Pu#ng Together the Chinese Military Puzzle Shaping a Global Capability
Three Ways Forward The PRC Build Out Its Capabili:es Building Out Capabili=es § Extended Reach for Na:onal Defense By Building Sanctuaries Against ACack. § Nuclear Buildup and An:-‐ Access and An:-‐Denial as Key Elements. § Next Level is Build Up of “Tradi:onal” Power Projec:on Tools, Carriers, AirliQ, Tanking, Bombers, Long Range Missiles. § The Third Level is Experimen:ng with Game Changing Technologies, Such as Hypersonics or Innova:ve Uses of Space-‐Based Assets to Play the Game Drama:cally Diﬀerently
Building Out Chinese Military Power Shaping a Building Block Approach By 2030 have legi:mate power projec:on force for global opera:ons leveraging strike and global ISR reach. Build Out Global Exports and Alliances in Global Hot Spots (Double Bounce: Technology Into China and Then Exported in Advancing Products from China. Extend Reach from Mainland China Deeper Into the Paciﬁc with Mari:me, Air and Missiles Systems. Build Out An:-‐Access, An:-‐Denial Na:onal Protec:on Tools.
Building Out Regional Reach A Key Building Block is Extending Reach into the Paciﬁc An=-‐Access, An=-‐Denial § Goal is to Strengthen China Power Base. § And to Provide Founda:on for Reaching Deeper Into the Paciﬁc. Regional Reach § Requires PLA to Come Out into the Mari:me and Air Domain. § Into a Crowded and Dangerous Three Dimensional Opera:onal Space.
Building Out Global Presence Tools for Chinese Global Power Projec:on Global Exports of Missiles, AircraQ and Capabili:es to Build Global Power Rela:onships. Par:cipate in Global Missions, Such as An:-‐Piracy Eﬀorts. Protect Engagement to Provide for Raw Materials in Africa and Elsewhere.
What are the Cri=cal Pieces? Which Pieces Are the Gamechangers? Dynamic Environment The Threat § A Chinese Build Out is § Which Ac:ons Taken by Occuring in a Very Fluid the US or its Allies are the and Dynamic Strategic biggest threats to Chinese Environment. ascendency? § From this standpoint, § Which ac:ons will the what are the most crucial Chinese target to try to technologies or block? capabili:es which are § Which Asian Partners of game changing for the the United States are Chinese? most crucial to isolate or undercut their military moderniza:on?
Manage the Threat An American Led Asian Alliance is a Key Barrier Breaking Coali=on Power § Undercut US Military Moderniza:on. § Informa:on Warfare as Integral Tool to Undercut Compe:tors § Pressure the US Lynchpin Role in the Paciﬁc. § Undercut Military Moderniza:on Eﬀorts by Asian Allies of the United States. § Use SoQ Power to Undercut the “Need” for a Military Response to the PRC