situation in Latvia

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Presentation by Ieva Strode,
Political and social project director, SKDS at the EP ECR group Meeting in Riga, Latvia on 14 - 17 September, 2010.

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Features of the pre-election situation in Latvia

  1. 1. Features of the pre-election situation in Latvia Ieva Strode Political and social project director SKDS
  2. 2. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 05.96. 07.96. 09.96. SKDS 11.96. 01.97. 03.97. 05.97. 07.97. 09.97. (All respondents) 11.97. 7.Saeima Elections of 03.00. 05.00. 07.00. 09.00. 11.00. 01.01. 03.01. 05.01. 07.01. 09.01. 11.01. 01.02. 03.02. 8.Saeima 05.02. Elections of 07.02. 09.02. 11.02. 01.03. 03.03. 05.03. 07.03. 09.03. 11.03. Government 01.04. 03.04. 05.04. 07.04. 09.04. 11.04. 01.05. 03.05. 05.05. 07.05. 09.05. 11.05. 01.06. 03.06. 05.06. 07.06. 09.06. 11.06. 01.07. 9.Saeima 03.07. Elections of 05.07. 07.07. 09.07. 11.07. 01.08. Trust in Parliament and 03.08. 05.08. of Mr. Dombrov skis Gov ernment 03.2009 07.08. low est (since 1996.): (01.2009) Saeima: 4.5% (02.2009) MK: 7.3% 09.08. 11.08. 01.09. 03.09. 05.09. 07.09. Parliament 08.09. Government 11.09. 01.10. 03.10. 05.10. 07.10.
  3. 3. Ethnic composition of the Latvian society 100% 80% 8.8 29.6 29.4 29.2 29 28.8 28.6 28.5 28.3 28 27.8 27.6 34 other Estonians 60% Germans Roma Jews Lithuanians Poles 40% Ukrainians 77.0 Byelarussians Russians 57.7 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.6 58.8 59.0 59.0 59.2 59.3 59.4 52.0 Latvians 20% Data: CSB 0% 1935 1989 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  4. 4. Ethnic composition within constituencies (citizens of RL) 100% 15.8 14.2 90% 19.2 28.2 80% 39.9 49.6 70% Others 60% Latvians 50% 84.2 85.8 40% 80.8 71.8 30% 60.1 50.4 20% 10% 0% Total Rīga Vidzeme Kurzeme Zemgale Latgale Data: OCMA
  5. 5. Attitude towards the past: USSR What is your evaluation of the fact, that Latvia became a part of the USSR? Is it ..very positive ..rather positive ..neutral ..rather negative ..very negative Hard to say/NA Total 10% 19% 25% 17% 22% 8% Latvian-speaking population 4% 11% 22% 23% 34% 6% Russian-speaking population 20% 31% 27% 9% 3% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Data: SKDS
  6. 6. Attitude towards lose of Independence Which of these statements, in your opinion, most precisely describes the way, how Latvia became a part of the USSR in 1940? It was... ...voluntary decision of Latvia to join with the USSR ..invasion of the USSR into Latvia Other Hard to say/NA Total 28% 48% 6% 18% Latvian-speaking population 11% 69% 5% 15% Russian-speaking population 55% 17% 8% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Data: SKDS
  7. 7. Criteria for electoral choice: People vs.Programms What seems to be more important to you when thinking about yur electoral choice in parliamental elections - persons (party leaders, nominees) or programs and statements regarding different issues? DK/NA; 13.9% To me more important thing are politicians of the party; 46.7% To me more important thing are programms and statements of the party; 39.4% Data: SKDS
  8. 8. Thinking about next parliamental elections which areas seems to be most important to you, to whom would you pay attention when reading programms, statements and pledges of political parties? Economy 55.8% Growth of standard of life 53.6% Unemployment 42.0% Health care policy 35.4% State finance, taxes 33.1% Education and science 31.5% Social policy (pensions, allowancies/benefits) 28.9% Combat of corruption 28.5% Agriculture 13.6% Foreign affairs 10.0% Public order and security (combating crime) 9.9% Regional development 9.8% National, ethnic problems 9.2% Issues of state governance 8.7% Issues of energetics 8.6% Culture 7.8% Issues of municipalities 6.1% Transport and communications 6.1% Protection of environment 5.3% Integration of society 3.7% Defence 2.7% Justice 1.2% Other 1.1% DK/NA 8.3% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% Data: SKDS
  9. 9. Criteria for electoral choice: Old vs.New parties Considering your choice within parliamental elections, would you prefer political party, which has not been involved in government or political party with experience in the government? I'd prefer political party DK/NA; 25.2% with experience in governmental work; 33.1% 35.7% I'd prefer political party previously not involved inthe work of 25.8% government ; 41.7% Data: SKDS
  10. 10. Popularity of political parties (08.2010.) 25% Note: rating percentages refer to all those with a right to vote (not to those who had a specific choice at the time of the survey) 21.8% 20% 17.2% 16.7% 15.3% 15% 12.1% 10% 5% 4.4% 3.9% 3.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0% PCTVL VL – TB/LNNK ZZS Vienotība KDS Atbildība Ražots Latvijā PLL Daugava - Latvijai don't know Par Prezidentālu Tautas kontrole Pēdējā partija will not participate in Saskaņas centrs republiku the elections Base: citizens of the Republic of Latvia, n=862 Data: SKDS
  11. 11. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 7.2% SC 40.6% 21.1% Vienotība 2.6% 15.1% ZZS 4.8% 5.3% Base: citizens of the Republic of Latvia, n=862 PLL 2.4% 5.3% VL - TB/LNNK 0.4% 1.7% PCTVL 7.7% Par prezidentālu 1.0% republiku 1.2% 0.9% Atbildība 1.3% 1.1% Tautas kontrole 0.4% 1.2% Ražots Latvijā 0.0% population population 0.9% KDS 0.5% Latvian speaking Russian speaking 0.6% Pēdējā partija 0.0% 0.3% Daugava - Latvijai 0.0% Popularity of political parties Data: SKDS 22.6% don't know 19.5% within ethnic groups (08.2010.) will not participate in 15.6% the elections 18.7%
  12. 12. Political likes and dislikes 100% 2% 4% 7% 12% 12% 9% 15% won't vote for 90% 18% 23% 27% 36% 32% 80% 70% neutral 60% 50% among 0% sympathies 4% 40% 30% 2% 5% 2nd choice 5% 1% 20% 41% 8% 3% 5% 10% 21% 4% 7% 4% 3% 4% 6% 1% 15% 5% 2% 7% 3% 4% 2% 8% 1st choice 3% 5% 5% 2% 5% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% ZZS (RU) PCTVL (RU) Vienotība (RU) VL - TB/LNNK (RU) ZZS (LV) Vienotība (LV) SC (RU) PLL (RU) PCTVL (LV) VL - TB/LNNK (LV) SC (LV) PLL (LV) Data: SKDS
  13. 13. Representation of political 100% parties in Parliament 6 6 7 PCTVL 90% 16 5 SC 25 13 TSP 17 LSP 80% 16 6 "LĪDZTIESĪBA" SL-AT 70% 24 5 18 8 JL 26 12 TP 60% LSDSP 18 LKDS 14 DCP 50% 15 23 TKL 8 LVP 40% 20 17 6 DPS 8 LZS, LKDS un LDP 30% LZS 18 8 12 14 ZZS 20% LNNK/LZP 36 8 LNNK 7 10% 21 TB 17 10 10 TB/LNNK 0% LPP/LC LPP (JP) 9.Saeima 8.Saeima 7.Saeima 6.Saeima 5.Saeima LC Data: CEC
  14. 14. Thank you for attention! Ieva.Strode@skds.lv +37167312876, +37129783298 Baznīcas 32-2, Rīga, LV-1010 Latvia

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